• Breaking News

    Thursday, September 30, 2021

    Stock Market - This sound very serious. What do you think will happen?

    Stock Market - This sound very serious. What do you think will happen?


    This sound very serious. What do you think will happen?

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 05:36 AM PDT

    Wake me up when September ends….. F**ck!

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 04:52 PM PDT

    This is petition demanding a more level playing field for the average investor. Including restrictions on Darkpools, Congress trading securities PFOF and short sale reports. Please like share and sign. https://t.co/4I3J2FsqJn

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 12:17 PM PDT

    Heatmap for 30SEP2021

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 01:26 PM PDT

    [OC] Updated flowchart of Vanguard ETFs with corrections and additions

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 10:16 AM PDT

    [OC] Created a handy flowchart of most Vanguard ETFs

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 01:13 AM PDT

    Sell the peak! - Remember the other side of buying the dip.

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 05:29 PM PDT

    If you are actively trading make sure you know your exits before you enter as well. Lots of focus on buying the dip and there are many jokes by those who don't understand it. Some of the basics that you have to keep in mind, especially for new traders that are still exploring intermediate ideas, is that you must know your entry and your exit before you open a position. This means before you buy a stock you know what you expect from it and a rough timeline of what to do with it.

    For simplicity, keep your long term positions (aiming to hold for 10+ years) separated in some way from your trading which you will probably rarely hold over 366 days. If you analyze that a stock worth 50 has a high chance of trading between 55-60 in 3 months or less then be ready to sell when a peak is hit. Even if it happens in a few days. The idea is you are also using some leverage so you don't go around holding cash and paying the cost of inflation.

    It's very easy to see your target of 60 get hit in 1 week and then try to hold it hoping for 70 when the mania takes over and you see positive signals in the news. If you have several positions it is okay to have varied exits for them but don't get greedy and hold a stock that hit your exit target because it got there too early.

    When you get good at buying the dip you will use at least some leverage and so the cost of holding and being greedy also includes the cost of that leverage. With these uncertain times there are many examples where a stock might hit your target and pull back and even go higher than your target in the same week. The first time your target is hit don't hesitate. If you want to open another position on the dip with a higher exit or a obligatory longer time holding then do so.

    No one went broke taking profits. Don't start ignoring your strategies because everything is doing well. When a chain of uncertain events start hitting and you've become undisciplined you will regret doing so and you may fall back to emotions instead of the discipline you should have kept the whole time.

    submitted by /u/ManofWordsMany
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    Psycho Market Recap - Thur Sept 30

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 01:07 PM PDT

    Stocks finished lower in a whipsaw session that saw equities plummet near the middle of the session before somewhat recovering and then selling off to close the end of the day. Market participants continue to anxiously wait for any developments out of Washington DC and monitor the Treasury yield. The S&P 500 (SPY) is set to record it's first negative month all year. September, on average, is historically the worst month for equities.

    Recently, technology stocks have been under pressure given the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has spiked to the hover around the highest levels since June. Rising Treasury yields hurt high-growth stocks, like technology, the most because these companies require a lot of capital to fund their growth and expansion and generate most of their cash and earnings years down the road. Future cash decreases in today's dollars as rates increase partly because investors have more opportunities to earn bigger returns from assets paying higher interest and dividends right now. While higher yields are generally seen as a bet on a strengthening economic environment, it does make it more expensive to borrow capital, which weighs heavily on growth stocks, which are valued heavily based on future earnings projections. As of writing, the yield is 1.52%

    Timothy Chubb, Chief Investment Officer at advisory firm Girard, said "Yesterday's selloff was really largely driven by rate movement. It wasn't necessarily the size of the rate movement, but the speed that it took place." The yield gained more than 16 basis points from its low last Friday to Monday's peak of 1.56%.

    Paul Schatz, President of Heritage Capital, said "This [the recent dip] feels a lot worse than it actually is because we haven't had much volatility since last October, last September. But remember, all the reasons why we're going down — nothing is new. You've got the debt ceiling and the government shutdown and Evergrande and inflation. All known things. None of these are going to befall the bull market or cause a recession. There's always some kind of short-term thing the market focuses on to get a pullback going. We've got it. I think it's one you buy with both hands in the next week or so, and I think we're going strongly to new highs in Q4."

