Stock Market - Most discussed stocks of last week! what are your next moves? |
- Most discussed stocks of last week! what are your next moves?
- ������ To All the New Apes that Jumped on to AMC. Here is a DD ON AMC. Here is what's going on. ������
- 30%+ for 30 Straight Years: Meet this Hedge Fund Legend
- CTXR - A brief summary about a biopharmaceutical gem
- The Weekly DD - Coupang (CPNG): Something something the "Amazon" of Korea
- All in position: AMC and CLOV
- Stock Analysis Using Python
- Top Performing Hedge Funds - 3 Yr. Return
- Nvax DD (7x future potential)
- Weekend holds, advice?
- Australian Tax Office to Prompt 400,000 Crypto Holders to Report Their Gains
- Magic lines I think will be important in FAANG
- Is there going to be stock market crash anytime soon? Here is what experts say
- I don't understand the hate towards crypto
- $HTZGQ - MY FINAL IDEA OF WHAT SHAREHOLDERS WILL GET, DEBATE WELCOME
- ggii already has products on the market to other stocks with bigger valuations!
- Applying a strategy used to forecast crypto crash and recent stock drops (in real time) to indices.
- $SJ - What a beauty
- Watch This Video On Why Elon Musk Is Backing Dogecoin!
- Weekly Market Commentary - May 29, 2021
- What thoughts on WKHS? I got JACKED on the Postal cotract bait and switch ��%70��
| Most discussed stocks of last week! what are your next moves? Posted: 30 May 2021 07:36 AM PDT
 | ||
| Posted: 30 May 2021 05:07 PM PDT For all of the new baby apes. I know a lot of you have questions, and I thought it would be helpful to provide you with some overall context to understand the significance of the movement you just joined. Covid hit last March and a couple of big hedge funds concocted a plan to drive AMC into bankruptcy by "shorting" it and make a ton of money in the process. You "short" a company when you think the value of the stock is going to go down. When the country locked down and AMC closed their doors and their revenue literally went to $0 overnight, it was a no brainer play for the hedge funds. So they started borrowing millions and millions of shares from brokers and sold them "short" at the market price at the time, and they pocketed the cash from the sale. The idea is that the stock price will drop, you can buy them back later at a lower price, and then return the borrowed shares to the broker and keep the difference. If the company goes bankrupt, the stock goes to $0 and they don't have to buy anything back at all and keep everything. This is what they were banking on. They've done this to company after company over the years, and they saw this as a sure thing as any. Well a bunch of people on Reddit (affectionately known as "Apes") noticed they were trying to drive AMC, GameStop and many other retail brick and mortar stores into bankruptcy, and banded together to buy up all the available shares, driving up the share price. This resulted in the mini squeeze in January. But Apes didnt sell after that. And the hedge funds didn't cover their short positions either (I.e. buy back the millions of shares they had borrowed and sold short). The Apes kept buying and buying, and holding and holding, and once the real shares were all bought up, the hedge funds doubled, tripled and quadrupled down on their short position and started making synthetic shares (IOUs) and selling those shares into the market trying to drive the price down. When the price dropped, instead of selling like the hedge funds wanted them to, Apes said "thank you very much for the discount" and kept buying more and holding. Nobody has sold for the past 5 months since the movement really got started in January, and more and more people are jumping in and adding more everyday. Now because of all of the synthetic IOU shares the hedge funds have created to keep shorting AMC, us Apes likely own more way more shares than are actually supposed to exist (as much as 6x-8x by some estimates). But real or synthetic, each share the hedge funds sold short is a liability on their books that must be bought back in order to close out their position. They literally have hundreds of millions of shares, possibly billions, to buy back, and we own them all. They have to buy them back eventually, and every day that the borrowed short shares are still on loan, the hedge funds are paying interest to the brokers they borrowed them from. Meanwhile it costs us nothing to hold. Things started to come to a head a couple weeks ago because the interest rate on the borrowed shares was reported to be as high as 250% (1-2% is normal for your average stock), so the hedge funds are collectively paying hundreds of millions of dollars