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    Friday, January 1, 2021

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 02:00 AM PST

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions, you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you? What country do you live in?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (Buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors? Any other assets?)
    • Any big debts (include interest rate) or expenses?
    • And any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq And our side bar also has useful resources.

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

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    If you want to learn how to trade please DON’T listen to people who made all of their gains this year, they have no clue what theyre talking about

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 09:38 PM PST

    I'm gonna be honest here

    I've seen SO many "Gurus" show up this year on Instagram, TikTok, YouTube and god knows what other platforms

    All claiming they made really great returns but just started trading this year....in March...literally at the bottom of the market.

    Please don't listen to these guys

    People who've made all their money on one or two stocks from just throwing money at the literal bottom of the market don't know what they're talking about

    I know this seems obvious but man I've seen so many, and just today I had my brother in law tell him his barber was giving him day trading advice

    To those asking: Read a book to learn, idk where you should start. Wanna learn TA? @butimnotatrader on YouTube or @gameoftrades on YouTube

    Macro economics? Some dude named Steve on YouTube where his wife makes him props (don't know the channel name)

    Don't listen to Graham Stephen or meet Kevin, I don't hate them, just...ugh. Clickbait.

    Other than that I have no clue where you should start. Everyone kinda sucks.

    submitted by /u/rawrtherapybackup
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    Are there any historical examples of stocks behaving similarly to TSLA for such a long time?

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 08:34 AM PST

    I think (most) people would agree that TSLA is largely overvalued right now and has been for some time. But unlike typical bubble examples, TSLA's price has never really burst like a lot of people expected, and continues to look strong. I'm curious, are there other stocks that were historically similar to this (ie., orders of magnitude overvalued for years), and did they ultimately grow into their valuation over time, or did they eventually see a bubble burst? Would appreciate specific examples if you have any, thanks!

    submitted by /u/awokk
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    if bitcoin continues to surge in 2021 which is a better buy, paypal or square

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 01:49 PM PST

    I just wanted to see what everyone's thoughts are on this. I know a lot of people here despise bitcoin, but I don't want to go there. Personally, I think square has more upside in regards to bitcoin continuing to surge. As of now, square allows you to move money out to a separate crypto wallet whereas paypal forces you to keep your coins on their exchange. let me know your thoughts.

    submitted by /u/ngyht55
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    My personal analysis on Best Buy $BBY. I'm trying to get better at analyzing companies. Please let me know what you think of this! I REALLY do appreciate any and all input! Thank you.

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 03:55 PM PST

    I originally posted this in another forum but I'm posting this here to get y'all's thoughts on this analysis. Please let me know what you think!

    Best Buy is a seriously undervalued stock at the moment. This is a fundamental investment idea and full disclosure I AM NOT A PROFESSIONAL TRADER.

    Alright let's get down to it.

    The below information is a comparison between the Nine Months Ending of November 2, 2019 and October 31, 2020. BBY pulled back from a 52 Week high of $124.89 to right around $99.79 today. This has happened despite a rather substantial increase in many metrics. These metrics are a culmination of both domestic and international stores. However, BBY is ceasing all operations in Mexico hopefully by early fiscal 2022. They will remain in Canada (which will now be their only international business segment).

    · Retained earnings increased 23.2%

    · Diluted EPS increased from 2.96 to 3.74

    · Revenue increased from 1.3% to 6.6%

    · SG&A as % of Revenue DECREASED from 20.1% to 18.3%

    · Domestic online revenue grew roughly 174%

    Below is a breakdown of their business segments and how their sales increased:

    · Computing and Mobile Phones: The 21.5% comparable sales gain was driven primarily by computing and tablets, partially offset by declines in mobile phones.

    · Consumer Electronics: The 21.1% comparable sales gain was driven primarily by home theater and digital imaging.

    · Appliances: The 39.3% comparable sales gain was driven by large and small appliances.

