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    Wednesday, November 21, 2018

    Stock Market - Free Complete Excel for Finance and Stock Valuation Course

    Stock Market - Free Complete Excel for Finance and Stock Valuation Course


    Free Complete Excel for Finance and Stock Valuation Course

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 04:40 PM PST

    If you want to become a financial analyst. this is a complete free course to help you to become a financial analyst

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    submitted by /u/thequanttt13
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    Stocks that are Rising/Falling And Why (21 Nov 2018)

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 12:26 PM PST

    Each day I go through the top rising and falling stocks today, and look for (a) what the company actually does, and (b) why the stock is moving so much. Hopefully this saves you some digging!

    Below are my notes from 21 November 2018 as of mid-morning. (This list is limited to companies with market cap >$500 million, and also excludes VIX, short ETFs, etc, as these just reflect the market, rather than individual companies.)

    Today Company Driving the stock
    25% Qudian Inc. American Depositary Shares each representing one Class A (QD) Strong earnings (Chinese credit products)
    21% Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Ltd. (KNSA) Unclear (Pharmaceuticals)
    19% California Resources Corporation (CRC) Unclear (Oil and natural gas exploration)
    19% QAD Inc. (QADA) Q3 2018 earnings beat (Manufacturing software)
    17% Beacon Roofing Supply Inc. (BECN) Missed revenue/earnings, but positive reaction (Roofing materials)
    Today Company Driving the stock
    -9% Caleres Inc. (CAL) Q3 2018 earnings were weak (Footwear retailer)
    -8% 21Vianet Group Inc. (VNET) Q3 2018 earnings beat, unclear why trading down (Chinese data centers)
    -7% Apollo Medical Holdings Inc. (AMEH) Revenue/earnings beat (Pharma)
    -6% VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short-Term ETN (TVIX) Vix rising on market turmoil
    -6% Grupo Aval Acciones y Valores S.A. ADR (Each representing 20 preferred shares) (AVAL) Unclear (Colombian bank)
    submitted by /u/NaturalHedgehog
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    Emerging market industrial production growth is below US industrial production growth for the first time since the Asian crisis in 2002.

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 05:58 PM PST

    The October industrial production report was positive as industrial production growth was 4.1% year over year and manufacturing growth was 2.7% year over year. Both hit a 10 year high.

    About 70% of industrial production growth was due to oil related line items this cycle, but some think the decline in oil won't hurt industrial production as much as the last crash in late 2014 and 2015. That's because mining and oilfield machinery as a percentage of nonresidential investment in equipment is lower than the peak in 2012.

    America over emerging markets

    Late Cycle Oil Price Decline & Effect On Consumer

    submitted by /u/AlexPitti
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    Investing in Nvidia, questions.

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 03:21 AM PST

    I want to invest in Nvidia long term (~3-5 years) and i'm wondering when the best time to do so would be? Should i be waiting for it to drop down to double digits (if it ever does)? Or would it be "safe" to buy now?

    Second question: How much would you say is a worthwile investment? I have around $20k that i will use in the stockmarket (i'm a novice in stocks). How much of that would be a decent amount to put into Nvidia?

    Thanks for any help and anwsers!

    submitted by /u/BlueManiac97
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    How did smart money perform during the Oct-Nov 2018 selloff?

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 03:27 PM PST

    Does anyone have any insight? I'd like to think it's not just us retail investors getting shafted. After all, aren't we all betting on the same stuff? Not the correct way to think about it but would definitely lessen the butthurt

    submitted by /u/jimitr
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    What Markets Are Open And Closed On Black Friday

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 01:35 PM PST

    On Friday, November 23rd, 2018... * The NYSE will be open for limited hours * NASDAQ will be open for limited hours * The SIMFA will be open

    submitted by /u/james1844
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    What do you hardcore traders do on market holidays?

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 06:40 PM PST

    I'm not a super active trader, only a few trades a week, but I watch the market pretty much non-stop, and I personally hate market holidays because I get so bored.

    I'm wondering what people who very actively trade/study the market (anyone else is also welcome to contribute) do on days where the market is closed, in terms of stock activities??

    submitted by /u/bv_qb1
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    Fed buying? Buy in. Fed selling? Get out.

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 06:15 PM PST

    If the fed is long markets go long markets. If the fed is unwinding positions you gtfo. They started unwinding in january after nearly a decade of "easing". So what do you do? You sell. How hard is that?

    submitted by /u/russianpotato
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    Ditch NFLX and APPL?

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 06:09 PM PST

    The rest of my portfolio started coming back, and these two turds sink... cost me more in a shorter span of time than most % wise

    submitted by /u/CommodoreBlair89
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    Thoughts on ULTA stock?

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 02:44 PM PST

    If a company in an index fund/ETF consistently fails, does the fund/ETF stop using that company and reinvests/lists a different one to replace it?

    Posted: 20 Nov 2018 10:46 PM PST

    I am still learning. I ask for patience.

    submitted by /u/patrickthag
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    What’s A Bull Market And How Did We End Up In The Longest One Ever?