    Congressional lawmakers continue to race in order to pass legislation to fund the government until next year and prevent a shutdown and raise the debt ceiling in order to save the US government from defaulting on its debts. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned that Congress must raise the debt limit by October 18 in order to avoid a default. This comes amid a backdrop of ongoing debates surrounding the bipartisan $1 trillion infrastructure deal. Last night, Republicans refused to pass a bill to avert a government shutdown and raise or suspend the debt limit to prevent the US from defaulting on its debts. Unfortunately, something that is fairly routine (the debt ceiling has been raised 80 times since 1960 and three times under President Trump, with the latest suspension in 2019) has become a headline with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell stating that he would not provide the Republican votes necessary. This is a situation to monitor today.

    https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-congress-government-funding-e7bfe8a6ffdb40a8d33e17ef11ded7a7

    Jason Grumet, Bipartisan Policy Center President, said "It is really important that we separate the shutdown, which is terrible, from the debt limit, which is catastrophic. There could be, I think, a very short shutdown of the government Friday night going into Saturday, Sunday. And I think that you would then see a short continuing resolution to get the government running again. The government shutdown really isn't the problem we're grappling with. The problem we're grappling with really is the debt ceiling. Democrats tried to join them together. That did not make the sale for Republicans. Some Democrats have a different approach to the debt ceiling. But I am not particularly concerned about a government shutdown."

    The Weekly Unemployment Report showed an unexpected rise in first-time jobless claims last week, even as companies across industries look to hire workers to make up for labor shortfalls and the first rise in jobless claims in months. Here are the numbers

    • Initial unemployment claims: 362,000 vs. 330,000 expected, and an unrevised 351,000 during prior week

    Continuing claims: 2.802 million vs. 2.790 million expected, and a revised 2.820 million during prior week

    "The future belongs to those who believe in the beauty of their dreams." -Eleanor Roosevelt

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    Stock Market adjusted for FED balance sheet

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 06:45 PM PDT

    Stock Market adjusted for FED balance sheet

    Hi everyone!

    To create the chart above I took:

    and further divided each daily Wilshire index value by each daily Federal Reserve sheet value.

    You can think of it as the amount of the stock market value for every dollar on the FED balance sheet; or as the stock market value as if the FED balance sheet never changed.

    submitted by /u/111011010110001
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    $GGPI - EV company with over 20k cars delivered and $1.6B revenue this year to go public at less than half of $LCID's marketcap

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 05:16 PM PDT

    $GGPI - EV company with over 20k cars delivered and $1.6B revenue this year to go public at less than half of $LCID's marketcap

    GGPI is bringing Polestar public, which is a swedish electric vehicle company that has ACTUAL REVENUE from vehicle sales worldwide! They have delivered well over 20,000 vehicles so far, and they are projected to have a revenue of $1.6B this year.

    https://preview.redd.it/ymk6lqgneqq71.png?width=1058&format=png&auto=webp&s=fabbc9eaecc401e6a12b0ede420960c10d10895e

    Here you can see some sales data from Europe, not included are the sales in China and North America:

    https://www.polestar-forum.com/threads/polestar-european-sales.573/post-66880

    The table shows the numbers in million SEK, Polestar did $636 million USD in revenue in 2020 which is slated to grow by 151% in 2021 to $1.6B:

    https://preview.redd.it/8usbsobqeqq71.png?width=1176&format=png&auto=webp&s=2e91f2ee3848025b3ac79d9b1072584d22255b07

    That's BEFORE the release of the Polestar 3, their new SUV which will be "made in the USA" in Ridgeville, NC, as well as their 4th model which is the Polestar Precept. It is a full-size electric sedan comparable to an S-Class or the Lucid Air in size:

    https://preview.redd.it/3i6kn8koeqq71.png?width=1200&format=png&auto=webp&s=37ed9393e51b268267c6dee8131497fa8c2584ca

    Guggenheim Partners is a massive investment bank with over $250B AUM. They are well-known within the industry with a great reputation. Ever heard of the Guggenheim Museum for modern art in New York? They belong to the big boys club.

    Upside:

    I am pretty sure you guys know that LCID is trading at $44B and Rivian is looking to IPO at $80B this year. Together they have delivered 0 vehicles to their customers, Polestar is going public at $20B at $10 per share. You can do your own math but I am pretty confident a 50% upside or $30B marketcap are realistic for this company.

    I was an investor in CCIV/LCID and now I am in GGPI/Polestar. Both companies offer exceptionally great returns IMO but GGPI at $10.30 and 20B market-cap seems to be a lot cheaper at the moment. I am not saying Polestar is better than Lucid, just that it might be a better investment at the current price. Lucid's tech is outstanding but Polestar also has a lot going for them!