    · Entertainment: The 17.5% comparable sales gain was driven primarily by gaming, virtual reality and drones, partially offset by declines in movies.

    · Services: The 12.7% comparable sales gain was primarily due to our warranty and support services.

    Below is some general information about BBY and a few quotes from their latest quarterly report:

    General Info:

    · BBY increased ALL employees pay to a minimum of $15 an hour

    o This is huge because it is statistically proven that the amount of pay employees receive directly effects their performance, and therefore BBY's performance.

    o I realize it's not huge, but when you are struggling that is a huge deal

    · They issued $650 million in new notes due Oct 1, 2030 at 1.95%. They are using this to pay off $650 million debt coming due March 15, 2021 at 5.50% - Huge savings for them

    · They donated 40 million to their foundation to help reach their goal of 100 Teen Tech Centers

    o This helps underserved kids to have access to technology

    Quotes: Very important info here!

    · "On February 23, 2019, our Board of Directors authorized a $3.0 billion share repurchase program. There is no expiration date governing the period over which we can repurchase shares under the February 2019 authorization. On March 21, 2020, we announced the suspension of all share repurchases to conserve liquidity in light of COVID-19-related uncertainties. We resumed repurchases in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021."

    o "As of October 31, 2020, $1.9 billion of the $3.0 billion share repurchase authorization was available."

    · "Our better-than-expected sales resulted in significant operating income rate expansion and earnings growth of 33% over the same period last year."

    ------- And here is the best one -------

    · "Historically, we have generated a large proportion of our revenue and earnings in the fiscal fourth quarter, which includes the majority of the holiday shopping season in the U.S., Canada and Mexico."

    o Their sales and revenue have increased substantially AND their MOST profitable quarter is yet to be reported.

    So, what does all this mean?

    The buybacks alone should increase the stock 5%.

    They are raking in money hand over fist, despite their most profitable quarter not being reported.

    They are getting the fuck out of Mexico (it wasn't profitable this year and barely profitable in years prior)

    They took advantage of the current interest rates and are restructuring their debt, smart.

    They are investing in their employees by paying them more AND helping them with COVID related hardships

    TLDR:

    BBY has drastically increased their revenue due to a huge increase in sales while managing to actually reduce their costs as a % of revenue. Their most profitable quarter (4th quarter) is yet to be reported and I know they will perform.

    Thanks for reading. Happy Holidays.

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    Thinking of investing 50K I saved...need advice?

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 05:24 PM PST

    Hey guys.

    I finally paid off my student loans (30K USD). I was lucky to land a job out of graduation this year. I graduated in April 2020, and started working in May. My annual salary is around 80-85K. I just turned 25.

    I have around 50K ready to be used. I'm thinking of keeping 5k for emergency fund reasons.

    I was thinking of just putting in 45k spread across various ETFs in a roboadvisor. I'm a fairly new investor so I'm still learning.

    My friend on the other hand has made a lot of money with successful investments. He's won big with Shopify, NVIDIA, Amazon, etc. Easily has over $300K now in assets. He kinda inspires me. Lol. He tells me that at the annual return rate of even 10% per year for ETF's is nothing. Doesn't excite him. But he told me I need to really do my research on individual stocks if I were to purchase them.

    On the OTHER hand, I was just thinking why not just save up money and move out eventually? But the thing is... my lifestyle at this current moment doesn't really call for a drastic move like moving out. I live at my dads and I don't pay rent/food. I do feel like sometimes I'm missing out? But that feeling goes away.

    What do you guys think? Would love to hear advice.

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    2021 Market Outlook

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 12:33 PM PST

    Hello investors, hope you all had great holidays!

    It's been awhile since I last posted one due to a project at my full-time job. I've made it my new year's resolution to continue improving this forum to be more informative and helpful for everyone so please feel free to leave any feedbacks!

