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    Tuesday, October 29, 2019

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 05:16 AM PDT

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    How do I lose as much money as I can as quickly as possible?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 03:41 PM PDT

    Basically the title says it all.

    My university class is playing a stock trading game(US market only) and the top winner and loser gets a gift card.

    Being able to distinct real life financial gain and a game, it seems to me that it would be much easier to just be the biggest loser. Now I know I could just keep buying and selling and losing via commission fees but that's too much of a process since we start with 200k.

    What would be the quickest and easiest way to lose all my money in the stock market?

    submitted by /u/Onion217
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    Hong Kong enters recession, official says, as protests again erupt in flames

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 10:01 PM PDT

    Alphabet earnings: $10.12 per share, vs $12.42 EPS expected

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 01:08 PM PDT

    BYND falls as much as 15% after earnings release

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 01:31 PM PDT

    Beyond Meat on Monday reported its first quarterly profit and topped analysts' expectations for quarterly earnings and revenue.

    Despite the beat, shares of the company tanked as much as 15% in extended trading. The stock, which has soared 321% since its initial public offering, closed Monday up 4.5%.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/28/beyond-meat-bynd-earnings-q3-2019.html

    submitted by /u/Publicks
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    Be careful of Landa app - Israeli bullshit alert

    Posted: 29 Oct 2019 02:38 AM PDT

    I replied to a separate post but seems like this is worth a post. I was about to invest through Landa and give it a try so I was doing some research. 1st thing that seemed weird is that in that in the FAQ's the answer to the question who's behind Landa didn't actually answer it. Just a simple bullshit sentence: Landa was built by fin-tech passionate entrepreneurs, which are trying to unlock real estate 🏡, the oldest asset class in the world.

    I looked at the FB group they have (link is on their website) and saw the admins are all Israeli so I contacted an Israeli friend and asked him to look into the team for me.

    I'll stick to facts to avoid any kind of suggestions and will let you guys reach your own conclusion - my friend got some info about the guy who responded in the other thread from a user claiming to be Landa's user (Carmel Baran) - so here's some info + links. Google translate isn't perfect (links have info in hebrew) but will give you a good idea as to who these people might be.

    1) FB group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/landa/

    2) The first admin I was referring to in the other thread: https://www.facebook.com/yishai.cohen.3 his profile says he's the founder of Smartbus.

    3) My friend googled Smart-Bus suit in Hebrew and found this: https://www.news1.co.il/Archive/001-D-410924-00.html It says he was sued by investors for misleading them during negotiations and presented false information

    4) After I responded yesterday he looked up the Carmel Baran guy. Seems like he was the head of a non-profit and was taking all the money from the non-profit and using it for his own good. Here are a few links:

    - https://www.globes.co.il/news/article.aspx?did=1001237031 This mentions Carmel Baran's problematic use of money of the non-profit

    - This is a link to an interview he gave and left in the middle after the previous link was published. He came to defend himself, was presented with additional information and apparently lied during the interview. He ended up leaving after 15 minutes (says he's going to the bathroom and leaves the interview in the middle): https://www.punkt-adv.com/post/2018/05/24/%D7%A4%D7%A8%D7%A7-47-%D7%94%D7%A8%D7%99%D7%90%D7%99%D7%95%D7%9F-%D7%A9%D7%A4%D7%95%D7%A6%D7%A5-%D7%A2%D7%9D-%D7%9B%D7%A8%D7%9E%D7%9C-%D7%91%D7%A8%D7%9F-%D7%9E%D7%A0%D7%9B%D7%9C-%D7%90%D7%A8%D7%92%D7%95%D7%9F-%D7%94%D7%93%D7%99%D7%92%D7%99%D7%98%D7%9C

    In addition - both apps have terrible reviews. Make your own choice about this. I wouldn't go near it.

    submitted by /u/EmsTheSweetheart
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    Do small cap stocks tend to outperform large cap stocks over the long term?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 05:55 PM PDT

    I've been asked this question and a quick google search did not provide me with satisfactory information. Does anyone have insight on this question?

    submitted by /u/thepixelatedcat
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    The S&P 500 is on the brink of another record

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 08:45 AM PDT

    Saudi Aramco aims to begin planned IPO on Nov. 3: sources

    Posted: 29 Oct 2019 03:43 AM PDT

    DUBAI/RIYADH (Reuters) - Saudi Aramco aims to announce the start of its initial public offering (IPO) on Nov. 3, three people with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters, after delaying the deal earlier this month to give advisers time to secure cornerstone investors.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-aramco-ipo/saudi-aramco-aims-to-begin-planned-ipo-on-nov-3-sources-idUSKBN1X80JH

    submitted by /u/Infamous-Grouse
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    Finviz data accuracy?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 06:09 PM PDT

    I was interested in how Finviz gets their data for companies. I wanted to know the accuracy of their fundmentals, and I couldn't recreate their results with data I found online.

