• Breaking News

    Saturday, June 27, 2020

    Stock Market - How to Use Form 4 Filings to Interpret Insider Trading Activity - This Sunday, 6/28/2020 at 7PM Eastern in the Official /r/StockMarket Discord

    Stock Market - How to Use Form 4 Filings to Interpret Insider Trading Activity - This Sunday, 6/28/2020 at 7PM Eastern in the Official /r/StockMarket Discord


    How to Use Form 4 Filings to Interpret Insider Trading Activity - This Sunday, 6/28/2020 at 7PM Eastern in the Official /r/StockMarket Discord

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 08:58 AM PDT

    Hi /r/StockMarket!

    This Sunday evening, 6/28/2020 at 7PM ET in the Official /r/StockMarket Discord channel we'll be hosting a livestream on How to Use Form 4 Filings to Interpret Insider Trading Activity!

    Well go through all the major components of these forms including derivative vs non-derivative securities transactions, transaction codes, ownership type, and how to read the footnotes.

    As always I'll share my screen, stream it live on Twitch in the #twitch_stream channel and record it and upload it to YouTube afterwards as well as share it in the #archived_streams channel in case you can't make it.

    Here are the details and relevant links:

    DATE: Sunday, 6/28/2020 (this weekend!)

    TIME: 7PM Eastern sharp!

    LOCATION: Official /r/StockMarket Discord - Live Chat Channel

    Note: If the above link doesn't go directly to the channel, click here to go to the main Discord server and look for the "#live_chat" channel under "Weekly Analysis Chat". The Twitch stream will be in the #twitch_stream channel or accessible directly via this link. You can also visit the YouTube Archive to watch all our past streams.

    If you've got any questions about these forms beforehand and you want to ask in the comments here, I'll cover them in the stream.

    See you all Sunday evening at 7PM ET sharp!

    submitted by /u/ghostofgbt
    [link] [comments]

    Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning June 29th, 2020

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 01:03 PM PDT

    Good Saturday afternoon to all of you here on r/StockMarket. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.

    Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning June 29th, 2020.

    Fragile economic recovery faces first big test with June jobs report in the week ahead - (Source)


    The second half of 2020 is nearly here, and now it's up to the economy to prove that the stock market was right about a sharp comeback in growth.


    The first big test will be the June jobs report, out on Thursday instead of its usual Friday release due to the July 4 holiday. According to Refinitiv, economists expect 3 million jobs were created, after May's surprise gain of 2.5 million payrolls beat forecasts by a whopping 10 million jobs.


    "If it's stronger, it will suggest that the improvement is quicker, and that's kind of what we saw in May with better retail sales, confidence was coming back a little and auto sales were better," said Kevin Cummins, chief U.S. economist at NatWest Markets.


    The second quarter winds down in the week ahead as investors are hopeful about the recovery but warily eyeing rising cases of Covid-19 in a number of states.


    Stocks were lower for the week, as markets reacted to rising cases in Texas, Florida and other states. Investors worry about the threat to the economic rebound as those states move to curb some activities. The S&P 500 is up more than 16% so far for the second quarter, and it is down nearly 7% for the year. Friday's losses wiped out the last of the index's June gains.


    "I think the stock market is looking beyond the valley. It is expecting a V-shaped economic recovery and a solid 2021 earnings picture," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. He expects large-cap company earnings to be up 30% next year, and small-cap profits to bounce back by 140%.


    "I think the second half needs to be a 'show me' period, proving that our optimism was justified, and we'll need to see continued improvement in the economic data, and I think we need to see upward revisions to earnings estimates," Stovall said.


    Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, said she expects the recovery will not be as smooth as some expect, particularly considering the resurgence of virus outbreaks in sunbelt states and California.


    "Now as I watch what's happening I think it's more likely to be rolling Ws," rather than a V, she said. "It's not just predicated on a second wave. I'm not sure we ever exited the first wave."


    Even without actual state shutdowns, the virus could slow economic activity. "That doesn't mean businesses won't shut themselves down, or consumers won't back down more," she said.


    Election ahead

    In the second half of the year, the market should turn its attention to the election, but Sonders does not expect much reaction to it until after Labor Day. RealClearPolitics average of polls shows Democrat Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump by 10 percentage points, and the odds of a Democratic sweep have been rising.