    As we enter the new year, I believe it is important to keep things in a broader perspective. That means we need to keep a bigger picture of where we are now and where we are heading, per the Mosaic theory as I mentioned previously in #2 of this post.

    https://www.reddit.com/r/Midasinvestors/comments/ju7zbi/investing_philosophy_plz_read_this/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf

    As Howard Marks states in his book "Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side", if we can understand where we are in the broader market cycle, we can position ourselves in better odds to win.

    After all, our goal is to invest for the best risk/reward scenarios, whether it means buying stocks, purchase a house, shorting treasuries, or doing a combination of different things. As long as we take care of the downside, the upside will take care of itself.

    That is why it is critical to understand what's going on around us right now.

    Below are some headlines and graphs that will put things into perspective.

    (Images are not allowed here so please check the original post if you're interested in the graphs)

    https://www.reddit.com/r/Midasinvestors/comments/knxgex/market_commentary_2021_outlook_12312020/

    📷

    Corporate profits improving

    📷

    Negative correlation between debt amounts and corporate yield, either corporate yield has to go up (which means corporate spread widening, or a correction/recession) or the amount of debt has to come down. I believe that it is more likely that the corporate spread will go up as it is much likely for companies to face distress than for them to reduce the amount of leverage in a short period of time.

    Please note this post about how I argued it's more likely for the corporate spread to widen than to narrow.

    https://www.reddit.com/r/Midasinvestors/comments/k53sd5/market_commentary_headed_for_another_december/

    📷

    Large volumes of IG corporate bond issuance

    📷

    Large volumes of HY corporate bond issuance

    📷

    Relatively tight IG spreads

    📷

    Relatively tight HY spreads

    📷

    Low corporate yield

    📷

    Rising amount of companies with covenant-lite loans. Higher amount of CLOs (collateralized loan obligations), which are similar to the collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs) seen in 2008. For now, it seems to me that they're bundling a bunch of cov-lite and distressed loans into tranches and selling them to raise money. Don't focus on this too much if you are not familiar with the security but keep this in mind for later.

    📷

    Not surprisingly, energy, cyclicals, and transportations are all struggling compared to the strengths in the tech sector.

    Higher leverage globally and in US

    Investors using record amount of margins to invest.

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/investors-double-down-on-stocks-pushing-margin-debt-to-record-11609077600?mod=itp_wsj&mod=djemITP_h

    Stocks close record high

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/16/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html

    Based on the preceding information, it is pretty clear to see that we have the following list of observations.

    1. More debt, including both IG and HY, are being issued across all sectors, all countries, and all types of institutions, even at the individual levels.
    2. Corporate spreads are compressed, for that matter all rates including munis, ABS, CLOs, loans, and short-term rates (don't get hung up on any unfamiliar names or security types, as the point is that we are seeing both record amounts of leverage when the yields are at the lowest point. Normally, they go the opposite directions).
    3. Risk assets (stocks, real estate, loans, bitcoin?) are trending up.
    4. Economic conditions are improving as indicated by rising corporate profits.

    This is all happening when COVID cases and deaths are surging to record highs and a lot of the countries have imposed restrictions.

    If you were asked in April when the US was just going into a lockdown phase where we would be in late 2020, would you have guessed all of it? Specifically the point about surging COVID cases and deaths in conjunction with a record-high stock market and tight corporate spreads? Personally, I am amazed at all of these as they mostly defy the traditional econ 101 or finance 101 schools of thought. Remember all those PhD economists, market forecasters, and investors arguing for the worst stock market, crazy levels of inflation, and rising bond yields? They all got it wrong. How?

    This leads me to the topic for today's post.

    While the markets have surprised everyone, the list of observations isn't actually all that surprising considering the magnitude of the monetary and fiscal policies.

    We have seen an unprecedented (probably the most used word in 2020) amount of actions from both the Fed and the gov't.

    Source: https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2020-11/56746-MBR.pdf

    Just these two graphs show the extent of the stimulus provided to the country.

    Most of you are probably familiar with the story up until this point, as they have been mentioned numerous times in news articles.

