Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - April 07, 2021 Investing |
- Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - April 07, 2021
- Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.
- I just posted 2 years of minute-by-minute intraday S&P 500, VIX, & US large cap data on Kaggle
- Fidelity, Square, Coinbase Launch Bitcoin Trade Group
- Coinbase Announces First Quarter 2021 Estimated Results
- Thinking about investing heavily into $fitlx.
- ChargePoint Alternative Play
- Real estate is dangerous, change my mind.
- Performance of Small and Big Companies Sorted by Operating Profitability and Book to Market since 1963 US
- Adjusting for maximum returns
- S&P 500 Flirts With Record, But 'Overbought' Jitters Keep Lid on Gains
- Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - April 06, 2021
- DD on fundamentals and growth of Super League Gaming $SLGG
- If elevated valuations kept you out of the market, you might've missed out on some of the greatest market returns in history.
- After record selling spree, Japan's top insurers weigh buying U.S. bonds again
- Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.
- 22-year-old seeking investing advice
- Playboy - Excitement for you and your wallet (Potential 2-4x)
- Rate my retirement portfolio
- Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - April 05, 2021
- Arcimoto ($FUV) valuation compared to other EV companies
- Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.
- Waste Connections (WCN) and waste in general: Material beneficiaries of Biden's infrastructure policies
- Curaleaf stock - buy or wait for now?
- $EMPW(HLLY) a overlooked and misunderstood stimulus play
- Energy Transfer ($ET) DD from discord that I wrote.
| Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - April 07, 2021 Posted: 07 Apr 2021 02:01 AM PDT Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! This thread is for:
Keep in mind that this subreddit, and this thread, is not an appropriate venue for questions that should be directed towards your broker's customer support or google. If you would like to ask a question about your personal situation or if you are asking for advice please keep these posts in the daily advice thread as that thread is more well suited for those questions. Any posts that should be comments in this thread will likely be removed. [link] [comments]  |
| Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Posted: 07 Apr 2021 02:00 AM PDT If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:
Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq And our side bar also has useful resources. Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions! [link] [comments]  |
| I just posted 2 years of minute-by-minute intraday S&P 500, VIX, & US large cap data on Kaggle Posted: 06 Apr 2021 07:47 PM PDT https://www.kaggle.com/teldarpaper9000/2-years-stock-data-by-minute-sp-vix-memestonk I've been looking for a free source for intraday, minute-by-minute historical stock market data for a while to no avail, so I decided to make one publicly available on Kaggle. I'm hoping this will make backtesting more accessible to new investors & spark some interesting discussion/code/insight sharing around short-term, actively managed strategies. [link] [comments]  |
| Fidelity, Square, Coinbase Launch Bitcoin Trade Group Posted: 06 Apr 2021 07:02 AM PDT Fidelity Investments, Square Inc. and several other financial firms are forming a new trade group that aims to shape the way bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are regulated. The Crypto Council for Innovation will lobby policy makers, take up research projects and serve as the burgeoning industry's voice in championing the economic benefits of digital currencies and related technologies. Crypto investor Paradigm and Coinbase Global Inc., which operates a cryptocurrency exchange, also signed on as initial members of the group. The council's launch comes as prices of many digital assets have surged, drawing in new mainstream investors and the banks and brokers that serve them. Earlier this year, the total market value of bitcoin, the most popular digital currency, touched $1 trillion for the first time. Still, the market's future remains far from settled. Advocates have argued that cryptocurrencies and the blockchain technology that supports them have the potential to create jobs and extend financial services to consumers everywhere, at little or no cost. But policy makers and regulators around the world will play a critical role in shaping the path forward. https://www.wsj.com/articles/fidelity-square-coinbase-launch-bitcoin-trade-group-11617710402 [link] [comments]  |
| Coinbase Announces First Quarter 2021 Estimated Results Posted: 06 Apr 2021 02:10 PM PDT
In my opinion, these numbers are absolutely nuts. Revenue, and earnings for Q1 2021, will higher than the WHOLE of 2020. Put simply, this company makes BANK. Yes of course, this huge revenue of increase is due to the thing's rise, and we can't extrapolate this data for the whole year, as the thing can go down any time. But if, and this is a very big IF, the demand stays at these levels, or go up, as many expect, COIN's annualized income could be $3.2 Billion. (I've calculated this by multiplying q1 expected net income by 4) I know this is a lot extrapolation and speculation, but I expect this IPO to be pumped to oblivion. So much that I probably won't be participating in it. It's pretty much impossible to get a good deal in IPOs these days But let's say that this company was given a 50 PE ratio (which is conservative for a company growing at such levels, but also reasonable since it is tied to the thing) Coinbase would be valued at $150 Billion. (if PE ratio is also the same as market cap/net income.) The combined market caps of ICE and the nasdaq (operating the NYSE and nasdaq exchanges) < $100 Billion. Crazy. (I hope you all know what "the thing" is) [link] [comments]  |
