• Breaking News

    Saturday, November 7, 2020

    Stocks - Biden just won it! Red or green on monday?

    Stocks - Biden just won it! Red or green on monday?


    Biden just won it! Red or green on monday?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 09:13 AM PST

    Cnn, bbc, the guardian, Ap, nbc all called it in. Biden is the 46th president! Trump will protest for sure and this may drag on until December, but I don't think things will change.

    What do you think will happen on Monday? I think more green!!

    submitted by /u/futureIsYes
    [link] [comments]

    What is a True Market Leader (TML) + And how to find them? (Ex. SHOP 2016-2020, ZM 2020, AAPL 2005-2012

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 07:42 AM PST

    TLDR:

    In one sentence a TML is an institutional quality stock in a leading industry group with superior fundamentals and technicals. These are monster stocks which over the course of weeks and months increase +100% to +5,000% . These stocks are disruptors which change how we work, live, or play.

    TMLs are popular with traders/investors whose methodology is based on the CANSLIM system developed by William O'Neil. He called them Model Book Stocks. Huge winners worth studying to identify common characteristics that they all share O'Neil studied over 1000 model book stocks going back to the 1880s. Many are shown and discussed in these must read books

    • How To Make Money in Stocks, William O'Neil
    • Monster Stocks: How They Set Up, Run Up, Top and Make You Money , John Boik
    • The Lifecycle Trade: How to Win at Trading IPOs and Super Growth Stocks, Eric Krull, Kathy Donnelly, and Kurt Dail

    A few Historical Examples from William O'Neil's How To Find & Own America's Greatest Opportunities

    Apple 2003 https://imgur.com/2Egn9z5

    Netflix 2009 https://imgur.com/BHCtJpo

    Home Depot 1982 https://imgur.com/tBU3JgU

    Qualcomm 1997 https://imgur.com/oYPItOW

    Yahoo 1996 https://imgur.com/ToOxnQJ

    So what are the Fundamental characteristics of a TML? You want to see superior:

    • Quarterly Sales Growth > 25% YoY
    • Quarterly Earnings Growth > 25% YoY
    • Pre+After Tax Margins >20% Recent Quarters
    • ROE >17%
    • Annual Earnings Ests for the next year > 25%

    And above all else you want the stock to have a great story- A new and innovative product or service that changes how we work live or play. Not every TML will have all of these criteria, but in general their record should be outstanding with regards to most of them. The higher these values the better. Earnings and Sales growth over 100% YoY is ideal. Annual Estimates for next year over 100% would be exceptional.

    TMLs are also often in the Top 20 Industry groups at the times of their runs. The TML is the leader of an overall top group which is riding the tailwinds of changing environments. Recent examples $SE $SHOP $AMZN Retail-Internet and $TSLA $NIO Electric Vehicles (Auto Manufacturers)

    Additionally base liquidity is required for these stocks to be institutional quality. Dollar Volume > $30 Million is essential and most should have DV much higher than that. Accumulation by big hedge funds and mutual funds like Fidelity Contrafund are what move the markets. They won't touch a promising stock unless it has liquidity.

    Now for Technical (Price Action) Characteristics of TMLs.

    They should be:

    • Above a Rising 30 Week Moving Average
    • Breaking out of a Stage 1 or Stage 2 Base
    • Trending above Key Moving Averages (10, 21ema, 50sma)
    • Volume and Price contractions within bases
    • Up/Down Vol> 1.2
    • Huge gaps up on volume after Earning Beat
    • And most importantly they must be showing Relative Strength, meaning they are outperforming the vast majority of stocks in the market. This. is. vital.

    During corrections and overall market weakness they should be near all time highs, above their longer term moving averages. They should be standing out like a sore thumb and yelling "Buy me". And during Market Uptrends they should be trending above the shorter term moving averages, forming sideways price shelfs during small pullbacks and then breaking out again. Most stay above their 50 SMAs and even 21 emas for extended periods of time.

    So how to scan for them:

    Use MarketSmith, the IBD Stock Screener, Finviz, or another screener and screen for the fundamental criteria mentioned above combined with the stock over the 200+50 SMA. It's helpful to have multiple screens splitting up the criteria for instance one scan for the earnings and one for sales.

    Here is an example Finviz TML Scan: https://imgur.com/a/CzwHdM8

    Recent examples to study

    $LVGO 2020
    $TSLA 2019-2020
    $DOCU 2019-2020
    $PTON 2020
    $SHOP 2016-2020
    $AMD 2018
    $ZM 2020

    submitted by /u/Rmogo21
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    Thank you Federal Reserve for forcing me to convert my "high-yield savings" account into stocks

    Posted: 06 Nov 2020 04:04 PM PST

    At one point, my "high yield" savings account was netting me 2% a year. But when the Fed started cutting rates in 2019, I got annoyed with the declining rates and decided it was time to learn about stock investing.

