Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing |
- Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.
- $CRSR Corsair DD - The Q4 results are basically already out and nobody is talking about it!
- ETF and chill vs. actively picking stocks
- Apple - Hyundai - Canoo (GOEV) speculation
- Losing massive unrealized gains
- Gamestop Big Picture: Has The Game.. Stopped?
- Tilray Inc. and Aphria Inc observation + mathematics
- $GME SHORT INTEREST. HERE'S WHAT THE HEDGE FUNDS ARE DOING.
- $APHA is going to blow up (eventually).
- My main takeaway from this chaotic past week as a new investor: sometimes the juice ain't worth the squeeze
- Gamestop and its implications for the future
- How $GME and $AMC can benefit from soaring stock prices. With valuation.
- (DD) $VLDR - Velodyne Lidar: autonomous vehicle tech and Apple Car news
- $TAKOF - Drone Delivery Canada DD
- $CYTH: Low-Float 32M Cap vs $SAVA $3B Market Cap
- With all that chaos going on i actually decided to learn about investing - not speculating
- Reuters: Cryptocurrency Ethereum hits record high ahead of CME futures launch
- Palantir results date has been moved
- A Rough Analysis On Teradyne and a reflection on Sony analysis last week
- PayPal 2020 Results: ‘Outstanding Finish to a Record Year’
- Incoming Market correction/ancient history. Your opinion on where we are and where we are going.
- Time to look at some real value, Gazprom
- Stocks vs. Rolling Call Options
- Dollars in the economy and stock prices
- r/ETFs AMA with David Nadig of ETF Trends and ETF Database
| Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Posted: 04 Feb 2021 02:00 AM PST If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:
Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq And our side bar also has useful resources. Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions! [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| $CRSR Corsair DD - The Q4 results are basically already out and nobody is talking about it! Posted: 03 Feb 2021 05:41 AM PST "While the whole world was having a big old party, a few outsiders and weirdos saw what no one else could. […] These outsiders saw the giant lie at the heart of the economy, and they saw it by doing something the rest of the suckers never thought to do: They looked". (Big Short) I have seen many good quality DD about Corsair. We all know it's a great business. What I want to focus on is the financials. More specifically: We already know Q4 results and nobody is talking about it! Why? Because nobody looked!!! Corsair recently posted a prospectus related to the sale of 7.5M shares by some insiders (totally normal as it's mostly the private equity owner – EagleTree - selling a small bit and passing from 78.32% to 68.55% ownership - they sold 7,135,000 out of the 7,500,000 sold… It's totally fair for the PE owner to cash out a bit). Here's the prospectus (dated 21st of January 2021): https://ir.corsair.com/static-files/22acfc88-2f42-4b16-8bbb-099323323f33 1) Now, check out page 9 of the document For the year ended December 31, 2020, we expect: • Net revenue to be between approximately $1,700 million and $1,701 million • Net income to be between approximately $101 million and $103 million • Adjusted EBITDA to be between approximately $211 and $213 million Yes, we already know they have beaten their own updated estimates… In fact, the company initially estimated the following (from Q3 release https://ir.corsair.com/static-files/9eeb96ec-6c9b-47f6-a7e5-6c9f0312b50d) For the full year 2020, we currently expect: • Net revenue to be in the range of $1,616 million to $1,631 million. • Adjusted operating income to be in the range of $178 million to $184 million. • Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $187 million to $193 million. Then, they updated the guidance on November 30th 2020 (https://ir.corsair.com/news-releases/news-release-details/corsair-gaming-updates-full-year-2020-outlook): For the full year 2020, we currently expect:
So they have beaten their own initial and revisited estimates. Great!! Really great!! 2) But that's not all we can easily infer from the Prospectus dated January 21, 2021 (Again… we just need to look). As they mention on the Q3 report, "as of September 30, 2020, we had cash and restricted cash of $120.1 million, $48.0 million capacity under our revolving credit facility and total long-term debt of $370.1 million". In the more recent prospectus (page 10): In addition to the foregoing, as of December 31, 2020, we expect to have approximately $133 million in cash and restricted cash and we expect to have net debt of approximately $194 million following the repayment of $50.0 million in existing debt with cash on hand during the quarter ended December 31, 2020. This means that they have reduced net debt from $250M ($370 - $120 of cash) to $194M, which implies $56M of free cash flow generated during the quarter. As a reminder, they generated around 21M FCF in q3 2020 and 94M in the first 9 months of 2020. So this implies around 150M FCF in 2020 (as a reference in the first 9 months of 2019, they had negative FCF of about 6M). (check cash flow statement at page 14 on the Q3 report here https://ir.corsair.com/static-files/9eeb96ec-6c9b-47f6-a7e5-6c9f0312b50d) At $39, Corsair has a 3.5Bn market cap (91.92M of shares outstanding). This is a very