Stock Market - What is moving futures indices right now? |
- What is moving futures indices right now?
- How come obvious events that should affect market prices don't?
- Tradingview suite for Trading/Scalping. I was tired of spending hours on end to analyse markets so I created a script to tell me in seconds.
- Every time people ask why stocks aren't going up/down, it's obvious they didn't read "The Intelligent Investor"
- How does VIX work with calls/leap calls?
- Recap of Last Week's Unusual Insider Purchasing Activity
- Will Zoom (ZM) Last?
- Episode 17: The Crash of Carnival & Addition of Verizon (Dividend Investing)
- Who is ready for a Bull Week?
- A discussion about “Fake” stock trading you tubers
- Is Dow at 26k by the end of 2020 at all likely?
- How does my portfolio look beginner here
- Long Term Investment Taxable in a TFSA Account?
- Has SPHD failed during this virus?
- How does gold work?
- EXXON MOBILE ($XOM) - why not?
- Beginner Questions on Investing
- Best 5 market indexes to watch?
- Us trade - Risk money on stock markets getting better ?
- Big Shorts Looming?
- MLPA - Why the P/B ratio of this ETF differs from source to source?
- Question about current events
What is moving futures indices right now? Posted: 05 Apr 2020 05:53 PM PDT As of 7:50 CT the S&P futures are up +72.75 to 2555.12. What are the drivers behind this? OPEC + meeting moved to Thursday. Boris Johnson gets hospitalized. The only thing I can think of is a model predicted the virus would peak in New Orleans, New York and Michigan in 6-7 days. Any thoughts? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
How come obvious events that should affect market prices don't? Posted: 05 Apr 2020 10:46 AM PDT Sorry if this sounds dumb, I am new to this. For example, you would think due to the pandemic
But sensible connections don't seem to reflect the market. What are some resources that could help me understand this? Thanks! [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 05 Apr 2020 03:49 AM PDT NEW LINK: https://www.tradingview.com/script/HO1KUbCQ-Market-Sniper-Trading-Scalping-Suite/ New standalone Suite for Trading/Scalping. Created this to save time, it worked much better than expected so I published it Power up your trading and give feedback/ideas [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 05 Apr 2020 07:50 PM PDT And no this is not a jab at anyone in particular. I've seen people in many stock forums/reddit going crazy trying to analyze the current trend. The most common question is "WTF is the market going UP while we have a pandemic going on, no vaccine, no cure, millions of unemployed, and a recession looming in the horizon" The Intelligent Investor has addressed all of that. Basically, imagine the entire stock marker as one irrational man knocking on your door every day offering you to buy or sell stocks at totally unpredictable price. According to Benjamin Graham, you'd be best off ignoring him altogether and DCA the shit out of your portfolio. Sure you can read and analyze all you want, watch the news, try to predict things, but in reality, no one can predict jack squat in this market. You can drive yourself insane trying to see patterns that don't exist. Don't get emotional, don't buy more than you normally do, or sell more than you want. Just keep going at a steady rate and in the long term you will win. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
How does VIX work with calls/leap calls? Posted: 05 Apr 2020 04:03 PM PDT I have 6/1 260C. Every time SPY drills VIX increases, so the IV on my contract should increase too right? But, overall you'll still be down money. If SPY moons, VIX goes down, so the IV on my contract should decrease which decreases my profits. So how does the IV on calls contract increase? Does futures need to be 5% up or does SPY need to have a lot of volume in the specific contract that I've bought or the volume of the ticker just needs to be high? I'm scared my leap calls might get IV crushed despite SPY drilling or mooning. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Recap of Last Week's Unusual Insider Purchasing Activity Posted: 05 Apr 2020 10:48 AM PDT Hey all. We look at all of the Form 4s filed anytime an executive buys, sells, or is granted stock, to see if we can find any unusual insider compensation activity (i.e. activity that isn't part of any prearranged plans like repurchase programs, 10b5-1 plans, incentive programs, performance bonuses, yearly bonuses, etc). Last week we found W.P. Carey, Solar Capital, and Westlake Chemical Partners. 1) W. P. Carey Inc. ($WPC) - Insider Purchases*Unfortunately, we were a little slow in getting our analysis on W.P. Carey out (we found them on March 20th) as we were busy filtering through all the Executive Compensation activity, so the stock has rebounded 18% since we found them. However, they are still a prime candidate to keep an eye on as they are down significantly over the last month.* From Yahoo Finance:
W. P. Carey was having a good start to the year, reaching a peak stock price of $88.27 before crashing 44% over the last month to a closing price of $49.36 on March 20th (their closing price on March 27th was $60.34). The recent Form 4 activity shows that none of the executives' purchases were particularly large from a percentage of their total holdings standpoint, but that is because all of the executives (except for the Chief Accounting Officer) already own over $20M in stock. All of the executives except for the Chief Accounting Officer spent over $400,000 repurchasing stock while the 3 directors increased their holdings by 37%, 20%, and 11%. The only executive that did not purchase any stock is their CFO.
