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    Friday, October 11, 2019

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Oct 11, 2019

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Oct 11, 2019


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion & Fundamentals Friday Oct 11, 2019

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 01:06 AM PDT

    This is the daily discussion, so anything stocks related is fine, but the theme for today is on fundamentals, but if fundamentals aren't your thing then just ignore the theme and/or post your arguments against fundamentals here and not in the current post.

    Some helpful day to day links, including news:


    Most fundamentals are updated every 3 months due to the fact that corporations release earnings reports every quarter, so traders are always speculating at what those earnings will say, and investors may change the size of their holdings based on those reports. Expect a lot of volatility around earnings, but it usually doesn't matter if you're holding long term, but keep in mind the importance of earnings reports because a trend of declining earnings or a decline in some other fundamental will drive the stock down over the long term as well.

    See the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

    Market Cap - Shares Outstanding - Volume - Dividend - EPS - P/E Ratio - EPS Q/Q - PEG - Sales Q/Q - Return on Assets (ROA) - Return on Equity (ROE) - BETA - SMA - quarterly earnings

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EBITDA," then google "investopedia EBITDA" and click the Investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Useful links:

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    At what point do you sell?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 12:53 PM PDT

    I bought AAPL for around $115/share in 2015, and started doing DRIP in 2018 (I didn't know about it). Today my investment has an unrealized gain of over 100%, and I'm starting to think I should sell off enough to get back my initial investment or even sell it all to lock in the profit.

    I'm second guessing whether or not I should sell. Thoughts?

    I'm not hurting for cash right now, so I fear this is a panic sell mentality.

    submitted by /u/proto-kaiser
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    Best stock research resources?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 02:43 PM PDT

    What are the best websites for stock analysis? Also thinking of summaries of analyst reports, estimates, targets, etc. Any really good sites with excellent free stuff out there?

    submitted by /u/mistergoodfellow78
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    Anybody own Planet Fitness

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 02:47 PM PDT

    I am curious as to what is giong on with the company right now and what you think long term.

    submitted by /u/sealdragon2
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    If 99% of traders can't beat the market, why waste my time learning stock analysis when I can just buy the S&P 500?

    Posted: 10 Oct 2019 04:24 PM PDT

    I want to invest long term, and if I'm gonna do that, I don't see any reason not to invest in the S&P 500. But obviously, millions of peoples still choose to invest in apple, disney, coke, etc. So what am I missing here? Is the "most traders won't beat the market" an exaggeration? I would appreciate some insight.

    submitted by /u/focusrunner79
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    NIO, where do you guys think this stock is headed? Its dipped pretty hard from when it went public.

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 12:44 PM PDT

    Keep in mind there is still trade tensions between China and the U.S.

    Other wise please fill me in on your opinion.

    submitted by /u/Binyaminp
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    Expected China Trade Deal Bump

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 11:59 AM PDT

    So what's the thinking here - that the Chinese are going to give Trump dirt on Hunter Biden and Trump is going to sign a shit deal in exchange?

    Or that Trump is so desperate to save his reelection prospects that he is going to sign a shit deal?

    Does anyone think we are going to come out of this ahead?

    Or does that not matter, the market just wants any deal at all?

    submitted by /u/videowordflesh
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    Advice on getting started in the stock market?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 12:32 PM PDT

    I(17, Italy) am quite interested in the markets and I've been following the news and doing research here and there lately, but I don't personally know anyone that's interested as well so I have no idea whether I'm heading in the right direction or not. So I've been looking up indicators and market "tools" such as derivatives, ETFs, CDOs and such other than the basics; but I don't know where to go next.

