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    Saturday, February 1, 2020

    Stocks - If I could go back in time 20+ years, I never would have started 'trading'. Remorse of a previous investor.

    Stocks - If I could go back in time 20+ years, I never would have started 'trading'. Remorse of a previous investor.


    If I could go back in time 20+ years, I never would have started 'trading'. Remorse of a previous investor.

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 06:19 AM PST

    I hope this post helps someone out there to avoid the mistakes that I have made.

    When I was 11 years old, my step dad helped me invest $850 I had saved up in my first stock. It was 1996 or so, and the first tech boom was just a few years away.

    By the time I was 15-16 I had a full portfolio and was rocking it. I had around $50k invested. All from money I made working at a flower shop, computer repair shop, (and selling a bit of pot too if I am being honest), and buying stocks. I was going to be the next Warren Buffett of course ... lol.

    In 1999-2001 day trading took the internet by storm. Even your cab driver had trading tips back then. I got sucked in with many others, and I also got wiped out. By 20 years old, I had blown out my account to 0 on dumb options plays, not knowing what I was doing and taking idiotic risk that I didn't fully understand.

    For a decade I avoided the market mostly, even though it had once been such a passion. I got a degree. Went into a different industry.

    Sadly at some point along the way again, I thought I could be a 'trader'. I went through similar cycles as the first time (perhaps with a bit more knowledge, wisdom and maturity than the first time). The game is even harder now though. The HFT's and Algo's are programmed just so perfectly to squeeze out your money, even if it is one penny at a time. Once again, after wasting many years, I found myself at the bottom.

    I will spare you the rest and jump straight to the ending: I am nearing 36 years old, and my portfolio is nearly non existent. I am not poor, and I own a nice little business ... but I am also filled with regret.

    Had I never started trading, and had I just continued investing, I would probably be a multi millionaire based on the trajectory I was headed by this point. I also would have gotten to skip many years of shame, doubt and guilt.

    The amount of people in this day and age that are actually successful traders are so god damn few and far in between. There is a reason the entire world has moved to quant systems. Computers trade better than humans filled with emotions.

    Moral of the story for you youngins' out there: Buy and hold. Maybe don't buy today at the peak of a fed induced 10+ year bull run and wait for a market correction in the next few years (ironic that I would be giving financial advice by the way), but when the opportunity strikes .... buy and hold. Make smart investments. Don't take dumb un-necessary risks. Sometimes the boring stocks are the absolute best ones.

    The stock market shouldn't be exciting. It shouldn't be something that makes you lose sleep or feel anxiety. It shouldn't be 'fun'.

    Hope someone gains something from this post.

    submitted by /u/purplealmondmilk
    [link] [comments]

    Swiping their way higher: Visa, Mastercard could be the next $1 trillion companies

    Posted: 31 Jan 2020 06:32 PM PST

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-visa-mastercard-stocks/swiping-their-way-higher-visa-mastercard-could-be-the-next-1-trillion-companies-idUSKBN1ZU0JA

    NEW YORK (Reuters) - Tech and internet titans were the first to reach $1 trillion in stock market value, but the next U.S. companies that could do so are better known for their plastic.

    Soaring stock prices are propelling credit and debit card companies Visa Inc and Mastercard Inc up the market value charts, where they currently rank 7th and 11th among companies in the benchmark S&P 500 index. The stock prices of both Visa and Mastercard have gained roughly 50% in the past year.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Tesla short sellers lose more than $1.5 billion in one day as stock skyrockets on earnings

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 10:11 AM PST

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/30/tesla-shorts-lose-more-than-1-billion-as-stock-surges-on-earnings.html

    Investors betting against Elon Musk's electric-auto maker Tesla collectively lost more than $1.5 on Thursday after its solid earnings, according to data firm S3 Analytics.

    Tesla short sellers are now down more than $5.2 billion this year in mark-to-market losses after losing $2.89 billion in 2019.

