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    Sunday, October 18, 2020

    Stocks - Up over 100%, what next?

    Stocks - Up over 100%, what next?


    Up over 100%, what next?

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 09:34 AM PDT

    A little under a year ago I decided to put "some money" with E*TRADE and start trading stocks. I ended up buying a lot of Tesla because I had just bought a Tesla car and thought the company was cool. I knew I was probably overpaying for the stock. A few months later I put another "some more" in, I guess I was liking the gamble. I've now been lucky on quite a few stocks, and was able to cash out my original "investment" and I currently still have a portfolio value of "some money". So my big question is, what next? Was I just super lucky in a hot market, do I keep gambling like I have been on companies that I like, or am I better off learning some more fundamentals for investing? Or do I pull it all out and buy a Tesla plaid🤣?

    Edit: Removing actual $$ from post to hopefully help focus comments on advice going forward.

    submitted by /u/apdaauml
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    Sometimes it's good to turn off news and go with your gut

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 09:52 AM PDT

    I remember back in May I put 100k of my life savings into NIO at $4.50 a share because I had a feeling it will have a run up like Tesla and it just wasn't caught up yet. I was betting big on it despite the company losing so much cash.

    Then the big media started releasing news that Chinese companies will get delisted from US stock exchanges because they don't report financials based on US GAAP. I got out taking a 1-2% loss.

    It hurts so much to see it run up so much. I would have made enough money to buy a nice 2br townhouse all cash in my expensive city. But here I'm recently got laid off because of Covid and want to cry :(

    submitted by /u/detectivepayne
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    Albertsons Companies (ACI) upcoming Q2 earnings - Revised take on their expected performance and potential for long term growth.

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 07:57 AM PDT

    It's fairly obvious that Albertsons Companies has gone mostly unnoticed since their IPO in June. As luck would have it EV mania was in full stride and if you weren't a tech company, or working on the next electric-powered anything then you were at best barely noticed. As America's second largest retail grocery chain, ACI has quietly sat in the shadows and has raked in cash, literally.

    Not only have they done extremely well as their Q1 earnings prove they were recently awarded Grocery retailer of the year by Supermarket News on July 09 and again on October 16 by Store Brand Magazine.

    In addition to their recent awards Albertsons bought an entire group of stores from a bankrupt east coast chain, and then declared a dividend. All within a week. Albertsons said its "strong and consistent levels of free cash flow" allows it to pay out the dividend. Albertsons 2020 has been adding consistent growth and investor value at a record breaking pace.

    For those that haven't already done their Due Diligence on Albertsons Companies, they have increased same-store sales for 10 straight quarters. Yes, even before covid-19. If anything, they have only benefited from the national safety protocols that were put in place along with non-essential business closures, as they were seen as an essential business. Even work from home implementation by thousands of businesses has donated quite heavily to Albertsons Companies bottom line, and as of today it appears they will continue to do so well into 2021.

    Forbes has recently stated that Coronavirus has permanently disrupted grocery retail, but in a positive way. The United States Census Bureau just released their Advanced Monthly Sales for Retail and Food Services report report which shows and verifies sales just continue to rise. FOR RELEASE AT 8:30 AM EDT, FRIDAY, OCTOBER 16, 2020

    Not only are grocery store chains preparing for a 2nd wave of pandemic shopping now, but according to new data from Lendingtree American consumers' average weekly grocery spending has increased by 17% since pre-pandemic times, up from $163 to $190.

    Some Grocers report they're starting to see round two of panic shopping reported October 16.

    "As of now what we are seeing is the start of the second wave of panic," said Chris Mentzer, the director of operations for Rastelli Market Fresh in New Jersey. "Our customers keep telling me how they are looking for any type of freezer to purchase so they can start stocking up their homes now. Their main concern is meat." He explained that customers are mainly looking to buy and freeze beef and poultry — ground beef, steaks, roasts and all varieties of chicken.

