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    Wednesday, May 27, 2020

    Slack CEO: Microsoft is ‘unhealthily preoccupied with killing us’ Investing

    Slack CEO: Microsoft is ‘unhealthily preoccupied with killing us’ Investing


    Slack CEO: Microsoft is ‘unhealthily preoccupied with killing us’

    Posted: 26 May 2020 09:27 AM PDT

    Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield claimed earlier this month that Microsoft Teams isn't a competitor to Slack. In an interview with The Verge, Butterfield has revealed that, inside Slack, the company feels that "Microsoft is perhaps unhealthily preoccupied with killing us, and Teams is the vehicle to do that."

    Butterfield sat down with Verge editor-in-chief Nilay Patel for a wide-ranging interview that discusses Slack's battles with Microsoft Teams, the future of Slack, new Slack features, and much more. It's well worth a listen.

    Slack bulls and bears, what do you think here ? Is Slack fighting a losing battle here ?

    submitted by /u/KingSlayer94
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    Boeing set to announce significant U.S. job cuts this week: union

    Posted: 27 May 2020 01:07 AM PDT

    Stocks are set to rally again on optimism about the economy reopening, Dow futures jump 300 points

    Posted: 27 May 2020 03:26 AM PDT

    I cheer the economy reopening but I doubt we are out of the woods already. https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/26/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html

    submitted by /u/YaY_247
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    Chinese Companies Committing Fraud in US Markets

    Posted: 26 May 2020 08:31 AM PDT

    Disclaimer: I am not attempting to give investing advice. While I do hold my own personal positions with a few of these companies, I am a relatively new trader and my positions amount to very little. My intention with this post is to spur discussion, while providing the insights I am basing my personal decisions on.

    LK

    This is the most obvious stock committing fraud is Luckin Coffee the "Starbucks of China". Luckin Coffee admitted to such, details can be found here.

    Since January 2020 the stock has dropped from a $50 high to less than $2.00 per share where it currently sits.Link to additional DD

    GSX

    Muddy Waters Research highlighted many of the questionable accounting practices at LK and is now going after Chinese online educator GSX Techedu Inc. (GSX). The company is described as being, "a near total fraud".

    Muddy Waters states that 70% of users are fake and they believe the number of fake users could be as high as 80%. Source for this information and more information regarding their official position can be found here.

    Link to Forbes article providing more information regarding this situation.

    IQ

    The "Netflix of China" has recently been found to be inflating user numbers and inflating advertising revenue while still posting hundreds of millions of losses (USD) in their 10th year of operation.

    • 60.3% of users are fraudulent, believed to be much higher with relatively low users rates in key areas of China and abnormally high users coming from remote countries (suspected bots).

    Sources:

    BIDU

    BIDU is China's version of Google. 30% of BIDU's revenue comes from IQ and by proxy they have made this list. Forbes source for the revenue figure.

    Other Notable Activity:

    NIO

    I am not aware of any fradulent activity with NIO. I just found it interesting that Goldman Sachs increased their holding of NIO Puts by 250% from quarter 4 2019 to quarter 1 2020. They now hold 2.2 million NIO puts. Sources for Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. holdings:

    Source 1

    Direct SEC fillings source

    submitted by /u/Tooup
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    JPMorgan shares surge 8% after CEO says bank is "very valuable" at current prices

    Posted: 26 May 2020 11:34 AM PDT

    The bank with the strongest balance sheet in my opinion and best positioned to gain when all others struggle.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/26/jamie-dimon-says-jpmorgan-is-a-very-valuable-company-at-these-prices.html

    submitted by /u/tellg1291
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    Will hands free technology, especially in public spaces, become a major part of the new normal ? I am failing at finding a publicly traded company that would represent the sector.

    Posted: 27 May 2020 02:34 AM PDT

    It seems like a no brainer that we will see a big shift towards automatic doors, soap dispensers, hand dryers , light switches.... places like japan were already like this.

    I am too inexperience to figure out which companies stand to make alot of profit from retrofitting public places over the next 5-10 years.

