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    Home Unlabelled Stock Market - Before you invest, check out what's on Motley Fool's list and do the opposite.

    Stock Market - Before you invest, check out what's on Motley Fool's list and do the opposite.

    March 07, 2021

    Stock Market - Before you invest, check out what's on Motley Fool's list and do the opposite.

    Before you invest, check out what's on Motley Fool's list and do the opposite.

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 09:02 AM PST

    It do be like that

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 10:14 AM PST

    GME hopefulls

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 09:42 AM PST

    Warren Buffett on his 1966 investment in $DIS

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 12:13 PM PST

    I mean the casino's are closed, where else can we go?

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 02:10 PM PST

    Me, thinking about this week’s market open...

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 09:02 PM PST

    BULLS Vs BEARS. original painting.

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 08:24 PM PST

    10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD VERSUS S&P 500 DIVIDEND YIELD

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 05:02 AM PST

    ... says savvy investor

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 05:35 PM PST

    Advice for the newer investors

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 06:59 PM PST

    When I first started investing, in doing my research on the "correct" process for researching companies, I ran across many people who were analyzing charts to determine patterns to decide which companies to buy. If any of you have made money using this method, hats off to you and congratulations, but for me, this was a disaster. Every time I tried to do this, by the time a pattern was discernible, and I put my money into the stock, the pattern would change and I'd get smoked. I was barely breaking even after my first year, so I decided to try a different method. I started using psychology as my primary guide. Basically, I started watching about 30 of my favorite companies, and followed the news around those companies along with the share price history to determine a good entry point, with a specific exit point in mind based on where I thought the share price might go. It's hard to give specifics about how I do this, but the relevant information here is that I invested using psychology first and all other types of data secondarily. Doing this immediately started paying off, and I was able to get a 60% return in 2019, as well as a 130% return in 2020. This strategy may not pay off for everyone, but I just wanted to share in case the newbies haven't considered the importance of psychology in the stock market.

    submitted by /u/dahulk1984
    [link] [comments]

    AMC$ ����☄️

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 08:01 PM PST

    "Stock market is flipping out because the 10-year yield has gone up a bit pretty fast. But a longer-term chart of the 10-year treasury yield tells a slightly different story:"

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 09:22 AM PST

    Tesla losing marketshare in EU, China and now USA

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 12:53 PM PST

    How A Goat Farmer Built A Doomsday Machine That Just Booked A 4,144% Return. Tl;dr losing/holding cash until a “black swan” event happens.

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 07:09 PM PST

    on the travails of wallstreet and GME

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 09:51 AM PST

    I Have Created a Dashboard to Spot the Most Trending Stocks In Reddit

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 03:28 PM PST

    Hey guys,

    I hope you are doing fine. I want to share with you the dashboard I have created during these last weeks and present you all the functionalities that you could use to enhance your trading strategies.

    - Trending Stocks Pages

    In the pages Trending Stocks Reddit, Twitter, Google Trends you have a list of the stocks that have been disccused the most in each of the social network. For Reddit, you'll be also able to select a specific thread and time granularity to check the stocks that have been discussed the most in these specific subreddit. You will be able to see the Current Trending Score and Previous one, to see if a recent hype is building up around a stock. Same for Twitter & Google

    - Top Movers

    This page allow you to check the stocks that had the biggest jump in the trending lists specified above. The objective is to help you catch the trending stocks before they become too mainstream and spot them as soon they have an increasing weight in the discussions.

    - Reddit Trending Index

    Different Indexes have been built up for each subreddit to mimic the performance of a portfolio that would invest on only top 10 most discussed stocks.

    You can check out all that over HERE !

    Your comments and improvement ideas are more than welcome.

    submitted by /u/trending-stocks
    [link] [comments]

    BlackSky SFTW extensive DD (Due Diligence)

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 08:16 PM PST

    Disclosure: I own SFTW in my portfolio

    Disclaimer: I am not your financial advisor. Do your own research before clicking buy or sell on your brokerage

    I am a finance student with a job lined up in Investment Banking on Wall Street post-graduation. I conduct research on companies in my portfolio for fun but enjoy posting them on Reddit in case it might help anyone else.

    I have been conducting research on Space SPACs as of late and have already posted some DDs on Astra/HOL and AST SpaceMobile/NPA in the past week. The next DD will be on Rocketlab/VACQ so follow along and stay tuned if you're interested. So let's get into BlackSky:

    BlackSky is a geospatial intelligence company focused on disrupting spatial imagery and space-based data and analytics. The company is a first-mover in real-time Earth observation and has ambitious goals of accelerating satellite constellation, sensor networks, software application development, and commercial go-to-market.