    Since the stock's June low, Tesla shorts have covered 19.11 million shares, worth $11.1 billion, and are down $12.43 billion in mark-to-market losses.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
    [link] [comments]

    AIMT: FDA approves first drug for treatment of peanut allergy for children

    Posted: 31 Jan 2020 02:33 PM PST

    Stock up 20%+ AH, but still a lot of upward potential. Also rumors of a Nestlé buy out.

    https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-approves-first-drug-treatment-peanut-allergy-children

    submitted by /u/HasLessToSay
    [link] [comments]

    Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning February 3rd, 2020

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 06:51 AM PST

    Good Saturday afternoon to all of you here on r/stocks. I hope everyone on this sub made out pretty nicely in the market this past week, and is ready for the new trading week ahead.

    Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning February 3rd, 2020.

    Stocks stumble into February, one of the weakest months for market - (Source)


    As stocks enter the month of February, worries about the coronavirus that slammed stocks in January could continue to be a big market catalyst in the week ahead.


    There are lots of other possible drivers for markets, including the January jobs report Friday and other key economic news, which comes as worries grow that the economy was already weakening even without the impact of the rapidly spreading virus. There are also dozens of earnings reports, including Alphabet, Disney and Merck.


    Another focus for markets could be the Iowa Democratic presidential caucus Monday, where Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders could possibly win over former Vice President Joseph Biden.


    But the virus headlines could dominate, rattling stocks and continuing to drive investors into the safety of bonds. U.S. airlines Friday said they were discontinuing flights to China, as Beijing tries to contain the transmission of the virus that had infected nearly 10,000 people by Friday.


    China's mainland stock markets reopen Sunday night New York time, and investors will be watching for the ripple effects from that expected decline, though traders have been actively trading Chinese market ETFs.


    Correction or pull back?

    Stocks are limping into February after January's disappointing losses, and analysts see more selling ahead as virus headlines rattle markets. But they are divided on whether the selling will soon be capped, or the pullback will reach 5 to 10%.


    The S&P 500 fell 1.8% Friday to 3,225, its worst day since October. It was down 2.1% for the week, and ended the month with a 0.2% loss, its first negative month in five.


    "February is the third worst month of the year, with an average negative decline of 0.1%, and it's been up only 53% of the time, versus an average gain for all months of 0.7%," said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA. Stovall said September and August are the worst and second weakest months for the S&P 500, going back to World War II. In general, stocks are higher 60% of the time, over all months.


    On Friday, the S&P 500 was about 3.4% from its Jan. 17 high. "I call a decline of 1% to 5% noise. The closer we get to 5%, the louder the noise," said Stovall, adding the S&P could decline as much as 10%.


    "I think it's a good possibility, just based on valuation—over 19.6 times forward earnings. That's the most since 2002," he said. "By my metrics, we were overvalued by 9 to 12%, so we end up with a deep pullback or a shallow correction." A correction is when the market loses 10% from its high.


    "People have definitely been buying volatility to protect themselves from more of a leg down," said Patrick Kernan, CEO of Cardinal Capital Corp. "We believe, like last Friday, when the coronavirus really started coming to a head, that people were very nervous ahead of the weekend." Kernan, who trades S&P options, said investors do not appear to expect a very sharp decline, but they do see more volatility and more downside for stocks.


    RBC chief U.S. equity strategist Lori Calvasina said she has been expecting a 5 to 10% decline, even before the virus, but she expected it to be triggered by the primary season. After Monday's Iowa caucus, the New Hampshire primary is the week after, and Super Tuesday with about a dozen primaries is March 3.


    "I still think it's so early. If you were to see Sanders win, I don't thinkthe market would like it, but I wouldn't really change my view," she said. "I still view it as a 5 to 10% pullback. The election has always been a central contributor to that," she said.


    Stovall said it's still early in the process and markets could ignore the Iowa vote, even though investors see Sanders' policies as negative for stocks. Sanders supports Medicare for all; would end oil and gas fracking, and would raise taxes for individuals and companies.


    "Only 16 percent of those who have won the Iowa primary have gone on to win the presidency," he said. Investors do see Sanders as having less chance against President Donald Trump than former Vice President Joseph Biden, who has lagged him in Iowa polls.


    Stovall said investors will certainly be monitoring economic data in the week ahead, after fourth quarter GDP showed a slower pace for consumers and business spending remains depressed. This past week, economists were penciling in a short-lived hit to first quarter growth from the virus before it bounces back in the second quarter. But the first quarter could also see a half percentage point hit from Boeing's production shut down.