    MY POSITION:

    12,150 shares and 100 calls of different strikes and expiries.

    submitted by /u/Sam-101010
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    SP500 Winners and Losers | 9/30/2021

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 03:55 PM PDT

    Winners

    Winner of the day by sector | SP500:

    Sector | Company | Ticker | % Price Change

    1. Industrials | Generac Holdings Inc. | GNRC | 0.53%
    2. Health Care | Moderna Inc | MRNA | 1.57%
    3. Information Technology | Paychex, Inc. | PAYX | 4.29%
    4. Communication Services | Electronic Arts Inc. | EA | 3.26%
    5. Consumer Discretionary | Wynn Resorts, Limited | WYNN | 1.34%
    6. Utilities | NextEra Energy Inc | NEE | 0.24%
    7. Financials | Willis Towers Watson PLC | WLTW | 1.52%
    8. Materials | Newmont Corporation | NEM | 1.10%
    9. Real Estate | No Winners | |
    10. Consumer Staples | No Winners | |
    11. Energy | APA Corp (US) | APA | 0.75%

    Losers

    Loser of the day by sector | SP500:

    Sector | Company | Ticker | % Price Change

    1. Industrials | Deere & Company | DE | -4.50%
    2. Health Care | Anthem Inc | ANTM | -4.12%
    3. Information Technology | Oracle Corporation | ORCL | -4.46%
    4. Communication Services | Lumen Technologies Inc | LUMN | -6.24%
    5. Consumer Discretionary | CarMax, Inc | KMX | -12.63%
    6. Utilities | PPL Corp | PPL | -2.07%
    7. Financials | Charles Schwab Corporation Common Stock | SCHW | -3.36%
    8. Materials | Westrock Co | WRK | -3.95%
    9. Real Estate | Kimco Realty Corp | KIM | -3.26%
    10. Consumer Staples | Altria Group Inc | MO | -6.61%
    11. Energy | Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation | COG | -3.50%
    submitted by /u/Engineer_Economist
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    I'm 18 and want to get into stocks

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 04:17 AM PDT

    Hello. I'm a 18 year old man from Europe I have seen many posts around for people my age and younger asking for help but all the advice is for Americans and I haven't seen any for European users. So I wanted to make this post to ask if you all have any advice for a European member instead. I don't have a lot of money but I save enough and it grows over time. Sadly I'm from a poor region and I try to invest or at least start small. I don't think I would be comfortable with buying a stock above 100 euros at least at this point since I'm new and pretty scared of things I see. I have invested once in Rolls Royce Holdings PLC for like 1.6 euro and bought around 8 stocks from that. But still any advice is highly appreciated

    submitted by /u/Niycaionic
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    foxcon?

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 04:03 PM PDT

    ETFs with Investments in SP500 Winners of 9/30/2021

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 03:55 PM PDT

    Three ETF's per winner (when available)

    ETF Ticker | % invested in Winner | ETF Full Name

    Industrials: ETFs investing in Generac Holdings Inc.
    IVDG-- 3.55% Invesco Focused Discovery Growth ETF
    PRN-- 3.32% Invesco DWA Industrials Momentum ETF
    FFND-- 3.20% Future Fund Active ETF

    Health Care: ETFs investing in Moderna Inc
    BBH-- 11.48% VanEck Biotech ETF
    PTH-- 9.23% Invesco DWA Healthcare Momentum ETF
    IPO-- 9.12% Renaissance IPO ETF

    Information Technology: ETFs investing in Paychex, Inc.
    VSL-- 3.91% Volshares Large Cap ETF
    DIVS-- 2.86% SmartETFs Dividend Builder ETF
    FLQD-- 2.20% Franklin LibertyQ Global Dividend ETF

    Communication Services: ETFs investing in Electronic Arts Inc.
    HERO-- 6.05% Global X Video Games & Esports ETF
    PSJ-- 5.09% Invesco Dynamic Software ETF
    ESPO-- 4.56% VanEck Video Gaming and eSports ETF

    Consumer Discretionary: ETFs investing in Wynn Resorts, Limited
    BJK-- 2.55% VanEck Gaming ETF

    Utilities: ETFs investing in NextEra Energy Inc
    UTES-- 22.32% Virtus Reaves Utilities ETF
    XLU-- 16.95% Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund
    VPU-- 14.89% Vanguard Utilities ETF

    Financials: ETFs investing in Willis Towers Watson PLC
    GVIP-- 2.19% Goldman Sachs Hedge Industry VIP ETF
    GURU-- 1.56% Global X Guru Index ETF

    Materials: ETFs investing in Newmont Corporation
    RING-- 21.32% iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF
    GDX-- 14.77% VanEck Gold Miners ETF
    SGDM-- 10.92% Sprott Gold Miners ETF

    Real Estate: ETFs investing in No Winners
    N/A--

    Consumer Staples: ETFs investing in No Winners
    N/A--

    Energy: ETFs investing in APA Corp (US)
    FRAK-- 3.04% VanEck Vectors Unconventional Oil & Gas ETF
    XOP-- 2.41% SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
    QVAL-- 2.11% Alpha Architect U.S. Quantitative Value ETF

    Happy investing!

    submitted by /u/Engineer_Economist
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    Gold Moving in Bearish Channel on 4H TF

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 07:24 PM PDT

    TLDR: US fed frets over getting inflation call wrong, so gets on knees for Saudi Prince and begs for oil price reprieve