    I slowly bought starting last November and put in most of my money between March and June when the market was tanking. Through a simple strategy of picking blue-chip stocks, indexed ETFs, portfolio diversification, (and staying off Wall Street Bets), I am up 15% in one year, netting about $11,000 in profits when I would have gotten a fraction of that. Part of it was fortunate timing no doubt.

    My big winners have been NVDA 83% up, AMZN 79%, CMG 74% and BABA 63% and the low-cost ETFs I use to further diversify are QQQ, VOT, MGK, VGLT, VTWO and VWO. I learned hard lessons on BA 56%, PCG46% and INTC 27%.

    The biggest advice is would give to new investors is don't get greedy by chasing huge overnight gains with YOLO bets using options and leverage. Find well-run companies that you can hold long-term, make sure you don't overweight into certain sectors (I am guilty of this with amount of tech I hold), and you should be able to earn yourself steady returns. If you're afraid of jumping in because you think the market is at an all-time high, buy-in using DCA.

    I plan to hold my positions for the next five years and continue to slowly put more in. I wouldn't have gone down this path if the Fed hadn't forced my hand.

    submitted by /u/GreatnessAwait5
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    Toyota president: Tesla has ‘not created a real business in the real world yet’

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 10:55 AM PST

    Toyota President Akio Toyoda acknowledged that Tesla's valuation of around $400 billion is sky high, exceeding that of all seven Japanese automakers combined.

    He also said Toyota could learn from Tesla's success with investors, and its business model, which includes revenue from electric vehicles, regulatory credits, software and renewable energy products.

    But, the exec went on to compare Tesla's business to a restaurant still promoting its recipes, while Toyota is more like a restaurant already serving a huge number of customers.

    "I am hesitant to say this — Tesla's business, if you want to use the analogy, is like that of a kitchen and a chef," Toyoda said.

    "They have not created a real business in the real world yet. They are trying to trade recipes. The chef is saying 'Our recipe is going to become the standard of the world in the future!' At Toyota, we have a real kitchen and a real chef too, and are creating the dishes already. There are customers, who are very picky about what they like to eat, sitting in front of us, and eating our dishes already."

    Toyoda noted that his company makes and sells a much higher volume and variety of cars than Tesla, referring to 100 million Toyota vehicles out on the road owned by individual, fleet and other customers today. Toyota expects to sell about 7.5 million vehicles during its 2021 fiscal year, which kicked off Apr. 1, 2020.

    Tesla expects to sell 500,000 electric vehicles in 2020.

    Source

    submitted by /u/Brothanogood
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    is Nio stock a buy now with $42?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 05:42 AM PST

    It is going up an up. already did 10X since last year. In this situation I would normally never buy. But looking at this company (I just did a big research about it with the full overview and it is amazing). What are you thoughts especially taking into account the recent news?

    submitted by /u/FineFinanceWithAlex
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    KGRN: An ETF for people trying to balance US renewable/EV portfolios with exposure to Chinese renewable/EV stocks

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 06:58 AM PST

    KGRN is Kraneshares' China green energy ETF.

    It's top stock holding is NIO at 13%. It complements an American green energy ETF like QCLN or ICLN, which tend to contain TSLA as a top holding and then more American solar companies and renewable companies.

    It's probably a good idea to either look at its holdings for ideas for individual stocks to study, or to simply just buy and ride its gains if you're not interested in individual stock picking. Its top non-stock holding right now is "Cash", which means it's in a position to invest and increase returns that have already been really good lately.

    Downsides: Chinese ETFs can be more volatile than US markets and even great stocks can sag for stretches for no apparent reason, in-between big leaps up that will catch you by surprise. But this is true of individual Chinese growth stocks like NIO, as well.

    Upsides: A lot of the companies listed aren't able to be directly purchased by Westerners as they aren't listed on US or Euro exchanges. That means that it's harder for them to tank quickly due to crazy stuff happening in our stock markets. So they have less exposure to downside mini-crashes over the past year.

    For all of the above reasons, it can significantly outperform US stocks in a run-up of solar/renewable/EV stocks as we saw this week. Here is a chart of KGRN vs QCLN, ICLN and TAN (top-performing green ETFs for US stocks).

