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    Saturday, July 31, 2021

    Stocks - Does anyone else have a moral obligation not to invest in certain stocks?

    Stocks - Does anyone else have a moral obligation not to invest in certain stocks?


    Does anyone else have a moral obligation not to invest in certain stocks?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 05:54 AM PDT

    I would consider myself a very moral person, I invest but I'd still rather money go to the average person than a corporation. Like if a large company i have money in gets slapped with a deserved fine or lawsuit im happy even though I will lose money

    I could never invest in tobacco, oil, defence, MLM stocks like herbalife, diamond mines, huge shady banks like goldman, or just morally abhorrent companies like nestle and Monsanto

    I know you could make the argument that every company is actually morally abhorrent because they exist solely to make money and I'd agree with you, but in a late capitalist world where the wealth gap is higher than ever and social climbing is at the lowest it has ever been you have to make bread in some way or another

    I absolutely loathe war profiteers, I loathe tobacco companies because my grandad died of lung cancer, I loathe mlm stocks because they trap average working people in debt, I loathe diamond mines for creating artificial scarcity and for hiring mercanries to murder striking diamond workers. So why would I give my money to any of them and contribute to helping them reach their goals? How would it be moral to profit off these bloodsucking leeches?

    I know wallstreet is sociopath/psychopath central, I mean they collapsed the global economy in 2008 because they were making so much money fucking over the average person but I really hate that attitude that you should leave morals at the door when investing. With that attitude these companies will continue to exploit and hurt people, "someone has to profit why not it be you?" why does anyone need to profit off it? I have seen a few comments on reddit saying that they would invest in a company even if it used slavery which I find sickening

    Does anyone else not invest in certain companies/industries out of their moral beliefs or do you leave morals at the door?

    submitted by /u/Grand_Ad_7440
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    Microvast ~ MVST

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 06:16 AM PDT

    Microvast - MVST

    Microvast - Leader in the fast charging batteries. Full charge in 20minutes !

    New interview w/ Microvast COO Shane Smith

    Some key quotes:

    The primary reason that we even went to the public markets was to raise enough capital to support the orders we already have in place. We won more business then we have capacity for"

    -Solid State Battery -Lithium Metal battery -High Temperature Cells (Sports Car Application)

    Vertically integrated & proprietary - $1.5B contracted revenue thru 2027 - $100M+ revenue 2020 / $2.3B 2025E revenue - 550+ patents - 3.8B+ miles with ZERO operational accidents - 28K+ battery systems in operation in 19 countries & 160 cities

    1800+ total employees (500+ R&D personnel) - Full Range of Energy Densities: 85 – 265 Wh / Kg - Long cycle lives: 2,500+ – 20,000+ - Best-in-Class Charging Performance: 10-30 mins - Products for all classes of commercial vehicles, passenger vehicles & energy storage solutions.

    Product specs vs. closest competitor

    Range per charge: 370 miles vs. 300 miles Speed of charge: 12 mins for 70% vs. 30 mins for 60% Lifespan: 3000 cycles vs. 1000 cycles Lifetime Throughput Mileage: 1M miles vs. 270K miles

    • 2025 Adjacent TAM = ~ $45B
    • 55% CAGR 2020-2025E

    Microvast's batteries are now integrated in ~30K vehicles, running in 160 cities, 19 countries, for a total of over 3.8 billion miles traveled on its batteries to date w/ 0 accidents.

    On the Board of Directors at Microvast is Dr. M. Stanley Whittingham, who was recently awarded the Nobel Prize in Chemistry for his ground-breaking work on lithium-ion batteries.

    Will Support OshkoshDefense in future progress which includes the USPS Contract

    Microvast's marquee customer partnerships w/ industry leaders, including Gaussin, FPT Industrial, Oshkosh and a "leading German luxury sports car company", this is due to be announced shortly as well as R&D partnerships w/ BMW & Ford

    Could the luxury OEM partner be Mercedes? 1 year ago Mercedes-Benz's decided to build the new generation of the eSprinter electric van in Ludwigsfelde which coincidentally is the same proximity of Microvast.

    Microvast is light years ahead of $QS QuantumScapeCo in every aspect.

    If you want a piece of the EV Battery sector, this is it.

    These batteries are also FIRE PROOF

    submitted by /u/2019Jamesy
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    Does dividend investing suck?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 10:08 AM PDT

    Hello I been Investing in dividend stocks (with around 2.5k in growth stocks, Apple and Microsoft) for a bit over a year and have a 14k portfolio with a 3% dividend yield. I will receive $393 in dividends per year that's 32.75 average per month. This feels pointless and I should just buy growth stocks in an Roth Ira or something because I will not have a significate amount of dividend that will make me feel like it was worth it any time soon( I do not want to wait 10-20 years before I get 1k per month or something. What do you guys think about dividend investing?

    submitted by /u/Lumberjacklord
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    AHPI - Allied Healthcare Products

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 12:03 PM PDT

    Allied Healthcare Products, Inc. manufactures and markets respiratory products for use in the health care industry in a range of hospitals and alternate site settings worldwide.

    This is a delta variant play. The stock reached a high of 45 last year when the virus started getting worse. The situation is worsening again and mask mandates and other corona restrictions are popping up again around the country. Friday the stock with a 4 million share OS had over 100 million shares traded. It only rose 40% to $8.25 per share. With that as a new base and the situation worsening it should be expected that the market will start looking at these types of plays again this week. With such a small float and expected interest this stock could climb to last years highs. Even if it does just half that then it still could more than double from here.

    submitted by /u/DrStocks
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    What to make of PINS?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 07:26 AM PDT

    I've posted about PINS once before in the past, I still believe in the stock, but I'm faced with a somewhat difficult decision and cannot figure out what I should do.

