Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Sep 08, 2021 |
- r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Sep 08, 2021
- Stocks may fall 15% by year-end, warns Morgan Stanley
- Tesla is an "AI" company
- GameStop Reports Financial Results for Q2 2021
- ASX: RBL. Redbubble, the next Etsy
- What happens to to AAPL during Apple events?
- Here is a Market Recap for today Wednesday, September 8, 2021
- PayPal heats up buy now, pay later race with $2.7 billion Japan deal
- Hyliion Holdings - What's going against it?
- If you had to buy $1000 worth of 3 separate stocks that you had to hold on to for the next 2+ years, what stocks would you choose? Why?
- Best advice from those who’ve been around the block…
- Looking for advice regarding a stock picking service, your thoughts and opinions are welcome
- Fed Official Who Warned on Real Estate Was Active REIT Trader
- How do you choose which options strategy to use when?
- $HZO MarineMax
- Recent demand estimated to be stronger for McDonald's than competitors, Wendy's weaker
- [REIT] $O vs. $STAG
- Company reducing its share capital
- Why is Maersk A stock cheaper than B stock
- Is this image bearish for future shorts and/or current shorts?
- Need advice on a stable growth investment that I will pull out in 3-5 years for a home down payment.
- Chart website for mutual funds
- Looking for advice on index investing
- I could use some advice about Taiwan Semiconductors (TSM)
| r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Sep 08, 2021 Posted: 08 Sep 2021 02:30 AM PDT These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts. Some helpful links:
If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned. Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky.. See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday. [link] [comments]  |
| Stocks may fall 15% by year-end, warns Morgan Stanley Posted: 08 Sep 2021 06:54 AM PDT Morgan Stanley's optimistic view of the economy isn't keeping it from warning about a looming correction in the U.S. stock market. "The issue is that the markets are priced for perfection and vulnerable, especially since there hasn't been a correction greater than 10% since the March 2020 low," said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, in a note Tuesday. The bank's global investment committee expects a stock-market pullback of 10% to 15% before the end of the year, she wrote. "The strength of major U.S. equity indexes during August and the first few days of September, pushing to yet more daily and consecutive new highs in the face of concerning developments, is no longer constructive in the spirit of 'climbing a wall of worry,'" said Shalett. "Consider taking profits in index funds," she said, as stock benchmarks have dismissed "resurgent COVID-19 hospitalizations, plummeting consumer confidence, higher interest rates and significant geopolitical shifts." She suggested rebalancing investment portfolios toward "high-quality cyclicals," particularly stocks in the financial sector, while seeking "consistent dividend-payers in consumer services, consumer staples and health care." [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 08 Sep 2021 04:38 AM PDT A lot of people said Tesla is an "AI" company, not an electric car company from this thread: https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/pjlah0/disney_is_to_netflix_as_x_is_to_tesla/ The thesis is that Tesla is far ahead in its self-driving capabilities that other car makers just can't catch up. And because they already have cars on the road now, they are collecting more data which is making their lead wider. My thoughts are below. Agree or disagree?
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| GameStop Reports Financial Results for Q2 2021 Posted: 08 Sep 2021 01:11 PM PDT
(NYSE:GME) reported quarterly losses of $(0.76) per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $(0.66) by 15.15 percent. This is a 45.71 percent increase over losses of $(1.40) per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $1.18 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $1.12 billion by 5.63 percent. This is a 25.58 percent increase over sales of $942.00 million the same period last year. Earnings call at 5:00 pm ET, about 50 mins to go as of this post. [link] [comments]  |
| ASX: RBL. Redbubble, the next Etsy Posted: 08 Sep 2021 10:00 AM PDT Redbubble is an ASX-Listed online marketplace for independent artists that provides printed products. Here was there recent investor presentation. Most of their customers are based in North America amd Europe. They are currently heavily undervalued at around $1.1B AUD ($800M USD). The company currently has aggressive plans to grow their revenue to $1.5B AUD by 2024, afterwards focusing more efforts on raising margins. Their CAGR for the past 5 years has been 41% on average. Guidance until 2024 is around 20-30% CAGR. Their current revenue is around $657M AUD with a gross profit of $223M AUD. Here are some of their key selling points.
