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    Thursday, April 30, 2020

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Apr 30, 2020

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Apr 30, 2020


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Options Trading Thursday - Apr 30, 2020

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 01:06 AM PDT

    This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on stock options, but if options aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against options here and not in the current post.

    Some helpful day to day links, including news:


    Required info to start understanding options:

    • Call option Investopedia video basically a call option allows you to buy 100 shares of a stock at a certain price (strike price), but without the obligation to buy
    • Put option Investopedia video a put option allows you to sell 100 shares of a stock at a certain price (strike price), but without the obligation to sell

    See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

    Call option - Put option - Exercising an option - Strike price - ITM - OTM - ATM - Long options - Short options - Combo - Debit - Credit or Premium - Covered call - Naked - Debit call spread - Credit call spread - Strangle - Iron condor - Vertical debit spreads - Iron Fly

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is delta," then google "investopedia delta" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Apple’s annual cash bonanza arrives as other companies cut investor returns due to coronavirus

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 04:59 AM PDT

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apples-annual-cash-bonanza-arrives-as-other-companies-cut-investor-returns-due-to-coronavirus-2020-04-29

    Daryanani projects that the company will increase its buyback program by $75 billion to $100 billion, which he called "a logical decision given how attractive the current stock price is." Apple added $75 billion to its authorization last year and $100 billion the year before that.

    The company could also boost its dividend by 4% to 7%, he wrote, after a 5% hike a year ago. Daryanani rates Apple shares at outperform with a $325 target price.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    AMZN reports EPS of $5.01 coming in well under expectations of $6.27. Share price drops 4% immediately as after hours trading starts

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 01:08 PM PDT

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-1q-2020-earnings-results-152725949.html

    Amazon (AMZN) reported first-quarter sales that topped consensus expectations, as consumers increasingly turned to the e-commerce company for deliveries of essentials amid widespread stay-in-place orders. However, profit missed expectations as costs increased.

    During the quarter, Amazon sought out well over 100,000 new workers to keep pace with orders, in a testament to the ballooning demand for products off the online marketplace. The company also raised pay for many of its workers.

    Heading into results, the focal points were set to be around Amazon's retail revenue growth outlook for the second quarter, ability to meet surging consumer demand and margin outlook as shipping and employee costs increase, Raymond James analyst Aaron Kessler wrote in a note ahead of results.

    Shares of Amazon were up 32% for the year to date, making it one of the best-performing stocks in the S&P 500.

    submitted by /u/desquibnt
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    Why don't companies with $1000+ shares do a split?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 01:41 PM PDT

    Just wondering what, if any, are drawbacks to stock splits?

    Companies like Amazon, Alphabet both come to mind with a single share costing ~$2335 and $1346 respectively.

    There are platforms allowing fractional shares but I'm looking at this from an options perspective where it would be nice to have 100's of $233.5 to be able to sell options.

    submitted by /u/RunningJay
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    APPL reports EPS of $2.55 vs expected $2.23. Shares flat so far in after hours trading.

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 01:40 PM PDT

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-q2-earnings-2020-203115363.html

    Unlike other high-flying tech stocks, Apple (AAPL) has been especially susceptible to the supply chain disruptions caused by the virus, and the economic shock that has resulted. The firm pulled its initial guidance for Q2 in February as China extended its Lunar New Year holiday in an attempt to keep the coronavirus at bay, cutting off the engine of the iPhone maker's supply chain.

    Apple also shuttered its stores in mainland China to help stanch the spread of the virus, and didn't reopen them until March. That same month, as the virus marched across the rest of the world, the company closed all of its stores with the exception of those in mainland China.

    ...

    Apple is expected to launch its next-generation iPhone, equipped with 5G cellular connectivity sometime in September, though availability could be delayed a month, according to The Wall Street Journal.