    I'm concerned a bit about them missing out on their MAU target, I was expecting the amount of people to use PINS to decrease a bit, but their swing and a miss on their target and the subsequent drop in share price is concerning. I'm only down roughly $600 which isn' a huge loss however.

    Why I like the stock hasn't changed, they blew past their earnings and revenue estimates, their Global MAU's are up 9%, their total Cash is up 21% but the thing I'm worried about is how their share price seems to be dictated solely by the amount of US users they have. Should I realize the loss and then just put the money into one of my safer holdings such as Apple, Microsoft or AMD? thanks

    submitted by /u/OwningTheWorld
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    Is the EV market still viable or wait a few years?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 07:18 AM PDT

    As most everyone knows, the EV sector has been introducing multiple companies in the past year or two. Most of which came about via another process rather than direct IPO.

    We all know the grandaddy Tesla, who seems unstoppable, will trade like a penny stock with it's volatility most days but somehow is maintaining it's SP and marketcap. With their float and current offerings alongside brand recognition...it seems they'll stick around for a long time.

    Now considering other companies that get shilled a ton on many subreddits such as RIDE, WKHS, GOEV, HYLN, NKLA, Rivian, LCID, or even FFIE.

    Most if not all of these companies spiked heavily last year and had a meteoric fall back down losing over 50-80% of their peak "value". It seems most have found a bottom, but even that is suspect as most don't have revenue or even a product until next year. Most won't strike a profit til 2025-6 at the earliest.

    Those that are invested or investing in the EV market currently, do you think it's all uphill from here or will things continue to get beaten down and shorted til many go bankrupt? Which companies listed or unlisted above do you think has the best chances to survive to production?

    submitted by /u/Snurtysnurts
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    Are companies like Microsoft, Apple, Amazon etc too big to fail?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 07:02 AM PDT

    I'm genuinely curious with the size of these companies, what it would take for them to actually fall off?

    I remember someone during the March rally describing how Microsoft stock fell substantially during the 2008 crisis, however that extreme kind of drop won't happen again cause it would wipe a couple hundred billions off the market cap, and companies smaller than it would cease to exist if that were to happen?

    What are everyone's thoughts?

    submitted by /u/zelexius
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    What could possible mass rental evictions mean for the economy

    Posted: 30 Jul 2021 10:21 PM PDT

    It seems like we're coming up on evictions in the US resuming after being put on hold for covid. I'm trying to read up on this more.

    My main questions are could the hold on evictions could of been contributing to the raise in housing prices we have been seeing? Even if it's just a small piece.

    And if evictions suddenly start happening at once in large numbers what effects could this have? Would this effect the real estate area of the economy negatively?

    Sorry for being a very uninformed question. I've gotten good at reading charts and understand options but the underlying cause and effect of the economy is not something I understand.

    submitted by /u/inthea215
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    Google stock

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 09:58 AM PDT

    My biggest positions are Apple and Microsoft which have been doing very well these past couple of years.

    I recently inherited 50K and was thinking of throwing it into Google.

    Does anyone have any suggestions?

    submitted by /u/donny453
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    Carbon streaming is the future

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 10:56 AM PDT

    Date 7/30/2021 Speculator midagedinvestor86 Contributors

    Strategy Bullish / Stock (20% of portfolio, will likely go higher) Ticker $OFSTF Entry Price $1.40 Price when I exited TBD

    Hello! I'm a stock speculator and investor that is very bullish on carbon credits and companies in the space. This is my thesis on what I see as the best company in the space: Carbon Streaming Corporation.

    I'm not a financial advisor and you need to make your own decisions about what you do with your own money, I am just telling you why I am so bullish.

    Thesis

    Carbon credits are a relatively new commodity that few people have even heard of yet. The market is growing at a rapid pace and is estimated by at least one leading natural resource investor (more on him later) to be larger than the oil market by the year 2050, maybe even as early as 2040. That is not a typo, the growth in carbon credits is expected to make carbon credits the largest commodity market in the world in 30 years time. This is from a base of only about 1.5 billion this year total and only $320 million this year in the voluntary carbon market specifically.

    (https://www.cnbc.com/2021/07/08/carbon-credits-institute-of-international-finance-sees-huge-potential.html)

    https://www.carbonstreaming.com/_resources/presentations/corporate-presentation.pdf?v=0.4

    Why will this market grow so much in the next few decades? Because going green is good business! Regardless of whether you believe in man made global warming, this is one of the greatest money making opportunities of a generation and it would be foolish to not recognize and capitalize on it.

    The ESG (Environmental, Sustainability, Governance) trend is unstoppable and requires that businesses around the world change their practices to make the world a better place. One of the biggest ways of doing this is to lower their carbon emissions. While many countries around the world are creating cap and trade schemes, there is also a rapidly growing "voluntary" carbon market. Some companies such as large oil producers are in a business that will always generate massive amounts of CO2 emissions however they can "offset" this by producing or alternatively purchasing carbon credits. Why would they do that? Because they want to lower their cost of capital and make their shares attractive to the rapidly growing pools of capital that are mandated to only invest in ESG friendly companies. By lowering their carbon emissions by purchasing carbon credits or building projects that generate carbon credits the company is then able to issue "green bonds", which have a lower cost to the company than regular bond issuances: https://katusaresearch.com/carbonomics/

    The green bond market is massive and growing all the time. These are bonds of companies that meet certain ESG specifications. Global ESG debt issuance just surpassed 3 trillion dollars in total this month. (Source: https://katusaresearch.com/carbonomics/) And that will not stop growing. It took 12 years for the first trillion in ESG bonds to be issued, the second trillion took one year, the third took only six months!

