Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Jan 07, 2022 |
- r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Jan 07, 2022
- Hedge funds are selling tech shares at their fastest pace in a decade
- Why did everyone forget 2016-2018? Growth 10x'd the market during rate hikes.
- Does anyone else also feels Cramer is major contributor in pump and dump ?
- Does anyone else feel stuck in purgatory of not wanting to buy stock or buy puts?
- Hiring falters in December as payrolls rise only 199,000, though the unemployment fell to 3.9%
- Be prepared for a bigger drop: CPI data release is next week
- Here is a Market Recap for today Friday, January 7, 2022
- Roblox (RBLX) Stock Plunges 7% on China App Removal, Seen as 'Incremental Unforeseen Headwind'
- Recent tech dip buying opportunities?
- Potential big tech stocks shopping list for long term investors
- At this time last year, the weed and gambling stocks were the "hot ticket" on reddit and most growth investment sites
- Microsoft? Thoughts.
- ROKU CEO sold over half his shares...
- I'm bearish on every single streaming platform this year
- Can someone school me in interest rates from a USA economic perspective? How are assets affected over time?
- At this moment, how would you rank order the FAANG stocks?
- NIO vs LUCID valuation
- Roku Key Vice President, Scott Rosenberg, To Exit Streaming Company; Stock Plummets
- What’s your favorite stock that has been unexpectedly crushing it?
- Thoughts on square?
- Finding stock certificates
- has anyone on this sub used Palantir's software?
- What considerations do you make when deciding to buy back a covered call or keep it longer?
- How do you know who to trust for news or financial reports?
| r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Jan 07, 2022 Posted: 07 Jan 2022 02:30 AM PST This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on fundamentals, but if fundamentals aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against fundamentals here and not in the current post. Some helpful day to day links, including news:
Most fundamentals are updated every 3 months due to the fact that corporations release earnings reports every quarter, so traders are always speculating at what those earnings will say, and investors may change the size of their holdings based on those reports. Expect a lot of volatility around earnings, but it usually doesn't matter if you're holding long term, but keep in mind the importance of earnings reports because a trend of declining earnings or a decline in some other fundamental will drive the stock down over the long term as well. See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki: If you have a basic question, for example "what is EBITDA," then google "investopedia EBITDA" and click the Investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned. Useful links:
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday. [link] [comments] |
| Hedge funds are selling tech shares at their fastest pace in a decade Posted: 07 Jan 2022 07:55 AM PST Surging bond yields have triggered hedge funds to sell growth-focused technology shares at a speed not seen in the past decade. The hedge fund community dumped tech stocks in the four sessions between Dec. 30 and Tuesday as interest rates spiked. The four-session tech unloading marked the biggest sale in dollar terms in more than 10 years, reaching a record since Goldman Sachs' prime brokerage started tracking the data. Tech stocks are seen as sensitive to rising yields because increased debt costs can hinder their growth and can make their future cash flows appear less valuable. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has sold off more than 3% this week, underperforming the S&P 500, which dipped 1% during the same period. The rate spike in the new year resumed Thursday, with investors assessing the Federal Reserve's faster-than-expected policy tightening. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note hit a high of 1.75% during the session, rising for a fourth straight day. The benchmark rate ended 2021 at 1.51%. Yields jumped after the Fed issued on Wednesday minutes from its last meeting, which showed the central bank could become even more aggressive than expected about raising interest rates and tightening policy. Goldman noted that hedge funds' selling of tech stocks is driven almost entirely by long sales, in contrast to mainly short sales seen in the last two months of 2021. The selling was driven by software and semiconductor stocks, the Wall Street firm said. [link] [comments] |
| Why did everyone forget 2016-2018? Growth 10x'd the market during rate hikes. Posted: 07 Jan 2022 01:13 PM PST Growth stocks tanked during the FEAR of rate hikes (similar to this whole year,) then skyrocketed during the actual hikes. Why do so many people believe gradual .25% increases will tank valuations? That historically has not been true. The fear and fud of a hawkish fed is what tanked these stocks, and we're living that now. https://www.yahoo.com/now/truth-growth-stocks-rate-hikes-125535857.html Keep your heads on straight and don't lose faith in your long term investment thesis. [link] [comments] |
