• Breaking News

    Monday, October 5, 2020

    Stock Market - 'A devastating experience:' Temporary layoffs just became permanent for millions of American workers

    Stock Market - 'A devastating experience:' Temporary layoffs just became permanent for millions of American workers


    'A devastating experience:' Temporary layoffs just became permanent for millions of American workers

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 07:03 AM PDT

    https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/04/business/unemployed-workers-permanent-job-losses/index.html

    The number of unemployed who have lost a permanent job, or had a temporary job has come to an end, has soared in the past seven months, from 1.9 million in February, to 4.5 million in September.

    The number of unemployed who are out of work due to the end of temporary jobs has also been rising rapidly over the last seven months, increasing by nearly 100,000. Many of those workers were used to moving from one job to another and now haven't been able to find the next job as normal.

    Most of those who now permanently out of work have lost long-term jobs, many that they held for much of their career.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Here is a Market Recap for today Mon, Oct 5, 2020. Please enjoy!

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 01:33 PM PDT

    PsychoMarket Recap - Monday, October 5, 2020

    Stocks rose Monday, mostly recovering Friday's losses, as market participants continue to closely monitor developments around the health of President Trump and additional fiscal stimulus.

    Last Friday, Pres. Trump announced that he and the First Lady had contracted COVID-19 and that he was going to Walter Reed Military Medical Center to receive treatment. White House physician Dr. Sean Conley, said Sunday that the President was being treated with steroid dexamethasone (which is typically used in severe cases), remedesivir (broad-spectrum antiviral medication developed by Gilead (GILD)), and REGN-COV2 (which is used to alleviate symptoms and reduce viral load developed by Regeneron (REGN)). Since then developments around the President's health have been mostly positive. About an hour or two before market close, Pres. Trump tweeted that he planned to leave the hospital today at 6:30 p.m. ET.

    Market participants also continue to closely eye updates around the election in light of Pres. Trump's diagnosis and his inability to continue campaigning in the last few weeks before the election on Nov. 3. A new poll released Sunday by NBC News and the Wall Street Journal conducted after last week's presidential debate, but before news emerged that Trump had tested positive for Covid-19, found that former Vice President Joe Biden was leading Trump 53% to 39% nationally among registered voters in the survey.

    House Speaker Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin have committed to keep working together to try and come to an agreement regarding additional fiscal stimulus after last week's failed meeting. Today, Pelosi and Mnuchin met once again, for about an hour, but were again unable to come to a consensus. The pair expects to talk again Tuesday as the White House and Democratic leaders try to craft an elusive second pandemic relief package, Pelosi's spokesman Drew Hammill said in a tweet. While Mnuchin and Pelosi are pushing to come to an agreement, there are still a range of outstanding disagreements between Democrats, Republicans, and White House officials.

    Economists and FOMC officials are once again pushing for the passage of additional stimulus. With millions of Americans out of work and small businesses struggling to stay afloat, economists are worried that a lack of additional fiscal stimulus would completely stunt the already slowing US economy. Seema Shah, chief strategist at Principal Global Investors said, "Economic scarring is likely to become more apparent in Q4 as more companies finally start to throw in the towel, reporting closures and job cuts. Without additional aid [fiscal stimulus], the struggles will become more widespread and evident."