    The cost of capital is critical for large scale capital intensive businesses like hydrocarbon production firms such as Exxon or Chevron or large industrial metal producers like Rio Tinto or Freeport. By lowering their cost of capital these businesses create huge cost savings for their operations and by going green these companies open their shares up to be bought by far more institutional investors who, because of many factors, are often now required to only buy shares in businesses that have a good ESG scorecard. While it costs money in legal fees, compliance officers etc. to make a company ESG friendly, the savings a company experiences from a lowered cost of capital more than makes up for it.

    Oil giant Shell unjust lost a court ruling in the Netherlands that will now require them to cut their greenhouse gas emissions by 45% by 2030: https://www.reuters.com/business/legal/big-oil-may-get-more-climate-lawsuits-after-shell-ruling-lawyers-activists-2021-05-28/

    To put this in perspective, this will require Shell to buy and/or create 100 million carbon credits per year for the next decade. Is Shell just a one off? No! 24 hours after the Shell court ruling, the board of directors of Exxon was disrupted and two board seats were won in an acrimonious proxy fight by an unknown climate fund called Engine No.1.

    Then the shareholders of Chevron voted, and changes will happen there too.

    It is inevitable that other large oil companies and large resource miners get with the program.

    Carbon credit prices in the voluntary market are likely to rise considerably over the next few years. As legendary Canadian resource investor Marin Katusa puts it:

    "All of this is building up a pressure chamber of demand in the Voluntary Carbon Market that has not yet reached a tipping point.

    When it does, there's a lot of upside to be had.

    Because It's the perfect setup for a long squeeze in the Voluntary Carbon Market:

    Rising emissions from a growing population. Tightening government mandates on carbon emissions. Increasing consumer demand for environmental responsible. More transparency in emissions reporting. Corporate buy-in at every level, even from non-emitting companies. All together, this is going to result in a desperate scramble for high-quality carbon offsets, of which there are few.

    If you thought the rise in the price of lumber was crazy in early 2021…

    Just wait until you see the VCM market in five years."

    (https://katusaresearch.com/the-adoption-rate-of-this-obscure-commodity-will-be-the-fastest-of-all-commodities/)

    If you want to read more a really good primer on Carbon Credits read this: https://www.forbes.com/sites/erikkobayashisolomon/2020/03/13/want-to-understand-carbon-credits-read-this/?sh=4032228671aa

    Company Overview

    Carbon Streaming Corporation ("CSC") just went public in Canada under the ticker symbol NETZ (for "Net Zero") and trades in the US on the over the counter exchange under the ticker symbol OFSTF.

    The business model CSC is going to employ is in my opinion brilliant. They are going to finance carbon credit generation projects all over the world in exchange for streams of carbon credits. Let me explain. Back in the 1980's and 1990's companies like Franco Nevada, Wheaton Precious Metals, and Royal Gold pioneered a new business model within the gold industry. Instead of spending money exploring for gold deposits and putting them into production by building mines, they provided investment capital to mining companies in exchange for royalties on the mine's gold production. For example, the royalty company would invest say 150 million dollars into a miner and in exchange they would receive 2% of all the revenue generated by the mine over the entire life of the mine. By doing this the royalty company got exposure to the price of the underlying commodity but took drastically less risk by avoiding having to build and operate the mine themselves. Later this business model added the concept of "streams". A "stream" or "streaming deal" is one where again the royalty company like Franco Nevada puts up serious money to help another firm build their mine, and in exchange they get the option, for example, of purchasing say 20% of all the gold produced by the mine for an artificially low price of $400 per ounce. This deal would be called a "gold stream".

    This business model has worked remarkably well in the precious metals space with Franco Nevada returning much more over the long term than gold itself, the Nasdaq, and GDX, the markets leading gold stock ETF: https://www.franco-nevada.com/about-us/Overview/default.aspx

    These royalty stocks trade at drastically higher multiples than golder miners themselves and currently the three biggest precious metal royalty companies, Franco Nevada, Wheaton, and Royal Gold trade at price to sales ratios of 28, 18, and 14 respectively: www.Finviz.com

    Enter Carbon Streaming Corporation. This company is going to employ the Franco Nevada royalty model to Carbon Credits. The company just raised over $100 million USD in a financing bringing the total cash in their treasury to $141 million USD with no debt. With about 200 million shares outstanding undiluted this amounts to about $0.70 per share in cash. The stock currently trades at about $1.40 per share meaning that when you "net out" the cash, the market is giving Carbon Steaming an Enterprise Value of $140 million. In my opinion this is cheap given the size of the opportunity, the quality of management, and the first mover advantage the company will enjoy for the next 6-12 months.

    The CEO of Carbon Streaming is Mr. Justin Cochrane, former investment banker and executive vice president of Sandstorm Gold (NYSE: SAND) , a very successful gold royalty company that has grown from a tiny micro cap to a large player in the space that may one day be considered amongst the giants like Franco Nevada. He has personally been involved with hundreds of millions of dollars of royalty transactions in the precious metals space. He put up millions of dollars of his own money in this latest financing round which is critically important when considering investing in smaller companies in my opinion. The management team as a whole bought 10 million worth of the latest financing.

