Stock Market - Apple [AAPL] Stock Price Predictions | Buy or Sell AAPL? Apple [AAPL] Stock Price Target & Analysis |
- Apple [AAPL] Stock Price Predictions | Buy or Sell AAPL? Apple [AAPL] Stock Price Target & Analysis
- Stock Market News for Today | Fubo, GM, Tesla, Ford, Lemonade, Nikola, JP Morgan &other news [12-29]
- IPA - Immunoprecise makes its NASDAQ debut December 30 !
- Daily Market Recap - Tuesday, December 29, 2020
- Natural Shrimp ($SHMP) - 90-Day Update - 192% increase in PPS!
- Dumb question: How is it possible that Pfizer stock price is not skyrocketing after world wide vaccine release? Why is mostly stable along 2020? (sorry can't post a picture)
- Zoom violating its own terms of service for access to China's market?
- IPA - Immunoprecise debuts on NSADAQ December 30 !
- $HCMC
- My Stock Watchlist For 12/30/2020
- Tax loss selling
- Can a company shut down trading of their stocks on their own or does the market have to halt as a whole?
- $HCMC
- PYPL, SHOP, ADBE or NVDA?
- Stock Market For Beginners 2021
- shop runner
- Event driven investing
- IPA opens on NASDAQ tomorrow, Dec 30 !
- Creative Medical Technology Holdings Announces Reversion of Liver Failure Using ImmCelz® Personalized Cellular Immunotherapy in Preclinical Model
- Looking to expand my portfolio. What do y’all think of some of these companies?
- Vegan food
- Jan/Feb Sell Off
- Stock help
Apple [AAPL] Stock Price Predictions | Buy or Sell AAPL? Apple [AAPL] Stock Price Target & Analysis Posted: 29 Dec 2020 02:48 PM PST Should you buy Apple stock or has the company run out of growth opportunities? What is my price prediction for Apple in the next years? Read until the end as I reveal my price target for Apple and also what I think will happen in the next couple of days, weeks & months! ~ Warning! Very Very Long Post~ Hello everyone! So, let's go over some of the latest news on Apple before moving on to some fundamental and technical analysis, predictions and my price target for the stock in the next years. So, let's start with the news that Apple will cut the App Store commission in half for small app developers starting in the next days, this will affect developers who earn less than $1M annually from the App Store Sales. This is likely to lead to a small decline in commission revenues for Apple as around 98% of the app developers will qualify for this tax reduction from 30% to 15%, but all these small developers only contribute to about 5% of the estimated $50B in annual revenues from the App Store, so that would be only a $1.25B loss for the company, that is less than half a % of the company's total net sales in the last fiscal year. Also, these changes may lead to a potential long-term revenue boost, as it is likely this will lead to an increasing creation of apps which will generate more commissions in return. Alongside this we also saw the company releasing the new MacBook's with their first in-house chip, which promises faster video and imaging processing times, with both CPU and GPU performance up to 2 times faster than the latest PC laptop chip using just a fraction of the power consumption, with both of the macbooks promising big improvements in battery life. Apple is also expected to roll out even more in-house chips in future products, as they have started the 2-year breakup with Intel chips. We also saw Morgan Stanley upgrading their base case to $191 at the end of November, as they have cited record lead times, supply chain forecasts and carriers demand as they expect that the company will sell around 270M iPhone in fiscal year 2021, that's 50M more than the consensus and almost 30M more than the previous estimate of Morgan Stanley, with an average selling price of 842$, 9% more than the base case, as people tend to chose the more expensive and high tech versions of the lineup in this new 5G cycle. The 5G super-cycle, which I believe is on the way, and will continue in the next years, as 5G become more available worldwide, could still be the biggest thing coming right away for the company with 5G smartphones expected to surpass 4G sales by 2024, with the average sale price of the 5G phones also coming down, helping them become more popular. This will also be helped by the recent entry to the Indian market, as India will probably become the world biggest country in the next decade, this could be a huge opportunity for Apple to start and take away market-share from their competitors like Samsung and Xiaomi which have the biggest market shares right now. They also released an update iPad Pro and an all-new iPad Air in September which will also boost sales in this work-from-home environment that will keep the demand very high for this kind of products, just like the Macs. Alongside the increasing demand from the Wearables, Home & Accessories that include Air Pods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, and many more products. But the biggest reasons I believe Apple is poised for continued growth, is primarily due to its services business, as they start to offer more and more services like the Apple ONE BUNDLE, which include up to 6 services from (Apple Music, Apple TV+, Apple Arcade, Apple News+, the new Apple Fitness+ and the iCloud service) for a pretty reasonable price in my opinion starting from 15$ up to 30$/month, this could be a great option for families and even individuals who use their services a lot. The latest services, Fitness+ just launched in the past days, and is a direct competitor to the likes of Peloton, as the service is available on the iPhone, iPad or even Apple TV. This also makes consumers buy the Apple Watch which syncs to the other devices to show you different information. The Fitness+ app just on its own is 8$/month or 80$/year which is less expensive than Peloton subscription which charges 13$ or even traditional gyms like Planet