    Goldman Sachs economists said the virus could shave 0.4 percentage points from first quarter growth but it would mostly recover by the second quarter.


    Stovall said he's watching "a combination of earnings and the jobs report because earnings reports could give clues as to what companies are thinking about the virus and the jobs report should give us additional clues about how strong the economy is," he said.


    The expectations that the virus could hit global growth has sent Treasury yields sharply lower this week, and the dollar has weakened against the majors. The 10-year Treasury yield was at 1.52% Friday afternoon, and strategists say it could continue to move lower. Yields move opposite price.


    The 10-year has also fallen below the yield on the 3-month bill, and the curve has become "inverted." An inverted yield is a recession warning, and those fears are rising again due to the potential impact of the virus on China's economy and the world economy.


    This past week saw the following moves in the S&P:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Indices for this past week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!)

    Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!)

    Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!)

    Sector Performance WTD, MTD, YTD:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE WEEK-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE MONTH-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE 3-MONTH PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE YEAR-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE 52-WEEK PERFORMANCE!)

    Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    S&P Sectors for the Past Week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!

    Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #3!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART LINK #4!)

    What a Difference Two Weeks Makes!

    The tone of the market sure did change over the last two weeks! The image below is from our Trend Analyzer screen of US indices as of the close two weeks ago on 1/17. Heading into that weekend, the major US averages were all at 'Overbought' or 'Extreme Overbought' levels, and while their Trend ratings were all positive, the Timing scores for nearly all of them was 'Poor'.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Fast-forwarding to the present, it's a completely different picture for the major US indices. Today, not a single one of the major US index ETFs is overbought, and a few of them are even oversold. Here's the silver lining, though; since all of their Trend ratings are still positive, their timing scores all currently rank as 'Good'. While not what we would classify as a 'Perfect' set up right now, for investors who have been waiting for a pullback, the window is starting to open.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Short Circuit

    It was just a week ago that the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) gapped sharply higher to record highs on the back of strong earnings from Intel (INTC). So much for that rally. By the end of the day last Friday, the SOX was actually down over 1%, and outside of a rally this past Tuesday, it has traded down every day since. From record highs on Friday morning, the SOX is closing out this week down more than 8% from last Friday's highs and below its 50-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since October. For the last several months, the 50-DMA has acted as support for the SOX, so we'll be watching closely to see how the index holds up in the days ahead. We've repeatedly discussed the importance of the semis as a barometer of the health of the broader market, so it will be important for the group to find its footing soon.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    In terms of the SOX's individual components, the weakness has been broad-based. Since its closing high on 1/23, every member of the SOX besides INTC is down, and INTC is barely up! The average performance of the index's components since 1/23 has been a decline of nearly 9%, and a third of the components are down by double-digit percentages. Semis had been a leadership group for the market as recently as last week, but after the declines over the last five trading days, the average 2020 performance of stocks in the index is a decline of 3.5% and only eight components are up. Even for the semis, this has been a quick reversal.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    49ers Or Chiefs?

    The Super Bowl Indicator suggests stocks rise for the full year when the Super Bowl winner has come from the original National Football League (now the NFC), but when an original American Football League (now the AFC) team has won, stocks have fallen. We would be the first to admit that this indicator has no connection to the stock market, but "data don't lie": The S&P 500 Index has performed better, and posted positive gains with greater frequency, over the past 53 Super Bowl games when NFC teams have won. Of course, it doesn't always work, as stocks did great last year even though the dreaded Patriots (from the AFC) won the Super Bowl.

    A simpler way to look at the Super Bowl indicator is to look at the average gain for the S&P 500 when the NFC has won versus the AFC—and ignore the history of the franchises. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, this similar set of criteria has produced an average price return of 10.2% when an NFC team has won, compared with a return of 6.8% with an AFC winner. An NFC winner has produced a positive year 79% of the time, while the S&P 500 has been up only 64% of the time when the winner came from the AFC.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    The 49ers have won the Super Bowl five times, putting them just behind the six that the Patriots and Steelers have won. The Chiefs, meanwhile, have won the Super Bowl only once, exactly 50 years ago.