    Blacksky's business model involves 3 core services:

    1. High-frequency satellite imagery with dawn to dusk autonomous tasking. This service will be offered as a multi-year contract and is expected to make up roughly 64% of future revenue for the company. The gross margin for this service is expected to be 90%.
    2. Site monitoring and analytics software that will be sold in a SaaS-like model. This will create recurring revenue for the company and is expected to make up 33% of expected revenue with 60% gross margins.
    3. Operational and engineering solutions catered for government customers that will make up the remaining 3% of expected revenue with a low gross margin of 10%. This service will be sold through fixed-price contracts.

    The company wants to put 23 low-cost and high revisit small-sats on-orbit by 2023 with the aim of providing real-time sensor agnostic data and analytics to its customers. The total addressable market, or TAM, of the real-time Earth observation industry is estimated to be roughly $40 billion.

    While the space image capturing market is currently dominated by legacy satellite companies, BlackSky prides itself on being able to provide a better quality service for only 10% of that price.

    BlackSky's technology stack is also arguably the best out of all legacy satellite players, with artificial intelligence capabilities in distinct areas such as event detection, computer vision, routing prediction, and time-series analysis. All of these provide the company with proprietary data that gives BlackSky a massive competitive advantage.

    Moreover, BlackSky is better vertically integrated when compared to all of its competitors. While legacy players will purchase satellites from manufacturers, BlackSky owns a 50% stake in LeoStella JV - one of the leading constellation construction and smallsat production companies.

    BlackSky already has contracts in place which could potentially be worth $630 million. Some of their key partners include the U.S Army, the U.S AirForce, and the National Reconnaissance Office, which is responsible for all satellite intelligence of the U.S Government.

    While BlackSky is mostly partnered with U.S government agencies as of now, it has plans of expanding into emerging markets and the commercial industry starting from 2025. Some of the commercial uses of BlackSky's service include pipeline and inventory monitoring, insurance property assessments, mining surveillance, agricultural crop health monitoring, and so on.

    The company's management team is also top-notch with years of experience in the industry. BlackSky's CEO Brian O'Toole is a serial entrepreneur whose last business OpenWhere was acquired by Blacksky itself. He worked as the Chief Technology Officer of the company for 4 years before moving up to the position of CEO.

    BlackSky's current CTO Peter Wegner was the former Chief Technology Officer of SpaceFlight Industries and has a Master's Degree in AeroNautical Engineering from Stanford University. Their COO Nicholas Merski was the previous Engineering Division Chief of the United States Air Force and their CFO Brian Daum was the previous CFO of MotionSoft, Savi Technology, and Centrifuge Systems.

    In terms of financials, BlackSky is going public with a pro-forma enterprise value of $1.1 billion with $318 million of cash in trust. The company is expecting aggressive revenue growth over the next 5 years with positive EBITDA starting from 2022.

    The company's gross margin is expected to improve significantly over time as they roll out more smallsats in orbit and introduce their developer APIs to promote their software analytics platform.

    At a share price of $10, the company is valued at 24x their expected 2021 revenue and 2.03x their expected 2025 revenue. In terms of EBITDA, BlackSky is currently trading at 4.53x their 2025 projection. If BlackSky's estimates actually come to fruition, SFTW poses a very attractive investment opportunity that can potentially 5-10x in the long-term.

    Overall Conclusion:

    Given the company's product map and timeline, BlackSky is ahead in product-market fit when compared to the other recent SPACs in the space industry. The company looks promising with important contracts already in place and a strong management team that knows how to navigate the industry.

    However, the current multiples of this company are based on a peer group of data analytics companies such as Snowflake, Palantir, and DataDog, and it will be a challenge for BlackSky to prove whether they really belong in this set. Therefore, the BlackSky software analytics platform will be the segment that every investor will be watching for the next few years.

    The SaaS-like model of that product can create significant recurring revenue and predictable cash-flow for BlackSky, and take the company's stock from being a speculative investment to one that investors can better understand. For now, BlackSky is still an uncertain company with a high risk/reward profile.

    submitted by /u/BenDoverR8Now
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    Atari to launch online casino

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 07:32 PM PST

    Valuations - Feat. TSLA, ARK, Robotaxis

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 09:30 PM PST

    I'm want to start this post by saying that I am a huge fan of both Tesla and Cathie Wood. This post will also not be very technical and hopefully will be an easy read.

    How I am determining TSLA Valuation

    I'm not. I am using 'Tesla Price Target' articles put out by ARK. I picked ARK because I consider them to be deservingly well respected and because Cathie is considered to be one of the biggest Tesla Bulls.

    Some Notes:

    • ARK provided stock price targets in pre-split (5:1) numbers. I'll be converting those numbers to post split prices in this post.
    • This post discusses Future (2023 and 2024) Price Targets and numbers.
    • This post covers ARK's 2023 TSLA Price Target posted on May 27, 2019 and ARK's 2024 Price Target which was posted only 7 months later on January 31, 2020.
    • This post will be only focusing on the bear case and the bull case scenarios. Both [2023 ARK TSLA Price Target] and [2024 ARK TSLA Price Target] are linked and worth reading.
    • The major valuation difference between the bear and the bull scenario comes from the Robotaxi Network. Next major factor is the number of cars sold.