| Does anyone else also feels Cramer is major contributor in pump and dump ? Posted: 07 Jan 2022 11:13 AM PST Markets now back to August levels. I've been seeing Cramer is forcibly pumping all old dying companies like IBM, Ford, GM, etc who have massive amount of debts. How are these shows even allowed ? Just because these are our US companies and operating from 40 yrs doesn't make them value stocks. P&G changes size of toothpaste every year thats the only new invention they have. Not very happy with the irrational sentiment and kind of MM being done. People follow the news but they forget the main characters sometimes. [link] [comments] |
| Does anyone else feel stuck in purgatory of not wanting to buy stock or buy puts? Posted: 07 Jan 2022 06:33 PM PST There are looming concerns about rate hikes, inflation, businesses shuttered during the pandemic, national debt, personal debt, etc. that make me leery of buying just about anything except for a few rare bargains and oil. 95% of the market seems inflated and due for correction or worse. However, it also doesn't seem like a good time to buy puts because there is a possibility that the rate hikes and inflation have already been "priced in". The sell off in growth and tech stocks could be seen as a correction that is due to bounce back. Also, I sincerely believe we have seen the worst of the pandemic and Covid will become a mild seasonal flu for those who have been vaccinated or have natural immunity. This happening as soon as this summer, which would cause a surge in the economy. There's also a chance the Biden stimulus bill will get modified and passed by Congress - even a watered down version would provide a boost. I don't have a lot of money compared to some screenshots of account holdings I've seen on this and other subs, but I feel like I just need to sit on the sidelines until the market and economy figures out where the hell it's going. Anyone else feel the same way and becoming a spectator? Since pulling out my money about 2 months ago I don't know what the hell to do. [link] [comments] |
| Hiring falters in December as payrolls rise only 199,000, though the unemployment fell to 3.9% Posted: 07 Jan 2022 05:43 AM PST https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/07/hiring-falters-in-december-as-payrolls-rise-only-199000.html The U.S. economy added far fewer jobs than expected in December just as the nation was grappling with a massive surge in Covid cases, the Labor Department said Friday. Nonfarm payrolls grew by 199,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 3.9%, according to Bureau of Labor Statistics data. That compared to the Dow Jones estimate of 422,000 for the payrolls number and 4.1% for the unemployment rate. Job creation was highest in leisure and hospitality, a key recovery sector, which added 53,000. Professional and business services contributed 43,000 while manufacturing added 43,000. The numbers come at a crossroads for the U.S. economy as more than half a million Covid cases per day, many related to the omicron variant, threaten to stall an economic recovery that looks to accelerate in 2022. While growth decelerated through the summer, economists expect that GDP rose sharply at the end of the year, with the Atlanta Fed tracking 6.7% growth. Federal Reserve officials have been watching the data closely. Inflation is running at its strongest pace in nearly 40 years, while some policymakers see the jobs market near full employment. Consequently, the central bank has indicated it will begin slowing the help it has been providing the economy since the pandemic began. Friday's report covered the week including Dec. 12, which came before the worst of an omicron spike that began heading into Christmas. [link] [comments] |
| Be prepared for a bigger drop: CPI data release is next week Posted: 07 Jan 2022 03:50 PM PST The coming week will include a very hot inflation report, the banks kicking off earnings season, US-Russia talks, and a bunch of Fed speak. Inflation is not letting up and will continue to make the Fed uneasy. On Wednesday, the headline year-over-year inflation reading is expected to rise from 6.8% to 7.1%, which is nearly a four-decade high. The last trading day of the week is filled with economic releases that should show a deceleration with retail sales, import price index, industrial production, and consumer sentiment. [link] [comments] |
| Here is a Market Recap for today Friday, January 7, 2022 Posted: 07 Jan 2022 02:57 PM PST PsychoMarket Recap - Friday, January 7, 2022 Stocks closed the first week of 2022 in the red, the worst start to a year since 2016, as market participants continue to digest the December labor market and the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes, which signaled participants favor an interest rate hike "relatively soon". The Nasdaq (QQQ) suffered its worst week since February 2021. Notable Numbers