    The year the Chiefs won the Super Bowl (1970), the S&P 500 was virtually flat. Meanwhile, we've seen some impressive market returns the years the 49ers made it to the big game. In fact, the S&P 500 has averaged nearly 21% in the six years they made it to the final game, and 19% in the five years they won.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    "There have been 53 Super Bowl winners, yet only 20 teams account for those wins," said LPL Financial Senior Market Strategist Ryan Detrick. "And wouldn't you know it, the 49ers have recorded the third-best market return out of those 20 teams when they win."

    Here's a breakdown of the 20 Super Bowl winners and how the S&P 500 has done following their victories.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    LPL Research would like to reiterate that in no way shape or form do we recommend investing based on this data, but those of us outside of New England can all agree we're glad the Patriots aren't in the game! Have a great Super Bowl weekend everyone.


    Viral Outbreak Ends Period of Market Calm

    Fears that the deadly coronavirus would spread further around the globe intensified Monday and led to the biggest one-day drop in the S&P 500 Index since October 8, 2019. In fact, it was the first time the index moved 1% in either direction since early October—spanning 71 trading days. Not only that, but the index's streak of 30 consecutive days without back-to-back declines, tying the longest such streak in over 60 years as shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, came to an end. Stocks had been eerily calm.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    We know from history these calm periods haven't lasted very long. We were due for some volatility with stocks up about 15% in less than four months and valuations elevated. But a catalyst for a sell-off wasn't obvious after the U.S.-China phase-one trade deal was signed on January 15. Economic data has been better globally, central banks remain supportive, and the major escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict had minimal market impact. Then the coronavirus outbreak happened.

    "The coronavirus outbreak brings uncertainty to markets, and investors are understandably nervous," said LPL Financial Chief Investment Strategist John Lynch. "While economic activity in China is being impacted, particularly travel-related businesses, we expect limited U.S. economic impact as with SARS in 2002–2003, bird flu in 2006, and Zika in 2016."

    More than 100 deaths have been confirmed out of more than 4,500 cases of the coronavirus. Initial reports suggest this virus may be less deadly than SARS, which led to 774 deaths with more than four times the mortality rate as corona. Our hope at this point is that the current outbreak will be better contained and less deadly than SARS.

    We certainly don't want to minimize human losses, however, our job is to provide you information on the potential impact to the markets. History tells us that the economic and market impact after potentially similar events tended to be modest and short-lived. The SARS outbreak started in November 2002, global equities bottomed in March 2003, and the outbreak was fully contained by July 2003—several months into the 2003–2007 bull market. The temporary loss of global output was quickly recovered in the third quarter of 2003.

    So while this situation is fluid and unnerving, we would advise suitable investors to stick with their long-term investing plans where appropriate and focus on generally supportive fundamentals of the economy, interest rates, and corporate profits.


    February Almanac: Weak Link in Best Six Months

    Even though February is right in the middle of the Best Six Months, its long-term track record, since 1950, is rather tepid. February ranks no better than sixth and has posted meager average gains except for the Russell 2000. Small cap stocks, benefiting from "January Effect" carry over; tend to outpace large cap stocks in February. The Russell 2000 index of small cap stocks turns in an average gain of 1.2% in February since 1979—just the sixth best month for that benchmark.

    A strong February in 2000 boosts NASDAQ and Russell 2000 rankings in election years. Otherwise, February's performance, compared to other presidential-election-year months, is mediocre at best with no large-cap index ranked better than seventh (DJIA and S&P 500 since 1950, Russell 1000 since 1979).

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    Market May be Immune to Coronavirus

    Over the years the market has built up a rather strong immunity to viruses, outbreak, epidemics and pandemics. While economies and communities around the world have suffered from these outbreaks and the horrific human toll they have taken, the market has proven to be resilient.

    We took a look back at 14 previous such contagions since 1950 and how the market performed right after the disease was confirmed publically by health officials and where the market was 3, 6 and 12 months later.

    HIV/AIDS continue to be an ongoing problem and is the longest running, widest spread and deadliest infectious human disease since the Spanish Flu that killed 50-100 million people worldwide from 1918-1920. HIV/AIDS is estimate to have taken the lives of some 30 million people.