    "They're also starting to buy a lot of frozen meals and frozen pizzas," said Mentzer. "We are seeing anything that can be microwaved quickly or easily made in the oven for kids, fly off the shelves, as people are preparing for schools and colleges to be closed this winter — along with a run on dried goods and paper goods, as well." Grocers are all too familiar with the increased sales of the upcoming holiday seasons, but when coupled with panic pandemic buying the demand on Grocers to keep adequate supply will be immense.

    ACI seems to be prepared to benefit and prosper from the insane demands well into 2021. Remember, Albertsons 2020 is not the same company as they were in 2015 or even 2018. Under their new CEO debt has been reduced by Billions of dollars, that's with a (B), and by restructuring their long term debts while federal interest was at /near zero percent they have become a much leaner, and even more efficient company.

    The current PEG ratio that is very popular and most referred to when measuring a company's growth tells a story of huge potential for ACI 2020 investors. With a PEG at 0.40 it's clear that the unnoticed stock is extremely undervalued. For perspective sake, if a company's PEG ratio is 1.0 that would indicate that the price of the stock accurately reflects its growth. So a PEG of 0.50 would indicate an extreme undervalue on share price. Yet, as stated above, ACI has a PEG of 0.40. It's well known that ACI shares are hugely discounted and it's even been reported that Albertsons is called an undervalued sleeper by BofA.

    Couple all the recent positive catalysts with the fact that Albertsons Companies has seen sales rise over 20% in Q1 and a 275% jump in digital sales since Covid-19 and one can only assume that their earnings report scheduled for October 20, 2020 will be positive. Many investors have either completely overlooked ACI in their chase for the next EV stock to pop or have not done any due diligence on Albertsons Companies of 2020. However, Attentive Investors and Insiders seem to be certain that the path upwards for ACI is coming fast and the potential for $20 plus share price is not only obvious but long overdue.

    Reports are indicating that there were more than several insider trading activities at ACI including Sankaran Vivek, who purchased 25,000 shares at the price of $14.74 back on Aug 14 two weeks after the Q1 results on July 27. He seems to be very confident in the fact that shares are still heavily undervalued and will move upwards to a fair value soon. Sankaran Vivek now owns 1,961,782 shares of Albertsons Companies Inc.

    The consensus price target by 18 Analysts is $19.38. The high price target is $26.00. From today's entry price of $14.26 a share, this could be a very lucrative opportunity for the increasingly attentive investors that have done their homework on the Albertsons of 2020.

    submitted by /u/JoeBaileyLive
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    Blink Charging (NASDAQ: BLNK) - EV Charging - The Future "Gas Station" - Building alongside the EV Hype.

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 09:48 AM PDT

    Introduction:

    Blink Charging owns, operates, and provides electric vehicle (EV) charging equipment and networked EV charging services primarily in the United States. It also provides the "Blink Network", a cloud that tracks charging stations and the associated charging data. This data provides property owners, managers, and parking companies remote monitoring and management of EV charging stations and payment processing. Additionally it provides drivers with station information, info such as location, availability, and applicable fees.

    Current setup:

    As of December 2019 it has approx. 14,700+ EV charging stations across the US East Coast, West Coast, and locations in the Mid-West. Additionally they are expanding into Europe and the Middle East. (Can't attach the map because rules)

    The following types of locations currently have stations (It is pretty much where you'd expect): airports, auto dealers, healthcare/medicals, hotels, municipal locations, residential and condos, parks and recreation areas, parking lots, religious institutions, restaurants, retailers, schools and universities, stadiums, supermarkets, transportation hubs, and workplace locations.

    Predictions:

    EV charging industry is projected to be a $112 billion industry by 2027. The growing demand and sentiment for electric vehicles is a major factor responsible for aggressive growth. Additionally expansion of this industry will increase rapidly as more world governments move towards becoming carbon-neutral status the next few decades.