The Labor Department's December jobs report released this morning showed the US added a disappointing 199,000 in December, coming in way below expectations and an unexpected slowdown compared to the previous month. Other metrics, however, were more upbeat, as the unemployment rate improved to a fresh pandemic-era low of 3.9%, and the labor force participation rate steadied after an upward revision in November. Still, many economists cautioned that a more recent hit to the labor market from the surge in Omicron cases may not yet have been. captured in the December report. By industry, some of the services-related sectors hardest-hit initially by the pandemic saw muted hiring at the end of December. Leisure and hospitality jobs rose by 53,000 in the last month of the year, rising compared to November's gain of 41,000, but coming in well below the 211,000 seen in October. Other industries saw a deceleration in hiring in December. Transportation and warehousing jobs rose by just under 19,000 during the month after a rise of more than 42,000 in November, while professional and business services positions rose by 43,000 after a gain of 72,000 during the prior month. Education and health services employment gains totaled 10,000, slowing from 14,000 in the prior period. Meanwhile, retail trade employers shed jobs for a back-to-back month. Here are the numbers:
Marty Walsh, US Secretary of Labor, said "It's a solid report. Obviously, it didn't hit what the experts had said ... but when you look at 2021 as a combined total, as the president has been sworn into office, passed the American Rescue Plan, 6.4 million jobs have been added, which is a record. There's no question that we still have people out of work, we have people that have left the workforce. We're working on also inflation," he added. "So we do have some work to move forward." Coming into the December job report, stocks were already under pressure as market participants digested recent comments from the Federal Reserve, suggesting an interest rate hike could come "soon". With policymakers closely watching for signs that the economy has reached maximum employment, the jobs report could provide additional fodder for the Fed to double down on its more hawkish tilt. In the latest meeting minutes, participants suggested they were inclined to further speed up the pace of tapering and accelerate the timeline to raise interest rates. Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queen's College at Cambridge University and Allianz Chief Economic Advisor said, "The way I view it is very simple: The Fed delivered a wonderful year for markets in 2021, at the cost of a much more complicated outlook in 2022. And that complicated outlook is for policy, is for the economy, and therefore is a more uncertain outlook for markets. This is still a very robust economy. If we avoid a policy mistake — big if. But if we avoid a policy mistake, this economy has all the ingredients to continue growing and grow in a more inclusive manner. But we do need help on labor force participation and productivity. We do need help on the supply side." Highlights
"You have brains in your head. You have feet in your shoes. You can steer yourself any direction you choose." -Dr. Seuss [link] [comments] |
| Roblox (RBLX) Stock Plunges 7% on China App Removal, Seen as 'Incremental Unforeseen Headwind' Posted: 07 Jan 2022 08:13 AM PST Shares of Roblox (NYSE: RBLX) are down over 6% today after Reuters reported that the video gaming company has removed its Chinese app from app stores. Roblox said the decision was made as a part of "a number of important transitory actions" as the company works to update its app, launched 5 months ago. The app, called "LuoBuLesi", was taken down and unavailable for downloading and thanking users for using the test version when they log on. Analyst comments: "It's unclear if this is related to the regulatory gaming environment in China or not, but we do see this as an incremental unforeseen headwind to user metrics in the near term. The long-term potential of China remains vast, but this would suggest a slow, iterative process is what investors should expect." [link] [comments] |
| Recent tech dip buying opportunities? Posted: 07 Jan 2022 05:05 PM PST I'm thinking this dip is a solid buying opportunity, and I'm really liking the levels google has dipped to. Any other solid companies that have dipped to reasonable valuations? Or any other stock that y'all see is a must buy? [link] [comments] |