    However, from the time these epidemics have become known to the public at large they have had little negative impact on the S&P 500 since 1950. As you can see in the table here the market was weaker during the outbreaks of the first three on the list, but there were arguably other factors that had a greater impact than these diseases.

    In 1957, during the Asian Flu pandemic the market was pushed into a bear market by a hawkish fed that had been raising interest rates culminating in a bear market bottom in October 1957. The downdraft surrounding the Hong Kong Flu in 1968 was likely cause more by heightened hostilities in the Vietnam War and the related protests and events in the USA that culminated in the bear market bottom on May 26, 1970.

    When the HIV/AIDS epidemic became known in 1981 the market was suffering from the nasty double-dip recession from 1980-1982. The Iraq War held the market down in early 2003 during the SARS outbreak. The sovereign debt crisis and the downgrade of US debt in 2011 likely hurt the market more than the horrendous Haitian Cholera outbreak. The Measles scare in the US in late 2014-early 2015 had little impact on the market, though we suffered a mini-bear in 2015-2016 due to the EU Sovereign Debt Crisis, Brexit fears and the Chinese bear market.

    So while the new Wuhan Coronavirus is a major health and economic concern, especially to the affected areas, if history is any guide, the market is not likely to suffer from it.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for Week Ending January 31st, 2020

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

    (VIDEO NOT YET POSTED!)

    STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 2.2.20

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!]())

    (VIDEO NOT YET POSTED!)


    Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead-


    • $DIS
    • $GOOGL
    • $SNAP
    • $TWTR
    • $ABBV
    • $F
    • $QCOM
    • $UBER
    • $SYY
    • $SPOT
    • $ON
    • $PINS
    • $TWLO
    • $BMY
    • $CMG
    • $IRBT
    • $CHKP
    • $MRK
    • $CNC
    • $SNE
    • $SIRI
    • $GM
    • $GILD
    • $PTON
    • $BP
    • $ABG
    • $LITE
    • $WYNN
    • $ATVI
    • $CTLT
    • $NSSC
    • $ACM
    • $GOOS
    • $SAIA
    • $DSPG
    • $RACE
    • $RCL
    • $COP
    • $AMG
    • $RL
    • $PLUS
    • $NXPI
    • $MCK
    • $CI

    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR MOST ANTICIPATED EARNINGS RELEASES FOR THE NEXT 5 WEEKS!)

    Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:


    Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers:


    Monday 2.3.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Monday 2.3.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Tuesday 2.4.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Tuesday 2.4.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Wednesday 2.5.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Wednesday 2.5.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Thursday 2.6.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Thursday 2.6.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES LINK #2!)

    Friday 2.7.20 Before Market Open:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Friday 2.7.20 After Market Close:

    (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!)

    Walt Disney Co $138.31

    Walt Disney Co (DIS) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, February 4, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.43 per share on revenue of $21.08 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.51 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 81% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 22.28% with revenue increasing by 37.75%. Short interest has increased by 5.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 1.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 0.2% above its 200 day moving average of $138.09. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 28, 2020 there was some notable buying of 6,678 contracts of the $135.00 call expiring on Friday, July 17, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 5.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.5% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Alphabet, Inc. -

    Alphabet, Inc. (GOOGL) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Monday, February 3, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $12.76 per share on revenue of $38.44 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $13.05 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 77% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 0.08% with revenue decreasing by 2.13%. Short interest has increased by 20.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 12.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 16.1% above its 200 day moving average of $1,234.53. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, January 30, 2020 there was some notable buying of 809 contracts of the $1,340.00 put expiring on Friday, February 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 5.9% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.3% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Snap Inc. $18.38

    Snap Inc. (SNAP) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:10 PM ET on Tuesday, February 4, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.01 per share on revenue of $560.39 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.03 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 72% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $540.00 million to $560.00 million. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 133.33% with revenue increasing by 43.76%. Short interest has decreased by 1.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 32.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 17.8% above its 200 day moving average of $15.61. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, January 24, 2020 there was some notable buying of 6,149 contracts of the $19.00 call expiring on Friday, February 7, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 12.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 11.6% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Twitter, Inc. $32.48