I want to emphasise the comparison between Etsy here because their business model is inherently similar, utilizing the incredibly rare flywheel effect between artists and customers. Their growth rate is also very similar. At current revenue, my estimates would put them at 3-4 years behind Etsy. Etsy Revenue (USD) 2015 - 273M 2016 - 364M 2017 - 441M 2018 - 603M 2019 - 818M 2020 - 1.7B Redbubble Revenue (AUD). 2019 - 306M 2020 - 416M 2021 - 657M 2024 - 1.5B Target Etsy's has appreciated 25x over the past 4-5 years. Not only did Etsy's valuation increase with its revenues, but also its revenue multiple too. The current difference in valuation between Etsy and RBL is around 37x. Mostly because RBL is listed on the ASX and relatively unknown globally (yet). Also because Australian funds are typically value investors. OTCMKTS is RDBBY. The Australian Tech scene is actually fairly well developed with Atlassian, Afterpay and Xero. Redbubble is shaping up to be the next giant, currently with a very attractive valuation that could yield significant returns in the upcoming years as they start to get noticed by the big NASDAQ players. Additional information can be found here. https://shareholders.redbubble.com/site/content/ [link] [comments]  |
| What happens to to AAPL during Apple events? Posted: 08 Sep 2021 06:55 AM PDT Hello, new to stocks here. I was kinda curious. I got an email from Apple saying they will jave a streaming event on the 14th. I own wome of their stock so I'm wondering: how does an event like this usually affect their stock for the day? I assume it increases due to hype right? When a product is released, is there a correction since people the hype ends? [link] [comments]  |
| Here is a Market Recap for today Wednesday, September 8, 2021 Posted: 08 Sep 2021 01:48 PM PDT PsychoMarket Recap - Wednesday, September 8, 2021 Hey Psychos! So there was no recap yesterday, got mixed up and didn't have the time Stocks fell today, extending the previous day's decline in the S&P 500 (SPY) and Dow Jones (DIA) as market participants continue to digest the recent August Job Report and concerns surrounding rising coronavirus infections across the US. The tech-heavy Nasdaq (QQQ) 0.33% down while the SPY and DIA fell 0.11% and 0.2% respectively. The Russell 2000 (IWM), which tracks the performance of small-caps, fell 1.10%. Yung-Yu Ma. Chief Investment Strategist at BMO Capital said, "We think the fundamental drivers of strong earnings, an accommodative Fed, and a still healthy appetite for risk taking are really what's going to support the market for the rest of the year." The Labor Department released their monthly unemployment report, which showed hiring in August slow down dramatically as the US continues to battle massive spikes in coronavirus Delta cases in certain parts of the country, mainly the South/Southeast (according to the CDC, roughly ⅓ of all COVID-related hospitalizations are in Texas and Florida as both states deal with record coronavirus cases and low hospital capacity). Due to this surge and the reimposition of pandemic-era restrictions in areas with high transmission rates, employment numbers came in shockingly low compared to estimates and the previous month's numbers. Here are the numbers.
President Biden said of the report, "While I know some wanted to see a larger number today and so did I, what we've seen this year is continued growth, month after month, in job creation. This is the kind of growth that makes our economy stronger." Members of the Fed have consistently signaled they will be looking especially closely at labor market data to determine when to start tapering the pandemic-era quantitative easing program. Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said the August Jobs Report could be his signal to hit the "substantial further progress mark" the Fed stipulated in December and begin tapering. He said, "I think that one more good job report if it's in the 850,000 to 1 million range will be sufficient to claim substantial further progress in employment for tapering." August was not the report they were looking for. In its latest Beige Book, which is basically a report by the Federal Reserve on current economic conditions, members said the economy downshifted slightly due to Delta variant concerns. The report stated, "The deceleration in economic activity was largely attributable to a pullback in dining out, travel, and tourism in most Districts, reflecting safety concerns due to the rise of the Delta variant, and, in many cases, international travel restrictions." In the US, the surge in infections in certain parts of the nation continues unabated, with hospitalizations this weekend roughly 300% higher than Labor Day weekend in 2020, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. The surge in patients comes as the highly contagious Delta variant continues to spread across the US, and coincided with a weekend that saw a spike in travel. According to the Transportation Security Administration, more than 3.5 million people travelled across the country on Friday and Saturday for the Labor Day holiday, despite