| Potential big tech stocks shopping list for long term investors Posted: 07 Jan 2022 08:23 AM PST The nasdaq is down about 5% ytd and there are many good quality big tech stocks that could be adding to investors long term portfolio. Stocks such as amzn, aapl, adbe, msft, googl, nvda, fb, and intu are some good example. Costco and home depot are quality stocks too. Investors should be keep holding and avoid panic selling, long term investors will be the eventually winners. [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Jan 2022 12:33 AM PST Since a year ago to this day PENN is down 47%, CGC is down 73%, and DKNG is down 48%. And this was after a year when supposedly growth stocks had a fantastic year Just something to take note of when we are talking about the new "hot sectors" in play for this year. I personally am more focused on sectors and themes that have proven reliable in the past, not just the new "hot thing". The furthest extent I will go in that field are semiconductors with a bit of a hedge bc of their metaverse exposure, but in no way do I plan to get into full metaverse plays this early like MTTR... [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Jan 2022 01:20 PM PST Stock is down 6.20% YTD not a large amount but I just love the company and wondering if this is a good place to start buying. It had a huge run in 2021 but earnings are in a few weeks and I feel like inflation will not really effect this company. It's going down with the rest of tech. Thoughts on a buying opportunity here? [link] [comments] |
| ROKU CEO sold over half his shares... Posted: 07 Jan 2022 02:27 PM PST Here's the text of the newswire - thoughts? This large of a sale, right now, seemed a little surprising to me given that Roku has already shed over 50% since its peak. Insider Sell: RokuMT NEWSWIRES - 01/06/2022 02:47 PM EST, 01/06/2022 (MT Newswires) -- Anthony J. Wood, 10% Owner, Director, CEO and Chairman Board Of Directors, on January 03, 2022, sold 80,000 shares in Roku (ROKU) for $18,627,896. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Wood has control over a total of 61,000 shares of the company, with 61,000 controlled indirectly. The market value of the direct and indirect holding, based on the transaction price, is approximately $14,485,835. [link] [comments] |
| I'm bearish on every single streaming platform this year Posted: 07 Jan 2022 12:37 AM PST Netflix, Viacom, Comcast, Disney, AT&T (HBO Max). These stocks were boosted because of the pandemic, and regardless of how many new shiny objects they can have now, the market is too saturated with absolutely everything for me to feel comfortable investing in them. The priced in expectations for new growth in subscribers is absolutely ridiculously impossible to clear without another major pandemic locking everyone at home. It simply is not possible for a lot of these streamers to hit the numbers that are expected of them. We've seen stocks like Peloton and Zoom fall massively as the reopening trade has begun again, I think it'd be a mistake to buy any of these unless you are looking to trade them in a potential 3 month window swing, not as a long term investment. [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Jan 2022 04:37 PM PST Feel free to answer any part of this rant that you understand better than I do.I don't understand business "interest rates". I understand what interest is in general, but from a USA economy perspective across industries I'm a little fuzzy on the details. I know this: rate increases... Bad for stocks.. But why?! How do they get rolled out (daily, monthly)? Who rolls them out? Who controls and determines mortgage rates, car loan interest rates, business loan rates all handled by the fed? Basically who calculates and controls these rates? The whole idea of where interest rates come from, when and why... Who benefits from them? Who gets hurt? How are stocks, real estate, consumer products, and other assets affected? Lastly, what are the yield bonds? 5 yr 10 yr? Do these relate to interest rates at all? [link] [comments] |
| At this moment, how would you rank order the FAANG stocks? Posted: 07 Jan 2022 05:07 PM PST I think everyone would agree that Netflix is last and shouldn't even be in the group. If I replaced it with the more deserving Nvidia, I'd put that above Facebook. The rest are more debatable. I put Google at the top and the best buying opportunity right now-though it could drop more. Microsoft second and Apple a close third. What are your opinions for rank ordering and whether anything is worth a buy right now? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Jan 2022 03:40 PM PST Lucid Market cap: $69 billion Typically these companies are burning $1 billion annually and with the amount of cash on hand for LUCID that leaves them 3 years before needing to raise more capital. NIO has a much more solid balance sheet and even positive free cash flows and it leaves about double the time. LUCID had $700 million in revenue in 2021 vs NIO doing $1.5 billion Just skimmed the facts here but how in the hell is LUCID valued 33% more than NIO? And how is it even valued at $69 billion. I understand the factories they are building and the potential for a ramp up, but burning through $1 billion in cash every year with little sales/cars delivered is insane. I know their projections are selling 20,000 in 2022 and 50,000 in 2023 but their chances look slim. Although the same was said for TESLA and look where they are now! NIO on the other hand has a very strong balance sheet and has a much greater likelihood of "surviving." Are most people afraid to touch NIO mainly because it is a chinease firm? I do also understand their manufacturer is state owned. But I just don't see this valuation for LUCID. If anyone has comments or sees anything off about my statement please feel free to comment! Would love to see others opinions. I rlly like the look of LUCID cars though absolute beauty [link] [comments] |
