Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Dec 31, 2020 |
- r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Dec 31, 2020
- Tesla Short Sellers Lost $38 Billion in 2020 as Stock Surged
- We created a Sheet with the 5 main ARK ETF's holdings
- Buying IPOs revisited - some 2020 data
- Paid off student loans last week and have $10K to finally invest.
- Stock Market News for Today | LMT, AAPL, ACB, TLRY, FUBO, ARKK & other stock market news
- Is PLTR a buy??
- ALERT! Ticker $CEO will not be tradable after today on Schwab or TD Ameritrade!
- Shorting question
- Huge insider buying at Odonate Therapeutics Inc.
- New Rules/Resolutions for 2021. Feel free to add yours.
- What, in theory, is stopping the market from being open 24/7?
- What Do You Think About These Chinese Stocks with 400% growth?
- AMC?
- Shopify Inc. (SHOP) overvalued in the long term?
- Value Investing
- Apple Gains After JPMorgan Sees Signs of ‘Robust’ iPhone Demand
- What are you Top 3 stocks for 2021
- Enphase Energy to Join S&P 500
- Controversial picks for 2021
- Exercising options when the strike price is now lower than market price
- Is it too late to get into ARKK?
- 2021 Goal for Investing
- Bought more pltr, Epic or no?
| r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Dec 31, 2020 Posted: 31 Dec 2020 12:06 AM PST This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on stock options, but if options aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against options here and not in the current post. Some helpful day to day links, including news:
Required info to start understanding options:
See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki: If you have a basic question, for example "what is delta," then google "investopedia delta" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned. See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday. [link] [comments]  |
| Tesla Short Sellers Lost $38 Billion in 2020 as Stock Surged Posted: 31 Dec 2020 05:52 AM PST https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/tesla-shorts-sellers-lost-38-billion-in-2020-as-stock-surged With shares up 730%, Tesla bears have seen more than $38 billion in mark-to-market losses this year, according to data from S3 Partners. By comparison, the next-biggest loss for short sellers was on Apple Inc., at just under $7 billion, S3 data shows. Many of Tesla's short sellers have closed out their positions over the course of 2020, with short interest falling to 6% of the float from nearly 20% a year ago, according to S3 data. The next potential catalyst comes in early January, when Tesla reports fourth-quarter vehicle production and delivery figures. Tesla expects to deliver half a million cars in 2020, a huge milestone for a company that initially struggled to mass-produce its Model 3 and is now building additional factories in Berlin and Austin, Texas. [link] [comments]  |
| We created a Sheet with the 5 main ARK ETF's holdings Posted: 31 Dec 2020 06:31 AM PST My friend u/HappyAnsu and I originally wanted to buy some of the main ARK ETF's, but due to the tax regulations in Denmark it wouldn't pay off very well. Therefore, we decided that we should rather pick out and invest in the ETF's individual holdings by ourself, which is why we made this sheet. The sheet lists all the companies from the five main ARK ETF's (ARK K,W,G,F,Q), with multiple data such as live stock prices, live stock return, weight in the portfolios, etc. Due to regular changes in both amount of shares owned in the ETF's and changes to companies owned, we plan to update the sheet fairly often. We will happily take any constructive feedback, if it adds to the usability of the sheet. :) LINK: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EEywCKauljHmqIqABdyyRdmRizqzGrACJOm9pzHjmXc/edit?usp=sharing [link] [comments]  |
| Buying IPOs revisited - some 2020 data Posted: 31 Dec 2020 10:42 AM PST Not long ago I posted some results from a study I did of IPOs dating back to 2012 to see whether it made sense to buy IPOs on the IPO day or wait. I focused on "popular" IPOs to capture the FOMO phenomenon with the highly anticipated IPOs. The result was clear that it almost always makes sense to wait 6-12 months because in a very high % of cases, the stocks dropped to a price below the opening price at some point, and usually reached the lowest price within the first 6 months. Now that we're hitting the end of 2020 I decided to look at some of the IPOs from this year. I went back and recorded every IPO in June through Sept which takes us back 3-6 months. I then eliminated a bunch of very thinly traded SPACs that have hardly moved since their IPO. That left me with a sample of 72 IPOs during that time frame. Here's what I found: Number of stocks that opened trading at a higher price than the IPO price: 60/72 (83.3%) Number of stocks that subsequently dropped to a price below the opening price: 71/72 (98.6%) Number of stocks that subsequently dropped to a price below the IPO price: 27/72 (37.5%) Number of stocks currently trading below the opening trade price: 16/72 (22.2%) I draw a few interesting conclusions from this data:
