Stock Market - SEC employees are too busy to go after HF |
- SEC employees are too busy to go after HF
- Most discussed stocks of last week! what are your next moves?
- TOMORROW WILL BE A DAY LIKE NO OTHER, IT WILL BE LIKE THE DAY OF THE FINAL JUDGMENT. SLEEP EARLY (IF YOU CAN SLEEP) GREETINGS !!! ��������������
- Has this sub become a meme-shilling machine?
- Yellen Says Higher Interest Rates Would Be ‘Plus’ for U.S., Fed
- I miss this kind of legend phones now a days..! BB ��
- WKHS is tippy top most shorted at 41.93% and climbing the ranks in mentions. At some point in the next couple weeks this will become a more recognized target. BIG day on June 3rd with 156 mil in volume- that's 5x the daily average while breaking a down trend.
- At least he’s not a quitter lolz!
- Weekly Market Commentary - June 5, 2021
- Is Palantir (PLTR) a great long-term investment?
- Understanding the reason behind betting against high growth stocks during rising inflationary times
- My Watchlist For 6/7/2021 -- No Typing Today I Am Busy XOXO
- Do you think people should really be concerned about Webull? Questions:
- My artsy girlfriends modified her WSB tendie for those who identify as APES. HODL.
- Build Your Investment team $15 budget.... Who are you rolling with?
- $BFLY
- #AMC #GME #BB #KOSS #BBBY #NOK #SNDL�� Understand the chart before they explode tomorrow/this week!
- The Lemonade of China. 200% Rev Growth, Fwd P/E 45, P/s 1.25. COMPLETELY Under the radar
- Surgepay is surging ticker symbol SURG
- $WPG is breaking out , little resistance, highest short % of float, low float, rapidly rising asset value, record volume *UPDATED*
- Cyclical Investing
- What are your top Index ETF picks for 2021H2 and 2022?
- He Who Sleeps Not Random Report 6-6-21
| SEC employees are too busy to go after HF Posted: 06 Jun 2021 02:30 PM PDT
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| Most discussed stocks of last week! what are your next moves? Posted: 06 Jun 2021 06:42 AM PDT
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| Posted: 06 Jun 2021 05:42 PM PDT
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| Has this sub become a meme-shilling machine? Posted: 06 Jun 2021 09:29 AM PDT All I see is memes, generic memes, meme stocks, apes, more apes, moon, AMC, WSB, whatever shitco is en vogue for the week. Some of it is funny, most of it is noise or downright annoying. Are all the mods dead or just taken hostage by an ape? Blink twice for yes. Because, apparently, textual post needs to have at least 560 characters, but a meme on how much you fucking love a bankrup company is fine for the 100th time, let me echo a section of the AutoMod message: "Hello! In an effort to cut down spam and repetitive/short posting which has come as a result of increased publicity, we have temporarily imposed a minimum length of 560 characters on all posts. Due to the massive influx of new subscribers, please share only high quality, well thought posts which add value to our community" I find this ironic a bit. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Yellen Says Higher Interest Rates Would Be ‘Plus’ for U.S., Fed Posted: 06 Jun 2021 05:50 PM PDT
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| I miss this kind of legend phones now a days..! BB �� Posted: 06 Jun 2021 08:10 AM PDT
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| Posted: 06 Jun 2021 07:34 PM PDT
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| At least he’s not a quitter lolz! Posted: 06 Jun 2021 08:54 AM PDT
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| Weekly Market Commentary - June 5, 2021 Posted: 06 Jun 2021 07:08 PM PDT
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| Is Palantir (PLTR) a great long-term investment? Posted: 06 Jun 2021 10:16 AM PDT Through my rudimentary research, I don't think there are other companies out there capable of doing what Palantir can accomplish. Am I wrong? I truly believe the saying that data is the new oil and I have been following the lead of Cathie Wood and her ARK Invest team into snapping up shares of PLTR. What do my fellow Redditors think? Is PLTR a great long-term investment? I have read quite a few articles from naysayers who said PLTR is too expensive based on valuation and that their very extensive stock-based compensation will dilute shareholders value. But I disagree with all these articles on the premise that they basically just ignore the growth PLTR has been and will be enjoying and the technology and AI that underlie the business of PLTR. Various US government departments have been signing contracts with PLTR. They can't be wrong, can they? [link] [comments]  | ||