    Twitter, Inc. (TWTR) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Thursday, February 6, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.28 per share on revenue of $997.35 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.31 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 58% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $940.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 12.50% with revenue increasing by 9.74%. Short interest has decreased by 3.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 3.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 11.0% below its 200 day moving average of $36.51. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, January 15, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,109 contracts of the $32.00 put expiring on Friday, February 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 10.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 15.2% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    AbbVie Inc. $81.02

    AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:45 AM ET on Friday, February 7, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.20 per share on revenue of $8.76 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.23 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 80% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 15.79% with revenue increasing by 5.48%. Short interest has increased by 20.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 1.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.9% above its 200 day moving average of $77.22. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, January 30, 2020 there was some notable buying of 3,080 contracts of the $47.50 call expiring on Friday, September 18, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.7% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Ford Motor Company $8.82

    Ford Motor Company (F) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, February 4, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.17 per share on revenue of $36.79 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.14 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 61% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 43.33% with revenue decreasing by 11.97%. Short interest has decreased by 12.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 0.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.9% below its 200 day moving average of $9.57. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 21, 2020 there was some notable buying of 30,831 contracts of the $9.00 put expiring on Friday, February 14, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.3% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    QUALCOMM Incorporated $85.31

    QUALCOMM Incorporated (QCOM) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.85 per share on revenue of $4.83 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.88 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 70% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $0.80 to $0.90 per share. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 30.33% with revenue decreasing by 0.25%. Short interest has decreased by 28.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 5.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.2% above its 200 day moving average of $79.60. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, January 17, 2020 there was some notable buying of 6,082 contracts of the $105.00 call expiring on Friday, February 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 6.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.4% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Uber Technologies, Inc. $36.29

    Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, February 6, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.69 per share on revenue of $4.08 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.55) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 56% expecting an earnings beat. Short interest has decreased by 11.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 24.6% from its open following the earnings release. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 6.1% move on earnings in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    SYSCO Corp. $82.14

    SYSCO Corp. (SYY) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:00 AM ET on Monday, February 3, 2020. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.83 per share on revenue of $15.09 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.85 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 68% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 10.67% with revenue increasing by 2.20%. Short interest has decreased by 6.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 1.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.8% above its 200 day moving average of $76.18. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, January 28, 2020 there was some notable buying of 1,050 contracts of the $83.00 put expiring on Friday, February 21, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.6% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    Spotify Technology S.A. $141.30

    Spotify Technology S.A. (SPOT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:00 AM ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2020. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.25 per share on revenue of $2.09 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.19) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 72% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 160.98% with revenue increasing by 22.44%. Short interest has decreased by 1.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 7.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 1.6% above its 200 day moving average of $139.11. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, January 23, 2020 there was some notable buying of 835 contracts of the $270.00 call expiring on Friday, January 15, 2021. Option traders are pricing in a 8.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.9% move in recent quarters.

    (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!)


    DISCUSS!

    What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week?


    I hope you all have a wonderful weekend and a great trading week ahead r/stocks.

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    META: POOR QUALITY CONTENT

    Posted: 31 Jan 2020 06:48 PM PST

    Seriously this sub seldom has relevant or sophisticated discussions about markets or stocks.. most questions could be answered reading the Wiki.

    Most posts are: "hey I hear about (topical event) on my Facebook feed.. how do I get stonk monies from this?"

    Or, "what stocks to turn my $500 into a house in a year".

    Are there any other subs with better content?

    submitted by /u/Maria-Im-Drunk47
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    Any comments about about TD Ameritrade and it’s ThinkOrSwim platform? Any other broker recommendations?

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 01:53 PM PST

    I used to do very little stock market practices in high school so this morning I took about an hour researching my old broker and it's updates/tech - it was E-Trade back then and I'm just finding out I was using the 20-minute delay information. I believe now you have to pay or have a minimum off $1000 and I'm just looking to put maybe 500 for now in just get back at it slowly.

    I then came across TD Ameritrade and it's ThinkOrSwim technology/platform. With their apparent 0.06 second execution speed and the ability to not have any minimums (for a non-professional) at no extra cost and that sounds pretty dam good to me. Is there anything I should know about TD Ameritrade?