The individual Form 4 forms show give no explanation for the purchases, so we can assume that it isn't part of any sort of pre-arranged plan. The Proxy Statement verifies that W. P. Carey does have ownership guidelines stating that the CEO must hold 6x their annual salary in the stock, the other named executives must hold 3x their annual salary, and the Directors must hold 5x their cash retainers. Everyone except for one of the Directors holds a substantial amount more stock than they are required even after taking a 44% haircut on the stock price over the last month. \ The Chief Accounting Officers salary was not present in the most recent Proxy Statement **
W. P. Carey shows some intriguing insider purchasing activity and the substantial amount of money their top executives have invested in the company shows that they have a lot of skin in the game and are heavily incentivized to get that stock price back up to where it was before the crash. 2) Solar Capital Ltd ($SLRC) - Purchasing ActivityFrom Yahoo Finance:
Like most companies in the Asset Management industry, Solar Capital got crushed by this market downturn falling from their recent high of $21.12 down to their close of $10.62 on March 25th (a 49% decline). The recent Form 4 activity shows quite a bit of purchasing activity by the executives since the beginning of March (especially by the co-CEO, Michael Gross). The table below shows that all of the executives (and one director) made sizable 6-figure (and one 7-figure) purchases (except for the Chief Compliance Officer) and all made very sizable percentage increases to their holdings.
You will notice above that Mr. Gross made a 7-figure "indirect" purchase on top of his almost $800,000 direct purchase. Looking into his Form 4 shows us that most of that indirect ownership is through the Employee Stock Plan, Solar Capital Investors, and Solar Capital Investors 2, which both him and the other co-CEO, Bruce Spohler, have an ownership stake in. According to their Proxy Statement, it does not appear that Solar Capital has any ownership guidelines. This leads us to believe that these executive purchases could have been made because the executives believe the stock is at a great buying price. 3) Westlake Chemical Partners ($WLKP) - Purchasing ActivityFrom Yahoo Finance:
Westlake has had a rough start to the year. They have fallen from a stock price of $22.81 at the start of the year down to a low of $10.31 before making their way back up to a closing price of $16.08 at the close of the market on March 25th. Over the last two weeks, there has been a substantial amount of executive purchasing activity at $WLKP (Form 4 activity here). The purchasing was led by the CEO who bought up nearly $1,000,000 worth of shares between March 10th and March 24th as the stock continued its decline. None of the other purchases were particularly large from a dollar value perspective, but they all notably increased their amount of shares owned from a percentage perspective. We also find that Randy Woelfel, the sole director that made purchases, bought stock in the company for the first time (at a very good price too).