Fitness at 10$/month. I think this will be the fastest growing sector for the company, as this aligns with the new macro trends, as the world is moving more and more to a digital approach to almost everything as consumer preferences, with more & more younger people reaching the point in life when they use these services start to align to this increasing digital approach. We also shouldn't forget the Apple Card & Apple Pay service among many others which also seem to gain from the move to digital & contactless payments, as this has been accelerated due to the current situation in the past year. And one last piece of news, and the most recent one, is that Apple may have fast-tracked the Titan project. The Titan project is targeting a 2024 or 2025 push to develop an electric vehicle with advanced battery technologies, that will deliver significant increases in range at much lower costs than the current technologies while also offering self-driving capabilities. It's reported they will not use the same technology as Tesla Full-Self-Driving feature, but will use LIDAR sensors, similar to those that we can find in the latest iPhone 12 PRO. I think Apple can go 2 ways with this project, they can either use the huge amount of cash the company has to buy another car-maker like Ford, GM or any other car manufacturer expect Tesla and Toyota which do have a big market cap, so that they can fast-track the potential manufacturing of cars, or they can enter into a partnership with big companies like Tesla, Volkswagen or any other car marker to either produce cars or license their technology to this other car-makers which would ultimately and probably have higher margin-returns than the effective manufacturing of cars. Apple's current overall gross margins stand at 38% vs the 15% average of the world top 10 automakers by market cap, which is significantly lower. But this Apple Car thing is so far out, and there are so many unknowns, I will not try to predict anything related to this until there is more clarity on the subject. And last, before moving on to some predictions, here are some of the highlights that we heard from the latest investors conference meeting, as the CEO, Tim Cook expressed optimism ahead with the launch of many new products and services, especially the Home Pod Mini and the new 5G iPhones, as these new iPhones include new LIDAR scanners that greatly improve the camera capabilities, as the iPhone as seen very positive reviews. We also saw the Senior VP and CFO, Luca Maestri give us great outlook for the company as they expect the installed devices base to continue to growth despite already being at an all-time high as they have over 585M paid subscriptions on their platforms and expect this to surpass 600M by the end of 2020. I also researched and found what products we can see in the near future, with the first half of 2021 bringing new iMacs, the AirPods3 and the iPad Pro, while in the FALL event we will probably get the new iPhone 13 alongside the iPhone SE PLUS and the Watch Series 7 with more products coming later in 2021 or that don't have an estimated release date like the Air Pods Pro, the Air Tags and the iPad Mini 6. So, before even starting, you should now that I am bull on Apple but I am willing to hear other opinions so don't be afraid to leave a comment down below. I have made some predictions based on the growth rate of the company, the latest plans announced by them and used some estimates. So, keep in mind this are only projections and are calculated by myself, this is not an investment advice and you should do your own research. This are my 2025 projections for Apple, let's take a closer look at them, each on their own. So, in term of revenues, Apple has 5 big sources of income, which saw an overall increase of 6% despite lagging sales in the iPhone. The biggest revenue is by far the iPhone right now with over $137B in revenue in the fiscal year ending in September. I expect to see the iPhone sales increasing in the next years, especially in 2021, with the new 5G iPhone creating a super-cycle for the company, as most iPhone users, including myself here, as I will upgrade from my iPhone X, will switch to this new product. The iPhone sales have decreased in the last couple of years by 14% and 3% as a result of the product not having big improvements, as well as iPhone usually starting to last longer than previous models, so I expect to see a 12% increase in sales next year and a gradual decrease in the growth of sales as more people upgrade, ending with just a 5% growth in iPhone sales in 2025. The next revenues stream is from the Mac, which has seen an increase in the past 2years, with revenues topping $28B this year after the huge demand from the work from home consumers. I expect this trend to continue as they plan to continue to launch better products and I can see the company having a similar growth next year before starting to decline slightly until 2025, also ending with a 5% growth. The iPad is currently the smallest revenue stream for Apple but has also seen an increase in demand in the past 2 years with a 13% average increase in revenues. I also expect the iPad to continue to grow in the next couple of years, especially with the learn-from-home environment for kids, and even after this period ends, the transformation for learning will implicate more digital usage. I expect the iPad to see some similar growth to the Macs, especially with the latest generation also bringing a new iPad air to the market. The 4th revenue stream and the fastest growing in the past 2 years, with an average growth of 33% are the wearables, home & accessories revenues. This have topped $30B this year, as Apple has also just launched the Apple Watch series 6 and also feature other great products like Apple TV, the Air Pods the Home Pod and the Home Pod mini