• Breaking News

    Saturday, April 4, 2020

    Stock Market - Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning April 6th, 2020

    Stock Market - Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning April 6th, 2020


    Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning April 6th, 2020

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 08:18 AM PDT

    Good Saturday morning to all of you here on r/StockMarket. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.

    Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning April 6th, 2020.

    The stimulus boost has passed and now the stock market is focused solely on virus developments - (Source)


    The stock market enters a four-day week that is the lull before earnings season, but it's the headlines on developments around the spread of the coronavirus that may result in the most volatility.


    Strategists say investors are now most focused on how the virus is progressing, what medical developments might help, and how long it could take to end the shutdown of most of the U.S.


    "I think it's a wait and see with a drift to the downside. I think if you look back to that three-, four-day rally we had in March, capping off the end of the month, I think a lot of that was reaction to the Fed, a lot of it was reaction to the stimulus out of Washington," said Lori Calvasina, chief U.S. equities strategist at RBC. "There were good vibes coming off of that, but that was yesterday's news. I think the Fed has done a good job. They have peoples' confidence...One thing we now need is a decline in the number of virus cases in the U.S."


    Oil could be a factor in the week ahead as OPEC and Russia hold an emergency meeting Monday to discuss production cuts. Oil rallied 12% in the past week with West Texas Intermediate futures at $28.34 per barrel, its best week ever. President Donald Trump sparked the rally when he said he spoke to Saudi Arabia and Russia and they wanted a deal to cut production.


    In the past week, stocks were lower for the third week in four, as the market absorbed the latest shocking reports of layoffs, and investors worried about the duration of the virus related shutdowns. The S&P 500 closed down 2% for the week, at 2,488.


    Jobs picture

    On Sunday, Trump extended the guidelines on social distancing to April 30, as the number of cases grew.


    Thursday's report of 6.6 million new unemployment claims for the week ended March 28 brought the two week total of workers filing claims to 10 million. The biggest data report in the week ahead could again be that jobless claims number on Thursday.


    "We look for 7 million new claims to be reported for the week ended April 4, though obviously the range of uncertainty around this forecast is wide, and a substantial decline is also possible," noted J.P. Morgan economist Jesse Edgerton.


    Consumer sentiment is reported Thursday, and consumer price index inflation is reported Friday, when the stock market is closed for the Good Friday holiday.


    "I'm not a big believer that investors gain a lot of information from single points of data and even less right now," said Mike Swell, co-head of global portfolio management at Goldman Sachs Asset Management. "We need the world to open back up. We need the global economies to open back up to have any sense of the lasting impact of this on jobs. The concerns in corporate boardrooms is how conservative they're going to be when it comes to cap ex and hiring."


    The Fed releases minutes of its last meeting Wednesday.


    "The schedule doesn't matter anymore. What matters now is how the pandemic is playing out, the extent of the downturn of the economy, and then how capital markets are functioning," Swell said. "All of those things together are going to drive what the Fed's going to do, and they'll act when they need to take action."


    The Fed has flooded the markets with liquidity and is ballooning its balance sheet with Treasury and mortgage purchases. Swell said the Fed's programs are helping the markets they've taken aim at including corporate debt, mortgages and commercial paper.


    Earnings ahead

    First quarter earnings season is scheduled to start in the week after next, and there could be more companies withdrawing guidance between now and then.


    "We're all facing the realization [the virus shutdown] that it's going to take longer, it's going to go deeper and that alone is taking the wind out of the sales," said Calvasina. "Then the companies are going to report , and they're not going to tell us anything...companies are just withdrawing guidance. It's not even like there's a new lower bar. Are we going to come out of this with a bar or are we going to come out of this with no direction?"


    According to Refinitiv, earnings are expected to decline about 5.5% for the first quarter, which saw the biggest impact from the virus in the final weeks of March.


    Calvasina said she expects the market to retest the lows of March 23, in part because it does not seem investors have gotten negative enough. She said they do not appear to be factoring in the latest gloomy projections from economists of a more than 30% decline in second quarter GDP. She said the market could still have a ways to go before bottoming, and notes the financial crisis drop was 49%. A drop of that magnitude would take the S&P to 1,727.