    Biden has said he would raise corporate taxes, and some strategists say a sweep would be bad for business, due to increased regulation and higher taxes. Trump is expected to continue using tariffs, which unsettles the market, though both candidates are expected to take a tough stance on China.


    "If it looks like the Senate stays Republican than there's less to worry about in terms of policy changes," Sonders said. "I don't think it's ever as binary as some people think."


    Stovall said a quick study shows that in the four presidential election years back to 1960, where the first quarter was negative, and the second quarter positive, stocks made gains in the second half.


    Those were 1960 when John Kennedy took office, 1968, when Richard Nixon won; 1980 when Ronald Reagan's was elected to his first term; and 1992, the first win by Bill Clinton. Coincidentally, in all of those years, the opposing party gained control of the White House.


    Stimulus

    The stocks market's strong second-quarter showing came after the Fed and Congress moved quickly to inject the economy with trillions in stimulus. That unlocked credit markets and triggered a stampede by companies to restructure or issue debt. About $2 trillion in fiscal spending was aimed at consumers and businesses, who were in sudden need of cash after the abrupt shutdown of the economy.


    Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin both testify before the House Financial Services Committee Tuesday on the response to the virus. That will be important as markets look ahead to another fiscal package from Congress this summer, which is expected to provide aid to states and local governments; extend some enhanced benefits for unemployment, and provide more support for businesses.


    "So much of it is still so fluid. There are a bunch of fiscal items that are rolling off. There's talk about another fiscal stimulus payment like they did last time with a $1,200 check," said Cummins.


    Strategists expect Congress to bicker about the size and content of the stimulus package but ultimately come to an agreement before enhanced unemployment benefits run out at the end of July. Cummins said state budgets begin a new year July 1, and states with a critical need for funds may have to start letting workers go, as they cut expenses.


    The Trump administration has indicated the jobs report Thursday could help shape the fiscal package, depending on what it shows. The federal supplement to state unemployment benefits has been $600 a week, but there is opposition to extending that, and strategists expect it to be at least cut in half.


    The unemployment rate is expected to fall to 12.2% from 13.3% in May. Cummins said he had expected 7.2 million jobs, well above the consensus, and an unemployment rate of 11.8%.


    As of last week, nearly 20 million people were collecting state unemployment benefits, and millions more were collecting under a federal pandemic aid program.


    "The magnitude here and whether it's 3 million or 7 million is kind of hard to handicap to begin with," Cummins said. Economists have preferred to look at unemployment claims as a better real time read of employment, but they now say those numbers could be impacted by slow reporting or double filing.


    "There's no clarity on how you define the unemployed in the Covid 19 environment," said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at MUFG Union Bank. "If there's 30 million people receiving insurance, unemployment should be above 20%.


    This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Indices for this past week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

    Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

    Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

    Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)

    When Will The Economy Recover?

    The economy is moving in the right direction, as many economic data points are coming in substantially better than what the economists expected. From May job gains coming in more than 10 million higher than expected and retail sales soaring a record 18%, how quickly the economy is bouncing back has surprised nearly everyone.

    "As good as the recent economic data has been, we want to make it clear, it could still take years for the economy to fully come back," explained LPL Financial Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "Think of it like building a house. You get all the big stuff done early, then some of the small things take so much longer to finish; I'm looking at you crown molding."

    Here's the hard truth; it might take years for all of the jobs that were lost to fully recover. In fact, during the 10 recessions since 1950, it took an average of 30 months for lost jobs to finally come back. As the LPL Chart of the Day shows, recoveries have taken much longer lately. In fact, it took four years for the jobs lost during the tech bubble recession of the early 2000s to come back and more than six years for all the jobs lost to come back after the Great Recession. Given many more jobs were lost during this recession, it could takes many years before all of them indeed come back.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    The economy is going the right direction, and if there is no major second wave outbreak it could surprise to the upside. Importantly, this economic recovery will still be a long and bumpy road.


    Nasdaq - Russell Spread Pulling the Rubber Band Tight

    The Nasdaq has been outperforming every other US-based equity index over the last year, and nowhere has the disparity been wider than with small caps. The chart below compares the performance of the Nasdaq and Russell 2000 over the last 12 months. While the performance disparity is wide now, through last summer, the two indices were tracking each other nearly step for step. Then last fall, the Nasdaq started to steadily pull ahead before really separating itself in the bounce off the March lows. Just to illustrate how wide the gap between the two indices has become, over the last six months, the Nasdaq is up 11.9% compared to a decline of 15.8% for the Russell 2000. That's wide!