    That model would carry Apple through the remainder of 2020, including the all-important holiday season, and into 2021. The inclusion of 5G has led analysts to predict a sales supercycle for the iPhone maker, with more consumers than normal deciding to upgrade their devices.

    submitted by /u/desquibnt
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    SHELL [RDS.A-B] DIVIDEND CUT BY 2/3, EXXON [XOM] CONFIRMED DIVIDEND FOR Q1 and Q2

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 06:19 AM PDT

    SHELL is gaping down by 12% right now after announcing a two-third dividend cut from nom on, for the first time since WW2.

    EXXON just confirmed its dividend payout for Q1 and Q2. They are keeping a 8% dividend at current price which is tremendous. It might take a serious tool on their cash flow and share price if the oil situation isn't resolved quickly.

    It might be time to add some of those into your portfolio.

    Whats your thoughts on those two different directions oil giants are taking

    submitted by /u/ubunchofcrazyjok
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    UAVS

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 08:23 AM PDT

    they didn't even say shit about who they were working with.

    submitted by /u/KNINV44
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    Insider Information (CCL)

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 11:48 AM PDT

    April 21st, 2020:

    CCL names Jeffrey J. Gearhart to Board of Directors. Immediately, Jeff files Form 3Initial Statement of Beneficial Ownership of Securities. A Form 3 must be filed within ten calendar days after a person becomes a Section 16 insider. Jeff filed immediately.

    Jeffrey J. Gearhart had a net worth of 14.2mil in 2017. He has slowly been selling off shares of Walmart. CCL Directors Net Buying was 10.9mil on this years basis. 3.4mil (plus a 10mil private trade) in April alone (to which Jeff was not a part of). Expect a very big rally in the upcoming days.

    • My prediction: No Sail Order suspended early. CCL @ $39/share June 3rd.
    • My moves: 439 shares @ $16.33 (will double down >$15)

    MIAMI, April 21, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- Carnival Corporation & plc (NYSE/LSE: CCL;NYSE: CUK) today announced that Jeffrey J. Gearhart, retired executive vice president, global governance and corporate secretary for Walmart, Inc. (WMT), was appointed yesterday to the company's boards of directors, effective immediately. In his role at Walmart, Gearhart was responsible for, among others, the global legal, compliance, ethics, global security and investigative organizations.

    submitted by /u/HispanicStifler
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    Google to purchase Fitbit

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 10:24 AM PDT

    What are your thoughts on Fitbit being purchased by Google to compete with Apple? What happens to the Fitbit stock if it is purchased?

    submitted by /u/cengineer-v
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    Stock Watch List April 30, 2020

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 05:45 AM PDT

    Good Morning, Here's My Watch List

    Gap Ups: BAX, FB, FLWS, HOLX, KHC, MSFT, MTDR, NCLH, NOW, OSTK, SIX, TPH, TSLA, UCTT

    Gap Downs: CHK, EBAY, MCD, TDOC, TWTR, ZM,

    Possible Day 2 plays: APA, MUR, NCLH, RCL (day 2 means it moved yesterday and may be in play today)

    Yesterday had some really good plays, wasn't as choppy as it has been recently. SPY sitting inside of yesterdays range but earnings season is in full swing and there are plenty of stocks gapping. I will be primarily focusing on earnings plays as these are usually the top movers and can far exceed their average ranges right now. Stay focused and only take good trades as there will be plenty of opportunites, it is not neccesary to take mediocre setups. Have a defined risk:reward calculated before entering into any position. Good luck Trading.

    I am not holding any positions in the stocks listed above. This is a watch list mean to watch for opportunities to enter into positions during the trading session

    submitted by /u/Kant_sleep13
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    Held onto NAT, did I take an L?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 01:12 PM PDT

    Hello, I bought a fair amount of stock in NAT and it was going great but these last few days the stock has plummeted. Did I miss out on profits by holding onto the stocks or are others confident it's a good investment to hold onto for a while longer? Thank you for your advice!

    submitted by /u/phurbie1
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    Anyone else bullish on Amazon (AMZN) ?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 10:11 AM PDT

    Full disclosure I own shares of AMZN.