    The shareholder roster for the company is also very impressive and includes legendary Canadian resource entrepreneurs/investors Marin Katusa and Ross Beatty. Mr. Katusa recently took down almost 10% of the over $100 million dollar financing and is considered by many to be the "Young Warren Buffett" of resource investing up here in Canada. He tends to be very reserved and conservative in his valuation models and very selective about his stock picks and entry prices. He is the company's largest shareholder. In his words: "The amount of capital that has and will continue to be deployed into the Carbonomics Sector is mind boggling—it's in the hundreds of billions and will reach the trillions….Carbon Streaming Corp is the first company to get involved in the financing and production of carbon credits at a large scale. The company is priced attractively for speculators, given the early-stage venture risk….I do believe that by 2030, the carbon market can be larger than copper and gold markets, and by 2040 could be $2 trillion larger than the oil market. Let that sink in for a moment. The opportunity here is so compelling and we have a chance to get a core position in one of the leaders in this industry before it gets listed on a Big League exchange."

    The company currently owns two Carbon Credit Streams, the Marvivo Blue Carbon Project and the Bonobo Peace Forest Project. Management has stated both of these projects have Internal Rates of Return (IRR) greater than 15% which is unheard of at this point in the precious metals sector given all of the new companies and competitors have entered the space over the last 10 years. I will not go into the details here but Blue Carbon Credits are superior to regular Carbon credits and will trade at a substantial premium in terms of price. Basically blue carbon credits are created by the growth and conservation of carbon-absorbing plants, such as mangrove forests and their associated marine habitat. A blue carbon project will have its carbon credits trade at a premium because of the enormous second-order benefits on such things as, for example, corals, algae, and marine biodiversity that have been so deleteriously affected by over-fishing and farming.

    I expect management to start to deploy their war chest of cash immediately to build their portfolio of high quality carbon credit streams to position itself as the Franco Nevada of the Carbon Credit space. These deals should be positive catalysts for the stock moving forward. Management has stated they are aiming to exit 2023 at a revenue run rate of $200 million USD per year. And that is only using CURRENT PRICING for carbon credits, which actually are expected to move much higher in price over the next few years. Putting a 10-20x pierce to sales multiple on that would peg CSC with a market cap in the billions in a little over 2 years. But with all the "hot money" capital that will seek to enter this space over the next two years I would not be surprised if the market cap gets much higher than that. The reason for this is simple. Other than the exchange traded fund KRBN there are still very few ways for investors to get "pure play" exposure to carbon credits. CSC is going to be the first publicly listed company that provides investors with a way to invest in an equity 100% focused on carbon credits. Given the massive amount of capital looking to get in on this emerging hot investment trend and the tiny amount of options available to those investors, there will likely be massive buying pressure on the stock. Think of a fire hose worth of water trying to get pushed through the eye of a needle!

    While the stock currently trades on the OTC market in the US, management has made it clear that they will seek to uplist the stock to the Nasdaq or the NYSE before the end of 2021. While this seems a bit optimistic to me in terms of timing I fully expect the company to uplist at least by the end of first quarter 2022.

    Risks

    While the stock has a sizable market cap already the shares are very illiquid and if a market crash were to occur before the stock becomes more well known it may be tough to get out of a sizable position quickly without trashing the stock price even more.

    Competition-Carbon Streaming has first mover advantage in the space but I expect numerous "me too" companies to pop up in the next 6-12 months with the same business model and this will create competition for the carbon streams that may drive down the Internal Rates of Returns on streams as companies try to outbid each other for the various deals to be had.

    Trump gets back in in 2024 however I think this would merely create an initial shock lower in the stock and it would soon recover given that their assets will likely be located all over the world.

    G Trends

    You cannot do a Dumb Money High conviction Doc without including G Trend data. My experience with G Trends is limited and there may be better ways to use it for this trade but for now I am just going to show the 5 year charts for "carbon credit" worldwide and then in the USA. As you can see, both seem to be picking up steam in the last year or two:

    Here are the 5 year trends when using the keywords "Low-carbon economy" for worldwide and US searches respectively:

    Here are the 5 year G trends for "Environmental, Social and Corporate Governance" worldwide and from the US respectively

    Conclusion

    The carbon credit market is starting to take off and is poised for massive growth over the next 5, 10 and 20 years. CSC has perfectly positioned itself to take advantage of this trend by employing the proven and golden business model (pun intended) of royalty and streaming financing to this fast emerging intangible commodity space. We have a chance to get in on the ground floor of a company that could easily be worth many billions of dollars at a tiny market cap before it lists on a major exchange. The company has all the cash and management expertise that it needs to execute its business model and create enormous wealth for early shareholders. Good luck and good investing to all!

    submitted by /u/treesrlyfe
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    Loads of premium best selling books on Investing, day trading, swing trading, Ttechnical analysis etc etc.