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    In order to put the recent performance disparity between the two indices into perspective, the chart below shows the rolling six-month performance spread between the two indices going back to 1980. With a current spread of 27.7 percentage points, the gap between the two indices hasn't been this wide since the days of the dot-com boom. Back in February 2000, the spread between the two indices widened out to more than 50 percentage points. Not only was that period extreme, but ten months before that extreme reading, the spread also widened out to more than 51 percentage points. The current spread is wide, but with two separate periods in 1999 and 2000 where the performance gap between the two indices was nearly double the current level, that was a period where the Nasdaq REALLY outperformed small caps.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    To illustrate the magnitude of the Nasdaq's outperformance over the Russell 2000 from late 1998 through early 2000, the chart below shows the performance of the two indices beginning in October 1998. From that point right on through March of 2000 when the Nasdaq peaked, the Nasdaq rallied more than 200% compared to the Russell 2000 which was up a relatively meager 64%. In any other environment, a 64% gain in less than a year and a half would be excellent, but when it was under the shadow of the surging Nasdaq, it seemed like a pittance.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Share Price Performance

    The US equity market made its most recent peak on June 8th. From the March 23rd low through June 8th, the average stock in the large-cap Russell 1,000 was up more than 65%! Since June 8th, the average stock in the index is down more than 11%. Below we have broken the index into deciles (10 groups of 100 stocks each) based on simple share price as of June 8th. Decile 1 (marked "Highest" in the chart) contains the 10% of stocks with the highest share prices. Decile 10 (marked "Lowest" in the chart) contains the 10% of stocks with the lowest share prices. As shown, the highest priced decile of stocks are down an average of just 4.8% since June 8th, while the lowest priced decile of stocks are down an average of 21.5%. It's pretty remarkable how performance gets weaker and weaker the lower the share price gets.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Nasdaq 2% Pullbacks From Record Highs

    It's hard to believe that sentiment can change so fast in the market that one day investors and traders are bidding up stocks to record highs, but then the next day sell them so much that it takes the market down over 2%. That's exactly what happened not only in the last two days but also two weeks ago. While the 5% pullback from a record high back on June 10th took the Nasdaq back below its February high, this time around, the Nasdaq has been able to hold above those February highs.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    In the entire history of the Nasdaq, there have only been 12 periods prior to this week where the Nasdaq closed at an all-time high on one day but dropped more than 2% the next day. Those occurrences are highlighted in the table below along with the index's performance over the following week, month, three months, six months, and one year. We have also highlighted each occurrence that followed a prior one by less than three months in gray. What immediately stands out in the table is how much gray shading there is. In other words, these types of events tend to happen in bunches, and if you count the original occurrence in each of the bunches, the only two occurrences that didn't come within three months of another occurrence (either before or after) were July 1986 and May 2017.

    In terms of market performance following prior occurrences, the Nasdaq's average and median returns were generally below average, but there is a pretty big caveat. While the average one-year performance was a gain of 1.0% and a decline of 23.6% on a median basis, the six occurrences that came between December 1999 and March 2000 all essentially cover the same period (which was very bad) and skew the results. Likewise, the three occurrences in the two-month stretch from late November 1998 through January 1999 where the Nasdaq saw strong gains also involves a degree of double-counting. As a result of these performances at either end of the extreme, it's hard to draw any trends from the prior occurrences except to say that they are typically followed by big moves in either direction. The only time the Nasdaq wasn't either 20% higher or lower one year later was in 1986.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Christmas in July: NASDAQ's Mid-Year Rally

    In the mid-1980s the market began to evolve into a tech-driven market and the market's focus in early summer shifted to the outlook for second quarter earnings of technology companies. Over the last three trading days of June and the first nine trading days in July, NASDAQ typically enjoys a rally. This 12-day run has been up 27 of the past 35 years with an average historical gain of 2.5%. This year the rally may have begun a day early, today and could last until on or around July 14.