    Anyone else thing they're gonna blow this earnings outta the water? But recently think MSFT and TSLA they beat earnings and stocks barely moved whats the deal?

    submitted by /u/aznology
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    Tankers

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 04:48 AM PDT

    Everyone is still on NAT, jumping in on this price dip. Who is jumping on FRO and the likes?

    submitted by /u/Alais001
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    Amazon expects to spend entire $4 billion in Q2 operating profit on coronavirus-related expenses

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 01:12 PM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/04/30/amazon-amzn-q1-2020-earnings.html

    Earnings per share (EPS): $5.01

    Revenue: $75.45 billion

    Amazon Web Services (AWS) revenue: $10.22 billion

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Would you consider AMD and MSFT forever-hold stocks?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 10:02 AM PDT

    Fundamentals, technicals, and personal feelings all welcome.

    submitted by /u/civgarth
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    why is CCL on the up swing?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 08:43 AM PDT

    I've been eyeing this stock for awhile, Its on the up swing now but why? What is making a cruise line jump in the past few days?

    submitted by /u/theblondebomber10
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    SHELL RDS/A:B

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 01:34 PM PDT

    Slashed dividends due to oil crisis and COVID, price dropped further by 11%.

    I like shell, according to their financials they have a lot of cash moreso than XOM, although less capital. Also Shell is heavily invested in renewables and the future of energy. Good pick long term?

    Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/Trilliboo
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    0% interest loan.

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 07:29 AM PDT

    Hi, I'm able to get a 0% interest loan ~50K euro from the government for a period of 5 years, the interest will probably change after the initial 5 years, which after that I'll have about 30 years to pay it off.

    So, if you were in my shoes, would you invest in globally diversified index funds?

    Edit:

    This is how my portfolio will look like: so 10-15% Emerging Markets,the rest in Worlds, maybe europe aswell, because Worlds has +60% US.

    Northern Trust reinvests the dividends.

    Emerging Markets: NL0011515424

    Worlds: NL0011225305

    Europe: NL0011400346

    submitted by /u/Kankeriseenmooiwoord
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    How do traders/bots track earnings reports in real time?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 01:22 PM PDT

    I always end up finding out what the earnings reports showed by reading articles, wondering what source traders are using to react instantly like they did with Amazon right at market close today.

    submitted by /u/Confirmation__Bias
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    Anyone else thinking the Dow will be back at 28K/29K by mid-summer?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 02:46 PM PDT

    I should say I am expecting a quicker reopening from Covid than the average person. But it just looked like a textbook market panic to me, and stocks are bought on expectations of future growth, in the first place. A couple bad quarters don't justify three years losses of gains, unless predictions were really dire. I'm not arguing that I'm right, just giving my own personal take. Curious to hear any other thoughts.

    submitted by /u/hiraxslam
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    Portfolio Help

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 08:41 AM PDT

    Hi guys, i'm 22 years old and pretty new to this scene and i am wanting to invest some of my savings long term (10-20 years).

    My thought process when looking though the stocks was to buy a few strong one which are most likely to do well in the future and have a few more risky ones which i might sell in the near future if they return a profit. However, i believe i have gone a bit overboard on the safe stocks and i have quite a lot so it might be hard to keep a track of them. i've thought about doing ETFs but i'm using trading 212 which dont offer the good ones like SPY, VOO, QQQ etc so i preferred going for individual stocks.

    https://imgur.com/a/TK8542q

    Run Down:

    Airbus: Bought this as a more risky stock was between this or boeing and after doing some research i came to the conclusion that airbus was the safer bet.

    Google: Pretty safe bet, bound to rise long term.

    Amazon: Pretty self explanatory, personally think it is a must for any portfolio

    Apple: Again same thought process as google and amazon

    AstraZeneca: Invested in these as more of a risky bet, I read recently that they had teamed up with oxford university to help develop a cure for COVID-19.

