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    Monday, August 24, 2020

    Stock Market - There are so many people who are speculating a stock market crash in the near future. What are the chances?

    Stock Market - There are so many people who are speculating a stock market crash in the near future. What are the chances?


    There are so many people who are speculating a stock market crash in the near future. What are the chances?

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 09:30 AM PDT

    Many people think and believe that the US Government is minting a lot of notes and that's going to cause a massive stock market crash in coming 2-3 months (or maybe sooner). What do you guys think?

    submitted by /u/mkhanmushahid
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    We made an automatic stock screener and portfolio tracker to help making decisions

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 05:59 PM PDT

    ByteDance investors reportedly seek to use stakes to finance TikTok bid

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 05:09 AM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/24/bytedance-investors-seek-to-use-stakes-to-finance-tiktok-bid-sources.html

    Some ByteDance investors, including investment firm General Atlantic, are vying to own large stakes in the TikTok assets for sale, the sources said. Under their restructuring plan, Microsoft or Oracle could receive a minority stake in the assets, the sources added.

    The TikTok assets for sale could be worth between $25 billion and $30 billion, the sources said. To help fund their bid, the ByteDance investors are discussing exchanging some or all of their stakes in the Chinese company with equity in the TikTok assets, according to the sources.

    Microsoft remains the lead bidder for the TikTok assets because of its deep pockets and technical capacity to design new algorithms for TikTok that will be separate from ByteDance and its Chinese short video app Douyin, according to the sources.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Time to pull out of stock market?

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 11:09 AM PDT

    So basically I bought some stocks, mostly Apple, in early 2020 (early february to early march) and they have appreciated around $17000. My dilemma is that I do not know if I should cash them out now and take the ordinary tax rate on the gains for 2020 or if I should wait until the 12 month mark and take the long term capital gains tax rate. It sounds somewhat scary to me given how high the stock market has been going up. The situation is further complicated by the fact that I start working my first full time job out of college starting in January 2020, so my income next year will be substantially higher than this year. It is worth noting however that I do not need the money now, I have more saved that would more than easily cover my ass for a year. Its more so about the market crashing and minimizing my tax obligation. I am also open to leaving the money in the market for years to come, I just like the idea of liquidating my stocks so I can buy again after a small crash. I am sorry if this is the wrong thread, I know this question is both tax and stock related, I am just kinda new to reddit.

    This years income:

    -unemployment, tax already taken out: $6000

    -regular employment, tax already taken out: $3000

    -self-employment: $6000

    Next years income:

    -around $70000

    submitted by /u/eliherr
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    Attention

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 05:10 AM PDT

    I have been contacted by various scams or con artist, that tell you if you sign up on their page you'll make 1000$ in a week with an initial investment of 500$. The numbers may vary, still don't do it and please report them for the sake of others. Thanks y'all

    submitted by /u/Best-Horndog
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    New Convalescent Plasma Treatment approved for emergency COVID-19 treatment.

    Posted: 23 Aug 2020 10:13 PM PDT

    FDA approval: https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.cnn.com/cnn/2020/08/23/health/covid-19-convalescent-plasma-eua-white-house/index.html

    DOD Awards $750,000 to Plasma Technologies, LLC for Manufacturing of Convalescent Plasma Products Using a Novel Process in Support of the U.S. COVID-19 Response

    Source: https://www.defense.gov/Newsroom/Releases/Release/Article/2314525/dod-awards-750000-to-plasma-technologies-llc-for-manufacturing-of-convalescent/

    Does anybody know if they have a parent company listed on the market? It appears they may be the primary manufacturer for the product

    Edit: Some of the companies involved with the development are *ADMA Biologics *CSL Limited *Takeda Pharmaceuticals

    Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/covid-19-plasma-treatment-takeda-alliance-development-timeline-2020-6

    Edit: ADMA UP 75% during after hours

    submitted by /u/Careychris
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    $WMT WalMart Plus customer rep

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 04:53 PM PDT

    On another discussion board a guy asked a Walmart Customer Service Rep, 'when will Walmart+ be available.' The customer rep said they don't have a date yet, but in about a month. Wonder if an announcement of Walmart+ will be enough of a catalyst for the stock to rise? I posted a screenshot to wsb

    submitted by /u/unimpressed_observer
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    Here is a Market Recap for Today, Monday, Aug 24. Please give it a read!