    After the bursting of the tech bubble in 2000, NASDAQ's mid-year rally had a spotty track record from 2002 until 2009 with three appearances and five no-shows in those years. However, it has been quite solid over the last ten years, up nine times with a single mild 0.1% loss in 2015. Last year, NASDAQ advanced a solid 4.6% during the 12-day span.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Tech Historically Leads Market Higher Until Q3 of Election Years

    As of yesterday's close DJIA was down 8.8% year-to-date. S&P 500 was down 3.5% and NASDAQ was up 12.1%. Compared to the typical election year, DJIA and S&P 500 are below historical average performance while NASDAQ is above average. However this year has not been a typical election year. Due to the covid-19, the market suffered the damage of the shortest bear market on record and a new bull market all before the first half of the year has come to an end.

    In the surrounding Seasonal Patten Charts of DJIA, S&P 500 and NASDAQ, we compare 2020 (as of yesterday's close) to All Years and Election Years. This year's performance has been plotted on the right vertical axis in each chart. This year certainly has been unlike any other however some notable observations can be made. For DJIA and S&P 500, January, February and approximately half of March have historically been weak, on average, in election years. This year the bear market ended on March 23. Following those past weak starts, DJIA and S&P 500 historically enjoyed strength lasting into September before experiencing any significant pullback followed by a nice yearend rally. NASDAQ's election year pattern differs somewhat with six fewer years of data, but it does hint to a possible late Q3 peak.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending June 26th, 2020

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 6.28.20

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!)

    Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-


    • $MU
    • $GIS
    • $FDX
    • $CAG
    • $STZ
    • $CPRI
    • $XYF
    • $AYI
    • $MEI
    • $UNF
    • $CDMO
    • $SCHN
    • $LNN
    • $CULP
    • $XELA
    • $KFY
    • $RTIX
    • $JRSH

    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES FOR THE NEXT 4 WEEKS!)

    Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:


    Monday 6.29.20 Before Market Open:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.

    Monday 6.29.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Tuesday 6.30.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Tuesday 6.30.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Wednesday 7.1.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Wednesday 7.1.20 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.


    Thursday 7.2.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Thursday 7.2.20 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.


    Friday 7.3.20 Before Market Open:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.


    Friday 7.3.20 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.


    Micron Technology, Inc. $48.49

    Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Monday, June 29, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.71 per share on revenue of $5.27 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.70 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 71% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.40 to $0.70 per share. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 29.00% with revenue increasing by 10.07%. Short interest has increased by 7.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 8.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.9% below its 200 day moving average of $48.94. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, June 11, 2020 there was some notable buying of 46,037 contracts of the $60.00 call expiring on Friday, July 17, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.4% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    General Mills, Inc. $59.21

    General Mills, Inc. (GIS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Wednesday, July 1, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.04 per share on revenue of $4.89 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.10 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 69% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 25.30% with revenue increasing by 17.50%. Short interest has decreased by 9.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 2.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.8% above its 200 day moving average of $54.91. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, June 24, 2020 there was some notable buying of 8,573 contracts of the $60.00 call expiring on Friday, July 17, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.0% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    FedEx Corp. $130.08

    FedEx Corp. (FDX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Tuesday, June 30, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.42 per share on revenue of $16.31 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.65 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 61% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 71.66% with revenue decreasing by 8.41%. Short interest has increased by 10.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 43.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.6% below its 200 day moving average of $140.75. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, June 25, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,768 contracts of the $145.00 call expiring on Thursday, July 2, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.7% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Conagra Brands, Inc. $32.64

    Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Tuesday, June 30, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.66 per share on revenue of $3.24 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.69 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 66% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 83.33% with revenue increasing by 23.99%. Short interest has decreased by 38.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 6.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 6.4% above its 200 day moving average of $30.68. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, June 11, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,239 contracts of the $29.00 put expiring on Thursday, July 2, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 10.8% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Constellation Brands, Inc. $168.99

    Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Wednesday, July 1, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.91 per share on revenue of $1.97 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.12 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 13.57% with revenue decreasing by 13.69%. Short interest has increased by 20.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 25.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 5.2% below its 200 day moving average of $178.34. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, June 9, 2020 there was some notable buying of 888 contracts of the $195.00 call expiring on Friday, October 16, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 3.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.7% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Capri Holdings Limited $14.37

    Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Wednesday, July 1, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.32 per share on revenue of $1.18 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.34 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 39% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.68 to $0.73 per share. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 49.21% with revenue decreasing by 12.20%. Short interest has increased by 35.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 56.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 44.0% below its 200 day moving average of $25.67. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, June 4, 2020 there was some notable buying of 11,042 contracts of the $17.50 put expiring on Friday, August 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 10.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.7% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    X Financial $0.92

    X Financial (XYF) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 5:00 PM ET on Tuesday, June 30, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.09 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 25% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 55.00% with revenue increasing by 763.52%. Short interest has increased by 1.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 1.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 37.7% below its 200 day moving average of $1.47. Overall earnings estimates have been unchanged since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 4.9% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Acuity Brands, Inc. $84.45

    Acuity Brands, Inc. (AYI) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:40 AM ET on Tuesday, June 30, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.14 per share on revenue of $809.25 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.09 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 42% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 51.90% with revenue decreasing by 14.60%. Short interest has increased by 48.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 2.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 23.4% below its 200 day moving average of $110.25. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 9.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.2% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Methode Electronics, Inc. $30.02

    Methode Electronics, Inc. (MEI) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, June 30, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.77 per share on revenue of $211.39 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 45% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 24.19% with revenue decreasing by 20.53%. Short interest has increased by 6.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 1.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 9.0% below its 200 day moving average of $32.97. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 18.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.1% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    UniFirst Corporation $170.54

    UniFirst Corporation (UNF) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:00 AM ET on Wednesday, July 1, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.17 per share on revenue of $378.28 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.25 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 44% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 52.44% with revenue decreasing by 16.63%. Short interest has decreased by 2.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 14.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 8.4% below its 200 day moving average of $186.14. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 7.0% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    DISCUSS!

    What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?


    I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead r/StockMarket.

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
    [link] [comments]

    KTOV - updated DD (as of Jun. 27) and outlook for next week

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 09:19 AM PDT

    Next week Catalyst:
    All of shareholders awaiting on some news on KTOV on NT-219….by end of Q2 which is Monday or Tuesday. Now, given the major press releases by the company in the past couple months, I have no doubt something is coming.

     

    Also, on their website and investor presentations, a timeline was released. Notable pages include 23 and 30
    http://kitovpharma.investorroom.com/presentations https://kitovpharma.com/pipeline/overview/  

    Merck's drug is Keytruda is not as effective without KTOV's NT-219 drug. KTOV's latest tweet hashtags #keydura. Merck's latest tweet includes "Head and Neck Cancer Update" which is exactly what NT-219 does! Coincidences here…?

    "While no response was observed with Keytruda® alone or with NT-219 alone, and the tumors aggressively progressed, mice treated concomitantly with a combination of Keytruda® and NT-219 demonstrated complete blockage of tumor progression."
    https://twitter.com/Kitov_Pharma https://twitter.com/Merck

     

    In my opinion, we will hear SOMETHING, whether collaboration or not, given a reputable company knows the impact to shareholder value if timelines are not met. If the announcement is not made, KTOV still has HUGE potential with all of their products and most recent PR's

     

    KTOV's key products:
    NT-219 – first-in-class, small molecule dual-inhibitor of two key cancer resistance pathways – STAT3 and IRS1/2. [PARTNERSHIP AWAITING ANNOUNCEMENT BY Q2'20 (June 30). SPECULATION is MERCK or LILLY]

    CM-24 – clinical-stage monoclonal antibody blocking CEACAM1, a novel immune checkpoint expressed in multiple tumor types that supports tumor evasion and survival through multiple pathways. [PARTNER HAS BEEN ALREADY ANNOUNCED - BRISTOL MYERS, "old news"]

    Consensi™ – fixed-dose combination of celecoxib and amlodipine besylate for the simultaneous treatment of osteoarthritis pain and hypertension. [LAUNCHED IN Q1'20, BUT UPCOMING ER WILL INCLUDE $ FROM THIS PRODUCT. HUGE POTENTIAL and targets over 50M adults alone. This retails for $1,000+ at Costco, Walmart, and other pharmacies. "old news"]

     

    Institutional Investors: 6% of outstanding shares:

    Morgan Stanley, UBS, Hudson Bay Capital Management, and more.
    Now….here's the kicker. Look at the stats of holders who are 'new positions or increased' vs 'sold out positions'. Why would these huge companies continue to stay in this position if they did not see the potential here of this company?