alongside other third-party accessories. I gave this revenue stream a growth of 20% starting next year with a gradual decrease to around 8% by 2025, as I believe this will become more & more popular as they start to offer more vertical integration. And last, but by no means least, the revenue stream that I expect to grow the most and the fastest is the revenue from the services that Apple offers. This includes revenues from Apple Care, Advertising, Cloud Services, Payment Services like Apple Card & Apple Pay and of course the digital content which includes fees from the App Store alongside subscription-based income including the new Apple One Bundle and Apple Fitness+ alongside the already know Apple Arcade, Apple Music, Apple News+, Apple TV+ and hopefully I don't forget any others. So, I expect this to become the clear 2nd biggest revenue stream for Apple by 2025, as I expect this to grow more than 20% next year, mainly due to the Apple One Bundle and Apple Fitness+ followed up by a slightly decreasing growth, ending with a 10% increase in revenues in 2025. I think this are fairly conservative base case scenarios for the revenues, as I expect them to continue to increase the other revenue streams and not have such a large percentage of the revenues coming from the iPhone sales as you can see in this chart. In terms of expenses, I pretty much kept the same margins as in previous years, with a 68% expense ratio on product sales [ iPhone / iPad / Mac / WHA ] and 35% expense ratio on SERVICES, as this are way more lucrative. In the past 3 years, the products gross margin was 32.7%, so I actually imply bigger expenses for the manufacturing and sales of products, as this is mostly impacted by the company's supplier's ability to make up for and demand, while for the services revenue, the gross margins for the last 3 years has been 63.5% on average, but I expect this to be more in-line with the 66% margin in this past year. So, if services manage to grow to about half the revenues from the iPhone, this will effectively double the gross revenues, as every buck gained in the service revenues account for 2$ in the product sales. So, I expect the total revenues for Apple to increase from $274B in 2020 to over $440B by 2025, increasing by approximately 10%/year, while I will keep the expense ratio pretty much in-line and have them increasing by 11%/year, this would bring the total gross income for Apple to $177B, increasing mainly due to the services revenues as I said earlier. This growth is just above the 4year average, and below the 2018 levels, which we might see again with this 5G super-cycle and explosive growth in the services revenue. I also think the company will continue to invest in both Capital Expenditure and Operating expenses. I think the operating expenses will remain pretty much in line with the previous years, as this number has increased by 1% annually both in R&D and SG&A. So, I will keep the exact percentages from previous years, as I expect the revenue to increase, thus I don't see a big increase percentage wise. This would account for over $60B in operating expenses by 2025 and over $11B in Capital Expenditures by 2025, as I expect this to increase, mainly due to the possible EV developments or investments in self-driving capabilities alongside other manufacturing capabilities. You can see that the Capex spending has been decreasing in the past years with just over $8.8B in payments for business acquisitions and the other traditional Capex spending. Some people may use the cash generated by investing activities as Capex, but that is more unreliable. I also can see the Capex going back up, so I wanted to be safe and implied a 10% growth. This money would account for over $73B in expenses and would bring the profit for the company to almost $104B before interest and taxes. Moving on, let's see what interest income and expenses the company has had in the past few years. We can see a decrease in interest expense in the past few years as the company has been paying off debt, but they have also been generating less money in this department, with an overall decrease in this department of more than 50% in the past year, way less than the amount from 2018. So, for safety reasons, I used a 10% decline in both income and expenses related to interest, while increasing the other losses by 10%/year. This would bring the company pre-tax income to just over $104B in 2025. Let's move on to taxes. I know the Federal income tax rate is 21% for the company, but the actual effective tax rate for the company was lower than 15% in the past year, mainly due to lower tax-rates on foreign earnings alongside tax-benefits and tax-settlements. The average effective tax rate has been just over 16% in the past 3 years, but with more and more of the revenues coming from outside the US, I think it's safe to say that the company will have around a 15% effective tax rate by 2025, this obviously if nothing major changes in tax policy around the world. So, Apple would have $88.6B in income after tax by 2025 and with the current outstanding shares standing at just under 17B, so I don't even account for the company probably continuing to do share buybacks, this would mean a $5.22 future earnings/share. And with today's price for Apple just around 136$, that would mean to company is trading at just over 26 times forward price to earnings. I don't think Apple will ever trade at a discount again, with the current PE standing at over 40, I believe this will eventually go down, probably to around 35, despite the increase in services revenue, which is highly valued by investors. I think we can see Apple trade somewhere near 35 times P/E in 2025, especially if something big happens with the EV project, this could be even higher, just look at Tesla which trades at insane P/E. Of course, we also