    I'm sure there are other great things within the software but for now I was wondering if you guys had any other broker recommendations that also have instant quotes for non-professionals? Or other broker recommendations in general? Thanks for reading!

    submitted by /u/Edwin_Torres2018
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    Medical stocks i could invest in

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 01:06 PM PST

    You guys know of companies i can invest in right now ,? Im sure with this Corona virus it's an opportunity for you to invest in a company that sells face masks of sorts

    submitted by /u/patches1212
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    Which dividend stock or ETF is a definite buy in this Corona dip?

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 05:30 AM PST

    I can imagine that this is the time to add some stocks or index funds. Which stock - preferably dividend - are you eying right now?

    submitted by /u/DutchAppie
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    Why does profit taking lower the price in short-term?

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 12:41 PM PST

    Hi,

    This may be oversimplified, but I'd like to know why if someone had a long position and then they took profits/closed their position after the price went up, why this may result in price going down in the short-term. How does profit taking affect the supply and demand of the stock in the short-term?

    Thank you.

    submitted by /u/eeeug
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    China to exempt taxes for imports of products related to virus control

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 12:25 PM PST

    Hold Apple or sell/buy again?

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 12:07 PM PST

    Hi.

    I bought Apple just before the earnings at $319 (I know I'm a goof, thanks). I won't have money to buy more during the dip and I'm already $100 down. Should I sell, wait for the peak of Corona to re-buy the dip or just hold them at this point? Again, I won't be able to add to my position during the dip.

    Thanks

    submitted by /u/iLabrador
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    A question from a total student , regarding trading times

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 10:13 AM PST

    Hello everyone. Just seeking some advice from others , I have no experience and just learning with paper trading and just watching many videos and reading up. I work from Tuesdays - fridays 6 am to 8 pm. Off weekends and mondays. I know the stock market opens from 9-5 ? So regarding my work schedule , do I have no option and should completely stay away from trading since the market is closed when I'm off ? What would you guys recommend ? Thanks for any advice

    submitted by /u/dlaloma
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    Crystal Ball, No. Fibonacci Extensions, YES!

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 09:53 AM PST

    The power of Fib extensions:

    https://www.tradingview.com/x/iQCUbwqT/

    The 1.618 Extension of the last swing called the top almost to the one dollar !

    submitted by /u/DysfunctionalBelief
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    Is Apple still buying back stock?

    Posted: 31 Jan 2020 05:52 PM PST

    Is Apple still doing their buyback or have they stopped that by now?

    submitted by /u/KrispyKremeMyAss
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    Thoughts on GOOGL earnings Monday

    Posted: 31 Jan 2020 09:53 PM PST

    I know they didn't hit their earnings eps last quarter. Thoughts on how Monday's would be??

    submitted by /u/Sea-School
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    ADVICE NEEDED: how to take control of a custodial portfolio

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 09:05 AM PST

    My father had spent most of my childhood up until now buying stock for a custodial portfolio meant as "savings" for me, however we recently had a falling out and I am sure of the fact that if I don't do anything I will never see a dime of that money. There is easily well over $50K in the account and I had even asked for certain stocks when I was 19 that ended up performing incredibly well

    I am 20 years old now and am legally an adult, would that mean I am allowed to claim ownership over that portfolio? It's in my name, I was wondering if that is at all possible? Please someone experienced at this let me know because I have sunk so much time and money into that account alongside him and am now fearing that he will just take all of it and I'll never see any of that profit.

    submitted by /u/BASEDREDDITOR
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    Markets And Good Books?

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 12:08 AM PST

    I am looking for good resources on understanding commonalities between all markets and how to manipulate them. I would like to one day start investing in stocks but right now I do a lot of sandbox gaming where player markets are MASSIVE and you can make so much in game currency if you know what youre doing. id like to learn how to manipulate, understand, control, and profit off of the markets. I'd love some good reads on all of this because this is an investment into my future. Im using these games as my play ground to dip my toes into large scale trading and wealth growth so that when i have money of my own in real life I can more easily slip into investing. I want to be able to spot holes in the market and exploit them etc that kind of stuff. So if anyone can provide me with some good resources of knowledge id be eternally grateful!

    submitted by /u/Vancoor0719
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    Coronavirus - Sell or Hold?

