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    Wednesday, July 4, 2018

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Jul 04, 2018

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Jul 04, 2018


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Jul 04, 2018

    Posted: 04 Jul 2018 04:07 AM PDT

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday and Friday's will stay up till Monday.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky. or see past portfolio discussions with this link.

    See past daily discussions here.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Nintendo down -5.27%. Hitting 52-week Low.

    Posted: 04 Jul 2018 06:59 AM PDT

    One of the 2017 darlings is being punished quite intensely for their E3 performance. Is this an attempt to force Nintendo to quit their typical 'close to the vest' announcement strategy? Sluggish sales seems like a cop-out since the Switch sold more post-holiday season than it did during launch.

    https://mynintendonews.com/2018/07/04/nintendo-stock-down-5-27-nikkei-believes-lack-of-new-switch-information-and-sluggish-sales-are-to-blame/

    submitted by /u/HulksInvinciblePants
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    Netflix to add new $17 "Ultra" plan for HDR content, reduce number of simultaneous screens on other plans

    Posted: 03 Jul 2018 04:31 PM PDT

    Netflix is testing the new plans and will likely make them available to everyone in the next year.

    I'm not sure too many will spring for the Ultra plan, but with the reduced number of simultaneous streams in the other plans it could force more people to get their own subscriptions.

    Article here

    submitted by /u/tangentZero
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    Do you base your decisions or expect difficulty trading on days exchange markets are down?

    Posted: 04 Jul 2018 10:36 AM PDT

    If the NASDAQ, S&P, or NYSE are in a downtrend -- and you're not day-trading or scalping -- do you still trade on those days?

    submitted by /u/sublimme
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    $SAM (The Boston Beer Company) DD/Bullish Analysis

    Posted: 04 Jul 2018 10:34 AM PDT

    First time ever writing one of these, so hopefully this doesn't suck content/formatting-wise.

    Disclosure: I own/am long $SAM.

    tl;dr: The Boston Beer Company is a great buy at its current price and I believe that it will continue to prosper under the guidance of new leadership and its product offerings.


    Quick facts:
    - Dave Burwick (former CEO of Peet's coffee) has joined $SAM at the helm as the new CEO of the company. - Product shipment volume has increased since last Q1 reports by 15% on the year. - Q1 EPS was reported as 0.78, ~42% growth over the same period last year (Q1 reports are always their weakest, but that's fairly typical for this industry in general) - Depletions (this tracks how much product is moved from warehouse to stores) grew by 8%. - Non "Sam Adams Beer" products owned by $SAM (Truly Hard Seltzer, Angry Orchard, and others) appear to be doing significantly well in their respective markets, offsetting a decrease in performance by its standard beer products.

    Analysis/Opinions:

    CEO:
    One of the most promising indicators of future growth for the company - to me - is bringing on Dave Burwick as CEO to replace Martin Roper. Burwick is familiar with the company itself operationally and has been on the board for ~13 years.

    Burwick previously served as the CEO of Peet's Coffee, which while being privately owned, still held a fair amount of market space overall in the coffee market itself.

    One of the most promising factors of Burwick being at the helm, outside of his experience at running a company in somewhat of the same industry as $SAM, is the strategy that seemed to produce great results at Peet's. Much of $SAM's recent success has come from their "non-beer" products, such as Angry Orchard and Truly Hard Seltzer. I very much believe that Burwick will not only capitalize on the existing markets for their currently owned products such as these with additional marketing + brand enhancement, but that he will additionally look into buying smaller third-party companies in order to expand the $SAM product line up even further. When at Peet's, he did so quite aggressively .

    Truly Hard Seltzer:
    As funny as it sounds, I'm extremely bullish on the Hard Seltzer market in and of itself and believe that $SAM will continue to see revenue gains in this area.

    Interest in Hard Seltzer has exploded over the last two years as a seasonal summer product. It seems like all of the major players have joined the game in this market and additionally I've even seen brands like Trader Joe's come out with their own product this year. The product itself I believe will continue to gather popularity, especially in crowds who are focused on low-calorie/low-carb alcohol options.

    While I'm not sure on the exact margin per product, the main ingredients themselves - and volume of product to price of product - lead me to believe that they make a fair amount on each pack sold. That said, this is an extremely seasonal (summer) product, so I'm curious on how they handle the huge reduction in production on off-seasons.