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| Paid off student loans last week and have $10K to finally invest. Posted: 31 Dec 2020 12:32 PM PST Just paid off student pains last week. Emergency funds are good. I've been following this subreddit for 3+ years. Now that loans are done I'm ready to invest. I have about $150K in my 401k in a 2055 target account. I have about $10K to invest. I would like most of it to be a fairly safe long hold investment. The rest will be individual stocks. So what would you recommend? I was thinking $6K in VTI and the rest in some other funds (ARKK, ARKG, Microsoft, and Disney). Any others I should consider? I just want the funds to grow with some "fun" investments on the side. I also plan on investing about $1K each month moving forward split between some of these options with most going to VTI. THANKS AND HAPPY NEW YEAR!!! [link] [comments]  |
| Stock Market News for Today | LMT, AAPL, ACB, TLRY, FUBO, ARKK & other stock market news Posted: 31 Dec 2020 05:57 AM PST Are investors too bullish right now? What are the latest market movements in the auto industry? Pot get legalized in Mexico while FuboTv Plunges yet again. Let's talk about this and other stock market news ~Very Long Post~ Hello everyone and Good Morning! First of all, I wanted to wish everyone a happy new year and hopefully things get better in 2021, and this also brings us at least the great returns that we had in 2020 in the stock market! So, let's start with the recap of yesterday, as we saw all 3 big indexes finish the last full trading day of the year in the green, with the Dow Jones leading the way, up .24% and closing at a new record high, while both the tech heavy Nasdaq Composite and the broad market SP500 were up just over .1% for the day. We also saw the VIX barely drop yesterday closing just below 23, and with the Georgia runoff election just days away, we can see this going higher if the Democrats win both seats. We saw almost 70% of the companies advancing yesterday with most of them trading way below average volume as 7 of the 11 SECTORS finished in the green, with Energy & Materials closing the day up more than 1.3% while the biggest loser was the Communications sector, falling almost 0.7%, as we saw the small-cap stocks regain some momentum, leading the way after they had 2 very bad days to start the week, while the only group that was losing ground yesterday was the large-cap growth sector. Here is the HEAT MAP from yesterday that pretty much sums up the other charts as we can see most big tech companies like Amazon, Google, Microsoft and even Apple losing ground for the day, while the biggest gainers were companies like Tesla & TSM alongside the industrial sector and companies like Disney and Mastercard. Yesterday we also got the investor sentiment SURVEY, which for me personally came in pretty mixed, as I use this as a contrarian indicator. This last week we saw 2.5% more investors moving to the bull's camp, while we also saw almost a 5% increase in bears, as investors become more divided. I think the market is still a little to over bullish and I would avoid to add more money right now, but I wouldn't get of the stock market either. I think this is a good moment to stay put and wait for more developments overall, but there might still be some good opportunities around in the market and I wouldn't avoid getting into those. We also got a lot of economic data yesterday, with a survey for business uncertainty for December showing increasing uncertainty for sales growth but a with a small decline in employment growth expectations. Meanwhile another number that confirms the investor sentiment survey is the Investor Confidence Index which rose by more than 13 points in November, as investors increased the risk appetite for their portfolios. Alongside this we also saw the November pending home SALES decrease by more than 2.5% month over month, but are still up more than 16% since a year ago, with this monthly decrease mostly coming due to the shortage of inventory. The Chicago PMI also came in way better than expected and 59.5 vs 57 expected and up from the 58.2 in the previous month with the biggest movement coming from the employment indicator as it rose to a one year high but is still in contraction territory since 2019. We also saw the wholesale inventories decrease in November's advance read while the retail inventories saw an increase of .7%, pretty much in-line with expectations while the trade balance also saw a surprise decline in the deficit to more than of $84B, $4B worse than the last revision. Today we get initial and continuing jobless claims numbers, alongside the money supply and the FED Balance sheet to end us off for the year. In some other stock market news, we saw Fubo sink more than 14% again yesterday after another investing firm announced they have shorted the stock, pointing to the insane valuations of more than $13.000/subscriber. We also saw a research that indicated some changes in the market share of car companies with Hyundai/Kia having the biggest gains alongside GM, while Nissan saw the biggest decline in market share, mostly due to selling larger & pricier SUVs with cars continuing to see a decline in sales, while the larger vehicles have started to rebound slightly, as all car makers are bringing more & more SUVs and Trucks to the market. Lockheed Martin also was awarded a new Navy contract worth more than $900M as this might help the company start to get back on track while Mexico will become the world largest legal cannabis market as the Mexican Senate passed a bill in November which is expected to receive approval in the lower