the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's recommendation for unvaccinated people to refrain from traveling. https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/sep/07/us-covid-patients-hospitals-surge In other news, the battle between Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos is heating up! Last week, SpaceX sent a filing to the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) accusing Amazon of using regulatory and legal means to stifle and slowdown competition. SpaceX said, "While SpaceX has proceeded to deploy more than 1,700 satellites, Amazon has yet to even attempt to address the radiofrequency interference and orbital debris issues that must be resolved before Amazon can deploy its constellation" and suggested "as it falls behind competitors [Amazon] is more than willing to use regulatory and legal processes to create obstacles designed to delay those competitors from leaving Amazon even further behind" (ouch). In response, Amazon said, Whether it is launching satellites with unlicensed antennas, launching rockets without approval, building an unapproved launch tower, or re-opening a factory in violation of a shelter-in-place order, the conduct of SpaceX and other Musk-led companies makes their view plain: rules are for other people, and those who insist upon or even simply request compliance are deserving of derision and ad hominem attacks. If the FCC regulated hypocrisy, SpaceX would keep the commission very busy." SpaceX won this one IMO, that was a nasty burn. Highlights
"Numberless are the world's wonders, but none More wonderful than man." - Sophocles [link] [comments]  |
| PayPal heats up buy now, pay later race with $2.7 billion Japan deal Posted: 07 Sep 2021 09:19 PM PDT https://www.cnbc.com/2021/09/08/paypal-heats-up-buy-now-pay-later-race-japan-deal.html PayPal Holdings said it would acquire Japanese buy now, pay later (BNPL) firm Paidy in a $2.7 billion largely cash deal. PayPal also entered Australia last year, raising the stakes for smaller companies such as Sezzle and Zip Co. The transaction is expected to close in the fourth quarter of 2021, and will be minimally dilutive to PayPal's adjusted earnings per share in 2022. Paypal continue to expand the acquisition mode by boosting up the moat to against other fintech companies. Buy now pay later will be a hot future trend so paypal immediately expanding the market share in this area. It proved after the separation from ebay, paypal can continue to grow the revenue and stay on top as a fintech leader. [link] [comments]  |
| Hyliion Holdings - What's going against it? Posted: 08 Sep 2021 05:14 AM PDT I'm looking to learn about the company itself, read a lot of interesting bullish cases on Hyliion and its technology + products I'd like everyones opinions on bear cases for Hyliion This is one article I came across that had some decent arguments for the downsides of this company, including
Is there anything else you guys think is going against Hyliion? TL;DR - give me your bearish outlooks for this trucking company! Edit: For people reading the thread, I have nothing against Hyliion if it may sound that way. I'm just looking to get some discussion going about this company and the future of electrified trucks [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 08 Sep 2021 01:46 PM PDT As the title asks: "If you had to buy $1000 worth of 3 separate stocks that you had to hold on to for the next 2+ years, what stocks would you choose? Why?" 3 Stocks, $1000 for each, can't touch the stocks for the next 2 years. I am just interested to see what stocks different people would pick and for what reason. [link] [comments]  |
| Best advice from those who’ve been around the block… Posted: 07 Sep 2021 03:11 PM PDT Most millennial and gen-z investors don't know what it's like trading in a market that isn't rising 10-20%/year. So, for those of you who've been around the block: the 2000 bubble, Black Monday in 1987, or even the Recession, what is the most important thing learned or took away? [link] [comments]  |
| Looking for advice regarding a stock picking service, your thoughts and opinions are welcome Posted: 08 Sep 2021 12:43 PM PDT TLDR: I want to know if this expensive stock service is legit in terms of offering information of value versus information from a free oscillator (McClellan Oscillator), and if the service is useful. I am wondering this in light of information seen in tweets on the company. I've been following several stock trading services on Twitter, and I was considering purchasing the monthly subscription for one of them. Looking further into it, I couldn't find much about the company (HFTAlert) on Google. It looks phenomenal, but I wanted to be sure beforehand since the price is hefty (~$500/mo). Looking into other people's tweets to the service, these tweets are claiming the service is simply a rework of the McClellan Oscillator. Now, I want to get the service just to test it out and see if it's actually useful. The track record of the recommended trades seems good, but I don't know what to make of the whole situation. 