    • In 2018 US EV sales were up 81% from 2017
    • In 2018 global EV sales totaled 2.1 million, up 64% from 2017
    • There are currently more than 1.2 million electric vehicles in the U.S.
    • The global EV market is expected to grow at a 25.6% CAGR from 2019-2026 and is forecasted to reach over $567B by 2026
    • By 2025 EV sales are projected to account for 30% of all global vehicle sales
    • By 2030, the US is estimated to need 13 million charging stations

    Recent Developments for Blink:

    • Agreement with Cushman & Wakefield for Deployment of EV Charging Stations
    • Agreement with InterEnergy for the purchase of $1.2 million of Blink EV charging equipment to be deployed in the Dominican Republic
    • Co-recipient of a $900,000 grant from the BIRD energy program for the development of a DC fast-charging solution
    • Reached more than 23,000 deployments of EV charging stations at multiple living complexes and offices
    • Migrated the Blink Network to Microsoft Azure to optimize performance, operability and driver experience and prepare for future expansion
    • Expansion into Greece with Eunice Energy joint venture, deploying 40+ ports
    • Blink enhanced its software to work seamlessly with Google Maps

    A more recent agreement with SG Blocks (NASDAQ: SGBX) aims to deploy a rapid and cost-effective innovative EV charging containers designed to provide off-grid charging solutions through a combined solar and battery components in multiple capacities.

    Competitors:

    Chargepoint (their main competitor, they are not publically traded) - focused on manufacturing and selling hardware (SemaConnect is another competitor we could lump here)

    EVgo, Electrify America - DCFC (Direct-current fast charger) charging solutions that are mainly beneficial for long road trips

    Blink Charging claims to stand out from their competitors claiming: "We are the only company in the U.S. that can provide a full package of EV charging solutions under one roof, from start to finish!"

    Prices & Market Cap:

    52 Week Range $1.25—$14.58

    Market Cap $310M

    The Takeaway & Final Thoughts:

    Interest and sentiment towards Electric Vehicles has been booming and the EV charging industry is poised to grow along side them. Like many of the companies that produce electric cars, EV charging is not the most profitable right now, however, having the infrastructure in place sets Blink and Chargepoint in excellent positions to capitalize in this upcoming market. Additionally there is the possibility of future government subsidies.

    Thank you to all that have read this. This is not all inclusive so please please do your own research to supplement, especially since I did not talk in depth about the company financials, and since there are many competitors in this emerging market. Additionally thank you to everyone that provided constructive comments to the AMC vs Cinemark post. I hope everyone has a good day.

    submitted by /u/036Gooddaysir036
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    To anyone who has been investing for more than 30 years...

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 01:53 PM PDT

    At what age did you start investing and how have your experiences been since then (especially during the dotcom and housing market collapse)?

    If you had any advice to give to a 20 year old newbie who only just started investing what would it be?

    I'd like to think my emergency fund is large enough, and anything I can put in the markets, I'll leave it there until I absolutely need it or until I turn 65?

    Thanks!

    submitted by /u/MountainHigh24
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    Peloton (PTON)

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 11:02 AM PDT

    PTON just had to recall around 27,000 bikes because the petals fell off mid ride. I sort of new to stocks so how much does this kind of stuff affect the price? I bought 2 shares at $90, and noticed that this incident made the price drop down around 4%

    submitted by /u/pineapplestring
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    ICLN vs IQQH

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 03:54 AM PDT

    Hey folks, I live in EU and you cant buy ICLN shares due to regulations. There is IQQH on the German stock exchange but is it the same?

    ICLN is selling for around 21 USD while IQQH sells for around 10 Euros.

    Is IQQH worth buying or do you recommend other European ETFs?

    submitted by /u/Sablac
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    Tell me your secrets to not checking your portfolio 15 times a day��

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 01:33 PM PDT

    I wake up and the first time I do after turning off my alarm is check the markets. I have a quick look through the watchlist on tradingview app and then get out of bed.

    Within an hour I'm checking again, this time I'll check some others that I don't own or tickers that I see posted on Reddit just to see what they're looking like compared to my holdings.

    Throughout the day I'll check the prices, probably about 15 times a day. It's not that I'm worried they're crashing or hoping they're mooning, it's just purely curiosity... I just want to know for the sake of knowing.

    6 months I've been investing and I still check just as much as I did before. I simply can't bring myself to exist in a state of not knowing what my investment is looking like.