    Any advice on what to look for? (I'm currently following the news on Bloomberg and MarketWatch and doing most of my research on Investopedia)

    submitted by /u/babuchat
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    Thoughts on McD Stock?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 01:59 PM PDT

    Is it going through a correction period? Or why is it dropping so hard?

    submitted by /u/ilikefood00
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    Disney or Starbucks?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 04:08 PM PDT

    I am trying to decide on another blue chip stock to diversify my portfolio. Thoughts between the two?

    submitted by /u/grux27
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    Tips on Cannabis investing

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 05:57 PM PDT

    Does anyone have any tips on investing in cannabis stocks? I have no idea what to look for because the financials of most cannabis companies are not very good. I don't know what I should look for in terms of the products or in anything related to the company. I believe this is a growing industry but I'm not sure what to invest in. Any tips would be greatly appreciated.

    submitted by /u/bennett1279
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    Netflix What's going on

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 11:31 AM PDT

    Netflix What's going on? In the last two days it kind of took off.

    submitted by /u/vin786
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    Lets talk about the China trade talks this weekend. You guys think it will end, extend, or slap on more tariffs?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 08:57 AM PDT

    The orange man tweeted:

    "Good things are happening at China Trade Talk Meeting. Warmer feelings than in recent past, more like the Old Days. I will be meeting with the Vice Premier today. All would like to see something significant happen!"

    All too familiar..

    submitted by /u/FlaminHotTummyAches
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    Do any brokerages allow buying partial shares?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 06:27 PM PDT

    I know I can do it through a drip, but id like to throw a little money consistently at a few stocks with partial shares. Any ideas?

    submitted by /u/slop_tart
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    Why did prce of rodhium increased during 2008-2009 years?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 05:43 PM PDT

    What happened?

    People bought precious metals regardeless of which metal it was? What happened? Why rodium increased o much? One could think that people tought ''since it's scarcier than gold... go with it''... but why rodium and not gold?

    submitted by /u/luchins
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    The 5 stocks I would pick if I was a Hedge Fund Manager (Purely fun discussion, no stock positions in these companies)

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 12:49 AM PDT

    My 5 stocks choices with competitive advantages are:

    1. Union Pacific Corp. (NYSE: UNP) -Their railroad networks dominate California to Chicago, all the way up to Canada then as far south as Mexico. Even with self driving technology, your self driving truck can't compete with a 200 long cargo train charging 100s of dollars a container. Rail is cheaper, fast, and eco friendly way of transport that reaches areas that may be inaccessible for trucks or not cost effective (Think transporting recycled steel).
    2. Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) -Manufacturing military gear such as aircraft is very lucrative especially when you have an unaccounted for USA military industrial complex spending. With potential conflicts in so many nations, what could go wrong buying this stock?
    3. Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) - Doctors are expensive sometimes costing upwards of 1 million a year to pay, insure, and other costs. All a robot needs is maintenance, a technician (almost always cheaper), electricity, hardware and software then you are good to go. Since healthcare is a fortune to pay for, and robots are typically significantly cheaper, developing automation is the smart thing to do.
    4. Republic Services, Inc. (NYSE: RSG) - The world isn't any closer to a trash less society, this is a simple business model perfect for mega companies. The moat around US trash collection is how regulations on local, state, and federal levels make it a very hard business to get into which costs usually millions just to have dominion over one area. Republic Services is in 41 states and although is 2nd place to Waste Management, offers more growth potential due to Waste Management already being top dog. In addition Republic Service can profit off of trash collection via recycling.
    5. Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX) -Being an artisan company usually making $10 off something that is likely less than $1 to make is a lucrative business. Especially when your brand is worth billions and associated with middle class and up clientele. Starbucks is like the Disney of coffee, they sell the romance of coffee shops with a well proven and established formula. Considering coffee is just as addictive as any other normal thing like soda, it's no surprise to recommend Starbucks stock. I doubt most Starbucks drinkers are going to go cold turkey anytime soon with coffee.

    Edit: I plan on buying these stocks in the near future (within 1 month from today)

    Any thoughts on my 5 stock picks?

    submitted by /u/ohiodylan
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    Good sources for learning stock/investing fundamentals as well as options trading?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 04:52 PM PDT

    I recently have been trading on paper account with thinkorswim and in two weeks I have increased from $200,000 to $260,172 for a total of roughly $64k. It's made my eyes huge and while it's been great performance, I'm afraid I'm not grasping fundamentals enough to be a successful investor long term.

