Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - August 01, 2021 Investing |
- Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - August 01, 2021
- Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. August 01, 2021
- Nikola electric truck prototypes were powered by hidden wall sockets, says prosecutors.
- What do the ultra rich do beforehand to prepare for a suspected upcoming recession and/or inflation to be able to profit when things go bad?
- The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review [Research paper]
- "The best stock market ever" - two solid opinions
- Should I go 10% Cash or 10% Bonds? Are buying bonds today betting that interest rates go negative?
- Fidelity new low fee mutual funds....vs track record
- Factor investing - iShares vs. JPMorgan?
- Balancing out your portfolio feels so good!
- Vanguard Roth IRA- trying to swing trade some shares but don’t know how to designate the selling of shares as lot instead of first in first out
- Why Not Simply Short EMB?
Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - August 01, 2021 Posted: 01 Aug 2021 02:01 AM PDT Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! This thread is for:
Keep in mind that this subreddit, and this thread, is not an appropriate venue for questions that should be directed towards your broker's customer support or google. If you would like to ask a question about your personal situation or if you are asking for advice please keep these posts in the daily advice thread as that thread is more well suited for those questions. Any posts that should be comments in this thread will likely be removed. [link] [comments] |
Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. August 01, 2021 Posted: 01 Aug 2021 02:00 AM PDT If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:
Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq And our side bar also has useful resources. Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions! [link] [comments] |
Nikola electric truck prototypes were powered by hidden wall sockets, says prosecutors. Posted: 31 Jul 2021 09:51 PM PDT Excerpts from the article:
Immediately followed by:
The fraud has been so cartoonishly blatant yet the company still has a $4.7B valuation. If Enron existed today it would have its dedicated subreddit with diehard followers and it would still have a $10B valuation all the way to the end. At least Enron was a real, legitimately profitably company for most of its history, that's much more than what you can say about Nikola. [link] [comments] |
Posted: 31 Jul 2021 12:27 PM PDT "The rich get richer and the poor get poorer" What kind of investments do they do to win and profit off an UPCOMING economic downturn? Thinking of 2008 and the Great Depression specifically, or any time the rich got richer and the poor got poorer. I'm wondering how… Do they hoard on gold first? Buy real estate? Buy competing businesses? Increase their debt as leverage? I watched a few videos on this subject, seems to be all over the place. Not looking for a secret formula, but maybe an explanation of what you think and why. I read about debt. Some of the "winners" bought a bunch of properties to amass as much debt as they could, so that when a recession would hit, they'd end-up paying so much less. But then my question is, if before a crash properties are super inflated at the start, does that mean they purchase huge amount of over valued properties on debt hoping for it to crash? How does that even make sense / work if you can't even pay the mortgages? My gut says I should be doing at least one of the above in the coming months… [link] [comments] |
The Profitability of Technical Analysis: A Review [Research paper] Posted: 31 Jul 2021 11:41 AM PDT Read full paper here Shortened quotes version; Abstract
Introduction Technical analysis is a forecasting method of price movements using past prices, volume, and open interest.2 Pring (2002), a leading technical analyst, provides a more specific definition:
Survey Studies
(Quite a lot more in this survey section but will leave it at that to keep this somewhat brief)
Theory The Efficient Markets Hypothesis The efficient markets hypothesis has long been a dominant paradigm in describing the behavior of prices in speculative markets. Working (1949, p. 160) provided an early version of the hypothesis:
(I'm going to skip some section now but the full table of content is at the bottom of the post) Chart Pattern Studies
Summary and Conclusion
Other chapters not mentioned; The Martingale Model Random Walk Models Noisy Rational Expectations Models Noise Traders and Feedback Models Other Models 13 Summary of Theory Empirical Studies Technical Trading Systems Dual Moving Average Crossover Outside Price Channel Relative Strength Index Alexander's Filter Rule Early Empirical Studies (1960-1987) Overview Representative Early Studies Summary of Early Studies Modern Empirical Studies (1988-2004) Overview Representative Modern Studies Standard Studies Model-Based Bootstrap Studies Genetic Programming Studies Reality Check Studies Chart Pattern Studies Nonlinear Studies Other Studies Summary of Modern Studies Summary and Conclusion [link] [comments] |