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 02:15 PM PDT

    PsychoMarket Recap - Monday, August 24

    Stocks rose Monday, with the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ hitting fresh new highs, adding to last week's rally. The S&P closed 1.01% higher and the NASDAQ 0.6%. The Dow also rose, ending the day 1.39% up. Investors reacted positively to developments over a Covid-19 treatment and signs that a vaccine may be authorized in the near-term.

    Travel, airlines, hotels, and other "reopening" stocks rallied, pushing the Dow higher. American Airlines ($AAL) was up 10.5%, Carnival Cruise ($CCL) was up 10.17%, and Wynn Resorts ($WYNN) was up 4.83%. Industry peers also saw similar increases in stock price today.

    On Sunday, the FDA said it issued an emergency use authorization for investigational convalescent plasma to treat Covid-19 in hospitalized patients. While the treatment has not yet undergone full clinical trials, the FDA said that it deemed that the data so far suggest "product may be effective in treating Covid-19 and that the known and potential benefits of the product outweigh the known and potential risks." President Donald Trump, speaking in a press conference, called the approval a "very historic breakthrough," and said the treatment reduced mortality by 35%, based on a study of patients by the Mayo Clinic.

    The Trump administration is reportedly considering fast-tracking a coronavirus vaccine being developed in the UK, according to a Financial Times report. One of the options reportedly being considered is AstraZeneca's ($AZN) vaccine candidate. However, a spokesperson for the US Health and Human Services called the report 'absolutely false'.

    Highlights

    • Apple ($AAPL) continued their rally, finishing the day 1.2% up. With this latest rally, Apple has consolidated its position as the most valuable company in history, with a Market Cap of 2.15 trillion.
    • Precious metals and Miners underperformed the market today. $GDX was down 0.34%, Gold was down 0.5% and Silver was down 0.52%.
    • TikTok sued the US government over Trump's ordered ban. After strong speculation that TikTok was going to be bought out by a US company, speculation has decreased as ByteDance is fighting the order.
    • Banks outperformed the broader market. Wells Fargo ($WFC) was up 3.6%, JP Morgan ($JPM) was up 2.82% and Bank of America was up 2.84%

    Notable Earnings, Tuesday, August 25: Autodesk, Inc. ($ADSK), Autohome Inc ($ATHM), Bank of Montreal ($BMO), Bank of Nova Scotia ($BNS), Best Buy Co Inc ($BBY), Heico Corp ($HEI), Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co ($HPE), Hormel Foods Corp ($HRL), Intuit Inc. ($INTU), J M Smucker Co ($SJM), Medtronic PLC ($MDT), salesforce.com, inc. ($CRM), Veeva Systems Inc ($VEEV)

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    What should I expect from an advisor?

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 02:33 PM PDT

    Hi, folks. Been reading this sub casually for a few weeks. Appreciate all the advice, insight, and opinions I've gleaned here. I'm new to investing. Been in the game for three years. Mostly long-term, pooled investments through an advisor, and some independent stock purchases via Schwaab recently.

    What should I be expecting from my advisor? I kinda feel like he should be coming to me with a fluid plan to maximize my investment. But instead it's more like I have to bother him when I have an idea. So far it's been a "set it and forget it" strategy. I came to him three years ago bc he knew my father and works with my sister. I brought him around 50K and he dumped it in a set of fairly conservative mutual funds. Hasn't moved since then.

    I haven't heard from the guy in over a year. I spoke to him briefly in early March right before the crash, asking him if I should pull some money out, but was advised against it. Tbh, I'm fairly pissed off at the guy bc I've had money in cash and he hasn't contacted me with any ideas about capitalizing on the dip that many folks are profiting on right now.

    About me: I'm 44 yo, single with no kids, and don't make a ton of money. I'm able to save and invest about 10 to 15K every year.

    Am I being unfair? Is it my responsibility to call this guy periodically? The way I see it is he's taking a percentage of my assets every year. He's the professional. He should be contacting me when he sees a good opportunity.