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 01:56 PM PDT

    DM if interested

    Here's the list:

    ● 12 Simple Technical Indicators That Really Work - Mark Larson

    ● 21 Candlesticks Every Trader Should Know - Melvin Pasternak

    ● 25 Rules Of Day Trading - Douglas E. Zalesky

    ● 30 Rules For The Master Swing Trader - Alan Farley

    ● 101 Investment Tools For Buying Low & Selling High - Jae K. Shim & Jonathan Lansner

    ● A Beginners Guide To Charting Financial Markets - Michael Kahn

    ● A Beginner's Guide To The Stock Market - Matthew R. Kratter

    ● A Bull For All Seasons - Dr. Bob Froehlich

    ● A Random Walk Down Wall Street - Burton G. Malkiel

    ● A Short Course In Technical Trading - Perry J. Kaufman

    ● A Visual Guide To Elliott Wave Trading - Wayne Gorman & Jeffrey Kennedy

    ● AbleTrend Identifying And Analyzing Market Trends For Trading Success - John Wang & Grace Wang

    ● Advanced Technical Analysis Of ETF'S - Deron Wagner & Edward Balog

    ● The After Hours Trader - Michael Sincere & Deron Wagner

    ● The New Trading For A Living - Dr. Alexander Elder

    ● All About Market Timing - Leslie N. Masonson

    ● An Introduction To Financial Markets & Institutions - Maureen Burton, Reynold Nesiba & Bruce Brown

    ● Bear Market Investing Strategies - Harry D. Shultz

    ● Beating The Street - Peter Lynch

    ● Bollinger On Bollinger Bands - John Bollinger

    ● Charting Made Easy - John J. Murphy

    ● Common Sense On Murual Funds - John C. Bogle

    ● Common Stocks And Uncommon Profits - Phillip A. Fisher

    ● Crash Profits - Martin D. Weiss

    ● Day Trading For Dummies - Ann C. Logue

    ● Divorcing The Dow - Jim Troup & Sharon Michalsky

    ● Dynamic Trading Indicators - Mark W. Helweg & David C. Stendahl

    ● Encyclopedia Of Chart Patterns - Thomas N. Bulkowski

    ● Essential Technical Analysis - Leigh Stevens

    ● How To Beat The Market Makers At Their Own Game - Fausto Pugliese

    ● Fibonacci Analysis - Constance Brown

    ● Follow The Fed To Investment Success - Douglas S. Roberts

    ● Getting Started In Bonds - Sharon Saltzgiver Wright

    ● Getting Started In Chart Patterns - Thomas N. Bulkowski

    ● Getting Started In Exchange Traded Funds - Todd Lofton

    ● How To Day Trade For A Living - Andrew Aziz

    ● How To Day Trade - Ross Cameron

    ● How To Make Money In Stocks - William J. O'Neil

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    ● Irrational Exuberance - Robert J. Shiller

    ● The Volatility Edge In Options Trading - Jeff Augen

    ● The Little Book That Beats The Market - Joel Greenblatt

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    ● 101 Option Trading Secrets - Kenneth R. Trester

    ● Long-Term Secrets To Short-Term Trading - Larry Williams

    ● Learn To Earn - Peter Lynch & John Rothchild

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    ● Point & Figure Charting - Thomas J. Dorsey

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    ● Stock Market Volatility - Greg N. Gregoriou

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    ● The Intelligent Investor - Benjamin Graham

    ● The Investopedia Guide to Wall Speak - Jack Guinan

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    ● The Ultimate Trading Guide - John R. Hill, George Pruitt & Lundy Hill

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    ● Volatility Trading - Euan Sinclair

    ● Why Most Traders Never Succeed

    ● How To Take Profits, Cut Losses And Benefit From Price Declines - Dr. Alexander Elder

    ● You Can Be A Stock Market Genius - Joel Greenblatt

    submitted by /u/Dan8357
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    Want to get back into investing. Any tips?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 10:04 AM PDT

    Long story I started investing in the market when my (high school) senior year got cut short, I was doing a little bit of everything. Short term, long term, some wallstreetbets type shit as well. But mid way though my first year in college I got tight on cash and had to exit ALL my positions. Time has passed and I've been itching to start again but I feel like everything is overpriced and inflated. Any tips on what I should do/try?

    submitted by /u/insta_man
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    How does Peter Schiff, Harry Dent and so many other doomsday bears make money

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 08:40 AM PDT

    When you start trading stocks, and start digging into the dynamics of the stock market you will unequivocally stumble upon Peter Schiff, and perhaps Harry Dent and so many other doomsdays bears that have been predicting a total market collapse for years, and of course the market just keep going up.

    How do these people are able to keep their credibility and make money? As the saying goes, even a broken clock is right twice a day, and these guys haven't been right for years.

    submitted by /u/forevergeeks
    [link] [comments]

    Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning August 2nd, 2021

    Posted: 30 Jul 2021 06:55 PM PDT

    Good Friday evening to all of you here on r/stocks. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week & month ahead.

    Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning August 2nd, 2021.

    July jobs report could be what gives the market its next big jolt in the week ahead - (Source)


    Friday's jobs report could be a catalyst that helps determine whether markets are volatile or will trade like it's the quiet dog days of August.


    More than a quarter of the S&P 500 report earnings in the coming week. The calendar includes companies in sectors such as consumer staples, insurance, pharma, travel and media. From Booking Holdings to ViacomCBS, Wayfair and Kellogg, investors will be watching to see what companies say about reopening activity, supply chain disruptions and rising costs.


    "I think as much as 85% of the companies which are reporting earnings mentioned inflation on their earnings calls," Franklin Templeton Fixed Income chief investment officer Sonal Desai said. "Inflation may not be a problem to policymakers and financial markets, which seem not to be concerned at all. It does seem to bother the people who have to buy stuff or people who produce stuff."