    Example:

    AAPL EPS TTM: $11.77

    AAPL EPS TTM EPS 5 years ago: $6.21

    Annual EPS growth past 5Y = (11.77 / 6.21)^(1 / 5) - 1 = 13.64%

    Finviz lists AAPL with an annual EPS growth past 5Y as 16.5% with EPS TTM at $11.51

    Even using Finviz's EPS TTM (11.51 / 6.21)^(1 / 5) - 1 = 13.13%

    Why are all the numbers I calculate off? Am I using inaccurate data or calculating these statistics wrong? Why is the EPS TTM different?

    submitted by /u/timbershalen
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    Diversify ETFs/Stocks vs Retirement Fund

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 09:36 PM PDT

    Okay so I will be maxing out my ira every year starting this year and moving forward. I am currently 19 and going to college as well as in the national guard. I currently have been investing in Retirement Fund 2060 but realize that admiral funds may be less on the expense ratio especially since they lowered the minimum to 3k, so my question is should I diversify my stocks into different admiral funds or just stick with putting all into the retirement fund, if the first choice, which 2 admiral funds do you recommend investing in(VTI/VOO etc.)

    submitted by /u/laneciar
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    Holy shit I sold FIT on Friday now it raised 30% today kill me

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 10:46 AM PDT

    I only bought it because it was undervalued as hell so I set a threshold on where to sell, i made like 20-30% in total and today it raises another 30%... RIP.

    submitted by /u/typefastx10
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    New Wave Esports company lists on the CSE with the stock symbol “NWES”

    Posted: 29 Oct 2019 04:21 AM PDT

    IMO2020 is the most important investing theme of the decade

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 11:24 PM PDT

    IMO2020 is an environmental protection regulation change that sets new standards around the type of fuel that merchant ships burn. My initial reaction was, wow, this is going to be total chaos. Supply chains are going to be disrupted. There could be fuel shortages and all kinds of madness. Regulators don't fully understand it. No one knows what will happen. Anxiety. Uncertainty. Risk. That's all still true. It's a gigantic cluster fuck.

    It's also an opportunity to create an incredible amount of wealth and make the planet a much better place, for us and for the rest of earth's inhabitants. I think it's a good thing that is happening and that we should all get behind.

    A single large ship can emit as much sulphur oxide as millions of cars and thousands of airplanes. #IMO2020 lowers allowable sulphur emissions by more than 85%. It will reduce acid rain and marine pollution. Acid rain is responsible for species extinction and endangerment. It will save tens of thousands of lives every year, as sulphur oxides are among the leading cause of respiratory illnesses.

    I'm all for alternative energy, but wind and sun are not going to fill the need to transport 90% of the world's products any time soon. Why wait for future panaceas when we can make a massive incremental improvement now? The most ambitious plan in world history to curb human impacts on the environment is underway now, and it is spearheaded by the IMO, the Shipping Industry, and the Oil & Gas industry.

    I am by nature skeptical of ALL regulatory bodies, but I do think the IMO has actually done an exceptional job as regulations go. They've even taken flak from governments for working too closely with industry. Bravo, IMO.

    High sulphur fuel oil, which ships currently burn, is a byproduct of other refined products. It's a waste oil. It will only be burned going forward if there are capabilities in place to remove the sulphur before it goes into the atmosphere.

    The challenge

    The world has to produce an additional 3.5 million barrels per day of low sulphur marine fuel. In order to pull this off, we have to transport more crude oil, refine more crude oil, and transport and store more refined petroleum products. The US has some of the most advanced refineries in the world as well as the highest total refining capacity on the planet. However, this is truly an international collaboration enabled by raw resources, shipping companies, and refining capacity from all over the world.

    I want you to seriously consider getting in on some part of this value chain. It's the most important change to energy markets in all of human history. It will change lives for the better, after (a lot) of initial confusion. We have to work through it.

    Sourcing the crude oil

    The "best" crude oil on the planet for producing refined products that are low in sulphur are located in the United States, the Urals, the North Sea, and Nigeria. The Permian Basin (west Texas) has been absolutely starved of investment for years. US Permian production is slowing down just when we need it the most. Consider investing in west Texas oil producers. I recently bought stock in Occidental Petroleum ($OXY), but I will admit I have not thoroughly screened the options. Shell ($RDS.A, $RDS.B) and Total $TOT both have strong presences in the North Sea. I'm sure are many other good options.