    I understand a little more about investing now and I'm thinking to dump the guy. What are your thoughts?

    submitted by /u/Killingstar
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    How do you identify all day fades BEFORE they happen (LMNL example today)

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 11:19 AM PDT

    Buying Apple?

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 07:17 PM PDT

    19 year old investor here with a portfolio comprised of banks and energy. I'm looking to add tech and nothing seems more appealing than Apple. Even at the 500+ mark, is Apple a good buy? Not sure if I should buy pre or post split.

    submitted by /u/buzzout23
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    Question on commercial real estate stocks

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 03:54 AM PDT

    Recently I've read many positive reviews on why to invest into commercial real estate, since it might go up again sometime soon. Would you recommend it and if so which names come up to mind? HHC? BPY? MTN?

    submitted by /u/Best-Horndog
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    How to diversify my small China-focussed portfolio?

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 06:15 PM PDT

    Hey! So I just graduated college with a degree in political science and all throughout that time I studied the Chinese tech market; it's regulations, state controls, etc, I even keep up with the market via podcasts and a WeChat group. This all to the detriment of most US stock knowledge outside of the kind of meme-y "TSLA TO THE MOON" shit you see on WSB.

    As it stands I've got a little less than 1K tied up in the stock market- most of it in BABA, Iqiyi, DouYu, BiliBili, Huya, and am considering buying into the EV firm Li Auto. The political implications of the US delisting every Chinese stock is not an unknown to me so I'd like to find ways I can invest and diversify my portfolio to obtain similar returns, if not just use US or other third country stocks as a hedge in this sad state of affairs we seem to be in.

    Two ideas I've had: Nokia/Ericcson, or REITs

    submitted by /u/Internsh1p
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    Tesla Stock Friday

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 06:04 PM PDT

    For context, i have no background in investing and I'm 18 so have really no experience other than investing in a few stocks for now.

    Would it be a good idea to buy tesla stock at the current price in hopes it goes up, and try to time it before it drops back down and sell it assuming it will. Or do you think that it will not go over the current price?

    submitted by /u/Op10312544
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    Stock options questions!!

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 06:01 PM PDT

    Hey guys I'm relatively new to buying and selling stocks so plz bare with me. I had a question regarding stock options, I'm looking to call an option on a stock that's currently has a $214 share price. If I'm making a $220 call and buying it at $1.83 price point can I sell the call and take my profits as soon as it hits $220?

    submitted by /u/sizZlerbitches
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    Indicator SPX?

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 05:57 PM PDT

    Hi, Ive been trading spx vertical spreads for about a month. I always go very conservative on my strikes. I use bollinger bands, macd, and vwap. Does anyone have suggestions on an indicator to help me find what is a "solid" support price point for the span of the previous 2 weeks? I hope this makes sense. Thank you!

    submitted by /u/arrowhood41
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    Oneok

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 06:39 AM PDT

    Why aren't more people talking about oke? It's such a great company with strong leadership and a subscription based service in energy. Trading at 80 dollars earlier this year then going on sale with the covid crash. Paying a huge dividend that they've been able to sustain. I don't see what's not to like about it and I've been buying it every paycheck since March. There's a lot of resistance at 30 but I fully believe it will break thru and that it's currently undervalued and once the oil sector recovers more it will bounce back, even the oracle of Omaha was holding it. What is y'alls opinion on oneok?

    submitted by /u/Adventurous-Walrus-7
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    IPO announcements and where to find dates for their listings.

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 05:52 PM PDT

    I see snowflake is about ready to go public as well as air bnb soon. I was wondering where on the internet in would find the dates for when companies are actually going to hit market.

    submitted by /u/codysox16
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    My 2030 Predictions for Tesla and why it’s still early innings

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 02:54 PM PDT

    First of all here is my prediction for your reference

    Let's start with vehicles:

    Tesla is at the forefront of the technological and EV revolution. They have first mover advantage and a large arsenal of capital behind them to dominate the EV field. At the moment Tesla has 7 billion in cash and 14 billion in long term obligations. This may seem like a problem, however with the current share price Tesla can dilute even just 1% of shareholders and be in a much better financial position. Additionally, Elon Musk is close to the third tranche of his performance bonus. Once that comes into play, he will have the option to purchase 1.69 million shares at a price of $350 each. This will further add $600 million to Tesla's balance sheet. Tesla is in a unique position to release a new line of vehicles that will sell well in certain markets. For example, the Cyber Truck in America. It can create a cheaper compact model for Europe. It's China presence is growing tremendously and Tesla has the backing of the CCP. As you can see Tesla is in a presiding position to be the market leader in the EV space.