house by February. This is great news for companies in the sector like ACB, Canopy Growth and the future merged company Tilray & Aphria. Also, one of the biggest active ETFs with over $15B in assets, the ARK Innovation ETF saw it's first daily withdrawal since November, as this hasn't experienced weekly outflows since early in 2020, this might have been driven by profit taking as this ETF has surged more than 140% this year and also just the ex-dividend date on the 29th, as people expect for the ETF to have a hard time in duplicating the results of this year, which saw it rise on the back of Tesla and Roku with both of them seeing massive increases, with Tesla having more than 7x-ing this year, as that is the biggest holding in the ETF, but who knows we have to wait and see as TESLA may hit 500K deliveries this year. And one last piece of news is that Apple did a big purge in their App Store, removing almost 40K game apps as this was the deadline for the developers to submit a government issued license number that enabled users to make in-app purchases. I don't really think this will have a major impact for the revenues but we will soon find out. Let's hope for a good day in the market as US FUTURES seem to be pointing at a mixed open, with the Nasdaq and the SP500 pointing at a good open while the Dow is slightly down, and with no connection to this, in the UK, the BREXIT chapter is finally about to close. Thank you everyone for reading! Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion on the stock market! Have a great day and see you next time! [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 31 Dec 2020 12:28 PM PST As of now the stock has fallen almost 6 percent to 23.74 dollars a share. It's down 17 percent weekly, I already shortened this stock but I was wondering if it's a buy today, and what do you guys think of this stock?? [link] [comments]  |
| ALERT! Ticker $CEO will not be tradable after today on Schwab or TD Ameritrade! Posted: 31 Dec 2020 12:22 PM PST EDIT: You have until 4pm on Monday January 4, 2021 Dear Valued Client, We recently wrote to let you know that you currently hold one or more of the restricted securities impacted by the executive order signed by President Trump on November 12, 2020. We've received notification from our liquidity providers that they may not accept transactions in shares of the associated securities starting on January 5, 2021, which is earlier than the January 11, 2021 federal deadline. Therefore, you will have until market close on Monday, January 4, 2021 to liquidate these securities. The executive order prohibits the purchase or holding of any securities that invest in mainland Chinese companies with ties to the military of the People's Republic of China (CCMCs*). A full list of restricted companies and/or funds can be found here. Action Required in Your Account
Have Questions? We're here for you. Just reply to this message to write us, or call Client Services at 800-669-3900. We're available 24 hours a day, seven days a week. Sincerely, TD Ameritrade Client Services [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 31 Dec 2020 01:21 PM PST I shorted 60 shares of a stock and it went up two dollars so I should be down $120, however etrade says I am down $360. Is this because of HTB costs or some unknown fees? Could someone please clear this up because etrade is very unclear about this and their customer service is borderline impossible to reach. Thank you [link] [comments]  |
| Huge insider buying at Odonate Therapeutics Inc. Posted: 31 Dec 2020 08:38 AM PST Odonate Therapeutics Inc had a huge buying recently starting Dec 28. You can see the buys on finviz: https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=ODT&ty=c&p=d&b=1 Over 11M$ worth of shares have been bought during December 28 - December 30. I feel like they have some big announcement in 2021, I am in @120 shares and holding. [link] [comments]  |
| New Rules/Resolutions for 2021. Feel free to add yours. Posted: 31 Dec 2020 08:14 AM PST I clearly found out in August (when I started trading/investing) that I have an itch for this stuff. However, I have found out now (in December) that doesn't mean I have a knack for it. I have "bet" way too often with my money. Yes, I did do the wise things that experts suggest, but I also did my own greed moves that wiped my gains. Here are my new year's rules so that I can still play with the market but not be a dolt: #1. Let others do the work. Cathie Wood and others do this for a living, I do not. Let them do the work for me. Had I just popped my money into ARK ETFs in August I'd be up $8K and not sitting here down -$60 after working on the market DAILY. I moved my money into ETFs on Tuesday and it is staying there. #2. If I just need to have that itch scratched to play with meme stocks or things I have a "hunch" about, no more than 1% of my account can go towards that. I'm sticking HARD to this rule. #3. If I want to own a single stock after strong DD, that means holding the stock for at least 5 years (obviously if the company is about to fold or something drastic, then I'll modify the holding). This goes for the 1% YOLO plays too. #4. No daytrading. I thought I could do it, but I can't. #5. I like options, I think they're fun. I've only done well selling puts and covered calls. I have not done well buying puts and calls. So: no buying puts or calls, only