    I try to forget about it and go about my day but to no avail. I also obsess over what people think of my stocks so I'll Google my stock name to see what news and other financial outlets are saying about it... Even though what they say won't impact my judgement because the pros have said negative things about companies before which ended up doing very well regardless.

    submitted by /u/Bellamy88
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    AMZN, MSFT and GOOG

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 03:16 AM PDT

    I have been doing some research on AMZN, MSFT and GOOG recently. All three companies are undoubtedly very solid companies that will continue to thrive in the next decade. The question is, how much? Personally, I feel like they have reach a point where significant growth is hard to achieve. Am I wrong on my analysis? If you were to pick one out of these three to be included in your long term portfolio, which one would you pick?

    submitted by /u/zhexiangxd
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    Holding ARKK in taxable?

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 08:09 AM PDT

    What are the tax implications in the short term and long term? Would it be different at all if I held two mutual funds vs just one in a taxable?

    I already maxed out my Roth (created this year). If I wanted to add 10% Ark to it should I wait till the beginning of the tax year or just do it now?

    submitted by /u/sweetchonies
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    SCI & CSV - Time to invest in the business of death?

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 07:45 AM PDT

    I currently have about 5% of my portfolio invested into these two companies and I am thinking about increasing that to at least 20%. Why am I bullish on mortuaries and funeral homes?

    Short term - COVID 19 will see their EPS skyrocket - Stock price on SCI is still discounted - @ $44.12 compared to its high of $52.89 CSV @ $24.05 to its high of $28.59 before the COVID crash

    Long term - US deaths per year are at an increase with an older and aging population - Dividends : both offer a decent dividends - consolidation of funeral homes leads to larger companies able to reduce cost and negotiate favorable contracts and expansion - I see similarities between hospitals 15 years ago and funeral homes today.

    submitted by /u/MNtoCO
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    Gamestop (GME) thoughts

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 10:32 AM PDT

    With the recent partnership with Microsoft and the launch of new gaming systems around the corner, do y'all think this could be a turning point for Gamestop? The situation I'm reminded of is the Best Buy turnaround in recent years. It's currently in the $13 range. Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/nooneno1
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    I bought $53,000 of NIO at $21.83.

    Posted: 17 Oct 2020 08:22 PM PDT

    It seems alot of people dont know much about this company.

    I am up $11,000 in this company in gains, and i do plan to sell half of my shares once NIO reaches $43.

    Then i will keep the other half of the shares in the company for long term

    I purchased NIO 100 shares at $6.30 in Apiril 2020, right before the EV hype but sold them at $7.30. Due to speculations on EV hype tanking. NIO has been only buy and hold this year.

    After Months of research and opinions, and later i drove a Tesla this year for the first time. I purchased a Tesla Cybertruck $100 pre order. I think Electric vehicles are truly the future and ICE companies are long behind the trend. Even though these ICE conpanies are moving to EV. Many dont have the Tech and customer likeness that Tesla has. ICE companies will struggle getting their loyal customers to switch to EV vehicles. While Tesla never needed that switch. In fact Tesla is actually stealing ICE customers and has been for years.

    We can go ahead and assume Tesla owners are not going to go back to a ICE vehicle unless it was for financial situations and vehicle space.

    Ill be honest i, i wouldnt pay 45k for a small model 3 sedan when i could just buy a large crew cab luxury Ram for 40k. Which is why the Cybertruck at 49k is a very attractive buy, because thats only 5k more than a Model 3 and a way more practical vehicle in my eyes. I do actually haul and tow time to time with my parents business. But i am a salesperson at a large FCA daelership in my city.

    However, Tesla vehicles lose 10% value each year compared to 20% In ICE vehicles.

    Back to NIO

    1. They have 3 vehciles right now with a recent model thst was released mid of 2020. They will have another vehicle released January 6th 2021, on NIO day. Thats 2 new vehicles released in one year span. Bring it to a total of 4 vehicles. This is relatively easy for them because they dont actually own a single factory. They pay JAC motors to build them vehicles.

    2. They are backed by the government. The chieese government i vested $1.1 billion dollars into their company 2 months ago if they agreed to relocate their headquarters in Hefei, China. Its about 200 miles west of Shanghai, China.