have to take into consideration the dividends that will be received from owning the stock, as Apple has started to pay dividends almost a decade ago and has 9 years of dividend growth, with a 10% annual rate of growth in the past 5 years. Here is the dividend growth history for the company, as I also went conservative on this estimate and implied a 7% growth for the next 2 years, 6% for 2023 and 2024 and just 5% in 2025. So here are my 3 price targets for the company, including dividends but not reinvested. My bear case scenario is that Apple will trade at almost 165$ which implies a return of over 21% by 2025, while my base case scenario would see Apple trading at 195$ with a return of capital of 43%. I will also make the bull case for Apple trading at 225$ by 2025 with dividends included, which would imply just over 65% in gains by then. I think this is possible as Apple has also continued to buy back shares of the company on a constant basis, as they continue to an impressive campaign with over $72B worth of common stock repurchased in 2020. They continue to buy back shares at a very fast pace, having repurchased over 1.3M shares in 2019 and 2018, while also issuing less stock every year. So here is the full spreadsheet that I have projected for Apple by 2025 and the breakdown of everything i estimated [ 1 / 2 ] , if you do have another opinion or a suggestion please leave a comment down below, I think I have been conservative in most of my projections, but feel free to give your opinion. Keep in mind, these targets might sound ridiculous, but just look at the growth Apple has had in the last 5years. The company has increased in value by more 400% in just the past 5years and is over 100.000% up since it started trading. So yes, the valuation is mad right now for the company. So, are you willing to bet against Apple? The company also has pristine financials, with more than $65B in total assets compared to total liabilities, and more than $38B in cash and cash equivalents. So, what do I expect in the next couple of days, weeks and months for Apple? Let's look at this CHART, so starting with the stock split, Apple saw a correction within the September stock market pullback, in a buy the news & sell the event, after a huge runup post-announcement of the stock split. The stock entered a consolidation period, and didn't have any big catalysts, especially with new iPhone lineup not being included in the Q4 results due to the late launch. The stock found some levels of resistance near the $120 levels that it struggled to get past but acted also as support after breaking them just before the recent news of the possible EV developments or self-driving-features to be licensed to other car manufacturers. After that news the stock spiked and has now reached the previous highs made before the stock split and is facing some resistance, if the stock pushes over $140 I think we can officially say that it broke the resistance at those levels and is not just a fake-out. But I think it's likely that the stock will consolidate between 122 and 135$ in the next weeks until the next iPhone sales and quarterly results are released, as the stock has entered overbought territory again with an RSI over 70, the first time since the stock split. So, what would I do? Well, I own Apple stock, and I really believe this company will remain the biggest or one of the biggest in the future, so I would really add on any weakness that the stock shows before the next quarter earnings are released, as typically Q1 earnings are the best for the company due to increased holiday sales combined with the launch of new products. I think any entry below 130$ would be really nice to start and build a position or increase it if you already own the stock. As I believe Apple is one of the most stable stocks out there with large institutional holders like Vanguard, BlackRock and Berkshire owning over 900M shares each. Thank you everyone for reading! Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion on the stock market! Have a great day and see you next time! [link] [comments] |
Stock Market News for Today | Fubo, GM, Tesla, Ford, Lemonade, Nikola, JP Morgan &other news [12-29] Posted: 29 Dec 2020 04:27 AM PST Why did FuboTv and Lemonade crash yesterday. JP Morgan goes all-in on travel and Nikola spikes after their report. Let's talk about this and other stock market news ~Very Long Post~ Hello everyone and Good Morning! So, let's start with the recap of yesterday, as we saw the broad stock market SP500 leading the way, up .87%, with the Nasdaq Composite also gaining more than .7% and the Dow Jones rising by more than 200 points to finish the day, with all 3 big indexes finishing broadly higher, with all of them also closing at all-time highs, after the relief BILL lifted many stocks, as this bill does include direct payments and unemployment benefits while also including over $300B that will be direct to the small businesses relief funding programs alongside other good programs, like rent assistance, child care, vaccine distribution and others. But despite this great movement in the stock market, we did see the VIX rising by almost 1%, with most factor groups trading lower yesterday, with only large-cap growth companies gaining, while the biggest losers were in the small and mid-caps, especially the growth companies. Yesterday there was almost a 50/50 split in advancing to declining stocks, with 177 new highs on decent volume, as more companies have started to trade below the 50-day SMA, which is a good thing as the trend was worrying with over 84% of companies above that moving average just recently. We also saw 9 of the 11 sectors gaining yesterday with communications, consumer discretionary and technology all gaining over 1% for the day while the 2 sectors that lost ground and lagged the market were