    Batteries:

    Tesla's purchase of Maxwell Technologies in May of 2019 secures Its role as a battery manufacturer. By creating the batteries for its vehicles in-house Tesla will improve its profit margins and be at the forefront of revolutionizing battery technology. This puts Tesla in a unique position to manufacture batteries not only for itself, but also for EV vehicles of other manufacturers. This is yet an untapped revenue source that will surely be fruitful in the future.

    Super Charger Network:

    Tesla is the only EV vehicle that you can drive from NY to LA by using its network of supercharger stations. This gives Tesla a definite advantage over other EVs and relieves the range anxiety people may experience. Additionally building such a network costs billions of dollars and it is unlikely that other manufacturers will undertake this. Because of this, as EV cars become more prominent than ICE cars, Tesla will open up its network to other manufacturers and this will yet be another untapped revenue source.

    Energy:

    Tesla's energy business is in its infantile stages and is set to become a revenue powerhouse over the next decade. It's success in Australia has demonstrated a value add of its powerpack technology. Tesla installed a 100MW battery farm that stores energy from wind and solar power sources. This allows the surrounding area to not be affected by temporary blips of power outage and ensures an even distribution of power across the entire power grid. This technology is being underutilized and as the world moves towards solar and wind it will be vital. California is one example where only using solar and wind power sources has caused rolling blackout issues, but with the implementation of Tesla's battery plant that will be a thing of the past.

    RoboTaxi Network:

    Elon Musk stated that Level 5 autonomy will be possible for Tesla vehicles within 1 year, now if this statement is overzealous surely LV5 will be available sometime within the next 5 years. Once this happens Tesla will begin the rollout of its robo taxi network. This will become essentially another powerhouse of a revenue source and will propel Tesla into a dominating conglomerate.

    Finals Thoughts:

    Will all the exciting things about Tesla, it is surely still early innings for Tesla and the future this company will bring is revolutionary to mankind. Right now we are at the forefront of the next most valuable company on earth. Its capital position has strengthened dramatically and it has first mover advantage. It has resources behind it that other car manufacturers can only dream of, it has untapped revenue sources, its innovation is one that only a visionary founder can set forth, it has the backing of governments worldwide. Tesla is not a car company, it will be a conglomerate in the transportation and energy markets. The Tesla revolution is only beginning my friends.

    submitted by /u/ghathawayjunior
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    Volatility

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 02:11 PM PDT

    Hi

    I recently subscribed to ivolatility.com Are there any resources out there that can help me better understand the ivolatility platform (setting up charts, indicators etc) I know this can be very subjective but I am just looking for a kickstart ! Any feedback will be highly appreciated !

    submitted by /u/muahmad
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    Pre-IPO investment opportunities, seeking advice

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 01:37 PM PDT

    Hello,

    I have an opportunity to become a pre-IPO investor in a multitude of companies including SpaceX, UIPath, Affirm, Robinhood, and Airbnb. I have around $250k I would like to put towards these opportunities and think it would be interesting to see input from Reddit. The current investment I plan on making goes as follows:

    • SpaceX - 100k
    • UIPath - 50k
    • Robinhood - 50k
    • Affirm - 50k

    As for Airbnb, I do not see that being a viable investment, especially as of right now, however to my knowledge, they plan to IPO within the next two years. If you think otherwise, change my mind.

    Below is information on all 5 companies, as you can probably tell by the amount of information included with each, I am most interested in SpaceX and UIPath. You might find this information interesting and or helpful for when the companies eventually do go public:

    -----------

    SPACEX SECONDARY COMMON SHARES SpaceX designs, manufactures and launches the world's most advanced rockets and spacecraft, and is preparing to launch its global satellite internet network, Starlink.