    Highlights

    • Shares in Cineworld Group, which owns Regal Entertainment Group, plummeted nearly 40% in London after the second-largest cinema chain in the U.S. said it was closing all of its locations nationwide, putting in risk an estimated 45,000 jobs, escalating the pandemic-driven crisis facing the entertainment industry and the labor market.
    • Nancy Pelosi issued a public statement to airline executives urging them to, "not fire people. You know relief is on the way."
    • Today, a special purpose acquisition company, or SPAC, RMG Acquisition announced plans to merge with Romeo Power Systems, a company that develops batteries for electric vehicles.
    • Exxon Mobil (XOM) announced it would cut 1,600 jobs in Europe.
    • Quanterix (QTRX) said on Monday it has struck a deal for Abbott (ABT) to access its portfolio of bead-based technology patents for use in in vitro diagnostic applications.
    • Qiagen (QGEN) announced a new COVID-19 testing kit that "simplifies and accelerates PCR analysis".
    • Tesla (TSLA) is the only automaker growing so far in this pandemic-stricken year in the notoriously hostile market of Germany, per electrek.com
    • Morgan Stanley (MS) upgraded Intuit (INTU) and Docusign (DOCU)
      • $INTU upgraded from Equal-weight to Overweight with a price target lifted from $315 to $400.
      • $DOCU upgraded to OVERWEIGHT, $260 price target
    • Hino Trucks and Toyota (TM) agreed to jointly develop a Class 8, heavy-duty fuel electric truck for North American Market
    • Slack (WORK) reported they are experiencing functionality issues with their platform today.
    • Draftkings (DKNG) announced a public offering of 32 million shares. The company will offer 16 million shares, with an additional 16 million shares being sold by DKNG stockholders, per Benzinga
    • Paris and its surrounding suburbs have been put on "maximum alert" Monday as coronavirus cases surge in the city.
    • Xpeng (XPEV) upgraded by Credit Suisse with a BUY rating and $21 price target.
    • J.P. Morgan also rates as BUY with a Price target of $27.
    • Regeneron (REGN) upgraded by Cantor Fitzgerald NEUTRAL to OVERWEIGHT at $690. Stock currently $603 after running today.
    • Mcdonalds (MCD) target raised by Bank of Amercia (BAC) Securities from $220 to $250 at BUY. Stock currently $226.
    • Aphria (APHA) had its target raised by Cantor Fitzgerald from $12.50 to $15.50 at OVERWEIGHT. Stock is $4.40
    • Alibaba (BABA) to acquire 9.99% stake in Dufry AG (Switzerland-based travel retailer)
    • Some Notable Gainers: GDRX up 9.3%, BNTX up 8.8%, ENPH up 8.1%, REGN up 7.7%, SEDG 7.5%, SQ up 6.7%, WIX up 5.3%, AMD up 5.2%, SNOW up 4.7%, SPOT up 4.7%, MRNA up 4.5%, MRVL up 4.4%, TSM up 4.4%, MYOK up 57.8%, VIT up 17%, EXPI up 16.4%, SPWR up 14.2%, PLUG up 11%, BIGC up 9.4%, FATE up 8.7%, EXPO up 8.5%, QDEL up 7.7%, KLMR up 34%, FLGT up 16.8%, APHA up 13.6%, HOME up 13.3%, AMRN up 12.8%, NAK up 12.4%, TLRY 11.6%, LOB up 10%, EPZM up 10%,

    "The most difficult roads lead to the most amazing places." - Unknown

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    To put everything in ETFs now or wait for a pullback?

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 06:02 PM PDT

    Hi r/StockMarket

    I'm a 27 y/o with a stable stream of income and I'm mostly just sitting on cash right now. Like many new investors here, I only started investing in the stock market earlier this year so whatever I have in my portfolio is everything that I'm willing to risk. My HYSA rate is so low that I might as well invest in the market it instead. I want to put a good portion of it into something safe so I figured I could put them into ETFs. Seems like I'm too late and missed the train as most have seen significant growth within this last year and have recovered from early this year. Should I just invest it now or wait for a pullback? I would leave the funds for at least 3 years, and longer if the gains continue to outperform interest rates.

    Looking to spread the investment as such:

    30% VOO

    30% QQQ

    20% VXUS

    10% ARKK

    5% IWF

    5% ICLN

    Any tips and guidance would be greatly appreciated. Thanks!

    submitted by /u/KSJmeister
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    ExxonMobil

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 12:42 PM PDT

    My dad bought each of my kids holdings in ExxonMobil and now one has about 525 shares and the other has about 475 shares. Exxon has taken a huge tumble in value since last Fall and I wasn't paying attention. Should I sell the holdings now and reinvest into something else for my kids? Or is there a possibility that Exxon could go up at least a little from where it is now? I appreciate any insights. Thanks!

    submitted by /u/mhgrr
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    I made a tool to gauge whether Reddit panics before the stock market, or if stock market panics before Reddit.

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 11:04 AM PDT

    Recently I saw someone sharing a massive amount of useful websites which was really useful. I made a tool which algorithmically summarizes all these websites so you dont actually have to read them;) It determines sentiment of headlines/tweets/reddit so you can check easily whether people are getting more optimistic or pessimistic. A new version attaches emotions (fear, optimism etc) to this news. Ive attached a screenshot showing sentiment over time vs sp500, where you clearly see a relation. Imo it shows some evidence that sentiment was deteriorating before the market tanked, and it started to get better before the market recovered.

