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    Tuesday, July 31, 2018

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Tuesday - Jul 31, 2018

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Tuesday - Jul 31, 2018


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Tuesday - Jul 31, 2018

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 04:07 AM PDT

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday and Friday's will stay up till Monday.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky. or see past portfolio discussions with this link.

    See past daily discussions here.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Are there any good YouTube channels that teach investments starting from basic terminology and working into strategies?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 04:08 AM PDT

    Thinking along the lines of a Khan Academy for investments

    I'm an accountant with good understanding of how to read financial statements/financial terminology

    What I don't know is all the financial formulas and how they affect stock value, general behaviors the stock market, etc.

    submitted by /u/parlonida
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    Tencent's $143 Billion Rout Is World's Biggest as Tech Sinks

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 04:11 AM PDT

    Time when earnings will be reported?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 02:07 PM PDT

    Is there a way to know what time a company will report earnings? All I see is "After-Hours" or "Before Open" , but is there a way to know when. Like 5:00pm or something. Does it have any relation to the earnings conference call time. My company(IQ) is having their conference at 8pm EST. Should I be expecting them to release later in the day?

    submitted by /u/jcool9
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    Good income producing REITS

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 11:17 AM PDT

    What REITS do you guys own that pay a healthy dividend? I am trying to find REITS that are not so debt heavy and pay above 7.5% on quarterly basis.

    Any suggestions would be greatly appreciated. I am trying to diversify my portfolio a bit and I think adding a REIT would be beneficial long-term.

    submitted by /u/Ahart999
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    Thoughts on AAPL's upcoming earnings call?

    Posted: 30 Jul 2018 07:30 PM PDT

    Stock has been actively climbing into ATH territory, not much in the media about iPhone X selling terribly.

    New, better machines out and in the pipeline.

    Surely it's all good news?

    Steak dinners for all!! https://i.imgur.com/ARQcYEg.jpg

    submitted by /u/turtleattacks
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    Anyone long on JD.com and actually living in China?

    Posted: 30 Jul 2018 11:54 PM PDT

    I ask because I've noticed a lot of posts on JD.com tend to be heavy on the quantitative side, details of which can be found in an annual report. I live in Beijing and I would love to see posts in this thread from those who reside in China, are long on JD and have some qualitative contributions to make as to why the company's a good investment. In other words, posts from those who actually shop on JD would be fabulous.

    submitted by /u/mooglecharm14
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    The 9 steps to evaluate a company through the Piotroski method

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 12:12 PM PDT

    Hello ladies and gents,

    Today I'm going to show you a great scoring method you can use to develop an idea of the financial stability and growth of a company.

    It is designed to find undervalued companies that are recovering.

    Joseph Piotroski is an accountant who became famous for this 9 step method he coined "the F score". His method has a good track record and was shown to perform a 23% annual return from 1976 to 1996! More information can be found in his paper titled Value Investing: The Use if Historical Financial Statement Information to Separate Winners from Losers.

    Before we begin the prerequisites for the scoring method is that you should invest in the bottom 20% of these companies that scores a 7,8,9 based on their P/B ratio. So lower the P/B ratio the better.

    Without further ado here is the 9 things to look for according to Joseph Piotroski and his 'F-Score' method.

    1. (ROA) Return on Assets = Net income / Total Assets

    1 point if this ratio is positive

    2. (CFROA) Cash flow return on assets = Operating cash flow / Total Assets

    1 point if this ratio is positive

    3. ROA (Current Year) > ROA (Last year)

    1 point if current year higher than previous year

    4. Quality of Earnings. Find difference between CFROA and ROA for current year

    1 point if CFROA > ROA

    5. (Long term debt / Total Assets (current year))/ (Long term debt / Total Assets (Last year))

    1 point if Current Year ratio is lower than last years ratio

    6. (Total Current Assets / Total Current Liabilities (Current year)) / (Total Current Assets / Total Current Liabilities (Last Year))

    1 point if Current year ratio is higher than last years ratio

    7. Compare current years shares outstanding to last years shares outstanding. (Shares should stay the same! They should NOT be issuing more shares)

    1 point if there were NO new shares issued

    8. (Current year Gross Profit / Revenue) / (Last years Gross Profit / Revenue)

    1 point if Current years ratio is higher than last years

    9. (Current year Revenue / Total Assets) / (Last years Revenue / Total Assets)

    1 point if Current year ratio is higher than last years ratio

    If Total score adds up to 7, 8, or 9 then it's Good

    If Total score adds up to 0, 1, 2, 3 then it's Bad scores

    Remember, we also want our P/B ratio as low as possible. Some people believe the best time to sell is when the P/B goes over 1.1 but I haven't found statistical evidence pointing to this being the best method of approach.