    ARK Price Target 2023

    2023 (Bear Case) 2023 (Bull Case)
    2023 Cars Sold (millions) 1.7 3.0
    2023 Autonomous Capable Fleet (millions) 0 7.2
    2023 Share Price Target ($) $119.4 $1221.2

    Tesla Delivered 0.5 million cars in 2020. I believe 1.7 - 3 million deliveries for Tesla in 2023 was a reasonable assumption made by ARK that still stands.

    Based on this analysis by ARK, at current TSLA stock price ($600) there is a possible 104% upside in stock price and -80% downside.

    ARK Price Target 2024

    2024 (Bear Case) 2024 (Bull Case)
    2024 Cars Sold (millions) 3.2 7.1
    2024 Robotaxi Revenue (Billions) 0 $351
    2024 Share Price Target ($) $300 $3000

    I believe the bull case 7.1 million deliveries for Tesla in 2024 is highly unlikely. Even with Freemont, China, Texas, and Berlin factories producing 0.75 million cars each by then, it'll take about 6 more factories.

    Based on this analysis by ARK, at current TSLA stock price ($600) there is a possible 400% upside in stock price and -50% downside.

    This 2024 price target analysis came only 7 months after the 2023 price target analysis. ARK also provided an expected 2024 price target of $1400 (133% upside). I don't believe there was that much fundamental change in Tesla between May 2019 to Jan 2020. Even though I believe in the talent at ARK, I think ARK's 2024 Tesla price target was them moving the bar a bit when TSLA stock price shot up during this period.

    My Thoughts on Tesla and Robotaxis

    I love what TESLA has done for EVs, renewable energy, and self-driving. I think the company has a great future ahead. I believe Tesla is ahead of the pack when it comes to self-driving followed by Waymo and Mobileye. This opinion is based on my own research. However, I do not think achieving full autonomy within five years is anywhere near guaranteed. I also don't think it's a guarantee that Tesla and its approach will win the race to autonomy. I would put Tesla's chances of being the first Robotaxi network on the road at about 50%.

    Other Tesla Moats/Concerns

    Batteries, Storage, Solar, Insurance, EV competitors, Nickel Shortage, Solid State batteries or other better battery tech by competitors, etc..

    Not a part of this post because I'm tired of typing.

    Conclusion

    • I don't know whether TSLA is a buy or a sell. If you have strong convictions about Tesla's ability to execute on its plans, it maybe a BUY.
    • But.. If you are buying at the current share price, you need to ask yourself and possibly research if:
      • Tesla will be first to the Robotaxi network
      • Are you able to handle the downside if Tesla Robotaxi fails?

    I have no positions in TSLA and do not plan on starting any new positions next week. None of this is financial advice.

    submitted by /u/discohut
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    If Commercials were Real Life - Robinhood: We are all investors

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 10:28 AM PST

    Advice for young investors with little or no bills to pay.

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 12:51 PM PST

    If your investing or plan on investing in the near future and your a young person with little or no bills to pay my advice would be to throw as much extra cash you have into your investment account. Say your 18/19 with a part time job (assuming your in school) GROW YOUR MONEY. I am 100% not saying gamble in Reddit pushed stocks like GME, AMC, etc. but really invest your money in strong fundamentally stable stocks or ETF's if you want to play it more safe, because in the next 3, 4, 5 years of your life your not going to have that money to play with. Bills will eventually start to pile up so get started sooner then later! If you are this audience you really have an amazing opportunity that most people don't have, you have the ability to a leg up over the next person in regards to your finances, and to jump start the growth of your money substantially.

    submitted by /u/Johnnyinvests
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    Professionals luring amateurs into Options Trading

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 01:15 PM PST

    2021 has been a lot of noise about trading memes.....taking on short sellers.....attacking hedge funds.....crying about how unfair things are for the little guy and it's payback time..

    BUT what I notice underneath all that noise & movement is Wall Street (maybe?) trying to get people to get into the Option Market, which we all seasoned and sophisticated traders/investors know is EXTREMELY RISKY. The gains and losses being posted by all those people in WBS, the bragging about how much money they made......it's not from being an investor in a company! It's from making a short-term options bet! This is gambling at best. If you're hedging bets, sure, you can dabble there and take calculated risks. But these people who are going gaga are the YOLO bunch! Risking everything! Shit.....just go to Vegas and YOLO on red at roulette!

    submitted by /u/Resident-Coach-786
    [link] [comments]

    Robinhood, we know what you did!

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 07:06 PM PST

    My Watchlist For 3/8/2021

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 03:05 PM PST

    S&P 500, 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD, NASDAQ 100 – 30 MINUTE CHART

    Posted: 07 Mar 2021 04:56 PM PST
    Read more
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