    I update this dashboard everyday and attached a snapshot of the current results. Any feedback is always welcome.

    https://imgur.com/zOXg3eu

    Link to the actual interactive dashboard:

    http://www.alternative-analytics.eu/dashboard/sentiment.html

    submitted by /u/atc2017
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    Low cost clean energy ETF

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 07:55 PM PDT

    I am looking for a low cost clean energy ETF as I do not have much capital to invest. I see a lot of talk about ICLN but I am curious how it compares to PBD and which is a better pick. I've only been investing a short while and I am still trying to make sense of all the data when investing a fund.

    submitted by /u/Sundev1ls92
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    Watchlist: 10/5 The Market Doesn't Care

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 03:39 AM PDT

    Market Notes:

    The news cycle over the weekend was focused on the President and the fact that he is currently hospitalized. He doctors gave a few press conferences but seemed to provide more questions than answers.

    The market is unfazed after a slight sell-off on Friday. Futures are pointing towards a green open. The presidential election was already expected to be volatile, things may calm down while the President stays put in DC.

    The market may be pricing in a Biden victory. Lithium and EV charging stocks made gains on Friday. I've watching several today.

    Watchlist:

    BEEM is a low float, EV charging play, watching for a setup above $15

    WWR is a low float, lithium play, on watch

    GSUM is a low float, resistance at $1.88

    TCS is a low float, watching for a setup above $8

    CBAT is a low float, resistance at $3.50

    RMG is a lowish float, EV battery play, watching for a setup above $12

    IDT is a lowish float, watching for a setup above $10

    CTIC watching for a setup above $3.22

    LAC is a lithium play watching for a continuation

    PACB has resistance at $12

    submitted by /u/tradingforkeeps
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    Stock Market Can Handle the Political Chaos???

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 07:50 PM PDT

    When President Donald Trump tested positive for coronavirus, the news introduced a heap of uncertainty into the markets. This week, at least, stocks seemed to take the news in stride.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 508.85 points, or 1.9%, to 27,682.81 for the week, while the S&P 500 index gained 1.5% to 3348.44, ending four-week losing streaks. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.5%, to 11,075.02.

    The initial debates and positive tests frustrated the market, and the losses gradually disappeared. The market has other things to worry about. It is another economic stimulus plan, and the question of whether the Republican Party and the Democratic Party can reach an agreement has been repeated. The fact that both sides are talking is better than no dialogue. The market just hopes to provide impetus to the recovering economy, even though it still seems unable to reach a deal at the close on Friday. This is a problem that the market must deal with.

    The stock market needs a stimulus plan, but it is not necessary, but if a stimulus plan is implemented, it will speed up the pace of recovery and limit downside space.

    submitted by /u/Luck-Yin
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    Thoughts on what would happen to the stock price of FB if the government actually broke them up?

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 12:35 PM PDT

    The fb stocks hold all this value not only of the Facebook platform itself. It's because they own Instagram, WhatsApp, oculus,etc. If they did actually drop how much value and market could they possibly lose. Also, any chance oculus would be taken away from them ?

    submitted by /u/Alexbabylon
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    How to calculate target price from EBITDA?

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 02:07 PM PDT

    So a guy I was talking to said this,

    Broker forecasts will be for about £200m ebitda - too low by about 40 - so upgrades to come.

    Ah okay, so I got no clue how to work out what the target price is, and can't chat to the guy again for a bit. What does 'by 40' mean, he means £40 million?

    submitted by /u/HealedbyRain
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    U.S. stocks move | Tesla (TSLA.US) rose more than 2% before the market, domestic Model 3 fell to 249,900

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 01:53 AM PDT

    Zhitong Finance APP learned that before the US stock market on October 5 (Monday), as of 16:10, Tesla (TSLA.US) rose 2.63% to $426.

    It is reported that Tesla's domestic Model 3 standard battery life upgrade version will be sold for 249,900 yuan after subsidies, and the rear-drive long battery version will be sold for 309,000 yuan after subsidies.