1) I have listed the information from tweets supposedly explaining the situation below. I have a few questions: 2) Is it possible that this trading system is still a useful purchase and can be useful during trades? 3) Is the entire system solely just the McClellan Oscillator? Is there nothing novel about it versus what can be gained by simply using certain settings on a default McClellan Oscillator? Has anyone tried this service? I would think that something charging such a high price has to deliver a quality service, in my opinion this can't all be so simplistic, there has to be something insightful gained by using this service. I really don't know what to think but I will try these settings described in the below tweets to test it when I have time. Can someone provide some insight after looking into the details of this service??? Thanks in advance. Below are summaries of some of the tweets (basically I just typed in HFTAlert McClellan) Comparison to freely available software: "This is basically the same thing as the product: tos.mx/ntrqBH " The Accumulator On Balance Volume for any stock or etf. Its simply tracking volume on bids and offers. Solely from spending 5 minutes on their website the description of the Accumulator is just a plot of the cumulative delta (the pink Accumulator line) and a second line, the cyan one, is a moving average of it. There also seems to be the option to set it to show order book imbalances if the book is heavily stacked one way or another. The Delineator: "the delininator value is the Summation Index. Nothing he sells is proprietary. His "tape reader," is just volume measurements in a moving average." "the Delineator is a breadth based system that uses the McClellan oscillator. Just put it on a 30 min chart. his delineator is the mclellan oscilator smmation index, his "primary is the MC oscilator on a 30 minute basis, his "secondary" is the MC oscilator on a daily basis" "The Delineator is a derivation of the McClellan Oscillator. It uses market breadth, not price, to measure and forecast future price direction. But more than a simplistic buy/sell indicator, the Delineator is a process of analysis and decision making that is measurable and repeatable. I designed the Delineator in 1998 when I was a portfolio manager and used it to manage our client's growth portfolios. Maintaining a disciplined approach to the timing of investment decisions is critical to long term success. This is the key benefit of using the Delineator." McClellan Oscillator: "HFTALERT simply follows the mcclellan oscillator. When the mcclellan oscillator has a value of +75 or more, he tells you to go long. When it has value of -75 or more, he tells you to go short!" Cycle Momentum: "his "cycle momentum" is simply the difference in the value from the current 30 minute mclellan oscilator bar to the prior 30 minute mclellan oscilator bar." Cappers/ Chevrons: "Capper stocks are a term used to describe the @McClellanOsc Summation Index" "His chevrons are just pivots. His slope changes are just moving average cross overs 19/39 ema. Again to reiterate, I've just quoted information seen in various tweets on the company. I want to know your opinion on this stuff and if the information from these tweets is correct or not, or if it's only correct in a smaller part of the larger context? I want to know if this service is worth it. [link] [comments]  |
| Fed Official Who Warned on Real Estate Was Active REIT Trader Posted: 08 Sep 2021 09:40 AM PDT
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| How do you choose which options strategy to use when? Posted: 08 Sep 2021 07:17 AM PDT Hi. Beginner trader here. I am still paper trading and getting comfortable trading in general. I am just curious as to what analysis do you need to do to determine which strategy would be the best for a certain stock/ ETF or for a certain trend. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 08 Sep 2021 10:41 AM PDT I know boats aren't a popular discussion point as 99.9% of Americans won't deal with them on a daily basis, but I'm seeing an incredible opportunity here. I do not currently own any shares. MarineMax produces and sells boats among other boat related services. Quick comparison of competitors: Market Cap HZO: $1B Malibu Boats ($MBUU): $1.4B MasterCraft Boats ($MCFT): 500M Marine Products Corp ($MPX): 440M Annual revenue (TTM) HZO: $2B MBUU: $930M MCFT: $465M MPX: $290M P/E HZO: 7.25 MBUU: 13.15 MCFT: 8.72 MPX: 15.9 Now factor in that HZO is expected to deliver another great quarter in Q3, pushing its P/E below 7. If they continue their current trend, they will have a P/E under 6 within a year. Tell me why I shouldn't buy. [link] [comments]  |
