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    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Friday - Sep 07, 2018

    September 07, 2018

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Friday - Sep 07, 2018

    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Friday - Sep 07, 2018

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 04:08 AM PDT

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday and Friday's will stay up till Monday.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky. or see past portfolio discussions with this link.

    See past daily discussions here. And use this link to see past stock options discussions here.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Global Stocks declining ahead of US decision to impose further tariffs on USD$200bn in Chinese goods

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 05:33 AM PDT

    US Stocks

    • Global stocks are declining this morning, as markets await a decision by the US government to impose 25% tariffs on USD$200bn imports from China
    • Emerging Markets stocks are formally in a "bear market" with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index finishing trading yesterday down more than 20.9% from a January 2018 high
    • US stocks index futures are pointing to a negative open in NY with the Dow Jones minis –0.15%, S&P500 minis –0.12% and Nasdaq 100 minis –0.17%
    • Change in Nonfarm payrolls for August 2018 is to be released this morning at 8:30am. Consensus expects a result of +190k vs. +157k in July.
    • The VIX is little changed this morning and is currently at 14.94 after closing at 14.65 yesterday
    • SPY September 07 OTM Puts, HYG September 21 OTM Puts, Southwestern Energy (SWN) September 21 OTM Puts, and Apple (AAPL) September 07 OTM Calls are the most heavily traded options contracts in the US pre-market
    • US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are lower with yields up 1.09 basis points to 2.884%
    • The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has narrowed 0.13 basis points to 0.24%
    • WTI Crude is currently down -1.38% to USD$67.77/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread up USD$1.24 to USD$8.46/bbl
    • Gold is currently little changed 0.13% to USD$1201.52/oz
    • The AUD/USD is down 0.44% to 0.7168, the lowest level in 2 ½ years with the Aussie Dollar viewed as a proxy for trade with China given the Australian Balance of Payments exposure to China

    Stocks Trending in the News

    Click name for Q-Factor score and financial data.

    • Bayer (BAYN GR) was rated outperform in a report published today by ZKB. This outperform comes despite recent earnings that trailed estimates. Bayer is down 4.1% at 72.30 euros. Bayer is rated 'Neutral' in our European Large-Cap Global Top Picks
    • Becton-Dickinson (BDX) will sell its Advanced Bioprocessing unit to Thermo Fischer. The sale will result in a tax gain for Becton and the unit contributed 13-15 cents in 2018 EPS. Becton-Dickinson is rated 'Unattractive' in our US Large-Cap Global Top Picks.
    • British Airways had its website hacked and hackers got away with personal information and financial details of customers. The break-in lasted almost 2 weeks. British Airways is owned by International Consolidated Airlines Group (IAG LN). IAG is down 3.2% at 659.60 euros. IAG is rated 'Attractive' in our European Large-Cap Global Top Picks and is rated 'Attractive' in our United Kingdom All-Cap Global Top Picks
    • HNA of China will sell its entires stake in Deutsche Bank (DBK GR) over the next 18 months as part of USD$10bn plan to divest holdings. HNA holds almost 8% of Deutsche Bank and was ordered by regulators to raise cash. Deutsche Bank is down 1.1% at 9.66 euros. Deutsche Bank is rated 'Unattractive' in our European Large-Cap Global Top Picks
    • Samsung's (005930 KS) chairman of the board had an arrest warrant issued for his arrest. The arrest warrant is related to allegations over his role in a scheme to disrupt union activities. Samsung is not rated in our Global Top Picks.
    • Tencent (700 HK) signed a strategic partnership with local coffee chain Luckin Coffee. The deal will include robotic delivery of coffee and use of Tencent's WeChat for payments, including using facial recognition. Tencent is up 0.70% at HK$316.80. Tencent is rated 'Top Buy' in our China All-Cap Global Top Picks
    • If sanctions are placed on United Co Rusal (486 HK) later in the year as mentioned, it would be "a doomsday scenario" according to a report by Wood McKenzie. They cite a market outside of China already in a deficit and say that higher prices would lower demand materially. United is down 5.5% to HK$1.87. United Co Rusal is listed in Hong Kong, and is rated 'Neutral' in our All-Cap Global Top Picks.