    Her own survey of clients shows that many investors still have a bullish view on the market with a six to 12-month horizon. "We're seeing investors taking a constructive view. They like what the Fed has done.There seems to be a view about the economy that the damage is really going to be concentrated in the second quarter, and it's going to be contained in terms of depth and contained in terms of duration," she said.


    This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Indices for this past week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

    Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

    Sector Performance WTD, MTD, YTD:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE WEEK-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MONTH-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE 3-MONTH PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE YEAR-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE 52-WEEK PERFORMANCE!)

    Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

    Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #3!)

    A Technical Look at Market Internals

    Following last week's more than 10% gain, the S&P 500 Index is tracking toward another weekly loss, its fifth of the last seven. This has many investors wondering if a retest of the lows may be in the cards for US equities. As we explored in our How Markets Bottom post, two of the bear markets we believe show the most similarities to our current one did retest or undercut the lows after the worst of the selling.

    "Whether or not we get a retest is an open question," said LPL Financial Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "But we believe we've seen the worst of the selling, and we will be watching to confirm that fewer individual stocks are making new lows on a further pullback in the indexes."

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    As the LPL Chart of the Day shows, although the S&P 500 made its low on March 23, more stocks actually bottomed a week earlier on March 16, when more than two-thirds of the individual stocks in the index hit a one-year low. Regardless of the direction of the S&P 500 over the coming days, we want to see this trend of fewer stocks making new lows continue.


    Road to Recovery Playbook Factor #1: COVID-19 Case Update

    Factor #1 in our Road to Recovery Playbook is finding confidence in the peak of COVID-19 cases in the United States. At LPL Research we are monitoring this factor daily, and we wanted to provide an update into what we are seeing. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, while the number of new cases in the United States has continued to climb, the number of new cases seen outside of the US has begun to drop in recent days. In fact, Italy, the worst-hit country in terms of total deaths from the virus, reported on Tuesday that new cases hit a two-week low.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    This data is important because thus far the number of COVID-19 cases has conformed to Farr's Law of Epidemics, exhibiting a somewhat predictable bell curve normal-like distribution. Formulated in the 1800s by British epidemiologist Dr. William Farr, these laws predict that epidemics normally follow a pattern of sharp increase, a peak, and then a decline back to a baseline.

    The distributions of both new COVID-19 cases and related fatalities in China and South Korea have exhibited this behavior and appear to have ridden out the initial outbreak cycle. The City of Wuhan, China, which was the initial epicenter for the virus, reported on March 19 that it had zero new cases—showing us that the curve can be flattened and there is light at the end of this dark tunnel.

    "The market's bounce last week may have been in anticipation of some of these more positive data points regarding the virus," said LPL Financial Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "While US cases continue to climb, the more countries that reach their peak, the more clarity we gain into what that timing may look like for the United States. Investors have historically been rewarded for investing during these crisis events, and we believe the time for suitable investors to consider adding some risk to their portfolios may be approaching."


    Can April's Top-Month Record Extend Market Rally?

    April marks the end of the "Best Six Months" for DJIA and the S&P 500. The window for the seasonal MACD sell signal opens on April 1st. The unprecedented speed of the current market selloff and current bear market would appear to have made this year's signal insignificant. This could be the case, but it is far too early to say if the worst of the bear market is over. Double-digit DJIA losses during the "Best Six Months" have only occurred three times (ending in April in 1970, 1974 and 2009) since 1950. In 1970 & 2009 the "Worst Six Months" were positive while in 1974 DJIA slide another 20.5%.

    April 1999 was the first month to gain 1000 DJIA points. However, from 2000 to 2005, "Tax" month was hit, declining in four of six years. Since 2006, April has been up fourteen years in a row with an average gain of 2.3% to reclaim its position as the best DJIA month since 1950. April is second best for S&P and fourth best for NASDAQ (since 1971).

    The first half of April used to outperform the second half, but since 1994 that has no longer been the case. The effect of April 15 Tax Deadline appears to be diminished with numerous bullish days present on either side of the day. Traders and investors are clearly focused on first quarter earnings and guidance during April. This year, guidance will likely be the greatest focus, as first and second quarter earnings are likely to be disappointing as a result of the coronavirus pandemic.