    If you want more exposure to renewables and Chinese EVs without having to individually stock pick, to balance out the US renewable and EV stocks, I would recommend checking out KGRN.

    submitted by /u/rhetorical_twix
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    So what is the deal with RKT ?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 07:24 AM PST

    I saw RKT being discussed quite a lot on r/stocks and most of the threads I read were bullish on it. As I want to diversify my tech-heavy portfolio , I put this stock in my watchlist and did some rough DD :

    1. COVID-19 crisis prodded the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to 0
    2. RKT is nation's largest mortgage originator
    3. Their app allows customers to get everything done on cellphone so more attractive to younger generation .
    4. No loan officer involved so less cost.

    All these factors make this stock appealing and yet its performance has not been so impressive ever since IPO. I'm not from US nor am I fammiliar with US mortgage market , let alone use RKT's service , so there must be something I overlook or misunderstand. Why do you think RKT did not live up to expectation and where do you see it in five years ? Any thoughts would be highly appreciated !

    submitted by /u/rowsonkidd
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    What do you see going wrong with XPENG and NIO?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 08:57 AM PST

    I think I'm just blinded to it, but I don't see anything wrong with either of these both great investments for long term

    If there's a worst case scenario im sure these stocks failing will be the least of worries.

    All the facts promote a healthy growth in both of these stocks.

    I'm not to familiar with Li Auto.

    What are y'all thoughts/plan?

    submitted by /u/Sergy3
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    Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning November 9th, 2020

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 04:12 AM PST

    Good Saturday morning to all of you here on r/stocks. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.

    Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning November 9th, 2020.

    After sharp bounce, market may take a 'breather' on lingering election uncertainty, virus outbreak - (Source)


    After an initially exuberant election reaction, stocks may trade more cautiously in the week ahead, as investors watch election developments unfold and track the course of the coronavirus.


    The S&P 500 was up more than 7.3% in the past week, at 3,509, and the Nasdaq rose 9%, the best weekly performance since April. Stocks slid Friday, but technology, communications services, health care and discretionary stocks had the biggest gains for the week, after it appeared Democrat Joe Biden could be the next president but with a split Congress.


    The election was still unresolved heading into the weekend, but even if Biden is declared winner, close votes and lawsuits are likely to result in recounts. The Senate appeared to be in Republican hands, but the margin of control is likely to be tight, and runoff elections are required for two Senate seats in Georgia in early January.


    "I think the uncertainty is going to catch up the market on a short-term basis," said Leo Grohowski, BNY Mellon's Wealth Management chief investment officer. "Perhaps next week could be a drifting lower kind of week."


    Ahead of the election, the market had been betting on a "blue wave," where Biden would take the White House and Democrats would get control of the Senate, giving them total control of Congress. But when it appeared the Senate would stay in Republican hands, stocks surged on the idea of gridlock, which would keep Biden from implementing tax increases and lots of new regulations.


    At the same time, there has been a surge in daily new coronavirus cases to more than 122,000. Economists are concerned that the economic recovery could suffer as some states could restrict activities and consumers may pull back heading into the important holiday season.


    The Fed, in its post-meeting statement Thursday, repeated that the course of the virus could help determine the path of the economy.


    There are a few economic reports in the week ahead, including consumer price index inflation data Thursday and the producer price index Friday. More than a dozen Fed officials are on the speaking circuit, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who speaks Thursday on central banking at a European Central Bank forum.


    The earnings season is beginning to slow down, but there are still dozens of reports, including from McDonald's on Monday and Walt Disney, Applied Materials and Cisco on Thursday.


    "I think next week is just setting up to be a breather. There's still a lot to figure out here," said Grohowski. "The equity market's reaction has been I think understandable and probably better than many might have expected."


    Grohowski said there may be uncertainty for awhile. "What I'm thinking about is the Senate races. Part of the market reaction has been relying on this divided government." After the votes are all in or recounted, "a sweep is unlikely but possible."


    "I think the longer this stays uncertain and messy, the more the post-election bounce comes into question," he said.


    Different than 2000

    It would not be unusual for the stock market to sell off before rallying into year end, according to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. Stovall does not expect the type of turbulence there was in 2000, when former Vice President Al Gore lost to George W. Bush in a tight race that ultimately went to the Supreme Court.


    "In 2000, they were not expecting hanging chads. But they do expect a contested election this time. I think in many ways the market anticipated this," said Stovall.


    But the market, after its election week surge, could pull back. "Historically, the market goes down in the month of November, after a Democratic victory," said Stovall. Since World War II, Democrats won the White House nine times, and the market fell an average of 0.5% in November in those years, compared to the average gain for all Novembers of 1.4%, he said.