| Roku Key Vice President, Scott Rosenberg, To Exit Streaming Company; Stock Plummets Posted: 07 Jan 2022 08:50 AM PST Major streaming provider Roku has announced that one of its top execs, platform chief Scott Rosenberg, plans to depart the company in the spring after a nearly 10-year run. In an announcement, company founder and CEO Anthony Wood said Rosenberg is "ready for his next professional challenge." [link] [comments] |
| What’s your favorite stock that has been unexpectedly crushing it? Posted: 07 Jan 2022 06:50 AM PST I have been watching my investors bank position keep hitting new ATHs. I bought in 2020 around $8.50 and it's not topped $17. I like financials a lot and this was my smaller, regional play. But it has crushed all my expectations. Anyone else have some picks they didn't expect to soar but that have been doing very well? [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Jan 2022 09:29 PM PST I currently have a large portion of my portfolio dedicated to square that I bought in early 2019. There's been a huge sell off recently of close to 50% of its ath. I'm still up on my investment, but I feel like SQ is such a steal at its current price. I have more money to dump in, but just wondering others thoughts on the potentially recovery on SQ and if it's a solid buy rn [link] [comments] |
| Posted: 07 Jan 2022 05:41 PM PST My father passed away in Dec 2020, and he had stocks from two companies he inherited from his mother. He unfortunately never added my moms names on the stock. Now we are attempting to do a stock transfer into her name. Additionally, he wasn't the most organized. So we need stock certificate numbers in order to do the transfer. The company can provide them, but there is a 2-3% fee for it, which would likely be fairly sizable. My uncle had the other half of the stocks from my grandparents passing. Is there any chance the certificate numbers would be before or after his? Is there any way to obtain these short of paying the fee? Appreciate all the advice. Thanks! [link] [comments] |
| has anyone on this sub used Palantir's software? Posted: 07 Jan 2022 06:55 PM PST I'm in the middle of doing my DD on Palantir, and one thought I can't shake is how I CAN'T use their product myself. When I was looking into TSLA I scheduled a test drive and asked local Tesla owners their experiences. I know the product is for large corporations and governments, so most people won't use their software. It's just apart of my DD process to use the product or verify it's real world use case through online testimonials. Is there anyone on this sub that can give me that testimonial? Good or bad idc I'm just looking some experiences. [link] [comments] |
| What considerations do you make when deciding to buy back a covered call or keep it longer? Posted: 07 Jan 2022 08:53 PM PST I've been looking into selling covered calls lately and began with a relatively low cost stock, which also means not an enormous options volume (but still enough to play around with). I sold a 6-month covered call at a $110 premium (about 20% of the entire 100 stock's value), and figured I'd ride out the 6 months, or at least most of it to hopefully keep majority of the premium. However, after just a few days, I have the potential to buy it back to keep about $25 of that premium. I'm wondering if it's worth it to cash out and roll the dice on another one, or keep it a while longer to cash out on more. I'm trying to think about this in terms of how much profit I'm seeing vs. the amount of time spent. 5% profit on the entire initial cost of the stock seems pretty good for just a few days, and riding it out for potentially 6 months means up to 20% return on the total investment. Is this a good way of thinking about options? What goes through your mind to make the decision whether to ride it out longer or just cash out? [link] [comments] |
| How do you know who to trust for news or financial reports? Posted: 07 Jan 2022 05:39 PM PST I'm not sure who to trust anymore. Every news site has an agenda and I'm not sure what is real and what isn't. Even if a company/SEC/etc posts financials/updates. They can delay them or backtrack if they are incorrect and just take a "small" fine instead. So how do you know who to trust as a retail investor? Is there an easy way to know the agenda of news companies or other investment firms? Do you have any recommended resources or processes when looking into a company? [link] [comments] |
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