respectable cash flow yield of 4.2%. I'd be expecting a much lower yield from a company growing as fast as Corsair is (60.7% growth year-over-year in Q3 and, assuming sales of 554M for Q4 vs 327M for Q4 2019, a growth of 69.4% in Q4). ----- Now, you must be thinking: but the smart money already knows this! They have accounted for it! I used to be like you… I used to think the market was efficient and that big funds and banks were always looking carefully at things! No f*** way!!! Take a look at Goldman Sachs' research from February 1st 2021 (yes, after the prospectus was published). Someone shared it on reddit They still base themselves on the updated guidance of November 30th 2020. No mention whatsoever of the much more recently updated "guidance" (more than a guidance, it's actually the results given how close the ranges are…) TLDR: Corsair is a great company and its results are already out! Make your own investment decisions! [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ETF and chill vs. actively picking stocks Posted: 03 Feb 2021 12:44 PM PST I am working a full time job and over the past few years I learned that I am not good at picking stocks. I have had good and bad picks that over time it evens out almost to the level of SPY. I actually wanted to take more risk that SPY and that's why I started buying individual stocks. In recent months I started moving my portfolio to TQQQ, SPXL, TMF and some ARK ETFs. Because of my age and future income it makes sense for me to take on riskier investments. Moving to ETFs had a nice impact. I don't care about news on companies anymore. I don't care if Tesla sold more cars than NIO or not. I don't count the days to the earning calls to see how my stock pick will perform. It liberated me to focus on my day job which actually funds my investing portfolio What your experience with ETFs vs. individual stocks has been? [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Apple - Hyundai - Canoo (GOEV) speculation Posted: 03 Feb 2021 04:45 PM PST OK this is not meant to be a pump post, but rather a timeline of events and some speculation that there is a good chance GOEV's skateboard platform could actually end up being the base for the Apple car. I think Canoo is an awesome company in it's own right, but just presenting some potentially interesting info for folks here. Timeline:
My rationale: Hyundai was already building the E-GMP platform in 2019 and was still actively seeking partners to develop future tech for skateboard and formed a partnership with Canoo to do exactly that. They indicated that this co-developed platform would be used in future vehicles. The E-GMP platform they eventually released seems way less advanced than Canoo's platform in the photos (e.g. it has struts vs Canoo's with leaf spring suspension), so the E-GMP platform could be the intermediate step until the co-developed platform is ready. Apple tried to buy Canoo for it's skateboard platform in 2020 and was turned down by Canoo. This makes a lot of sense for Apple because Canoo platform is really advanced (steer-by-wire, leaf spring suspension, crash test incorporated into skateboard, batteries incorporated into structure, very modular and fast development times/costs) and lets Apple focus on what they excel at, which is tech and quick development cycles. Apple eventually forms a manufacturing partnership with Hyundai and it's rumored they're using Hyundai skateboard in the "initial" version, which is important because it signals they still want to use 3P skateboard. It seems that while they are likely using the E-GMP platform for the first iteration, the 2024 timeline easily puts them in line to use the new Canoo/Hyundai platform when it is done, which is consistent with the fact that Apple has already tried to purchase Canoo specifically for it's skateboard platform. tl;dr - seems very possible that the Apple car will use the Canoo skateboard as the foundation [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Losing massive unrealized gains Posted: 03 Feb 2021 01:45 PM PST I've always been a buy and hold type guy investing in companies that I want to hold very long term, along with ETFs for long term growth for early retirement. Over the past year, I've also began actively trading in riskier short term stocks. Some of those active trades grew well beyond what I could have ever imagined, up where I was sitting on VERY large in unrealized gains. While it's not money I would have used short term, it would have been amazing to have. I always go beyond my exit strategy because I always say "what if it keeps going up and I keep getting greedy. Essentially it gets to the point when I tell my significant other I'm up X on this stock and before I know it the price is much less than I could have gotten. I get out with a profit, but it's never close to what I originally could have had. Then, there are times where I've sold too soon. And could have had somewhat life changing money if I just held on 3 or 6 more months. I've always hated stop losses because I feel like sometimes the stock bounces right back up after a little dip. Essentially, I'm wondering the following:
Sorry for this ramble, but looking for anything positive to think about and get better at this. Thanks. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gamestop Big Picture: Has The Game.. Stopped? Posted: 03 Feb 2021 01:33 AM PST Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. This entire post represents my personal views and opinions, and should not be taken as financial advice (or advice of any kind whatsoever). I encourage you to do your own research, take anything I write with a grain of salt, and hold me accountable for any mistakes you may catch. Also, full disclosure, I hold a net long position in GME, but my cost basis is very low, and I'm using money I can absolutely lose. My capital at risk and tolerance for risk generally is likely substantially different than yours. So today was rough for those in the GME trade. I, for example, cracked jokes in the comments to my last post about how my remaining GME holdings went from new Lexus money, through Corolla money, and briefly delved to the depths of used golf cart money. At one point I mentioned maybe ending up with a Razor scooter in the end, but luckily ended the day with Polaris RZR type money instead. I wasn't paying attention to the pre-market action, but right the start of normal market hours it looked like an avalanche of panic selling. Looking back at the chart, seeing the consistent downward march of price, the gap down into early pre-US market, immediate drop at 7am pre-market, it shouldn't have been too surprising. Likely a number of people who are unable to trade pre-market were just watching their numbers move in the wrong direction for hours before they got the chance to bail, and that's what happened immediately once the option was available. In my previous post I had identified $150/$148 as what I thought might be the "retail line of defense". Given the immediate open below, there was no solid support or consolidation around any level, though some hyper aggressive buying put the floor in at $74.22 at around 10:45. I'm honestly not sure what to make of that remarkable move. Likely it staunched the bleeding somewhat, repairing retail morale temporarily. Once that parabolic arc slammed into the LULD halt, price action reversed and resumed a steady march downward. So, where does that leave things at this point? With respect to a squeeze, which I've been asked about quite a bit over the past few hours, my concern is the unlocking of so much float, given what I have to interpret as heavy panic selling. As I covered in the Market Mechanics post, locking of liquid float is paramount and today was certainly not a help in that regard. That being said, as I pointed out in that post, locking up the float gets cheaper at lower prices, so we shall see what happens over the next few days. So what's next? I don't know, and no one else does either. Yes, that tired old answer I give in just about every post. The thing is, it's true. The events over the past couple of weeks have certainly reinforced that fact to me. As with yesterday, I've been variously accused of being a short side hedge fund shill and a long side pumper and dumper, which again I take as indicating a healthy balance. One thing I promise is that I will call it like I see it, and admit to any mistakes I make. Knowledge and ResponsibilityWatching events unfold today had me thinking quite a bit. About the debates across this sub and others, the media, etc. As I've mentioned previously in comments, my purpose in creating this account was to try to help provide some information, education, and a space for healthy discussion for in particular all of the newer traders that were flocking to this particular trade. I've been very happy to read the numerous comments and messages from various people who have expressed that they feel they've been able to learn quite a bit in a very compressed timeframe due to the intensity of focus on the situation. I have been told by some that rather than discuss this trade or the mechanics behind it at all, I should simply flat out tell people to stay away because of the risk, and speak of it no more. I have to admit, I was conflicted about this, because the risk is very high, as I've always stated. That being said, I believe that participation in the market is one of the most important rights people should have, and equal participation in the market requires knowledge, transparency, and information. You are all free to make our own choices. Whatever others may say, You will make your own choices. At least we can try to help each other make those choices with the best information we have available. Hah, I managed to keep this post at least a little shorter! As mentioned previously, I will probably have to keep it that way for a while due to real life responsibility. Thank you all in advance for the great discussion. Man, rocket rides can sure be bumpy, but it's been the most interesting week in the market I've ever seen. Let's see what the day brings! Good luck in the market! [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Tilray Inc. and Aphria Inc observation + mathematics Posted: 04 Feb 2021 01:37 AM PST Hi, As some of you already know Tilray and Aphria are going to merge in Q2, with Tilray becoming the surviving Company. Now the fun thing about it: Aphria stockholders are to obtain 0.8381 of one share of Tilray for each Aphria share they own. https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/12/16/tilray-and-aphria-to-merge-creating-largest-marija/ - Aphria Stock: finance.yahoo.com/quote/APHA?p=APHA&.tsrc=fin-srch Tilray Stock: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TLRY?p=TLRY&.tsrc=fin-srch They move pretty similarly, almost identically. - With the price in mind lets do math: 16.60$ / 26.31$ = 0,631 (63%) so Aphira is only 63% compared to every Tilray Stock now considering we are getting 0,8381 for each Aphria Stock: 26.31$ * 0,8381 = 22,050$ Feel free to prove me wrong,but for me it looks to me like you'll get around 6$ - after the merger -for free just for owning Aphria stock. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| $GME SHORT INTEREST. HERE'S WHAT THE HEDGE FUNDS ARE DOING. Posted: 03 Feb 2021 10:59 AM PST Hi everyone, long time lurker here. I keep seeing comments about short interest on $GME. I'm not popular enough to post on some other subs so hopefully this sub will take me. Exact short interest is beyond reach for most of us, but we can get a good estimate from services like Ortex. From my experience, they are usually within 10% of the exchange reported interest, and they're a good ballpark for sentiment. SO... what happened over the last few days:
The hedge funds cleared a lot of short interest from Jan 27-Jan 29. This caused $GME price to spike. They didn't do it all at once, but instead did it slowly, so the price never hit rocket levels. Instead we saw a squeeze that looked more like rolling hills than a rocket. For those who were doing their DD, this was still a huge win. This week, they're playing a new game. They're holding their short position relatively flat & even doubling down (see net SI *increase* yesterday). I am not a financial advisor. This is my opinion. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| $APHA is going to blow up (eventually). Posted: 03 Feb 2021 09:56 AM PST I'm going to keep my DD short and simple, in layman's terms for this. $APHA was already showing good growth through 2020 despite the cannabis market being a 'wild west'. The recent merger news will only boost revenue and, if cannabis were ever legalised in the US on a federal level (which I believe it one day will be), the value will go through the roof. This isn't a meme rocket stock, but I think it is one of the best and most affordable cannabis investments now. Just something to think about, do your own thorough DD and don't just listen to me. EDIT: To those asking, I have read that the merger deal is likely to close in Q2 2021, but I am NOT certain on this. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Posted: 03 Feb 2021 06:46 AM PST I think a lot of new, young investors that got caught up in this whole short squeeze, f*** the hedge funds debacle are going to leave with a skewed view of how investing works. Even before all of this went down I was, and still am, really interested in the fundamentals of valuing a company or industry and making an informed investment decision based on my own research. I still don't know the full extent of the ramifications this will have on the markets and investing going forward but regardless, this served as a prime example (for me at least) that it isn't always worth jumping on the bandwagon even if there seemingly is no downside potential. However, the greater lesson for me is learning to exercise restraint and caution. With social media having so much power and influence over people it has really stressed the importance of understanding each investment you make and being intentional with your decisions. I was fortunate enough to come out of all this with only a small loss and I feel additionally fortunate that I didn't have enough capital to turn this valuable learning experience into irreversible financial damage. I understand investing isn't for everyone and some people just came in to make a quick buck (which is also okay), but I still encourage you to learn the ropes and look past the bullshit as it can be a valuable skill to have in the future. Thank you to everyone on this subreddit, among others, that took the time to educate us new investors by breaking things down into understandable and digestible concepts. I think it saved many of our asses, including mine in the process! [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gamestop and its implications for the future Posted: 04 Feb 2021 01:42 AM PST https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rWEPSKkkdKQ I was listening to this podcast with Chamath and his friends talking about what happened with Gamestop and I thought it brought up two key ideas. The value of the stock is not based on the value of the company but what someone is willing to pay for it in the future. I know Mark Cuban also mentioned this in his call with CNBC that companies haven't paid dividends for years and that proves that the valuation of a stock is detached from the fundamentals. What does this say about fundamental investing? Does more emphasis need to be placed on the vision of a company as a measure of valuation? They also mentioned that decentralization is needed in a system, they focused more on social media but I believe it applies to financial markets too. Brokers, clearing houses, DTCC are all limited entryways to the financial markets and when it gets too crowded, there is failure like we saw this week. Will there be changes made to our financial system? Personally this has also made me understand the value thesis of cryptocurrency better. Before, I thought it was worthless because it was connected to no underlying asset but maybe decentralization is an important enough asset? There's lots of people smarter than me here so I wondering what you guys think. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| How $GME and $AMC can benefit from soaring stock prices. With valuation. Posted: 03 Feb 2021 04:43 PM PST The Price-Value Feedback Loop: A Look at GME and AMC! Blogpost and YouTube video by Aswath Damodaran who teaches corporate finance and valuation at the Stern School of Business at New York University. TL;DR
