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    Wednesday, January 19, 2022

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Jan 19, 2022

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Jan 19, 2022


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Jan 19, 2022

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 02:30 AM PST

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    My 8 investing guidelines

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 05:56 AM PST

    I've been investing, trading, gambling for about 5 years now and I've done pretty much every rookie mistake there is. Sold winners from 2016 (Shop,Nvidia,AMD,Paypal) Lost fortunes on chasing that pennystock. Played and lost with trying to time the market, option trading.

    I've been very active during these years reading and learning and you be surprised how often people get sucked in to the same stuff you self did once.

    These are 8 guidelines that really helps me and that I've learn to appreciate over the years.

    1.Don't FOMO

    Yes we all heard it. You know that feeling when people are posting crazy gains on these new stocks, we all saw the EV hype. It's so so easy to get sucked in to thinking, if I just put in some money right now I can get 10-20-50% gains in a few days! It's already up 200% this month, surely it will keep going!?

    This takes some real patience to keep your head cool and realize it could very well be overbought and the downside risk is just a lot higher than potential.

    I've seen several sector hypes. We all remember the crypto bubble, the weed bubble and now lately the EV bubble. They all come and go and the more of these you been in from the start the easier it is to realize what's going on.

    2. Cut your losers and let your winners run

    Buying the dip is great when the market is down but if the fundamentals of the business is bad then usually this will just result in greater loss. On the flipside, if you have a few great picks and nothing fundamentally has changed and it keeps moving in the right direction then don't be afarid to keep adding.

    3. When the overall market is down, you buy

    No one can predict the market, don't waste time on it. When the overall market is down your stock is literally on sale. Usually every sector is down when the market is down, your stock and business has not changed one bit however, it's just a lower price now.

    4. Don't be afraid of corrections.

    Yeah it sucks seeing your portfolio down 20-30-40% but realize that stocks always go up, they seriously always do. Just keep your head down, keep buying and play that long game.

    5. Small amounts can turn into big profits down the line

    When you get really into investing you seriously start rethinking your life. That new OLED 77 inch? Only 2k right? What do you think that 2000 could be in 10 years? You just want to put every damn penny you got in the stock market because compounding interests are just too good to pass up. So just rethink if really need that new thing now or if it could wait.

    6. If the company keeps growing, why sell?

    Taking profit is good however not always the best thing to do. If the stock you have keeps growing and keeps crushing earnings. Why should you sell? Why just not keep it for years, it sure can be tempting but are you sure that money could be spent better elsewhere when it's easily growing in your winning stock.

    7, Never regret that you didn't buy more

    We all been here. Why the hell didn't I buy more of Amazon? Why didn't I just put my whole paycheck in this stock!?

    You can never do this. It won't lead to anything, you can't fix it and you honestly did the best decisions at the time with the information you had. Realize that at the time this was the best decision, ofcourse hindsight it looks like you could have done a better decision.

    8. Don't sell and buy in again to time a correction

    This is very hard and with the momentum some growth stocks have these days you might just end up loosing more of that profit even if there is a slight correction. Just keep the money in and stop worrying.

    submitted by /u/similiarintrests
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    ARKK a buy now?

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 05:17 AM PST

    I know people been shitting on Cathie for the last year, which is understandable. I'm looking at the top holdings of the ARKK portfolio and other than Tesla, most of the stocks are pretty solid "growth" companies at 52 week lows, with most of them pre-pandemic levels. This is starting to look like a buy for me.

    Wonder what everyone else's thoughts are? ARKK starting to become a good growth play at these levels?

    Edit: I just want to clarify that I am not saying buy ARKK, but want to have a productive discussion on what reasonable levels could look like. Maybe some of you people just automatically downvote any ARKK related post out of pure disdain towards Cathie lmao..

    submitted by /u/FlaccidButLongBanana
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    SoFi Receives Regulatory Approval to Become a National Bank [SoFi Press Release]

    Posted: 18 Jan 2022 03:18 PM PST

    Release

    SAN FRANCISCO, CALIF. – January 18, 2022 – SoFi Technologies, Inc. ("SoFi"), the digital personal finance company, today announced that the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) and the Federal Reserve have approved its applications to become a Bank Holding Company through its proposed acquisition of Golden Pacific Bancorp, Inc., and operate its bank subsidiary as SoFi Bank, National Association. SoFi expects the acquisition to close in February, subject to completion or waiver of the remaining customary closing conditions.

    "This incredible milestone elevates our ability to help even more people get their money right and realize their ambitions," said Anthony Noto, CEO of SoFi. "With a national bank charter, not only will we be able to lend at even more competitive interest rates and provide our members with high-yielding interest in checking and savings, it will also enhance our financial products and services to ensure they efficiently meet the needs of our members, business partners, and communities across the country, while continuing to uphold a high bar of regulatory standards and compliance. This important step allows us to add to our broad suite of financial products and services to better be there for our members during the major financial moments in their lives and all of the moments in between. I'm incredibly proud of our team and excited about the opportunities ahead to help even more people achieve financial independence."