    Have fun! And let me know if you have any questions!

    submitted by /u/Goal1
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    Ex-SolarCity employees: We were fired after reporting millions in fake sales

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 09:55 AM PDT

    EA vs ACTIVISON BLIZZARD

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 04:26 AM PDT

    Electronic Arts has built its business around popular licensed franchises and has successfully orchestrated a turnaround over the last five years thanks to improved quality of output and digital sales momentum. Activision Blizzard is already a leader in emerging categories like esports, with five of the 10 most-watched games on Amazon's Twitch and its own Major League Gaming network and distribution platform. Which one do you think is better?

    submitted by /u/Msgrng
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    CRM a good buy right now?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 11:28 AM PDT

    Thinking of getting into CRM, also thinking of buying more FB now since I bought in at 180 before. Which would you say is the better buy for long term profitability?

    submitted by /u/Deathalo
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    Need help, Dr Pepper Snapple Special Dividend Problem

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 06:54 AM PDT

    Hi,

    A long time ago I invested $10,000 into Cadbury's. After Cadbury's sold Schweppes, I received shares in Dr Pepper Snapple. These shares have done very well over time, and I had planned to just leave them, reinvesting my dividends.

    However, just today I recieved a 'special dividend 'cheque in the post for $144,000 dollars. After inquiring with the company, it seems they have had a merger, and they are subsidising me for the new decreased prices of the shares (from over $100 to under $30).

    I need help, as I want to reinvest the money into Dr Pepper Snapple, but I don't want to deposit the money in my bank and pay 40% tax on it. Is there another way I can get shares in the company that doesn't require me to put the cheque in the bank as I would loss a lot of money through it.

    submitted by /u/J-Mac11
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    QE for tomorrow?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 02:16 PM PDT

    Anyone know what are some good stocks to look out for QE tomorrow other than Tesla?

    submitted by /u/trooper5010
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    RIP SHOP

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 02:15 PM PDT

    With the future dilution announced, how gloomy is the outlook?

    submitted by /u/futurepharmer3
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    Thinking of going long on Disney, with reasons inside. Thoughts?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 10:23 AM PDT

    I invested with Disney in the late Spring of 2015, when it was roughly around $106/share. Even though it hasn't done that much since, here are some factors that make me wanna go long, and I wanted some feedback if these were legitimate reasons to stick with Disney:

    • Star Wars land is gonna be a thing at both American parks, and there's the Toy Story park opening up, too. In addition, I recall reading that the parks represent a much larger portion of Disney's market cap as opposed to the net profit of their movies. In fact, I think only media acquisitions make more money than the parks, which leads us to...

    • The Fox deal. I think it just went through, which is why there was a notable increase in Disney's value last week. This could mean a lot of things - time will tell what exactly that'll be, however.

    • I also read that Bob Iger is gonna be succeeded by a new CEO within the next few years. Depending on this new director's philosophy, things could get very interesting indeed here. Personally, I think he's been playing things too safe. I want the next CEO to be someone a bit more like Eisner - someone more willing to experiment and embrace Disney's message of using your imagination. It seems a bit contradictory to run a company that touts the virtues of being imaginative and innovative in a way that is seemingly antithetical to that, sometimes.

    • I want to see what's going to happen with LucasFilm. I think it needs a drastic re-structuring, IMO. For example, not giving the Star Wars videogame license to a single publisher, even if it was my personal favorite publisher. It should be more on a leasing basis. As an aside, I think Disney overall (LucasFilm and otherwise) has missed too many potential opportunities working the current popularity of videogames for my personal comfort, both as a gamer and an investor. I can only describe them as being "out of touch" in regards to videogames this past decade. Hehe, maybe I'll attend next year's Disney investor summit and put some things in peoples' ears.