    Any thoughts or tickers on the sector?

    submitted by /u/Artorious117
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    ELI5: Why does the S&P 500 usually break out one way or the other in the final hour of trading?

    Posted: 26 May 2020 01:14 PM PDT

    This is a trend that I have observed consistently over the past couple of weeks - in the final 30-60 minutes, the S&P 500 will either tank by half a % or rise by the same amount. Is this due to large numbers of day traders unloading their positions for the day? Curious if anyone with more experience could explain this

    submitted by /u/surreptor
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    People who sold recently...

    Posted: 27 May 2020 01:33 AM PDT

    I've been pondering about lots of the posts here and similar subs in the last 12 weeks and I'm confused about some things, especially people who've sold big/all of their positions.

    A few things that we know and are backed by overwhelming evidence and should be repeated:

    1. Investing money you need in less than 5 years or so is pretty stupid.
    2. Investing money you can't afford to is stupid.
    3. It pays to hold for long periods, even through big crashes and recessions.
    4. Timing the market to any kind of benefit is virtually impossible.
    5. Picking individual stocks for a profit/benefit, while possible, almost overwhelmingly ends with people losing money. Speculation should be kept to <10% of portfolio etc.

    So why the hell have so many people sold in the last 12 weeks? Unless you're near retirement I don't know why you would, unless you panic or don't really know what your goals are. If you need the money you had invested now so badly you probably shouldn't have it in the market, right? Surely you all know it's probably gonna be a dumb decision. Now you're just stuck with cash and a market that's left you behind and salty. It's almost as if there's some pathological desire here for the market to keep plummeting.

    In my mind, there aren't that many outcomes; the market recovers slowly, it recovers fast or it goes sideways forever (highly unlikely in my mind). In the first and second case, it doesn't make sense to sell if you're in it for the long haul. In the third, well, then everyone's fucked so it doesn't really matter. It's in everyone's benefit to stay in the market.

    I feel like I'm taking crazy pills sometimes, or maybe a huge proportion of users here just lose crazy amounts of money regularly. I guess I underestimate the power of all the cliche investing psychological traps and panic/emotion-driven decision making.

    submitted by /u/d-pre
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    Stocks to benefit from weed legalization

    Posted: 27 May 2020 03:58 AM PDT

    What stocks do you think will gain most from weed legalization in the future? Thinking about stocks that aren't the actual weed companies (canopy, cronos, etc.). I was thinking like constellation, IIRP, what else?

    submitted by /u/justjosh54
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    Is Zoom headed the same way as Slack ?

    Posted: 26 May 2020 12:25 PM PDT

    Reading some of the comments in this thread on r/investing, I wonder if Zoom will face the same situation in some time. The trio of MSFT, GOOG and FB all have some workplace offering that includes a version of Video Conferencing. What would make Zoom repel (and flourish against) this attack from three sides ?

    submitted by /u/supersonictaco
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    Dollar gains and yuan hits nine-month low as U.S.-China tensions return

    Posted: 27 May 2020 01:22 AM PDT

    Question: efficiency frontier by equity sectors

    Posted: 27 May 2020 03:05 AM PDT

    I can't seem to find the answer to this. Assume an all equity portfolio, is there a take away when solving for an efficiency frontier comparing different sectors?

    For example healthcare should be overweight at a certain % etc?

    Or is this a futile question since it keeps changing depending on the time frame and the answer is sector rotation?

    submitted by /u/zelgizbog
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    Undervalued stocks moving forward in a corona virus world

    Posted: 26 May 2020 04:52 PM PDT

    Hello,

    What are your top 3-5 stocks moving forward that you believe will continue to do well in a corona virus world. Maybe stocks that haven't gotten back to their pre-crash trading price, or newer companies you believe will flourish and won't be as held down by corona virus worries compared to others.

    submitted by /u/Facednectar
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    What's the most liquid way for a US person to trade Deutsche Lufthansa AG?