"The best stock market ever" - two solid opinions Posted: 31 Jul 2021 06:11 AM PDT Since the last 12 years have been so great for the U.S. stock market, these two articles from the past week are must-reads, IMO. First, from the well-known Ben Carlson - As Good As It Gets? And then a riff from The Best Interest - Are We In The Best Stock Market Period…Ever? Both short, succinct, worth reading. TLDR - markets have been very good recently...but have been even better in the past. [link] [comments] |
Should I go 10% Cash or 10% Bonds? Are buying bonds today betting that interest rates go negative? Posted: 31 Jul 2021 04:07 AM PDT I have 45% in an international index fund (excludes US stocks), 30% in SP500, 15% in small/mid cap index. I would like to keep 10% in bonds or cash to take advantage of rebalancing. But I'm not sure how I feel about bonds right now. If you are buying bonds now, isn't that kind of like betting interest rates will go negative? I know bonds tend to go down in value when interest rates go up. And it seems a common theme now is investors shorting bonds, which is a little scary to be honest. The Cash fund offered in my plan is " Invesco Stable Val Trust CF", which basically tracks the "FTSE 3 Month US T-Bill Index Series". It has a 0.35% expense ratio, which is kind of high for a cash fund imo. The Bond Index offered is State Steet US Bond Index NL, which basically tracks the "Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index". It only has a 0.06% expense ratio. Thank you for your time [link] [comments] |
Fidelity new low fee mutual funds....vs track record Posted: 31 Jul 2021 08:20 PM PDT I've been looking at automating some of my investments specifically my retirement. In doing so I've been looking at different mutual funds at fidelity. I have noticed that recently in the past 3 years fidelity has come out with a lot of low expense fee mutual funds that seem to complete directly with their more established mutual funds. FCPGX has expense ration of 1.09 while FECGX has expense ratio of .05, both are small cap growth mutual funds however FECGX while cheaper has only been around for a year or two while FCPGX has been for more than 10 years. Question is how important is the longevity of the fund? [link] [comments] |
Factor investing - iShares vs. JPMorgan? Posted: 01 Aug 2021 01:52 AM PDT Do you think "JPM Global Equity Multi-Factor UCITS ETF - USD (acc)" is a good investment long-term? I'm planning to keep it for 45 years. Other UCITS ETF's that are good to buy in Europe? Is the ones from iShare better?
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Balancing out your portfolio feels so good! Posted: 31 Jul 2021 07:04 AM PDT I'll admit, I fell into the trap of investing in speculative companies at the start of this year (when I started investing). At one point I was 40% in speculative companies and they started dropping like rocks. Over the last few months I've been buying more well established companies, diversifying into different sectors and man it feels great to see the % of my speculative investments drop. Still got a way to go but great for my peace of mind. Still looking for some more sectors in my portfolio but at the moment everything seems a little overpriced so going to keep averaging into an index and oversold companies until we get a decent pullback. Current Portfolio : AAPL - 20% AMZN - 17% BABA - 8% Global Index - 8% BP - 7% PLTR - 6% NIO - 6% XPEV - 5% ARK - 11% Other (AMD, TSM, RR, SOFI, LEV, UAL) - 15% Any input appreciated! [link] [comments] |
Posted: 31 Jul 2021 09:20 AM PDT So I have some shares of a company that I bought when it was cheap and want to hold onto those as I expect it to grow in long term .but the current price is fluctuating a lot from ath . And would like to try and swing trade it in my vanguard Roth account but don't know if it's possible to sell by lot. I don't want to sell the shares I bought for cheap but the more expensive shares I bought recently to preserve my gains . Is this possible in a Roth IRA? [link] [comments] |
Posted: 31 Jul 2021 04:55 PM PDT This strategy seems low-risk and high-reward so something must be wrong with it. Yet I fail to spot the problem. Could someone please ELI5 how I will lose all my money trying to do this?
So basically, be long SPY, which is currently bringing handsome profits, and short EMB, as a hedge against the profits disappearing in a crash. How this will ruin a careless investor? [link] [comments] |
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