Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread Investing |
- Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread
- Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.
- ACTC (Proterra) DD - The Most Undervalued Stock on the Entire Market
- News: David Tepper is getting bullish on stocks, believes rising rates are set to stabilize
- Value with a focus on long-term dividend reinvestment / DD Stock Write-up
- Looks like US small-cap value might be back in business
- Moderna Continues to Slide Despite News
- Kanabo signed a production agreement with pharmacann
- Sequoia-Backed Driverless Truck Startup Seeks SPAC Merger
- DD - TAAL - Taal Distributed Information Technologies Inc.
Daily General Discussion and spitballin thread Posted: 09 Mar 2021 02:01 AM PST Have a general question? Want to offer some commentary on markets? Maybe you would just like to throw out a neat fact that doesn't warrant a self post? Feel free to post here! This thread is for:
Keep in mind that this subreddit, and this thread, is not an appropriate venue for questions that should be directed towards your broker's customer support or google. If you would like to ask a question about your personal situation or if you are asking for advice please keep these posts in the daily advice thread as that thread is more well suited for those questions. Any posts that should be comments in this thread will likely be removed. [link] [comments] |
Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Posted: 09 Mar 2021 02:00 AM PST If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:
Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq And our side bar also has useful resources. Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions! [link] [comments] |
ACTC (Proterra) DD - The Most Undervalued Stock on the Entire Market Posted: 08 Mar 2021 06:13 PM PST Topics to be Discussed:
Overview"Proterra is a high-growth commercial electric vehicle technology leader with over a decade of production experience. The Company has designed an end-to-end, flexible technology platform that delivers world-class performance and a low total cost of ownership to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and end customers. Proterra has three complementary businesses:
The Company's industry-leading battery systems have been proven in more than 16 million service miles driven by its fleet of transit vehicles and validated through partnerships with world-class commercial vehicle OEMs, such as Freightliner Custom Chassis Corporation (FCCC), Thomas Built Buses, Van Hool, Bustech, and Optimal-EV. To date, Proterra has produced and delivered more than 300 megawatt-hours of battery systems, more than 550 heavy-duty electric transit buses and installed 54 megawatts of charging systems. Proterra operates manufacturing facilities in California and South Carolina, as well as a state-of-the-art R&D lab in Silicon Valley. The Company recently announced the opening of a new battery production line co-located in its electric transit bus manufacturing facility in Los Angeles County. This battery production line was established within a year and demonstrates Proterra's ability to bring its scalable and capital-efficient battery manufacturing process directly to commercial vehicle OEMs alongside their existing manufacturing." Pulled from investors portal on Proterra's website. Proterra is going public via a SPAC merger ticker ACTC. A press statement released on January 12th, 2021 suggests that the merger is "expected to close in the first half of 2021". There is some speculation regarding the date; they've already filed the S-4, so the timeline for merger vote looks to be around end of March to April first week according to this post and the SEC website. Investors: Franklin Templeton, Broadscale, 40 North, G2VP, Chamath Palihapitiya, and Fidelity Management & Research Company LLC Funds and Accounts Managed By: BlackRock, Neuberger Berman Funds and affiliates of ArcLight. Leadership
Board of Directors
I can't highlight Jennifer Granholm enough, she is the Secretary of the Department of Energy with a green Biden administration in a company that has 50% of the US Market already. Her CNN ties could prove to be an excellent source for PR as well. Products, Services, and TechnologyAs mentioned in the overview, the company really operates in 3 capacities: Proterra Powered, Proterra Transit, and Proterra Energy. Proterra Powered: Delivering industry-leading battery systems and electrification solutions to commercial vehicle manufacturers.
Proterra Transit: Leading North America as the market's #1 electric transit bus OEM. Proterra Energy: Offering end-to-end turnkey charging and energy management solutions.