| Understanding the reason behind betting against high growth stocks during rising inflationary times Posted: 06 Jun 2021 11:30 AM PDT Here we're going to try and understand the general reasons why fund managers and other institutional investors may choose to ''Bet against'' a particular stock in times of upcoming/present inflation. We're going to discuss Michael Burry's New Put position against $TSLA. In recent Q1 of 2021 fillings Scion Asset Management disclosed they're $500Million Put position in Tesla. Burry is betting against Tesla but don't confuse PUT with a SHORT the question is what's causing this move? Lets start from the beginning For Michael Burry he's been advocating the upcoming inflation Since early 2021 on his twitter account ABOUT INFLATION as of today commodities have been rising for the past 12months, lumber prices are significantly up, Housing market is seeing a big growth, Global food prices rose for the 12th month in a row in May, up nearly 40% YOY. Numbers do like inflationary Wages are rising and so are bond yields. The housing market is still chugging along. The prices of many retail goods are going up, partly because of supply shortages but also because of real demand. Relationship between Inflation, higher interest rates, and stocks When anticipating higher inflation rates central banks have the tools to prevent this from happening and one way is to raise interest rates, but higher rates do have both pros and cons. But for our research lets just discuss how this affects stocks and particularly growth stock Here's an screenshot from Visualcapitalist to demonstrate : https://imgur.com/a/TH5gKOR High rates and Stocks Let's take the period of the 1960's-1980's DJIA where the index advanced from 618 to 875 during 20year period, but on the other hand in the same time frame U.S. GDP grew by 370%. What caused such asymmetrical movements between general stock market and whole GDP? Answer lies in interest rates Picture below source from Visualcapitalist During the period of 1960-1980 10year treasury yield went from 4% to staggering 15% by 1980. To put things into perspective let's talk in pre-tax terms suppose you've bought: $1M worth of bonds paying you 10% annually. this means every year you are producing $100.000 pre-tax which is really good. Now let's say that you want to buy a business that's earning $100.000 pre-tax what is the amount you are willing to pay? well that depends our bond which is virtually risk-free yields 10% return every year for the next 10yrs in pre-tax terms, if considering buying a business paying more than 1Million won't be an intelligent thing to do say you buy a business worth 1.5M making 100k pre-tax the return would be 6.7%. making an investment decision investor is better off with bonds in given example than he is with given business. Not many businesses can return say 10-15% annually for span of 8-10yrs. in period of 1980's bonds were superior pick as compared to stocks. As said inflation causes interest rates to move higher and this leads us to market sentiment swaying away from stocks to fixed investments paying higher yield. And vice versa as Warren Buffett said ''the effect of interest rate changes is usually obscured. Nonetheless, the effect--like the invisible pull of gravity--is constantly there''. Since we established the basic frame in which this letter is written, now let's get back to burry As we said raising inflation causes interest rates to go up and stock prices to go down, some companies have high exposure to inflation and some don't. by experience and many examples we know that inflation hurts growth stocks more than their older peers why? Most of the time high growth tech companies are trading based on future performance, valuations are based on revenue multiples and sizes of the enterprise, newly baked companies don't produce any free cash flow. this type of environment is sustainable at low interest rates since everyone is better of buying a speculative security $XYZ for price of say 50$ that has high trading volume that is likely trade at 100$ in this type of environment high growths are simply better performing group than older peers and fixed investments. What happens when there are risks of inflation kicking in? well most likely general public will shift their attention to 'safer'' securities that have less exposure to inflation risks case can be made for companies that have pricing power to delegate rising costs by raising prices (mature companies for example) or fixed investment securities. We can argue that there are other hedges against inflation but are more suited for sophisticated individual As of June5, 2021 what's the big picture? Inflation could be both transitory or here to stay I don't think Its in my competence to guess the macro environment and therefore I won't. As described earlier inflation followed by higher interest rates causes the general public to shift from high growth stocks to safer investments, this has double effect ''safer'' company stock prices are on the rise and growth companies with unsustainable multiples and add public opinion shifting away from the business given securities price tends to go down. In case of Michael burry and his conviction about upcoming inflation mixed with bearish view on TESLA explains his move. As we know betting against Tesla in 2002 wasn't a smart move to do in 2020 (source S3) Tesla short sellers lost about $40Billion dollars in 2020 so betting against it just because it trades at high multiples or is cash low negative isn't a sufficient argument to bet against it there should be more factors interacting with each other in order to bet against Tesla. As of 2021 we have the following picture Almost unjustifiable trading multiples, Internal company problems such as supply-chain issues, accompanied by China operations pressures, in mix with external factor of inflation followed up by rising bond yields makes the company somewhat vulnerable as compared to previous year. and if you are still here thank you for your time! Mayer Weinroth [link] [comments]  | ||