| Thinking about investing heavily into $fitlx. Posted: 07 Apr 2021 03:01 AM PDT It seems like a solid mutual fund to me. I could be wrong as I'm somewhat new to this. I took a few years off investing and havent followed along with trends like I should have for a while. I basically missed the trump years. Anyway, it seems like a broad mutual fund, which I like. I'm looking long term here. I'm not trying get rich in 5 years or anything. Im actually saving for retirement. My job doesn't offer a 401k or anything so I've taken it into my own hands. I was thinking of putting about 80% onto $fitlx or something like it. What do you guys think? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 06 Apr 2021 05:36 AM PDT DESCRIPTION History In June 2017, $CHPT took over 9,800 electric vehicle charging spots from GE. Prior to that point, $CHPT managed 34,900 charging stations across Mexico, Australia, Canada, and the United States. The current CEO and president as of 2018 is Pasquale Romano. On November 28, 2018, $CHPT raised $240 million. At the time, $CHPT maintained 57,000 charging spots. In 2019, VW's Electrify America and $CHPT agreed to provide common access to their US customers. Company reached 100,000 chargers in September 2019, while adding more than 2,000 charging locations per month. Currently $CHPT offers 132k charging station network. Which accounts for 72% market share of total level 2 charging in North America. New entity was formed from Legacy Charge Point combined with SBE (SPAC) late Feb 2021; What is the business model of CHPT? Charge Point sells hardware & software (network subscriptions & equipment) to property owners. The company doesn't own the majority of stations. It doesn't monetize energy. It only monetizes the driver, thus capital light business model. BUSINESS OVERVIEW · Market Cap: $6.99bn · Shares Float ~ 300mln · Short Interest ~70%, per latest short numbers the short interest is 85%, but it's an old figure, which might have dissipated as price fell from ATH $49.48, an update due later this month. · Institutional ownership ~5% · 2 Year CAGR Revenue Growth 65.65%; 5 Year 60%; · TAM $190bn · No Debt. Cash & Cash Equivalents ~$650m. Exponential Revenue growth & estimated profitability in 2024 with $CHPT enjoys the largest share of Level 2 chargers in US. Data from AFDC shows that $CHPT wields the largest market share at 42.8K Level 2 chargers out of 92.8K total of which 11.5K are "non-networked", giving $CHPT ~53% of "networked" chargers. No 2 competitor is Tesla with 16.8K, No3 largest, is SemaCharge Network at 5.2K, followed by Blink with 3.1k which is 4th. In terms of Level 3 'Superchargers', where Tesla leads the way with 10.7k of 19.6k units. $CHPT is competitive with 1.5k with only Electrify America coming in higher at 2.5k. Superchargers account for ~22% of the market pie, Level 2, ~75% and Level 1, ~3% of market share. Products Comprehensive Hardware Portfolio Delivers - Unparalleled quality; advanced testing (vehicle, functional, climate, environment) for long-term reliability Software Enables - Roaming integrations with other charging networks Challengers · $VLTA (SNPR) Claims to go beyond just charging EVs, their chargers are used for ads and their charger placement is based on data analytics in collaboration with $PLTR. When company compares itself to the competition, they do it all - they own the gear, they sell the electricity, they provide software and networks, they do fancy data things, they do advertising. The only things they don't do are manufacture and sell the chargers. They cherry-pick a bunch of stats to show that their chargers have better "engagement" but given they only have 1.7k Level 2s and 6 DCFCs I wouldn't put too much stock in that. It's basically chargers-as-billboards, selected to boutique locations. Anyone can replicate it, if it provides substantial revenue boost, competitors will emulate it. · SemmaConnect: Company boasts 3rd largest market share of Level 2 chargers. SemmaConnect also manufactures chargers, offers warranties and sell software. SemaConnect chargers are OCPP compliant. Sema appears not to have a DCFC offering, nor do they appear to offer sales to individuals (single-family residential). · $EVGO(CLII): EVgo claims to have made the first 150kW and 350kW DCFCs, and DCFCs are their game. AFDC data says they only have 403 Level 2s but 1.4k DCFCs which garners 4th market share. Company also offers drivers a membership for reduced charging rates (looks like 0.04/min assuming you spend 7.99/month) and they have integrated Tesla connectors on their newer DCFCs. They also have a nationwide infrastructure roll-out deal with GM and are entirely powered by renewables. What differentiates the company is the DCFC focus. · $BLNK: Overhyped POP stock. Blink sells Level 2 and DCFC chargers to business and individuals. Claims to operate on an owner/operator model. From EC: · $VWAGY Subsidiary:(Electrify America): DCFC focused company, it enjoys 2.5k DCFCs. EM also sells a Level 2 for the home. EM offers an app, membership for drivers with a monthly fee that