    3. They are the only other EV with actually reasonable vehicles for consumers.

    4. The CEO and founder is "William Li". He is a billionaire who also co-founded a publically traded company named "BitAuto" (BITA) its an auto review company in China.

    5. They have over 100 stations in China that swap batteries for new fully charged ones in 5 mins.

    6. Their negative quarterly margin is shrinking very fast and if the rate continues, they will have positive profitable margins by next year.

    7. William Li said october 10th, Nio's vehicle production target is 150,000 total sales and he wants to double that to 300,000 by end of 2021.

    8. They have an auto driving feature called. NIO pilot.

    The in-house developed NIO Pilot, empowered by Mobileye EyeQ4, boasts over 20 driver assistance features and supports firmware-over-the-air updates. Always evolving, always up-to-date.

    1. They have NIO SERVICE, which are vans with batteries that can charge an EV on the go, if you run out of Electricity on the side of the road.

    2. They are limited to 5,000 vehicles per month by JAC motors. JAC MOTORS is the company that actually makes the NIO vehicles.

    3. The Nio Es6 is a high comparable vehicle to the Tesla Model X with simalir pricing.

    4. NIO's reported customer loyalty referral is 3 times higher than Tesla's in China.

    5. NIO BASS (battery as a Service) is a subscription-based battery service where you will be able upgrade copacity in the future. It includes the battery swaping stations they have placed around cities.

    So there is all the main info i found about this Car Company. I really think if it will thrive in the future, as long as they dont screw it up. Its risky of course. Just like Tesla.

    But the main reason i think we will see NIO reach Tesla in China is because the Chineesr culture is just like American culture. We love seeing made in USA products, just like they love seeing Made in China products.

    I think that people were forced to buy Tesla in China because the chineese people didnt have a choice. But now that NIO is starting to look like the next Battery started EV company, we can see them overcoming Tesla in China in the next 5 years.

    But i will also say that Tesla vehicles are more efficient in their vehciles in many ways, I still think NIO will thrive in China.

    FUTURE NEWS: NIo earnings is late October this month and people are expecting about 180% increase from last year quater 3. However, when NIO post the same earnings for quarter 2, they share price actuall dropped. But i think now that NIO got big publicity this past week, i think it will have the oppisite effect this late october and day traders will turn into long term investors when they realize this company is on par to be what Tesla was 5 years ago.

    I want to point out that NIO options interest are 85% call options, which means its opposite of Tesla's situation, and 85% of people are expecting the share price to gain. BUT, this isnt really a good thing as once the options expire, we might see a sell off dip. Then i think we will see a dip by and a slow sideways trade for 2 weeks till the next earnings report.

    I cant even imagine what i would have been buying today if i put 53k into NIO 4 months ago instead of $600 😃 😅

    I would be up 400% today and at a value of $200,000.

    So what do you guys think about this comapny? I want to hear opinions.

    submitted by /u/Puzzleheaded_Bill_10
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    Compass pathways looks good this week

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 09:13 AM PDT

    8 analysts initiated coverage last week with buy. Stock has been consolidating for the last 3 weeks and looks like it's ready to breakout to new highs. Float is only 13m and volume is currently thin.

    1) QTR research - $300

    2) Grizzle - $210

    3) Citron - $100

    4) Canaccord - $80

    5) Evercore SI - $65

    6) HC Wainwright - $65

    7) Berenberg - $50

    8) Cowen Buy rating but no target announced yet.

    submitted by /u/Khaledhajabual
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    What are you picks for the future of A.I, computers, technology?

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 01:37 PM PDT

    i am looking to get into NIVDA and AMD but wanted to hear what others are doing for stocks like this.

    If the future doesnt hold more upward trend in these stocks then we have bigger matters to worry about, which brought me to the conclusion to buy these stocks. And i support their business and follow them a lot.

    What do you guys have in mind?

    submitted by /u/Sergy3
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    Best ETF categories to invest in for the next month? Expecting lots of volatility and wondering how to approach investing with a one month horizon....