(EXCEL FILE DOWNLOAD!) Valuation of GameStop ( with Feedback loop for stock issues) [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (DD) $VLDR - Velodyne Lidar: autonomous vehicle tech and Apple Car news Posted: 04 Feb 2021 01:44 AM PST I am no financial advisor nor any kind of advisor for all that matters. Just do your own DD and buy the stocks you like. While everyone is with their focus on GME and all surrounding it, some other interesting things still happening. Velodyne Lidar is, you gussed, a company specialized in LiDAR technology. What's that? Well, for those who spent the lockdown playing iRacing or other fancy racing simulator you should have heard that they use LiDAR to model the tracks. LiDAR has plenty of uses and one hot topic recently is their application in autonomous vehicles. You can check a bit about it here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lidar So, it happens that Apple doesn't know what to do with the piles of cash they're sitting in and they are thinking to throw a few billions in making an EV car. The problem is they really don't know how to make one so to solve this small problem they're in talks with Hyundai/Kia group and they close to reach to an agreement now: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-may-build-a-fully-autonomous-electric-car-with-hyundai-kia-report-11612394804?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo It happens that Velodyne already has a partnership with Hyundai and they actually use it. Hyundai also invested 50M in this company "to mass-produce lidar system in 2021 for level 3 autonomous driving" https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20191022006225/en/Hyundai-Mobis-Invests-in-and-Forms-Partnership-with-Velodyne-Lidar You've also should have heard about LiDAR with Luminar. While LAZR has a much cooler ticker, VLDR is already profitable and have a nice list of costumers. Even without the Apple Car they can survive and have a bright future. Anyway, the recent news about the Apple/Hyundai partnership may be the trigger for some crazy run in VLDR but in my opinion this should be seen mostly as a long play. TL, DR: rumors intensify of an Apple Car with a partnership Hyundai group. Hyundai has a stake in VLDR which owns important technology for electric autonomous vehicles and may beneffit but in short and long term plays. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| $TAKOF - Drone Delivery Canada DD Posted: 03 Feb 2021 02:03 PM PST tl;dr: $TAKOF is taking off and going places. Rockets (or batteries) have been fueled – up we go! I'm not a financial advisor and this is not investment advice. (Sources in comments) Longer version My investment strategy is finding a stock that will perform well in medium/long term. I usually try to take profits or cut losses within one year, so look for companies that should benefit from what is happening around the world (be it Covid, green revolution, retail industry tendencies). Today I'll share my opinion about future of deliveries. For quite a while there has been a buzz around drone deliveries. Be it Amazon Prime Air, UPS Flight Forward, DHL Parcelcopter (my favorite because of this ridiculous name), Boeing's Matternet… Everyone with the capacity to is trying to jump on this ship. You can read more about latest developments and companies working in Source 1. Why there's such race to develop unmanned cargo air vehicles and autonomous flight technology you might ask? Well, drone doesn't get sick, can workday and night, it doesn't have to take breaks or spend half of it's time chatting around or staring at its phone. It also doesn't need any contributions to its pension fund or healthcare insurance (needs insurance nevertheless, but technical insurances should come at much better rate than insuring a ball of flesh against all that world could throw at it). Finally, drones don't care if there's pandemic raging outside or boogaloo boys are stepping on the grass around some government building. Drone comes off for the buyer as a one-time purchase cost, thus saving loads of cash in the lung run. Many businesses are taking more 'green' approach to their business and calculate their CO2 footprint. Given that drones are powered by electricity (all the attention to the renewable energy, wink wink) it would also help business to boast about reducing carbon footprint while improving their efficiency. One might think of one issue here: drones are cool and stuff, but what about the battery - it might not be able to cover required distance? Worry not, there are already solutions for this. Mainly ultra-fast charging stations (charge time: 5 minutes) or wireless charging hotspots (charge time: 6 minutes). Check out Source 2 and Source 3. All in all I believe