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    Sunday, September 27, 2020

    Stocks - Take advantage of the EV goldrush by completing the EV Trifecta

    Stocks - Take advantage of the EV goldrush by completing the EV Trifecta


    Take advantage of the EV goldrush by completing the EV Trifecta

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 07:50 AM PDT

    As you may already know, we are currently in the midst of an EV goldrush. Early adopters, investors, and gamblers will be rewarded for identifying these opportunities and capitalizing on them.

    One way to ensure that you gain enough exposure to capitalize on this this gold rush is by completing the EV Trifecta, which are:

    1. EV Manufacturers
    2. Raw materials for batteries
    3. EV charging stations

    I will go into a bit more detail on each component of the trifecta:

    1. EV Manufacturers - These are companies that develop and manufacturer EV for the public to newly purchase. There is a lot of EV manufacturers that are going public, some of them will be achieve market dominance, while others will dwindle away *cough* NKLA. These are some of the EV manufacturers that are available for the public to invest in: TSLA, NIO, XPEV, KNDI, LI, SHLL, PIC, HCA(C), SPA(Q). Currently, TSLA is the market leader in this industry and also have the first mover advantage, and this is clearly reflected in their stock price. All the other EV manufacturers are up and coming and will have lots of run room as EVs become more prevalent in our day to day lives.

    2. Raw materials for batteries - The logic here is that as demand for EV increase, so will the demand for the raw materials used to create the batteries for the EVs. Simple economics 101 states that as demand increase and supply decreases, price should increase accordingly. These are the current raw materials companies that have a spotlight on them: LA(C), VAL(E), PLL. PLL is the only raw materials company that have a public contract with TSLA and has been halted for weeks because of this news. PLL will definitely be a hot buy once it unhalts.

    3. EV charging stations - In order for EVs to be come more prominent in our day to day lives, there needs to be a proper infrastructure that will enable that. One of the biggest concerns in regards to EV is range anxiety - drivers don't want to be left stranded if they forget to charge their vehicles overnight at home. Having charging stations that are widely available will help combat this risk. The EV charging station market is relatively untapped, and this market will grow along side the EV market. The key players in the EV Charging station are SBE, BLNK, SPl. SPl had an insane run up last week when they announced their EV initiative, their share price increased over 3000% from $1.50 to over $40 (this was short lived though). BLNK is a mixed bag, there are some complaints in regards to the quality of their charging stations, but hopefully they'll improve over time. SBE is a SPA(C) merger to bring Chargepoint public. Similar to TSLA, Chargepoint is the market leader in the charging station space and also have the first mover advantage. Chargepoint currently has hundred of thousands of charging stations across North America (US and Canada) and is expanding into Europe. Their products can be purchased via their home website or Amazon and have great reviews online.

    By completing the EV Trifecta you'll ensure you have proper exposure to the EV goldrush. I'm sure I missed a few companies, so please feel free to mention them and add any additional details that I might have missed.

    submitted by /u/jalapenojacker
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    California Passes First-In-Nation Plastics Recycling Law

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 09:15 AM PDT

    Similar to the CA EV thread last week, the state announces another game changer. When will everyone else follow on this one?

    In a move aimed at reducing huge amounts of plastic litter in the ocean and on land, California Gov. Gavin Newsom has signed a first-in-the-nation law requiring plastic beverage containers to contain an increasing amount of recycled material.

    Under it, companies that produce everything from sports drinks to soda to bottled water must use 15% recycled plastic in their bottles by 2022, 25% recycled plastic by 2025, and 50% recycled plastic by 2030.

    submitted by /u/Sf766
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    What's your view on $FB?

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 08:36 AM PDT

    I honestly think they're a terrible company and they deserve to die. But $FB is probably an amazing stock and there is an incredible amount of money to be made.

    Now it's probably a great time to buy the dip as well. I see them dominating in the future, but I just can't bring myself to invest in them for now. What's your view?

    submitted by /u/Kayters
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    How will the US 2020 Presidential Election impact the S&P 500?

