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    Thursday, October 17, 2019

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 05:10 AM PDT

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    A Guy on Reddit Turns $766 Into $107,758 on Two Options Trades

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 05:09 AM PDT

    Netflix soars after beating on earnings. $1.47 vs. $1.04 expected.

    Posted: 16 Oct 2019 01:38 PM PDT

    US: Industrial production contracted by 0.4% in September

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 06:36 AM PDT

    https://www.fxstreet.com/news/us-industrial-production-contracted-by-04-in-september-201910171322

    According to the monthly Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization report published by the Federal Reserve, industrial production in the United States contracted by 0.4% on a monthly basis in September following August's expansion of 0.8% and came in worse than the market expectation of -0.1%.

    "For the third quarter, industrial production rose at an annual rate of 1.2% following declines of about 2% in both the first and the second quarters," the Fed noted in its publication. "Manufacturing production decreased 0.5% in September, with output reduced by a strike at a major manufacturer of motor vehicles."

    Finally, the capacity utilization edged lower to 77.5% in the same period from 77.9% in August.

    The Greenback continues to have a tough time recovering its daily losses against its major rivals after this data. As of writing, the US Dollar Index was down 0.32% on the day at 97.70.

    submitted by /u/MrCrickets
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    Satire: A eulogy for the 60/40 portfolio

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 07:26 AM PDT

    Netflix's growth slows as it braces for influx of competition

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 02:46 AM PDT

    https://www.nbcnews.com/news/all/netflix-faces-price-pressure-subscriber-growth-slows-n1066581

    Netflix added 517,000 domestic subscribers in the third quarter compared with the second quarter, less than the 800,000 it had forecast. Internationally, Netflix added 6.8 million subscribers, fewer than the 7 million it had forecast.

    The results are the last Netflix will release before it faces stiff new competition from some of the biggest, and most moneyed, names in tech and media. Apple and Disney will soon launch their own streaming services.

    submitted by /u/MrCrickets
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    Netflix Earnings inflated via content amortization?

    Posted: 16 Oct 2019 11:26 PM PDT

    • 31.1% Revenue Growth y-o-y but amortization only grew by 19.3% with content asset reaching record levels
    • Adjusting content amortization to be constant with revenue growth brings Operating income to 753M and not 980M

    is Netflix playing loose with content amortization to inflate earnings?

    Additionally, 25 cents per share after tax seem to come from some FX hedging not actual earnings. If you take this in consideration, there seem to actually be no growth.

    Sources:

    [1] https://twitter.com/GatorInvestor/status/1184571946501103618

    [2] https://twitter.com/WallStCynic/status/1184663102052327430

    submitted by /u/finca3eo
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    Record-Low 0.0000000091% Yield on Japan Bond Shows BOJ Effect

    Posted: 16 Oct 2019 05:14 PM PDT

    China Unexpectedly Injects $28 Billion of Cash as Growth Slows

    Posted: 16 Oct 2019 08:23 AM PDT

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-unexpectedly-injects-28-billion-025349902.html

    (Bloomberg) -- China caught traders off-guard with a surprise injection into the financial system via loans to banks, ahead of data on Friday which is expected to show a further slowdown in the domestic economy.

    The People's Bank of China added 200 billion yuan ($28 billion) of one-year cash through the medium-term lending facility on Wednesday. It kept the interest rate steady. The move took traders by surprise as the authorities usually inject liquidity when previously offered loans come due, and the next batch won't mature until Nov. 5.

    The Chinese economy has been under pressure amid a prolonged trade dispute with the U.S. and a slowing domestic economy, prompting the central bank to ease monetary policy by lowering corporate borrowing costs and cutting banks' reserve ratios this year. Data released this week showed that China's factory deflation deepened and imports and exports fell last month.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Thoughts on JMIA long-term please?

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 06:32 AM PDT

    Will income inequality get worse since wealth compounds?

    Posted: 16 Oct 2019 08:40 PM PDT

    The top 1% will only exponentially get richer since they own so many assets/stocks, while the poor/middle class don't, (even if they did, their principal is too low to rival the rich) so assuming the SP500 continues it's average returns, does that mean the wealth distribution is going to get perpetually distributed to the wealthy?

    submitted by /u/BobbyBryce
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    Is it worth learning to invest in individual stocks without having a financial background?

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 06:48 AM PDT

    I am 28yo and my background is in healthcare. Recently, I started learning about investing because I was told that I was losing money to inflation with it just sitting in the bank. I have read 2 books (Millionaire Teacher and Margin of Safety). I have spent hours watching investing videos (Khan Academy, MoneyWeek, documentaries, Aswath Demodaran, etc) and on Investopedia and other investing sites. After all of this, I only seem to have a basic understanding on analysing stocks. Whenever I am learning something new, there just seems to be so much more concepts/valuations to learn. Specifically, I am having trouble with the fundamental analysis of stocks. I believe I don't have the prerequisites since I did not go to business school. It doesn't help that there are so many different opinions on valuations and concepts. I have 70% of my portfolio invested in index funds and I want to invest 30% with a DIY approach to try and beat the market. I know 80% of fund managers don't beat the market so my question is: For someone without a financial background, do I even have a chance to beat the market? Is it worth the time and effort?

    submitted by /u/imakethesoup
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    U.S. housing starts fall; mid-Atlantic factory activity slows

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 09:18 AM PDT

    Thoughts on buying $GLUU ?

