• Breaking News

    Wednesday, May 2, 2018

    NYT: "Investment Boom From Trump’s Tax Cut Has Yet to Appear" Investing

    NYT: "Investment Boom From Trump’s Tax Cut Has Yet to Appear" Investing


    NYT: "Investment Boom From Trump’s Tax Cut Has Yet to Appear"

    Posted: 01 May 2018 08:37 AM PDT

    NY Times article which admits that short term data won't tell the whole tale.

    What do you think - long-term investment as touted or stock buy-back/automation implementation?

    submitted by /u/LateralThinkerer
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    Apple Q1 Earnings: $2.73 vs. $2.67 EPS expected

    Posted: 01 May 2018 01:31 PM PDT

    Revenue: $61.1 billion vs. $60.82 billion expected by Thomson Reuters consensus

    iPhone unit sales: 52.2 million vs. 52.54 million expected by a StreetAccount estimate

    Apple said it would be increasing dividends 16 percent to 73 cents per share.

    Apple on Tuesday announced a plan to return $100 billion to shareholders in a massive stock buyback, confirming recent optimism around tax reform.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/01/apple-buybacks-q2-2018.html

    https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2018/05/01/apple-earnings-q2-2018.html

    submitted by /u/gronkspike25
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    Tesla sued for more than $2 billion, accused of copying design of Nikola hydrogen trucks

    Posted: 01 May 2018 07:11 PM PDT

    Snapchat slips in Q1 to its slowest user growth rate ever

    Posted: 01 May 2018 01:20 PM PDT

    Facebook introducing dating feature, Match Group down big

    Posted: 01 May 2018 10:58 AM PDT

    Kraft Heinz Issues ‘Bacoins’ in Spite of Buffet’s Distaste for Crypto

    Posted: 01 May 2018 12:03 PM PDT

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-05-01/buffett-s-distaste-for-crypto-fails-to-thwart-heinz-s-bacon-coin

    Kraft Heinz Co.'s Oscar Mayer unit is issuing a limited number of digital tokens called Bacoins that can be exchanged for the company's bacon.

    submitted by /u/COMPUTER1313
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    Do you use the Leading Economic Indicators Index at all?

    Posted: 01 May 2018 04:34 PM PDT

    Came across this image from this article.

    I'm curious if anyone uses this information/approach at all? Would this be more technical? They do note: " In the near term, following trends makes sense, but when investing for decades, you can do the opposite of major equity price swings."

    submitted by /u/andthenisawtheblood
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    What are your thoughts on $MTCH Down 22% on Facebook dating app reveal? Time to buy?

    Posted: 01 May 2018 04:13 PM PDT

    $MTCH owns OKcupid, tinder, and plentyoffish.com. All of these dating services have proven themselves over time.

    Facebook says they want the dating app to be used to find serious relationships. Not for hookups. If that is the case and the users stick to that. Then Facebook is only competing against one of the companies that MTCH owns.

    Also, if you look at the stocks past and earnings that have been doing very well since their inception. I know this isn't an indication of future success outright, but I think it shows that they have what is needed to succeed. They already have tremendously.

    Also, I think a 22% drop is crazy when Facebook hasn't even released their service yet. We don't even have a release date yet. (that I can find at least). For all we know, this won't even be released for another year. Even then it may be in beta for awhile. A 22% drop is massive considering it is based a lot on speculation.

    submitted by /u/kingdomart
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    What are the dangers of a market over-crowded with passive investors?

    Posted: 01 May 2018 08:53 AM PDT

    Just read an interesting article discussing the dangers of a market warning about the dangers of a consolidated tech industry and the rise of passive investment. Of course this is the argument all active traders make as they bill you for huge fees. Are these dangers warranted and if so how can one guard against them without getting killed with active trader fees.

    Article referenced: https://latest.13d.com/big-tech-passive-algorithmic-investing-more-pain-market-action-threats-8e25503fd1e4

    submitted by /u/Lambeau86
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    Daily advice thread. All questions about your personal situation should be asked here

    Posted: 01 May 2018 05:05 AM PDT

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or anything similar. There is no single answer to this question, but we will also need A LOT MORE information if we are to give some sort of answer

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive girlfriend? (not really an asset)
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Swedroe: Real Estate Isn’t Special

    Posted: 01 May 2018 09:36 AM PDT

    Can someone explain how products like UVXY continue to exist?