Partnerships and CustomersPartners: Key strategic partnership with Daimler Customers: Daimler, Alabama University, ART, University of Montana, Atomic City Transit, Capitol Metro, CARTA, Chicago Transit Authority, Charlotte Douglas International Airport, City of Los Angeles Department of Transportation, CitiBus, Detroit DoT, DART, Duke University, JFK International Airport, Zion National Park, +100 more. Their customers range from transit authorities, DoT's, airports, schools (high school/college), and cities. Two weeks ago they had the largest EV bus deal in the US struck with Maryland. CompetitionArrival, Hyllion, Nikola, Romeo. Proterra has an extremely large lead and has a distinct first mover advantage. The second place competition (Romeo) is still lagging far behind Proterra. Real World Miles Driven: Proterra has driven over 16mm real world miles, no other competition has driven any. Revenue (2020E): The only other competitor to generate mentionable revenue was Romeo with $11mm. Proterra generated $193mm Production Track Record: Again, Romeo is the not-so-close second having produced minimal items and being founded in 2016. Proterra has been in production for ~10 years. Manufacturing Capacity (As of 01/01/2021): Only Proterra and Romeo. Full Charging Solution (As of 01/01/2021): Proterra only SPAC Transaction Overview
Financials and FundamentalsAll data derived from SEC forms and the investor presentation.
Let's do a little evaluating ourselves: Shares outstanding post-merger: 240.1MM Based on January ACTC prices pre NASDAQ sell-off: $24/share
UNADJUSTED:
ADJUSTED:
Average between adjusted and unadjusted:
Here is another analyst finding it undervalued in a similar way on Feb 10th. Let's think about that for a moment... As of this writing ACTC is trading at $15.65, based on purely fundamentals without speculation it is trading 116.42% below it's actual value. Forward Looking Statements and Speculation
ConclusionProterra is not only the most undervalued stock on the entire market, it's also positioned to be one of the best performing companies over the next several years. With an incredible first-mover advantage (16mm driven/10 years production) and a massive lead on the market (50%+ US market share), there is nothing stopping this stock from absolutely exploding post-merger which is expected to happen end of March-first week in April (although the official statement is "the first half of this year"). The company is currently undervalued by 116.42% on fundamentals alone, and that's on the "fair" end. When people realize what is actually happening here and what this is about to become, I think the hype and excitement has the potential to drive these prices much higher. I see a TSLA situation brewing. No not because it's just another EV company, because it's an established, well-connected, constantly growing commercial EV company. Bear Case: I literally can't think of one aside from the merger falling apart. If someone could provide a bear case in the comments for Proterra (assuming the merger is successful) I would love to discuss it, because either I'm missing something glaringly obvious or this might be my greatest pick. How to Play? I am long on this with my shares. I will be holding all my shares for several years, my calls I will exercise half after the merger and sell the rest for a nice profit. If you want to just play the merger that's an option too. Meaning just hold until the merger date and sell at whatever you think the peak is that very day.
Positions: 3,865 shares @ 22.37 10C 04/16 $20.00 12C 05/21 $22.50 17C 05/21 $25.00 6C 08/20 $35 TL;DR: Fundamental's alone show this company is already 116.42% undervalued, factor in hype, forward-thinking, IPO, etc. and I can't even come up with a PT. I would expect a PT post-merger to travel upwards to ~$50-$60 and settle back down no lower than $34. EOY my prediction is ~$70-$80. 2025 prediction is ~$300-$500. I recommend you read. I wouldn't want to gloss this one over if I were you. If you prefer you could simply check out their investor presentation. EDIT: The 10.3 factor is from an EV basket that includes many direct and indirect competitors. The list is in the presentation. EDIT 2: This is a fundamental DD. There are a lot of comments regarding other competitors not mentioned. Most of the companies not mentioned were including in the 10.3 factor for diversity. A lot of these competitors being mentioned are bus manufacturers, Proterra is a fleet level ecosystem infrastructure provider. They don't just make buses. EDIT 3: Fair warning, even though Proterra is significantly undervalued, there are other market mechanics at play. With the NASDAQ sell off its uncertain how much lower ACTC will go if at all. I think this is an excellent play, now you just need excellent timing. Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, nothing I ever say or do is a financial recommendation. Any words urging someone to do something is only going as far as suggesting they do their own DD, it is in no way an attempt to convince anyone to make any financial decisions. Plus...this thing doesn't need to get pumped. I'm just trying to share the find. [link] [comments] |