    The next part is where I think it will get a bit interesting.

    My personal opinion on stocks is that we will see a broader market rally for the long term (2-5 years) with a few corrections in between.

    It is the Fed that usually causes a recession or a depression even.

    📷

    If you look closely, most, if not all, recessions were just after when the Fed raised rates. Obviously controlling the rates is not the only maneuver that the Fed pulled over the years but it does indicate the Fed's willingness to turn hawkish (raising rates and tightening monetary policy).

    Remember 2018 Christmas market meltdown? That was also caused by the Fed being too hawkish than the market could handle. JPowell immediately changed his stance based on the market reaction and turned dovish instead.

    But why would Fed try to kill the economy with tighter monetary policy? It's because of the fear of inflation. Inflation can get out of hand in no time and their role is to prevent that from happening.

    The point I'm trying to make is that all we need to focus on at the moment is the Fed action and the government policy in order to see where the market is heading for the next 2-5 years. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to understand that their policies are so significant and so powerful that they are almost single-handedly driving the economic recovery and the markets.

    We don't need to worry about the Fed turning hawkish as the Fed has explicitly promised us we won't get any balance sheet contraction or rate hikes for the next 2-3 years until we have beaten the inflation target on average.

    We also don't need to worry about the government reducing its deficit as they have also promised to spend for the country, and worry about the deficits later.

    To summarize, we've got a few forces in action.

    1. Favorable Fed and government policies -> Positive to the risk-assets
    2. Signs of excess: EV bubble, bitcoin, risk assets rally, margin investing record highs, market sentiment at the highest, put to call volume ratio at the lowest, and so on. -> Negative to the risk-assets
    3. Vaccine coming up -> Positive to the risk-assets

    My personal feeling is that we will certainly see a few quick, out-of-nowhere corrections in the risk markets (stock markets) in the short-term due to the signs of excess I have observed. But the monetary and fiscal policies are too powerful to fight against.

    Therefore, I have positioned myself for shares in stocks, as opposed to call options or bull spreads (as they are too short-term), short treasuries, long gold, long cleantech, and a good amount of cash (20-30% cash). I will be observing the markets from the sidelines for a bit and decide when to pounce.

    As always, please feel free to share your ideas or opinions.

    I hope everyone has a great New Year's Eve and look forward to a great 2021!

    Thanks for reading and see you next year!

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    How to invest in BTC so late in the game

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 02:35 AM PST

    I believe BTC has huge potential starting now, however i am so late in the game yet would like to invest especially using leverage. What would you recommend is a good way to join the game without risking too much? I have around 5-10K USD to play with.

    submitted by /u/liquidnitrogen
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    For your bond allocation, do you choose investment-grade or high yield bonds?

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 02:03 AM PST

    I a lot of discussion regarding bond allocations of your portfolio making up a certain percentage (10%, 20%, 40% etc) of your portfolio. Are these usually in lower yield investment-grade bonds? Or is it OK (but more risky) to hold your 10% allocation in high yield "junk" bonds? I would likely be using a bond ETF.

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    How does an ETF like QQQJ increase in value?

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 02:11 AM PST

    I bet this is a pretty dumb question to ask, but I think the answer I receive will also give me knowledge on the stock market itself.

    So, how does QQQJ increase in value? If they are invested in the 101-200th NASDAQ companies, is it because when the companies they hold raise in value and get into the top 100, they sell the shares with their profits and reinvest it into the next 101-200? How does this ETF make money if it's caps itself to 101-200? Is it also because as the stock market itself increases, the average value of the 101-200 increase as well? Are both of these theories correct and both together have a compounding effect?

    On this note, does an ETF like this pose a large risk? It seems to me that considering it follows the NASDAQ, it should still increase in price over time similarly to SPY with the S&P 500. If this is the case, what is stopping me from selling all my SPY shares and investing in this lower-cost ETF? Is it because the 101-200 is more volatile?

