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    Tuesday, December 3, 2019

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 04:16 AM PST

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Trump says it might be better to wait until after 2020 election for a China trade deal

    Posted: 03 Dec 2019 03:01 AM PST

    "In some ways, I like the idea of waiting until after the election for the China deal, but they want to make a deal now and we will see whether or not the deal is going to be right," Trump told reporters in London. The U.S. general election is set to take place in November 2020.

    When asked if he had a deadline for the deal, he added: "I have no deadline, no ... In some ways I think it is better to wait until after the election, if you want to know the truth."

    Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/03/trump-says-it-might-be-better-to-wait-until-after-2020-election-for-a-china-deal.html

    It looks like a fairly muted reaction to the news so far.

    submitted by /u/skuggic
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    [Bloomberg] U.S. Proposes Duties on $2.4 Billion of French Goods Over Tech Tax

    Posted: 03 Dec 2019 12:36 AM PST

    Why should I use a call option instead of just straight up buying a stock?

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 04:50 PM PST

    If I think that stock A is going to increase from $30 to $40, what's the point of using a call option with a strike price of $40 instead of just buying shares of the stock?

    submitted by /u/marveliteIG
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    [Bloomberg] U.S. shale needs to stop spending on new oil wells to become profitable -- as the Eagle Ford shows.

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 02:19 PM PST

    In 2019, almost every investment worked

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 08:11 AM PST

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/02/in-2019-almost-every-investment-worked.html

    The S&P 500 is up more than 25% and counting. Treasurys also soared in 2019. Oil, gold and corporate bonds all scored double-digit returns.

    Only 64 names in the S&P 500, or 12%, are in the red this year. All 11 S&P 500 sectors are ending the year with positive returns.

    "What a year for the stock market," says Matthew Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak. "One reason why the consensus believes the stock market can hold up next year has to do with the belief that interest rates will remain low."

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Unfavorable Comments Deleted by Author on Seeking Alpha

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 06:33 PM PST

    I noticed other commenters complaining about unfair deletions in the past but particularly today I was part of a legitimate and useful discussion that just vanished. 4 or 5 of us were healthily debating the merits of the author's claims and the discussion was completely within bounds of civility.

    Why does Seeking Alpha allow comments that are not offensive to be deleted? Isn't what makes Seeking Alpha worthwhile the pushback and active discussion on the board?

    Anyway I was taken aback by this censorship. Would like to hear what other readers have experienced.

    submitted by /u/h-ster
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    How is technical analyses not ridiculed for the BS that it is?

    Posted: 03 Dec 2019 01:23 AM PST

    Was watching CNBC and they have a squad of "technicians" constantly on air making squigly lines rambling about "support" "ressistance" "head and shoulders"

    how did this nonsense ever become a "legit" WHO the hell buys companies based on crap like this?

    Oh yea this stock has a "bald eagle with a sigarette in It's mouth" pattern its a screaming buy!!!

    submitted by /u/wesred
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    Help calculating risk of ruin

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 07:40 PM PST

    Hi everyone, I need some help with calculating risk of ruin. Let's say you had a gambling play that returned about 4%. For arguments sake say every $100 bet returns $41 per win (and -$100 per loss) and your record is 57-20 over 77 bets, i.e. about a 74% win rate. (So you've made $337 after wagering $7700.)

    Is there a quick formula to calculate various RoRs for a given bankroll? I've googled and found the formulas but 1) i'm not sure how the standard deviation comes into play (i would use the standard deviation of what, exactly?) and 2) I'm a little stumped as to why I'm not finding a quick formula.

    All help much appreciated. TY in advance

    submitted by /u/vandelayind109
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    Activist investor jumps on EMH earnings cc today and berates the management team

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 05:54 PM PST

    https://twitter.com/BullionNation/status/1201542956295086080

    Long story short.

    VFF owns some greenhouses up in Canada and got into the weed growing business (it's legal up there). They partnered with EMH 50/50 whereby VFF would donate the greenhouses and EMH would chip in the money to convert it to a high tech cannabis growing environment. EMH paid for the 1st phase but is delinquent on the second phase so VFF is covering the shortcoming in return for majority ownership in the Joint Venture. EMH is disputing this move and there's a bunch of back and forth. That said, EMH is having a cash flow problem and some of their founders have questionable history with other ventures so this VFF investor got on the call and had a few choice words for the EMH management team

    submitted by /u/mfairview
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    X Marks the spot

    Posted: 03 Dec 2019 03:27 AM PST

    Anyone have any thoughts on US Steel (X)? I'm very, very new at valuation of stocks and after checking a couple 10-k reports it seems like it's a cheap price and will be around for the foreseeable future. What do you think of it as a 5+ year investment? Please add explanations of your replies so I know why I'm right/wrong.

    submitted by /u/BeniusMaximus
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    Can the Federal Reserve make a fat-finger-error in the open market operations trading desk?

    Posted: 03 Dec 2019 03:23 AM PST

    And would it be disclosed?

    submitted by /u/ScandiSom
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    Young Investors will bail out of the stock market once a bear market starts

    Posted: 03 Dec 2019 02:55 AM PST

    Young people in their 20s and 30s are going to be shocked when the bear market (stock market crash) really comes. They have not invested money during a crash before and think that the stock market always goes up. While some people think that a 50% stock market crash is just a paper loss, it is so very real when you don't know if you will ever see your losses come back.

