Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing |
- Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.
- What would happen to major tech stocks (such as Apple, Amazon, Facebook, etc) if the companies get broken up?
- Tesla has just issued a $5bn capital raise
- Is it a crazy idea to invest in Real Estate Index Funds now?
- Apple's Market Cap reaches 2.3 Trillion - twice what was in April 2020 (1.1).. - Too big to fail? Too much faith?
- Why Wells Fargo and HSBC stocks are now even more down than during March 2020 fall?
- Dating app Bumble preparing for an IPO above $6 Billion
- Analyzing US Stock Market vs. International Market - Long Time Frame
- CMV: "Fundamentals" and P/E ratio do not and have never mattered
- Planning for a crash/correction scenario
- Can I loss money selling covered calls?
- Thoughts on $MGM?
- The bubble conversation.
- Hedge Fund Presentation
- Hi does anyone have any suggestions for good investment books to read? Just getting started. :)
- Can we have a more nuanced discussion about levered ETFs
- I know noone holds CFDs for long term but why exactly?
- $WMT - analysts react to launch of Walmart+ on Sep 15
- Any way to get early exposure to LTSE (Long-Term Stock Exchange)?
- Compression and Depression
- Would you want to short the market in the near future?
- Long Term Views on Exxon Mobil?
- How has Dave Ramsey arrived at this figure of $8 million for retirement?
- Hedging Currency Risk
Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Posted: 01 Sep 2020 05:13 AM PDT If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:
Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions! [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 01 Sep 2020 09:33 PM PDT There has been a lot of talk of antitrust recently (which I believe and support). So what would happen if the companies get broken up? I've never seen a major company get broken up. For example, if Facebook has to make instagram a separate company (based on law), would Instagram have its own stock? Would my current Facebook share be reduced and I would gain an Instagram share? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tesla has just issued a $5bn capital raise Posted: 01 Sep 2020 05:07 AM PDT https://sec.report/Document/0001193125-20-236699/
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Is it a crazy idea to invest in Real Estate Index Funds now? Posted: 01 Sep 2020 06:05 PM PDT I keep a tiny portion (5%) of my portfolio in a Real Estate Index Fund. Obviously, with all that's going on in the world, my RE fund is down a significant amount. Logically I'm thinking I should buy more. But I don't want to 'overbuy'. I prefer to keep the amount to 5%, but is it silly to put some money into a Real Estate Index Fund right now? I'm not trying to time the market or anything, but I guess I'm not sure if I should temporarily increase my holdings based on the fact that I'd be 'buying at a discount'. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 01 Sep 2020 11:38 AM PDT I briefly talked yesterday about Tesla's market cap and how it was absurdly priced and honestly felt like gambling to me. However, APPL is somewhat overlooked as well and I wanted to hear your guys' thoughts on it! Apple's Market Cap as of right now is 2.3 Trillion (Source). On August 20, it was 2 Trillion. It has added 300 billion in about 10 days - without having added any products what soever (primarily due to the stock split). In April of this year, it was 1.1 Trillion or so. It has since doubled since that time, so much so that it is the size of the GDP of France (https://www.statista.com/statistics/685925/gdp-of-european-countries/) Now, I am all for Apple devices and services. They make some of the best products ever. They have crazy high margins and once a consumer buys an Apple device, he has to buy other ones due to the seamless integration it provides (biggest selling point). It is now getting in more markets such as India with its' new iPhone SE 2, but I am somewhat skeptical on its' valuation. I feel like people are buying AAPL due to its security - it has always gone up, so it will always go up - and therefore, it's safe to park their money there. Some are even likening it to Treasury Bonds - that it's better to put your money in AAPL stock because it's safe and because it's so big, it won't fail. I wanted to know if AAPL is overvalued/overpriced or not? I know the first 5G iPhone is coming out and it will have an impact but still, are people putting too much blind trust/faith in AAPL? Thoughts? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Why Wells Fargo and HSBC stocks are now even more down than during March 2020 fall? Posted: 01 Sep 2020 06:42 PM PDT Hi everyone. Stocks of all major US banks fell in March 2020, but most of them significantly regained their losses. From major US banks only Wells Fargo and HSBC stocks are still about 2 times cheeper compared with their February 2020 maximum and are even more down compared with March fall. What do you think, is it now a good time to purchase WFC and HSBC stocks or they can fail like some giant banks in 2008? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Dating app Bumble preparing for an IPO above $6 Billion Posted: 02 Sep 2020 01:30 AM PDT The popular dating app Bumble is preparing for an initial public offering, could seek a valuation of $6 billion to $8 billion, according to people familiar with the matter, Bloomberg reported. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Analyzing US Stock Market vs. International Market - Long Time Frame Posted: 01 Sep 2020 05:26 PM PDT The recommendation is to have a strong mix of US stock and international stock in your overall portfolio. The percentages can differ, but it is a fairly common to have both. Some argue that having a pure US stock index is already pretty diversified because many companies within an index such as the S&P are international companies and in-directly related. I want to draw the comparison visually, but having a tough time picking funds that can illustrate that point. Does anyone know of a resource that compares these two concepts in detail? Or, 2 funds that have an inception date far in the past and both international and US funds are similar dates? I am interested to see the correlation because sometimes one might be up, the other down, etc. But I am guessing they follow a pretty close correlation.. neither will be drastically down and the other drastically up. Rather, they follow the same trend (as we would except with world globalization). [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CMV: "Fundamentals" and P/E ratio do not and have never mattered Posted: 01 Sep 2020 10:41 PM PDT Change my view: Folks always be saying that certain stocks are too expensive and will inevitably fall back down to lower prices as defined by their fundamentals. Their P/E is too high. It costs this much investment to get a dollar of revenue back. Or that the market cap is too high. These other companies have multiple times the revenue and assets with a much smaller market cap or lower stock price than company ABC, so it makes no sense to buy ABC. If we purely go by fundamentals and P/E, then every stock will have a mathematically calculated price based on all of these numbers and comparisons with other available stocks. But that's how how stocks are priced. I do not invest 1000 in ABC stock because I expect this much revenue from my shares, or that much in value from their assets. I buy my ABC stock because I'm speculating that the demand for the stock continues to go up and someone else will want to buy my shares for a higher price in the future. Regardless of "fundamentals". For the past 15 years I've chosen investments purely based on speculation of future demand and have never glanced at a balance sheet or looked at any numbers. My long term holdings have grown anywhere from 300-1100%. I have invested through the Great Recession, the 2018 mini recession, and the Covid dip and have always come out fine on the other side by buying stocks that I believe are popular and sexy and stay in demand by their brand and utility to society. Open to having my mind changed that this is not a viable or smart investment strategy. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Planning for a crash/correction scenario Posted: 01 Sep 2020 01:55 PM PDT Many people are making the case for a significant correction in markets right now. Specifically, people point to the over extension of tech. This is impacting the way people are looking at the bigger market and considering that the FAANGs have become such a massive part of the indexs, if they pull back, they entire market will likely sell off and take a large dip. I am very reluctant to pull out of the market completely due to what many (including myself) see as a risk on scenario. What are some effective ways to plan to minimize damage? If you roll into other sectors of the market, they are just as likely to take a hit. I don't see it as effective to just pull out completely for a correction where you may miss just as much grow as a pull back brings. Is a stop-loss the mist effective strategy? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Can I loss money selling covered calls? Posted: 02 Sep 2020 12:43 AM PDT Theoretically let's say I was going to buy 100 shares of a company I would have bought regardless since I believe in the companies potential, is there any way I would loss on selling the covered call aside from the two options listed below?