| My Watchlist For 6/7/2021 -- No Typing Today I Am Busy XOXO Posted: 06 Jun 2021 05:21 PM PDT | ||
| Do you think people should really be concerned about Webull? Questions: Posted: 06 Jun 2021 05:06 PM PDT Hope this is a good place to ask this.. I was going through the process of signing up with Webull and went to research what something I didn't understand meant. Of course I use reddit to research it 😁 and came across a guy claiming Webull is Chinese based or owned. My questions are:
I was gonna use their app but decided to try fidelity instead. Hope it's not too late 🤞🙏 Thanks [link] [comments]  | ||
| My artsy girlfriends modified her WSB tendie for those who identify as APES. HODL. Posted: 06 Jun 2021 06:05 PM PDT
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| Build Your Investment team $15 budget.... Who are you rolling with? Posted: 06 Jun 2021 07:04 PM PDT
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| Posted: 06 Jun 2021 01:10 PM PDT $BFLY is looking juicy! [link] [comments]  | ||
| #AMC #GME #BB #KOSS #BBBY #NOK #SNDL�� Understand the chart before they explode tomorrow/this week! Posted: 06 Jun 2021 04:55 PM PDT
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| The Lemonade of China. 200% Rev Growth, Fwd P/E 45, P/s 1.25. COMPLETELY Under the radar Posted: 06 Jun 2021 03:28 PM PDT
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| Surgepay is surging ticker symbol SURG Posted: 06 Jun 2021 06:58 PM PDT
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| Posted: 06 Jun 2021 06:14 PM PDT Simple Summary - Washington Prime Group - $WPG$WPG is squeezing up fast with a strong bull flag ending last week. Volume was the highest of all time and about 50 million shares were shorted on a 24 million share float, yet the price stayed high through the week with a curl and bull flag pattern. Shorts from last week face being underwater 100, 200, or 300%. There is little resistance and it could break over 12 with any spike. See more information here - https://mobile.twitter.com/RadioSilentplay/status/1401597857120108546 ----------------- Momentum squeeze is unlikely to be stopped soon-Over 30% short as of Friday -Low, 24 million share float (one of the lower REIT floats, but one of the highest if not the highest short percentages of the float) -Volume has been EXTREMELY high compared to the average, yet shorts have failed to push it down (starting with 106 million June 1st, and ending with 19 million on Friday June 5th). -The vast majority of shorts underwater (The chart is curling now). Every time shorts tried to push it back down, the price bounced back, which makes their situation worse. -When a move up doesn't correct back down in the face of volume and shorting, shorts must cover or be margin called. -With shorts already underwater, any gap up or move at open will cause immediate covering and stop loss triggers. Shorts may even have to convert to longs to recoup losses as the price spikes ----------------- Similar Squeezes are happening due to over-shorting and mismatched real estate prices to the stock prices*WPH has one of the highest short percentages of all low float stocks and also REIT stocks. The full short percentage can't be known but it is over %30 of the float for sure based on reporting -$IHT, $RHE, $AHT and others have capitalized on the economy finally opening up and shorts getting caught off guard. *The short percentage of $IHT and $RHE are comparable to $WPG and look how they moved *$IHT and $RHE don't have the huge gaps to fill that $WPG has, but they have gone parabolic on low floats *$AHT has a much larger float than $WPG, which limits it's ability to run as $WPG can ----------------- Technical Factors and Chart Factors-When it breaks resistance it can sprint up dollars at a time. For example, breaking $6 in the past has led to a move above $12 very quickly -The initial 100 million share move only barely went down and curled back up into Friday -Bullish after hours trading occurred Friday, indicating the sentiment for the coming week. There should have been profit taking on a Friday that causes a dip, but it didn't happen. Strength seems to be growing. -The pandemic caused the price to drop in an exaggerated way that left major gaps to fill. In fact, the gaps to fill are huge, with the PPS being at $40 in late 2019 pre-pandemic, and over $30 in early 2020. *The past stock prices don't even account for the increase in real estate value overall that we've seen, with supply being at lows and demand being very high. $WPG has prime real estate in it's REIT. -Volume has remained strong through the week, with shorting having no successful effect on the price. Volume set an ALL TIME RECORD, look at the weekly volume compared to all time volume, but notice the price bull flagged on the volume and didn't fade. It recovered on any dip! -Resistance levels are rising -The MacD, RSI, and other technical measure cooled off as needed, while maintaining a strong price and curling up against