Energy and Materials. Here is the HEAT MAP that confirms those charts, as we can see big gains made in the big tech names with Amazon, Facebook and Google all gaining more than 2% for the day with Netflix and Microsoft also posting a 1% gain. We can also see the biggest losers coming in the Software-Application and Biotech sectors, probably because of tons of profit taking after huge-runups this year, while funds want to show investors that they own the big names, not those very volatile high-flying stocks of 2020, maybe that is one of the reasons for this rotation. We also saw the total people through TSA checkpoints in the Christmas weekend rise to over 2.4M people, the busiest since March, but that is still down about 50% since last year. This are better news for the Airlines especially after Trump also finally signed the stimulus bill which does include funds for the Airlines. While TrueCar also released some December estimates for auto sales, in which we can see a 4,7% increase year over year and a 32% increase over last month, as the industry is still continuing the rebound since the March lows. This is a good outlook for the industry so expect big OEM to start rising again after a pause in companies like Ford or GM since the end of November. Regarding this subject maybe Tesla can start selling even more cars, this after an Indian minister reported Tesla will start operations in early 2021 in the country. Alongside great sales numbers in the auto industry, we also received the Dallas FED manufacturing Survey, which came in better than expected with production, new orders and capacity utilization all having big increases since the last report. Today we get some numbers from the Redbook store sales and the SP Home Price Index, while we also await to see what the Republican Senate will do after the House passed the $2000 stimulus proposal, as the leader of the Senate hasn't yet announced anything. In some other stock market news, we saw some highly volatile names make moves with Nikola popping after a JP Morgan analyst predicted a less drama filled 2021, I can't imagine what he sees in the company, as they still don't have any new breakthrough technology or really anything to show, just promises after promises. While we also saw FuboTV dropping more than 11% for the 2nd straight day before regaining some of the losses after-hours, this happened after it was called a best short idea at Hedgeye on top of last week short reports, and meanwhile, we also saw Lemonade fall 14% after the lockup period expired after the IPO, adding more than 30M shares to the small public float available until now. We also saw JP Morgan acquiring a credit card rewards business; thus, betting travel will come back in the next years. The company will acquire the technology platforms, travel agency, gift card and points businesses from cxLoyalty Group, which is a privately held company. This will be a hit to Expedia, as JP Morgan had been using the credit card rewards program from them, but now will return the use the cxLoyalty platform like they did until 2018, as cxLoyalty has over 3.000 clients and market partners like Citigroup, Capital One and Mastercard and serve more than 70M consumers. Let's hope for a good day in the market as both the EU STOCKS and the US FUTURES seem to be pointing at a good open, with all 3 big indexes in the green as the Nasdaq is leading the way, as growth companies are outperforming the value plays in this final month of 2020. As we also saw yesterday Goldman's chief economist lifting the outlook for the Q1 US GDP by 2% and a full year growth increase of .50% to see a GDP growth of 5.8% in 2021, which should be another bullish sign for the stock market. Thank you everyone for reading! Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion on the stock market! Have a great day and see you next time! [link] [comments] |
IPA - Immunoprecise makes its NASDAQ debut December 30 ! Posted: 29 Dec 2020 04:13 PM PST Discussion: ImmunoPrecise Antibodies $IPA $IPA is set to rally tomorrow with the NASDAQ listing. They announced a pre-clinical candidate for one of their anti-body therapies earlier this week, with many more in research. Share consolidation last Monday brings it to a price that should create attention. They attempted to bring the price up more organically before the consolidation. Completely undervalued and about to be discovered by a much larger pool of investors south of the border, in my opinion. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1119090/coronavirus-drugs-in-development-by-leading-companies/ Interested to hear thoughts from other investors who have come across this company. Research: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5uJ7mGbo1wE https://www.crescendo-ir.com/media/media-clips https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vhxVTdW-sd Please note: I hold a position in $IPA. [link] [comments] |
Daily Market Recap - Tuesday, December 29, 2020 Posted: 29 Dec 2020 01:11 PM PST PsychoMarket Recap - Tuesday, December 29, 2020 Stocks dropped Tuesday after Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell blocked consideration in the Senate for the recently passed House bill that would increase the monetary amount of the stimulus checks from $600 to $2000. President Trump has also called for the amount in the direct checks to be increased. Late Monday, the Democratically-controlled House of Representatives voted to pass a bill increasing the amount in the stimulus checks from $600 to $2000, the same amount President Trump demanded last week when he threatened to not sign the new $900 billion stimulus package. However, when the bill was due to reach the Senate floor, Mitch McConnell blocked considerations for the bill and suggested the Senate would only consider the larger payments if Democrats agreed to other