    After those Democratic victories, stocks then rose 1.9% in December on average, more than the normal 1.5% gain for all Decembers.


    Strategists said they currently do not expect the kind of lockdowns that states ordered when the pandemic started to spread in March. But there could still be some impact that could be negative for stocks.


    Grohowski said he sees some signs of optimism for the market. Strong data, like third quarter GDP, October's drop in unemployment to 6.9%, and the better-than-expected earnings are all positives for the market. Another is that investors are so skeptical.


    "What does still exist is a great deal of dry powder. There's $4.3 trillion in money markets alone," he said. "I can tell you, being in touch with investors of all shapes and sizes this week, there's still a lot of skepticism. From a contrarian view, high cash and a lot of skepticism is a contrarian indicator."


    This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Indices for this past week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

    Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

    Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

    Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #3!)

    Presidential Election Anticipation Is Keeping Us Waiting

    While we all anxiously await the final count and outcome of the U.S. Presidential Election, here are some possible scenarios for 2021. Our analysis here is based on historical market performance during the most likely political alignments for next year. We ran these likely scenarios through the Almanac database software to create this graph.

    We are either going to have the fifth year of a two-term republican president or a first year of a new democratic presidency. It appears the democrats will hold the house and the republicans will hold the senate, but that is not a forgone conclusion either. So we also examined both presidential outcomes with a democratic, republican and split congress.

    Our study uses the S&P 500 from 1949 to 2017. We start in 1949 because it is the first full 4-Year Presidential Stock Market Cycle since the end of WWII. The Twenty-Second Amendment that implemented presidential term limits for a max of two terms or eight years was ratified on February 27, 1951. Truman in 1949 was excluded as there was a no change of party in the White House. We gave Bush 41 the same treatment.

    Admittedly, there are limited data points; four each of fifth year republicans and first year democrats. Here's what we found. A change in party with a new, first year democratic president came with democratic control of Congress and significantly higher performance for the S&P 500, averaging 10.6% with a median gain of 15.1% versus 7.0% for the average post-election year since 1949.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Fifth year republican presidents in 1957 (Eisenhower) and 1973 (Nixon) had to work with democratically controlled Congresses and the market suffered significant losses. The market did well in Reagan's fifth year with a split Congress – a testament to how "The Great Communicator" was able to work across the aisle with then Speaker of the House Tip O'Neill. Even with republican control of Congress under Bush 43's fifth year, the market had a tough year with ongoing issues in Iraq, North Korea declaring it's a nuclear power and the most active and second costliest hurricane season on record.


    Job Growth Continues as COVID-19 Cases Rise

    The US labor market shrugged off election uncertainty and continued to add jobs in October. Despite the waning effects of fiscal stimulus and rising COVID-19 cases, per the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the US economy added 638,000 jobs, ahead of Bloomberg survey estimates calling for 580,000. The headline number was depressed by a 268,000 drop in government employment, including 147,000 temporary census workers. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate fell from 7.9% to 6.9% despite a rise in the labor force participation rate, a reversal of the dynamic we saw in September when unemployment fell while the labor force participation also declined.

    However, a troubling trend remains beneath the surface. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, the number of long-term unemployed—those out of work for 27 weeks or longer—continues to rise as a share of the total unemployed:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    "While the labor market has continued to show improvement, there are still many people out there who are having a hard time getting back to work," noted LPL Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "With total jobs in the US around 10 million below pre-pandemic levels and rising COVID-19 cases, there's a lot of room for improvement despite the declining unemployment rate."

    COVID-19 cases in the United States have reached record highs with a weekly trend growth rate above 20%, according to the COVID Tracking Project. As the weather cools and more activity shifts indoors, additional restrictions to limit the spread of the virus could slow the fragile labor market recovery.

    In particular, much of the private sector gains in this month's jobs report were in the services sector, where previous jobs reports had shown strength in goods-oriented industries. Many countries in Europe have reinstated restrictions or even gone as far as implementing new lockdowns. While we don't expect lockdowns in the United States like we saw in March, restrictions on activity could limit future job gains.