     

    Timeline of events:
    There were multiple public offerings that took place to fund their research that I won't call out specifically. Do your research. If you are a chart person, KTOV has been creating daily cup and handles within cups and handles, all signifying a bullish run and upside.

    Jun 26 - Red market. While the market was bloody on Friday, KTOV has maintained it's level of supports >$1 (2nd day of NASDAQ compliance)

    Jun 25 - Bullish run and volume coming in, new 52 week high, direct offering CLOSED. KTOV maintains support at $1 (1st day of NASDAQ compliance). Huge shorts in play on this day… currently ~15%. All things considered, support levels are good

    Jun 23 - Leading up to this day, there was a bullish run and HUGE volume. Then things got weird and a direct offering hit and the share price went down due to panic sellers and stop loss triggers. Think about it…this is not as impactful as a public offering which creates dilution of shares. It is DIRECT public offering of $35m at $0.90 with NO new shares created. Here's the kicker, this was closed on Monday where $KTOV's price was at $0.77. Why would a huge company take this big of a leap of faith on a price that is higher than the current share price / give away money unless there's something we don't know about and something big is happening with $KTOV… Huge short interest here

    May 22 - KTOV gets FDA clearance to conduct clinical study of NT-219

    May 19 - KTOV presents preclinical data on NT-219 https://www.cnn.com/business/newsfeeds/globenewswire/7922882.html

    May 14 - KTOV presents Phase 1 data on CM-24 https://apnews.com/821c2fa1215d6f3c8766b9ddbf9d8389

    Mar 12 - KTOV provides update of US Launch of Consensi (launching May 2020) and 3 year revenue forecasts. Kitov is eligible to receive up to $99.5 million in milestone, reimbursement payments, and royalties. The Company expects to receive aggregate milestone and royalty revenues of between $28 million and $36 million from 2020 through 2022.

     

    Other:

    1 - Merck recently filed a 8-k quietly, which the alternative here is that Merck buy NT-219 outright. Low possibility given the timeline of KTOV, BUT something to consider here

    2 - Surface Oncology ($SURF) - Recently announced a collaboration with Merck on May 20. Price hovered around $2.3 and jumped to a high of $7.66 at this time. That's over 100% on this collaboration news alone with Merck.

    3- KTOV has healthy balance sheet, and $19M cash as of Jan 2020 and now likely more due to the offerings. EXPECTED revenues from Consensi alone is $>28-$36M in 2020-2022.

    4- KTOV's Chief Medical Officer, Bertrand Liang signed a $52M partnership deal with Merck while he was CEO of Pfenex. A FEW days before the partnership PR, a $24m was raised to start the study…. Coincidence? https://www.fiercebiotech.com/biotech/pfenex-grants-exclusive-license-to-merck-co-inc-for-production-of-proteins-for-undisclosed

    5- KTOV's CEO's recent followings include PR associates at JV Public Relations NY

    6- This company's all time high was $6.56 back in 2016, 3.81 in 2017 and recently created a 52-week high at $1.40. IMO- the range and upside here is high and a target of $2-$5 is not unreasonable.

    7- Notable big boys in KTOV on discord, stock twits, twitter, and other sites.

     

    Closing:

    Now, if you don't believe the DD here, go do your own damn DD. I am bullish on KTOV but this is just my opinion. Sorry for the spacing, I suck at formatting

    submitted by /u/teatrouble
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    What sector do you think will boom in a decade?

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 06:23 PM PDT

    Hi I'm currently investing in 3 sectors (finance XLF, technology XLK, and industrial XLI). I'm also investing in VOO to track SP 500. I was wondering what sector might boom by next decade? I was considering ARKK but they're very reliant on Tesla.

    submitted by /u/KhammyKham
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    UK holiday bookings 'explode'

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 01:11 PM PDT

    Holiday bookings soar, websites crash due to eased travel restrictions across popular holiday spots https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-53206148

    stocks likely to soar on monday:

    Easyjet

    Ryanair

    TUI group

    submitted by /u/drago2xxx
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    Getting started with short term trading.

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 02:14 PM PDT

    Hello. I wanna ask you guys about websites that do short term trading. Let me say first I'm a student and I don't have a job or make money.

    This guy in my class showed me how he'd put like 1€ on the stock market for like a minute and most of the times got a bit more because it was very predictable and not very dangerous since it's a very small quantity. He usually got like 10€ in total out of there every day and he could use that money to eat out or whatever.