    Posted: 26 May 2020 10:48 PM PDT

    I noticed this while trading today and now I've gone down the rabbit hole. I'm (an American) trying to buy shares of Deutsche Lufthansa AG which trades on its home exchange in Frankfurt as LHA. It looks like there are a few ways to accomplish this:

    1. Buy the Sponsored ADR, this is ticker DLAKY
    2. Buy the ADS, this is ticker DLAKF

    As far as liquidity goes: LHA > DLAKY > DLAKF

    What is the more liquid route? Buying the ADR? Or buying the ADS but instructing my trader to work it on the local exchange (if this is the case, does it become as liquid as LHA?)?

    Since currency conversion might contribute to my liquidity, can I get better liquidity by trading directly in Euros held in a forex account (and can therefore settle in Euros)? Furthermore, if I'm now using Euros can I trade LHA directly since the ADS would have only applied to USD?

    TL;DR: what's the most liquid way for a US person to trade Deutsche Lufthansa AG? I do not want to trade OTC. I would like to trade on the local market (Frankfurt). DLAKF (the ADS) is how I would trade on the local market but it seems significantly less liquid than LHA. Is there a better way to trade LHA or should I simply buy DLAKY (the ADR)? If I buy DLAKY, is that OTC or on an exchange given that it's sponsored?

    submitted by /u/J_O_N
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    Any word on the Schwab Ameritrade merger and whether that is still on?

    Posted: 26 May 2020 09:51 AM PDT

    I haven't seen much news on it since April when it sounded like it was potentially in jeopardy or at least contested. Is this merger expected to close?

    submitted by /u/BlindTiger86
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    Hello guys, I bought Moderna...

    Posted: 27 May 2020 04:40 AM PDT

    So, the case is next - I bought moderna, currently I have 7 stocks for about 375 dollars(medium = 71), and I watch the graphic and its kinda sucks. What should I do?

    submitted by /u/EncelBread
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    Better pick. Invitae or Illumina

    Posted: 27 May 2020 04:40 AM PDT

    Hey fellow redditors

    Im picking some stocks here for the long term and I would like to ask for your insights on the 2 stocks but mainly on NVTA.

    From what I read ILMN has a monopoly on the machines that does the sequencing and it has an early moat on genetics. With that being said, ILMN has already gone above their lows in the coronavirus and seems like its on its way up

    So my eyes deviated elsewhere and found NVTA. to my dismay there isn't really much info on them out there other than the occasional beats in earnings and their business being about genetic testing. But I'm sure they have much more going on since, they cant be ARK's 3rd largest holding without being at least a lot more innovative in this segment.

    Any of yall got any ideas?? would love to hear it.

    submitted by /u/Ch30ng
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    Boredom Markets Hypothesis - Idle Retail Investor Driving up Stock Price

    Posted: 26 May 2020 12:06 PM PDT

    Saw this article from Matt Levine's newsletter today:

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-05-22/options-are-now-all-the-rage-for-bored-day-traders-locked-inside?sref=1kJVNqnU

    Boredom Markets Hypothesis is this idea that:

    people will do more trading (1) if trading is entertaining and (2) if other things are less entertaining

    The article above discusses the phenomenon that, because of free time from self-isolation and limited form of alternative entertainment, retail investors have been actively buying stocks instead of selling like they have in the past during market crisis.

    The situation is also facilitated by zero trade commission and slicing (brokerages allowing investors buying fractions of shares)

    submitted by /u/reddit_user456
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    Is real estate investment a good move right now?

    Posted: 26 May 2020 09:46 PM PDT

    Hi all, I'm sure the COVID-19 pandemic has devastated people, but we just got to keep pushing forward. As the saying goes, with crisis comes opportunity.

    I'm thinking of investing in some real estate, and I figured foreclosed homes would be perfect. The fact that they were foreclosed means that there is recent buyer interest, and usually these foreclosed homes are sold lower than when the evicted family buys it.

    Do you all think it's a good time?

    submitted by /u/masterofcharm0
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    NYT: Q1 Profits Sink and Analysts are Worried, but Investors Keep Pushing Stocks Higher

    Posted: 27 May 2020 03:39 AM PDT

    First-quarter profits shrank at the fastest rate in over a decade. Analysts don't like what they see coming down the pike. Investors keep pushing stocks higher.