News: David Tepper is getting bullish on stocks, believes rising rates are set to stabilize Posted: 08 Mar 2021 05:22 AM PST David Tepper, founder of Appaloosa Management whose comments have been known to move markets, said it's very difficult to be bearish on stocks right now and thinks the sell-off in Treasuries that has driven rates higher is likely over. "Basically I think rates have temporarily made the most of the move and should be more stable in the next few months, which makes it safer to be in stocks for now," Tepper told CNBC Notably, also called growth stocks like Amazon in particular, attractive right now. [link] [comments] |
Value with a focus on long-term dividend reinvestment / DD Stock Write-up Posted: 08 Mar 2021 09:17 PM PST KMB - Kimberly Clark / Dividend 3.47%
O - Realty Income REIT / Dividend 4.65%
MMM - 3M / Dividend 3.21%
MAIN - Main Street Capital / Dividend 6.7%
KR - Kroger / Dividend 2.09%
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Looks like US small-cap value might be back in business Posted: 08 Mar 2021 08:44 AM PST The last 6 months, my SLYV allocation has been zooming up. The link below is a chart of SLYV vs. SPY vs QQQ. I thought small caps suffer in a rising interest rate regime. I have no idea why small-cap value is doing so well, but would like to understand. I only have 4% of my total portfolio allocated to SLYV, but I'm kind of wishing I had more at this point. [link] [comments] |
Moderna Continues to Slide Despite News Posted: 08 Mar 2021 09:36 AM PST Competitive advantage stripped from Moderna and Novavax when Johnson and Johnson got the results from their single shot vaccine. The 52 week high of $189 was excitement about a potential end to o the pandemic and absent the J&J vaccine. But MRNA still has better efficacy, better future tech, and just announced a partnership to accelerate the production of their vaccine. Despite this, stock continues the slide, down another 3.42% today, as of this post. That extends 7 day and 30 day decline (-25% 1M). So what gives? [link] [comments] |
Kanabo signed a production agreement with pharmacann Posted: 09 Mar 2021 01:37 AM PST 9 March 2021Kanabo Group Plc("Kanabo" or "The Company")Medicinal Cannabis Production Agreement Kanabo Group Plc (LSE:KNB), is pleased to announce that it has signed a production and supply agreement with PharmaCann Polska ("PharmaCann") under which PharmaCann will supply cartridges containing Kanabo's proprietary medicinal cannabis formulations for its VapePod inhalation device. The cartridges will be filled and prepared at PharmaCann's wholly owned facility in North Macedonia. This is a second key agreement directed towards establishing a European medicinal cannabis supply chain and builds on the previous announcement of a UK distribution agreement. Kanabo's CBD Wellness products are already being produced and distributed in the primary markets of UK and Germany. PharmaCann, based in Warsaw, is a part of the PHCANN International Group. Its fully licensed compound in Skopje, North Macedonia comprises both an indoor cultivation facility and an EU-GMP standard extraction facility for production of products based on cannabinoids. According to the agreement, PharmaCann and Kanabo will establish a dedicated production line for medicinal formulas that will use filling equipment procured and supplied by Kanabo and Kanabo's production protocols. Under the agreement, PharmaCann provides an initial production capacity of up to 36,000 cartridges per month with the ability to further increase production when necessary. The production and supply agreement gives Kanabo full visibility and control over product quality from hydroponic, pesticide-free cultivation through to extraction, filling and distribution of tamper-proof cartridges designed to work with its medical-grade VapePod inhalation device. Avihu Tamir, CEO Kanabo Group Plc said: "Following the increased fund-raise achieved at the IPO, we are able to accelerate preparations for supply of medicinal cannabis products in addition to building our CBD Wellness business. I am delighted to work with PharmaCann which will enable us to provide medical cannabis vape products to thousands of patients safely and effectively using our medical grade VapePod device." I'm always hearing good news about kanabo especially for being generally new to the market. Guess everyone's gotta start somewhere before the market lifts off. [link] [comments] |