    Buying and selling calls and puts on SPY according to trade war is what got me so much so fast by the way.

    submitted by /u/scrubandsqueak
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    Think or Swim question

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 06:32 AM PDT

    New to TDA I have TOS recently switched from rh is their a way to see cost average of my stocks to see total gains/losses or no?

    submitted by /u/sealdragon2
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    What do you think about TOCA?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 12:29 PM PDT

    I'm just beginner and I don't much but it hit lowest in 52 weeks just now and it seems only way is to go up pretty soon. Any opinions? :)

    submitted by /u/gleny4001
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    As a long time market-lurker, is this a bad moment to enter the market?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 04:08 AM PDT

    I've been following financial markets for a while now. I've always been very interested in global economy and read up on financial news every day.

    I recently started working my first full time job, which provided a steady income-source. I've always had the idea that, once i got my own income i'd start investing after i got a "substantial" starting sum (i've saved up about 10k so far).

    Now, anyone who has been up to date with the financial climate knows that there's quite the commotion about the state of the (stock)market. Word of recession is out, pessimism about growth shrinking is getting bigger, trade wars are in full motion and Chinas' locomotive slowing down.

    More and more esteemed economists (just read an opinion piece by Felix Zulauf, just to mention one) are backing up those statements.

    I really don't like my money just sitting, passively on my saving account, i feel like i'm losing every moment i wait, but yet, i can't ignore the warnings of major economists about a plausible nearing recession. I don't feel like trading, i just want a reliable source of passive income, so i feel like jumping in now without a proper market-penetration strategy (yes i used the word penetration reddit) would be a bad idea in the long term.

    For the experienced investor on this sub (for what that's worth),
    should i wait until next year? A lot of market analysts speculate that the shrinking economic growth will reach it's depth in 2020.

    If i were to initiate investing now, would i be in the wrong investing in indexes, since they are cycle bound, or would i be better of scouting the market for interesting buying opportunities based on financial news and corporate decisionmaking.

    This post has the intention of gathering particular opinions on the matter.

    submitted by /u/NihilistDichotomy
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    Opinion on Investment Tool

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 09:26 AM PDT

    Hi guys...so I've been trading for a couple of years part time...and I realized that it might be a good idea to have an application that puts up all information regarding a stock on a single screen in a visually easy to interpret manner. Any thoughts ?

    submitted by /u/Nikhil9R
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    Thoughts on Meredith MDP

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 06:46 AM PDT

    I actually think this company has potential, but now they're facing a class action lawsuit from investors, and they made statements that Time, Inc. was not as profitable of an acquisition as they thought it would be. So while the price seems tempting to me, I am skiddish about those two aspects. Anyone following MDP closely that can weigh in with their opinion?

    submitted by /u/meoraine
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    Some interesting news stories in the stock market this week

    Posted: 10 Oct 2019 09:34 PM PDT

    Growth Stocks (SmileDirectClub)

    SmileDirectClub has fallen 30% since Monday despite every major analyst coming out with a buy rating or equivalent. UBS analyst Kevin Caliendo described a $70 billion opportunity in the U.S. with a total addressable market of 40 million adults. Caliendo expects 15% penetration through 2023 to drive EBIT margins of around 17%. That works out at an EBIT of $1.8 billion and I would estimate a reasonable valuation (7x that) of $12.5 billion compared to a current market capitalization $3.9 billion. JPMorgan highlighted an even greater $569 billion global revenue opportunity.

    The market's reaction shows a healthy level of skepticism, given all the analysts participated in SmileDirectClub's IPO last month, but nobody is denying that the opportunity described is reasonable. Fewer than 1% of individuals with misalignment of teeth are currently receiving treatment, and one big reason is the high cost of orthodontic treatment. SmileDirectClub offers an approach that greatly reduces those costs.