    Last year, in a key strategic step in SoFi's path to obtaining a national bank charter, the company announced a definitive agreement by its subsidiary Social Finance, Inc. to acquire Golden Pacific Bancorp, Inc. (OTCPK: GPBI) and its wholly owned subsidiary Golden Pacific Bank, N.A. (together, "GPB"). SoFi plans to contribute $750 million in capital and pursue its national, digital business plan while maintaining GPB's community bank business and footprint, including GPB's current three physical branches. At the time of the announcement, SoFi submitted a revised business plan for GPB to the OCC and an application to become a bank holding company and for a change of control to the Federal Reserve for approval. After completing the acquisition of GPB, SoFi Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: SoFi) will become the parent company of SoFi Bank, National Association.

    submitted by /u/kb144-trading
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    Activision shares soar 37% on report Microsoft will buy the video game giant

    Posted: 18 Jan 2022 05:27 AM PST

    Shares of Activision soared about 37% in pre-market trading Tuesday following a Wall Street Journal report that Microsoft would buy the video game giant.

    More to come here:

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/18/microsoft-to-buy-activision.html

    Apparently Bobby K to stay on board. Overall $68.7B purchase price for the company.

    submitted by /u/rockinoutwith2
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    Mr Market is there to serve you, not to guide you

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 05:43 AM PST

    As I watch my growth stocks plummet, while the wider market barely registers a blip - I'm reminded of the timeless parable of Mr Market.

    First described by Benjamin Graham in 1949, then resurrected by Warren Buffett in a letter to shareholders in 1987 - the parable is as relevant today as it was then:

    Ben Graham, my friend and teacher, long ago described the mental attitude toward market fluctuations that I believe to be most conducive to investment success. He said that you should imagine market quotations as coming from a remarkably accommodating fellow named Mr. Market who is your partner in a private business. Without fail, Mr. Market appears daily and names a price at which he will either buy your interest or sell you his.Even though the business that the two of you own may have economic characteristics that are stable, Mr. Market's quotations will be anything but.

    For, sad to say, the poor fellow has incurable emotional problems. At times he feels euphoric and can see only the favorable factors affecting the business. When in that mood, he names a very high buy-sell price because he fears that you will snap up his interest and rob him of imminent gains. At other times he is depressed and can see nothing but trouble ahead for both the business and the world. On these occasions he will name a very low price, since he is terrified that you will unload your interest on him.

    Mr. Market has another endearing characteristic: He doesn't mind being ignored. If his quotation is uninteresting to you today, he will be back with a new one tomorrow. Transactions are strictly at your option. Under these conditions, the more manic-depressive his behavior, the better for you.

    But, like Cinderella at the ball, you must heed one warning or everything will turn into pumpkins and mice: Mr. Market is there to serve you, not to guide you. It is his pocketbook, not his wisdom, that you will find useful. If he shows up some day in a particularly foolish mood, you are free to either ignore him or to take advantage of him, but it will be disastrous if you fall under his influence. Indeed, if you aren't certain that you understand and can value your business far better than Mr. Market, you don't belong in the game. As they say in poker, "If you've been in the game 30 minutes and you don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy."

    Ben's Mr. Market allegory may seem out-of-date in today's investment world, in which most professionals and academicians talk of efficient markets, dynamic hedging and betas. Their interest in such matters is understandable, since techniques shrouded in mystery clearly have value to the purveyor of investment advice. After all, what witch doctor has ever achieved fame and fortune by simply advising "Take two aspirins"?

    The value of market esoterica to the consumer of investment advice is a different story. In my opinion, investment success will not be produced by arcane formulae, computer programs or signals flashed by the price behavior of stocks and markets. Rather an investor will succeed by coupling good business judgment with an ability to insulate his thoughts and behavior from the super-contagious emotions that swirl about the marketplace. In my own efforts to stay insulated, I have found it highly useful to keep Ben's Mr. Market concept firmly in mind.

    Following Ben's teachings, Charlie and I let our marketable equities tell us by their operating results - not by their daily, or even yearly, price quotations - whether our investments are successful. The market may ignore business success for a while, but eventually will confirm it. As Ben said: "In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run it is a weighing machine." The speed at which a business's success is recognized, furthermore, is not that important as long as the company's intrinsic value is increasing at a satisfactory rate. In fact, delayed recognition can be an advantage: It may give us the chance to buy more of a good thing at a bargain price.

    Mr Market is there to serve you, not to guide you

    submitted by /u/MoonshotStonksApe
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    If Microsoft is buying activision at 95 dollars a share, how come the share price has risen to "only" 80 dollars?

    Posted: 18 Jan 2022 10:45 AM PST

    Big news today as microsoft is set to aquire another video game giant in Activision at 95 dollars a share. Activision share price has soared from the news but as I am writing it, "only" about 25% to 80 dollars. Why not closer to 95 dollars? What would prevent this deal from going through?

    submitted by /u/AronwithoneA
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    Ford expects $8.2 billion Q4 gain from Rivian investment. Earnings date 2/3/2022

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 09:04 AM PST

    https://www.marketwatch.com/amp/story/ford-books-8-2-billion-fourth-quarter-profit-on-rivian-investment-11642541196

    Ford Motor Co. on Tuesday said it expects to book an $8.2 billion gain from its investment in electric vehicle maker Rivian for the fourth quarter of 2021 when it reports earnings Feb. 3.

    submitted by /u/sk8ing_everywhere
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    Greatest investors in history and their strategies