    The fact that ships will no longer be powered by a byproduct means a higher demand worldwide for crude oil, especially light crudes from places like Texas, Nigeria and the North Sea. This will lengthen global shipping routes. VLCC (very large crud carrier) ships, for example, are too big to go through the Panama canal, so they will have to go around the horn of Africa to transport crude oil to Asian refineries. Changing routes have already transformed the supply dynamics and will continue to do so. Some of the names I own in the space include:

    $EURN, $TNK, $FRO, $INSW and $DHT

    Tanker companies operate on charter rates, which is basically a day rate for hiring the ship. Above a generally fixed opex level (fuel and debt payments are usually the largest expenses) it's pure profit. These companies have struggled in recent years.

    In the run up to #IMO2020, their day rates have improved greatly and these companies are going to return a lot of money to shareholders in the transition. Many of these companies have appreciated a lot this year, but are coming off of all time lows.

    Oil refineries

    Oil refineries are ultimately the driver of demand for crude oil. They are the ones that purchase it from traders, speculators, producers, and SPRs (strategic petroleum reserves).

    Refineries are graded based on a scale called Nelson Complexity. More complex refineries can produce a wider range of refined products from a wider range of crude inputs. The most complex refineries in the United States are $PBF and $HFC. $PSX, $VLO, and $MPC are also major players, and $XOM owns complex assets worldwide. S-Oil in Korea is Asia's most complex refinery.

    Producing enough compliant fuel is mostly constrained by refiner capacity. There are fewer operating refineries in the United States today than there were 5 years ago, and capacity has only increased by 4.8% in that time. Refineries currently do not have enough capacity world wide to produce enough compliant fuel, diesel fuel, gasoline, jet fuel, and heating oil.

    At least one of these refined products is going to get a LOT more expensive next year. The transportation industries are already bracing for it.

    Refined product transportation

    Once products are refined. they need to go to the fuel depots where they are needed. These are installations all over the world that store fuel that ships can use. The main US traded companies who transport these refined products are $STNG, $DSSI, and $INSW.

    These ships are going to be running overtime, possibly for years, in order to move all of the new fuel in addition to moving existing refined products. Their day rates are currently very high and their order books quite deep. These companies will likely be excellent investments for the next two years. These companies have already appreciated a lot this year, but I believe there is more to come.

    Bunkering and raw materials

    Finally, we also do not have enough global storage capacity to store the old fuel (which can still be burned safely if a ship has a mini refinery on board that removes some of the sulphur) as well as the multiple, more environmentally new fuels, and our fuels like diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel. We will need to mine and transport steel. Steel is fully recyclable and by far one of the most environmentally friendly building solutions. It produces safe, sound structures more quickly than almost all other building techniques. Steel is made by combining iron and coal (Surprise! We need coal!).

    Companies that mine, process, and transport raw components, and then refine steel, are necessary to build the infrastructure needed for #IMO2020.

    Companies like Monjasa and Total are helping to build this infrastructure.

    CONCLUSION

    Do your own research, don't invest more than you can afford to lose, and good luck! You'll learn a lot. This fuel shift is definitely happening. The US has decided it's in its best economic interest (it's part of the US energy dominance strategy). Asia has also largely fully embraced the plan. In Singapore, starting Jan 1st 2020, you will face up to 2 years in jail time for using non-compliant fuel.

    Things are going to get really crazy next year. I hope you can all get on board with doing something, enabled by private enterprise, that will help us become wealthier at the same time that we improve our planet. Thank you for reading!

    Required disclaimer: I'm not a financial advisor, invest at your own risk. You shouldn't listen to me. I'm an idiot and I don't know what I'm talking about. These are my opinions only.

    submitted by /u/calvinfroedge
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    It is a mistake to think that Alphabet’s results were a disappointment. Q3 numbers included a $1,528 million unrealized loss on equity investments compared to a $1,382 million gain in Q3 2018. Adjusting for this, profit before tax increased 16.7%.

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 10:58 PM PDT

    The disclosure can be clearly seen on page 9 of the report under "Gain (loss) on equity securities, net". Adjusting for this, the company would have reported a Q3 profit before tax of $10,156 million compared to $8,701 in Q3 2018.

    Alphabet did not report which investments made the loss but commentators have suggested they could be Uber and Slack. Two stocks that Alphabet had invested in and that have seen their stock price decline in the quarter.