    Value Stocks (The Michaels Companies, Bed Bath and Beyond, Hanesbrands)

    On Monday the Michaels Companies' announced that UPS was to utilize 1,100 of its arts and craft stores as drop off and pick up points, iust in time for Halloween. The company had previously seen its stock valuation drop significantly due to general uneasiness about retail and concerns about trade tariffs -- current TTM PE just 4.7x. That seems harsh given the company was able to put many of the tariff concerns and Q1's dismal performance behind it after it reported strong Q2 earnings last month with comps up 0.3% and EPS up 27%.

    The UPS announcement should boost footfall in Michaels; stores nationwide and it is a good reason to cheer the stock price which is up significantly (90%) from its August lows. But its valuation, with a trailing PE of 4.7 and forward PE of 4.0, still looks cheap.

    Bed Bath and Beyond soared 22% on Thursday to $12.09 after the company announced that it had poached Mark Tritton as CEO. Formerly the Chief Merchandising Officer at Target, Tritton had been in charge of all merchandising, product development, visual displays and private-label programs, making him instrumental in Target's reinvention.

    Patrick Gaston, Bed Bath & Beyond's chairman of the board, said that "Mark's ability to re-define the retail experience and drive growth at some of the world's most successful retailers and brands makes him uniquely equipped to lead Bed Bath & Beyond"

    I have felt that the stock is oversold for sometime even taking into account retail worries. Even after yesterday's jump, its market cap of $1.53 billion compares to a $0.75 billion operational cash flow and the balance sheet looks very healthy with net debt of just $0.5 billion. Measures taken by the interim CEO, Mary Winston, to reduce the number of promotions and unprofitable stores already looked like they were about to start yielding higher margins and profits. The appointment of Mr Tritton should help boost that further.

    On Monday, Fool.com outlined a strong value thesis for Hanesbrands Inc. The stock is cheap, trading for just 8.4 times next year's earnings estimates and offers a high dividend yield of 4.15%. Investors have been concerned by Chinese tariff concerns although a recent Credit Suisse report says that only 2% of the company's costs of goods sold are imported from China.

    However the main narrative is that the company's best known brand, Champion, has moved on from being a bargain bucket item and it is now a major force in its own right as a result of 70's nostalgia and a rising demand for loungewear. A number of new Champion stores have opened in elite shopping districts featuring retro styles and, according to Bloomberg, teenage boys rank Champion in their top 15 favorite fashion brands alongside stalwarts such as Gucci and Tommy Hilfiger.

    Large Cap (Dominos)

    Domino's Pizza Inc had a volatile week. On Tuesday its stock fell 5% after reporting stronger competition, falling comps and a weaker outlook before rising and ending the day up 5% after the market realized that a buy back of 10% of outstanding stock was on the way. The market has struggled to maintain those gains and I would agree, the main narrative of the print was stronger competition, falling comps and a weaker outlook.

    Emerging Markets (Azul SA)

    On Tuesday Brazil's largest airline, Azul SA, reported yet another month of extraordinary growth with consolidated passenger traffic up 31.0%. The company successfully achieved the difficult task, that faces all airlines, of growing capacity while maintaining load factor. All the more notable when capacity increases 30.8%. Azul will probably never trade at a premium but the valuation, at just 13.0x current year estimates, does look attractive.

    Please feel free to "FOLLOW" me if you would like to see my regular updates during the week.

    This is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Stocks are not suitable for everybody. Please do your own research.

    submitted by /u/InterestingNews1
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    MJ ETF where to go next?

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 09:10 AM PDT

    I bought in twice past 6 months. Is it fine to cut my losses and sell some OR wait? Where do you think this ETF is headed?

    Bought in at avg cost of $27.51. Down ~$900

    submitted by /u/bigdayeveryday
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    IAC Proposes to Spin Out Dating Service Match Group

    Posted: 11 Oct 2019 08:08 AM PDT

    Hey everyone,

    Could someone please put this in simpler terms on how this will effect $MTCH?

    Does this mean there is a potential split? I understanding they will be selling off their shares, but how does this effect the actual $MTCH stock?

    Thanks in advance

    https://www.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/iac-proposes-spinout-of-match-group-15123325

    submitted by /u/rosen178
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