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 03:19 AM PST

    Name Returns Time Horizon Most Famous For
    Jim Simons (Co-Founder Renaissance Technologies) 71.8% CAGR 1994 to 2014 (best investing record ever recorded) Pure Quant Based Investing
    Joel Greenblatt 40% CAGR 21 years at Gotham Capital "Above-Average Quality Companies At Below-Average Prices"
    George Soros 32% CAGR 31 years Valuation mean reversion, "Reflexivity" = Opportunities can be found by carefully studying the value and the market prices of assets
    Peter Lynch 29.2% CAGR at Fidelity's Magellan Fund 1977 to 1990 (13 years) "Growth At A Reasonable Price"
    Bill Miller (Legg Mason Value Trust 1990 to 2006) 22.8% CAGR and beat the S&P 500 for 15 consecutive years 16 years
    Warren Buffett 20.8% CAGR at Berkshire 55 Years Greedy when others are fearful
    Benjamin Graham 20% CAGR vs 12% S&P 500 1934 to 1956 (22 years) Margin of Safety
    Edward Thorp 20+% CAGR over 30 years invented card counting, pure statistically-based investing
    Charlie Munger 19.80% CAGR 1962 to 1975 Wonderful companies at fair prices
    Howard Marks 19% CAGR Since 1995 Valuation Mean Reversion
    Anne Scheiber 18.3% CAGR 50 years Turned $5K into $22 million with no formal training, purely with tax-efficient buy and hold blue-chip investing.
    John Templeton 300% from 1939 to 1943, 15.8% CAGR from 1954 to 1992 38 years Market Cycles
    Carl Icahn 14.6% CAGR vs 5.6% S&P 500 2001 to 2016 (15 Years)
    David Swenson 13.9% CAGR at Yale's Endowment (includes bonds and alternative assets) vs 10.7% S&P 500 30 years Alternative Asset Allocation
    Larry Puglia 12.1% CAGR vs 10.2% CAGR S&P 500 28 years running TROW's flagship blue-chip fund Pure blue-chip/wide moat focus.
    Geraldine Weiss 11.2% vs 9.8% S&P 500 37 years Best risk-adjusted track record of any newsletter over 30 years according to Hubbert Financial Digest, popularized dividend yield theory (the only strategy she employed)

    ​ Thanks to Brad Thomas for compiling this list on his VFC equity analysis article.

    submitted by /u/GigaChadEnergy
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    Why is Microvast so cheap?!

    Posted: 18 Jan 2022 10:41 PM PST

    As the title states, I can't quite seem to get my head around why Microvast is so cheap. From my understanding, they are a vertically aligned company that produces batteries already and is generating revenue, they have key partnerships including a big one in the bag with USPS about to start (in 2022?) and about $700 million in funds to keep them going nicely.

    So why on Earth is the stock price so freaking low. The market drives me nuts lol what is it that folks are not seeing or are there red flags I don't see?

    Conversely, is it just a matter of patience, if so, could this be a $50 or more stock (reasons please)?

    Would be nice to generate a discussion on where can see MV going in 2022.

    Thanks

    submitted by /u/Stillwerise89
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    Jan 2024 calls portfolio - what would you buy?

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 04:48 AM PST

    Hello,

    I am thinking about setting up a new portfolio that will have calls with expiry date in 2024 - strikes around 25%-75% from the current price. Companies I have in mind atm are:

    - Desktop Metal (DM) - I believe 3D printing is gonna be a thing in following year and DM is current beaten down

    - Rocketlab (RKLB) - this one is literally to the moon or a bust. I think that reward might be generous in that one.

    - FUBO - another beaten down stock, but I like gambling and streaming combination here

    - Uranium Energy (UEC) - quite similar to RKLB - great risk, but huge upside if nuclear plants are going to be a thing again and I think they should.

    - SOFI - I am a bit late with that one as it seems that the approval everyone was waiting for has been granted, so and it seems that SOFI will open today around 15. Still, given the possibilities in 2 years SOFI can easily reach 30.

    I can imagine those are not the best stocks on the market, but I need to take costs into consideration and for those price to potential value in two years just seems good.

    Also, I am fully aware that this a kind of 'show me your bag without telling me that you are going to show me your bag' post, but still I am counting on some other interesting picks.

    submitted by /u/shamroggg
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    Next 1000 Unicorns will be in Green Energy

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 07:53 AM PST

    According to BlackRock CEO Larry Fink's most recent annual letter the next wave of successful start-ups will be those that help make the transition to a carbon-free energy affordable. In the letter he argues that decarbonization of the global economy -- not the metaverse or c***to -- will create the "greatest investment opportunity of our lifetime"

    More than $4 trillion of BlackRock's $10 trillion assets under management has been invested in sustainable technology.

    And it's not all about startups. In some cases, Fink states, large incumbent companies "have an advantage in capital, market knowledge, and technical expertise on the global scale required for the disruption ahead."

    See full CNBC article here

    What green energy investments should we be making?

    Here's an options spread on ChargePoint that nets up to 51.0% (102.6% annualized) and starts to lose only if $CHPT drops by more than 16.8% through 8/19/22.