selling them. #6. Chill the fuck out. Take weeks off without looking. I have two other retirement accounts that I basically used to look at once a year. One of them had 22% growth this year ... and doing it on my own I had -$60 growth ... so it's pretty obvious who knows what they're doing here. #7. If it isn't fun, bringing me joy, making life more enjoyable ... just leave it. I know this is similar to #6, but seriously. I've been off two weeks for Christmas break and I burned two days staring at my account like a daytrader. That's not me. I could've been writing a song, playing with my kids, hiking in the woods, i.e., doing things that bring me joy and get me into that "flow" state where time ceases to exist. I clearly like dabbling in the market so I'm going to play around with that 1%, but that's it. #8. Dividends, compound interest, get rich slow. This is the way (for me). Best of luck to you all in 2021! [link] [comments]  |
| What, in theory, is stopping the market from being open 24/7? Posted: 30 Dec 2020 08:37 PM PST Obviously the actual market would only be open from 9:30am to 4pm, but what is stopping an outside broker/service/website from being open 24/7? Aren't after hour trading hours determined by a broker and could theoretically be extended to all hours of the day? Or say a company/website that deals in "contracts" where you can sell your right to a stock you own at any point after close and then it fills as soon as the market actually opens the next morning. The price paid for this "contract" would be what someone thinks the value of the stock is worth at that point (matched with someone selling for what they think it's worth), the same as putting a bid on the actual stock market during open hours being matched with an ask. Theoretically if enough people join in, the price of these "contracts" would have an influence on the opening price of the stock the next day because you know what people would be theoretically willing to pay for a stock at all hours. It would be like if the stock market was open 24/7 365. In the age of the internet I don't see a reason why this couldn't be possible, but I would love to hear what people think about this. [link] [comments]  |
| What Do You Think About These Chinese Stocks with 400% growth? Posted: 31 Dec 2020 01:34 PM PST BiliBili, Pinduoduo, Nio, Xpev have all gone up around 400% or more in the past 12 months (with Xpev going up 100% in past 3 months). That means you would have at least 4x your money or close to it in a years time. Do you think this growth is unsustainable? Do you think they are in a bubble about to burst? Do you think any fraud or government intervention could happen? Or else why isn't everyone pouring in for these massive stock gains? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 31 Dec 2020 01:05 PM PST So I'm new to this and had a question. Obviously right now theaters are in bad shape and I thought about investing in AMC for when it gets better for them. While looking at this I saw that they were selling a lot more stocks which obviously isn't a good sign. Is this a risk worth taking or is there not much reward to be made? [link] [comments]  |
| Shopify Inc. (SHOP) overvalued in the long term? Posted: 30 Dec 2020 11:46 PM PST Looking at the graph it is clearly understood that in 2019 when a pandemic happened ewery busines which was able to move online did it. Shopify was the easiest way to commit that move, that is why it raised so much. Now when the storm calmed down is there any reason for it to rise? Does it worth selling it and forget about it or keep? What do you think? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 31 Dec 2020 10:51 AM PST Hello, My question I believe is going to be helpful for a lot of people here. Introduction I'm trying to become an investor from a speculator and in this process I read the good-old Intelligent Investor by Graham. I have been binge watching various videos from the likes of Buffet and Munger. I have a really deep relentless itch to know more now. Summary to my questions: 1) your favourite value investing resources 📚 2) Your experiences 🙂🙁, your favourite tools-techniques 🛠 3) Why haven't so many value investor gotten really rich 💵 even with the resources 🧰 better than I will ever have? Do I even have a chance? Expansion to the above questions: 1) Please suggest me some of your favourite books. I have heard the Security Analysis by Graham (1-6 Ed.) is not worth in today's context. If yes, I will use that, please suggest some more on top of that. 2) 4 parts (a to d) to your experience: a. If you have been a value investor, what has been your journey like? b. What tips/tricks you have seen to be rewarding. c. Curious to what tools and techniques you value investors use because there is only so much one can do, and there is a different tool for everything but then there are all more-or-less the same. d. Did you go through Graham's analysis of the stock for 7 yrs, then sector-wise analysis, then economy before you bought a stock. If yes what tools helped you the most and how did this approach turn out for you. 3) I thought the world was full of speculators, but now after being little deeper into this value-investing world I see there are a lot of investment bankers and other savvy-n-smart humans value investing on the daily. Makes me think, they definitely have better tools than me, more focused time and better team(s) at their disposal but then why are they not rich or known. Only few them are worth over a billion—while managing portfolio of a few millions or few billions. And how difficult and/or easy is it for an amateur like me to confidently pick a value stock before them? Thanks for making it through this long question but I'll be really really grateful if you could provide this amateur some guidance 🙏 😊 . [link] [comments]  |