    Posted: 21 Nov 2018 11:19 AM PST

    A bull market is when stock prices continue increasing by 20 percent from a previous drop of 20 percent, or when the securities market keeps rising. Bull markets can also refer to other markets like housing, investment, or commodities.

    Even though it is not easy to predict when a bull market will occur, they are too often the outcome of a robust gross domestic product (GDP), high investor confidence, declining unemployment rates, an improved demand for stocks, and corporate and investor profits.

    The three principal stock indices – Nasdaq (NDAQ), Dow Jones Industrial Average (DOW), and S&P 500 – increase alongside each other during a bull market.

    Experts believe the stock market is experiencing the longest bull market ever, hitting 3,453 days on August 22nd, 2018, from a low on March 9th, 2009.

    The S&P 500 has had seven bull markets since 1970, five of them resulted in a market rise of over 100 percent. The most significant bull markets of the past fifty years are:

    1970's – In the seventies, assets grew quickly during several periods despite worries of financial turbulence. A protest started in 1974 came after a recession following the post-Second World War expansion. It lasted a little over six years. The S&P 500 grew by 122 percent during that time and the decade also experienced high inflation.

    1980's – The Reagan-era bull market was the briefest of the five and the S&P 500 increased more than 100 percent. On an annual basis, however, it was the most well-performing bull market, with the S&P growing 26 percent each year. It was powered by massive tax cuts and job creation, and record revenue creation. It lasted between August of 1982 and August of 1987.

    1990's – This bull market occurred during prosperous times, with healthy job growth in the United States and a tax relief act that made several stocks attractive. Tech companies flourished as the internet became accessible and ended in a robust bull market that went to great heights before failing in 2000. This bull market began in October of 1990 and lasted over nine years. The index rise was 417 percent overall.

    Early 2000's – After the 9/11 attacks and the dot-com bubble, this bull market went on from October of 2002 to October of 2007. Low-priced interest rates and lenient access to credit lines fueled this bull-run, which was mainly invested in the housing market. It stopped when estate prices started to drop due to the subprime mortgage disaster.

    Today – Today's bull market is the longest ever, starting March of 2009. It has been fueled by record-low interest rates and the easygoing fiscal policies embraced by central banks which has made it inexpensive to borrow capital. President Donald Trump's tax cuts, which decreased taxes paid by American corporations, have extended the current bull-run.

    source: https://goldsilverbitcoin.com/whats-bull-market-end-longest-one-ever/

    submitted by /u/jumb0bang
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    $AAPL & $BZUN; what would you do?

    Posted: 20 Nov 2018 09:19 PM PST

    $AAPL - I own 1000 shares at an average cost of $90.52. $BZUN - I own 1950 shares at an average cost of $35.50.

    What would you do? Buy, sell, or hold?

    As far as Apple is concerned, I could see this turning around by January. Current movement reminds me of the downturn in August of 2015. That same year, the stuck recovered in October. A potential US-China trade agreement next month and/or the Fed putting a pause on interest rate hikes could bode well for the stock (as well as the rest of the market). From what I can see, the recent market downturn is based on sentiment; not company fundamentals. Apple is solid and is becoming more than just an iPhone company. Is it a bad thing that iPhone growth has slowed because consumers are holding on to their current devices for 2-4 years? If a product is good and doesn't need replacing in the short term, then why is that a bad thing? Investors/Analysts have complained for years that Apple is just an iPhone company. That is no longer the case. The services business continues to grow. Apple basically owns the majority of the smartwatch market share. And new products like the iPad Pro have the potential to make up for Apple's decrease in iPhone sales.

    Best case scenario: Positive news with regards to Black Friday, Cyber Monday, and overall holiday sales. Fed puts a pause on interest rate hikes and announce the intention for only two hikes in 2019. US-China strikes a trade deal and ends trade war. Stock price recovers to 200+ by mid-January. Banks issue upgrades. Next ER is well-received by analysts. And this is back on track for $300 in 2019.

    Worst case scenario: Stock continues to dip. Fed continues interest rate hikes with no slowdown in sight. No trade war agreement is made by end of year. Negative sentiment towards holiday sales news. Stock starts 2019 in the $150s. ER and lack of detailed sales numbers isn't well received by analysts which pushes this south of $140.

    As far as Baozun is concerned, the earnings call is at 7AM EST. The trade war has certainly effected the performance of Chinese stocks. I'm sure most would agree that buying any Chinese stock at this time is not a good idea. Along with $BZUN, $BABA, $JD, $MOMO, $TCEHY, etc. have taken a beating with regards to their share price. There is potential for a turnaround with a US-China trade agreement. That being said, the company is fundamentally sound. The numbers aren't bad, though they aren't as good as the period of 2016-17. Will today's earnings result in a boost to the stock price, like it did for Pinduoduo? Or will it dip to the mid to low 20s? If it dips but a trade agreement is made next month, this stock could nearly double what it is now in January.

    Best case scenario: They beat on earnings. US-China trade agreement made in December. Holiday sales news is positive. Stock starts 2019 off at $45+. They beat on the next ER in February and heads towards $60+.

    Worst case scenario: I don't even want to think about it.

    submitted by /u/954courier
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