    Buy 1 $14 call
    Sell 1 $20 call
    Sell 1 $12 put
    8/19/22 exp

    submitted by /u/OliveInvestor
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    Keep updating, what happened last night and this morning?----2022/1/19

    Posted: 18 Jan 2022 11:57 PM PST

    Abstract:

    • US bond yields rose, US stocks fell, and the NASDAQ fell 2.6%;
    • Activision Blizzard rose nearly 26% and was heavily acquired by Microsoft;
    • Q4 earnings fell short of expectations, and Goldman Sachs closed down nearly 7%;
    • International oil prices hit a seven-year high, US oil approached us $86, and Brent crude oil broke us $88 > > >

    International market

    Closing: US bond yields rose, US stocks closed lower, and the NASDAQ fell 2.6%

    U.S. stocks closed lower on Tuesday, with U.S. Treasury yields rising sharply, putting pressure on high-growth technology stocks. As of the close, the Dow Jones index fell 1.51% to 35368.47; The S & P 500 index fell 1.83% to 4577.34; The NASDAQ fell 2.60% to 14506.90.

    All large technology stocks fell, with apple down 1.89%, Amazon down 1.99%, meta down 4.14%, Google down 2.50%, Microsoft down 2.43% and Naifei down 2.83%.

    U.S. vaccine stocks fell sharply, biontech fell 13.66%, Novax pharmaceutical fell more than 11% and Moderan fell nearly 9%.

    Most of the popular Chinese concept stocks closed lower, and the high way rose nearly 10% against the trend

    Most of the popular Chinese concept stocks ended lower, with Alibaba down 2.26%, JD down 0.43%, Weibo down 2.25%, BiliBili down 1.81%, baidu down 1.03%, New Oriental down 6.63%, Netease down 1.57%, Tencent music down 2.96% and iqiyi down 1.44%; Pinduoduo rose 1.85%, Didi rose 2.36%, shell rose 4.9% and gaotu rose nearly 10%

    Us WTI crude oil closed up 1.9% on Tuesday, the highest closing price in eight years

    U.S. crude oil futures prices rose on Tuesday and reached the highest closing price since 2014. West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures for February delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $1.61, or 1.9%, to close at $85.43 a barrel, the highest closing price of WTI contracts in recent months since October 2014.

    US dollar and US bond yields rose, and gold futures closed lower on Tuesday

    Gold prices closed lower on Tuesday, erasing the gains caused by pessimistic economic data and the overall decline of global stock markets in the morning. US Treasury yields rose to their highest level since 2020 and the US dollar strengthened, making gold futures fall for the third consecutive trading day. On Tuesday, the price of gold futures for February delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell $4.10, or 0.2%, to $1812.40 an ounce, rising as high as $1822.40.

    European stocks collectively closed lower, with Germany's DAX30 index down 1.01%

    Germany's DAX30 index fell 1.01%, France's CAC40 index fell 0.94%, Britain's FTSE 100 index fell 0.59%, Spain's ibex35 index fell 0.66%, Italy's FTSE MIB index fell 0.79%, and Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell 1.03%.

    International macro

    The money market expects the fed to raise interest rates by 50 basis points at a time, which will be the largest action since 2020

    Money market prices show that more and more investors expect the Federal Reserve to raise borrowing costs on a large scale for the first time in more than two decades. Although raising interest rates by 25 basis points is still the most likely scenario, the swap market now expects the rate increase to exceed 25 basis points by the end of March. Given that no action is expected at the policy meeting this month, it shows that traders are considering the possibility of raising interest rates by at least 50 basis points in March. Since May 2000, the Fed has never raised interest rates so much in one breath.

    Crude oil soared to its highest level since 2014, and the Biden government said it was continuing to cooperate with oil producing countries

    As oil prices rose to a seven-year high, the White House said the Biden administration was working with oil producing countries to ensure that supply was sufficient to meet demand. The White House plans to continue to monitor energy prices in the context of global economic growth and will hold consultations with OPEC + countries if necessary, Emily Horne, a spokesman for the National Security Council, said in a statement on Tuesday.

    The manufacturing index of New York State unexpectedly fell to negative value in January, the largest decline in nearly two years

    In January, a manufacturing index in New York fell compared with the previous month, and the indicators of orders and shipments fell sharply, indicating that the Omicron mutant caused a decrease in manufacturing activity. Data released on Tuesday showed that the New York Fed bank manufacturing index fell sharply to - 0.7 from 31.9 a month ago. Below zero indicates a contraction in economic activity, and the data is worse than all economists who accepted Bloomberg's expectations.

    Company news

    Microsoft spent a lot of money on the acquisition of Activision Blizzard! Five key reasons for exposure

    Microsoft announced plans to acquire Activision Blizzard, a publisher of game development and interactive entertainment content, for $95 per share in cash, with a total transaction amount of about $68.7 billion. Activision Blizzard closed up 25.88% and rose more than 32% in the session

    In 2021, apple mobile phones accounted for 22% of global smartphone shipments, ranking first

    The latest report released by canalys, a data research institution, shows that thanks to the success of iPhone 13, Apple's mobile phone accounted for 22% of global smartphone shipments in 2021, ranking first in the global smartphone market, followed by Samsung with 20% market share. In addition, Xiaomi ranked third with 12%, oppo ranked fourth with 9%, and vivo ranked top five with 8%.

    Apple: Antitrust bill will increase security risks for iPhone users

    In a letter to lawmakers on Tuesday, apple warned that the antitrust bill under consideration in the Senate would increase the risk of security vulnerabilities for iPhone users, in part because it might force the company to allow applications to be downloaded outside the app store.