    • Valuation: $44B at $270 per share; SpaceX's future Series N valuation =~ $44B
    • Forecast: Morgan Stanley forecasts that SpaceX could be worth up to $175B; Starlink internet network has $1 trillion TAM.

    UIPATH SECONDARY PREFERRED SHARES INVESTMENT

    the hyper-growth pre-IPO SaaS leader in the Robotics Process Automation (RPA) industry which is Gartner's 2020 #1 Strategic Technology Trend, "hyper-automation" Industry experts say that:

    1. UiPath is the leader in the robotic process automation (RPA) market–a $100B+ opportunity–which focuses on automating repetitive software computing tasks like data entry, invoicing, and contracts.
    2. Robotic process automation is the fastest growing segment of the enterprise technology market.
    3. Automation is a key strategic imperative for many major corporations and organizations in finance, healthcare, travel, insurance, and more.
    4. UiPath is the clear leader in the robotic process automation (RPA) software industry and its software SaaS solutions are reported to be superior.

    • Valuation: $10.2B+; UiPath's Series E July 2020 valuation = $10.2B; $18.59 per share
    • Market Leadership: UiPath is Gartner's two-time "Magic Quadrant Leader" in 2019 and 2020 for Robotics Process Automation
    • Market Size: Combined with Artificial Intelligence and Business Process Outsourcing, some believe UiPath has a $100B+ Total Addressable Market opportunity
    • Comparables: DataDog (NASDAQ DDOG), trading at $25B market cap and 45X revenue, is comparable; our UiPath investment at $10.2B valuation is at 40% of DataDog's market cap, even though the companies have roughly the same revenue around $350M to $500M ARR
    • Metrics: UiPath is growing revenue 80% to 100% Year-over-Year; approaching $400M+ Annual Recurring Revenue
    • Financials: 80% gross margin, cash flow breakeven in Q2 2020, 95% renewal rate
    • Top Tier VCs: Sequoia, Accel, IVP, Tiger Global, and more

    Affirm Secondary Common Stock Forward Sale

    Leading afterpay service, IPO soon

    • Valuation: Affirm Common Stock at $25 to $30 per share, valuing the company ~$5.5B
    • Previous round: Affirm's last VC round was in March 2019 (Series F) at $13.1831 per share.

    ROBINHOOD SECONDARY SHARES

    Leading financial services firm for Millennials and doubled its Q2 2020 trading revenue from Q1 2020. I assume you all know what Robinhood does.

    • ~$13 per share
    • Recent Valuation: $8.6B valuation @ $12.5/ share

    AIRBNB SECONDARY COMMON SHARES

    Top vacation rental marketplace company and may have an IPO this year in 2020.

    • $105 per share @ $31B valuation from three years ago

    --------------

    Any and all input is welcome, however, I, unfortunately, am not in the position to offer anybody here entry to this opportunity.

    submitted by /u/ShawShaw42
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    question on apple’s stock split

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 01:10 PM PDT

    Hello, i'm newbie with stocks and I heard that apple is doing split today which I can buy a share for $100. I just checked and they are on $503.50 right now. can anyone tell me how come it's not $100 yet? I was interested in buying apple's stock for $100.

    submitted by /u/scarybrocc
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    Hi, I'm an investor-wannabe - how wrong and destined-for-failure is my "investment plan" really?

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 12:47 PM PDT

    As my name says, I have a somewhat successful gaming YT channel that provides me with a few hundred $ of extra cash every month, at least for now. It's volatile, but it's been on an upward trend ever since the pandemic broke out and people watch YT way more than before.

    Current global situation dictates that the worst option is to just keep this extra cash laying around depreciating due to inflation. I also don't want to just put it in a bank account, interest rates are of no use either. And, even if I lose all my savings in the stock market, at least I'll come out of it knowing what NOT to do the next time I dump money into it.Of course, the ideal outcome would be to prevent such a case, so that's why I'm writing this wall of text, asking for guidance from, hopefully, more experienced members of this community.