gets you a good discount on their charging costs. The membership and cost to charge suggests that they own their chargers. EM also have an electric vehicle subscription service and have some relationships with Jeep and Hyundai. All its reports seem to be released to the California Air Resources Board. Company doesn't appear to build their own chargers, instead relying on procurement, using third-party hardware and software. Near Term Catalysts In relation to upcoming US government infrastructure bill: "AlixPartners estimates $300 billion will be needed to build out a global charging network to accommodate the expected growth of EVs by 2030, including $50 billion in the U.S. alone." It's not too late to make bets on upcoming infrastructure bill. Yes you can dabble into construction firms and commodity plays, but you don't know which companies will win lucrative contracts and sizes of those contracts. Well the biggest companies you might say? It's not that clear cut. What is clear cut, is that the focal point of this infrastructure bill is transition to renewable energy and overhaul pivotal infrastructure. $CHPT has the most experienced (14yrs) company with largest manufacturing capacity, technical now how and ability to take on large scale projects like, building hundreds of thousands of charging stations across all states (500k by 2030). Oh yeah one more thing, former $CHPT board member is in current administration. That's only US. $CHPT operates infrastructure in the hub of world's renewable energy aka Europe. (Also, Canada, Australia, UK, Mexico among other places) You find yourself at the erection of the infrastructure that you and your kids will be utilizing down the road. Just like, railways, roads, telcoms and internet. Long Term Catalysts - Fossil fuel bans $CHPT Growth Directly Proportional to EV Penetration, $CHPT Estimated $1B Revenue at 3% EV Penetration. Miscellaneous $CHPT Apple Store rating - 4.6. $CHPT also has the #1 bestselling home charging station on Amazon with hundreds of 5 star reviews. $CHPT offers access to hundreds of thousands of places to charge with one account via proprietary app. In collaborations with Daimler, Toyota, BMW, Siemens etc. No1 choice for Fortune 500 companies. Customers include: Google, Target, IKEA, NASA, GM, Pepsico, Disney, McDonalds, FedEx, Stanford etc. Shareholders lock up period ends on September 1st. MOAT · First Mover Advantage (With 14 years of experience in a nascent industry, this is where big contracts will go) · Asset light business model ( Selective ownership of charge stations, outsources maintenance & responsibilities to the owner) · Economies of Scale ( $CHPT has largest manufacturing capacity) · Network Effect ( ~75% of charging network market share & operations in 14 countries) CONCLUSION All in all $CHPT stock is a pure EV exposure, with light CapEx business model. Company is the ecosystem player with defensible MOATs, recurring revenue streams and visibility. $CHPT finds itself in ESG friendly category and attracts premium valuation due to penetrance in multiple domains: EV Ecosystem (Hardware), Software Powered Solutions and Energy Technology Why am I interested in $CHPT? Is because it entrenched leader with tremendous experience in a nascent industry? Is because it's a clever business model based on light assets which will subsequently offer high margins 5 years from now And is literally replacement of GAS stations no matter what happens! And is a home "GAS station". Is it because EVs are the future and I am catching the momentum? + ESG and inevitable supremacy and prevalence? Is it a small market cap in the market that will explode no matter what? That's bananas but not the main reason. The main reason is high short interest well over 50% which can be taken advantage of. That's first way of making money on $CHPT. The second way, after squeeze should squoze, this is really well rounded company with superb fundamentals & ~5% institutional ownership, what's going to happen to the stock when institutions commence adoption of it? The valuation will go - bananas. This is not a financial advice, do your own research. Sources: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ChargePoint [https://www.myev.com/research/comparisons/comparing-public-electric-vehicle-charging-netwo [link] [comments]  |
| Real estate is dangerous, change my mind. Posted: 05 Apr 2021 05:53 PM PDT Something I would never ever do with the stock market is borrow $300,000 from the brokerage and invest it in a single stock. Buying a property as an investment and not a home seams like an extremely high risk play. The money i could get for rent here would probably only break me even on taxes in my state, let alone the other expenses that go into being a land lord. What I've been told here is that you're looking to levarage the money you borrow from the bank and make money on the appreciation of the property. What if the neighborhood turns to shit?? What if you buy at the peak moments of the sellers market and the value of the home drops drastically. Isn't that leverage going to be equally as bad to the downside? If i put down $100,000 for a $500,000 home and the value drops to $400,000 by years end... I lost the entire value of my initial investment in the blink if an eye! Am I wrong to be so cautious about leveraging money? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 06 Apr 2021 03:16 AM PDT I summarized the data from the Ken French data library for the 3 way sort based on Size, Operating Profitability and Book to Market. The S&P500 returned 10.3% per year over this period. All returns include dividends and are nominal. https://i.imgur.com/1PClmub.png I was surprised on how bad the performance of small growth companies with weak operating profitability really is. So this should be a warning to everybody that invests in companies or funds with said characteristics. The number of companies can be quite low for some of the portfolios, especially in the first few years of the data. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 07 Apr 2021 02:56 AM PDT Hi there I need advice and some serious talk. I am currently sitting on a portfolio of - 45% ETF´s rest in individual stocks I picked and liked. I want more growth as I want to reduce the time I need to get to a certain threshold. I picked the dividend stocks mainly because of the high yield. the lowest yield I get is 4,5%. highest at 13,4%. I know that - those high yields are probably not lasting forever - I miss out on growth of the actual securities but also , ALL dividend securities are green since I bought them. the lowest being +1,51% (OMF), the highest being 42,88% (OKE). what should I do ? sell at green, take the tax hit (which is about 25% of profits where I live -> germany) currently I reinvest every dividend payout I get. but those also take a tax hit. so I am missing out on returns and not even benefitting from the full dividend payout... I am open for all kinds of tips and suggestions. [link] [comments]  |
| S&P 500 Flirts With Record, But 'Overbought' Jitters Keep Lid on Gains Posted: 06 Apr 2021 12:18 PM PDT The S&P 500 continued to trade near record highs Tuesday, led by energy and consumer stocks, but some on Wall Street are calling for caution as the latest acceleration pushed stocks into "overbought" territory. The S&P 500 rose 0.1% after hitting a record high of 4,086.10, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.14%, or 46 points, the Nasdaq Composite was up 0.1%. "Watch the S&P 500 over the next few days for potential consolidation - that benchmark is now very overbought / extended on the short-term trading charts and is likely to see some profit taking ahead in our opinion," Janney Montgomery Scott said in a note. Initial support is touted in the 3975-to-4000 zone, the firm added. The gloomy update comes just as energy stocks, which had been battered a day earlier, found their footing as optimism over global growth remains steady. Europe, which remains in lockdowns, is expected to mount a stronger recovery. The International Monetary Fund lifted its global growth forecast to 6% in 2021, up from its prior forecast of 5.5%, citing the ongoing progress of the vaccine deployment worldwide. The IMF forecast the euro zone to grow 4.4% in 2021. The faster roll out of vaccines in the U.S. continues to spur the reopening process, with California California Governor Gavin Newsom saying the state will lift most restrictions by June 15. Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN), APA (NASDAQ:APA) and Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG) were among the leaders in the energy sector, with the the latter up more than 3%. Financials, however, failed to participate in the broader rally cyclicals, as the run up in regional banks paused. State Street (NYSE:STT), Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE:BK), PNC Financial Services Group Inc (NYSE:PNC) were among the laggards with just days to go until the major Wall Street banks kick off the first quarter earnings season in earnest. "Although we expect near-term volatility as 1Q earnings start on April 14, reflecting weak loan growth, margin pressure, lower mortgage banking revenues and seasonal factors, we remain positive on the bank group," Wedbush said. Technology stocks, were roughly unchanged, with the fab 5 trading mixed, even as falling U.S. bond yields supported investor sentiment on longer-duration growth stocks. The U.S. 10-year slipped below 1.7% quote yields after trading in range of 1.67% to 1.72% in recent days. Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Google-parent Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), and Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) traded lower, while Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) was higher. In other news, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) struggled to get going after racking up a 6% gain on Monday, as investors digested a bearish note from Roth Capital. Roth Capital said Tesla is only worth $150 a share and suggested the electric automaker was a "minor player" in the U.S. and European markets. [link] [comments]  |
| Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - April 06, 2021 Posted: 06 Apr 2021 02:01 AM PDT Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! This thread is for:
Keep in mind that this subreddit, and this thread, is not an appropriate venue for questions that should be directed towards your broker's customer support or google. If you would like to ask a question about your personal situation or if you are asking for advice please keep these posts in the daily advice thread as that thread is more well suited for those questions. Any posts that should be comments in this thread will likely be removed. [link] [comments]  |
| DD on fundamentals and growth of Super League Gaming $SLGG Posted: 06 Apr 2021 05:15 AM PDT From user u/whobangin Welcome... Let me start off with the overall market and speculation regarding e Sports.