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 07:14 PM PDT

    Here's Your Daily Market Brief For September 30th

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 05:51 AM PDT

    📰 Top News

    • S&P 500 Futures are +.41%; Dow Futures are +.38%; NASDAQ Futures are +.53%
    • US stock futures move slightly higher after the Senate agreed on a deal to avoid a government shutdown. Initial jobless claims rose higher than expected indicating that, despite a recovering economy, US hiring remains sluggish. Initial jobless claims 362k vs 335k expected.
    • The Senate agreed on a deal to avoid a government shutdown, which would fund the government until December 3rd, in addition to providing money for hurricane relief and Afghan refugee resettlement. However, the deal doesn't include the Democrat's request to suspend the debt ceiling, which is still required to prevent the government from defaulting. Note: There have been discussions to produce a $1T platinum coin to help cover some of Washington's bills to avoid the debt ceiling
    • UK's spot power prices rose to the highest level on record, leading to 3 more power suppliers to shut down, impacting 233k households. On the other hand, China may increase power prices for industrial consumers to alleviate supply concerns. Note: Power shortages in China could lead to higher prices for goods throughout the world because Chinese factories may need to reduce output due to rising costs
    • The US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of Japan, and Bank of England all voiced that inflation rates, around the world, are temporary and are due to supply chain disruptions. Note: There are signs, from Citigroups' survey and the behavior of European bond investors, that people are preparing for a long inflation period

    🎯 Price Target Updates

    • Wells Fargo lifted the price target on The Home Depot, Inc. HD from $360 to $365
    • Raymond James lifted the price target for Jabil Inc. JBL from $66 to $70
    • UBS boosted FactSet Research Systems Inc. FDS price target from $303 to $415

    📻 In Other News

    • G7 countries' transport and health ministers are meeting today to talk about how to restart international travel
    • Elon Musk criticizes President Biden's EV policy saying that the US government should not regulate cryptocurrency
    • Facebook's head of global safety will testify to the Senate Commerce Committee about Instagram's effect on young users
    submitted by /u/hivincentc
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    Quick sndl update

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 04:49 PM PDT

    Nio, Inc. (NYSE: NIO) launched its ES8 all-electric SUV in Norway ���� Thursday and also commenced delivery of the vehicle. The company said its first-ever Nio House will open in Oslo Friday.

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 02:48 PM PDT

    WPP and Snap Inc. launch Augmented Reality partnership

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 09:10 AM PDT

    HUB's acquisition with Comsec brings competition

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 12:52 PM PDT

    Recently HUB security, an ex Israeli military cyber security company, acquired Comsec and expanded their sales to 40+ more countries resulting in doubling its revenues. HUB security is unique in their approach to cyber security by building protected hardware that does "confidential computing". This acquisition strengthens HUB's position in competition with other big cyber sec. companies such as Fortinet and Palo Alto Network

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hub-security-acquires-leading-cyber-095500671.html?.tsrc=fin-srch

    submitted by /u/AlbertineVierra121
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    #premarket #watchlist 09/30 $SDPI - no news. oil pump , $FAMI -Farmmi Issues CEO Update Letter; Expands Addressable Market Through Acquisition; Increased Growth and Expanded , $CEI - oil pump .... Any trading ideas? Welcome in comments!

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 03:07 AM PDT

    AMA with CAIA's CEO Bill Kelly and Exec. VP John Bowman - Wednesday, October 6th @ 1PM EST over at r/CAIA

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 08:55 AM PDT

    Hi everyone, I hope this AMA can be useful for this community. Take a look.

    ------

    r/CAIA is excited to host Bill Kelly, the CEO of the CAIA and Exec. VP John Bowman on Wednesday October 6th @ 1PM EST.

    They will create a thread in r/CAIA at 1pm EST on Wednesday October 6th where you can ask your questions there.

    Bio on Bill Kelly (CEO)

    William (Bill) J. Kelly is the CEO of the CAIA Association. Bill has been a frequent industry speaker, writer, and commentator on alternative investment topics around the world since taking the leadership role at the CAIA Association in January, 2014. Previously, Bill was the CEO of Boston Partners and one of seven founding partners of the predecessor firm, Boston Partners Asset Management which, prior to a majority interest being sold to Robeco Group in Rotterdam in 2002, was an employee-owned firm. Bill's career in the institutional asset management space spans over 30 years where he gained extensive managerial experience through successive CFO, COO and CEO roles

    Bio on John Bowman (Exec. VP)

    John serves as Executive Vice President for the CAIA Association, overseeing the industry leading CAIA charter, thought leadership, and CAIA's Asia Pacific growth aspirations.

    submitted by /u/mattlas
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    Warren Buffet Advice For Investing

    Posted: 30 Sep 2021 12:39 PM PDT

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