demands made by the President, including investigating the security of the 2020 election and removing liability shields for social media companies. Neither demand is likely to garner support among Democrats. Still, on a positive note, the new $900 billion stimulus package - which includes the $600 stimulus payments, replenished funding for loans through the Paycheck Protection Program, enhanced unemployment benefits, and funds for vaccine distribution, among other measures – was signed into law late Sunday. Experts have warned of another surge in coronavirus stemming from holiday travel. According to the TSA, more than 7 million people were screened at airport security points in the US, the second busiest week of travel since Thanksgiving. Dr. Anthony Fauci, the top infectious disease expert in the United States said, "We very well might see a post-seasonal -- in the sense of Christmas, New Years -- surge," implying that holiday travel and private gatherings taking place could lead to another surge in cases, similar to what happened in the weeks following Thanksgiving. Unfortunately, December has been the nation's deadliest month since the Covid-19 pandemic's start -- with more than 63,000 Americans lost to the virus in the past 29 days. In comparison, the entire month of November saw about 36,964 deaths. The heightened death toll follows a brutal two months that saw the average of daily new coronavirus cases spike from around 90,000 in the beginning of November to over 200,000 by the end of December. Highlights
"Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity." - Seneca [link] [comments] |
Natural Shrimp ($SHMP) - 90-Day Update - 192% increase in PPS! Posted: 29 Dec 2020 08:53 AM PST Link to original $SHMP DD - OTC uplisting to Nasdaq post on September 24th, 2020 - https://www.reddit.com/r/StockMarket/comments/iyw6le/natural_shrimp_shmp_dd_otc_uplisting_to_nasdaq/ Price on 9/24/20 (day of the original post): .12 Price today 12/29/20 at time of post: .35 Percent increase: 192% 90- Day H/L: .4749/.1080 TLDR: Natural Shrimp, Inc. (SHMP) has made massive gains since my original post 90 days ago (thanks for the nearly 20 awards the post received)! SHMP had four major catalysts driving this surge; 1. Announced the development of the new Puerto Rico facility 2. Finalized the acquisition of the Alder Aqua facilities 3. Finalized the joint venture agreement with Ecoponex Systems International 4. Began the next phase of the freshwater fish markets validation study. This could be the next AQB and I'm forecasting revenue generation being reported by the Q2 earnings release, if not sooner. This is the catalyst needed in order to take SHMP to the next level and would support their plans to uplist to the Nasdaq. If that's the case, 2021 will absolutely be the year that puts SHMP on the map! Disclaimer: Currently hold and have been long on SHMP for 3+ years (in at 2 cents, currently trading at .35). This is the only OTC stock I own in my portfolio. I'm writing this post under the assumption that you've read the original DD linked above that provides more background on SHMP, as this post only covers recent events. This DD is based on my own research over the 3+ years I've been following the company. ------------------- What's happened in the last 90 days to drive this increase in price? SHMP had four significant catalysts to drive upward momentum over the last few months which I'll cover in more detail below. Four major events: 12/22/20 - Announced Development of Puerto Rico Shrimp Facility Natural Shrimp and Ecoponex have signed a Letter of Intent with Waste to Energy+ (WTE+), based in North Carolina, to develop an organic shrimp farm on the island of Puerto Rico. Ecoponex, in partnership with WTE+, will arrange financing to build and operate the shrimp facility under its formal joint venture agreement (JV) recently signed with Natural Shrimp. Why Puerto Rico? There is a largely untapped market in Puerto Rico, as there is not a local supply of shrimp and it is currently imported to meet rising demand. The estimated demand for shrimp is 3.5 million pounds a year. Once the new facility is built, it expects to produce more than 600,000 pounds each year, which would barely be scratching the surface, as this would only equate to about 17% of local demand. I expect Natural Shrimp to continue their expansion into other untapped Caribbean countries as they see success with the launch of their Puerto Rico facility. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ecoponex-systems-international-llc-NaturalShrimp-140000549.html 12/18/20 - Alder Aqua Facilities Acquisition Formally closed on the acquisition of Alder Aqua (VeroBlue Farms) assets in Webster City, Iowa. This ten-million-dollar purchase ($5M now, $5M later - 36/48 months) represents assets in excess of $40M. This includes all of the property, equipment, permits, as well as customer lists and contracts. This makes Natural Shrimp the largest square footage RAS shrimp company in the United States (2,700,000 gallons of recirculating capacity and approximately 344,000 square feet). Why? This is a new state of the art facility that SHMP was fortunate enough to acquire for pennies on the dollar due to executive mismanagement of the facility and company operating under the Alder Aqua (formerly known as VeroBlue Farms) name. This team is completely unrelated to SHMP outside of SHMP acquiring their facilities. This is HUGE! If this doesn't get you excited about the enormous potential of SHMP, I don't know what will. 11/24/20 - Finalized Joint Venture with Ecoponex Systems International The parties have agreed upon the formation of a joint venture, which will utilize and combine the growing technology of Natural Shrimp with the innovative Renewable Energy Efficient Farm ("REEF") technology developed and owned by Ecoponex.