So putting these 2 risks of loss aside is there any other way I could make a loss selling a covered call? I understand it may be better to buy and hold the 100 shares if its a company I believe in but I wanted to find a very low risk method and with the cost of certain bids on blue chip stock it really seems like I could get a guaranteed 10-15% return monthly on certain stocks, assuming I would be willing to weather through and hold these 100 shares if the price were to drop anyways. Am I wrong in thinking so? Is there any other loss I could incur aside from the two scenarios of losing out on potential gain and share price drop on the 100 shares? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 01 Sep 2020 09:45 AM PDT I bought into $MGM a few weeks ago after I heard about the $1bn investment from $IAC. The reasoning is that MGM has big plans to digitize and invest bigtime in online gambling. It's a long play though, might take a couple of years to launch in any significant way. They just laid off 10,000 employees from their resorts but the stock is still up. I tend to love IAC and their investments in general, and $IAC stock has done quite well for me the last couple of years. Does anyone else have any pros/cons for $MGM? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 01 Sep 2020 07:17 PM PDT So I'm not blind to the conversation of a pending market crash. My only long is TSLA where my avg is now $200 after picking up a few share post split. My portfolio lives and dies by the hand of Tesla but in any case I have been doing well maintaining liquidity and taking small wins on small positions daily bringing $50-150 on each short. Ive been doing my best to avoid getting too attached to anything even if I sell for profit and it continues up. I do not chase unless it is early in a rally. My goal is to consolidate as much capital and splurge on blue chips in the event of a crash. Rather then take calls or hedge with GOLD. I'm rather new to investing like many others and I've poured a lot of my earnings into the market the past few months so for me a 40% drop on long holds would hurt me. My outlook is if professional investors are screaming crash I would rather bet on their anxiety being real rather then manipulation. My ROI this year is 62% while a lot of this accounts for the gains via TSLA I've made about $1500 via a short strategy. While I understand that I'm leaving a lot on the table I'm viewing this as a scalper taking a lot of small victories across a consistent period of time. While a conservative approach may be less lucrative if the endless rally somehow continues I'm looking for a bit of affirmation or someone to play devils advocate. I'm still relatively new. I am consuming all the information I can to learn but I'm not blind to the atmosphere of the market we are in. Everyone and their mother is trading, the fed keeps buying something has to give right? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 01 Sep 2020 11:47 PM PDT Nice collection of presentations over the last few years by various hedge funds for investments in companies across numerous industries. If you're just starting out with your own investments or are interested in how the Buy-side views companies that they believe have the best risk/reward for stock position purchases you may enjoy this. https://www.10xebitda.com/hedge-fund-presentations/ If anyone has experience using the 10xEbitda site I would love to hear what you think of their offerings. Seems to be a nice resource if you're just starting out or already have a decent amount of investing knowledge. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hi does anyone have any suggestions for good investment books to read? Just getting started. :) Posted: 01 Sep 2020 11:24 PM PDT Hi does anyone have any suggestions for good investment books to read? Just getting started. :) Been looking for a while and haven't found one but am very interested in starting up. Just trying to reach the character limit now as this is a short question but any advice would be very helpful. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Can we have a more nuanced discussion about levered ETFs Posted: 01 Sep 2020 07:36 AM PDT The prevailing attitude around here seems to be that levered ETFs should be avoided like the plague. It usually goes something like HUR DUR volatility drag bad make money go away. You can see the effects quite clearly in the table below: S&P 500 vs. Daily Leveraged S&P 500 (August 8, 2011 – August 15, 2011)
It's clear that in markets that trend sideways with lots of volatility the end result is a net negative for levered ETFs. It's usually argued that overtime this decay will gradually erode the value of the investment. However, back testing a levered version of the S&P500 seems to show otherwise (assuming a 1% expense ratio): Unleveraged Buy and Hold versus Leveraged Buy and Hold (October 1928 – October 2015)
The study that I'm sourcing here goes on the discuss relocating the investment elsewhere (treasuries or cash) in times where the underlying index is below the 200-day moving average (indicating higher than normal periods of volatility). By doing so they were able to reduce volatility and improve return. Unleveraged Buy and Hold versus Leveraged Rotation Strategies (Oct 1928 – Oct 2015)
I would highly recommend giving the study a read, it's pretty interesting. I would love to hear what you guys think. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
I know noone holds CFDs for long term but why exactly? Posted: 01 Sep 2020 08:51 PM PDT I am holding AAPL, AMD, INTC and TSLA for a while now (months that is) and the profit has been extremely high, so high even that a major fall back at each position, would still result in a profitable position. What are the downsides of this tactic other than the high risk factor in trading on margin, when one has enough funds to back the positions (in order to prevent a forced-close) and when the open positions have been gone far up from when the trader bought them? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
