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    Thursday, February 27, 2020

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 27 Feb 2020 04:10 AM PST

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Yall either need to smoke a lot less weed or a lot more weed

    Posted: 27 Feb 2020 05:21 AM PST

    Unforeseen events are the risk of investing. If you can't swallow them when they actually happen you need to reconsider your strategy. Nothing any senior administration officials in Italy, USA, China, or Japan do is going to change the current movement of the market. This sub is falling into the trap everyone is prone to wherein you get scared about a current situation you don't understand and then cram them into your most closely held beliefs.

    "THE DEEP STATE IS LYING ABOUT THE NUMBERS TO HURT TRUMP'S REELECTION"

    "TRUMP IS BEING INCOMPETENT AND GOING TO DESTROY THE US STOCK MARKET BECAUSE HE CAN'T HANDLE CORONA"

    The fact is that no matter what action is taken by anyone, containment is going to be extremely difficult. The US is probably the best positioned in the world right now between it's geographic isolation, banning travel from high risk areas first, and having the largest and best prepared disease control in the world. And given that, the risk to American health remains extremely high. Worry about things you can control and hedge the things you can't.

    submitted by /u/OpeningSpeech1
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    [Business Insider] Wall Street expects 3 rate cuts this year as coronavirus fears spread

    Posted: 27 Feb 2020 02:47 AM PST

    Reddit’s Profane, Greedy Traders Are Shaking Up the Stock Market

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 07:23 AM PST

    "Chatter on message boards is reshaping the options market and sparking wild rallies".

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-26/reddit-s-profane-greedy-traders-are-shaking-up-the-stock-market

    submitted by /u/freddyjohnson
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    Zoom has added more videoconferencing users this year than in all of 2019 thanks to coronavirus, Bernstein says

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 01:37 PM PST

    • The company added 2.22 million monthly active users so far in 2020, while in 2019 it added 1.99 million, according to Bernstein's estimates.
    • The company recently removed a 40-minute limit on meetings of more than two people for free users in China.
    • Zoom shares are up 40% in February, on pace for their best month since Zoom went public in April.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/26/zoom-has-added-more-users-so-far-this-year-than-in-2019-bernstein.html

    submitted by /u/lavazzalove
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    Microsoft warns it will miss guidance for segment that includes Windows because of coronavirus

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 01:15 PM PST

    Markets reeling again Thursday morning 2/27/20

    Posted: 27 Feb 2020 05:23 AM PST

    Market might be down a lot but the air is not clear

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 05:37 PM PST

    Hello again,

    As predicted yesterday mkt went up during Asia and fell at the start of Europe. then it went back up on a piece of semi fake news regarding Germany before ultimately falling throughout the US session. so what's next ?

    I think the most important headlines will be

    • TRUMP Shitshow where he essentially put everything on Pence's shoulders suggesting that the situation is NOT under control
    • First case of Beer virus of untraceable (so far) origin in the west coast

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/coronavirus-china-live-updates/2020/02/26/f889693a-580e-11ea-9000-f3cffee23036_story.html

    • Yellen said this sort of choc can lead us straight into a recession
      • Her comment seems to confirm the losses in the credit market which usually doesn't move significantly unless there is a true risk to fundamentals
    • Following on what i wrote about last time, the Bank of Korea surprised everyone by refusing to cut tonight, their justification? their board essentially said that what we need is a vaccine not a liquidity injection.
      • If the US sellside highlights this and suggest Clarida could adopt the same argument to refuse to do what the market wants him to do

    I think this mix is extremely bearish for the nasdaq, especially the last point as that would destroy the Nasdaq high flyers. the problem is that shorting here, so close to the 200 SMA which will be supported by CTAs and other systematic traders is not the best of entries.

    i've personally taken a 1/2 size position in /NQ with the intention of adding if we go back up. most of the action I'm expecting would happen in European & US Time zones.

    submitted by /u/GreedySpeculator
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    Tokyo stock market down over 2% after market open on Thursday

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 10:17 PM PST

    Important stock markets in Asia-pacific region from stock market open, thursday 27th Feb.:

    Nikkei 225 in Tokyo down 2,12 percent Kospi in Seoul down 1,28 percent Singapore-Stock market down 0,77 percent Shanghai Composite up 0,57 percent Hang Seng in Hongkong down 0,66 percent ASX 200 in Sydney up 0,81 percent

    Average on the 6 markets is: Down 4,13

    This is indicative of a new day in the red for the american stock markets as well. Perfect opportunity for short sells or put options on S&P 500 and Nasdaq. I will be surprised if USA market doesn't open down tomorrow.

    submitted by /u/macelote
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    Gold remains on the front foot following US President Trump’s speech