    The jobs factor

    The Federal Reserve has said the sharp jump in inflation is just temporary, and many investors appear to be taking it in stride for now. The market is intensely focused on the central bank's other mandate: the labor market. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Wednesday he would like to see strong jobs reports before winding down the central bank's $120 billion a month bond-buying program.


    The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report on the morning of Friday, Aug. 6. It's expected to show 788,000 nonfarm payrolls, down from 850,000 in June, according to Dow Jones. The unemployment rate is expected to dip to 5.7% from 5.9%. Average hourly wages are expected to rise 3.9% year over year.


    Ironsides Macroeconomics director of research Barry Knapp said he expects the next two monthly jobs reports will be strong, and the Fed should then be ready to announce in September that it is ready to start the slow unwind of its bond purchasing program.


    That is an important step since it would be the first real move away from the central bank's easy policies that were put in place in the pandemic. It would also mean the Fed would be open to raising interest rates once the tapering is completed.


    Game changer for markets

    "Friday could be a game changer," Knapp said of the employment report. Before that, he expects stocks to trade in a narrow range.


    If the number of jobs added in July is much higher than expected, at more than 1 million, Knapp said the market could immediately sell off on the idea the Fed would be ready to pare back its bond purchases.


    If the number is weaker than expected, the market could rally. "We are in a dead period after earnings, with concerns about the pace of the reopening. It's still a bit of a question mark. The bias would be higher after a weak number. ... Bad is good. Good is bad," said Knapp.


    Like some other strategists, he expects to see a stock market correction, possibly later this summer.


    "I'm in the camp where I think we're going to have our first major correction." Knapp said. "What we're likely to get is at least 10% or more. ... It could really happen when they [Fed officials] make the announcement in September."


    Wilmington Trust chief economist Luke Tilley said he expects just 350,000 jobs, based on the high frequency data he watches.


    "We think the run rate is about 500,000 jobs. Last month seems a little bit overcooked," he said.


    Reflation trade

    The S&P 500 was down 0.4% in the past week, finishing at 4,395, while the Nasdaq lost even more , down 1.1% at 14,672.


    Cyclical stocks were among the best performers. Materials jumped 2.8% in the week, and energy shares were up 1.6%. Financials gained 0.7%. But tech fell 0.7%.


    Knapp said it now makes sense to hold stocks that are in the reflation trade, such as energy, industrials or materials.


    The surge in the delta variant of the coronavirus has become a worry among investors and has been a factor holding down interest rates. The 10-year yield, which moves opposite price, has held at low levels and was at 1.23% on Friday, amid concern that the delta variant of the coronavirus could slow growth.


    Investors will be watching other important data in the coming week, including the Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing data Monday, and jobless claims and trade data Thursday.


    The China trade

    China was also a dominant market story in the past week and could continue to be. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 5% for the week. Chinese regulators continued their crackdown on internet companies, publicly traded education companies and other industries.


    Strategists say Beijing is trying to reclaim its biggest companies as its own and turn them away from listings in foreign markets. Officials were particularly upset with Didi Global which reportedly went public even after being warned not to by Beijing.


    Chinese regulators reportedly spoke with international banks after their actions sparked a wave of selling in internet stocks and the broader Chinese stock market. The regulators said companies could continue to go public in the U.S. if they met listing requirements.


    "We will continue to see regulators try to calm the waters. I would say this was a communications misstep," said Franklin Templeton's Desai. "You don't have massive swings without having negative impact." She added it sent ripples through emerging markets.


    "This is China trying to gain control, and they tried to do it in a very heavy way, and they were surprised at the backlash," Desai said.


    The KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF has lost about half its value from its peak in February, and was down another 2.6% Friday.


    Internet retailer Alibaba is one of the ETF's top holdings. The company is expected to announce earnings on Tuesday.


    This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    S&P Sectors for this past week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE S&P SECTORS FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Indices for this past week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

    Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

    Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #3!)

    August has been a dangerous month for the market

    August is the worst DJIA, S&P 500, Russell 1000 and Russell 2000 month over the last 33 years, 1988-2020 with average declines ranging from 0.4% by Russell 2000 to 0.8% by DJIA. For NASDAQ August ranks second worst over the same period with an average gain of 0.2%.

    Contributing to this poor performance since 1987; the second shortest bear market in history (45 days) caused by turmoil in Russia, the Asian currency crisis and the Long-Term Capital Management hedge fund debacle ending August 31, 1998 with the DJIA shedding 6.4% that day. DJIA dropped a record 1344.22 points for the month, off 15.1%—which is the second worst monthly percentage DJIA loss since 1950. Saddam Hussein triggered a 10.0% slide in August 1990. Sizeable losses in 2010, 2011, 2013 and 2015 of over 4% on DJIA have widened Augusts' average decline.

    In post-election years, Augusts' rankings are little changed. August is the worst month for DJIA and Russell 1000 and second worst for S&P 500, NASDAQ and Russell 2000. Average declines in post-election year Augusts swell to 0.8% by Russell 2000 to 1.7% by DJIA. Each index has also seen more declining post-election year Augusts than positive.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Modern 4-Year Cycle Theory Approaching Near Term High

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Despite the recent uptick in volatility and today's drop the S&P 500% is up 17.2% year-to-date. This is right in line with our 2021 Annual Forecast best case scenario made last December. Our updated outlook is for S&P 500 to finish the year in the 4300-4500 range or even higher.