    That's something I thought I could try. I looked into it and I saw that every website asks for the ID and the bank account number. Understand that I'm not familiar with this, so I don't really trust them. I saw eToro on TV so I thought it's something I could trust. Do you know if this website will let me do this 1€ in 1 minute thing? If not, do you know any other website that I can trust that lets me do that?

    I'd ask my friend but he seemed like he didn't want me to know a lot about this. I hope you can help me. Thank you.

    submitted by /u/immakulee
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    Which certification do you recommend and why? How long would it take to complete the training and take the exam?

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 08:17 PM PDT

    How do companies manage their money when millions of shares are being exchanged everyday?

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 05:52 PM PDT

    For example, if I were to list my company on the market - hundred/thousand/million shares will be exchanged everyday.

    As a company, wouldn't you have less control over your money because the bank balance is constantly changing everyday due to buying and selling? How would i use that money from investors if the balance isn't set?

    I hope I've worded this correctly. Any help would be nice.

    submitted by /u/nav202002
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    The Second Great Depression | how close are we?

    Posted: 26 Jun 2020 11:10 PM PDT

    The article illustrates about how an average American life would be and how economy would evolve from the struggling interdependencies among businesses, consumers, and governments in near future.

    For those who have never seen life and economy through recession, it's a must read even if you disagree because it gives opportunity to self reflect when reality starts down the read. For those who have seen at least one, it is a recall.

    https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/06/second-great-depression/613360/?

    What are your thoughts?

    submitted by /u/LeadingChallenge2
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    Any insights why Lufthansa's share price was going down just straight after investors agreed on bailout scheme?

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 07:50 AM PDT

    I was thinking this was a very positive indicator. Got €9b, agreed on restructuring company, Germany's government won't be included into company's processes... What are your thoughts about it?

    submitted by /u/dinappedj
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    Opinions on most User Friendly Brokerage account?

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 01:27 AM PDT

    RH is hands down the most fluid and easy to use. TD is bloated to all hell with so much boring text and positioning, its frustrating. Can anyone suggest one one of the big boys out there that has a fluid, easy, and responsive UI?

    submitted by /u/jamesrocksall8000
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    What are some good sources to learn Option Trading Strategies

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 06:59 AM PDT

    I am new to stock and trading. Recently I saw an app called Option Strategy Optimizer. I am now interested in all the methods they use like long call and all. And want to know how are they predicting what and how to buy for maximizing profit. So can you tell me some source which explains this Option Trading Strategies. I saw some Youtube Videos but they all just explain the method but does not explain how to use this method to make predictions. While in the app I mentioned above, they say

    • Buy 300 (1 lot) 2250 CE of 30-Jul-20 at 38.95
    • Sell 300 (1 lot) 2200 CE of 30-Jul-20 at 53

    I want to understand its working and meaning of that particular syntax:

    • Buy 300 (1 lot) 2250 CE of 30-Jul-20 at 38.95
    submitted by /u/thisisjaymehta
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    Recommendation for an international brokerage account?

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 01:56 AM PDT

    I live in a third world country, and I'm looking for a broker that supports international accounts to trade US stocks. I know some, but they require starting with 10's of thousands of dollars minimum. Would appreciate your help. Thanks!

    submitted by /u/vimdiff
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    I had just gotten 2k any advice as to where I should put it ? ( Robinhood options)

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 08:43 AM PDT

    I had gotten 2k from insurance cuz I was in a motorcycle wreck anyway I understand options I just don't really know which to invest in short term would be ideal thanks .

    submitted by /u/axsoto3601
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    Ideal portfolio for young investors in 2020

    Posted: 27 Jun 2020 12:38 AM PDT

    Hello, I'm 26 and I have $10k to invest in stocks, mutual funds, ETFs, etc.

    As of now, I'm still learning this type of investment since all of my financial knowledge accumulated from operating my family's businesses for 5 years.

    My plan is to invest on something at the side that can grow 10-20 years while focusing making money that I can control, which are my business.

    For this current market situation, what do you think is ideal to start with?

    I was thinking 40% Stocks, 40% Bonds, 10% Gold, 10% Oil. Don't judge because I'm still new to this and still learning. Cheers!

    submitted by /u/Laakhesis
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