    EDIT: I liked some parts of the Disney Star Wars era thus far, but I also wanted to add that Star Wars shouldn't be controversial. These new movies should be objective improvements in every aspect to the prequels. The people that are berating fans on Twitter need to be kept on much shorter leashes. People shouldn't be comparing these new movies to the prequels. Maybe they should pace them a bit, and not worry too much about getting one out every year. I know it's comparing apples to dragonfruit, but Nintendo crown jewel Shigeru Miyamoto once said that a delayed game can eventually become good, and a bad game that gets released is bad forever, and I think something similar can apply to a film franchise.

    submitted by /u/YabukiJoe
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    Question on historical prices of a stock

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 01:58 PM PDT

    Can someone please explain to me how historical prices of some stocks just seem outrageous? For example, I read an article about the company that owns MoviePass and I looked at their ticker symbol (HMNY) and the price is like $.50. However, I looked at what it was 6 months ago and it was over half a million bucks! What gives?

    submitted by /u/dustyblues
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    AOI up a lot ahead of Thurs. earnings call. Does this signify earnings will be good?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 10:11 AM PDT

    Been looking at AOI myself for awhile now and keep watching it rise 5-9% a day the past few days. Is it over bought?

    submitted by /u/billium28
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    Old stocks - company merged twice

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 01:55 AM PDT

    My father bought stocks of Belgian company cockerille-sambre back in the eighties. It was taken over by unisor in 98, merged to become Arcelor in 2001 and merged again in 2006 to become ArcelorMittal.

    He never paid attention to it after the first merger because he thought they had become worthless , but he still has the official papers.

    Could this still be worth something? He doesn't think so, but I thought that as long as the company doesn't go bankrupt, the shares carry over. For the record, my father is Belgian and living in Belgium..

    Any advice is very welcome !

    submitted by /u/pralibel
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    Does anyone have experience selling indicators?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 04:00 AM PDT

    I've recently had a few commissions to do indicators and it pays nicely for how much I enjoy doing them. However, I don't know much in the way of public sales. What should I be doing to garner more attention? Or rather what kinds of indicators would sell best? I understand that "holy grail" indicators are mostly in poor taste, so my ideas are to enhance a person's abilities instead of giving buy/sell signals. (The scripts below are open source, I don't think I'm breaking the rules)

    Here's a few scripts that I think work well (to show that I'm not a crackpot):

    Higher timeframe OHLC candles overlay

    Guppy Multiple Moving Average in log space

    Price + Volume Zone Oscillator alerts

    submitted by /u/bunstunsonce
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    Starbucks on the rise? Teaming up with Alibaba on delivery

    Posted: 30 Jul 2018 10:15 PM PDT

    Why is TGTX up today?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 01:25 PM PDT

    Is it because investors are trying to diversify away from tech stocks?

    submitted by /u/Birkeshire
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    Thoughts on Air Conditioning stocks?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 01:05 PM PDT

    Thinking of adding some of these to my portfolio. JCI seems to be in a small slump, perhaps with great room for growth, while others like IR and LII already show great returns over the past year.

    Any thoughts?

    submitted by /u/MiguelLancaster
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    AAPL Call Option Help - Logic Check

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 07:06 AM PDT

    AAPL has 0.70 call options expiring Aug 3. Strike price 200.

    Just double checking my logic here. I pay $70 for 1 contract (100 shares) if Apple Rockets Up Today after earnings lets say $205.

    I will make (200 - 205 x 100shares) = $500 profit - the option price of $70. so:

    Risk $70 to Gain $430. I realize this is a bad idea and risky. However, I consider it paying for an education.

    submitted by /u/phenomix
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    How does it work when you short a stock and then it does a reverse split before you cover?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 06:36 AM PDT

    How does it work when you short a stock and then it does a reverse split before you cover?

    And then it drops another 90% after the reverse split?

    submitted by /u/fantasyangel
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    Anyone long on NOK?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 12:17 PM PDT

    I'm long on Nokia after some initial research a few months ago and everything was going great until earnings and now it seems like the stock keeps going red even though I only see good news about 5g? Anyone have any news on why the stock keeps dropping or is the market just extremely short sighted?

    submitted by /u/Helpme420666
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    How do companies with negative, or less EPS than the dividend, pay the dividend?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 03:02 AM PDT

    So how does Barnes and Noble with a -1.73 EPS, pays a 0.6 dividend?

    How does $KO pays a 1.56 dividend with a 0.34 EPS and does it consistently for so many years?

    It makes sense that a company pays a proportion of its profits to shareholders. So if companies consistently have payout ratio more than 100%, how do they find the money to do so?

    submitted by /u/DefinitelyNotCake
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