    Thanks in advance :)

    submitted by /u/xMAXPAYNEx
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    Stocks: what sources of information and analysing tools do you use?

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 01:36 AM PST

    I manually extract directly from 10k's into excel, along with consumer experience and company related news from Google Alerts.

    Do you use any websites or API's that show ratios/have 10k information/make forecasts?

    I'm interested in knowing alternative ways to do it and if other people use automated extraction mechanisms.

    submitted by /u/blazeafj
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    Why the $TSLA bubble will not burst?

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 02:12 PM PST

    A correction (~-20%) can happen, but the bubble will not burst (where $TSLA loses more than 50%-90% of its value). Here's why:

    So a lot of people often use the dotcom bubble as a parallel to speculate the pop of the Tesla bubble. The most immediate comparisons come from names such as Amazon, which lost nearly 90% of its value from the peak of the bubble but was eventually able to gain back most of its shares. Other comparisons also include stocks such as Yahoo, which was actually added to the S&P 500 in 1999, right before the bubble burst, or even Qualcomm/Cisco.

    These speculations and comparisons are always interesting to think about. They come from deductions, aka where you extrapolate data points from the past in order to predict what is going to happen in the future. However, a deduction is often not the most useful mental model, especially when circumstances are different in the future. And this is one of those cases where the circumstances are actually very different.

    Now the basic argument of "Tesla is not a car company" is often overused. Yes, Tesla creates batteries, they are going into the autonomous market soon, their AutoPilot is one of the best AI that the world has today (stronger than NVIDIA's GPUs), they are going to get into the insurance game, they are going to get into the financing industry, some people might even say they are going to collaborate with Space X to create flying cars in 2050. That's all great. However, I'm actually going to argue that despite all of these things, Tesla's current price is overvalued but yet, the stock will not burst. And this has in large part to do with how the markets and trader psychology works today, and how different it is from 1999/2000:

    As information and financial data has become more widely available through the internet, the markets have had a tendency to price things way ahead of it's time. For example, Tesla believers (bloggers/Youtubers/communities) can now share their bull case for Tesla and what the company will do years and years down the line. While CEOs and company personnel are not allowed to share such projections due to SEC rules, there is nothing stopping these communities from doing so. The most prominent of this has perhaps been Cathie Wood's ARK Invest. She laid out the case for Tesla way back in 2017, and as some of her projections (such as Tesla's profitability) have proven to be correct, people have now become believers that her entire bull case (of Tesla owning the entire autonomous space) will eventually be correct. In a way, the market has become this binary mechanism. FOMO kicks in due to the widespread information that is available, and people pile in. Now, most Tesla bulls believe in the $7000 PT (pre-split) that Cathie Wood has put on this stock, and I doubt very many people are going to be willing to sell before that price. In 1999, if a hedge fund manager was very bullish on a stock, most other investors had no way of knowing. There has been trend towards open-sourcing investing ideas from many investors, and this is a massive deal with Tesla. Other examples of this include Rob Baron or Chamath, who are also very famous investors and well-known Tesla bulls. 20 years ago, investing ideas were supposed to be secretive, with retail investors very much out of the know and speculating on their own. This is no longer the case today.

    In a way, we now live in an investing world of stories, where the story of a stock matters more than the numbers, and these stories get reverberated through social media communities. What a company will do 20 years down the line is a story that is just now more widely available. So even if Tesla stock drops by 10-15% tomorrow, I believe that there are enough believers in this story where they will just continue to buy up the stock from those prices. "Buy the dip" has become this sort of motto in many of these investing communities, and this same theory is true for any of these companies that seem to be outlandishly valued as Tesla.

    The bottom line is: As long as the story stays, the bubble of Tesla will not pop. Even if Tesla has a bad quarter but their long term outlook stays the same, I very much think this will stand true. The only way this bubble pops is if the story changes somehow. That can either be from investors such as ARK saying they no longer believe in the long term hypothesis or other events such as the death of Elon Musk. Otherwise, Tesla will very much continue to stand strong.