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 09:40 AM PDT

    I'm expecting a lot of volatility with potential contested election and uncertainty over stimulus and COVID vaccine + new wave. As such, would it be smart to be heavily weighted in international equities (less affected by US election than US equities)? What is everyone's outlook for tech, small cap, healthcare, precious metals?

    submitted by /u/Accomplished_Pause17
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    A Few Questions for a New Investor

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 11:02 AM PDT

    22M, this is my first year investing. I have 8 months of emergency expenses saved up.

    I've invested $6,000 this year on my ROTH IRA through Vanguard. I bought 100% 2060 Target Date.

    I'm ready to start buying index funds, ETFs, dividend stocks, and small amounts of individual stocks. I plan to buy and hold for retirement. I set a little bit of "throw-away money" for high-risk-high-reward stocks.

    Indexes/ETFs: I want to buy VTSAX, VFIAX, ARKK, RIETs, etc. Dividend: I am looking into dividend stocks like T, APPL, HM, etc. Individual stocks: I've been eyeing Tesla and NIO.

    • Do I use a taxable account or a zero-commission stock trading app?
    • How do I avoid paying a lot of taxes on my profit within 1 year (if I sell) and when I sell during retirement age?
    • What makes dollar-cost-average safe?
    • For my 401K, how should I invest it (put it into index funds?)?
    submitted by /u/SmallHuh
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    Shorting Hertz?

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 02:42 AM PDT

    Shares of Hertz Global Holdings (NYSE:HTZ), a vehicle rental company going through the bankruptcy process, soared over 128% Friday afternoon after news spread that the company secured $1.65 billion in funding.

    I mean does anyone have a valid reason to go long on this and not short it after a 128% up in one single day?

    submitted by /u/Gabriele25
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    Mutual fund vs REIT

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 10:42 AM PDT

    I currently have substantial amount in Vanguard mutual funds (500k) should I switch over to a REIT fund? I was thinking of leaving half in vanguard and transfer the other half to REIT funds so I can have some dividends for monthly expenses. Im also concerned about the election so want to diversify in case there is a crash.

    submitted by /u/archerbeach
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    WealthSimple me out

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 02:25 PM PDT

    So, I trade on Wealthsimple.

    Yesterday, I got logged out for no apparent reason. When I tried logging back in, it just didn't work.

    I put in the email, password, pressed login, AND NOTHING HAPPENS

    What the fuck, and what do I do

    inb4 contact support

    I already did guys, they haven't responded

    Has anyone went through the same thing at all and can offer tips?

    Also, STAY THE FUCK AWAY FROM WEALTH SIMPLE

    submitted by /u/CustomerMundane
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    Airline Companies

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 10:37 AM PDT

    What do you guys thing about airlines stocks? Since COVID-19 they're at a all time low but after a vaccine is released I estimate they'll make a huge profit from everyone flying again.

    Look at NQGSSA, crashed at March and stable at 60% pre COVID-19 values.

    submitted by /u/maxuel271
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    Chapter 11 Bankruptcy options

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 02:23 PM PDT

    OASIS petroleum filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy. For proxyvote I am asked for two things :

    1) CLASS 8 INTEREST - VOTE ON THE PLAN.

    2) OPT OUT OF THE THIRD-PARTY RELEASE.

    On SEC there are long PDF's for these, and I am a simple person who would like to get some understanding in simple terms as to what these options mean if I would not want to sell my position.

    Any ideas?

    submitted by /u/beginner87
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    question about margin

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 02:21 PM PDT

    just a really simple question currently I have 5k in my IB account, how much margin will i be approved for and how much will i be able to use before being liquidated? I simply want to purchase SPY and hold, can someone help with the math? thanks so much

    submitted by /u/AdministrativeSail51
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    Any thoughts on these oil/gas companies?

    Posted: 18 Oct 2020 10:31 AM PDT

    Particularly BP and exxon mobil. Seems like a good buying time since stock prices have plumeted due to covid.

    I understand long time oil/gas is a thing of the past and we're moving towards a green future.

    But in the short/medium term... the stock price should at least go back up to pre-covid as oil prices go back up.

    submitted by /u/Classic_Nail
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