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    Friday, December 4, 2020

    Value Investing Innovative Technology Investing w/ Brett Winton of Ark Investment

    Value Investing Innovative Technology Investing w/ Brett Winton of Ark Investment


    Innovative Technology Investing w/ Brett Winton of Ark Investment

    Posted: 04 Dec 2020 05:53 AM PST

    DoorDash: The Value of Speed

    Posted: 03 Dec 2020 04:20 PM PST

    Quantum Information Processing Landscape 2020

    Posted: 04 Dec 2020 06:09 AM PST

    https://uknqt.epsrc.ac.uk/files/qipl2020prospects/

    My Personal Thoughts:

    Semiconductors as a whole from a standpoint of size are reaching a limit on just how small we can get them to be. /u/Beren- recently posted a video about this which I think provides a great summary (https://www.reddit.com/r/SecurityAnalysis/comments/k4oavq/semiconductors_the_ultimate_bargaining_chip/), but basically, within the next few years or so, traditional methods of manufacturing semiconductors will have reached a hard ceiling. Already, in fact, we are beginning to see signs of this approach (i.e with Intel's 10nm fabbing issues / Global Foundries exit from leading-edge production of 7nm.)

    In order to continue growing, a few viable pathways remain like increasingly customized domain-specific architectures, a greater focus on parallel computation, and of course quantum computing. There's plenty to be said on the former[1], and I'm sure we'll continue to see great advancements there, but with respects to the problem of size specifically, the only real avenue to breaking past the <2/3nm ceiling is a paradigm shift in manufacturing as well as processing approaches. Quantum mechanics unfortunately allows for nothing less.

    [1] https://inst.eecs.berkeley.edu/~cs152/sp19/lectures/L20-DSA.pdf

    Interesting report, but this is /r/securityanalysis. I'm not sure this is relevant?:

    A totally reasonable first impression. I've always found valuing "hard tech" problems like these myself to be the most difficult, in what already is a challenging industry overall from a valuation perspective.

    I think the key points to keep in mind here are that:

    1. Traditional semiconductor manufacturing has reached a ceiling on how much more they can improve.
    2. Breaking past the ceiling of <2/3nm will require entirely new quantum processing techniques.
    3. Whoever can monopolize this area first, is poised to take over the current extant semiconductor hardware industry. And because the process requires a paradigm shift in approach, traditional incumbents don't have any real advantage over upstart entrants.
    4. Therein lies the opportunity. A tale of market cannibalization that I think when viewed in this light provides a much clearer picture of how the semiconductor industry and computing in general, could be affected.
    submitted by /u/ilikepancakez
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