    As a result, I believe the bull thesis for the stock is unchanged. Unrealized equity gains and losses on third party businesses are not a reflection on Alphabets core business. The core business revenues grew strongly, just as they did in the second quarter.

    This is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Stocks are risky and not suitable for everybody. Please do your own research.

    https://abc.xyz/investor/static/pdf/2019Q3_alphabet_earnings_release.pdf?cache=d41c776

    submitted by /u/InterestingNews1
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    Saxo Vs Interactive Banking?

    Posted: 29 Oct 2019 01:29 AM PDT

    I'm planning to start investing for the long term in index funds such as S&P 500 or in blue chip stocks such as Microsoft. I've done my research on the various cost involve and decided to seek opinions from investors who had more experience. My plan is to invest in a portfolio and just leave it untouched over time.

    In terms of holding fees or inactivity fees, what are the difference between IB and SAXO? Or is there another online broker available which have a lower cost compared to these two brokers?

    Just for the information, I'm from Singapore.

    submitted by /u/PM_ME_GOLDDD
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    Seeking real investors

    Posted: 29 Oct 2019 03:54 AM PDT

    Creative.EYE a team of artist from all genres

    submitted by /u/XJ2109
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    Freelance entrepreneur

    Posted: 29 Oct 2019 03:44 AM PDT

    Im seeking investors for my company call Creative.EYE👁🌑😈 I seek to join my brothers in the shadows. I know what this world has to really offer and I want to learn and train with those that mastered their craft. seeking investments of any kind (gear, tech, money, training, etc.) Im a man of my word and I only seek to form my crew and show my worth.

    submitted by /u/XJ2109
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    Are those two etf bonds same ?

    Posted: 29 Oct 2019 03:33 AM PDT

    Hello, I want to buy Xtrackers II Global Government Bond UCITS ETF 1C - EUR Hedged | DBZB with ISIN LU0378818131 but in Interactive brokers client I see only option for ETF with ticker DBZB Ibis. Price is same, but I am not sure if it is ACC and hedhed to EU too.

    How can I be sure those two ETF are same if I dont see ISIN in broker client?

    Thank you

    submitted by /u/hepepnyt
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    Sell Tesla?

    Posted: 29 Oct 2019 02:56 AM PDT

    Looked at the Tesla Q3 report. Personally a p/e ratio of 140ish it's too high to justify investment no matter the possible returns, took a nice $500 from the recent movement after the report came out and will hold out on trading it until the price is better or earnings are better in relation to price

    I am an idiot btw so tell me if I am just being stupid so I know what I am missing

    submitted by /u/MrMilkwastaken
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    S&P 500 jumps to record high on strong earnings, trade-deal progress

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 07:28 AM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/28/stock-market-investors-monitor-busiest-week-of-earnings-season.html

    "The S&P 500 hit a record high on Monday, breaking above an all-time high set over the summer as investors cheered strong earnings and progress on U.S.-China trade."

    submitted by /u/DoItYrselfLiberation
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    Canadian MJ?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 08:45 PM PDT

    does anybody know which Maryjane stock Fool is pushing?

    submitted by /u/sasso45
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    Anybody going for ADMP?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 10:14 PM PDT

    Anybody going to buy into ADMP?

    submitted by /u/Picklesnizzz__
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    Investing in Whiskey instead of Bitcoin.

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 11:13 AM PDT

    This is a very small part of my portfolio. I use to have a small position in Bitcoin but I decided to sell and now invest that into whiskey. Particularly Scotch and Japanese.

    So far the whiskey's I've purchased have appreciated between 20%-50%. Of course the trick is selling these legally in auction or private sell.

    My plan is to hold to these for 10 years.

    IMO, this is a better investment then Bitcoin. Because if the market for whiskey tanks I still have nice whiskey to drink or give as gifts. Giving a special release Macallan is a nice gift.

    Added bonus: its a very liquid asset

    Note: Whiskey is less than 1% of my portfolio

    submitted by /u/ScotchBrandyBourbon
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    Invictus Margin Lending (IML) Fund - the ability to take advantage of the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market without risking direct exposure

    Posted: 29 Oct 2019 12:19 AM PDT

    Margin lending allows traders who put up collateral to leverage their positions. Interest is paid daily by the trader to the lender. The fund aims to maximize interest income on USD and USD equivalents with minimal anticipated drawdown risk. The fund strategy is to offer dollar-based loans on exchange margin lending platforms.

    submitted by /u/cmstrump
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