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 12:56 PM PDT

    Basically the title, but more specifically, how would either nominee winning effect the S&P 500 in the short term. I don't mean how would their policies create or fix long-lasting issues, I mean would a Trump win be a good sign for a bull run near the end of the year or vice versa? Obviously no one knows - crystal ball and all - but what do you think/or have read?

    submitted by /u/Introbyte
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    Upcoming 9/30 Nikola and GM Deal Deadline

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 06:05 AM PDT

    What do you feel are the most likely outcomes and perceptions of GM for their upcoming 9/30 deadline on the Nikola deal? Do you think it's more likely to happen or fall through? I realize that GM has very little financial risk involved in this deal, but they could take a hefty hit to their company reputation, and that may honestly be enough for them to cut their PR losses and call it quits. On the other hand, they pretty much got a free part ownership handout from Nikola, and there is high reward if somehow Nikola managed to pull out of this dumpster fire and show something of substance. As a Nikola puts holder (10/16 15p), I am heavily biased in thinking Nikola is garbage, and I look forward to the soon-to-be-announced Netflix documentary about their fraud. Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/N_D_MNY
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    High dividend stocks to hold long term (T, STWD, others?)

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 02:23 PM PDT

    AT&T sits at $28 and pays a 7% dividend, with 5G expanding and they also own HBO and Warner (HBO Max new streaming service is legit). Disclosure, I own a bunch of T currently.

    Starwood Property Trust (STWD) sits at $15.29 and pays a whopping 12.56% dividend. I'm thinking of buying of buying this but I don't know much else about them yet, but the dividend pay date is on Tuesday this week.

    Any others that you guys like? Stable companies that pay a nice dividend?

    submitted by /u/gobias
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    I have an opportunity to learn from a hedgefund manager every Friday for the next 3 months. What would be helpful to learn?

    Posted: 26 Sep 2020 01:56 PM PDT

    I have an opportunity to learn from a hedgefund manager every Friday for the next 3 months. What would be helpful to learn?

    I'm new to markets, but very open to a career in it, and curious about how to invest for wealth building in the future.

    Back story: I support a kid with autism as a part time job while I look for other work. His dad is a hedgefund manager and has agreed to teach me markets exchange for continuing to work with his son for a few more months. The agreement arose when I told him I'm looking to leave the job to potentially join a grad scheme. (me and his son also really get along, and i've played a role in helping his condition improve so far.)

    Any thoughts would be greatly appreciated, thanks.

    submitted by /u/bubblebubbler5797
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    Is growing Transactional income a potential cause of the next market crash?

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 11:56 AM PDT

    Growth of GDP is an accepted measure of economic health. I have observed in the past few years an acceleration of wealth grown via transaction fees. (What is the right term for the money made by intermediaries like brokers and credit transaction fees?) For example, when I make an equity trade, I make a profit without really contributing to the production of a good or service. On a bigger scale, global payment revenues for banks is growing faster than GDP. I am concerned that wealth is being created that does not stem from the production of goods and services that directly benefit people. This corrupts the usefulness of metrics that guide economic decisions and may increase the risk of soaring inflation or a market crash. When do we reach a tipping point?

    submitted by /u/bbreadthis
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    Question about online gambling industry ($GAN, $DKNG, $PENN)

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 09:46 AM PDT

    I've been looking into these three stocks recently and I've got a question that I can't find why :( it seems like draftkings and penn national have been going up while gan has been going down. I guess pandemic+various news got draftkings stock price up and potential to legalize the online gambling in more states has got penn national. i thought gan would get some attention and have potential since everything moves to online but stock price has been going downward.. could someone help me understand this?