Ecoponex will contribute the funds necessary to construct, equip, and startup operation of food production facilities developed under this company. Why? Again, this is HUGE! Ecoponex contributing the funds necessary for expansion takes a lot of the burden off of SHMP and should allow them to expand much, much more quickly. We are also already seeing this come to light with the announcement of the planned development of the Puerto Rico facility. Lastly, this deal wasn't forecasted to be finalized until Q1 of 2021, yes alone announcing a new Puerto Rico facility together. I believe the speed we are seeing management execute at is a very positive sign and there are likely behind the scenes motives for doing so. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/Natural Shrimp-inc-finalizes-joint-venture-130000546.html 11/9/20 - Freshwater Fish Markets Validation Study You may recall earlier in the year (July, 2020), Natural Shrimp successfully completed Phase-I in vitro testing of their technology and it has proven effective at killing Neoparamoeba perurans, the parasite which causes Amoebic Gill Disease (AGD) of Atlantic salmon. AGD costs the salmon industry tens of millions of dollars a year, and Natural Shrimp is working with CSIRO, one of the world's leading aquaculture institutes, to complete testing and begin commercializing this technology. The new announcement and focus of the study will be specifically on freshwater salmon production and, if proven as effective as the pre-study data has indicated (see YouTube link below), the technologies could open the door for Natural Shrimp to enter various freshwater fish markets. The Natural Shrimp team and their partners are confident this will prove their ability to control oxidation, therefore reducing mortality rates and increasing growth rates. Why? This allows Natural Shrimp to enter the multi-billion-dollar freshwater farming industry with an entirely differentiated and more efficient approach. Salmon imports in the U.S. alone were worth over $4B in 2018. My biggest concern is getting too distracted by the multiple revenue paths but that's a great problem to have - http://www.fao.org/in-action/globefish/market-reports/resource-detail/en/c/1199364/ https://finance.yahoo.com/news/NaturalShrimp-announces-validation-study-opens-155000490.html CSIRO Preliminary Results from 12/19/20 (very pleased with results, makes sense why they are continuing to push forward with additional validation phases) - https://youtu.be/VxJ0_6Z001I Final Thoughts: Only positive news since my last post and the PPS reflects that. I predicted we wouldn't see the price dip below .25 after November -- that almost held true, it ended up being two weeks later on December 14th. Yes, we will see dips and panic selling, as well as marker makers playing their games but this is one to hold onto for the long term. Swings here and there aren't going to make a difference in the long game, even a year from now, and it is still a good time to get in. The communication from management has been accurate and transparent, having met or improved upon all suggested timelines regarding the recent acquisition and partnership news. With so many well-established companies and partnerships now working with SHMP throughout the world it would be foolish to not believe they've done their DD before tying their name to the Natural Shrimp brand/technology. Additionally, based on my general observations, Natural Shrimp is really starting to garner people's attention and won't be that unknown player in the space too much longer. You see it organically growing across many media outlets which is an extremely positive sign and supports the theory that there is a large and loyal shareholder base.
I very much believe this could be the next AQB, if not much more. I'm forecasting revenue generation being reported by the Q2 earnings release, if not sooner. This is the catalyst we need in order to take SHMP to the next level and would support their plans to uplist to the Nasdaq. If that's the case, 2021 will absolutely be the year that puts SHMP on the map! Happy trading! -WB P.S. I'll do my best to reply to all legitimate comments/messages, but please expect a delay in my response. Legal disclaimer: this is not investment advice and I'm not an investment advisor. [link] [comments] |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 03:12 PM PST Peak at 42 on 2020/12/08, now back at 37 https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/PFE/pfizer/stock-price-history [link] [comments] |
Zoom violating its own terms of service for access to China's market? Posted: 29 Dec 2020 03:47 AM PST |
IPA - Immunoprecise debuts on NSADAQ December 30 ! Posted: 29 Dec 2020 05:34 PM PST |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 07:30 PM PST What's all the hype about this stock? Also can someone please tell me how to see more accurate prices than yahoo or google finance, since in OTCMKTS it costs 3k per year to view lvl 2 real time data [link] [comments] |
My Stock Watchlist For 12/30/2020 Posted: 29 Dec 2020 05:42 PM PST What every line means. I also use RSI, Stoch, Vortex Indicator, 10-50-200EMA Lines. I also trade off of the 180D/4H Chart. $ABM: At support and 200EMA line, and in ascending triangle. RSI is oversold, and Stoch is low. Vortex also says green cannot get much lower. If it dies here just wait for $36. $CGEN: This is the buy zone for this channel, we just caught a 25% move, lets see if we can snag another. RSI is fair, Stoch is low, and Vortex says green is coming soon Great deal $EQT: Fantastic deal here. Support is holding, RSI and Stoch oversold, and Vortex looks great. Hopefully a big move waiting. $ETON: Ascending Triangle and channel play here, right above the POC. RSI is fair, but Stoch is low and so is Vortex which is good. Riding 200EMA lines as well! $EYE: Support, channel support, 50EMA all lined up? Gorgeous; and showing Stoch Divergence. RSI fair and Vortex is a fair price too. Great setup. $IRT: Ascending Triangle broke out, now making a new one?! Strong support, and it does break the 50EMA and comes back. Everything is a fair price, so it may come down a bit farther. $KOPN: Previous channel retest here. Showing life, and it is mixed with the 50EMA. RSI and Vortex fair, but Stoch says reversal is coming. $KPTI: Gorgeous ascending triangle here. Right into the channel, all indicators are oversold, what more could a guy want?! Beautiful. $LL: Previous channel support test. Also in ascending channel play, but it may drop to the 200EMA if it dies here. All indicators say it is due for a