every day just to hold their position, and a lot of them are starting to miss the payments and margin calls could be coming very soon. That's when the fun starts. At that point, the broker forces them to buy back all of the hundreds of millions of shares they have borrowed and sold short, because the broker doesn't want the hedge funds' recklessness to fall onto them. And remember, the Apes own all the shares and aren't selling. The hedge funds can only buy a share for what an Ape is willing to sell it for, and us Apes really love our shares. Once the margin calls start, the computers just start buying back all of the shares at the best available price no matter what that price may be. They all have to be bought back. Everything must be settled. And if the cheapest price an ape is willing to sell for is 1,000, or 10,000 or 100,000, well then that's what the hedge funds will be forced to buy the borrowed shares back for in order to close out their position. Apes are going to hold and hold and hold driving up the price further and further to make the hedge funds bleed as much as possible until they are inevitably forced to buy back their millions of shares. They will need to buy our shares, and we set the price. And remember, it costs us nothing to hold. This movement has been building for the past 5 months, but you just heard about it yesterday. One thing Apes don't do is set dates for the squeeze. Nobody knows when it will happen, all we know for sure is that the math says it's inevitable as long as we hold. I only see three possibilities as to how this all plays out:
Never before has anything like this happened where millions of regular people have been able to band together to take on the billionaires who have been screwing them over time and time again, and be able to actually hit them where it really hurts. It is the big hedge fund himself on the other side (you know the one) who has his hands in all the retail brokerage apps to make sure our orders get routed to him to fill. And then they fill them with synthetic shares that they don't even have and dig themselves even deeper. They created and marketed easy access to the stock market to the retail investor because they only saw the retail investor as prey. Just another way to bleed us dry. They never saw this coming. Like I said, everything will eventually have to be settled. Margin calls are coming. And the SEC has already enacted several rules to prepare as much as possible for the catastrophic fallout from this event, and to make sure that something like this can never happen again. The millions of little guys with an app in their hand are a threat now, and I'm sure they'll adapt to it. So this could very well be a once in a lifetime opportunity here. Although I'm not a financial advisor….I'm Buying More and More and Holding for my fellow Apes! [link] [comments]  | ||
| 30%+ for 30 Straight Years: Meet this Hedge Fund Legend Posted: 30 May 2021 03:05 PM PDT
 | ||
| CTXR - A brief summary about a biopharmaceutical gem Posted: 30 May 2021 06:31 AM PDT
 | ||
| The Weekly DD - Coupang (CPNG): Something something the "Amazon" of Korea Posted: 30 May 2021 04:26 PM PDT What does Stan Druckenmiller, Bill Ackman, and Softbank (weird combo, right?) all have in common? They invested into the fast-growing Coupang (CPNG), touted to be the "Amazon" of South Korea. Actually, not quite… Unlike Amazon who cleans up the e-commerce industry, Coupang has multiple focuses that include not only e-commerce, but grocery/meal delivery, and FinTech payments as well. Business Overview Coupang is a market leader when it comes to their various business segments in South Korea. Their top-line revenue can be broken down into the following segments: *Rocket Delivery: E-commerce *Rocker Wow & Dawn Delivery: Coupang's version of Amazon Prime *Rocket Fresh and Coupang Eats: Grocery & meal delivery *Coupang Pay: Their more recent venture into FinTech payments (think ApplePay and AliPay) Imagine ordering a product or groceries online and within several hours that product is dropped off at your door in re-usable packaging. Don't like the product? Just leave it at your door and submit for your refund and Coupang will pick it back up. Delivering millions of products. Re-usable packaging with NO boxes (Jeff Bezos is green with envy). Powered by 15,000 "Coupang Flex" drivers. That is the culture of Coupang. To accomplish all of the above Coupang invested heavily into tech and infrastructure. Management noted in their S-1 that 70% of South Korea's population lives within a 7-mile radius of a logistics center. The company's main focus right now is providing the "wow" factor to it's customers and they are succeeding at doing so. Although they still remain highly unprofitable (spoiler: tech and infrastructure investments), they are growing revenues at an astonishing 90% YoY, incredible! This is mainly due to the "stickiness" of their service… I hear once you go Coupang, you don't go back. Growth How are they growing so fast? Not only are they grabbing market share from their competitors (eBay Korea, 11Street, Naver Corp, Lotte), their existing customer base are spending more money more frequently in the Coupang ecosystem. Which brings me to their addressable market. They have only recently announced an international expansion into Singapore, which is the first overseas entry in Coupang's 11 years of operation. This means they've mainly been operating in South Korea. Coupang's market share is estimated to be between 18-25% of the SK e-commerce industry and their business model portrays to have incredible stickiness leading to high retention among customers. Management noted: "Looking at the retail, grocery, consumer foodservice, and travel spend in the Korean market was $470 billion in 2019 and expected to grow to $534 billion by 2024. The e-commerce segment of that total spend was $128 billion in 2019 and expected to grow to $206 billion by 2024, implying a CAGR of approximately 10%." Conclusion Coupang definitely brings the "wow" into their business model. Doing 11 billion in sales in 2020 and growing at an incredible 90% YoY is not something to over-look. Like any business there are some risks, for Coupang those are concerns over the limitations of their current TAM and the competitiveness of existing competitors in international markets. They've got a brilliant management team carving the future of the company with some strong financiers to back it up. They are currently trading at a premium valuation, but that is the price of investing in a company growing as fast as they are. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 30 May 2021 10:59 AM PDT
 | ||
| Posted: 30 May 2021 09:35 AM PDT In this article we will dive into Financial Stock Analysis using the Python programming language and the Yahoo Finance Python library. This tutorial covers fetching of stock data, creation of Stock charts and stock analysis using stock data normalization. The implementation will take place within the Jupyter Notebook which we will install using the Anaconda data science platform. Article: https://medium.com/vinsloev-academy/python-financial-stock-analysis-algo-trading-4d5304d07416 YouTube Video version: [link] [comments]  | ||
| Top Performing Hedge Funds - 3 Yr. Return Posted: 30 May 2021 06:26 AM PDT
 | ||
| Posted: 30 May 2021 04:38 PM PDT -🔴Mexico/US P3 trials and Price outlook 🔴- Nvax has P3 data coming In June. (7-14 days probable, end of June worst case) for their Corona Vaccine, along with other catalysts in the next few months (approval most likely slated for July-August for US ,UK ,South Korea, and the list starts there ). . Profits at the end of 2022 are going to be the equivalent or close to Moderna. Moderna is a 75 billion MC while we are a 11 billion MC (About 7x less of a MC then moderna right now) So next year when our profit matches moderna's and our market cap matches we have about a 7x potential which will put share price between $850 to $1000. (Nvax is $150 right now so $150 x 7 is what the market expects) Chart on Contracts nvax has and what future prices/MC is expected to be is down below in the "DD literature section" at the bottom -🔴 Intro to Protein and mRNA type Vaccines🔴 - Protein vaccines are the most efficient at handling Covid variant strains (more on that in paragraph below) so as time goes on, and variant strains mutate/ get worse ..... other vaccines will get more and more ineffective. Other types of vaccines that can handle variants are Pfizer and moderna, but they still only take a portion of these Spike protein. ... versus nvax which makes the whole spike protein. Why did why does this matter? put it this way... -🔴Differences how Protein vs.mRNA vaxs work🔴 - Imagine if the whole spike protein is like a picture. Then I took that picture and I chopped it up into 100 pieces... what Moderna does it takes one piece of that picture and tells your body to recognize it to understand the whole picture, and helps modify your Messenger RNA to recognize the virus. What Nvax does, it uses more of a complete picture... almost all the pieces of the picture, so as the virus mutates one piece of that picture it can still recognize the virus due to being able to see various other parts of the picture. In the mRNA method using