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 04:12 PM PST

    Should I sell Tesla and wait for another low

    Posted: 27 Feb 2020 06:14 AM PST

    I had a great run with Tesla stock and profit more than 100% if selling today. I still want to keep stock but since it goes down unstoppable, I'm considering to sell all my stock and take profit then repurchase if it goes lower. What do you guys think. Thanks

    submitted by /u/benja0819
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    US new home sales surge to 12.5-year high in January

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 07:55 AM PST

    The Commerce Department said on Wednesday new home sales jumped 7.9% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 764,000 units last month, the highest level since July 2007. Housing market strength could help keep the economic expansion, now in its 11th year, on track. The sector, which accounts for about 3.1% of GDP, is being supported by cheaper mortgage rates after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times last year.

    CNBC

    submitted by /u/SacramentoGaybros
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    Moderna Hit

    Posted: 27 Feb 2020 05:52 AM PST

    If only I had dedicated more to my Moderna position...Chances of this going up even more?

    submitted by /u/6939tv
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    Those who last week insisted that coronavirus was "priced in," what happened?

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 01:07 PM PST

    Serious question. Have you been let down by the market? Will this change your investing strategy in the future? Do you regret missing out on opportunities this week?

    submitted by /u/thebruns
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    Space Industry Boosters

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 10:09 PM PST

    Here's the upcoming schedule for things to boost the space industry.

    Feb. 28th - Virgin Orbit First Launch (pending)

    Mar. 16th - SpaceX Starship 1 Sub-orbital Test

    Jul. 16th - Apollo 11 Launch

    Jul. 18th - Richard Branson's 70th Birthday

    Jul. 19th - Apollo 11 Landing

    submitted by /u/bigbad_bean
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    Top Analyst Recommendations from Yesterday

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 11:34 AM PST

    I built a tool to analyze all analyst recommendations each day to see what the best analysts in the world are recommending each day and then send that data out in an email before the market opens.

    Here is what happened yesterday!

    \* We only send recommendations from analysts whose recommendations return an average of greater than 5% in the 30 days following their recommendations.\*

    Obviously the market is in a crazy flux with concerns about the coronavirus, but that didn't stop analysts from making their recommendations.

    Yesterday we had 1 Initiated Buy, 2 Maintain Buys, and 1 Maintain Sell.

    Recommendations

    Etzer Darout - Guggenheim - Rank 36 - Initiated Buy for Xencor ($XNCR)

    Etzer is an analyst at Guggenheim who only started putting out recommendations 5 months ago. However, he is quickly making a name for himself with his 62% success rate (8/13) and a 27% average return within 30 days of making his recommendations. His best return so far has been his recommendations for Forty Seven, Inc which have returned 313% in total and 236% within the first month of his recommendation. TipRanks has him currently ranked as the 36th best analyst in the US.

    Yesterday, Etzer initiated a buy for Xencor ($XNCR) with a price target of $44. Xencor took a beating over the last couple of days due to coronavirus scares, so this represents a 37% upside over its current price of $32.09.

    JP McKim - Piper Sandler - Rank 44 - Maintained Buy for Tandem Diabetes Care ($TNDM)

    JP is an analyst at Oppenheimer who has been putting out recommendations for about 2 years now. JP has been putting out recommendations for 2 years now and has a 63% success rate (47/74) and an average return of 6.3% 1 month after making his recommendations. His best return so far has been his recommendations for Tandem Diabetes Care ($TNDM) - the same stock he is recommending now. He has returned 491% in total and 77% within 30 days of recommending Tandem. TipRanks currently ranks his as the 44th best analyst in the US.

    JP is Maintaining his Buy recommendation for Tandem Diabetes Care ($TNDM) with a price target of $90 which represents a 15.5% upside over its current price of $77.94

    Leland Gershell - Oppenheimer - Rank 66 - Maintained Sell for Amarin ($AMRN)

    Leland is an analyst at Oppenheimer who has been putting out recommendations for about 2 years now. Even though he touts a pretty low success rate of 45% (52/115) compared to these other top analysts, he has an average return of 17% within 30 days of making his recommendations. His best return so far has been his recommendations for Agile Therapeutics which have returned an insane 724% in total and 467% within the first month of his recommendation. Even though he is not as consistent as some other top analysts, TipRanks still has him currently ranked as the 66th best analyst in the US.