    Historically bullish election-year influences (the second-best year of the four-year presidential election cycle) have the exact opposite effect on April. Average gains since 1952 are approximately half of the average gain of all years since 1950 for DJIA and S&P 500. Largely due to a 15.6% loss in 2000, NASDAQ's typical strength in all Aprils since 1971 is transformed into an average loss in election years.

    This data is important because thus far the number of COVID-19 cases has conformed to Farr's Law of Epidemics, exhibiting a somewhat predictable bell curve normal-like distribution. Formulated in the 1800s by British epidemiologist Dr. William Farr, these laws predict that epidemics normally follow a pattern of sharp increase, a peak, and then a decline back to a baseline.

    The distributions of both new COVID-19 cases and related fatalities in China and South Korea have exhibited this behavior and appear to have ridden out the initial outbreak cycle. The City of Wuhan, China, which was the initial epicenter for the virus, reported on March 19 that it had zero new cases—showing us that the curve can be flattened and there is light at the end of this dark tunnel.

    "The market's bounce last week may have been in anticipation of some of these more positive data points regarding the virus," said LPL Financial Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "While US cases continue to climb, the more countries that reach their peak, the more clarity we gain into what that timing may look like for the United States. Investors have historically been rewarded for investing during these crisis events, and we believe the time for suitable investors to consider adding some risk to their portfolios may be approaching."

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Down Best Six Months Not Encouraging

    The depth of this waterfall decline may be too deep for the market to rebound quickly. This bear market also put this year's Best Six Months (November-April) at risk of being negative. The record of down Best Six Months is not encouraging and it reminds us of a salient quote from the Almanac from an old market sage, "If the market does not rally, as it should during bullish seasonal periods, it is a sign that other forces are stronger and that when the seasonal period ends those forces will really have their say."— Edson Gould (Stock market analyst, Findings & Forecasts, 1902-1987)

    The table below of Down Best Six Month for DJIA since 1950 also suggests caution and patience is in order. Subsequent Worst Six Months (May-October) have averaged losses with only two decent years 1982 and 2009. The market bottom in August 1982 marked the end of the 1966-1982 secular bear market and came of the early 1980s double dip recession. Following the first back-to-back down Best Six Months since 1973-1974, the market hit a secular bear market low in March 2009. Market action in the rest of these years was rather grim.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Sector Relative Strength

    Over the past year, the Technology sector has been the most notable sector in terms of outperformance relative to the S&P 500. As shown in the charts from our Sector Snapshot below, the relative strength chart for Technology has been in a steady uptrend for the past twelve months without much interruption even while the decade long bull market was coming to an end. In fact, last week it was the first sector to exit oversold territory after every sector was oversold for 13 days. The other sectors have not been as lucky. During the recent sell off, the relative performance of most sectors, especially cyclicals like Energy, Financials, and Industrials, fell sharply (indicating even worse declines than the S&P 500). Consumer Staples and Health Care, on the other hand, have seen much stronger performance than the rest of the market.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Consumers Turn Bearish on Equities

    Tuesday's Consumer Confidence report managed to exceed expectations, but as we noted at the time, the survey for the March reports cuts off on the 18th, so as economic conditions turned south, sentiment levels also likely declined. One area of the report where sentiment already has seen a notable decline is in consumer sentiment towards stock prices. As shown in the top chart below, the percentage of consumers expecting stock prices to decline nearly doubled from 21.7% up to 39.2% while the percentage of consumers looking for higher prices dropped from 43.1% down to 32.3%. In the case of negative sentiment, the percentage of bearish consumers hasn't been this high since late 2012.

    Given the major shift in sentiment, the spread between bullish and bearish consumers has seen a major reversal falling from firmly positive (21.4) to firmly negative (-6.9). By this measure, the spread between bullish and bearish investors hasn't been this negative since February 2016.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly Commodities in Q1

