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    Saturday, January 29, 2022

    Stocks - WeBull GFV not appearing in Risk Level

    Stocks - WeBull GFV not appearing in Risk Level


    WeBull GFV not appearing in Risk Level

    Posted: 29 Jan 2022 04:18 AM PST

    So on my new small account on WeBull I have bought and sold a stock the same day many times before this week using a cash account. I received an alert that I got my first GFV yesterday but when I go to check in risk level to see my GFV chart, it says I have not received a GFV in the past 12 months. I don't use WeBull that much so I don't know how cash accounts work, but why doesn't it show in Risk Level ? All help will be appreciated.

    submitted by /u/Fit_Conversation3857
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    How do you make your stock buying decisions?

    Posted: 29 Jan 2022 03:42 AM PST

    I'm writing a little term paper right now and haven't found anything on the internet about it, so I thought I'd ask here on Reddit.

    What criteria / methods do you use to buy:

    • Analysis / research (annual reports, fundamental data, other key figures, quantitative, technical etc).
    • Research something on the Internet
    • Recommendations from friends / acquaintances
    • Buying stocks from Youtube videos / magazines
    • Other (please specify)
    submitted by /u/MoneyIQcapital
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    How would we value The Lego Group if it was a publicly traded company?

    Posted: 29 Jan 2022 12:58 AM PST

    Lego is an abbreviation of the two Danish words "LEg GOdt", meaning "play well" and has been going for 80 years. The privately-held company is owned by Kjeld Kirk Kristiansen, who is the third richest man in Denmark and the grandson of the company's founder.

    http://thebrickblogger.com/2021/10/lego-financial-report-first-half-of-2021/

    • $3.45bn 2021 first 6 months revenue
    • $1.2bn 2021 first 6 months operating proof
    • +36% 2021 first 6 months increase in customers
    • Gave $235m to charity

    Is it any wonder they don't go public? But if they did, what would their market cap be?

    submitted by /u/deepdivestocks
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    Which stocks to add to my World ETF Portfolio

    Posted: 29 Jan 2022 03:57 AM PST

    Hey,
    I am a 21 year old student from europe who started investing few years ago.
    Currently I have a ~12k ETF World Portfolio but recently received around 28k from my parents which I want to put into the stock market.

    I want to ask if you would recommend me to add some single stocks to my portfolio, so that I might have 30k in ETFs and 10k in few individual stocks?

    Few stocks I'm interested in would be Tencent, BABA, DK, MC, V, PP, SOFI and V, since some of them have declined much since their "hype" and might have the potenial to be profitable in some years.

    I won't need the money for probably 40+ years and also have quite a high risk tolerance, since I'm studying with the outlook to quite a good paying job in ~5 years.

    If you need any other information that would be relevant for advice, feel free to ask.

    submitted by /u/datw4y
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    An actual Tesla valuation

    Posted: 29 Jan 2022 03:54 AM PST

    Hi everyone,

    The post about Tesla from yesterday convinced me to give it a go and find out whether the current price is somewhat justifiable or not (I've actually already valued the stock more than a year ago but this time I'll be trying to better put myself in the Tesla stock buyer's shoes).

    The reasoning below is obviously not meant as financial advice, its only purpose is to lay the groundwork for a fruitful exchange of views. If you don't agree with something, please feel free to bring your criticism to the table and express your thoughts!

    How many cars will be sold globally in 2030?

    If we grow the 2021 figure representing the global car sales by its historic CAGR (about 2%), the forecasted amount of cars sold globally in 2030 would be 69,315,369.

    Now, as far as BEV is concerned, the most optimistic CAGR estimate I was able to find online is 30%. If we grow the current BEV sales figure by 30%, we get to a whopping 42,417,997 of pure electric vehicles sold in 2030. 61% of drivers all around the world will be cruising around in a BEV (and if we were also including HEVs and PHEVs in the calculation that percentage would be even higher).

    Based on the above forecasts, how much will Tesla be worth in 2030?

    Tesla market share is not really growing as of now but let's assume the company will eventually manage to get to a 25% total market share (also meaning a 40% EV market share) in 2030. According to these premises, Tesla would sell 17,328,842 vehicles in 2030, a CAGR of about 34% based on the current 2021 figure.

    We now have a growth rate and all necessary data to use for our valuation of Tesla. In order to start with the valuation though, there are 2 more assumptions to make: Tesla will be able to maintain a profit margin of about 10% and keep selling cars for a MSRP of $40k.

    The actual Tesla valuation

    • Earnings for year #1: $3,468 billions;
    • Growth rate from year #1 to year #10: 34%,
    • Terminal Multiple (in this case, the PE ratio at the end of year #10): 50;
    • Discount rate (in other words, the expected annualized ROI): 12.5%.

    Conclusions

    If we were to invest at the current price and with no margin of safety at all, the annualized ROI would be 12.5%. Besides the fact that 12.5% is rather low for someone picking individual stocks and trying to beat the market, that figure is the result of the most, optimistic, projections.

    Below is the list of the main assumptions we made that must be met in order to get an annualize ROI of 12.5%:

    1. BEV market will grow by a CAGR of 30% over the next decade;
    2. More than 61% of all cars sold globally in 2030 will be BEV, HEV or PHEV;
    3. Tesla total market share will grow to 25% (this also implies that all other car manufacturers will eventually lose a significant chunk of their share and never recover);
    4. Tesla will grow at a CAGR of 34% over the whole next decade;
    5. Tesla will maintain a profit margin of about 10% over the whole next decade;
    6. Tesla will continue to sell cars for a MSRP of $40k;
    7. At the end of 2030, Tesla will still sell at a PE ratio of 50.

    All this does not mean that Tesla won't be able to deliver as expected, it means that the downside, shouldn't it be able to do so, is huge.

    submitted by /u/LeBourruBienfaisant
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