    One Sentiment Survey Soars While Another Sinks

    In an earlier post, we discussed how bullish sentiment in the AAII survey has been on the rise, but looking at another weekly sentiment survey from Investors Intelligence, the opposite is true. The percentage of respondents reporting as bullish fell sharply this week, 7 percentage points, down to 53.6%. While a majority are still optimistic and that reading is in the middle of its range, that was the largest weekly decline since a 7.4 percentage point decline to 41.7% in the first week of March.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Meanwhile, the percentage of newsletter writers that are "looking for a correction" rose sharply to 25.8% this week following last week's over 5% decline for the S&P 500.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    The Investors Intelligence survey has a long history dating back to 1963, and in all weeks in that time, only 5% (174 weeks) have seen bullish sentiment fall 5 percentage points or more while the percentage of respondents looking for a correction has risen at least 5 percentage points in the same week. In the chart below, we show the average performance of the S&P 500 following these past occurrences when there has not been another in the prior 3 months. The S&P 500 has frequently been higher over the following weeks and months, but there is a slight underperformance relative to all periods since 1963 when the survey begins.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    2 Post-Election Charts You Need to See

    The election is over, but the questions are mounting. We don't know who will be the next president as of Wednesday morning, but we do know that stocks tend to do well the final two months of an election year. "Once the uncertainty is over, stocks tend to rally in November and December, with November the best month of the year during an election year," explained LPL Financial Chief Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "Of course, 2020 isn't like any other year, and we still could be a ways away from who the winner will be."

    The LPL Chart of the Day shows that the S&P 500 Index tends to do very well the final two months of the year, especially during election years.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    The modern design of the S&P 500 stock index was first launched in 1957. Performance back to 1928 incorporates the performance of predecessor index, the S&P 90

    One of the big takeaways so far from Tuesday night is that the Senate likely will stay Republican, meaning we may have a divided Congress. The chances of higher taxes and more regulation likely took a hit under this scenario. This could be a nice tailwind for stocks, as the S&P 500 historically has done quite well under a divided Congress, up more than 17% on average. Additionally, in years with a divided Congress, stocks have been higher the past 10 times, with 2020 potentially being the 11th in a row.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    This election is far from over, so stay tuned to LPL Research as we continue to monitor things!


    Emerging Markets Cheering a Potential Biden Win

    The US equity market has seen a massive rally in reaction to what is looking like a Biden victory over President Trump coupled with the Republican party maintianing its majority in the US Senate. None of these results are official at this point, so they are subject to change, but these are the most likely scenarios as of now. Outside of the US, emerging markets have also rallied. In just the last two days, the MSCI Emerging Market ETF (EEM) has rallied 5% and broken above resistance to new 52-week highs. If for no other reason then Biden's campaign slogan isn't America First, the rationale behind the rally makes some sense.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    The reaction of EEM in the aftermath of this election is very much different from what happened in 2016. Heading into the 2016 election, EEM had been trending higher, but pulled back in the days leading up to the election and broke its uptrend that had been in place since earlier in the year. Again, Trump's America First approach was understandably viewed as a headwind to emerging market equities.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    While the initial reaction of EEM to Trump's election was negative, that weakness didn't last long. The chart below shows the performance of EEM in the two months before and one year after the 2016 election. The gray box represents the same period shown in the chart above. Within days after breaking its uptrend after the 2016 election, EEM bounced back, rallied to its 50-DMA, tested its November low, and then in the early days of 2017 it was off to the races as EEM. In fact, even accounting for the post-Election Day declines, one year after the 2016 election, EEM was up 25% which was actually more than the 21% return for the S&P 500! The moral of the story here is that first reactions aren't always the right reactions, and as an investor it's not just imperative to know the environment you are operating in, but also when the tides are turning.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Winners and Losers During Trump's Presidency

    With Election Day upon us, below we take a look at the biggest winners and losers across financial markets during the Trump Presidency from Election Day 2016 through today. First off, below is a chart of the market cap of the Russell 3,000 since Election Day 2000 which George W. Bush eventually won. The Russell 3,000 makes up more than 98% of the total US equity market cap, so it's a good gauge to use for measuring the overall change in market cap levels. The current market cap of the Russell 1000 is just north of $35 trillion, which is up $11.5 trillion since Election Day 2016. President Obama oversaw US market cap growth of $12.3 trillion over his two terms, while President Bush actually saw market cap decline by $4.1 trillion after his two terms.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Below is a look at the total return of various asset classes since Election Day 2016 using key ETFs listed on US exchanges. The S&P 500 (SPY) is up 70.6% since Trump was elected, while the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) more than doubled that at +144.3%. Of the broad index ETFs in the matrix, the Smallcap Value ETF (IJS) is up the least since Election Day 2016 at just +17.2%.

    Looking at US sector ETFs, the Energy sector (XLE) is a huge outlier with a decline of 48.3% since Trump was elected. Technology (XLK) and Consumer Discretionary (XLY) are up the most with gains of 154% and 97%, respectively.