    Young investor: When do you start to bail out? 50% 60% 70% loss? Then what?

    submitted by /u/chargum
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    Convert traditional to roth during recession

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 08:45 PM PST

    Hi everyone. So I've got about 10,000 in my Traditional IRA and 20,000 in my Roth. I'm 30 years old. So retirement is still far away. I wanted to convert my remaining traditional to a Roth IRA. So my question was: wouldn't it be better to wait for a recession to convert my funds? If the value decreases significantly enough, wouldn't I save quite a bit in the taxable portion of the conversion?

    submitted by /u/boyinahouse
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    $TIF Purchase

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 06:34 PM PST

    I own $TIF which returned me 76% ROI. I have never owned a stock that has been bought out before. Is there any reason to hold on to it or should I take the money and put it to work somewhere else?

    submitted by /u/grendel54
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    Why are Marijuana Stocks Considered a Bad Investment?

    Posted: 03 Dec 2019 12:59 AM PST

    I always thought they would be explosive like Bitcoin with longevity like any other big stock. Why? Because a companies value goes up when people purchase their product. Marijuana is seen as a safer and healthier alternative to alcohol. What would drive Pot stocks up? How about down? I am no expert by any means. I am simply a man who once upon a time smoked it and believes the product is worth its worth in the lengthier short horizion of things. But again, I am no expert. So, is Cannabis a good investment? Will it be?

    submitted by /u/Commando44
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    Launching the 1st CBD mutual fund - what would you ask?

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 04:03 PM PST

    The Investment firm where I work is launching the only CBD mutual fund to currently exist and I am in charge of the marketing aspect and roll out of the new product.

    I want to crowd-source some questions people both in and out of the finance world would ask. I realize there will also be an education aspect to this, so feel free to chime in about that too.
    So far common concerns to address will be:

    What's the minimum investment? What's the fee? How diversified/ how many companies are in the fund? And, "Why would I invest in that when ETFs have .25% fees? (which has a lot of answers but largely depends on your investing goals/philosophy).
    Your perspective is appreciated :)

    submitted by /u/its_probably_a_trap
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    Asset vs. Debt over time Excel Spread sheet

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 08:40 AM PST

    I've been looking around for an Excel spreadsheet that will help me keep track of my assets and debt overtime and hopefully push that information to a graph. Anyone have access to something like this?

    submitted by /u/BarontheBlue
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    Viacom before the merger?

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 07:51 PM PST

    With the streaming wars between Disney, Netflix, Hulu, etc., I can see the platforms continue to scramble to acquire as much content as possible, bidding up the price of such content in the process, ViacomCBS has plenty of content auction off. They also have PlutoTV which will be getting majorly beefed up after the merger?

    Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/IThrowAwayErryTym
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    TA resources

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 07:00 PM PST

    Hello,

    Looking to see if you can recommend some forums or blogs where folks discuss technical analysis. I don't believe there is an active subreddit.

    Mainly index funds and/or Etfs.

    submitted by /u/iggy555
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    Tax Questions on Stock Trades

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 10:43 PM PST

    Overview

    I made the following transactions below (numbered in order)...

    1. 05/01/2019: Bought 50 shares of TSLA @ $248.95/share ($12,447.23)
    2. 11/26/2019: Sold 50 shares of TSLA @ 334.47/share ($16,723.47)
    3. 11/27/2019: Bought 50 shares of TSLA @ $340/share ($17,000)

    I'm still holding the 50 shares I bought on 11/27. So I essentially made a $4,726.24 gain selling the shares, then bought back in less than 24 hours later (essentially taking a $276.54 loss). At a high level, I'm basically trying to fully understand the tax implications of the transactions above. I realize that I bought and sold in less than a year, which I assume means I will have to pay ordinary income tax on those realized gains.

    My Questions

    • Is there any special stipulation that changes how or when these gains are realized since I bought back into the same stock less than 24 hours later? Does it change anything that I essentially took a $276.54 hit when I did so?
    • Will I have to pay ordinary income tax on these gains in 2019?
      • If above is true, what's the amount I'll have to pay taxes on? Will I be able to count the difference in price from when I sold and bought back in as a loss? So $4,726.24 initial gain - $276.54 loss = $3,999.70? Or does that not count as a loss?
      • If above is true, is there anything I can do to mitigate or negate the tax liability?
    • Let's assume I want to sell all 50 shares again at a later date. If I wanted to avoid paying regular income tax by holding for more than a year and instead pay long-term capital gains tax, how much longer would I need to hold? I'm assuming I would have to calculate this using the latest buy date (11/27/2019), and not the initial buy date (05/01/2019), right?
    submitted by /u/datascience38
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    Beyond Meat?

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 06:59 AM PST

    What is happening to Beyond Meat?

    5% drop in one go?

    Someone with big amount of shares selling?

    submitted by /u/bjornbr1
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    Looking for 4 Citigroup research reports on VNDA

    Posted: 02 Dec 2019 09:53 PM PST

    Hi, I'm looking to see if anybody is willing to send me analyst reports from Citigroup on symbol VNDA. There are 4 that I am interested in: 11/07/2029, 08/01/2019, 05/02/2019, 02/15/2019. Any help is extremely appreciated.

    submitted by /u/pttader
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