    Posted: 01 May 2018 11:08 PM PDT

    If there are no inflows into this fund, it will trend towards $0 because of decay. However, there have been inflows into it (to the tune of $4 billion since 2012). Who exactly is willingly putting money into this? It just seems like a form of wealth distribution to futures contract sellers.

    submitted by /u/the_humeister
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    Question about insider trading.

    Posted: 01 May 2018 05:04 PM PDT

    If I have a family member who is on the board of directors of a large publicly traded company, and I notice at a family event that he seems sad or distraught, and so I ask him why he's sad, and he says he can't tell me. Would it be insider trading if I shorted his company's stock because I take the risk that his sadness is related to the company perhaps preforming poorly behind closed doors?

    Or even another situation where my personal knowledge of how he acts when hes sad or pretending not to be sad allows me to tell when hes sad or pretending to not be sad during a public hearing about the company which then allows me to predict whether or not the company is doing well behind closed doors. Would that be insider trading?

    submitted by /u/C3D2
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    Former Autonomy CFO convicted for fraud

    Posted: 01 May 2018 07:41 AM PDT

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-jury-convicts-former-autonomy-cfo-of-fraud-in-h-p-deal-1525134860

    HP acquired a company that was effectively non-existent.

    For years, Mike Lynch, the CEO of Autonomy, claimed there was no merit to the case and an investigation against him in the UK was actually dropped (in what is probably a coincidence, he is/was an adviser to the Govt). Indicative of the level of self-delusion going on here, Lynch has actually sued for HP for damages...which now seems illjudged.

    Autonomy was also heavily shorted (it was not particularly hard to see their accounts were fictitious) and, in the UK at least, it was a fairly contentious story as Lynch was thought to be one of the UK's leading tech entrepreneurs (he also has an OBE, the second highest honour that the UK govt issues).

    HP are suing to get their money back.

    submitted by /u/bananarepubliccat
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    FTC challenges Lending Club’s “No Hidden Fees” claims - $LC

    Posted: 01 May 2018 08:47 AM PDT

    According to a lawsuit filed by the FTC, Lending Club, which bills itself as "the world's largest online marketplace connecting borrowers and investors," attracts prospective borrowers with direct mail pieces, online ads, and even paid blog posts touting that the loans come with "no hidden fees." For example, as a Lending Club-created paid-for post on a credit website promises, "Once you're approved, your money goes straight into your account, with no hidden fees." But as the complaint alleges, consumers are in for a surprise when they learn that what goes "straight into [their] account" is not the total represented during the online application process as the "Loan Amount." Instead, what they get is an amount reduced by hundreds or thousands of dollars. That's because Lending Club takes a hefty portion of the Loan Amount up front as an origination fee.

    https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/blogs/business-blog/2018/04/ftc-challenges-lending-clubs-no-hidden-fees-claims

    submitted by /u/scuczu
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    Barron's vs The Street vs The Motley Fool

    Posted: 01 May 2018 01:10 PM PDT

    Which do you prefer? And which do you think is more instructive?

    submitted by /u/inamellotone
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    What to invest 30k in

    Posted: 01 May 2018 09:39 PM PDT

    I'm 27 and a travel nurse. I have 30k I want to invest that's just sitting around. No debt or anything. Sometimes I take a couple months off work so I have money set aside for that. I dont have any retirement set up. Since I'm a travel nurse and switch agencies every 3 to 5 weeks, some agencies match 401ks, some dont. What do you think would be the best for me to invest in? Thanks in advance!

    submitted by /u/upham51
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    Options, futures and other derivatives book by John Hull

    Posted: 01 May 2018 08:37 AM PDT

    Is there a big difference between the old editions (1-2-3) which you can find for less than a pound, and the latest ones which are really expensive? I mean the fundamentals are probably the same right? What kind of extra information can justify such a gap?

    submitted by /u/AgaistTheCurrent
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    Thoughts on this investing strategy?

    Posted: 02 May 2018 01:12 AM PDT

    I am curious what you guys think of the following approach:

    1. Invest all or the majority of your net worth in assets that aren't marked-to-market, like apartments, rental properties, hotels, etc.

    2. Obtain a secured credit line from your bank using your properties as collateral.

    3. Wait however long it takes for the market to crash. Obviously a wild guess, but I don't think it'll take more than 5-10 years until we see the next market crash.