    Conclusion:
    In the goal of trying to keep this from becoming a novel, while I could definitely dive into the financial side of things with this company, but I'd recommend checking them out yourself as overall they look to be fairly promising. While the craft beer market as a whole is an extremely competitive and saturated space in the US, I expect $SAM to continue growing overall and adapting to the market by increasing sales and market recognition for its non-beer products, as well as by increasing efficiency and ease of access to their products overall.

    Quick Edit/Bonus point that I forgot to include:
    Sam Adams beer recently became the official beer of the Boston Red Sox, through 2025, replacing Budweiser. That partnership is a huge positive.


    With all of the above said, please make sure to do your own research before hopping in. This recommendation/opinion is only my own and stocks are always a risky venture, so buy at your own risk. :)

    Thanks for reading and hopefully this provided you with some information you didn't already know.

    submitted by /u/paper_warrior
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    How are taxes on gains calculated?

    Posted: 04 Jul 2018 12:00 PM PDT

    Say I bought
    5 shares on Jan 2017 at $5
    10 shares on November 2017 at $8

    And then I sold
    6 shares on Feb 2018 at $6
    4 shares on June 2018 at $10

    How would this be taxed? Calculations?

    submitted by /u/RandomBlobOfText
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    Do you know of any stock tracking apps or sites that can sort stocks by % size price changes?

    Posted: 04 Jul 2018 11:23 AM PDT

    I would like to be able to view stocks and sort them in order of % of price change over time periods, i.e. daily, weekly, monthly, quarterly etc.

    So for example, if I picked daily, it would create a list of stocks and order them by % of price change from today's close to yesterday's close, largest % change to smallest.

    I'm trying to identify stocks that have had large fluctuations in prices to identify possible buy/short opportunities. I haven't quite found a way to do this. Any suggestions would be greatly appreciated! Thank you!.

    submitted by /u/letsboop
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    Thoughts on $GS?

    Posted: 04 Jul 2018 07:26 AM PDT

    Big fan of $GS from a technology standpoint. They are acquiring fintech companies and making major strides in the space. Their first product, Marcus, has a solid team in place and I would guess they have plans to acquire more companies and launch new services.

    As it keeps dropping, the price is looking more desireable. Any thoughts here?

    submitted by /u/ancestorinvestor
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    Question on % risk and % growth formula for stocks

    Posted: 04 Jul 2018 09:36 AM PDT

    Hi happy 4th everyone,

    I watched a video that was really helpful on beginning to learn stocks but in the video there's a formula that I can't seem to make sense of. He has a stock of $1.48. Target sell $1.60. Stop loss of $1.47. With an 1,000 account balance.

    He calculates a % risk of .68% and a % growth of 7.5%. Does anyone understand the formula for arriving at these numbers?

    submitted by /u/adidashusky
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    Which one would you chose between V (Visa) or MA (Mastercard)?

    Posted: 03 Jul 2018 06:09 PM PDT

    I'm looking to get into one of these since most of my portfolio is currently pure tech. Given that they're so similar, how would you guys chose between these two and which do you think you'd pick at this time?

    submitted by /u/KryptoniteByNight
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    Different markets and types of ETF for long-term saving/investment

    Posted: 03 Jul 2018 11:55 PM PDT

    Hello,

    I'm currently looking into starting a long-term saving account where I want to invest in ETFs. I have managed to find several different recommended ones for World, EU, US, Asia etc. but I would prefer to not only buy different market ones I would also like to invest in some different types of ETF's such as Tech, Media, Green Energy, etc. Those I had a lot of bigger problems finding.

    Could anyone here help me out with some good recommendations?

    Thanks in advance,
    Tobias

    submitted by /u/AtBios
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    Looking to expand my portfolio with some REITs.

    Posted: 03 Jul 2018 05:54 PM PDT

    I'm want to expand my portfolio with some high paying dividend stocks. I understand REITs have good dividends. Does anyone know any solid REITs that payout monthly? I know O does, any others?

    submitted by /u/th3glory22
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    Thoughts on Oil stocks? CEI PED

    Posted: 03 Jul 2018 05:16 PM PDT

    With the recent talks on low oil supply, do you think there is big potential for U.S. oil stocks such as PED, CEI?

    submitted by /u/timoustache
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