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    Best Roth IRAs?

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 07:06 PM PST

    Hey y'all I've had my Wealthfront Roth IRA for a little over a year now. Put $4k in in 2019 and $4.2k in this year. Currently looking at a 17.77% weighted return. I know it's roboadvising but as I am a college student I was pretty new to investing and Wealthfront seemed like a good idea at the time. Reconsidering to moving to a non-robo advisor in order to not have 0.25% taken from me lol. Thoughts? Would love recommendations on good Roth IRAs. Pls be real with me too, always looking to learn!

    submitted by /u/s0mevietgirl
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    How do you categorize value and growth stocks?

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 04:48 AM PST

    I just don't understand the math of how they are categorized.

    Are these growth? AMZN SE AMD GOOG AAPL NET RIOT DKNG PLTR AI ABNB

    Are these value? Banks, brokers, walmart, home depot, airlines, weed stocks,

    Is there a tool I can use to check if a stock is value or growth?

    How do I MAKE SURE I categorize a stock properly?

    submitted by /u/Common_Background812
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    Will market index continue to rise indefinitely or will it reach an asymptotic limit?

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 10:24 PM PST

    If we look back at the short term since the inception of things like Dow Jones industrial average or S&P 500 index, it has certainly risen since its inception until now. The question is, will these market index markers continue to increase indefinitely?

    For example, we may simply look at the past and make the assumption that Dow Jones will reach 900,000 in 35 years, which may or may not occur (because if that is the case, why wouldn't anyone simply dump as much money as possible into these indexes for an almost GUARANTEED long term return of gargantuan magnitude).

    If individual companies grow and bust but the market index only picks the strongest of players, what would it take for this indefinite increase to be not a reality? Are we talking about a financial crash that will remove the USA from the global financial stage or the US Dollar weakened to a degree where it will no longer hold significant meaning in the global currency sense? Similar to the crash experienced by Japan? Or perhaps a stagnation in discovery and invention where no further advancements are possible?

    submitted by /u/meikawaii
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    How to learn more

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 03:50 AM PST

    I'm currently trying to learn more and more about reading graphs and the financials I should pay attention in a company before investing on it. I find reading kinda boring sometimes so I was trying to find the best YouTube channels that could help me that way? Do you guys know any that could help me?

    submitted by /u/OfficerMoose700
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    Invest in european emission certificates?

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 03:35 AM PST

    First of all: I realize I'm somewhat late to the party, but best day to invest is always yesterday - right?

    Starting 2021, the EU is starting to add "CO2-Tax" on fuels and other industries. Starting at 25$ right now, the "price goal" for one ton of CO2 is 55$ in 2025. Given the current developments, I think it's credible that the price is going to rise.

    I found a product (DR1WBM) which projects the price of one ton of CO2 1:1. What is your take on this? I'd invest around 15% of my current portfolio in this

    I DON'T want to discuss the ethics, morals or sense in CO2 trading or global warming in general here

    submitted by /u/Gobbling
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    Languages in Investing, Finance and Forex

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 03:28 AM PST

    Sorry if this may sound like a stupid question however I think it might be useful to know.

    So I'm continuously looking to improve my FX and investing knowledge and was thinking... While trading I always use English for the reports, news, fundamental analysis etc. I know English is the lingua franca but what are other important languages in finance, investing and FX?

    I am looking to learn a second language and this could go hand in hand with trading.

    submitted by /u/BlueGulfCamel
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    Are some investor names just used as marketing?

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 04:20 AM PST

    I've been investing for 20+ years. I'm at a point where my retirement goals are being met so I can start investing in diversified options other than equities.