    4. Once the market crashes, draw all the cash from your LOC and begin indexing or buy individual stocks if you're confident in your stock picking abilities. (My guess: begin when cape ratio ~<15)

    4.1 (optional) If the stock goes down even further after you depleted your LOC, buy even more stocks using margins. Limit your margins to 20-30%. It is unlikely for the market to crash an addition 70-80%, especially when its already cheap.

    The nice thing about this strategy is that even if your timing is wrong and stocks drop even further, your'll never go bankrupt as long yields from your properties and dividends are enough to cover the interest. Your properties will also generate 5-7% return while you wait for the market to crash.

    submitted by /u/WHO_DlS
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    Are South Korean stocks a good play on a North Korean investment cycle?

    Posted: 01 May 2018 09:30 AM PDT

    With the market at a 9x P/E multiple it makes it interesting, however no certainty that Kim Jong-un will follow through...

    https://grizzle.com/korean-peace-economy/

    submitted by /u/UnfilteredSake
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    Senior Care / Assisted Living Direct Investing?

    Posted: 01 May 2018 02:57 PM PDT

    Has anybody directly invested into an Assisted Living Deal? How'd it go? I'm currently looking to find a solid team to invest with.

    submitted by /u/HobbesNYC
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    Snapchat Q1 Earnings: ($0.17) EPS vs. ($0.17) EPS expected

    Posted: 01 May 2018 01:18 PM PDT

    Revenue: $230.7 million vs. $244.5 million, according to a Thomson Reuters consensus estimate

    Daily active users: 191 million vs. 194.2 million expected by a FactSet estimate

    Average revenue per user (ARPU): $1.21 vs. $1.27, per a FactSet estimate

    Snap shares plummeted up to 10 percent after the company missed revenue estimates in its latest quarterly report.

    Furthermore it looks like a rocky road ahead for the company, which said in prepared remarks its next quarter year-over-year revenue growth rate will "decelerate substantially" compared to this past quarter.

    Snap reported its Q1 earnings on Tuesday after the bell.

    Many of its issues may stem from a controversial redesign, which has upset some core users.

    The company said in November 2017 it planned to tweak Snapchat to make it easier for new people, especially older ones. However, changes have soured some longtime users on the platform.

    Some have started a Change.org petition to ask the company to revert back to the old version, while Snapchat power user Kylie Jenner tweeted in February she didn't open Snapchat anymore due to the tweaks, causing the stock to tumble 8 percent on the news. She has since returned to the platform.

    Redesign problems have persisted. In late April, the company said it would test another version of its redesign, leading to shares plunging as much as 9.5 percent the day after the after-hours announcement. One of the new updates would include moving friend stories back on the same tab as publisher and celebrity content -- which is what many previous users were asking for -- but with clear delineations.

    It's not all bad news for Snap. The advertising and businesses community seem to be embracing some of the changes Snapchat has made. Snap chief strategy officer Imran Khan said in prepared remarks advertising revenue hit $229 million during Q1, up 62 percent year over year. Chief financial officer Drew Vollero noted sales growth continues to outpace cost growth.

    https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2018/05/01/snap-q1-2018-earnings-and-revenue.html

    submitted by /u/gronkspike25
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    Small business investing... what is fair for both parties?

    Posted: 01 May 2018 08:44 PM PDT

    A good friend of mine is wanting to go into the gutter hanging business. He has previously been in the roofing business, which made over 750k for a couple of years. He got tired of it and sold it, but now wants to start a business hanging gutters. You need a "gutter machine" which bends the aluminum on site. Some old truck, a trailer, and the aluminum rolls for the machine to use. He lost big time in his divorce, and now doesn't have the means to buy the machine outright.

    He's got access to everything else, including employees to hang the gutters. But he doesn't have the $10k it costs to buy the gutter machine. I was thinking about being an investor for his gutter hanging startup, and purchasing the machine for him. Normally I'd be hesitant, but this man has pretty much the best work ethic I've ever seen. He's also run a successful business before, for 6 years. So there is no lack of investor confidence here. But what is fair for my end of the deal? I buy the machine and turn it over to him, and then... what? How do we sort out what is fair for a return on my investment?

    submitted by /u/rampitup55
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    Spectre and Meltdown security flaws: how dangerous are they?

    Posted: 01 May 2018 07:55 PM PDT

    I only just heard about this issue, it looks scary as hell for those of us who manage their finances and investments online i.e. nearly all of us. How bad are the risks, what steps should be taken to mitigate?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NArwG6yaWJ8&t=0s

    submitted by /u/yuckyucky
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