reversal here. $OPEN: 200EMA, Channel up, and support test, beautiful. All indicators look great, it is a beautiful set up here. May drop again, so be careful. $PSNL: Channel retest again today, and it lived. Now at the 50EMA, wouldn't be shocked for it to move more here. Stoch is oversold, Vortex looks good too. $PZG: I saw this earlier and it is up 10% so I do not LOVE it here, but great for future plays. Can easily run another 10%, but watch for later. $ROK: Triangle play, Stoch is oversold, and Vortex is consolidating. Has big move written all over it. $RRC: Called before, calling again. Super evident trendline and support. ALL indicators look primed to move up, this may be the day lol. $SURF: Ascending Triangle with channel up, right at the 200EMA line as well. Stoch and Vortex so a move up is coming! $TNDM: Like $PZG it moved more than I wanted, so it is at resistance, so let it clear $97.75 before buying, but great for future buys for sure. $VERI: 50EMA, ascending triangle, and support area -- great play. Stoch is oversold, other 2 are fair value. [link] [comments] |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 03:26 PM PST Important dates to save in 2020 Tax-loss selling comes with many potential benefits, but it nevertheless has some strings attached. The key thing for investors to remember is that it has a deadline. For Canada, the last day for tax-loss selling in 2020 is December 29. Stocks purchased or sold after this date will be settled in 2021, so any capital gains or losses will apply to the 2021 tax year. The system differs in the US, and based on information from the IRS, the last day for tax-loss selling this year is December 31.source [link] [comments] |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 06:57 AM PST Pretty much just the title but since #3 low effort I'm gonna have to write some more. 1) Can a company shut down trading of their stocks on their own or does the market have to halt as a whole? What I want to know here is for example if Tesla stock were to fall lets say 80% in one day can they halt trading? 2) Does a rapid rise of the stock market also trigger a halt? Let's again say that on average the market was up 80% in one day. Would it cause a halt? Not sure how much I'm supposed to write for the post not to be low effort but I'm hoping this is enough. Hope you're having a great day and if you're not good luck for tomorrow (and I'm not just saying that to get enough sentences and chatacters) :) [link] [comments] |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 07:45 PM PST What's all the hype about this stock? Also can someone please tell me how to see more accurate prices than yahoo or google finance, since in OTCMKTS it costs 3k per year to view lvl 2 real time data [link] [comments] |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 07:37 PM PST Looking to consolidate my portfolio, and am down to these 4 holdings, and only want to keep 2. Having a hard time choosing, because of the overlap some of these have with my other holdings (that I am pretty married to) as well as just better long term outlook. PYPL: im holding SQ, V and JPM (AAPL, GOOG and AMZN also have payment platforms that I am sure will get fleshed out over time. SHOP: im holding AMZN, WMT, JMIA and JD. ADBE: doesnt have much overlap in my portfolio, maybe MSFT is its biggest competitor. NVDA: holding AMD, but am getting the sense that its extremely overvalued and my funds may be better elsewhere. I have an extremely long term time horizon, so any help would be great and much appreciated! [link] [comments] |
Stock Market For Beginners 2021 Posted: 29 Dec 2020 07:18 PM PST If you're looking for a good primer on investing in stocks, this video just came out today. It's a 1 hour long course that I created for free. Enjoy! [link] [comments] |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 06:58 PM PST I am looking at this post and it looks like FedEx have control over shop runner. I am wondering if this is something worth looking into.. I own long apple, dis, Netflix . [link] [comments] |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 06:15 PM PST Does anyone know of good websites that track events outside of traditional earnings and conference presentations? For instance Nio Day or when the planned vote on EUA for the Johnson and Johnson Covid Vaccine is? [link] [comments] |
IPA opens on NASDAQ tomorrow, Dec 30 ! Posted: 29 Dec 2020 06:03 PM PST |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 06:20 AM PST Very interesting company. They have a patent for using their new technology for treating stroke victims as well as their breakthrough for treating liver failure damage. This article explains it thoroughly. It is currently trading at $0.004, so it might be worth adding $100 of it to your portfolio. The stock symbol is CELZ. [link] [comments] |
Looking to expand my portfolio. What do y’all think of some of these companies? Posted: 29 Dec 2020 03:35 PM PST Basically just looking to see if any of y'all have any of these in your portfolio, insight, or comments about these companies. Looking to invest in these myself but I can't find that much on this sub or others about some of these companies $DM - Desktop Metals ( 3D printing ) $NNDM - Nano Dimensions ( 3D printing ) $ATOM - Atomera ( semiconductors ) $IMMR - Immersion ( entertainment software ) $UPWK - UpWork ( freelance work search ) $MP - MP Materials ( rare earth metal mining ) $INSG - Inseego ( IOT 4G & 5G ) $IRDM - Iridium Communications ( satellite communication network ) $BILI - Bilibili ( Chinese entertainment holding company ) [link] [comments] |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 11:10 AM PST Beyond Meat and Impossible Foods need some competition. Think this market will grow rapidly over the next years.. so I'm buying stock in the small Canadian producer VeryGoodFood co. 5-10 bagger 😀 [link] [comments] |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 02:15 PM PST Anyone else prepping for a selling off of 10-20%? Most of the street is getting ready for it and I'm not sure if I want to stomach the dip or pull back then buy back in. With how everything has gone with the pandemic it may not happen at all, not a lot of rules apply right not. Curious what everyone else thinks. [link] [comments] |
Posted: 29 Dec 2020 12:23 PM PST I invested $800 in GHIV shares at $13.80. With my DD I predict it will hit $20 but I'm not so sure anymore. Since the merger vote day is Jan 21st-does anyone believe it will go up or no? [link] [comments] |
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