This graph is a bit simple, but it's clear to see e sports would be lead into the multi-billions. If you're here because you want to read Papa Cohen is going to send us to the moon and you're looking for an exit strategy, then this isn't for you. What we see is E Sports is a mere child in the scheme of things. For you smooth brained apes out there, imagine being able to invest into the coverage of football when people wore leather helmets and baseball players didn't take steroids. We can clearly see that SLGG has a market cap of about 156M and the current revenue of E Sports in general is roughy 1.48 Billion in 2020. For sake of argument we can say the 1.48B is strictly revenue and SLGG's cap (not revenue) is around 1/10 that size. So what is to be made of this? We have all witnessed the Gamestop short squeezes and yes, there are parallels... but this investment isn't AMC, BB, GME, or fucking Bed Bath and Beyond. This is a LONG term investment and your entrance point is the most important factor to your returns. As provided by u/brbbins1 short interest is extremely high. I'll repost his DD here. ​ ...but in regard to short interests and squeezes does this look familiar at all? If you're looking me to say that SLGG will moon and this will be another short squeeze meme play.. then you're wrong. Could it 100% gain.. definitely so, but dickheads on this subreddit are far too concerned with SLGG being the next GME to realize it's full potential. In my opinion, SLGG lacks the overall attention and coverage gamestop had to recreate the same squeeze. That isn't to say a similar squeeze couldn't be much more powerful or stronger than GME's, but we are missing the catalysts and buying power to do so. Regardless, as posted before, E Sports is in an infancy stage and basing your investment worth off a squeeze will prove detrimental to not only yourself, but the growth of the brand. Let me remind you that investing into a company via stock is investing into the brand. Forget whatever the fuck Ryan Cohen is doing and if GME just rose 10%. Focus on what SLGG needs to thrust itself into being a household name. Everyone has shopped at a Gamestop... what the fuck is a super league in comparison. Stop comparing. An acquisition by GME would not only stunt SLGG's growth, but it would be very ill timed while Gamestop is filing for shares to be sold and a possible recount to fuck the SEC. Yes, i'm aware that the SEC put out new rules for shorts to be announced within a period much shorter than 30 days as before. The reality is, what make you think these motherfuckers won't play hot potatoes like it's their kid's 5th birthday in order to neglect ownership of shorted shares. What we saw with Gamestop very well might be one of a lifetime and SLGG stock holders need to stop pretending this shit is crypto. You're in this for the long term 1-10 years... or you're playing yourself. Simple as that. We will be faced with massive shorts. SLGG could hit $4. Who gives a flying fuck if you understand what you're invested into. By the time big hedge money even gets close to bankrupting this company... the same GME board that you dickride to buy out SLGG will likely step in. I'm not saying we need GME involvement at all. What i'm saying is, SLGG is a low hanging fruit that can't be mentioned on WSB. We have 1.8k members here compared to 9 million. Meaning, if we had the type of attention these other subreddits got, then popping this 600% squeeze wouldn't be an issue at all. We see this with prototype Gamestop locations that are lan centers. We see this with all of the partnerships behind the scenes literally making a conglomerate. If you're too lazy too figure that out and want gains, then sell. Otherwise, be in for a turbulent storm and the ultimate cure to this all is bringing more attention to the overall true value of SLGG. There are plenty other E Sports stocks, but SLGG holds the right ti a patent that can't be replicated or duplicated. They hold the rights to in person 3rd person bot viewing of ANY game for display. This means movie theaters, gaming hubs, e sports betting, and might very well conflict what Twitch and Youtube have going on. Stop asking for price predictions. Stop waiting for whales to invest and just fucking HOLD. Buy the dips and lower your cost average if needed (not financial advice), but stop sitting here waiting for someone to save you on your delinquent ass mis-informed gamble. Study the company and push the company if you believe in it. That is the essence of shareholding. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 05 Apr 2021 06:06 AM PDT A couple of really good reads from Yahoo Finance for people that are staying out of the market because of the high valuations. Valuations don't actually appear to be mean-reverting. Stock market multiples tell you almost nothing about the next year's returns. [link] [comments]  |
| After record selling spree, Japan's top insurers weigh buying U.S. bonds again Posted: 05 Apr 2021 08:55 PM PDT https://www.reuters.com/article/japan-insurers-bonds-idUSL4N2LM10V
[link] [comments]  |
| Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Posted: 06 Apr 2021 02:00 AM PDT If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:
Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq And our side bar also has useful resources. Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions! [link] [comments]  |
| 22-year-old seeking investing advice Posted: 06 Apr 2021 08:55 PM PDT Hey! I (22M) currently have $45,000 and I am looking for the best way to plan out my investments the years ahead. Currently I am investing in a breadth of things (not too broad, though) — 35% in ETFs (VOO, VTI, ICLN), 65% in mostly technology (NET, TSM, BB). After graduating from college this May, I'm planning to take a job that'd pay me $130,000 a year, for about a year or two. The caveat is that I am planning to go to grad school to do a PhD (for 5-7 years), during which time I will only make ~$35,000/year, which is liveable but I don't foresee myself being able to invest much more in those years. I am looking for advice - in terms of investing (whether I should try to invest in things other than stocks, for example), or just any investing tips that you wish you had when you were 22 years old. I really hope that by the time that I'm 32, I would have already accumulated enough amount of money to buy a house and start a family with my partner. Thank you so much! :) [link] [comments]  |
| Playboy - Excitement for you and your wallet (Potential 2-4x) Posted: 05 Apr 2021 11:51 PM PDT DD on PLBY Hey Guys, so this is my second DD on a company so please be nice, let me know what you think. I recently came across this company due to NFTs which was very surprising because I had no idea Playboy was even a public company. It looks like they recently went public through a SPAC merger with Mountain Crest Acquisition Corp. I had no idea what the company was about except for what most people know it as, a nude magazine company, so I thought of NFTs on hot girls of course that will sell, since we all know sex sells, look at only fans. And BTW the CEO did confirm they are doing NFTs for sure and is in the midst of working on this business opportunity. After doing some more DD into the company I found out that it was a sound company and its looking to make a big come back. That is why I want to do a breakdown of the company and its potential. I think they deserve some attention. Note: I do have shares in the company, and I plan on holding long term. Marketing/Branding So let's start with Playboy as a brand. Almost everyone knows the bunny symbol. It is one of the most iconic globally known brands out there. And that is why I think this company will have a very bright future depending on how they market themselves. These are some of the impressive numbers in terms of their outreach. Playboy is ranked in the top 40th on list of world's most powerful brands by licensing Global. 3 billion of global consumer spending, massive global reach, 1million active digital commerce consumers, over 180+ countries, 97% global un aided brand awareness. Now looking at their business these are currently the sectors that they involved in. Each of these are multibillion-dollar markets.