    Under the pressure of many parties, American communication giant at & T once again postponed some 5g deployment

    On Tuesday local time, at & T announced that it would postpone the deployment of 5g services around some key U.S. airports. At & T and Verizon originally planned to deploy 5g on Wednesday, but major U.S. airlines urged to postpone the deployment of 5g services on Monday, on the grounds that 5g services may lead to the unavailability of a large number of wide body aircraft, which may leave tens of thousands of Americans stranded overseas and cause chaos to U.S. flights.

    After the exclusive cooperation with hungry Yao expires, Starbucks and meituan carry out takeout distribution cooperation

    Starbucks, a well-known coffee chain giant, announced a partnership with meituan to allow its users to order coffee takeout through meituan platform. In addition to the delivery cooperation, the two sides will also launch a service that allows users to make private reservations in order to taste and learn how to make coffee in Starbucks stores.

    Goldman Sachs' trading revenue fell in the fourth quarter and the epidemic trading heat wave cooled

    Goldman Sachs Group's stock trading revenue fell in the fourth quarter, which further proves that the trading boom caused by the epidemic is cooling down. The bank's total trading revenue fell 7%, while analysts expected a slight increase; Among them, the stock trading income decreased by 11%. Although Goldman's annual revenue and earnings reached record levels, they still need to address investors' concerns about the decline of trading business.

    JD reached a strategic cooperation agreement with Shopify to further develop global e-commerce business

    Jingdong said in a statement on Tuesday that in order to improve its cross-border business, Jingdong has reached a strategic cooperation agreement with Shopify Inc., a Canadian enterprise. This cooperation will enable Chinese businesses to use Shopify's platform and market globally. Retailers on Shopify can also reach Chinese customers through JD and take advantage of JD's supply chain and logistics services.

    submitted by /u/lilyxu185
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    (1/19) Wednesday's Pre-Market Stock Movers & News

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 05:26 AM PST

    Good morning traders and investors of the r/stocks sub! Welcome to Wednesday! Here are your pre-market stock movers & news on this Wednesday, January 19th, 2022-


    Stocks are set to bounce slightly after better-than-expected earnings. Dow futures up 65 points


    U.S. stock futures were slightly higher early Wednesday following a sell-off on Wall Street triggered by surging bond yields.


    Dow futures rose 65 points after being down by more than 200 earlier. S&P 500 were up 0.26% while Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.4%.


    Shares of Sony tumbled in premarket trading, falling 4.7% the day after Microsoft said it is buying video game publisher Activision Blizzard for nearly $69 billion. Sony's PlayStation competes with Microsoft's Xbox consoles. The drop in Sony's stock comes after shares slid 7.2% on Tuesday.


    In early earnings results, Bank of America beat Wall Street estimates as it released pandemic-related loan loss reserves. Shares rebounded 3%, a day after sliding 3.4%.


    Procter & Gamble shares rose slightly after the consumer giant reported fiscal second-quarter earnings and revenue that topped Wall Street's expectations. The company raised its outlook for sales growth.


    Home builders also were broadly lower in early trading following after KeyBanc downgraded the group on concerns over looming interest rate hikes that will drive up borrowing costs.


    U.S. futures broadly moved higher Wednesday even though government bond yields again were slightly higher, with the 2-year note rising to 1.06% and the benchmark 10-year Treasury near 1.89%.


    On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost more than 540 points, dragged down by a 7% drop in Goldman Sachs. The Wall Street bank missed analysts' expectations for earnings as operating expenses surged 23%. Its shares recovered slightly in the premarket, up nearly 0.5% after lopping 170 points from the bluechip index Tuesday.


    The S&P 500 declined 1.8%. The Nasdaq Composite, full of interest rate sensitive technology stocks, was the relative underperformer, dipping 2.6%. The Nasdaq closed at its lowest level in three months as investors feared how quickly the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates.


    Bond yields continued their year-to-date climb on Tuesday with the 10-year Treasury topping 1.87%, its highest level in 2 years. The 10-year yield started the year around 1.5%. Meanwhile, the 2-year rate — which reflect short-term interest rate expectations — topped 1% for the first time in two years.


    The move, which comes after a market holiday in the U.S. Monday, indicates that investors are preparing for the possibility of more aggressive tightening by the Federal Reserve.


    The "2-year yield breaking above 1% is the bond market saying it agrees with the Fed that more aggressive hikes are coming," said Ryan Detrick of LPL Financial. "Add those worries with crude flirting with $85 a barrel and stubbornly high inflation, and we have a perfect cocktail for a risk-off day."


    The S&P 500 ended the day nearly on top of its 100-day moving average. Jim Paulsen, chief investment strategist at the Leuthold Group, said traders will be watching if the index holds this level or breaks lower.


    "With a light economic calendar this week, all eyes will be on key technical support levels, earnings reports and whether bond yields keep surging toward 2% or finally take a breather," said Paulsen.


    Of the 33 S&P 500 companies that have reported quarterly results, nearly 70% have topped Wall Street's expectations, according to FactSet.


    STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

    YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:

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    TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

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    YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

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    TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

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    THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

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    THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

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    THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

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    THIS WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS CALENDAR:

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    THIS MONTH'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

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    THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

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    EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

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    EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

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    YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
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    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #3!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #4!)

    YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

    TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

    (source: cnbc.com)

    Bank of America (BAC) – Bank of America shares rallied 3.2% in the premarket after it beat estimates by 6 cents with a quarterly profit of 82 cents per share. Revenue was slightly below forecasts, but the bank's overall performance was helped by strength in investment banking.

    STOCK SYMBOL: BAC

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    UnitedHealth Group (UNH) – UnitedHealth earned an adjusted $4.48 per share for the fourth quarter, 17 cents above estimates, and the health insurer's revenue also topped forecasts. UnitedHealth saw particular strength from its Optum unit's drug benefits management business.

    STOCK SYMBOL: UNH

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Morgan Stanley (MS) – Morgan Stanley jumped 3.5% in the premarket after beating estimates by 10 cents with a quarterly profit of $2.01 per share, and revenue essentially in line with forecasts. Results got a boost from robust deal advisory fees on a very active quarter for merger and acquisition deals.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Procter & Gamble (PG) – P&G added 1% in the premarket after beating estimates on the top and bottom lines for its fiscal second quarter and raising its organic growth outlook. P&G beat estimates by a penny with a profit of $1.66 per share, as consumers shrugged off price hikes for the company's household staples.

    STOCK SYMBOL: PG

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Sony (SONY) – Sony fell 3.9% in premarket trading on top of a 7.2% skid Tuesday. The drop followed news of Microsoft's (MSFT) deal to buy video game maker Activision Blizzard (ATVI) for $68.7 billion, a transaction that would increase competitive pressure on Sony's PlayStation operation.

    STOCK SYMBOL: SONY

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Alliance Data Systems (ADS) – Alliance Data lost 1.7% in premarket action, following news that warehouse retailer BJ's Wholesale (BJ) is moving its co-branded credit card account to Capital One (COF). Alliance is also being sued by BJ's, which claims the store credit card specialist is slowing down the transfer process. Alliance said it believes it is in full compliance with its contract.

    STOCK SYMBOL: ADS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    SoFi Technologies (SOFI) – SoFi surged 18% in premarket action after the financial technology company won regulatory approval to become a bank holding company.

    STOCK SYMBOL: SOFI

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Zogenix (ZGNX) – Zogenix soared 65.9% in the premarket after agreeing to be acquired by Brussels-based biopharmaceutical company UCB for $26 dollars per share, compared with the $15.64 Tuesday closing price for Zogenix. UCB would also pay an extra $2 per share if the Zogenix drug fintepla – a treatment for a rare type of epilepsy – wins EU approval by the end of 2023.

    STOCK SYMBOL: ZGNX

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Tegna (TGNA) – Tegna is close to finalizing a $9 billion deal to be bought out by private equity firms Apollo Global Management and Standard General, according to sources familiar with the situation who spoke to the New York Post. The paper said the TV station operator was initially holding out for a roughly $500 breakup fee if the deal did not receive FCC approval in a timely manner, but has now backed off that demand. Tegna rallied 4.9% in the premarket.

    STOCK SYMBOL: TGNA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    ASML (ASML) – ASML shares rose after reporting a better-than-expected fourth-quarter profit. The Dutch chipmaker also issued an upbeat 2022 sales growth forecast, with shares adding 2.2% in premarket trading.

    STOCK SYMBOL: ASML

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Pearson (PSON) – Pearson raised its full-year forecast amid strength across its education publishing portfolio and better-than-expected prospects for U.S. higher education courseware. Pearson shares jumped 7.2% in the premarket.

    STOCK SYMBOL: PSON

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    FULL DISCLOSURE:

    /u/bigbear0083 has no positions in any stocks mentioned. Reddit, moderators, and the author do not advise making investment decisions based on discussion in these posts. Analysis is not subject to validation and users take action at their own risk.


    DISCUSS!

    What's on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/stocks?


    I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Wednesday, January 19th, 2022! :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    Why doesn't everyone buy Activision Blizzard stocks?

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 12:08 AM PST

    With the news of Microsoft acquiring them at $95 per stock, it seems like a good investment right now, 30% profit when the transaction completes (the current price is $72.59).

    Besides the risk of the transaction not going through, are there any other risks I don't understand?

    submitted by /u/revolter
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    You need to calm down

    Posted: 18 Jan 2022 12:41 AM PST

    Maybe you dont want to hear it but probably need it. The panic in this group is insane.

    Most of you watched videos like: top 10 investment advice from buffet/lynch

    And as long the market grew everybody was a longterm/value investor and was suddenly an expert after 2 years of bull market.

    Now the market moves sideways and everybody is losing his mind. Throw everything they „learned" overboard and have to reconsider everything.

    Iam happy about that because the cockynes in this group espacially from the young investors was to big.

    Prepare for draker times and learn from it. When you sell a good stock at a loss you only help others to get rich quicker

    Cheers

    submitted by /u/Ostblocktricker
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    OCC Conditionally Approves SoFi Bank, National Association

    Posted: 18 Jan 2022 03:12 PM PST

    OCC Conditionally Approves SoFi Bank, National Association

    Release

    WASHINGTON—The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) today conditionally approved applications from Social Finance Inc. (SoFi) to create SoFi Bank, National Association (SoFi Bank, N.A.), as a full service national bank headquartered in Cottonwood Heights, Utah. As part of the transaction, SoFi Bank, N.A. will acquire Golden Pacific Bank, National Association, a national bank insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation.