    One thing I've noticed is names like Mark Cuban, Kevin O'Leary, etc keep popping up as investors in many of these ventures. I'm doubtful that theses guys have taken the time to do a lot of DD on these companies (maybe they have?). It just seems like a new company looking for capital can give these guys equity cheap to add their names as investors as a marketing tool to attracting additional investors.

    Is this what is going on or are these guys genuine stakeholders?

    submitted by /u/NickBurnsComputerGuy
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    Using simple moving averages for swing trades

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 03:21 AM PST

    It's academically established that momentum investments (i.e. buying securities that are upward-trending in price, and vice-versa) consistently generate abnormal returns due to investor-irrationalities. Would this hold in the short-term through swing-trading based on SMAs?

    submitted by /u/ElitistPopulist
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    ALERT! Ticker $CEO (CNOOC) will not be tradable after today on TD or Schwab!

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 12:20 PM PST

    EDIT:

    You have until market close on Monday January 4 minutes to liquidate or you will have to "transfer to an overseas brokerage".

    Dear Valued Client, We recently wrote to let you know that you currently hold one or more of the restricted securities impacted by the executive order signed by President Trump on November 12, 2020. We've received notification from our liquidity providers that they may not accept transactions in shares of the associated securities starting on January 5, 2021, which is earlier than the January 11, 2021 federal deadline. Therefore, you will have until market close on Monday, January 4, 2021 to liquidate these securities. The executive order prohibits the purchase or holding of any securities that invest in mainland Chinese companies with ties to the military of the People's Republic of China (CCMCs*). A full list of restricted companies and/or funds can be found here. Action Required in Your Account

    • If you wish to liquidate any of the associated securities you should do so before market close on Monday, January 4, 2021.
    • We may be unable to accept any liquidation orders for any security, or any derivative of, that has been identified by the U.S. government as having investment exposure to CCMCs after January 4, 2021. Barring any future guidance from the U.S. government, you may continue to hold these securities until market close on November 11, 2021, but you may not be able to liquidate them at TD Ameritrade. You also have the option to transfer the securities to another broker-dealer. Please submit any outgoing transfers requests to us by August 2, 2021**. (These transactions may incur fees or commissions, depending on the asset type.)

    Have Questions? We're here for you. Just reply to this message to write us, or call Client Services at 800-669-3900. We're available 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Sincerely, TD Ameritrade Client Services

    submitted by /u/stocktradeZ
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    Western Digital (WDC) rose 11.83% today. Anybody know why?

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 04:57 PM PST

    One article mentions some bullish calls on the stock. But is that enough to make the stock rise by nearly 12% in one day. It just seems strange that it would rise so much based on so little.

    What other cases have you seen where stocks rose a lot for little or no apparent reason?

    submitted by /u/rascally1980
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    What's your advice on bank loans, short length and I get rid of the debt asap, or I opt for a longer duration so I don't feel the monthly loan ?

    Posted: 01 Jan 2021 02:11 AM PST

    This question is addressed to investors who use bank loans to buy real estate, that they intend to rent out. I'm about to take a bank loan to invest in real estate (pure good debt), would it be better if I pay down the maximum and make the length short, or I keep my cash and choose small monthly payments?

    submitted by /u/SafSung
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    Is the market underestimating the outcome of the Georgia elections next week?

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 02:13 PM PST

    I'm surprised to see volatility trading low this week. The market seems to have priced in a Republican led congress, however, the 2 Georgia runoffs next week can drastically change things. In the event the Democrats win Georgia, we may see more volatility.

    Betting markets are signaling some confidence in the Republican Party's prospects, while polls indicate a slight advantage for Democrats.

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/betting-markets

    submitted by /u/hhh888hhhh
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    Opinions of ARK etfs

    Posted: 31 Dec 2020 05:34 PM PST

    I just saw the astronomical returns ARK etfs like ARKK and ARKG have done this year. As actively managed etfs, the fees are high, yet I feel the gains put them in a league of their own. As a non active investor, should I just put my money on this etf that significantly beats the S&P? Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/OkPaleontologist2765
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