This means that they have ALOT more room to grow. Lines of business (how do they make their money) Their current main focuses are on style & Apparel and sexual wellness. Which offers the greatest growth in terms of sales and business expansion. You can see this clearly in their most current revenue reported for q4 2021. - sexual wellness - 139 million in revenue - style & apparel - 124.4 million in revenue - Gaming & Lifestyle - 16.6 million in revenue - Beauty & Grooming - 16.2 million in revenue But besides the first 2 areas that I've mentioned that are also looking to expand into gaming and beauty and grooming. Gaming would be involvement in the gambling industry like opening casinos in China or India, maybe sponsors with online poker companies for promotion. For beauty and groom this would be cosmetic products, which that actually have some already on their website. Playboy is currently working on expanding and re-establishing their brand presence. They have close to 9 million plus followers on Instagram as well as many influencers and celebrities that is helping to promote their products through collaborations. Examples: Ariana grande, Beyonce, Kylie Jenner, Steve Aoki, Travis Scott, Lizzo. Not only are they working with celebrities they are also working with many other fashion brands and ecommerce companies to fully market their products. Here are some of the examples. - walmart, CVS pharmacy - alibaba, supreme, taobao check their investor presentation they outline over 20 brands they a collaborating with. https://www.plbygroup.com/static-files/0a30134f-9b1d-4246-9258-43dd25167b4c As you can see from their business model they are switching to a more online presence. They acquired YANDY and is in the midst of transforming the playboy platform into an ecommerce destination. Expansion and vision Playboy has been expanding into other areas of the world as well as trying to bridge the gap between generations. In their most recent investor report they outlined that they will be trying to expand further into the Asian market driving sales into China and India with their new apparels. In terms of new generation penetration Gen Z and millennials has been the focused on their marketing brand, lots of shifting to younger females. Financials A closer look at their financials you can see that they have been growing quite significantly. https://www.plbygroup.com/static-files/818b2992-0b0b-492b-bbd1-2a95b9b601dd As you can see, they outperformed their sales DURING a pandemic. So, you could only imagine in the coming year what they will be able to do. Their performance for 2020 was absolutely smashing. YOY of 89% and fourth quarter revenue up 118%. They actually had to raise their guidance that they will be able to exceed 200 million in sales for 2021 which is amazing. In terms of their balance sheet, you can see that they lost a lot less money in terms of their overall revenue compared to 2019. Their P/S ratio is around 5 which is very comparable to the industry average. Their quick ratio is 7 with a gross margin of %84. (on finwvz) Their management team is stunning and set up for success. https://www.plbygroup.com/leadership If you do a quick search Glassdoors you can see that their company has received a 4.1 rating which is pretty good for a company that's growing. Other Analyst and Stock Price Let's look at the predictions in price - Analyst prediction seems to be in consensus that this is a growing company and is due for some growth in the price. Zacks - buy rating tip ranks - high of $35 https://www.tipranks.com/stocks/plby/forecast Downsides for the company Playboy over the past couple of decades have always been the center of criticism for objectifying woman, and this is what the company will try to tackle. Recently they have made some very significant changes in their business model and their branding, trying to drive gender equality and move away from its history of misogynistic views of women but more towards self-expression/art/fashion. You can see this in their magazine covers and overall focus for their photographs. Even the New York times did a piece on this in 2019, you can read here. https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/02/business/woke-playboy-millennials.html In order to prevail over this, it's going to come down to the leadership and how they are able to pivot themselves away from the traditional views of Playboy being a misogynistic entity and more of a sexual wellness sand gender expression brand. Other down sides to the company include lots of competitors. There are many apparel companies like Victoria Secret, Nike and adidas that can compete with Playboy. In the sexual wellness space competitors include Lifestyle and Church & Dwight (they make Trojan). Most sexual awareness brands have a very good grip on their customers in terms of brand loyalty so it will be hard for Playboy to draw them away. TLDR Pros - Good Growth, shown by the revenue and has been putting up impressive growth numbers - Lots of room to run for their sales, involved in multi-industries able to capitalize on many different forms of revenue - Good Management – very experienced individuals that can get the work done so the company can start making money - Brand is well known, lots of sources to market, pretty much markets itself without the company having to spend too much. - Involvement in many lines of business (CBD, NFTs, cosmetics) - Companies has royalties they can collect - Movement away from its history and trying to rebrand towards a different audience, which is young females and empowering them. - Growing market which gives more available room for Playboy to expand and gain more business without having to compete for market share Cons - Competition with other large players in each of the spaces that it is involved in - Poor Brand sentiment for certain individuals – with the whole cancel culture I can see this being scrutinized for its past and history with objectification of women - Might be spreading too thin with so many lines of business Summary: I think this is a good company and has room to run till $35 at least. I think if they keep putting up these revenue numbers, they will likely hit 50 -60 dollars. I honestly think they will reach their target of 300 million ins sales before 2025. Their estimates are very realistic given how fast they are growing and how large of the presence they have in Asia. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 06 Apr 2021 08:50 PM PDT 6.2825% us large cap value 4.6875% us large cap growth 5.885% us mid cap value 3.9545% us mid cap growth 6.2235% us small cap value 2.45% us small cap growth 0.859% us microcap value 0.04525% us microcap growth 5.7545% ftse developed ex us large cap value 4.3565% ftse developed ex us large cap growth 4.8555% ftse developed ex us mid cap value 3.235% ftse developed ex us mid cap growth 5.45% ftse developed ex us small cap value 4.3550% ftse developed ex us small cap growth 2.3575% ftse developed ex us microcap value 0.02575% ftse developed ex us microcap growth 6.2575% ftse emerging large cap value 5.3255% ftse emerging large cap growth 4.8575% ftse emerging mid cap value 2.352% ftse emerging mid cap growth 7.25% ftse emerging small cap value 2.3935% ftse emerging small cap growth 0.5925% ftse emerging microcap value 0.004565% ftse emerging microcap growth 4.3575% msci canada large cap value 3.4575% msci canada large cap growth 2.8595% msci canada mid cap value 2.5445% msci canada mid cap growth 4.9505% msci canada small cap value 1.2045% msci canada small cap growth 0.525% msci canada microcap value 0.004375% msci canada microcap growth 2.3565% msci frontier large cap value 1.45565% msci frontier large cap growth 0.9595%msci frontier mid cap value 0.4535% msci frontier mid cap growth 0.23435% msci frontier small cap value 0.0125% msci frontier small cap growth 0.045% msci frontier microcap value 0.005905% msci frontier microcap growth 2.4535% us reits 3.45385% ftse developed ex us reits 2.935% ftse emerging reits 0.595% msci frontier reits 4.3595% msci canada reits 2.995% global technology 3x bull 3.9545% tsx capped composite 3x bull 3.055215% global semiconductors 3x bull 4.85735% dow transportation average 3x bull 2.9585% nasdaq 100 3x bear 3.45925% s&p 500 3x bear [link] [comments]  |
| Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread - April 05, 2021 Posted: 05 Apr 2021 02:01 AM PDT Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! This thread is for:
Keep in mind that this subreddit, and this thread, is not an appropriate venue for questions that should be directed towards your broker's customer support or google. If you would like to ask a question about your personal situation or if you are asking for advice please keep these posts in the daily advice thread as that thread is more well suited for those questions. Any posts that should be comments in this thread will likely be removed. [link] [comments]  |
| Arcimoto ($FUV) valuation compared to other EV companies Posted: 05 Apr 2021 10:20 AM PDT Arcimoto ($FUV) is currently trading at a slightly under $500M valuation. Many other companies (especially SPACs) with fewer vehicles produced/sold to date and less clear plans to scale have multi-billion dollar valuations. For example, Nikola ($NKLA) $5B, Lordstown ($RIDE) $2B, and Workhorse ($WKHS) $1.7B. In the last year, Arcimoto produced and sold ~100 vehicles to customers. They are planning to scale production capacity to 50k/year in 2022 in their new factory. Some companies valued over $1B still mainly have drawings and a couple of prototypes. Arcimoto's produces inexpensive, 3-wheeled vehicles which makes them less of a direct competitor with Tesla ($TSLA). Direct competition from Tesla poses a real risk to the profitability of other EV players long term. Arcimoto has gained pretty good traction and support from the Tesla community with Gali from Hyperchange on Arcimoto's board, their partnership with Sandy Munro, and Rob Mauer (Tesla Daily podcast) and Ross Gerber disclosing investments in $FUV. On the other hand, many people are betting against Arcimoto's success with 23.59% of the float sold short as of 3/15 according to Yahoo Finance. [link] [comments]  |
| Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Posted: 05 Apr 2021 02:00 AM PDT If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:
Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq And our side bar also has useful resources. Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions! [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 04 Apr 2021 06:55 AM PDT The waste industry is more than just hard-working gentlemen and women collecting trash from your home or business. It is an extensive ecosystem which is the backbone underpinning a growing economy. Waste Connections operations stand to materially benefit from the industrial and residential waste offshoot in light of Biden's infrastructure plan, which targets growth in transportation and logistics in and to secondary markets (in which WCN dominates): "The American Jobs Plan will build new rail corridors and transit lines, easing congestion, cutting pollution, slashing commute times, and opening up investment in communities that can be connected to the cities, and cities to the outskirts, where a lot of jobs are these days. It'll reduce the bottlenecks of commerce at our ports and our airports." – Biden speech on American Jobs Plan, March 31 2021 Furthermore, the plan aims for a complete overhaul of critical infrastructure including the replacement of all lead water piping. Biden aims to further jumpstart American manufacturing output by increasing factories in primary and secondary markets. The industrial and residential waste byproduct of Biden's plan will materially increase collection and processing volumes at municipal an non-municipal solid waste landfills, of which WCN owns and operates 74 in secondary regions. WCN focuses on secondary and rural markets as opposed to urban cities, and is able to achieve industry leading margins due to lack of competition resulting in strong pricing power and low customer churn. Over 40% of solid waste revenues are generated under exclusive arrangements (Residential: 7 years or longer for rural; municipal shorter in nature and have competitive bidding process — Commercial, industrial, and E&P service agreements typically range from 1-5 years). WCN vertically integrates its waste collection business with owning and operating landfills and transfer stations in key markets which further serves as a strategic advantage, capping competition. It maintains incredible pricing power drives single digit annual increases to recurring revenues; 13.1% CAGR since 2014; and industry leading free cash flow and earnings margins vs. peers. In sum, WCN is a high-quality, defensive name providing an essential service in an increasingly competitive environment. Given its industry-leading growth profile, robust (and sustainable) FCF generation, and dominance of secondary markets, you should consider the company a core holding and a safe play against volatility. It continues to innovate in the recycling and green energy conversion space, both catalysts to future growth and investment. As economies continue to open and the world resumes full-tilt, expect volumes and earnings growth to catapult. Source: https://latecycle.com/2021/04/04/waste-connections-the-backbone-of-an-infrastructure-economy/ [link] [comments]  |
| Curaleaf stock - buy or wait for now? Posted: 05 Apr 2021 01:56 AM PDT I know mj is being decriminalized for recreational use all over the country right now, most notably in NY. MJ stocks have been catching quite some attention. I'm admittedly a novice investor and was wondering if I can get the opinion of a more well versed investor on whether this is a good buy at the moment of if I should wait for now? [link] [comments]  |
| $EMPW(HLLY) a overlooked and misunderstood stimulus play Posted: 05 Apr 2021 06:15 AM PDT "This may be surprising for some,but I'm going to try to explain why in my opinion this is an undervalued,and misunderstood company. First you have to understand southern car culture. There isn't a lot to do in the southern states,and middle america. This results in most people pouring money into their cars as one of their main hobbies. My brother owns a performance car shop in west virginia. He told me yesterday that this has been his busiest month in the last 5 years since he started. This is because people have gotten their stimulus checks or saved during the whole pandemic and now that the summer is approaching once again what is one of the things they are going to do with their money? They want to upgrade their car. I asked him which businesses he thinks are benefiting the most from the uptick. One of the first and the only public company he listed is Holley "They pretty much have a near monopoly on a lot of the aftermarket parts especially classic cars and classic trucks parts" Now that I have somewhat explained the culture and why I think the company is getting a huge uptick from stimulus checks.let's get into the meat,and potatoes of this trade. This is a spac at near nav($10.20). This company is only valued $1.5b despite having 580m revenue last year and 25% YOY growth. They are rapidly taking over the aftermarket part market through acquisitions. Including expanding into the aftermarket EV car market. In my opinion this is a low risk - medium to high return trade." ^I just quoted part of the document I prepared for the character requirement. [link] [comments]  |
| Energy Transfer ($ET) DD from discord that I wrote. Posted: 04 Apr 2021 05:50 AM PDT This is a DD I wrote for a discord I'm in with some friends. Now finally the financial and fundamental break down of ET; its current price is $7.85 has a dividend yield of 7.99% which translates to roughly $0.61 per share paid out over 4 quarters with payments in Feb, May, Aug, and Nov. it's currently paying out 84% of its yearly profits as dividends and it has a safe rating for its dividend payments. Analysis have a 1 year target price range for ET between $7.50 and $16 with an average price target of $10.84 suggesting room for solid price appreciation. It's D/E ratio is 2.82 and while this is above the 2.0 ratio that companies strive for, it's still extremely manageable. Over all I am going to be adding ET to my Roth IRA. It has a strong dividend that is relatively safe, is still expanding its business and is able to do so better than its competitors and it is updating with modern times to better incorporate renewable and green energy into its services. I am going to be buying ET until it tops $8.75 personally and going to just let it DRIP. I personally see it hitting a high of $12-$14 in the current Biden admin and potentially $16 should he or another Dem win in 2024. [link] [comments]  |
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