that drones have a bright future ahead of them and $TAKOF is one of the players in this industry. Company: Founded in 2014, Drone Delivery Canada has developed a proprietary and patented turnkey drone delivery solution. The company is fully commercialized, operational, and revenue generating. DDC has developed a drone delivery platform solution which is cost effective, highly scalable and can provide next generation logistic services to various market sectors including: retail, ecommerce, parcel & post, healthcare, pharmaceuticals, mining, oil & gas, logistics companies, Indigenous Communities, military and government agencies, in Canada and internationally. The Company's patented, fully integrated hardware/software platform is used as a managed service in a SaaS business model. Drone Delivery Canada is fully commercialized, operational and revenue-generating, with a robust sales funnel of global prospects. https://dronedeliverycanada.com So far, the company has signed test flight agreements with several major corporations. A medical facility in Ontario, two remote First Nations communities in the same province, GlobalMedic, and Air Canada have all agreed to test the company's drones. Last year, it also struck a partnership with European logistics/transport group DSV Panalpina A/S. Latest Catalysts: Drone Delivery Canada plans to integrate Artificial Intelligence (AI) into its disruptive drone delivery solution (Source 4); Drone Delivery Canada has been named to the 2021 OTCQX® Best 50 (Source 5); In January 2021, the FAA added new rules to 14 CFR Part 107 to permit the expansion of routine flights and created four categories of UAS for flights over suburban/urban areas (Source 6) Upcoming Catalysts: release of Q4 and 2020 results; in July company started process to entering US market – at some point there will be announcement if this is a success. Industry Catalyst: establishment of a legal basis for unmanned cargo air vehicles, battery technology and wireless charging developments. Research by Goldman Sachs suggests the market potential could be as big as US$100 billion (CA$130 billion). Meanwhile, startups in the sector are nearly all worth less than $1 billion today (source 7 – claims $TAKOF has multi-bagger also discusses $TAKOF cash position). Summary: $TAKOF is ready for a take off! It's literally in their name. Seriously, given all the craziness in the current market I wouldn't rule out this reaching $10 in the next months. Especially if expansion to US is confirmed. My position: 1k shares at $1.22 That's it. Now do your own DD. I'm not a financial advisor and this is not investment advice. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| $CYTH: Low-Float 32M Cap vs $SAVA $3B Market Cap Posted: 03 Feb 2021 06:43 PM PST Hey all. First time posting here but thought it was about time I did my first DD post. $CYTH is a low-float (1M shares tradeable) pharmaceutical company with a $34M market cap. They are on a fast track designation for Phase III drug for NPC (Niemann-Pick Disease Type C) which is a $550M market cap. And they are planning on applying to the FDA to get a green light for Phase II Alzhiemer trials ($200M market cap). Their investor presentation goes into details ( https://d1io3yog0oux5.cloudfront.net/_5962373eb7a3261f004d798cebf4c8a3/cyclotherapeutics/db/5/30/pdf/Investor+Presentation+210203.pdf ) $CYTH is presenting Feb 8-10 at the World Symposium Conference. Their next closest competitor, $SAVA has a market cap of $3 Billion. $24M vs $3B.... It would take $CYTH share price to hit $1k to match $SAVA market cap. I don't expect that to happen but the sky is the limit on this low-floater. TLDR: $CYTH - $8.25 share as of 2/3. $34M market cap. 1M shares tradeable. On track for FDA designations. Similar to $SAVA who has a $3B Market cap. Potential explosive low-float play. Edit: Forgot to mention Insiders are also very bullish on the stock and have been buying shares: http://openinsider.com/CYTH Thoughts? Worth playing a short-float? Or is it too much of a gamble? [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| With all that chaos going on i actually decided to learn about investing - not speculating Posted: 03 Feb 2021 10:20 AM PST Hi as the title says im new and im trying to learn investing and id need some help with it. Betting purly on the sentiment of social media is too stressful and if i want to gamble id go for cryptos or wait for a musk tweet. Im lazy and a data driven person (programmer) im looking for those resources: - Website with up to date quarterly financial reports for companies (is there something like that?) [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Reuters: Cryptocurrency Ethereum hits record high ahead of CME futures launch Posted: 03 Feb 2021 04:38 PM PST Ethereum hit all-time highs on Wednesday, breaking above $1,500, as traders bought the cryptocurrency ahead of the launch of ethereum futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange next week Ethereum has seen year-to-date gains of around 120%, compared with bitcoin's 30%, and hit a new high of $1,576.7 in early London trading on Wednesday. "The listing of ethereum futures on a regulated exchange should serve to enhance the crypto market structure by allowing investors to gain exposure to the second most important cryptocurrency as a diversifier to bitcoin, or for simply hedging existing ethereum exposures," wrote JPMorgan strategists in a note to clients. "It may be that this week's listing of ethereum futures contracts will be followed by negative price dynamics by enabling some holders of physical ethereum to hedge their exposures," they added. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-crypto-currency-ethereum-idUSKBN2A320J [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Palantir results date has been moved Posted: 03 Feb 2021 08:03 AM PST Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR) announced today that results for its fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 31, 2020 will be released on Tuesday, February 16, 2021, prior to the open of the U.S. markets. The Company will host a conference call to discuss its results at 6:00am MT / 8:00am ET. A live webcast will be available at investors.palantir.com, and participants can pre-register at https://event.on24.com/wcc/r/2947836/5C123DA27C8C4F9CBFBC27AC3FEABE81. A replay will be available at (888) 869-1189 or (706) 643-5902 until midnight (ET) on Tuesday, February 23, 2021. About Palantir Palantir Technologies Inc. is a software company that builds enterprise data platforms for use by organizations with complex and sensitive data environments. From building safer cars and planes, to discovering new drugs and combating terrorism, Palantir helps customers across the public, private, and nonprofit sectors transform the way they use their data. Additional information is available at www.palantir.com. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| A Rough Analysis On Teradyne and a reflection on Sony analysis last week Posted: 03 Feb 2021 10:03 PM PST *Disclaimer, my IQ is very low and subhuman. This is not financial advice, in fact its more akin to a drunk dog howl. Teradyne MASSIVE AMOUNT OF TECHNOLOGY DEMAND. Everything requires semi-conductors now. The huge technology boom has led to an unprecedented increase in demand for semi-conductors: - Smart devices, cars now require massive processing power to compute automated "smart/enhanced" driving features. - Car media technology is no longer just analog, everything is Digital. - Consumer devices are "smarter" than ever. Speakers, headphones. - "Connected" devices running on networks are growing more complex, 5G is a good example. Even without covid supply cannot keep up. All the major electronics companies are in a race to build new factories and update to the latest equipment. Teradyne Provides the AUTOMATION equipment for almost all of them.
Reflection on Sony Long term outlook still remains positive. Playstation 5 console sales will plateau, but licensure and sale off first party titles will increase as more titles are released. I believe PS5 will be the most profitable console generation yet from SNE. EV technology looks very promising, I suspect one of the Japanese car makers will swoop the technology up or a partnership deal will be announced in the future. SNE looks very competitive in the supplier niche for automotive, few other automotive suppliers come close in terms of cutting edge tech. Electronics division regaining consistent growth is a good sign. Pictures looks like it will be the next possible growth sector of the company with the purchase of crunchyroll, SNE might make a monopoly play in the anime streaming world, carving out a hefty niche. I maintain overall that Sony is undervalued for the size and scope of the industry it is in. Very positive outlook on the near term and long term future. tl;dr $TER is a good long term hold, semiconductors may be cyclical but I believe we're entering the growth territory where demand vastly exceeds supply. The amount of new tech needs lots of chipsets to fuel it's consumption and TER is happy to help manufacturers produce them. At 120$ price after earnings I will be purchasing a long position. I'll be cleaning this up when I have time. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| PayPal 2020 Results: ‘Outstanding Finish to a Record Year’ Posted: 03 Feb 2021 01:57 PM PST I posted the text three times because this sub has character count requirements. Sorry in advance. In the final quarter of 2020, PayPal gained 16 million in net new active accounts and handled $277 billion in total payment volume. Notably, PayPal's spending in technology increased year-over-year by more than 30% to $732 million. Customers who purchased crypto through the platform have been logging into PayPal twice as much as they were before buying crypto, the company said in its investor update. In the final quarter of 2020, PayPal gained 16 million in net new active accounts and handled $277 billion in total payment volume. Notably, PayPal's spending in technology increased year-over-year by more than 30% to $732 million. Customers who purchased crypto through the platform have been logging into PayPal twice as much as they were before buying crypto, the company said in its investor update. In the final quarter of 2020, PayPal gained 16 million in net new active accounts and handled $277 billion in total payment volume. Notably, PayPal's spending in technology increased year-over-year by more than 30% to $732 million. Customers who purchased crypto through the platform have been logging into PayPal twice as much as they were before buying crypto, the company said in its investor update. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Incoming Market correction/ancient history. Your opinion on where we are and where we are going. Posted: 03 Feb 2021 03:53 PM PST I could be VERY wrong but I feel we are not far off from a significant Market correction. I think there is no doubt at this point we are in a bubble and no matter what anyone may say they are still classic rules of finance, investing, many other things including laws of the universe that apply to any situation, stocks included. Where do you think we are/where are we headed. If you were around for the dot com crash what Similarities are you seeing/what are you looking out for. Do you plan to hold or sell at the first sign of SERIOUS volatility and buy back in whilst trying to time the bottom? Purely hypothetical but I like this type of stuff. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Time to look at some real value, Gazprom Posted: 04 Feb 2021 03:00 AM PST There's been a lack of discussion regarding real value companies in this sub. You know they exist, right? PROS: -Lowest cost producer of natural gas with the largest reserves in the world. -Immense infrastructure in pipelines and facilities, hundreds of billions of $ have been invested into it. Europe, China, all bases covered. -If the anti-nuclear sentiment holds, nat gas is the only viable option left after coal is phased out. It's prudent to hedge this assumption by holding some uranium miners as well. -Balance sheet is strong. -Valuation is a joke. P/E is often around 3, P/B .2 or something. -Good dividend policy, 50% of profits will be paid out in dividends. Will probably yield around 10-15% going forward. -Is doing research into producing green hydrogen from natural gas. CONS: -Russia; geopolitics, sanctions, owned >50% by the government -Nord Stream 2 might still take a few years to finish. A minor nuisance. -If a green revolution of a magnificent scale really happens. I'm talking about a solution to the baseline power problem of rebewables. I've been long this stock for years. While my cost basis is around the current stock price, I've been reaping large divvies and have no problem waiting for the valuation to correct, while collecting a juicy dividend in the meantime. Don't care if it takes years or decades. Anyone else like this stock? Or hate it? I would be very interested in hearing a bear case for this. [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Stocks vs. Rolling Call Options Posted: 03 Feb 2021 01:20 PM PST Until recently I've been quite content investing in a diversified portfolio of value stocks, however, with the recent GME shindig I've starting reading up on how options work. In particular, I'm starting to wonder if holding rolling call options for companies I would have otherwise bought stocks in isn't perhaps better than outright owning shares. My understanding is as follows: Pros:
Cons:
To me it sounds a little bit too good to be true, which usually means that there is a big catch. What am I missing? [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Dollars in the economy and stock prices Posted: 03 Feb 2021 05:47 PM PST So heres what's on my mind. How can the stock market (shares or market cap) keep going higher and higher if there's only x amount of dollars in the economy (obv not rn since the fed is printing but like when they stop/ before the fed). Like we see more and more 1 trillion dollar companies , and in the future they might go to 10 trillion or even more in 30 years. How can they reach such a level if there isn't enough money to cause it to go up like that. Like having 20 companies each worth 10 trillion is a lot of money that needs to be in the economy. Or is it the wealth is just being transferred to those companies and everyone else is becoming poorer? Like is there no cap on how high things can go. Can Amazon be worth 20k a share and google worth 50k a a share? Isn't that too much lol wouldn't there be a cutoff or that much more money needs to be in the economy to make sense. But there isn't (assuming fed doesn't print/stops printing) [link] [comments]  | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| r/ETFs AMA with David Nadig of ETF Trends and ETF Database Posted: 03 Feb 2021 05:22 PM PST On February 5, 2021 from 12pm to 2pm EST, r/ETFs will host an AMA with u/DaveNadig. He will be answering all ETF related questions. ETF industry pioneer Dave Nadig is Chief Investment Officer and Director of Research of ETF Trends and ETF Database. Nadig comes with 25 years of ETF experience, most recently as Managing Director of ETF.com, where he helped grow the business and provide expert commentary for the past decade. Before that, he managed mutual funds at startup MetaMarkets.com, and was a Managing Director at Barclays Global Investors in the 1990s. Barclays Global Investors was purchased by BlackRock Inc. in 2009. He's widely leveraged by media and institutions as a key expert in the field. Dave has been involved in researching, reporting and analyzing the investment management industry for more than 20 years, and recently co-authored a definitive book on ETFs, "A Comprehensive Guide To Exchange-Traded Funds," for the CFA Institute. Twitter: https://twitter.com/DaveNadig [link] [comments]  |
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