    Very few assets have been winners recently, especially in the commodities space. As shown in the table below, no major energy or metal commodities (front-month futures) rose in March and gold was the only one to rise in the first quarter. The degree of those declines varied greatly. While gasoline and WTI futures (crude oil) were more than cut in half, gold and iron ore fell less than one percent in March. Considering iron ore's cyclical nature, that small decline is somewhat surprising but as for Q1, iron ore's performance was much weaker with a decline of over 10.5%. Granted, that is still a far better performance than copper which was down by more than twice that. Given the size of these declines, every one of the commodities highlighted below sits well off of its 52-week high. Gasoline and crude oil are the worst of these at 74.14% and 69.63%, respectively. As for where they finished the quarter relative to their 52-week lows, things are mixed. Gasoline, gold, and silver are off those lows by double-digit percentages while the rest are less than 10% away.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    As with many charts across assets, the technical picture of these commodities looks ugly. Almost every one has broken below significant support levels and safe-haven gold is the only one currently in anything other than a downtrend. Although it finished the month just off of the lows, crude oil fell all the way to its lowest levels since 2002 after crashing through support in February. The same can be said for gasoline. Natural gas remains a pain trade with the downtrend of the past several months still firmly in place.

    Given its safe-haven status, gold has again been an outperformer approaching some of its highest levels of the past decade during the risk asset rout of the past couple of months. But it has recently been a more volatile trade. The yellow metal has yet to break above resistance around 1,700/oz and has even fallen to support around the 50-DMA. Despite also having the precious metal status, silver has been a serial underperformer to gold. Silver never shared gold's rally over the past couple of months as it fell to its lowest levels since 2009.

    As for industrial metals, copper has been hovering around its lowest levels since the final quarter of 2016 after falling through the past year's support around $2.50. On the bright side, the technicals of iron ore have been slightly more constructive as it has still held up at support around $75.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending April 3rd, 2020

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!)

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 4.5.20

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

    (VIDEO NOT YET POSTED!)


    Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-


    • $SMPL
    • $CONN
    • $GBX
    • $LEVI
    • $ANGO
    • $RPM
    • $SGH
    • $LNN
    • $MSM
    • $SJR
    • $WDFC
    • $NTIC
    • $EXFO
    • $CAAP
    • $SLP
    • $TLGT

    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES FOR THE MONTH OF APRIL 2020!)

    Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:


    Monday 4.6.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Monday 4.6.20 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.


    Tuesday 4.7.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Tuesday 4.7.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Wednesday 4.8.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Wednesday 4.8.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Thursday 4.9.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Thursday 4.9.20 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.


    Friday 4.10.20 Before Market Open:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.


    Friday 4.10.20 After Market Close:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]())

    NONE.


    Simply Good Foods Company $18.77

    Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Monday, April 6, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.18 per share on revenue of $219.69 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.20 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 20.00% with revenue increasing by 77.46%. Short interest has increased by 43.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 30.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 26.0% below its 200 day moving average of $25.37. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, March 25, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,763 contracts of the $20.00 call expiring on Friday, April 17, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 17.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.3% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Conn's, Inc. $3.33

    Conn's, Inc. (CONN) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:00 AM ET on Thursday, April 9, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.35 per share on revenue of $412.61 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.33 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 65% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $394.00 million to $411.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 63.54% with revenue decreasing by 4.71%. Short interest has increased by 23.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 77.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 80.3% below its 200 day moving average of $16.86. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 25.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 16.7% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Levi Strauss & Co. $9.51

    Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:15 PM ET on Tuesday, April 7, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.35 per share on revenue of $1.47 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.37 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 6% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 7.89% with revenue increasing by 2.48%. Short interest has increased by 37.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 51.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 47.1% below its 200 day moving average of $17.97. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 6.0% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Greenbrier Companies Inc. $13.12

    Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:00 AM ET on Tuesday, April 7, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.29 per share on revenue of $800.03 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.25 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 35% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 31.82% with revenue increasing by 21.46%. Short interest has increased by 93.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 57.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 50.9% below its 200 day moving average of $26.74. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, April 2, 2020 there was some notable buying of 544 contracts of the $10.00 put expiring on Friday, June 19, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 21.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 6.2% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    AngioDynamics $9.63

    AngioDynamics (ANGO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, April 7, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.03 per share on revenue of $68.43 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.04) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 30% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 115.79% with revenue decreasing by 20.74%. Short interest has decreased by 9.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 43.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 39.5% below its 200 day moving average of $15.93. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, March 24, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,450 contracts of the $12.50 call expiring on Friday, April 17, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 18.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.2% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    RPM International Inc. $56.94

    RPM International Inc. (RPM) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:45 AM ET on Wednesday, April 8, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.20 per share on revenue of $1.18 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.18 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 36% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.17 to $0.23 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 42.86% with revenue increasing by 3.45%. Short interest has decreased by 16.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 25.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.1% below its 200 day moving average of $68.67. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 11.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.1% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    SMART Global Holdings, Inc. $20.67