    Thanks in advance!

    submitted by /u/_thursdaynight
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    Possible $BBBY Short Squeeze

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 09:42 AM PDT

    Cramer reported that there's a 60% short float for $BBBY on Mad Money. I'll be watching for a short squeeze opportunity after earnings this week. It's unlikely... but there could be some serious 💸💸💸 if there's a price hike. Good luck to all!

    submitted by /u/CaptainLegarsh
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    Demutualization of Prudential

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 12:10 PM PDT

    My grandparents had Prudential policy's during their demutualization. My grandfather passed away years ago, but my grandmother more recently passed away. The funeral home director suggested we should look to see if she had been granted stocks during this process, as they would be an asset in her name. We haven't been able to find any evidence other than a document transferring "41 shares" from my grandfather to my grandmother.

    We weren't sure how to go about seeing if she had any stocks in her name. What would be the process to figure this out and how would we go about transferring them or getting them sold and added to her estate. None of us are very versed in the stock market so we are going into this blind.

    submitted by /u/princessofpink20
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    Growth stock scorecard: CHGG

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 11:15 AM PDT

    I've tested out my growth stock scorecard that I outlined in my other thread on CHGG to see what it revealed. I don't own CHGG, but it's been on my watch list for a while. For those who don't know, CHGG is a company that started as a textbook rental service and has since expanded into tutoring and a range of e-learning services and tools. Here's my analysis:

    Scores:

    • 2 points for 3-year revenue growth over 25%
    • 1 point for expected revenue growth at similar pace
    • 1 point for increasing YoY quarterly revenue growth
    • 1 point for being a leader in the industry
    • 1 point for having a current ratio over 1.5
    • 1 point for having positive operational cash flow
    • 1 point each for growth in operating income and heading towards profitability
    • 1 point for tailwinds

    That's a total of 10 out of a possible 20 points, which isn't very good at all. Here are my concerns:

    • Although revenue jumped this year, I didn't give it a point for revenue growth acceleration because revenue is expected to drop back to the same pace as prior years (~25%). This suggests that the benefits of COVID on the company's growth are likely temporary to a large degree.
    • Their revenue is partly a recurring revenue model because customers pay a monthly subscription for access to all the e-learning resources and tools, but the book rental and tutoring services are separate sales.
    • Not much of a moat here in my opinion. Their e-learning tools and resources might be unique, but there is no moat associated with tutoring and book rental. I think this is a company that relies a lot on brand value; otherwise there are lots of other places students can buy/rent textbooks and find tutors.
    • The stock is currently overvalued, though not by a huge amount. The two-year P/S range is 10-12, and it is currently trading at 16.
    • As a general comment, one thing I don't like about the company as an investment is that the customer lifespan is limited to the time the customer is in school. This means that CHGG must constantly find new customers to replace the ones who graduate and no longer spend a cent on their products/services.
    submitted by /u/SirGasleak
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    How would you calculate short term debt if it's not present in the annual statement+footnotes

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 06:01 AM PDT

    Title pretty much says it all.

    https://lennoxinternational.gcs-web.com/static-files/b8f55683-471b-4ad3-a599-2f4710063d18

    *Total debt is present so you can just use that, but i wanna know which line items would count as short term debt.

    submitted by /u/StonksArthur
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    Ark and Chamath Palihapitiya Articles

    Posted: 26 Sep 2020 11:12 PM PDT

    Two articles I found interesting reading this weekend. Hopefully interest to others. Both speak of Tesla.

    Ark: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-26/secret-sauce-behind-ark-success-is-cathie-wood-s-diverse-team

    Chamath: https://www.benzinga.com/

    submitted by /u/MrDopple68
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    Rebalancing Individual Stock Portfolio

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 07:02 AM PDT

    24 and really (mosty) incharge of my own finances/investments.

    For the last 2 quarters or so, I have been rebalancing my portfolio in my taxable account.

    The problem is: I have been rebalancing based on my initial investment into each stock, not their current values.