    Upon consummation of this transaction, SoFi Bank, N.A., will have $5.3 billion in total assets and $718 million in capital at the end of the first year of operation, and will continue to offer a range of local commercial-focused loan offerings and deposit products previously offered by Golden Pacific. The bank will also provide a fully digital, mobile-first national lending platform for consumers across the country. The conditions imposed require specific capital contributions, adherence to an Operating Agreement, and confirmation that the resulting bank will not engage in any (virtual currency)-asset activities or services. In addition, the parent company of SoFi Bank, N.A., SoFi Technologies, has applied to the Federal Reserve to become a bank holding company and therefore subject to consolidated supervision.

    "Today's decision brings SoFi, a large fintech, inside the federal bank regulatory perimeter, where it will be subject to comprehensive supervision and the full panoply of bank regulations, including the Community Reinvestment Act. This levels the playing field and will ensure that SoFi's deposit and lending activities are conducted safely and soundly, including limiting the bank's ability to engage in (virtual currency)-asset activities," Acting Comptroller Hsu said. "This action is consistent with the comprehensive legal and policy review of pending licensing decisions I initiated last May, and our work with other federal and state regulators to develop a coordinated approach to modernizing the federal regulatory perimeter. Like every other national bank we supervise, the OCC will require SoFi Bank, N. A., to be adequately capitalized, have strong risk management programs, policies and procedures in place, and provide fair treatment to its customers."

    submitted by /u/kb144-trading
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    Coinbase as a stock

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 09:08 AM PST

    So I'm new in stock trading so I would like to have your opinion on coinbase as a stock not a trading platform. I feel like it's a more safer investment than crypto but is it worth it? Thanks in advance

    submitted by /u/Dr_PXL
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    JP Morgan Chase

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 07:16 AM PST

    Curious on what you guys think of this stock. I wanted to invest heavily into the stock in the beginning of this year but I've been reading some mixed reviews on the company, is it still a good long term buy?

    submitted by /u/EnterTheKumite
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    Can anyone explain why US treasury yields can be higher than S&P 500 dividend yields?

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 08:30 AM PST

    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/25/stocks-just-got-some-new-competition-from-bonds-as-10-year-rate-tops-dividend-yield.html

    I would have thought that when this happens, the S&P 500 would drop back down because of valuation reasons since the S&P 500 is a riskier asset than US treasuries and would command a higher yield.

    However, similar to the article linked, we are seeing US treasury yields higher than S&P 500 dividend yields today at 1.85% and 1.32% respectively.

    submitted by /u/darealgeezer
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    INTC is entering the computer mining space. They are planning to release these ASICS in February 2022

    Posted: 18 Jan 2022 12:29 PM PST

    The move would bring the chip maker into the same market with such companies at Bitmain and MicroBT.

    Intel, one of the world's largest chip makers, is likely to unveil a specialized mining chip at the International Solid-State Circuits Conference (ISSCC) in February, according to the conference's agenda.

    One of Intel's "highlighted chip releases" at the conference is entitled "Bonanza Mine: An Ultra-Low-Voltage Energy-Efficient Mining ASIC." The session is scheduled for Feb. 23.

    Edit: Link is filtered and expired. So just google "intel mining asics" to find the various news articles.

    submitted by /u/Oscuridad_mi_amigo
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    What happens if a stock gets delisted?

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 07:53 AM PST

    I usually stick to index funds and ETFs, but last year I put some money into VYNE which is a pharma stock that had a forecasted price target of $7.

    It has plummeted in value from $2 (my cost average) to $0.63. It was hovering around a dollar for the last few months and then for some reason last week it nose dived even further.

    I'm down about $600 and just holding because at this point I don't have much more to lose anyway, but if it ends up failing to get back above a dollar, what would happen? Does the stock just get liquidated? Would I be paid out for my remaining shares, or would it all drop to $0?

    submitted by /u/paulrudder
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    r/Stocks Daily Thread on Meme Stocks Wednesday - Jan 19, 2022

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 04:00 AM PST

    The meme stock scheduled posts will run Mon to Fri and won't be a sticky; you're probably seeing this because automod sent you here or you woke up early Wall St time; good morning!


    Welcome traders who just can't help them selves discuss the same exact stock that's been discussed 100s of times a day. I get it, you want to talk about what's popular, what's hot, and that 1.. single.. stock you like.. well here you go! Some helpful links just for you:

    An important message from our mod u/TCGYT regarding meme stocks.

    Lastly if you need professional help:

    • Problem Gambling: Call/Text: 1-800-522-4700 or chat online now.
    • Crisis Hotline (24/7): 1-800-273-TALK (8255) (Veterans, press 1) or Text "HOME" to 741-741
    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Luckin Coffee plots relisting in US two years after $300m fraud

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 09:21 AM PST

    Luckin Coffee is exploring plans to relist its shares in the US, nearly two years after an accounting scandal in which the Chinese coffee chain fabricated more than $300m of sales, according to two people familiar with the matter.