    Delta Air Lines: A stable (ish) airline bit more risky but hopeful it will rise after this crisis is over.

    Greggs: I just like greggs as a company being northern myself, i do also believe that they have some room to grow with them successfully going into the vegan pastry market with steak bakes and sausage rolls (which taste nice also). They are also expanding in the southern areas of the UK.

    Global Clean Energy: I wanted to have something in the clean energy sector but couldn't decide on a single stock so i bought this ETF instead.

    UK Property: Risky one which is why i haven't put much money on it.

    JPMorgan: Only one i didn't do much research on but from the few articles i read it look promising to rise long term.

    Mastercard: Pretty solid one to rise long term

    Visa: Pretty solid one to rise long term (couldnt decide on a single one so went for both V & MA)

    Microsoft: Another one i believe should be in any portfolio.

    Nike: Wanted a stock in retail and nike seemed like the best, good financials and good marketing in the sector

    NAT: Was a low price and with the current situation bound to rise after the earning report in may

    Nvidia: I like the work they do with GPU an AI so i believe this will rise long term.

    PXD: An innovative company in their field from doing research it looks like they will be on the up.

    RTX: Another risky one but i'm gambling that the price will rise

    Shell: Unsure wether to sell this one or not, i've seen that they slashed their dividends so guessing it will be a slow recovery.

    Simon Property Group: Owns a lot of US Malls which open soon so hoping this will go up.

    Sony: Bought purely for the PS5, although they arn't doing well in other sectors i think this will help them considerably.

    Tesla: bit controversial but i like the innovation, didn't put that much money into it though as its quite unknown atm.

    Disney: Again bought for the long term.

    Other stocks i was looking at: Netflix, FB, AMD, Johnston & Johnstone, Proctor & Gamble, maybe mcdonalds.

    Essentially what i want to know is how this is looking for longterm investment, I plan on adding to microsoft and amazon every month, but i didn't know if this want a normal amount of stocks to have or am i better selling some and putting that money back into the big ones like Microsoft, Amazon, Apple etc.

    submitted by /u/rennocsemaj
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    Sabre finnah Explode

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 10:44 AM PDT

    I'm going long on sabre, I made some decent profits then sold, it's down today so I'm gonna stock up and hold for a while, I think it's criminally undervalued rn.. Wud love to hear others opinions?!

    submitted by /u/Spotcam1
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    UAVS halt...

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 08:27 AM PDT

    Could it be possible that Amazon is the one to announce partnership during their earnings today...? Or was the company UAVS partnered with was the hemp BS...

    submitted by /u/vicyedra
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    Even as a long term holder, I don’t know what to do right now.

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 02:19 PM PDT

    I have majority of my savings put into stocks right now. Much of that are in airline stocks and tech stocks. I bought them since they were beaten down and I see a big chance for recovery in the next year or two. But with amazon having a bad earnings today and Apple still tanking right after a rally from its earnings, it's making me scared. Sure people can say that keep holding if you're gonna hold for a few years and just dollar average. But considering that my savings took me 2 years to get there, it concerns me, especially in a time like this.

    I'm wondering if the tanking of Apple and amazon is waking up the market that it's not all roses and bright sunshine out there even with reopening coming up.

    I'm in the green right now but I'm wondering if I should sell and then come back after the pull back.

    By the way, I'm 27, single, and own a house if that helps. My biggest fear is having enough to get through the storm with my mortgage in case of furlough

    submitted by /u/MarvelvsDC2019
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    Why not call $GUSH 1 year from now?

    Posted: 30 Apr 2020 09:42 AM PDT

    I'm considering buying a call option for $GUSH one year from now, but the risk/reward seems too good to be true. Can anyone help me understand what I'm missing? I've been spooked by stories talking about oil going negative and people owing massive sums of money. Thanks in advance.

    submitted by /u/speechlessspinach
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