Sequoia-Backed Driverless Truck Startup Seeks SPAC Merger Posted: 08 Mar 2021 07:38 AM PST Self-driving truck startup Plus is in advanced talks with a few special purpose acquisition companies for a merger, as it seeks to bankroll its expansion in the autonomous driving industry, according to people familiar with the matter. The Sequoia Capital-backed company has received several letters of intent from the U.S.-listed SPACs and is weeks away from a deal announcement, the people said, asking not to be identified because the matter is private. The SPACs range in size from $300 million to $500 million, and Plus is planning to set its valuation range later this month, one of the people said. Plus is working with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and will start a roadshow for additional financing via a private investments in public equity, or PIPE, transaction after it chooses a SPAC, the people added. Representatives for Plus and Goldman Sachs declined to comment. Bloomberg Subscribe Never miss an opportunity. Get alerts to help you stay in the know. Enable Notifications. Allow Later Source: Plus Business Sequoia-Backed Driverless Truck Startup Seeks SPAC MergerBy Lulu Yilun Chen March 8, 2021, 1:22 AM ESTUpdated on March 8, 2021, 2:11 AM EST Self-driving truck startup Plus is in advanced talks with a few special purpose acquisition companies for a merger, as it seeks to bankroll its expansion in the autonomous driving industry, according to people familiar with the matter. The Sequoia Capital-backed company has received several letters of intent from the U.S.-listed SPACs and is weeks away from a deal announcement, the people said, asking not to be identified because the matter is private. The SPACs range in size from $300 million to $500 million, and Plus is planning to set its valuation range later this month, one of the people said. Plus is working with Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and will start a roadshow for additional financing via a private investments in public equity, or PIPE, transaction after it chooses a SPAC, the people added. Representatives for Plus and Goldman Sachs declined to comment. The Cupertino, California-based firm is among a handful of startups that are trying to up-end a fragmented long-haul trucking business with driverless technology. It has been working with Chinese delivery company SF Holding Co., which uses Plus-enabled autonomous trucks covering 1,500 kilometers (932 miles) on a daily basis, according to Plus. State-owned China FAW Group Co. plans to start mass production of jointly developed autonomous trucks in the second quarter, Plus has said. Full Truck Alliance will use its network, which links drivers and cargo, as a sales channel for Plus trucks. Founded by a group of Stanford University classmates in 2016, Plus is backed by investors including Chinese long-haul company Full Truck Alliance, Shanghai Automotive Industry Corp. and GSR Ventures Management. The startup raised $200 million in a funding round in February that attracted new investors such as Guotai Junan International Holdings and Citic Private Equity Funds Management Co. The company recently hired Dennis Mooney from truckmaker Navistar International Corp. to scale up production, and Chuck Joseph from Amazon.com Inc. to help truck fleets adopt Plus technology. [link] [comments] |
DD - TAAL - Taal Distributed Information Technologies Inc. Posted: 08 Mar 2021 06:41 AM PST I've spent a while trying to figure out the blockchain space for companies that are long-term investable. Miners don't seem to have a sustainable business model for long term investing due to the block rewards dropping and competition increasing as BTC price increases. I think I have finally found one that can be invested in for the long term; $TAAL. Taal is positioning itself as a transaction processor, which includes mining, but is also so much more. Taal's president has recently touted the company as aiming to be the Amazon Web Services of blockchain. Sounds lucrative! The company is still small and in the very early stages of operations, which means I think the risk/reward is very favourable. Skip to the section titled "Taal's Business Operations and Prospects" on page 6 if you want the meat and potatoes of the report. Discussion should attempt to link back investing wherever possible despite the company operating in the blockchain sector. $40M share offering announced Wednesday evening This should put a floor on the share price around the offering price of $4.60. Could be a nice entry point for anyone looking to start a position. Further details TL;DR: TAAL stock looks like a great long-term investment. [link] [comments] |
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