| Apple Gains After JPMorgan Sees Signs of ‘Robust’ iPhone Demand Posted: 31 Dec 2020 07:01 AM PST There has been some trouble lately like the lose of a copyright lawsuit and a bunch of lost apps in China, but that's still pretty strong demand for one of its flagship products. [link] [comments]  |
| What are you Top 3 stocks for 2021 Posted: 31 Dec 2020 02:02 PM PST As now we are half in 2021 and lets hope it will be better than 2020. So now the question: What are your Top 3 stocks you are pretty sure that they will rise high next year. Explane why you are really convinced about their concept/technology or what you really like about them. I wish you a happy new year and goodluck with your stocks! :) [link] [comments]  |
| Enphase Energy to Join S&P 500 Posted: 30 Dec 2020 02:45 PM PST S&P Dow Jones Indices will make the following changes to the S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400, and S&P SmallCap 600 effective prior to the opening of trading on Thursday, January 7: S&P MidCap 400 constituent Enphase Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: ENPH) will replace Tiffany & Co (NYSE: TIF) in the S&P 500, S&P SmallCap 600 constituent Capri Holdings Limited (NYSE: CPRI) will replace Enphase Energy in the S&P MidCap 400, and Celsius Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: CELH) will replace Capri Holdings in the S&P SmallCap 600. LVMH Moet Hennessy-Louis Vuitton SE is acquiring Tiffany & Co in a deal expected to be completed soon pending final conditions. S&P SmallCap 600 constituent Brooks Automation Inc. (NASDAQ: BRKS) will replace WPX Energy Inc. (NYSE: WPX) in the S&P MidCap 400 and e.l.f. Beauty Inc. (NYSE: ELF) will replace Brooks Automation in the S&P SmallCap 600. S&P 500 constituent Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE: DVN) is acquiring WPX Energy in a deal expected to be completed soon pending final conditions. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 31 Dec 2020 01:08 PM PST I plan to just handpick a few stocks and blindly buy them monthly on a 10 year horizon. Would pltr, net, ftnt be a good combination to buy starting from 2nd jan onwards? If it were up to you, which would you add or remove? I pick them due to their leadership and potential growth [link] [comments]  |
| Exercising options when the strike price is now lower than market price Posted: 31 Dec 2020 07:57 AM PST I'm considering buying an option, but there's a chance that the strike price will be lower than the market price at expiration. This is a stock that I would not mind holding long term because it's been proven to have big returns. If the strike price is below market and I exercise the right to buy, I think that it'll take a few wks max for the stock to reach the breakeven or profit point. With that being said, would that be a reason to exercise an option that's below market value? The way that I see it, if I let the option expire, I automatically lose the premium cost and have no chance to recover my losses. If I buy the stock, I can wait a few wks max to recover my costs AND make the profit. Have I misunderstood how options work? [link] [comments]  |
| Is it too late to get into ARKK? Posted: 31 Dec 2020 10:08 AM PST I'm 23 and new to investing. My portfolio is mostly VOO with some ICLN but I, like everyone, am impressed with ARKK this year and would like to allocate some of my portfolio into it. Obviously no one can predict the future, just trying to see what people with more experience than me think. This is in an IRA so long term growth. I guess trying to time the market is dumb but if you were wanting to get into ARKK would you do it now or wait and see? Thanks for input. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 31 Dec 2020 07:28 AM PST 2021 Goal for Investing (I use M1 Finance) I opened a brand new investment account specifically for my speculative stocks. I was inspired by someone who took a chance and ONLY invested in Tesla the entire 2020. Needless to say their $900 investment shot up to $75,000. I'm not sure how much they contributed and how often, but I am young and strategic enough to take on this challenge myself. I have another pie with 15 holdings for long-term investing as my primary contributor. For my 2021 Speculative Pie my holdings will be TESLA at 50% APPL at 30% and MCRST at 20% Do you think I have made a wise decision for my goal of maximum profit? How much should I contribute weekly? What would your 2021 aggressive pie be? Thanks! Happy New Years! [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 31 Dec 2020 02:23 PM PST Soo i bought in on PLTR again. What yall thinkin? I just came here for yall to hype me up really. 2021 gon be big tendie time? Where is this shit moonin too in 2021? and what do u wanna see from PLTR? I aaw that 80 million buy in yesterday and the wierd call activity so i went for it. Get rich or die tryin boys [link] [comments]  |
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