    Yesterday, Leland maintained his sell position for Amarin ($AMRN) with a price target of $13. This represents a 26% downside under its current price of $17.50.

    submitted by /u/Connorvo
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    Hypothetical question about "journey" of investing when "destination" is the same

    Posted: 27 Feb 2020 02:04 AM PST

    Please help me wrap my head around these two hypothetical situations: let's say I invest $1000 in a market index fund "NAZDACK" to start and contribute $100 monthly for 10 years. In ten years, the fund goes from 10,000 to 20,000 points. In situation 1, the first five years consist of terrible loses before an amazing recovery over the last five years. In situation 2, the opposite occurs: great gains in the first five years before correcting downwards over another five. In both cases, the final value of the market is unchanged. My question is this - does the value of my investment change between these two, assuming all else remains the same?

    submitted by /u/Elan2413
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    Where do you think the market goes from here?

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 09:17 AM PST

    Do you think that was it as far as coronavirus jitters and that the market resumes its upward trajectory?

    submitted by /u/MarkBrooklyn
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    Does destruction of both the supply and demand side lead to higher inflation ?

    Posted: 27 Feb 2020 05:53 AM PST

    MARGIN CALL HELP

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 10:14 PM PST

    MARGIN CALL urgent question. Can someone explain to me what this means???

    Buying power: -$34,618.80

    Margin available: 1,000

    Margin used: -$17,309.40

    Margin Withheld: -$18,309.4

    How much do I owe Robinhood? the $17K or both thr $17 and $18??

    submitted by /u/boredandredditing1
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    Online gaming stock will become hawt during viralmageddon.

    Posted: 27 Feb 2020 05:21 AM PST

    Online gaming will see a huge revenue stream during the outbreak in the US. Other than Facebook, what other gaming company stock will be the money maker of viralmageddon?

    submitted by /u/Duhlinduh
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    Where do you go to find investing and personal finance news, articles, and information?

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 05:14 PM PST

    Just out of curiosity, would love some opinions on this. What sources of media do you use to find relevant news for your investment and personal finance decisions?

    Here are some options. Please share all that apply to you! I'm assuming there are multiple answers here

    • Twitter
    • Facebook
    • Pinterest
    • Reddit
    • Investing and Personal Finance Blogs
    • Major News Website (Yahoo! Finance, Google Finance, CNBC)
    • Investing Specific Website (Seeking Alpha, Stock Twits)
    • Brokerages (Fidelity, TD Ameritrade, etc.)
    • Other
    submitted by /u/DvdndDiplomats
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    What happens to $BND price in a bear market? What about $VGLT?

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 02:14 PM PST

    I know high-risk bonds go down in price during a bear market, and low-risk bonds, especially treasury bonds usually go up. Do both of these ETFs apply?

    submitted by /u/gmortara
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    How does Vanguard LifeStrategy 100% Equity determine its asset allocation?

    Posted: 27 Feb 2020 04:44 AM PST

    I am interested in the Vanguard LifeStrategy 100% Equity fund.

    Here is the breakdown of its holdings:

    https://www.vanguardinvestor.co.uk/investments/9232/portfolio-data?intcmpgn=ls100_findmore_link

    Its supposed to be an index fund, but what does it determine what % is allocated to each? I understand how a global index funds works by just looking at market cap but the LifeStrategy is weighted slightly more towards the UK (which I am fine with) so I wonder what they use to determine the %

    submitted by /u/UKARCADIA
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    Remaining practical during volatile times: the media and the market

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 06:04 PM PST

    During these volatile times it's important to remain practical and remain vigilant.

    The media sells fear. CNBC has a multi-day special titled 'Markets in Turmoil'. Constantly spamming America's Most Wanted music and bear noises. They want to sell you fear, they love fear, fear makes them money.

    Intraday algos programmed to trade on headlines create a volatile market. Eventually, the market will begin ignoring generic Coronavirus headlines. It's not if, it's when.

    Markets are the most efficient discounter of events on the planet. Markets also almost always overshoot initially. This provides opportunity. A virus is difficult to quantify and thus difficult to discount, this creates uncertainty and extra volatility.

    This is not to say the coronavirus isn't serious. This is not to say it's not causing supply chain problems. This is not to say it isn't affecting guidance for companies. This is not to say the market cannot go lower. All of these things are true and/or possible.

    What I am saying is you should ignore sensationalist media headlines and use your brain. Buy quality companies with good earnings and guidance. If and when the market goes lower, buy more.

    I am not here to argue with bears, and especially permabears. It's a waste of time. If you're a permabear go ahead and buy some Schiff Gold.

    If you're a long term investor stop panicking, stop watching CNBC, and buy some quality companies at a discount.

    submitted by /u/tom_HS
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    JETS (airlines ETF) down 22% YTD

    Posted: 26 Feb 2020 12:44 PM PST

    Between the 737 MAX and CV it seems like a rough time for airlines here. If/when the CV panic dies out any reason to think airline stocks won't fully rebound?

    Their lost revenue won't return and they don't have inventory that's backstocked like retailers--so once travelers return to their usual habits it should all go back to normal?

    submitted by /u/pikindaguy
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