short pressure. Non-overextended technicals are an important factor to allow the next leg up next week to go 100% plus and still have room. ----------------- Long term support for $WPG - Quality institutions own at higher prices and the land is in extremely sought after locations-Blackrock, Vanguard, Charles Swab, and other MAJOR players are invested in this. WPG is NOT some speculative, trash stock without real intrinsic value or interest -WPG has property in major metropolitan areas across the entire US in areas with NO OTHER VACANT LOTS AROUND. Supply and demand rules. Scarcity rules. There are quality tenants including Home Goods, Aurora, Macy's, and more. They are adapting to new consumer trends and earning new forms of income for entertainment experiences to replace any shopping facilities that became vacant. *The value of location cannot be replaced and tenants are paying for that. ----------------- Rapid Industry momentum-Retail real estate is filling vacancies quickly, even redeveloping for a new generation of shoppers with new types of entertainment, sports, and dining experiences - for example -https://investor.washingtonprime.com/investor-relations/news-and-views/news/news-details/2021/FieldhouseUSA-Opens-at-Polaris-Fashion-Place-Bringing-a-Major-Sports-Entertainment-Complex-to-Central-Ohio/default.aspx -Real estate prices are at all time highs if you haven't noticed, and that gives owners like WPG leverage to sell or re-purpose parcels (read: parking lots that can become parking garages) -Mall retailers are having record sales, which can mean higher and more reliable rent - --->Warby Parker Founders Explain Why They Are Adding 35 Brick and Mortar Stores After Pandemic - WSJ --->*WPG spun off from Simon and this is what Simon says - Simon CEO says Americans are experiencing 'euphoria' as they return to malls – RetailWire **-**New leasing is coming in - https://finance.yahoo.com/news/burkes-outlet-home-centric-join-203000662.html -REIT'S are adjusting to a new life style. During covid tenants had to leave, but now many places are renting at 80-90% and accelerating in growth because there are bars, eateries, games, sports, family activities etc. moving in. Location is King and quality REIT's have it. -https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210527005849/en [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 06 Jun 2021 06:55 AM PDT Happy Sunday, everyone. I'm not new to investing, but I've been out of the game for a while. Can someone help me understand where we are in the cyclical trending (ref: GDP Growth and Fed Funds Rate) GDP Growth (annualized) 2017-2018: 5.4% 2018-2019: 4.0% 2019-2020: -2.3% (Pandemic) 2020-2021: 8.3% (est. seems high; maybe 2.9 for 2021 to 2019 avg) https://www.statista.com/statistics/263591/gross-domestic-product-gdp-of-the-united-states/ Fed Funds Target Rate is 0.0-0.25% and would be looking to raise as the economy reopens. I think that puts us on the first up cycle in the traditional graph. Which means we should start to look at selling medicine and supermarket and buying smokestack stocks. Does anyone agree or am I way off? [link] [comments]  | ||
| What are your top Index ETF picks for 2021H2 and 2022? Posted: 06 Jun 2021 09:47 AM PDT What are your best picks for Index ETFs for 2021H2 and 2022? I've started to focus more on value US ETFs, e.g. VTV, IWN, VBR, VOOV, VOE, IWD, and emerging markets, e.g. MCHI, VWO, FXI, CQQ, INDA, etc. The US is overheating and it feels like the risk/reward ratio there is becoming a bit too unattractive for me. On the other hand, emerging markets, mainly China, seem to be doing well and have good prospects. I am really bullish on China and I do have individual stock holdings there although it feels like it's best to spread the risk there through ETFs. India also looks good, but I have absolutely no clue about the market there. I know it is growing fast, e.g. they've got above-average inflation, decent GDP growth, growing middle class, etc. These are all medium-term picks, e.g. 6 to 12 months, maybe 18 even. I still haven't given up on US, but my S&P ETFs are in my long-term ISA account and I think that I may simply DCA there and keep adding my monthly $250-$500. What do you think? [link] [comments]  | ||
| He Who Sleeps Not Random Report 6-6-21 Posted: 06 Jun 2021 01:24 PM PDT Hello Everybody! [Echo- Hello Doctor Nick!] It's me, HewhoSleepsNot, here with another fantastic product for you and I have a question for you all at the end of the post from The infamous TeB! So, disclaimer, this is not financial advice, we are not financial advisors, and we are certainly not YOUR financial advisors. This is a labor of love and a thought experiment. I am hoping that you all will push me further in my analysis so that I become better over time! These are just our personal thoughts and views based upon news shared out in the world. This information is not groundbreaking but more us gathering from various sources some interesting stories, news, and tickers to share with the community! I will note where I found the material from when I can remember or when my notes include it but some are just from memory and came from places like Twitter, emails, reddit, etc. Now lets get into it, shall