    Wall Street analysts have grown increasingly pessimistic in recent weeks about the outlook for corporate profits, even as investors have pushed markets steadily higher, breaking the link between analyst forecasts and the direction of stock prices.

    Most companies in the S&P 500 stock index have reported their first-quarter earnings, and the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on profits is becoming clear, at least for January through March. On a per-share basis, profits of S&P 500 companies fell by 13 percent, making it the worst slump since 2009.

    Analysts think things will get worse before they get better. At the end of March, the consensus among analysts was that profits at companies that make up the index would sink a modest 1.8 percent in 2020. But after digesting the financial reports of companies from Agilent Technologies to Zions Bancorp, they now think 2020 profits will tumble more than 20 percent.

    Any finance textbook's section on equity prices holds that the direction of the stock market is determined, to a large extent, by the profits and dividends that shareholders expect companies to produce in the future. And academic research has repeatedly shown that when Wall Street analysts revise their forecasts for a company's profits, it can move share prices.

    Traders and investors routinely take note of when analysts erase earlier expectations, using those revisions as a real-time gauge of how the fundamental business prospects of corporate America are looking.

    Going by the conventional wisdom, the current collapse in profit expectations — and analysts' woeful prognoses for future earnings — should be clobbering share prices. But investors don't appear to be taking their cues from analysts. The S&P 500 has soared more than 30 percent over the last two months.

    To be sure, investors priced in some downturn in profits when stocks suffered a 34 percent collapse in February and March. They were right, and the pain, reflected in earnings reports, was widespread.

    Continue reading the main story

    submitted by /u/bobbyw24
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    What do you guys think of investing in DraftKings? (DKNG)

    Posted: 27 May 2020 02:52 AM PDT

    Hey guys,

    What are your thoughts on Draftkings (DKNG)?

    They are an online-only gambling company based in the USA. A lot of high profile investors like George Soros, Shalom Meckenzie and Disney have large stakes in DKNG. DKNG's share price is also up 75% since their IPO.

    Personally, I am interested in buying DKNG's shares as I am interested in the emphasis they have on betting on eSports, as well as Fantasy Football and even the results of Television shows. It's pretty innovative compared to other gambling companies if you ask me. They also have a large market share in the American online gambling industry, along with FanDuel.

    I think that as more American states beegin to legalize online sports gambling, that can only be a good thing for DKNG. I think that this is further strengthened by what is happened with COVID-19, as more people will be thinking of staying inside rather than going to casinos.

    DKNG's revenues have almost doubled YoY, although they are yet to make a net profit as they are focusing on attaining customers at the moment. However, I'm not sure how much I should be concerned about this, as their revenues tell the tale that they are providing a good business model.

    Anyway, that's my amateur DD. What do you guys think about DraftKings?

    Thanks for reading and interested to hear your comments :)

    submitted by /u/Twitch-Tv-ChewzOOO
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    How to measure total stock market trading volume?

    Posted: 26 May 2020 12:55 PM PDT

    The trading volume for individual securities is readily available. Is there a source for total stock market trading volume? And a way to break it down between buying and selling activity?

    submitted by /u/dingohopper1
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    When do you know enough to buy?

    Posted: 26 May 2020 01:09 PM PDT

    TL;DR: There's a flood of information about any company or fund you might be looking at. How much research/leg work is enough before you can say you know enough to buy or not?

    I'd like to hear from you guys when you think you've done 'enough' research to throw money at an investment. I try to read as many articles I can about the industry/company I'm looking at. I'll look at Yahoo Finance to see what the stock/fund has done for the last year/5years/10 years/ to see where the Hi and Low sits. I don't have a Bloomberg terminal or anything. Had a little forecasting/modeling coursework in graduate school, but I can't imagine that helping me out too much since I haven't used it since school. A lot of people on this sub recommend looking at the manager notes. When can one say they've done their due diligence in researching a prospective investment.

    submitted by /u/KyloBen414
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    Which sectors other than the tech sector present the investment opportunities?

    Posted: 26 May 2020 06:44 PM PDT

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