    Along with Energy stocks, the oil (USO) and natural gas (UNG) ETFs have been more than cut in half since 11/8/16, while gold (GLD) is up 47% and silver is up 29.5%.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Not every country has seen stock market gains since Trump was elected. As shown below, Mexico (EWW) is down 28.5%, Brazil (EWZ) is down 19.4%, Spain (EWP) is down 6.8%, and the UK (EWU) is just slightly in the red.

    The US (SPY) is up more than any other country with a gain of 70.6%, while China (ASHR) is up the second most at +51%. Whatever happened with the trade war certainly didn't hurt the US and China versus the rest of the world on a relative basis.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Within the Russell 1,000 in its current form, there are nine stocks that are up 1,000% or more since Election Day 2016, with Enphase Energy (ENPH) at the top with a gain of 8,590%. Trade Desk (TTD) is up the second most at +2,448%, followed by Novocure (NVCR), SolarEdge Tech (SEDG), and Quidel (QDEL). Square (SQ) ranks sixth with a gain of 1,203%. Other notables on the list of big winners since Trump was elected include Etsy (ETSY), Teladoc (TDOC), Tesla (TSLA), NVIDIA (NVDA), Atlassian (TEAM), Boston Beer (SAM), and Lululemon (LULU).

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    In terms of market cap gains for individual stocks, the numbers below are quite eye-popping. Apple (AAPL) has gained the most in market cap since Trump was elected with an increase of $1.257 trillion! Amazingly, both Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT) have added more than $1 trillion in market cap as well. Prior to the last few years, no company was even close to having a $1 trillion market cap, but at this point, AAPL, AMZN, and MSFT have gained that much in the last four years.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:


    Monday 11.9.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Monday 11.9.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Tuesday 11.10.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Tuesday 11.10.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Wednesday 11.11.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Wednesday 11.11.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Thursday 11.12.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Thursday 11.12.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Friday 11.13.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Friday 11.13.20 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    (NONE.)


    Plug Power, Inc. $18.86

    Plug Power, Inc. (PLUG) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Monday, November 9, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.06 per share on revenue of $104.91 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.06) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 67% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 25.00% with revenue increasing by 86.09%. Short interest has increased by 23.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 85.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 133.1% above its 200 day moving average of $8.09. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, November 6, 2020 there was some notable buying of 12,049 contracts of the $20.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 16.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.7% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Workhorse Group Inc. $17.29

    Workhorse Group Inc. (WKHS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 9:00 AM ET on Monday, November 9, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.11 per share on revenue of $400.00 thousand and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.10) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 58% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 35.29% with revenue increasing by 9,900.00%. Short interest has increased by 38.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 8.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 59.2% above its 200 day moving average of $10.86. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, November 4, 2020 there was some notable buying of 11,008 contracts of the $25.00 put and 7,184 contracts of the $25.00 call expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 18.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.3% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Canopy Growth Corporation $23.50

    Canopy Growth Corporation (CGC) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Monday, November 9, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.23 per share on revenue of $87.61 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.15) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 62% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 71.95% with revenue increasing by 35.08%. Short interest has decreased by 1.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 28.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 38.7% above its 200 day moving average of $16.95. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, November 6, 2020 there was some notable buying of 18,766 contracts of the $25.00 call expiring on Friday, November 13, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 15.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 13.0% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    DraftKings Inc. $42.32

    DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Friday, November 13, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.64 per share on revenue of $132.19 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.60) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 66% expecting an earnings beat. The stock has drifted higher by 24.5% from its open following the earnings release. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, October 21, 2020 there was some notable buying of 8,578 contracts of the $50.00 call expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 11.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 10.7% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Beyond Meat, Inc. $156.86

    Beyond Meat, Inc. (BYND) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:20 PM ET on Monday, November 9, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.05 per share on revenue of $135.56 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.06 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 63% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 16.67% with revenue increasing by 47.41%. Short interest has increased by 17.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 20.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 25.3% above its 200 day moving average of $125.16. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 23, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,502 contracts of the $170.00 call expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 13.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 20.4% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    McDonalds Corp. $216.56

    McDonalds Corp. (MCD) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Monday, November 9, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.93 per share on revenue of $5.36 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.98 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 54% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 8.53% with revenue decreasing by 1.30%. Short interest has decreased by 16.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 9.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 9.8% above its 200 day moving average of $197.19. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, October 22, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,674 contracts of the $220.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.0% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.7% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Aurora Cannabis Inc $9.79