$WMT - analysts react to launch of Walmart+ on Sep 15 Posted: 01 Sep 2020 12:06 PM PDT Credit Suisse: "The news should be positive for the longer-term story, given the initial interest in the service that we highlighted in our survey in July, the opportunity to deepen customer relationships and gain better data, and the potential for further re-valuation of this company over time. That said, we think that there is little incremental today vs. what the stock has been embedding after the initial run up in July, and the near-term direction of the stock will depend on comps and relative traffic trends due to the impact from unique COVID-related factors as detailed a couple weeks ago." "Ultimately, the main value in the offering seems to be the speed of home delivery... Missing from this program is free shipping (next day/two day) with no threshold on the broader and growing online assortment, a key value of Prime and a feature that ranked high in our survey (number two, right behind free same day grocery)." "In that context, one key factor will be breadth of general merchandise SKU's available for this same day option, to make it competitive vs. Prime." "Initial interest in our July survey showed 61% of respondents said "yes" or "maybe" to subscribing to Walmart+, and 70% within the 18-44 age cohort." Jefferies: "We remain pos. on WMT's now official Walmart+ subscription offering as it helps tie together WMT's omni-channel efforts and is progress towards a legit ecosystem (TikTok would help) w/ a strong physical footprint that is increasingly competitive vs. AMZN. Today's announcement is largely in line with expectations, but we expect add'l benefits to come in the next few qtrs. N-T EBIT could take a hit on investment, but we see considerable L-T val. expansion oppty." "We believe this is the right time for WMT to capitalize on accel'd ecomm demand by leveraging its incumbency in grocery and superior omnichannel capabilities to make progress towards establishing a legit ecosystem that a potential TikTok deal could make whole." "We view WMT's 4,700+ store network as a potential advantage over AMZN from a distribution perspective, esp. if WMT can leverage its footprint as 3P Marketplace vendors come onto the platform. While all of this may come at a cost to N/I-T earnings, we see this as the correct move if WMT is to create a true ecosystem that's able to compete w/ AMZN over the L-T, esp. as the online giant continues to push more and more into the physical world." [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Any way to get early exposure to LTSE (Long-Term Stock Exchange)? Posted: 02 Sep 2020 12:33 AM PDT Sorry for newbie questions! What would be the best / easiest way to get exposure to the new Long-Term Stock Exchange? Ideally, via some index tracking ETF. PS I am not even sure the thing is fully live yet? In any case, would be interested in "queuing in" for the early listings. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 02 Sep 2020 04:18 AM PDT I was saving 90% of my check to invest for almost 2 years straight. I just came off the road from doing OTR (over the road) trucking (53' trailers semi) and i was making over 1k a week. Now I'm in a small town have a baby on the way have two teens to take care of and my lifestyle inflated 120%, naturally I'd like to live under my means. That's currently impossible, and ive already retracted all my spending possible with our jeopardizing my kids future. So this is simply a post to state and ask how do you deal with this sort of compression without ending up depressed. I whole heartedly want to just say fuck it and dump money into this downed economy and spring forward like I'm shot out of a cannon. Not to mention my towns jobs suck and I just found a 11hrly. Talk about pay deduction. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Would you want to short the market in the near future? Posted: 02 Sep 2020 03:42 AM PDT The Market is lacking in red days and it's rallying up without any factual concerns. I recently read a article by Saurabh Mukherjae (An Indian investor), stating that it's correct and good that the market and the economy are divorced. The stock market moves and predicts the next 5-10 years of economy. It's not truly reacting to the current facts because it's not a concern for no st of the investors as they are trying to look at a bigger picture which is the decade growth. All this does makes sense because soon enough we might see a growth in hotel, transportation, finance and oil industry. Only thing is that there might be a correction waiting for us to short. Maybe this might be a tech related correlation? My eyes is on SQQQ. Any thoughts of best stocks to short. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Long Term Views on Exxon Mobil? Posted: 01 Sep 2020 11:49 AM PDT Just wanted to hear what people have to say regarding Exxon. Recently they are being punished after being removed from Dow. To me it seems like post covid when everything's back to normal (demand for fuel rises) the stock is gonna soar. Am I missing something? Disclosure : I've invested in Exxon [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
How has Dave Ramsey arrived at this figure of $8 million for retirement? Posted: 02 Sep 2020 03:24 AM PDT I was watching a very recent Dave Ramsey video on YouTube where the question was 'how do I know when I have enough money to retire'? Dave said that if he used the average salary in the US of $60,000 and that 15% of that ($9,000) was saved from age 30 to 70 (40 years), that you would end up with about $8 million. Can anyone help me figure out how he has arrived at the figure of $8 million? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 02 Sep 2020 01:44 AM PDT I'm from Australia and want to start investing in US equities. I'm concerned about the AUD strengthening against the USD which would hurt my returns. I'm thinking of using warrants to hedge, but is there a rule where you hedge using X% of the international investment. I can't seem to find anything on this. Cheers [link] [comments] |
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