    In addition, Tesla's Q3 global delivery volume of 139,300 vehicles was much higher than analyst expectations.

    submitted by /u/Xieqianqi
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    Thoughts, comments, trolling. ENPH goof

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 07:50 AM PDT

    I bought 100 shares of ENPH a while back and goofed when the market crashed in March and sold then bought back in then sold at a large loss comparably but still a profit. Well I fucked again and sold when trump went into the hospital looking for a drop. Now it's rising. I'm playing with house money at this point and had 40 shares. Trying to decide if I should hold out and look for a drop or get back in. My fear is a huge jump if the election goes left. Thoughts? Been trading a while but been getting in over my head buying selling as I'd still say I'm a weee bit inexperienced lol. Thanks for anything :)

    submitted by /u/Nikoli_90
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    Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) an epic fail?

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 11:19 AM PDT

    So got in at $10/share and the stock's done nothing but freefall since day 1. This may be early freaking out, or this may be what they call bag holding. What say you?

    submitted by /u/onemananswerfactory
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    Ranking Traders by profit

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 04:07 AM PDT

    If you are interested in displaying your trades for others to see and building a public track record. I made a platform. I made it so I can see what other people are trading and what they're track record is. Also to show what I'm trading. Join me if your interested. https://www.stocktraderrank.com

    submitted by /u/Scotty11p
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    How the stock market works

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 12:12 PM PDT

    I'm new and I wanna get into stocks can you guys I'm point form tell me every way the stock market would go up you don't have to explain it just gimme point form for example higher demand, more people buying the stock,

    submitted by /u/ricktoenail
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    French Fries are back on the menu!

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 07:53 AM PDT

    LambWeston is the play. They Report on Wednesday.

    LW Valuation: Was $95 in March. It's $68 now. 30% off ATH. I just don't see that much of a down-side risk. Lots of upside potential.

    People's habits: People are tired of eating Corn and back to their regular food habits. A lot of guys who are working from home aren't going to cook. They just stick some frozen fries in microwave or conventional oven and call it a meal. Lost your job? Feel insecure about your finances? Wanna save money? Doesn't get cheaper than french fries and salt.

    Potato Prices: Price of potato increased from $15 to $20 in the past four month. Why? Demand! Look at blue line on this graph: https://www.producebluebook.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/at-pot2.png

    Fear: Last earnings call for LW was scary. Are they gonna make it? Do they have access to credit? .... Guess what. This time around those fears are not gonna be around. This alone is weighing 10% on the price. Do you remember the stories of farmers giving away Idaho potato in March? I sure do.

    Fast food restaurants: Wendy's and McDonald's stock price has recovered to pre-covid level. That's good enough for me to think demand for fries in fast food restaurants is not an issue. Coca-cola's stock is about 10% off from all time high.

    Not on the Radar: For some reason this is not on wallstreet radar. There are no future contracts for potatoes on CME. Everyone is looking at tech, virus, orange man and yellow metal. This is the only time frozen potatoes have become hot.

    Positions:

    • LAMB WESTON HOLDINGS INC [1,200] $82,506.00
    • CALL LW 70.00 EXP 10-16-20 [100] $22,525.00

    Disclaimer: what you read above is not advice, offer to sell securities or research report. What you read was ramblings of a mad man in 7th floor of a psychiatric hospital.

    submitted by /u/_WinnerTakesAll_
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    Market Crash Predictions

    Posted: 05 Oct 2020 10:00 AM PDT

    Is it me or do we anticipate another market crash? I see how the dollar depreciated as soon as Trump announced his corona results. The market is quite speculative and correct me if I'm wrong, Is warren Buffett pulling out of the US and investing in Japan? High levels of uncertainty here.

    Please comment down any more speculative reasons you feel if a market crash is coming

    submitted by /u/FragrantTeeth
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    Help with JigSaw / No BS Trading

    Posted: 04 Oct 2020 10:46 PM PDT

    Help with JigSaw / No BS Trading

    Hello Community,

    Hope you are doing well and staying safe. Lately, I have been inclined towards DOM style of trading. What I see is that JigSaw is the best in class and No BS Trading course has really good content about it. I am looking to your input on the below queries:

    — Are the tools and courses provided by jigsaw enough to learn DOM based trading or should I sign up for No BS Trading?

    — Feedback on No BS Course?

    — Which broker should I use if I opt for Jig Saw. Currently I have account with Tastyworks and TD Ameritrade. Both do not support Jigsaw. I see that Tradeovate, NinjaTrader, AMP Futures and Optimusfutures being supported. Not sure which one to choose.

    Any input on any of the above will be very helpful and I would highly appreciate it. Thanks in advance.

    submitted by /u/StarBoyReddit
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