    However, as you can see in the chart of the Modern 4-Year Presidential Election Cycle we are due for a pause over the next couple of months before the rally resumes in the September/October timeframe. This illustration of the average 4-year cycle uses the S&P 500 back to 1949, which is the first full cycle post-WWII vs. other comparisons that use the Dow back 125 years to 1896.

    We feel the more recent dataset is a better representation of the modern cycle where post-election years have been better and election years weaker – impacted by the undecided election in 2000 and the financial crisis of 2008. Midterm years are still lackluster with propensity for the significant bottoms and pre-election years are still the tops.

    This creates the sweet spot of the 4-year cycle from Q4 in the midterm year through Q2 in the pre-election year. From the midterm low to the pre-election year high DJIA averages a 45% gain since 1950 and NASDAQ averages a 70% gain since 1974.


    Neutral Sentiment Surge Continues

    The AAII's weekly sentiment survey saw an equal percentage (30.6%) of respondents report as bullish and bearish last week. This week saw a much more optimistic pivot as 36.2% of respondents reported bullish sentiment. While higher, bullish sentiment is still at one of the lowest levels since last fall. At 36.2%, bullish sentiment is also now just below the historical average of 38%. While the AAII reading on bullish sentiment was higher but still muted, the Investors Intelligence survey of newsletter writers showed bullish sentiment fall 8.1 percentage points to 53.1%. While that is not a particularly low reading (the lowest since only the end of May), it was the largest one week decline since October 2019. In other words, bullish sentiment is not necessarily collapsing, but it has lost some footing.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    With more bulls in the AAII survey, fewer respondents reported bearish sentiment. In fact, less than a quarter of investors reported bearish sentiment this week. That is down 6.5 percentage points from the prior week; the largest one-week decline since a 6.6 percentage point decline in the first week of June.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    The inverse moves in bullish and bearish sentiment resulted in the bull-bear spread to rise 12.1 points. While off the lows, it is still not as strong of a reading as has been seen for most of this year. In fact, the current reading is 5.5 points below the average since the start of the year.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    The most impressive sentiment reading this week was neutral sentiment. Over the past four weeks, neutral sentiment has risen 10.5 percentage points without a single decline in that time. That is the biggest four-week rise since mid-May when it had risen 14.9 percentage points. Now as the predominant sentiment with just below 40% of respondents reporting as such, neutral sentiment is at the highest level since the first week of 2020 when this reading was 1.2 percentage points higher.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Services Consumption Lifts GDP Growth

    Lofty expectations for second quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth were left somewhat wanting as a decent headline number fell short of expectations. Peering under the hood, though, we think this is still a fairly solid report.

    The Bureau of Economic Analysis released its preliminary estimate for second quarter GDP this morning, showing the U.S. economy grew at a 6.5% annualized pace against the Bloomberg median forecast for 8.4%. While this represented a small acceleration from the first quarter's 6.3% pace, investors viewed the headline number as a mild disappointment in light of the heightened expectations. The composition of the growth, though, largely reinforces the prevailing narratives of a strong consumer juxtaposed with supply chain bottlenecks, restricting growth.

    "The positive takeaway from today's report is that we are clearly seeing a rebound in the in-person consumption of services," said LPL Financial Chief Investment Strategist Ryan Detrick. "This indicates a confidence by consumers to reengage with the parts of the economy beaten down most by COVID, and continued momentum here will be key if we are to see the consumer continue to power overall growth."

    As seen in the LPL Chart of the day, the US consumer continued to do the heavy lifting, offsetting weakness in most other major GDP components.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Business fixed investment came in strong and demonstrated business' attempts to ramp up output to meet surging demand. Residential investment had a more predictable decline, as well-documented labor shortages and high materials costs are restricting new projects. The volatile inventory components, though, did represent a drag.

    Looking forward, we expect continued growth in the third quarter but with a different composition. Consumer spending should still be respectable, but likely will recede a bit due to the fading impact of past government transfer payments. New momentum in services as in-person commerce picks up should continue under the hood. Picking up the slack; though, business investment should continue to recover, and net exports may improve as the rest of the world plays catch-up to the U.S. in their recoveries, consuming more of our goods and services. Government spending and inventories also both have favorable outlooks.

    The Delta variant of COVID-19 presents a risk to the outlook, but we see strong reason to remain optimistic. The U.S. is lagging the U.K. in its exposure to the Delta variant, and if we model our trajectory after theirs, which obviously is an imperfect comparison, we expect to see a peak in cases in the coming weeks. In fact, the U.K. is already on a strong path to recovery despite doomsday headlines. Domestically, COVID-19 cases are spiking in areas with the lowest vaccination rates. But, there is evidence that these are also the states experiencing the highest uptick in new vaccinations, which should help self-correct the trends. Positivity rates can be thought of as the fastest-twitch indicator, with hospitalization trends following in the ensuing weeks. Through that lens we see that some of the hardest hit states may have already seen their positivity rates peak.

    We upgraded our 2021 forecast for U.S. real GDP growth earlier this year from 5–5.5% to 6.25–6.75%, and while there are sure to be bumps along the way, we expect to see the economy continue growing at a strong pace as activity further normalizes over the course of the year.


    Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-


    • (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.)

    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MOST ANTICIPATED EARNINGS RELEASES FOR THE NEXT 2 WEEKS!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MOST ANTICIPATED EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE MONDAY'S MARKET OPEN!)

    Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:


    Monday 8.2.21 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Monday 8.2.21 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Tuesday 8.3.21 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)

    Tuesday 8.3.21 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)

    Wednesday 8.4.21 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Wednesday 8.4.21 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #4!)

