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    Wednesday, May 29, 2019

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 29 May 2019 05:14 AM PDT

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Home-Price Gains in 20 U.S. Cities Slow for 12th Straight Month

    Posted: 28 May 2019 07:37 AM PDT

    China’s Long March Is Reaching a Crescendo, Official Threatens Trade Restrictions On Essential Rare Earth Minerals

    Posted: 28 May 2019 01:02 PM PDT

    According to CCTV, a "relevant official" from the National Development and Reform Commission was reported to have said products made from rare earth materials should not be used against China's development, CNBC reports. To give you an example of the influence China has over the worlds rare earth elements (REE's), the Mountain Pass Mine, once a powerhouse producer of REEs from 1965 to 1985, was completely shut down from 2002 to 2012 because of China, forcing its owner Molycorp into eventual bankruptcy in 2015.

    According to Roskill, global REE production in 2008 was approximately 119,220 mt, of which only approximately 4,220 mt originated from outside of China, and U.S government officials are very aware of the threat this poses to REE market stability, as expressed by Mike Pompeo on May 11, 2017

    Rare earth production from 2013-2018

    The defense industry in the U.S obtains 100% of its REE's from China, and a 2016 Government Accountability Office report called this a "bedrock national security issue", and rightfully so. Below are some detailed charts showing each REE's use and source country (source:U.S. Geological Survey)

    https://imgur.com/gaAWZVj

    https://imgur.com/BBAiCy3

    https://imgur.com/b8EBymY

    https://imgur.com/vGy0CQ6

    https://imgur.com/QhRUIwY

    https://imgur.com/LyOAKDJ

    China also controls about 85 percent of the REE's used in consumer products, an astronomical number. As you may know, REE's are essential to the entire tech industry, and without them, the United States would cease to function.

    The PRC already manages mining levels. South China Morning Post reports that, due to production quotas, the country became a net importer of rare earth last year.

    Chen Daoyin, a Shanghai-based political researcher said, "We have to be prepared for the possibility that economic confrontation with the US may persist over the long term." A statement like that makes you wonder if all the tariff negotiations headlines we have been inundated with lately are just smoke and mirrors. Are these negotiations even serious, or just formalities? We are going to have to wait and see, but if we were to make a judgment based upon the way events have unfolded so far, it wouldn't be surprising if this was the case. Trump sure loves tweeting about China, which makes you wonder if somebody has access to his tweets before the rest of us. Whoever did could potentially make billions off this information -- Yes, BILLIONS, no hyperbole. Fire and Fury, remember that? The VIX went up how much? Every time he tweets or says anything about the stock market, the reaction is fierce. Wouldn't you love to be the guy who knows what he is going to tweet before everybody else!

    Source article: https://interactiveswingtrading.com/2019/05/28/chinas-long-march-reaching-crescendo-official-threatens-trade-restrictions-on-essential-rare-earth-minerals/

    submitted by /u/Stocks45
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    Apple Trading Too Low?

    Posted: 28 May 2019 05:05 PM PDT

    https://www.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/apple-investor-concern-trade-war-overblown-14972555

    They are thinking investors are overly fearful of the trade war and that Apple's services (Apple TV, magazine, Apple Arcade, ...) will grow and be mostly immune to tariffs.

    submitted by /u/mateoverano
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    3M hitting new lows. Decent dividend yield but also a rather pricey stock. Opinions?

    Posted: 28 May 2019 12:39 PM PDT

    HOLD or get off the boat?

    submitted by /u/Gluckwunsch
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    Is Nordstrom worth investing in?

    Posted: 28 May 2019 07:34 PM PDT

    For those watching, we all know this retail stock has seen better days. Even looking at it 7 months ago it was double the price ($67 vs $33). Is anyone looking at buying this stock? It is buying back a lot of stock and could also resume talks of going private. Some say Walmart is the only relevant retail stock worth investing in, but Nordstrom may be able to bounce back long term.

    submitted by /u/MyFinanceGuy
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    active vs passive

    Posted: 28 May 2019 02:14 PM PDT

    recently read this article:

    https://www.institutionalinvestor.com/article/b1fg0jnvbpc536/History-Made-U-S-Passive-AUM-Matches-Active-For-First-Time

    i find it interesting that we've surpassed the 50% level for passive management. Intuition dictates that at some point, there isnt enough capital attempting to beat that market, and thus beating the market gets easier and generates more alpha. The tricky part is knowing where that point is. 50%? 60%? 70%?? would love to hear your thoughts.