one portion of the picture as virus mutates, it becomes easy to distort and not recognize the picture anymore therefore needing to always update your vaccine ... that's what moderna and Pfzer have to do. Because of this using the whole Spike protein via a protein vaccine is the most effective type of vaccine for covid. .... And due to this I expect protein vaccines will be the most in demand due to using a full length protein. -🔴Safety, Side Effects, and Adjuvenants 🔴- Every vaccine uses what's called an adjuvenant. This basically boosts the vaccines effectiveness. There's different kinds, and every company uses one in their vaccine. Not all are created equal. What makes Nvaxs adjuvenant (called Matrix M) so special is its the only plant based (soapbark tree) adjuvenant out there, and is the least irritating. This adjuvenant has been tested on pregnant women in the past and pases with the flying colors. mRNA adjuvenant vaccines use common molecules found in viruses and bacteria that stimulate our immune system. This approach has not been fully tested on pregnant women long term. One of the most common types that were used in the past were aluminum salts. They were found not to be "harmful" but we also didn't know enough about them and how they affect us on a grander scale. A lot of anti-vaxxers are against aluminum salts and giving it to the children. This is why Nvax will be the perfect solution for anti-vaxxers, children and the eldery that want something completely safe. Just using the term plant-based in a vaccine adds a good connotation, let alone the stronger protection/immune responce it provides. As far as what the virus is grown in, Nvax uses a moth based formula. So it's insect and plant-based. Sounds like the Karen's will love this! Ultra safe. Adjuvenants work by creating an irritation/inflammation at the injection site, This in turn helps the vaccines be more effective apon administration. This is what makes you feel sore after getting a vaccine and specifically amount of adjuvenate that being used. NVAX only needs to use 5mM vs mRNA type vaccines use anywhere from 50 to 100 mM of adjuvenant. Therefore when getting a mRNA type vaccines you get a much stronger side effect due to the large amount being used. This is proof how effective nvax is because they need to use so little to be to get a strong immune response. Hence why they have the best data and we're called a first in class vaccine. In conjunction with how much adjuvenant is being used you can also say it directly alters the safety profile. Use too much and you get too many bad reactions. This is why Nvax has one of the best safety profiles out there.Hands down 🙌 Bottom of my post is a link with a lot of the data charted out that includes all the side effects of each vaccine charted. Lastly because the amount of ajuvenant used in mRNA type vaccines can only fit one maybe two strains max before throwing off the safety profile and risking not getting approval. If they do use two strains they have to use less adjuvenant for both to combine them, meaning you're not going to get complete protection for each strain from the vaccine. Nvax does not have this problem because of the such small amount they use, they could combine up to five different strains without an issue.... And right now with it being so clear that covid strains are going to keep mutating we need vaccines thay can cover multiple strains and give full protection on each one. Sometimes one strain can cover multiple strains but depending on where the strain mutates, a bad mutation will require addressing each strain individually and putting them together in one vaccine. Since you can't get four strains in one mRNA vaccine this puts us out at a clear advantage down the road when people need to do booster shots, and don't want to get multiple vaccines through the year. So all in all it's clear Nvax adjuvenant separates itself from the pack and performs much better then other kinds on Safety, Effectiveness, Coverage of all strains and convenience of less shots in a given year. -🔴 Logistics and Storage.🔴- Nvax can be stored in a regular refrigerator, and can be left out to sit out in room temperature for a while while you're vaccinating people. A special ultra low temp freezer is needed for the current MRNA type vaccines. Middle income to low-income countries can't afford the special freezers. This is a majority of the world, not to mention the intricate ways you got to handle it so increases your distribution cost because you need special warehouses, dry ice etc. Also makes it easier logistically/cheaper for NVAX to store and ship using regular freezers.