    Thursday 8.5.21 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #4!)

    Thursday 8.5.21 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #3!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #4!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #5!)

    Friday 8.6.21 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Friday 8.6.21 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    (NONE.)


    (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.)

    (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.) (T.B.A. THIS WEEKEND.).

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    DISCUSS!

    What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?


    I hope you all have a wonderful weekend a great trading week ahead r/stocks. :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
    [link] [comments]

    GENERAC gnrc

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 08:45 AM PDT

    Just want some insight on the downtrend in GNRC. I loaded up on calls before earnings considering that it would beat expectations and it did. GNRC also raised guidance for the remaining year but stated supple chain constraints. They also recalled their generators due to amputations. 50/50 news but the stocks has fallen from ATH/s and now is trending downwards. Should I sell my calls and take the losses or hold? 460 8/20 , 610 feb22 calls. This past Monday we hit $456 and currently at 415 lvl. With hurricane season on our doorstep, will the stock bounce higher?

    submitted by /u/itssparkymark
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    $ROST - Can you tell me what in their stats explains the rise?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 02:08 PM PDT

    Hello and thanks first to all for the helpful and informative info here. I'm new to even watching the market and I've put together a collection of 20some stocks that I watch. Mostly this list is in the blue chip, retail, and tech that I know and use professionally. I made a good options play on TGT recently (thanks to here) and so I've been watching others in this area.

    Like many, I have been expecting a big increase in store visits, and especially discount stores, though that might take longer (delta).

    Again, I'm watching and trying to learn. But this past week the thing that stumps me is that of all the stock on my list, ROST is the only one that has gone up this week.

    I know there are hundreds of reasons, and watching APPLE tumble post earnings and comparing that to ROSS Stores is apples v oranges.

    But I thought this would make a good question since, in general, I am trying to wade through all of the stats on a company to learn what the main points are to watch: P/E, debt, float, etc.

    Would anyone care to tell me what might be at play here? I do see that the company recently changed at least two tops in management and OPENED 30 stores (which, considering the Delta variant, could be a problem). But I don't see any news on why this stock would rise even on a day that TGT, WM, DG all fall. Thanks!

    submitted by /u/croquet_player
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    What companies no matter how good of an investment they’re that you absolutely refuse to invest with?

    Posted: 30 Jul 2021 04:03 PM PDT

    I stay away from Social media stocks primarily because I hate what they do with user data and the scandals they've been apart of. I'm Weary of big tech like google and Apple for similar reasons.

    I don't invest in pharma unless it's in a diversified ETF. Not a big fan of Pharmaceuticals cause of controversial things that happen with medical trials.

    I don't invest In China anymore cause of the shadiness of the Chinese government.

    I don't invest in Weed stocks cause I'm really not educated enough on it and it's a polarizing topic for the most part.

    submitted by /u/No_Cow_8702
    [link] [comments]

    $TMO, $PENN or $CRI? Or all?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 01:33 PM PDT

    I'm looking for a blue chip medical devices stock to add to my portfolio.

    I looked at a mutual fund and TMO was the heaviest followed by PEN (Penumbra) and CRL (Charles River).

    I do have about 3% in FSMEX which is Fidelity's medical equipment mutual fund in my IRA, but I'm looking to overweight one of the stocks to generate alpha above the fund.

    I used to have 5% in TMO in my IRA but got impatient and sold it with a small gain. I've only been investing 1.5 years so it wasn't long.

    Anyways I realize about the "can't go by past returns" but since these are blue chips and an offset to my tech heavy portfolio (mostly semi equipment and MSFT AAPL GOOGL PYPL NVDA etc) I just plan on holding them for the long term.

    So TMO returns were:

    1987 to 2021 16+%

    2000 to 2021 19+%

    2011 to 2021 24+%

    2016 to 2021 27+%

    It has a market correlation of 0.52. What's that mean? Is that good in a sell off? Or not necessarily?

    Also it's Sharpe is .58. Whats that? It's Sortino is .92. What's that?

    Thoughts on Penumbra or Charles River in comparison to TMO?

    I don't know much other than they're medical equipment and I figure anything medical related, especially in an aging population will always be around and medical costs keep going up and up.

    Thanks.

    submitted by /u/apooroldinvestor
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    New Interview with CEO of Lithium Americas on bnn bloomberg...confirms talks with Tesla.

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 09:26 AM PDT

    The state and federal support the project as vital to national security. The project is in appeal of something already approved....and the Indian tribe added to the suit lives 200 miles away. Maybe I see what others don't see but this is a top 5 lithium producer in the near future. Finally a chance to get in early imo.

    https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/video/construction-on-thacker-pass-cant-start-until-appeal-is-cleared-lithium-americas-ceo~2251549?jwsource=cl

    submitted by /u/skinschamp1
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    Options, calls and puts

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 11:47 AM PDT

    I need conformation on if i am understanding this correctly. When i buy a call option i am saying that i will pay a certian price by the execution date. If said stock is higher than the agreed price i make money if not i lose money.

    With puts i want to be the one selling the call option and want the price of the stock to fall below the agreed price to make money.

    submitted by /u/theboss0711
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    When to invest in bonds?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2021 10:37 AM PDT

    I am wondering when I should buy some bonds? Are they meant for older people who are nearing retirement or should younger peeps like me also buy some bonds?

    Are they a reliable source of income like dividend stocks? Need some advice. Thanks guys.

    submitted by /u/joeroganthumbhead
    [link] [comments]

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