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 09:15 AM PDT

    Been watching this one for a while and noticed a jump this week. Any insight would be much appreciated.

    submitted by /u/bigdigdoug
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    IBM stock falls on revenue miss

    Posted: 16 Oct 2019 01:43 PM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/16/ibm-earnings-q3-2019.html

    Earnings: Excluding certain items, $2.68 per share, vs. $2.67 per share as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.

    Revenue: $18.03 billion, vs. $18.22 billion as expected by analysts, according to Refinitiv.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    DE Shaw Emerson Letter

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 08:56 AM PDT

    https://www.deshawmaterials.com/

    This is such great educational content. Favorite slide of the deck has to be #23 " Emerson Operates an Exceptionally Large Fleet of Private Jets Which Suggests a Culture of Excessive Costs… "

    8 Jets + 1 Helicopter graphic was hilarious

    top notch content

    submitted by /u/if2206
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    Need advice! What happens if my ETF "goes bust"?

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 08:51 AM PDT

    prelude: I have been saving money for about a year now and I have bought Invesco [QQQ] and Motley Fool 100 Index ETF [TMFC]. I also own Berkshire and Markel [BRK.B&MKL] and I am planning on putting some money in Vanguard [VOO]. I have split all these ownings pretty equally. I plan on continuing to use this as a "checking account" and invest everything that is left over when I get my next paycheck.

    Now my main question: Say that in 2020; we experience something like the recessions in 2000 or 2008 or who knows.. maybe something even worse. What are the chances of for example Motley closing down their fund? If so, what happens? Do they give me a "pawn"/wreck-like price for the shares or do I get nothing?

    These are holdings that I plan on selling at my retirement or even later which would mean I would have to hold them 20-30 years.

    my first post here so I hope I am not using too much confusing jargon/technical terms

    submitted by /u/ehurtig
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    New Howard Marks Memo: Mysterious

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 08:51 AM PDT

    MJ ETF market cap

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 08:18 AM PDT

    I had bought into the etf MJ a few times. I've noticed the market cap dropping significantly, something like 50% over the past year. How does this effect etf price? I noticed market cap went down again but price is on a rebound.

    submitted by /u/Squirty87
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    Where to find earnings transcripts after call is completed.

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 08:16 AM PDT

    I use seekingalpha for transcripts, but the delay is 8+ hours. Are there places that are more real-time with the transcripts ? Not looking for a Bloomberg/ Factset solution but something reasonable cost.

    submitted by /u/jazzydat
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    Why is my S&P 500 ETF going down in price whilst the S&P is rising?

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 07:42 AM PDT

    Title. Please explain, because I can't understand.

    submitted by /u/No1pk
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    Why is a person that handles your money called a ‘Broker’?

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 01:49 AM PDT

    How do Facebook and Google have continues revenue growth?

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 01:47 AM PDT

    Year over year they continuously have their revenue increased. Almost no debt as well. For how long will it last you think? And how is it possible? Their financials are just fascinating, I don't get it.

    submitted by /u/flyingtable_
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    Best M1 Finance alternative in Europe

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 04:57 AM PDT

    What's the best alternative to M1 Finance/Robinhood style platforms that you can use being a European citizen?

    Many suggest Etoro however the fees are quite high. Is Revolut a good up and coming? Or Ninety Nine?

    submitted by /u/Cianfog
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    Breaking: EU and UK reach Brexit deal after lengthy negotiations

    Posted: 17 Oct 2019 03:32 AM PDT

    https://www.ft.com/content/63a605e8-3180-39dd-aad0-bbfe635a3b59

    (if FT's paywalled: https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/oct/17/boris-johnson-and-eu-reach-brexit-deal-without-dup-backing)

    The EU and UK have reached a deal, but there's still domestic pushback from DUP politicians (they have to fall in line in order for the possibility of a majority Parliament agreement on the deal), and from the Labour Party, who have indicated that they will back a second referendum on the new EU-UK deal.

    Sterling and the Euro have both rallied against the dollar in response to the news, though I believe the broader effects of this deal (or lack thereof) still remains ambiguous.

    What are your thoughts?

    PDF of deal here: https://ec.europa.eu/commission/sites/beta-political/files/revised\_withdrawal\_agreement\_including\_protocol\_on\_ireland\_and\_nothern\_ireland.pdf

    submitted by /u/TripIeSixes
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