    SMART Global Holdings, Inc. (SGH) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, April 7, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.50 per share on revenue of $268.40 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.47 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 57% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.45 to $0.55 per share on revenue of $265.00 million to $275.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 34.21% with revenue decreasing by 11.73%. Short interest has increased by 22.1% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 41.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 30.3% below its 200 day moving average of $29.64. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 16.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 14.3% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Lindsay Manufacturing Co. $85.46

    Lindsay Manufacturing Co. (LNN) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:45 AM ET on Tuesday, April 7, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.49 per share on revenue of $113.67 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.40 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 40% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 2,350.00% with revenue increasing by 4.11%. Short interest has decreased by 29.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 13.4% from its open following the earnings release. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    MSC Industrial Direct Co. Inc. $54.32

    MSC Industrial Direct Co. Inc. (MSM) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:30 AM ET on Wednesday, April 8, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.98 per share on revenue of $789.46 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.00 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release is for earnings to come in-line with estimates The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.97 to $1.03 per share on revenue of $781.00 million to $798.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 20.97% with revenue decreasing by 4.08%. Short interest has decreased by 56.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 30.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 22.7% below its 200 day moving average of $70.32. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 9.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.6% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Shaw Communications Inc. $15.62

    Shaw Communications Inc. (SJR) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, April 9, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.25 per share on revenue of $1.05 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.20 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 8.70% with revenue increasing by 6.24%. The stock has drifted lower by 22.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 19.3% below its 200 day moving average of $19.36. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. Option traders are pricing in a 13.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.8% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    DISCUSS!

    What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?


    I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead r/StockMarket.

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
    [link] [comments]

    What are your “they’ll be back” stocks?

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 06:22 PM PDT

    Excluding blue chips like Apple and Microsoft, what companies do you believe will best weather the storm and likely be back to where they were before the pandemic. What companies stocks are down the most right now, that you don't believe have a high chance of going bankrupt? Whether it be 2 years or 10 years, what stocks right now do you personally believe will pay off the best when this is all over?

    submitted by /u/lizeskiman97
    [link] [comments]

    Is it the general consensus that airlines are getting slaughtered Monday morning?

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 01:23 PM PDT

    After Buffets move? Any past examples of a large shareholder selling off right before the weekend and what happened the following Monday? I want to get out of airlines now, but am unsure if I should sell now for after hours price or midday Monday. is a even a small surge in airlines on Monday a pipe dream?

    submitted by /u/lizeskiman97
    [link] [comments]

    GREAT VALUE! $O Realty Corp.

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 05:35 PM PDT

    TLDR; Price > $45 Attractive.

    Fellow investors,

    As we all know COVID-19 is affecting every aspect of our lives, but it is also presenting many buying opportunities in our market. $O Realty Corp is one of them.

    Some Quick Metrics @ $45/SHARE :

    • Current Dividend = $0.233 /Month
    • Current Yield = 6.21%
    • Total Debt to Total Assets = 43.28
    • EBITDA = 29.46
    • Debt to EBITDA = 5.87
    • Price to Book Ratio = 2.51
    • RSI = 34 (not oversold yet)
    • Price to Cash Flow Ratio = 21.78

    Its current drop 47%-%50 from ATH is the largest drop in the company's stock history. 08-09 it was 42%.

    Its historical yield has rarely gone over 5%

    16.5 % compound annual total return.

    4.5% Compound Annualized Dividend Growth.

    Consistently Keep Occupancy Above 97 %

    Had a public offering of 9,000,000 shares @ 77.40 that closed March 2nd LMAO

    "Net proceeds from the offering, after underwriting discounts and commissions, will be approximately $677 million. The company also granted the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to 1,350,000 additional shares of common stock. The company intends to use the net proceeds from the offering to repay borrowings outstanding under its $3.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility and, to the extent not used for that purpose, to fund potential investment opportunities and/or for other general corporate purposes."

    Summary: $O Realty Corp is an ELITE REIT that not only trades at a premium to its peers, but rarely trades at an attractive discounted valuation. For long term investors this valuation is an absolute steal. To dividend investors its an opportunity to add world class company to their portfolio.