It's getting harder and harder to get trials done because people just want to get the approved vaccines. This puts other competitors far behind us, giving nvax a economic moat of profit untill 2025 at least. Their pipeline is amazing! They teamed up with Oxford for malaria vaccine that's in the third phase right now. ( second phase results for malaria vax was at 77% efficacy which of P3 is the same it's good enough for approval). Their flu vaccine had the highest efficacy vs any commercial flu vaccine, and phase 3 is already complete and now they're moving on for approval. They will running a trial on their flu and covid combo vaccine, and once launched they could double the price of current covid vaccine due to being a 2 for 1. Moderna and Pfizer are also looking at a combo shot but they haven't even started trials yet. The problem is they can't even finish their trials because flu is non-existent right now so be very hard for them to get trials done for a long time. -🔴Investment Thesis & Financials 🔴- Nvax is pretty much de-risked at this point vs where they were a year ago. Yes you could buy other biotechs that can go up 20x, but they are a gamble. This is a pre-revenue biotech that's more starting to make revenue of a giant pharma. (Hell of a scale up, generally takes years for companies to get to this point if not decades.) They have all successful trials, successful manufacturing officially set up, 2 billion dollars on the balance sheet, $2 billion dollars invested from the US government for "operation warp speed" (a program created during the Trump era to speed up vaccine development). They are expected to ship 2 billion vaccines next year. So this is the moment in time where this investment moves from risk to a much safer investment; where you can set it and forget for a year and not worry about failure. CEO came out and said " all manufacturing now is done and set in place, there are no more issues or glitches to worry about and a year from now we'll be looking back as this being a major success" They're the most undervalued covid play right with the lowest float to future earnings ratio and high short ratio that's about to get squeezed in the coming weeks. The before Memorial day weekend on one trading day before market close 4 million shares were bought 5 minutes before close. Representing about 80% of the daily trading volume in 5 minutes on no specific news. Hedges are repositioning towards long and a lot have bought in this last month. Institutional investment is about 70% in the company. Fidelity & Rowe Price etc have all added... and now is a good time to squeeze the small float while the shorts have a high ratio. A link for future outlook chart on forward earnings broken down per contract is at the bottom of the post in DD literature section. It converts future contracts that are a done deal into future market cap/stock price. With all current contracts and current negotiations stock will hit $850 -1000. IMO $800 easily by end of next year. Now would be a good time to buy some July 200-250 strikes and flip in mid June for shares/or more options when P3 results come out. In June, anticipation will also grow for approval which will increase the implied volatility by a lot ....securing you a decent profit on options. -🔴My Positions 🔴 - As far as my position I own some $200 July calls along with about 933 shares. I'm all in baby. Been in since $4.06, I panicked and sold once during February a couple months during the mini bear market and got back in a bit too early so got a wash sale as well 🙈 but I'm diamond hands all the way to $800 from here. LFG (Check out next link below this paragraph, it has My positions with the price chart mentioned above. My screen name on stocktwits is Johnnyknowsbest. Been on there and here since i started with nvaxz feel free and drop a follow if you want up to date info. But honestly the whole board is worth following there's so much good DD on there, we have a really strong tight knit group of longs that help each other with DD. Also below this paragraph is a link for the last earnings call and the lastest investor presentation, and the last link is a interview with CNBC with the CEO, where he talks about the data is coming before the end of June, but he said he thinks it could be earlier. So sounds like 2 weeks is on par or close to it. Also discusses brand new information on how they are launching a covid flu trial this year. I expect this to squeeze hard in June. Feel free and AMA, been researching NVAX for over a decade. -🔴DD supporting literature🔴- I've included a couple messages down below explaining more in detail about what I talked about in case there's any questions. Worth reading. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 30 May 2021 07:34 PM PDT
 | ||