Taking a look at the CEO's Form 4, we first can verify that these purchases were not part of any pre-arranged plans. We also notice that Mr. Chao and his family own a significant number of shares through other entities and trusts. We couldn't find any proxy statements for Westlake, but their 10-K does not mention any ownership guidelines that require executives and directors to own a certain amount of stock. It appears that these executives may just believe the stock is at a very good price point and are buying it up. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 05 Apr 2020 10:38 AM PDT So recently Zoom has been hit with a plague of bad news ranging from security issues in their platform to NYC schools banning teachers from using this program to facilitate teaching. My wife is a teacher in the Dallas area and they are currently contemplating the same decision NYC has made. Do you think these hiccups will be short term issues or affect the company long term also? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Episode 17: The Crash of Carnival & Addition of Verizon (Dividend Investing) Posted: 05 Apr 2020 05:27 PM PDT First and foremost I want to thank everyone who has even spent a second to watch on of my videos. I have now passed 100 Subs and am shocked honestly. I truly appreciate all of the feedback and look forward to interacting with everyone in the future. With that being said, Of all of the industries that have been hit by what is going on in the world, Carnival Cruise Lines has taken one of the biggest hits. Aside from that, with 5G starting to take shape, Verizon looks to be a leader with AT&T and I want to add them to my portfolio. In this video I go over where I was wrong with Carnival Cruise Lines and explain why I think they are a stock that will have a lot of problems in the coming future. Be it the government currently not bailing them out or that the consumer will need to overcome the fear of being stuck at see in a floating petri dish. I also go over why I am adding Verizon to my portfolio to go along with my AT&T Stock as the 5G market starts to take off. I also go over the cosmetic changes M1 Finance has introduced as they make a sleeker and simpler user interface. Make sure to drop a like and if you are new to the channel to Subscribe if you like the content as we how now hit 100 Subs and have started our journey to the next milestone. I greatly appreciate all of the love so far and look forward to continuing this journey. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 05 Apr 2020 04:51 PM PDT What are some of your thoughts about the general direction we will be headed this week? Leave your thoughts below and be open to considerations of new ideas! I do believe we will be in a downtrend for the near future, and maybe it will accelerate; however, with some (in my head) estimations this could be a Bull. President Trump and the assisting doctor at tonight's press briefing were purposely relaying statistics to show America that we are starting to approach the recovery phase. There are up bull weeks in bear markets, and this week seems to be a good candidate for one. The Market obviously wants to go up, and if there is no new information this week to support why it should go down, then it could go up. With the information of unemployment, the extension to April 30th, and any other information that we received this past week we started to see the market "pricing in" the impact of all those statistics. Also, when I see /stockmarket saying it will go down, I start to think that it will go up. So a couple questions I would love to see discussion on would be: 1) WHY would the market go down this week? 2) WHY would the market go up this week? 3) Hypothetically, if we knew the end date of this virus and we start to see what the plan is, what would the market do with that information? If we start to understand the end, does that make everything better, or will stuff take a hit because it will know EXACTLY how much damage will be done? I would love to hear all your guys thoughts, and see some healthy discussion :) Disclaimer: I have no money currently in the market because I did not feel confident knowing what would happen over the weekend. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
A discussion about “Fake” stock trading you tubers Posted: 05 Apr 2020 06:54 PM PDT So I'm still relatively new in my investing journey and as any person in their 20's, I've used YouTube as a big portion of my research and learning of how things work. I've noticed a lot of the YouTubers with a course to sell have been accused of being fake, or not being completely transparent. As someone with a limited amount of experience, it's difficult to tell who's legit and who's not. I know if the YouTuber is flaunting A LOT of their lifestyle, then I usually automatically filter them out. I don't want to get involved with that. Which YouTube channels have the more experienced members in this sub found to be legit? Consider me someone who already knows about the biggest stock/financial YT channels out there btw. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Is Dow at 26k by the end of 2020 at all likely? Posted: 05 Apr 2020 06:39 PM PDT I realize we're all guessing here but I'd appreciate to hear others' opinion on whether or not it seems at all possible that by the end of 2020, the Dow will have recovered 25 % from its current level, meaning it would be at approximately 26K. I know the only real answer is 'anything is possible' but I'm just trying to get a feel of whether I'm on another planet here hoping for this to maybe happen. I never sold anything during this crash and the aforementioned ascend would put me back to where I was. I appreciate any comments and thank you. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