| Recent demand estimated to be stronger for McDonald's than competitors, Wendy's weaker Posted: 08 Sep 2021 04:07 AM PDT This fast food industry Compete Sheet shows estimated US demand coming back strong over the past couple of months for McDonald's (MCD), Taco Bell (YUM), Burger King (QSR) and Subway, while Wendy's (WEN) moves in the opposite direction. With its stock price up only 10% over the past year, is McDonald's looking cheap relative to competitors, especially Wendy's (up 6%)? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 08 Sep 2021 04:41 AM PDT I'm looking for a REIT company and I ended up picking these two due to their growth and performance over the years. $STAG is newer than $O and, therefore, I'm not quite sure how would the stock react to an economic recession, besides the pandemic. I must say that STAG has kinda blown up since, but I'm not sure about their long term performance. $O has been growing steadily, holding up well against recessions and their dividends are, overall, better than $STAG. Which of these two stocks do you prefer? Do you see one for the long term and the other for the short term? Why? Please, elaborate a bit instead of saying "STAG/O is better", that would be highly appreciated. [link] [comments]  |
| Company reducing its share capital Posted: 08 Sep 2021 12:06 PM PDT I'm fairly new to stocks, could someone enlighten me what it means for the shareholder when a company is in process of reducing its share capital? I've had a notification of offer to purchase some of my shares from SPO, but the price offered is only a fraction of a cent above my position entry price on it. [link] [comments]  |
| Why is Maersk A stock cheaper than B stock Posted: 08 Sep 2021 05:05 AM PDT Maersk a stock (18080 DKK) and Maersk b stock (19120 DKK) This doesn't seem to make any sense Dividend yields are similar (Paid out 330 DKK) A stock has a voting right (there by adding to the value) B stock has an advantage when it comes to liquidity with an average volume 5x the A stocks B stock also has an advantage in case of bankruptcy but this should not be an issue with a company of this size. This should be adding to the value of the B stock but this can't be the explanation of the big gap. Thanks in advance! [link] [comments]  |
| Is this image bearish for future shorts and/or current shorts? Posted: 08 Sep 2021 11:53 AM PDT Hi all, i've started learning about shorting and Ive learnt about what shorting and short covering is today. In a discord group im in someone posted this image about a stock and said with it "shorts are getting screwed" Here: https://imgur.com/a/qeU64jT I just wanted to ask if anyone can breakdown what exactly this image is showing, why its bearish and is it only bearish for people wanting to short in future or is it also bearish for shorts already borrowing stock and if so why? Thank you [link] [comments]  |
| Need advice on a stable growth investment that I will pull out in 3-5 years for a home down payment. Posted: 07 Sep 2021 04:48 PM PDT I'm not new to investing but I want to get some clarity on reaching my goals. I plan to buy a house in 3-5 years and will likely have around $50,000- $70,000k extra sitting in my bank account from just holding paychecks over that time period. This money will be a down payment for the home but I want to put my money into something better than having it collect no interest in a bank account. I currently have some money in VGRO and was thinking about putting the extra cash into that. Is there any reason that this would be a bad idea or do you have recommendations that better suit a 3-5 year pull out timeline. I'm also comfortable with market volatility and can delay buying a house if the investments need to recover. Just to be clear I am NOT looking for high risk stuff. I currently have about $25,000k in that already and don't want to take on any more high volatile risk. [link] [comments]  |
| Chart website for mutual funds Posted: 08 Sep 2021 07:57 AM PDT Hey all, I use tradingview for my stocks and ETFs, but I noticed they do not have mutual funds available for viewing. I see they are available on Yahoo finance, but the features are lacking compared to tradingview. Anyone have a suggestion on a free site that provides similar features to tradingview but also includes mutual funds? Thanks in advance! [link] [comments]  |
| Looking for advice on index investing Posted: 08 Sep 2021 04:57 AM PDT I'm looking to invest into 2 maybe 3 index stocks. One of them is SWPPX which is a large blend. Now I'm also thinking if I should invest in a international fund/ foreign large blend such as SWISX this way I'm not putting everything into one category. Should I also include a mid cap or some other large blend or large growth stock? Thanks [link] [comments]  |
| I could use some advice about Taiwan Semiconductors (TSM) Posted: 08 Sep 2021 01:44 AM PDT So just putting this out there I have 5 shares of TSM and a $125 call options contract set to expire on November 19th. I've been pretty bullish on TSM mostly because I've been expecting it to trend upwards into the end of the year to about $145. I'm basing this off of the increased demand, the chip shortage, TSM increasing their prices, and the fact that Intel can't compete as they don't even do 5nm chips. Am I wrong to assume quality can lift this company upward? Also, as far as strategy is concerned, I'm mostly trying to make profit off the call contract I have, sell it, and then buy more shares of TSM. Would that be a mistake? Is there a better way to do this? Also FYI I'm trading in a Roth IRA. [link] [comments]  |
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