    Aurora Cannabis Inc (ACB) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 2:45 PM ET on Monday, November 9, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.24 per share on revenue of $46.18 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.19) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 43% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 2,500.00% with revenue decreasing by 19.02%. Short interest has increased by 0.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 85.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.2% below its 200 day moving average of $11.83. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, November 6, 2020 there was some notable buying of 17,785 contracts of the $14.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 20.4% move on earnings.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Rocket Companies, Inc. $21.31

    Rocket Companies, Inc. (RKT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:20 PM ET on Tuesday, November 10, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.03 per share on revenue of $4.34 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.13 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 91% expecting an earnings beat On Tuesday, November 3, 2020 there was some notable buying of 13,704 contracts of the $25.00 call and 13,005 contracts of the $25.00 put expiring on Friday, December 18, 2020.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Simon Property Group, Inc. $61.86

    Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Monday, November 9, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.25 per share on revenue of $1.12 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.26 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 44% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 26.23% with revenue decreasing by 20.93%. Short interest has decreased by 3.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 9.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.3% below its 200 day moving average of $74.76. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, October 13, 2020 there was some notable buying of 5,266 contracts of the $70.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 8.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.7% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Jumia Technologies AG $18.95

    Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Tuesday, November 10, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.60 per share on revenue of $45.98 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 65% expecting an earnings beat. Short interest has increased by 8.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 51.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 133.7% above its 200 day moving average of $8.11. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, October 23, 2020 there was some notable buying of 7,895 contracts of the $16.00 call expiring on Friday, November 20, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 17.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 19.7% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    DISCUSS!

    What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?


    I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead r/stocks.

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    Array Tech (ARRY) had their earnings call transcripts in which they noted "we will be announcing, in very short order, a large deal with a very strategic customer that includes not only domestic but international growth as well."

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 07:38 AM PST

    Already up to 44.80 from the IPO last month and doing fairly well. wonder who in particular this announcement will reference, but we will know next week. Looks like the lockout period will end around 4/2021 so take that as you will. Still optimistic long term, but it has surely risen quite a bit already.

    submitted by /u/Gay_Black_Atheist
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    How long should investors in net-net stocks expect to hold their positions for?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 11:44 AM PST

    Looking into investing in net-net stocks (stocks trading below NCAV). Found a few decent opportunities like MSN and TYHT, but they seem to be in a perpetual downtrend. Which brings the question....are net-net stocks long-term buy & hold (given liquidation/retraction to NCAV) or just short-term swing trades? Aka how quickly should I expect to return profits on a typical net-net stock?

    submitted by /u/kingsaini
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    Can Aurora Cannabis and Canopy Growth Do Business in the US?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 10:01 AM PST

    I've noticed, as most of you have, that marijuana stocks are wayyy up post-election, likely because Biden is going to win.

    My question is whether these Canadian owned companies like Aurora and Canopy can even do business in the US with marijuana currently illegal at a federal level. From what I've read it seems like they really can't, which would make it pretty unimportant that multiple states legalized recreational marijuana and pretty notable that our government is going to be divided and it may be hard to pass federal legalization.

    Can someone who knows more than me about this explain it? I am invested in marijuana ETFs in the meantime to hopefully get US exposure.

    submitted by /u/Spezia-ShwiffMMA
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    China will be carrying the global economy in the next couple of years. How to profit from this?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 12:39 PM PST

    That's how I think those next years will be. There is going to be green energy (ICLN and friends) and China.

    What GROWTH stocks from China would you guys recommend? EV is very hyped right now, bit too much for my taste, feels like a bubble.

    My eyes are on BZUN and JNK already. What else is there?

    I am looking for those smaller companies, MC of 1-10 billion. (so not the obvious big boys NIO, BABA, JD, TENCENT etc.)

    submitted by /u/AllgBeamtenrecht
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    David Einhorn calls out Tesla 'mania,' teases new short positions, and says the tech bubble is already popping

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 02:08 PM PST

    https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/david-einhorn-greenlight-capital-re-tesla-mania-tech-bubble-shorts-2020-11-1029774530

    The fund's short position in Tesla weighed on its performance, as the electric-vehicle group's shares nearly doubled in value last quarter. Einhorn underscored the absurdity of retail investors piling into Tesla on the basis that it split its stock in August and seemed likely to secure a spot in the S&P 500.

    "It is our view that we are now in the early stages of the bubble popping," Einhorn said on the earnings call this week. "As a result, we have shorted a basket of high-flying stocks and recent IPOs trading at excessive valuations."

    I really have to disagree with him, been holding aapl, msft and amzn for a while and they are not overvalued.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Portfolio Advise: 80% ETFs 20% Stocks. Long term

    Posted: 06 Nov 2020 11:44 PM PST

    Hello.