How does my portfolio look beginner here Posted: 05 Apr 2020 05:06 PM PDT Current I have a portfolio of 1k and 60% is AMD because I see some nice growth from them coming up when the whole corona virus blows off and the other 40% is VTI just to keep some diversity in it still. Im up for suggestions! [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Long Term Investment Taxable in a TFSA Account? Posted: 05 Apr 2020 07:35 PM PDT I have an account named "TD Direct Investing" "CAD TFSA". Now, I am planning on investing during this stock market crash and I was wondering if the capital gains that I make are taxable? I will not be day trading. I am planning on buying a lot of stocks and then selling them off when the market recovers. edit- some of these stocks are US stocks as well. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Has SPHD failed during this virus? Posted: 05 Apr 2020 09:20 AM PDT Its supposed to be a low volatility, high dividend etf built for down turns. The dividends aren't amazing but that was the trade off for low volatility. The returns trailed sp500 during the bull run but that was also ok due to low volatility. Well with this major down turn, SPHD has lost more than the SP500. So is it safe to say SPHD failed its purpose when it comes to this crisis? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 05 Apr 2020 03:14 PM PDT When gold prices go up do you... : 1. sell gold and invest it elsewhere while the market is down 2. sell it as a way to fight inflation and remain your purchasing power 3. ??? What is the purpose of buying gold & how should it be used from an investor's point of view? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EXXON MOBILE ($XOM) - why not? Posted: 05 Apr 2020 08:21 AM PDT I've got my eye on the aforementioned shares. A few articles say this is a golden time to buy, dividends may be cut for the first time since the 80s but XOM fundamentals are solid and they are highly diversified compared with strictly drillers or exploration oil companies. So, why not? Could be a double win, high dividend (almost .90/quarter now, even .40/quarter would be good) and high potential share gains in the near future. Saudis and Russians can't do this forever! Tell me I'm wrong. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Beginner Questions on Investing Posted: 05 Apr 2020 06:14 PM PDT What's up guys, just had a few things I'd like to get some advice on. I've put money into airlines, cruise lines, and some other minor stocks I've looked into. What else would I be missing? Not trying to spend a lot of money, just looking for a nice return in the next 6 months or so. Thanks! [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Best 5 market indexes to watch? Posted: 05 Apr 2020 04:37 PM PDT For a diversified way to watch the market, what are the 5 best indexes to monitor that each bring something substantially "different" to the table? Want peoples opinions on what 3-5 indexes they watch, in aggregate, to help them make informed decisions before purchasing/selling. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Us trade - Risk money on stock markets getting better ? Posted: 05 Apr 2020 06:48 AM PDT I have $2000 that I don't mind risking if im wrong, I want to get high yield knowing stock markets will be better let's say a year from now Buying sp 500 index will not give high yield , Is there a risky device/options I can buy? Sorry for any grammar issues, im a foreigner [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 05 Apr 2020 01:07 PM PDT Looking at some giant short opportunities and these might be surprising to people: WMT...Walmart still near 52 week highs and foot traffic just starting to slow now..soon it will be the sound of silence. $119 to <$80 No money, no problem? No money, big problem for WMT. KR..Kroger also near 52 week highs, even all time highs. $32 to <$20. Everyone is stocked up, dead broke and Kroger is still hiring like a madman. Gearing up supply chains, moving tons into retail space to rot on the shelves. ZM...what's not to short about this? There will be a dozen+ knock offs soon. Share price is an insult to one's intelligence. $127 to <$60 TLSA..the mother of all shorts! $475/share when in a few short months most wont be able to afford a beater Hyundai. This has to be the single most absurd valuation since the dot.com bubble. $475 to <$40, I might even go lower. PTON...hahahahahahhaha. This is incredible. Hordes of millennials that wont be able to make rent/mortgage peddling on overpriced stationary bikes getting in shape for dates they will never go on because they are broke, can't pay back their student loans and even with home prices about to crash, will never a own a home until they are 40+. And you will still all be fat and out of shape because cycling for 30 minutes at home isnt going to make up for the 4000 calories of snacks you eat all day! PTON $28 to <$18 Anyone have other good shorts still with legs? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
MLPA - Why the P/B ratio of this ETF differs from source to source? Posted: 05 Apr 2020 06:42 AM PDT So I am researching some ETFs to get into and I noticed that Global X MLP ETF (NYSEARCA:MLPA) has different P/B ratios on different websites.
Why is there such a difference between those figures and how do I determine which one is right? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 04 Apr 2020 09:27 PM PDT This might be the wrong place for this and if so I apologize, but I'm not very knowledgeable about the specifics that go into stock trading and had a question about some of the news stories I'm seeing recently. I keep reading articles about politicians who were warned well in advance about just how serious and debilitating the Covid-19 pandemic would end up being and, instead of informing the public, sold all their relevant stock holdings before anything else. My question is: how is this legal and would this not be considered insider trading? They were given information that, if widely distributed, would lower the value of their stocks so before they allowed the information to be released they made sure to sell their stocks at a higher value before the crash. My understanding of insider trading is that it is when a stockholder is given information that would affect their stock holdings and makes decisions based on this information before it is known by the wider public. The way it was initially explained to me was with a metaphor about a person who had stocks in a mining company. If that person had a buddy who worked in the mine who called them up and said "hey man, the mine is all but dry and the company owner is going to release a statement tomorrow about it," then they would know that their stocks' value was in jeopardy before anyone else. Consequentially, that person could sell all their stocks in the mining company before they became worthless. This same principal seems to be applying to these politicians, so I'm confused how they aren't being taken to court for insider trading. Can someone please explain it to me or let me know if I have the wrong definition of insider trading? [link] [comments] |
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