| Australian Tax Office to Prompt 400,000 Crypto Holders to Report Their Gains Posted: 30 May 2021 11:45 AM PDT Australia's revenue service has reminded a growing number of crypto investors about their tax obligations. Rejecting the common misconception that crypto gains are only taxable when coins are cashed back into dollars, the tax office is going to prompt hundreds of thousands of taxpayers to report profits and losses from their cryptocurrency transactions. Tax Office Targets Australians With Crypto-Related Obligations Concerned about crypto investors evading taxes, the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) has set out to debunk the myth that cryptocurrency gains are only taxable when digital assets are converted into fiat money. People often think the digital coins are currencies but in reality, they are classified as assets, and gains from cryptocurrency trades are like gains from other investments, the tax authority explained. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Magic lines I think will be important in FAANG Posted: 30 May 2021 02:16 PM PDT
 | ||
| Is there going to be stock market crash anytime soon? Here is what experts say Posted: 30 May 2021 04:37 PM PDT
 | ||
| I don't understand the hate towards crypto Posted: 30 May 2021 04:20 PM PDT Im 29. I talk about crypto with my older cousins and relatives. Literally all of them simply ignore crypto while investing in stocks. They say they don't trust it, it's not going anywhere, blah blah blah. I hear this all over besides within my family and I genuinely do not understand it. Instead of doing research which could lead to big gains, people are simply idnorimg crypto all together. If you're in this subreddit and you're ignoring crypto, I'm genuinely curious as to why? It makes no sense to me. I've made more money in crypto than any stock I've invested in. Yes I'm new to stocks in general, but crypto has changed my life so far. [link] [comments]  | ||
| $HTZGQ - MY FINAL IDEA OF WHAT SHAREHOLDERS WILL GET, DEBATE WELCOME Posted: 30 May 2021 06:32 PM PDT I am a guy with Google, not a financial advisor. I have a substantial amount of HTZGQ and have been trying to figure it out, just like most of you. I have been reading, posting, and taking feedback for a few weeks now. Here is my latest and best take on what is going on. Class 11 Shareholders are going to get paid out for their shares in 3 parts:
So I will tackle each part, one at a time. Part #1 - Cash - $1.53 This part is pretty simple. For every share you own, you will receive $1.53. This should just show up in your brokerage account after the conversion. Part #2 - Pro Rata Shares of 3% of the Equity - $1.24 in shares Per the 3rd part of the payout, the estimated equity value is $6.5 billion dollars. So 3 % of the equity should be $195,000,000. There are 156,210,000 outstanding shares of HTZGQ. So 195,000,000/156,210,000 equals $1.24. you would receive $1.24 in shares of the new company. Part #3 - Warrants or Rights Offering - Not Conclusive, But some estimates below a) 30 year warrants - Estimated value each of $4.92 - $5.47 Each share holder will get 1.0497 warrants for each share they own now. The warrants are issued as a cash less exercise. So you broker should be able to exercise them all with no cash and just take the strike price money back by selling some of your executed shares. You do not have to exercise the warrants. You can hold for up to 30 years. The value will be the current share price less the strike price. That's why there is a range estimate. b) Right Offering - In lieu of 30 year warrants. Two ways to participate. Buy or Sell. 1) Buy - **you must be an accredited investor to buy.** if you don't know what this is you are probably not one. Banks, Brokerages, high net worth individuals. 2) Sell - All non-accredited investors may sell their right to shares in the new company at the subscription right offering. You have to tell your broker what your minimum bid is and how many shares you want to sell. 3) What's it worth - I don't know. This parts completely over my head. Anyone that can explain this in simple terms, please have at it. My best guess is this is an easy way for people that just want to cash out to sell all their interest. Two things that I have asked the Prime Clerk and I am awaiting answers: 1) What is the strike price of a warrant? 2) If you were to sell your rights at the auction, are you selling just your warrant rights or are you selling the cash and pro rata shares too? [link] [comments]  | ||
| ggii already has products on the market to other stocks with bigger valuations! Posted: 30 May 2021 06:26 PM PDT
 | ||
| Applying a strategy used to forecast crypto crash and recent stock drops (in real time) to indices. Posted: 30 May 2021 11:30 AM PDT
 | ||
| Posted: 30 May 2021 12:57 PM PDT $SJ has a beautiful daily chart, a nice Cup n Handle on the daily, consolidating above resistance. Indicators are bullish and its receiving more green volume. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Watch This Video On Why Elon Musk Is Backing Dogecoin! Posted: 30 May 2021 02:10 PM PDT
 | ||
| Weekly Market Commentary - May 29, 2021 Posted: 30 May 2021 10:12 AM PDT
 | ||
| What thoughts on WKHS? I got JACKED on the Postal cotract bait and switch ��%70�� Posted: 30 May 2021 01:08 PM PDT
 |
![[link]](https://i.redd.it/aqkxwz97r9271.png){kind=link}
![[link]](https://i.redd.it/t3kptj4cbd271.jpg){kind=link}
![[link]](https://i.redd.it/babgxr9feb271.jpg){kind=link}
| You are subscribed to email updates from r/StockMarket - Reddit's Front Page of the Stock Market. To stop receiving these emails, you may unsubscribe now. | Email delivery powered by Google |
| Google, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, CA 94043, United States | |
No comments:
Post a Comment