    RISKS: COVID-19 drags on for more than 3 months, dividend possibly in danger. Government Stimulus is currently a "life-line" for some businesses that O Realty Corp rents to and if it dries up they go under and O Realty Corp loses a tenant in them. I am sure that Management is doing everything possible to minimize damage and taking advantage of any program and or opportunities that present themselves to fortify the company,

    submitted by /u/tortafeet
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    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the trading week beginning April 6th, 2020

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 07:57 AM PDT

    BigBear0083's Real-time U.S. Market Indices Data Spreadsheet (Horizontal Layout)

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 09:14 AM PDT

    Hi r/StockMarket!

    This is the final of my series of spreadsheets that I am sharing on this sub and opening to the public for copies & downloads.

    This here is a real-time U.S. market indices data spreadsheet on Google Sheets.

    Someone last week had suggested that I create a new spreadsheet that has the data laid out horizontally as opposed to vertically like my other spreadsheets.

    This particular spreadsheet is not as data rich as my other sheets. It's a more simpler version if you will. That being said, if I can find some time later this weekend I'll see if I can add more things to this spreadsheet.

    Anyway, I just thought I would share this in here for everyone in this sub who wanted to make their own copies as I know I have gotten quite a few requests from this subreddit over the course of the past couple of weeks to give you all the ability to copy my spreadsheet to your own Google Drives.

    So, without getting into further ado I present to you all my newest U.S. market indices spreadsheet:

    (Here is the direct link to my Google Sheet!)

    BTW, for those of you who missed my other spreadsheet shares in here over the past few weeks, here they are. Listed from recent to oldest.


    BigBear0083's Complete U.S. Stock Market on Google Sheets


    BigBear0083's Stock Tracking Spreadsheet


    BigBear0083's Real-time U.S. Market Indices Tracking Spreadsheet


    If there are any issues opening any of the above links, please do let me know asap.

    Thanks and have a great weekend everyone.

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    How to get the most accurate low but as a closing price?

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 04:59 PM PDT

    Trying to figure out what $HLTs most recent low is but as a closing price, dating back to 1/13/20. I see their 52 week low is 44 but that wasn't a closing price. From the looks of it it is today @ $55.94 but I'm not sure. Want to get an idea of what my ESPP will be purchasing at!

    submitted by /u/GRaTePHuLDoL
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    AAL and UAL

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 07:29 AM PDT

    I bought 100 shares of these when things were going down and it has been downhill, you think any of these will go out of business, should I keep it sell them in loss?

    submitted by /u/varun22486
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    $GCGX | Complete DD package for those who were asking. This will be the next big mover in the OTC.

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 12:30 PM PDT

    Had a bunch of people ask for DD on $GCGX over the last week. Originally, I posted some DD before their big move. Now, its round 2 and the company released a bunch of new stuff. So, here is some DD for you all. Please, as always, do your own DD and what not. I have been following this company for two years when they announced they wanted to do all these things. 2 years later, they actually made it.

    Their Twitter account:

    They have all of a sudden became VERY active on twitter, with some big announcements on twitter leading to PRs.

    Here are some of the big company tweets to pay special attention to:

    Announcement that their next revs could be in the 7 figures: https://twitter.com/Global_GCGXOTC/status/1242791018329706498?s=20

    CONFIRMATION that their next quarterly report will have $1.4 million in revenues: https://twitter.com/Global_GCGXOTC/status/1243520496370622464?s=20

    This one is huge. Hinting of a share-buy back: https://twitter.com/Global_GCGXOTC/status/1243612815694405640?s=20

    Correction that its actually 1.5 million and not 1.4: https://twitter.com/Global_GCGXOTC/status/1245353093417623552?s=20

    Recent tweet saying this big quarterly report will be posted as early as next week: https://twitter.com/Global_GCGXOTC/status/1246132440051126279?s=20

    Tweeted just now: All t heir inspections have passed. Its all official now: https://twitter.com/Global_GCGXOTC/status/1246487885638971392?s=20

    Major announcement what would happend if they passed all inspections (Which they just did as of TODAY).