    I have never invested in the market mainly due to not really understanding how it works. I invested in real estate since my early 30s. Now with a little bit of more free time on my hands, I did some research and decided it's better to invest my money somewhere instead of having it sitting in the bank at a 0.5% return.

    I want to invest for the long term pumping a little bit of money into my portfolio every month from my salary (~5-6k a month will go to my portfolio). I was thinking about the following split:

    Mostly 80% ETF and 20% for active investment. I have a few questions for the kind souls:

    1. Is an 80% ETF 20% Stock seem like a good split
    2. Should I invest in ETF with my bank or keep using IBK? If the answer is to go with my bank, what's the reason you think I should do that keeping in mind that am not a US citizen and don't have to pay taxes in my home country on any gains?
    3. Is it the right time to go into ETFs? Or is there no right time if am thinking long term?
    4. Is my ETF portfolio diversified enough?

    Portfolio:

    ETF: 80% // Stocks: 20%

    ETF split out of total portfolio: VTI - 40% / VXUS 20% / QQQ 10% / ARKK 10%

    submitted by /u/Smoking_Guru
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    AMD BABA ADI AVGO QCOMM

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 05:38 AM PST

    I hold a fair amount in stocks and ETFs with good diversification. I have about $3500 to spend that I am planning to hold, sell in about five years. I'm looking for growth but not high risk. Considering the stocks above, but could also increase my holdings in TSM AAPL MSFT NET SQ if they dip. What would you buy?

    submitted by /u/k8g60
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    Best time to buy: Am I doing it wrong?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 04:21 AM PST

    Hey guys!

    I'm new to stock trading and I keep making mistakes. Like I bought Cloudflare because I understand the company and I feel like their business model is strong, so it's a good option for the long run. My problem is timing. I bought it after the ER when it was around $69. It closed the day at around $64. My question is, how to find the right timing? Or does it even matter if you're planning to hold a stock for over a year? I'm interested in buying Qualcomm next, so I thought I'll gather some opinion from people who've been doing it for a while before I make another mistake.

    submitted by /u/GrizzlyDiaby
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    Investor Meetings $NNOX

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 11:14 AM PST

    Below is the link for 3 investor meetings prior to live demonstration at the end of the month. It looks like they are setting themselves up for mass production around the globe and quick turnaround time to deliver these machines.

    https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2020/11/05/2121104/0/en/Nanox-to-Participate-in-Three-Upcoming-November-2020-Investor-Conferences.html

    submitted by /u/Bug_Deep
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    ARKK vs ARKW

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 08:51 AM PST

    I want to build a small position in ARK since they focus on disruptive growth companies.

    I've narrowed it down to 2: ARKK - general fund ARKW - tech/internet

    W has a higher ROI than K.

    How did you chose which to pick?

    submitted by /u/Baykey123
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    [ADVICE] Is MAXR a buy?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 10:57 AM PST

    This stock is in my watchlist and yesterday it dropped 25% but I think it was a panic selling. EPS was actually good.. Anyways, I'm interested in space related stocks and I'm also keeping an eye on SPCE, even though it has nothing to do with Maxar. Now, I'm asking you guys an advice. What do you think of MAXR? Would you invest in it or not?

    submitted by /u/gatretor
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    REGN NQSO...would you sell for cash or convert to shares?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 02:06 PM PST

    A friend works at REGN and just had a few hundred NQSO vest. Her strike price was rather low so she stands to make a large profit. But she says she does not need the cash given she would only get ~0.6% interest. She wants to know the long-term pro/cons of converting to shares? Anything else she can do?

    submitted by /u/randomquesti0ns
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    Is AT&T ($T) a bad investment? Are there better telecom companies like Verizon ($VZ)?

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 08:05 AM PST

    I am looking to get some AT&T stock because of it's dividend, but usually a company has a high dividend compared to the price of the stock is because people don't believe it has a lot of growth potential or they aren't sure they can pay their dividends/have to lower them. Many people say in this sub that Verizon would be a better pick. I'd be picking $T because I need some dividend stocks to balance out my portfolio just in case something happens. I'm very young and just started investing. Thanks in advance.

    submitted by /u/juaggo_
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    Sell my portefolio on friday to buy only tesla stock..

    Posted: 07 Nov 2020 01:45 PM PST

    No need to talk about how good the company is, I just need some insight to what the next good date to the stock to move...

    I already have 10% of what I want, my quention is...buy on monday everything and wait? because time in the market vs timing the market

    dca

    or wait to 420 or lower and possibly missing out gains

    Thank you for your help

    Love from Portugal <3

    submitted by /u/tesaodetuga
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