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 08:19 AM PST

    I have about 50K in my portfolio consisting of Apple and MSFT. Coronavirus is already hitting the portfolio with Apple temporarily closing the stores in China. Whats the better options - Sell on Monday and buy back at a later point or to continue holding my portfolio. I dont have an immediate need for money and have been holding them for > 1 year. Thanks!

    submitted by /u/thcricketfan
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    CPAH

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 08:16 AM PST

    With HON beating it's earnings yesterday, can we expect CPAH to start rising next week? And if so in what price range can we expect it to be in/reach?

    submitted by /u/20uni20
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    Thoughts on ACB?

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 08:12 AM PST

    I'm seeing this stock at an all time low and after doing some reading it seems like a solid investment for growth but I'm curious if anyone else agrees or think it will flop. What is your findings on this?

    submitted by /u/DiamondRider21
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    Further analysis

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 08:06 AM PST

    Since I have been right on top of this, I figured continuing the analysis for all makes sense

    https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/ews14x/gonna_have_to_say_i_called_it/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x

    I can see a few scenarios playing out:

    1. Monday gap down. China opens way down, US futures sell off early. Market opens down 10-20.
      This scenario better for the bulls - look for the market to grind higher from an overnight gap down, then build support over the next several days.
    2. Monday big gap down. Similar to #1, but gap is 40+ points and panic sellers enter the market at open. Look for the 200 day sma to come into play with increased volatility for the next few weeks.
    3. Gap up Monday. Possibly the market gaps up on Monday. Needs to quickly retrace 70-80% of Friday's move lower or further downside likely in the days to follow - 200 day sma likely target.

    One can look at the charts for the past 2 or 3 years and see these types of price action are predominant. Basically the market needs to stay above the 50 day sma or sellers will likely take prices to the 200 sma.

    submitted by /u/ja_trader
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    My dad invested about 1000 dollars into Google in 2001. How much money would he have now and what might happen later?

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 07:47 AM PST

    I don't know all the details but I just want to know if that was a very good move or not.

    EDIT: Either he was bullshitting or he got the year wrong. I'm not sure.

    EDIT 2: He isn't bullshitting me (just asked him and he showed me about 20000 dollars of value in stocks or whatever the term is.) holy shit.

    submitted by /u/SpaceEngineX
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    Top trader experiences

    Posted: 01 Feb 2020 07:42 AM PST

    Top average trader experiences/fallacies

    Ok they pumped it on Friday and I bought calls and stock and on Monday they declare a secondary 15 % below Friday's price. Fuck you company

    Ok I got this. Ok they beat by 5 cents they beat revenue why is the stock down 20%. Fuck me. Priced in. You just priced my ass to my debtors

    Ok I a glad I shorted this POS . Rev down earnings down. Wait it is up on guidance and I am down 15%. Fuck you mm

    Ok short this POS. Wait why is it up. They announce 10 billion buyback. Fuck me

    Ok why is my fav biotech down in which I am overloaded. Wait competitor came up with better efficacy. Fuck you competitot. May your drug be fucked by amoeba

    Ok where is my stock. Oh somebody hacked me. Oh the hacker left a voicemail- Sir your account has been liquidated due to margin call

    Oh what is this. Fed strong margin call. Wtf. Let me get out the fbi is going to raid me

    This is my last ever deposit to this account. I am a good trader just having a bad time

    Wait how can the biotech have bad results and I am down 10000. All my message board homies said the trial results will be the greatest ever.Fuck you message board homies

    Ok let me subscribe to this stock picking service. Wait I never made any money in any of these services and I keep paying this bastards.

    I will try a different brokerage. This brokerage is unlucky

    Biotech pulled out of conference. Must be buyout. Let me go all in. 2 days later calls in doldrums. It was due to a scheduling conflict that ceo could not present

    What 21 % dividend. That's true value. Let me buy.. surely value investors will buy.Few days later. Dividend cut by 75 %

    I will retire in 5 years with huge profits and trade the rest of my life with financial independence

    submitted by /u/crossroadie666
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