    With stock prices fluctuating all the time, how do people keep up with rebalancing every quarter? Is there an app website that would help out with that kind of thing?

    submitted by /u/MajinJuuu
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    Please give your opinion on my (First version) DCF Analysis.

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 12:30 PM PDT

    COMPANY BEING USED: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/LII/chart?p=LII

    I got all the numbers from other sheets so I added the reference numbers underneath the DCF analysis. If you have any questions let me know!

    I've used a projected method for this one, which might be the reason for the low Intrinsic value. Instead of an analysis prediction method. I will add the analyst later on, those results might be more realistic. But for now I just wanna know if I'm doing the right thing.

    - I added a 1,5% Safety margin because I'd rather have a too low than a too high price.

    - Perpetual growth is 1% less than global economy.

    - Beta and RFR are from yahoo finance.

    - Expected Market Return is average S7P 500 return.

    What stands out the most is that the current stock price is $263 and my intrinsic value is $95. Lennox their financials haven't been to good for the past 3 years (Incl. TTM). But idk... seems a bit unrealistic, i'd need a second opinion on that.

    I really really need feedback on this because no one in my friendgroup knows about this stuff :)

    https://imgur.com/a/246SPdF

    submitted by /u/StonksArthur
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    FAS vs FAZ

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 11:07 AM PDT

    Many of the financials are posting earnings mid and late Oct. Ya'll leaning Bull or Bear? I have Truist, might add a few more before then. Any other individual winners you are banking on (pun intended).

    submitted by /u/beason7
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    How does an IPO work?

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 10:41 AM PDT

    I've got a few questions concerning an IPO of a company. (This is not especially about Hyl**on, it's about IPOs in general.)

    1. Where do you finde the exact date and time of an IPO? If we take Hyl**on as an example: everybody knows there is an IPO but nobody can tell me the exakt time.

    2. How to buy these stocks? Just after via your broker and after the IPO? Or is there a possibility to buy it before the IPO?

    3. What is the starting price? I know just after the IPO the market will regulate the price. But you have to start somewhere, right?

    I would really appreciate it if somebody could help me. (English isn't my first language. Please excuse if this text is hard to read.)

    submitted by /u/MedThor
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    Automatically link stock data into excel that is NOT part of native excel functionality?

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 10:13 AM PDT

    I am not sure this is the correct place to post this, if someone has a better idea I am all ears.

    No problem creating a excel/google file that automatically imports etf data. However, both excel and google have limitations on what they can give you. Specifically, I am trying to do some momentum based investing, and need to have 3/6/9/12 month data points of YTD returns. YTD return is not available in either excel nor google for ETFs (such as VEU, VTI, etc.

    I can goto yahoo finance at the end of each month and manually put this in, but computers were invented so you don't have to do this.

    I don't want to try to write a data scrapper in Python.

    Anyone know of a tool/addin or program already written or know of way to get this data. Most of the services to do this are charging $500/yr. It would be worth it if I was doing technical analysis on a daily basis, but this is just those 3 values 12x a year.

    Thanks.

    submitted by /u/dazedndconfused2020
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    Where to find loan covenant information?

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 10:08 AM PDT

    Howdy Everyone, I was trying to research $BJRI and found that they had recently amended a credit facility. They mentioned that the facility had covenants dictating their Fixed Charge Coverage Ratio and a Lease Adjusted Leverage Ratio, but I can't actually find these requirements listed in any of their SEC filings. Are public companies not required to disclose these material changes?

    submitted by /u/olympianofpi
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    AT&T 5G stock

    Posted: 27 Sep 2020 01:23 PM PDT

    ^ MEANT to say "Apple 5G stock"

    I'm a complete noob at stocks foremost. But I'm looking to get into it and maybe make some extra money in the long run. Anyway, I've looked into Apple and how they will be rolling out 5G super cycle "soon". Would it be a wise choice to invest 2-5 stocks in Apple with it only being around 100$ right now?

    submitted by /u/PinkManApple
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