    European Stocks

    • European stocks are declining this AM, near 5-month lows, as investors remain worried about the potential for escalating trade tensions between the US and EU
      According to Bank of America, European equity funds saw their first inflow of capital this week for the first time in 26 weeks
    • The Euro Stoxx 600 is currently down -0.21%, the FTSE 100 is down -0.54%, the DAX is down -0.27%, and the CAC 40 is down -0.11%
    • Telecommunications (+0.73%), Real Estate (+0.22%), and Health Care (+0.21%) stocks are the top performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • Banks (-0.97%), Travel & Leisure (-0.76%), and Financial Services (-0.74%) stocks are the worst performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • Investor sentiment for European stocks is negative with the advance/decline ratio for the Euro Stoxx 600 currently at 0.47x
    • 15 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are at 4-week highs while 200 stocks are at 4-week lows
    • 6 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are overbought while 82 stocks are oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • VSTOXX, the European stocks equivalent of the VIX, is moving little changed this morning and is currently at 16.74 after closing at 17.1 last week
    • EUR€ is currently little changed against the USD$ at 1.1634
    • GBP£ is currently up +0.565% against the USD$ to 1.3003
    • CHF is currently little changed against the USD$ at 1.0363
    • JPY¥ is currently little changed against the USD$ at 110.82
    • German 10-Year Bunds are lower with yields up 1.5 basis points to 0.37%
    • UK 10-Year GILTs are lower with yields up 2.5 basis points to 1.441%

    Asian Stocks

    • Asian stocks finished in the red, the worst weekly performance in 6 months as investors remain concerned about the Sino-American tariff war and economic contagion spreading from Argentina and Turkey to other emerging markets
    • The Nikkei 225 finished down 0.8%, the Hang Seng ended down 0.01%, the Hang Seng China Enterprise declined 0.18%, and the CSI 300 was +0.45%
    • Investor sentiment for Japanese stocks finished negative with the advance/decline ratio for the Nikkei 225 closing at 0.48x
    • 8 stocks in the Nikkei 225 hit 4-week highs while 60 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 2 stocks in the Nikkei 225 closed overbought while 19 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • Investor sentiment for Hong Kong stocks finished negative with the advance/decline ratio for the Hang Seng closing at 0.92x
    • 0 stocks in the Hang Seng hit 4-week highs while 19 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 0 stocks in the Hang Seng closed overbought while 4 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • Japan 10-Year Government Bonds are lower with yields up 0.2 basis points to 0.113%
    • JGBs 2s-10s Spread has narrowed 0.4 basis points to 0.22%
    submitted by /u/QuantalyticsResearch
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    Now We Know Why Musk Wanted to Go Private at "$420"

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 08:56 AM PDT

    Tesla shares slide lower after Elon Musk smokes blunt on late-night podcast. Makes sense that he chose $420 for his fake transaction.

    submitted by /u/JustinB99
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    Investment strategy

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 11:29 AM PDT

    Hi all,

    I started investing in stocks a couple of months ago and have come up with a strategy based on my research and the finance course I took at my university. Here are the steps I follow:

    1. Choose an industry that I believe has value, or choose a characteristic that I value in a company (i.e. environmentally friendly, well managed, etc.). Search for companies based on this.
    2. Perform a financial analysis of those companies stocks:
      1. Check beta value (I'm low risk, so I go for beta's below or around 1)
      2. Check the dividend yield of the company and industry it operates in
        1. Based on the companies I've searched, it seems like anything above 3% is high, 2-3% is decent and below 2% is low. Also if the companies yield is higher than industry, then that's a plus.
      3. Compare the PE ratios (trailing 12 months, TTM) and dividend yeilds for that company and the industry
        1. If the company has a PE ratio that is higher than the industry, it should also have a dividend yield that is higher to justify paying more for the stock.
        2. If I believe that the company has value and I see that its PE ratio is lower than industry, that is a plus since it means the stock is undervalued
      4. Check the payout ratio
        1. Based on it companies I've searched, it seems like above 70% is high, 50-70% is decent and below 50% is low

    Also, I was taught to compare the price/cash flow, price/sales and price/book value between the company and industry, but I feel like that if I've already looked at the PE ratios than these won't tell me anything new (i.e. if the PE ratio is higher than industry, then the price/cash flow is also usually higher).

    Let me know your thoughts and suggestions. Also I've been using Morningstar and Yahoo Finance to get my information. If there are any other sites you can suggest it would be appreciated :)

    submitted by /u/patreddit1234
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    What are 3 signs you look for in a stock before you invest in them?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 08:02 AM PDT

    Essentially I'm trying to understand what to look for in a stock/company when making a decision to invest. I want to begin making informed decisions when investing....something I know I should already be doing, but I figure it can't hurt to ask.

    submitted by /u/n0tcreatlve
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    Study: the U.S. stock market is experiencing sector rotation.

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 04:48 AM PDT

    The U.S. stock market is experiencing sector rotation right now. Over the past 2 days, the Dow went up while the NASDAQ went down (different from earlier this year, when the NASDAQ led the rally).

    Contrary to what conventional technical analysis says, this isn't a bearish sign for the stock market. Sector rotation is more bullish than bearish.

    https://bullmarkets.co/study-sector-rotation/

    submitted by /u/troybombardia
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    Looking for advice on interactive brokers

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 01:46 PM PDT

    I finally opened an interactive brokers account today. Have been using td ameritrade but today was the last straw when their online contingent ordering system went down for over 12 hours and even the trading desk didn't have the ability to manually enter my trades.

    Anyway, just looking for tips etc. I'm particularly looking forward to shorting since another td issue was lack of available shares to short.

    Any advice is appreciated. Thanks!

    submitted by /u/beezleeboob
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    Tesla going private

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 01:42 PM PDT

    Do you think Elon Musk is doing all these stupid stunts just so that the stock price would fall so low that he(or other private investors) can buy up the rest of the company and take it private?

    submitted by /u/vitogeek
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    Did AMZN just peak?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 01:22 PM PDT

    Hit $1 Trillion.

    Is this the end? I would not be shocked if AMZN slowly drips down to $800 billion and stabilizes at about $700 billion.

    The stock has increased in value by $500 billion in 1 year. What on earth did Amazon do the past 12 months to justify this?

    I think this will be just like Microsoft peaking in 1999 and taking 15+ years to get back to that high.

    submitted by /u/streetsofrageTWO
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    Apple dropped 3$ in 3 minutes what happened?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 12:59 PM PDT

    I'm not complaining I took by call profits this morning and set up some call spreads about 20 minutes ago and aapl just dropped straight down. So what happened?

    submitted by /u/Ragepower529
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    Would Ford (F) be a good buy right now?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 12:11 PM PDT

    I know it's not a growth stock but more of a dividend stock and it's the lowest it been in a while

    submitted by /u/AccordV6
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    Are we going to see AMD keep rising, or tank with Micron?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 11:34 AM PDT

    Just as the title says. Since AMD signed a contract with micron, I'm wondering how much they're going to ride MU's wave, for better or worse.

    submitted by /u/Greyfeld
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    Should I invest in Tesla?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 11:31 AM PDT

    Tesla shares haven't been this low ($262.92USD) in a couple months, and surely it's going to go up after this whole Elon Musk blunder blows over.

    Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/gryph06
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    what's considered the best stockbrokers online?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 10:58 AM PDT

    Thinking about fidelity at the moment, but im not sure. quite a novice coming to investing.

    submitted by /u/Pewe1337
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    TPL: most under the Radar stock?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 10:56 AM PDT

    What a strange stock this is.

    I never hear anything about it in financial news. And it isn't a small company or a penny stock. Its market cap is $6.5 Billion. The stock is up 82% YTD and over 200% the last 2 years. Yet not a peep on the news or any wear.

    Whats the deal?

    Also the volume on this stock is nuts. Only 14,000 shares sold a day. That's only about $8 million in stock sold a day for the last year. That's crazy low volume for a $6 billion company.

    I did buy a tiny bit of it a few weeks ago. And even though most stocks are getting crushed the last couple weeks, my position in TPL is actually up 5%. Seems totally disconnected from the stock market.

    submitted by /u/streetsofrageTWO
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    Anyone that owns $FIVE

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 07:01 AM PDT

    When did you buy in, how long do you plan to hold, and what was your reason for doing so.

    I just started investing since December 2017, and FIVE was one of the stocks I chose to invest in. It's definitely my biggest winner in my portfolio. To be honest, I don't remember my reasoning for why I invested in them, but it turned out to be a good move?

    submitted by /u/fowazb95
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    Thoughts on SNAP?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 10:43 AM PDT

    Down over 50% since going public. Nearing the bottom?

    submitted by /u/billgarrr
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    Advice

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 09:06 AM PDT

    My investment in my Vanguard International index fund isn't doing great after 6 months of it being invested. Should I sell my shares and reinvest it into their Domestic fund, wait it out, or doing something else? It's down like 5% from the initial investment.

    submitted by /u/EBaum23
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    I'm going balls deep into TSLA, anyone else feeling the bullish tick?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 12:33 PM PDT

    I posted here a while ago on how I was bullish on TSLA, someone wrote me a PM and said that if I was going to invest roughly 1/4 of my portfolio....that I should wait for an entry point of $250.... I laughed at him....thinking TSLA was on a permenant verticle run. However I headed his advice and made some short term gains along the way......However....this morning. When TSLA hit 258...at roughly 630am....I sold off some shares and transferred my savings into my brokerage.....and invested roughly 14k in TSLA.

    Im going balls deep....and whatever I have left from my paychecks....I'm inv3sting in tesla.....

    Meats no longer on the Menu boys....

    It's TOP RAMEN TILL TESLA!

    submitted by /u/beginning2goDownHill
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    Is $LIT ever going to grow again??

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 08:25 AM PDT

    I bought at the wrong time and still am confident that by 2022-2025 Lithium will be in extremely high demand. However, is this ETF the right exposure to even catch that growth? I know all of the main holdings cover the entire process from mining to distribution but I hate letting money sit stagnant when it could be growing elsewhere. Any and all advice/ price points appreciated.

    submitted by /u/liamheff1216
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    1k to invest in weed stocks.

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 07:31 AM PDT

    I am looking to invest in ACBFF, CGC, CRON, TLRY.

    I am looking at market cap and price to see inflation and see if it's really worth the price. I think this market right now is high risk. But I do want to invest.

    I am leaning more towards CGC or ACBFF. I like TLRY but I think there will be a correction soon.

    Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/sloppynipsnyc
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    Facebook Considering Dividends?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 07:20 AM PDT

    In daily conversations with fellow traders, Facebook seems to be the main topic of conversation. Dividends and buybacks seem to be a strategy that giants like Apple have benefited from. Both are not common in social media stocks, but desperate times call for desperate measures. We shall see. Long FB at these levels.

    submitted by /u/SSAInvesting
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    Thoughts on RMBL?

    Posted: 07 Sep 2018 07:13 AM PDT

    Interested to hear about what everyone thinks of this company. Seems like a niche platform to sell Harleys.

    submitted by /u/lifetimelurker5
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