    Once touted as the biggest challenger to Starbucks' dominance in China, Luckin was delisted from the Nasdaq exchange in June 2020 and six months later agreed to pay $180m to settle accounting fraud charges with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which claimed it had raised more than $864m from investors during the time of the falsified accounts.

    According to two people with knowledge of discussions among the company's senior management, Luckin is exploring whether to relist on Nasdaq, possibly as soon as the end of this year.

    Luckin has held meetings with investors and advisers ahead of the proposed relisting, as well as to discuss other options for capital raising, according to the people. They said new management and recent growth at the coffee company could prove an attractive turnround prospect for investors.

    A relisting would be likely to face fewer regulatory obstacles than a Chinese company pursuing an initial public offering in the US because its shares are still traded there and it has continued to file earnings reports, according to one of the people close to the situation.

    Luckin filed for bankruptcy in the US in 2021 to allow it to restructure its debts while its coffee shops remained open. It could move ahead with the relisting plan once it concluded the bankruptcy process, one of the people said.

    The fraud revelations were first published in early 2020 by short seller Muddy Waters, which accused the chain of having an "inherently flawed" business model and inflating sales.

    But Luckin has since expanded in China. In December, it reported that third-quarter revenues had grown 106 per cent year on year to Rmb2,350.2m ($370m). It has 5,671 stores, the majority of which are on the Chinese mainland — about 500 more outlets than its closest rival, Starbucks.

    Shares in Luckin have continued to trade over-the-counter in the US since it was delisted, giving the company a market valuation of about $2.5bn.

    "We are seeing strong performance across the business . . . with increased customer retention and order frequency [and] greater brand recognition," said Jinyi Guo, chair and chief executive of Luckin, in its latest earnings report.

    Some longtime critics of the company continue to express scepticism, however. "Revenues rising sharply is something that those of us who have been following Luckin have seen before," said Michael Norris, an analyst at Shanghai-based consultancy AgencyChina, who wrote a series of articles questioning the pace of the company's expansion ahead of its IPO in 2019.

    Luckin has restructured a large chunk of its debt, paid down a big portion of its SEC fine and appointed new auditors, according to company filings.

    "They are doing financially and operationally very well . . . none of the allegations related to the quality of their coffee," said one of the people close to Luckin.

    "It's an attractive asset because it has been doing so well in the consumer market," the person said.

    Shares that were previously controlled by Charles Lu, the co-founder and former chair who was voted out by shareholders in July 2020, totalling about 17 per cent of the company, are expected to be sold in the coming days, according to one person close to the matter.

    Luckin declined to comment.

    The group appointed Hong Kong accounting firm Centurion ZD CPA as its auditor last April after its previous auditor, New York-based Marcum Bernstein & Pinchuk, resigned from the role stating it had "not gathered sufficient independent third-party data or conducted sufficient audit procedures to complete the audit". EY, which audited Luckin in the run-up to its IPO, was replaced after the scandal.

    Source: https://www.ft.com/content/f8327af5-5203-44fd-acc7-267c7b475fa7

    submitted by /u/edrek90
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    Thoughts on Upstart (UPST)?

    Posted: 18 Jan 2022 10:51 PM PST

    I only have one share I bought at roughly $43. It's definitely been fun watching this stock rise over the last year or so and I was sure tempted to sell around its peak but I've had a long view on the company since hearing about it.

    Since it's settled down lately, (roughly $109 as of today) would this seem like a good window to add to a position?

    I'm not looking for someone to tell me what to do, more just looking for general discussion because I feel like most resources I find feel artificial and have their own motive. I just want to know what other investors like myself think. As I've said I'm bullish but I've also only been investing for about 2 years so I'm sure there's a lot I don't know when I'm coming to that conclusion.

    EDIT: I'm just about as new to Reddit as I am to investing and the bot scared me about my post being low effort to not having enough DD. Like some have already said I do think it's priced higher than other companies in that sector which I believe is in part to the retail investing trend and UPST using AI which I think anything tech related excites people, especially those type of investors. Potentially those peaks just being due to hope for some insane breakout and realistically falling somewhere in the middle of where it was and where it is now. Even though it's priced higher I do think potentially disrupting the loan industry could be positive for the masses and deserve a higher valuation than existing business models in that sector. Amazon, Netflix, Tesla, Microsoft all have made moves to try and disrupt their industries and they have seemingly paid off. I'm not trying to say Upstart will blow up to that magnitude but it could be a push in a better direction. I'll just end this by saying if I didn't include enough stats in this my bad, I've buried my nose in numbers and articles about this and just came here for a more laid back, human discussion about the topic.

    submitted by /u/suprduperscott
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    Foreigner wanting to invest in US stock market

    Posted: 19 Jan 2022 03:56 AM PST

    Hi. I live in Turkey and our currency TRY losing value and it fluctuates like crazy due to bad administration. It's impossible to invest when the market is like that here. Therefore, I decided to buy 20K$ and invest in US stocks. I got an account from a brokerage firm and I can invest in US stocks but I don't know anything about US stock market I'll probably invest in top tech companies AAPL, MSFT, AMD. I feel like there might be a reason for stocks to go down and everyone knows that but me such as FED's increasing rates etc. I don't know how much that affects stocks so I wanted to ask you whether my plan is sensible or not.

    submitted by /u/uykumvar
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