    Now, I've been getting gradually obsessed with the stock market since August 14th. I bought 2 Hasbro (HAS) stocks right away, because that company owns a game my YT channel is about, so I naturally just dumped some cash into it. Now, 10 days later, I went on quite a bit of a shopping spree and own these stocks:
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cZ2rNqW123eTj7rapyWNWC-zHEaLs79njlHEIJRY1_U/edit?usp=sharing
    (stocks below the gray row are just there to keep track of them, I don't have that much money to burn in a month :) )

    After obsessive research, I'm perfectly aware this is a HIGHLY speculative and not at all safe/balanced way to park excess cash. Also, there's nothing long-term about it. I'm not worried about short term losses, I'm in this for the long run, at least 5, maybe even 10 years. However, I'm worried, for example, that NVDA is gonna finally crash tomorrow because it's clearly overvalued (I was clueless about that issue when I bought it), I'm worried that TDOC is just gonna ween off and never grow back up to $200+ levels even after the LVGO merger and, well, I'm worried that this will ultimately end up being another one of my failures. I'm OK with losing the money, but again, if it could be prevented, why waste it?

    However, I'm not just going to sell and cut my loses and give up. I've dealt with problems and issues all my life, so, after a fair few days of trying to grasp the crux of the issue, I'm somewhat familiar with most of the stock market/investing terms and I believe I have a basic, but hopefully sufficient understanding of the stock market as a whole.

    Now, among many others, I watched this video
    https://youtu.be/xexqXNxQ5fU
    TL:DW he basically has 50-70% of the entire portfolio in just 3 stocks - 1 growth (TSLA), 1 value (FB), 1 dividend (SKWS). The way I see this, all 3 are just basically growth stocks of different kinds, especially SKWS with its low dividend yield and cyclical growth. But, it can't be denied he got dem gains and a solid track record. He says the entire portfolio shouldn't have more than 15 stocks for most people.

    So, some plan of action is better than no plan of action and I feel like a strategy like this one may just be what could work for me.

    Obviously, I can't just copy what he did. TSLA is way overvalued right now and it's just a matter of time before it crashes or, ahem, market "correction" happens. SKWS I'm not interested in, I feel like it doesn't have much more room for growth and its dividend yield is abysmal.

    I don't want to just endlessly sit around and wait for a miracle to happen, but I don't want to rush this either, so I came up with rough draft of a course of action that seems plausibly viable to me. I don't expect this to 2x or even 1.5x my investment over the next few years, but if I could squeeze 25-30% overall gains over a period of 4-5 years, that would be an awesome starting point for me.

    LONG-TERM GROWTH STOCKS
    -FB for its diversified social network portfolio, at least until 2023. Buy during dips preferably
    -WM because everybody goes to the toilet (this can easily belong to the below category too)

    LONG-TERM VALUE/DEFENSIVE STOCKS
    BAM for diversified alternative assets (non-stock) portfolio, aim for dip buys

    LONG-TERM DIVIDEND STOCKS

    - AT&T for a stable long-term price, no growth, but that sweet, sweet telecom money
    - Realty Income (O) for a stable monthly real-estate dividend and some growth
    - XOM and/or CVX for some oil gains & a bumpy ride as prices swing up and down before renewable energy finally kills the oil industry

    SPECULATIVE

    - BEP (contained within BAM stock) a bet on future renewable energy
    - DLR as a low-risk cloud/data center REIT. Is this maybe even a safe stock actually?
    - ROKU as a medium-risk gamble on digital TV future
    - TDOC super gamble on future online/telehealth industry
    - TMUS as an established telecom giant to reduce volatility, but it seems like its price already peaked and there's nowhere to move but down?!

    FURTHER RESEARCH
    more renewable energy/battery tech stocks (PCRFY, SQM?)

    ...

    ??? halp

    submitted by /u/RandomYouTuber69
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    Opinions/predictions on HPE

    Posted: 24 Aug 2020 08:58 AM PDT

    HPE's Q3 earning report is out tomorrow, after their poor Q2 performance what are peoples predictions and opinions on buying or selling before the release tomorrow? It's made some gains recently but they're trailing off so what's everyone's thoughts?

    submitted by /u/fhititf
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