    $GCGX - Indulge Oils: Presents a 4 liter, batch now considered "Supreme Purity" can be refined to over 90 if needed. This will yield FAR greater than our estimated $7,000 per liter. LOI: Production for 25 liters per day $7000+ Per Liter Revenues from this: $175,000 per day

    Company confirms they will be uplisting and initiating a share buy back, just 2 days ago.

    Yes, the plan is now uplisting, confirmation of share buy back, and dramatically increasing revenues month over month now that the inspections are complete and can initiate the LOI, which is open for roughly $150,000 per day of oil.

    News came out that the oil they were producing came out as 10 points HIGHER in purity, which means it sells for MORE than they expected.

    $GCGX - Indulge Oils: Presents a 4 liter, batch now considered "Supreme Purity" can be refined to over 90 if needed. This will yield FAR greater than our estimated $7,000 per liter.

    I think within April we will be over $0.01 - And for the next quarter if the revenues continue, I see it hitting $0.05 with ease.

    Hope this all helps.

    submitted by /u/virus_stocks100
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    AIRLINES Fundamental Analysis

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 08:30 AM PDT

    Hey guys, newbie here looking to place some bets on the airline industry and hoping it will pay off long term with just 2% of my portfolio.

    I was looking at the financial statements of ten different airlines and was wondering the following:

    1) what are the most important criteria/ratio/fundamentals when selecting an airline company to put my money on?

    2) which airlines have the most chance of staying afloat after this beer virus situation ends? and why?

    Let me know your thoughts, from my inexperience I've selected in order LUV, DAL, ALK, RYA, AC

    submitted by /u/IGkingofengagement
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    Newbie

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 03:34 PM PDT

    I've always wanted to get into stocks and with everything falling to prices where even someone like me without any real money to spend can try to get into it. Any advice or anything y'all have done that you wish you didn't?

    submitted by /u/Grizzwalder
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    Stock symbol question

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 11:30 AM PDT

    I use Fidelity and am from the US. I've been looking into a company called Nests Oil from Finland and would like to buy some shares. I've noticed that there are two different stock symbols for this company on Fidelity. One is NTOIF and the other is NTOIY. Is one half a shares worth of the other? Can someone please explain the difference between the two in laymans terms? Also, they have two different values. Thanks!

    submitted by /u/Laughingduck1
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    List your favorite Monthly dividend payments etfs

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 07:21 AM PDT

    I am thinking of symbol QYLD. I believe it sells calls which I have no clue about but monthly dividend looks attractive. What are your favorite monthly dividend stocks or ETFs?

    submitted by /u/jamesbondc
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    Beginner - need some help

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 11:04 AM PDT

    Hello,

    Im pretty new to this. I was thinking to invest some money on BAC, NRZ and NYMT and hold for some time. Im not looking for a fast profit. Do you think that those 3 stocks are a good option at the moment?

    Thank you:)

    submitted by /u/AndrewOP1122
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    What do you believe is the best investment advisor to use?

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 09:19 AM PDT

    Im 18 and I'm very illiterate when it comes to money and stuff and am now trying to educate myself on business and finance because I'm thinking of starting a business but I'm currently working to make some money so just want to know before I invest wat is the best advisor that have helped you greatly.

    submitted by /u/Helpthisuser
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    What happens to my Sprint Call Options after the Sprint/T-Mobile merger?

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 07:44 AM PDT

    I'm looking for a "simple" answer. I've looked online and listened to podcasts and have found several answers but nothing definitive that talks about the Sprint/T- Mobile merger specifically? I has hoping someone with a bit more knowledge than me could answer this question.

    Thanks you!

    submitted by /u/jonwilliams911
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    What happens when two companies merge?

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 03:21 AM PDT

    So I'm new to all this but a while back I bought 780 shares of CZR (Caesars Entertainment) and my question is what happens when two companies merge? I read that El Dorado will be buying out Caesars Ent. Would all my shares disappear? Would it be best to sell now and keep some of my money? If someone could just break it down and feed me a little bit of knowledge that would be greatly appreciated.

    submitted by /u/CiscoS1969
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    Hedge fund managers recommendations

    Posted: 04 Apr 2020 01:48 AM PDT

    Hi guys,

    I need your advice, I'm trying to find out if hedge fund managers release the list of stocks that they recommend to buy\sell once every X amount of time? Is there something like that?

    Thanks!

    submitted by /u/Snusilda
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