we? Some upcoming events this week to keep an eye on: Earnings from COUP, MRVL, MTN on Monday, followed by CPB, GME, RH Wednesday, and ADBE, CHWY, PLUG, on Thursday. Also happening are key reports on core inflation, consumer sentiment/expectations, job turnover rate, and G7! Will proposals to tax multinational persons/corporations make any big changes in the market? Long term- I do not believe it will have any significant effect on valuations of these companies. Player 3,297 has entered the EV game. Rivian is working with advisors to set up their IPO and have reportedly selected their underwriters. This will be very interesting to me. I have a close friend who is working for them and they have been giving him great opportunities which gives me a lot of optimism because he is 1 of 2 people I have met over the last 3 decades that I would trust to work for me, regardless of the industry, just because of what a solid and smart person he is. Conservative Investing News, who I have spamming me constantly, is shilling Kraft Heinz KHC as the number 1 income stock of 2021. They cite the dividend of 5% at current valuations and the stock decline of 50% since 2017. I've been holding KHC since pre-merger so I have seen this decline and not sure I agree with them that this stock is ready for a major comeback. May be a decent dividend play but then again so is AT&T. So it's been a wild week of meme stock pops and dips. I will admit I am still holding some GME but prematurely sold my AMC. Thought double was good enough but this week proved me wrong considering could have done 7x. Oh well, if you look at my massive loss from last year I have learned to make my peace with taking profits, even if they aren't as maximized as they could be. I just wasn't as convinced for the AMC thesis as I am for the GME. I like to look at them both and think about them as if there is no MOASS in the wings and when I look at them like that GME is a good value buy for me even at the current market cap. It's got a great digital transition team lead by RC and others that are the top of their game. The amount of publicity they have received is also beyond what anyone could have paid for and they have capitalized on it wonderfully. I did enjoy AMC CEO showing us his naked shorts, and have been selling cash covered puts on AMC in the 15-20 strike range earning 30-60+% APY when projected out for a year. He is doing a great job of harnessing the movement and keeping shareholders interested and engaged. Will see if he continues to roll out things like the AMC Investor Connect, but if he does I think the shareholders will reward him. My cash covered puts and stock secured calls I have been doing for about two months have been doing well. I stick with what I know and only sell puts on stocks at prices I wouldn't mind being long in, and then I sell calls to continue generating current income on the blocks. Averaging about 30% interest last I checked a few weeks ago. TSLA jumped 4.6% on news that it was looking to expand to India. Don't know if that alone is good enough news to justify a pop like this alone, especially with rivals coming from every direction. American Airlines dropped 2.4% when it released a lack luster 2Q revenue forecast this week. TGT continues to attract attention of hedge funds and investors with an impressive target of 211$ from Credit Suisse and a total of 78 hedge funds holding. It has a 1.23% dividend as well so huzzah. Wish I had held more of the shares I bought in the mid to high 60s a few years back! OPEN and SPNV [taking Offerpad public via SPAC] both came on my radar and bought ~200$ of each. Found them in a stock gum shoe article deducing them as the likely two teased stocks from MF's new real estate trailblazer big bucks subscription. Both seem like very interesting real estate disrupters. The market is ripe for disruption as buying/selling a house is far too cumbersome given all the technical tools at humanities fingertips. Both of these companies make cash offers on houses, do necessary renovations, and resell them. Instant gratification is the Achilles heel of modern Americans so this type of business that scratches that itch I think will go far. Just a matter of what companies take the space first and service the customer the best. Long Disney until the IP laws change in this country. The amount of IP they own, from Marvel to Star Wars is just insane. And they are continuing to churn new content in these hot spaces. The Star Wars Disney+ offerings have proved popular, and Loki is right around the corner! Consensus 1 yr target avg from Yahoo Finance is $207 which presents decent upside from current levels. Wish they would bring the dividend back but they are sufficiently pushing growth initiatives that I won't complain too much at this time. Let's end with the question, what do you guys think of Upstart, a fin tech company? Are they sufficiently unique to distinguish themselves in the crowded market and get ahead of the primary players? Seems like loans are ripe for disruption given the archaic roots of the industry players, but will Upstart be a lead disruptor, or will it fall behind? Thanks for reading. [link] [comments]  |
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