    submitted by /u/DealyMcDealerson
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    controversial opinion: dividend stocks are over-rated

    Posted: 28 May 2019 02:39 PM PDT

    It seems that retail investors are constantly obsessed with dividend yield. I don't get it. shouldnt we care more about how much cash flow the company generates? and why should we care whether they give it back to us in the form of dividends or share repurchases. Also, wouldn't we be better served investing in companies with great uses for their excess capital besides just directly giving it back to shareholders? After all, if you are a good company, you probably have a competitive edge that enables you to generate higher returns with my money than I could make on my own. otherwise why did I invest in you in the first place?

    submitted by /u/DealyMcDealerson
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    why isn't BA getting hammered more than it should?

    Posted: 28 May 2019 08:23 AM PDT

    1. Faulty 737 max that killed hundreds of people

    2. Grounded 737 max fleets causing airline companies millions of dollars per week

    3. Airline companies no longer want 737 max

    4. Potential SEC investigation

    5. rumors of whistleblowers gonna spill the beans

    6. BA wants to charge the safety feature as extra!

    Yet their stock is refusing to go below $340 - 350. Lowest dip was $292 in the mini-bear market back in December 2018.

    I know they have fantastic economic fundamentals and balance sheet but come on?!

    submitted by /u/BussySlayer69
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    Does anyone know anywhere where you can download data on firms that have issued profit warnings?

    Posted: 29 May 2019 05:14 AM PDT

    Data would ideally include company name, date, stock price before and after

    submitted by /u/Farquad4000
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    China dairy stocks...

    Posted: 29 May 2019 01:10 AM PDT

    Hi all,

    We all remember the stories about the contaminated Chinese milk.

    Or the story of China Huishan Dairy Holdings which dropped 91% and disappeared.

    But... with the lately booming coffee business in China (Starbucks vs Luckin) isn't it safe to bet on the milk producers?

    Coffee will be hit hard by the warming climate but milk is on the rise in china article

    I'm wondering if China Mengniu Dairy Co and a2 milk would be a good investment. Anyone is holding them?

    submitted by /u/Logiman43
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    Rare earth

    Posted: 29 May 2019 03:41 AM PDT

    Opportunities in rare earth stocks with the US China trade war?

    submitted by /u/justbemenooneelse
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    Are bond funds a good addition to a portfolio?

    Posted: 28 May 2019 06:54 PM PDT

    I've been reading "The Intelligent Investor" and in it, the author says that bond funds are important for a portfolio.

    Question is: I [25m] am planning to let my investments sit for 30-40 years, so over this time, wouldn't a portfolio of stock index funds likely perform better than one mixed with bond funds?

    submitted by /u/Mr_D3
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    Non-Traded Public REITs

    Posted: 28 May 2019 03:11 PM PDT

    Looking to start a discussion about the pros and cons of non-traded public REITs (ie: Fundrise, Rich Uncles, etc. )to be invested in alongside a regular brokerage account to further diversify and generate additional cash flow. And go!

    submitted by /u/DancinWookie92
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    NASA going to the moon by 2024

    Posted: 28 May 2019 11:19 PM PDT

    I am a huge fan of what NASA does, they spend all their money on advancements for the sake of science and curiosity. In the past they have developed many technologies that went on the be used on an every day basis (computer mice, phone cameras, etc.). I digress, I think the excitement about orbiting the moon, landing on it, and collecting samples, along with the larger budget (albeit slightly) could bring some of the products they use into the spotlight. Is there anything to look out for? Do they use special Nvidia or AMD chips that they'll need more of? Do any public companies produce fuel, spacecraft grade metal, chemicals, dried foods, etc? I think you get the point. Let me know if there's anything interesting a guy like me may like to support/anything profitable because I, like many, want money.

    submitted by /u/DreamsAsF
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    Morgan Stanley says economy is on ‘recession watch’ as bond market flashes warning

    Posted: 28 May 2019 01:58 PM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/28/morgan-stanley-says-economy-on-recession-watch-amid-bond-warning.html

    That usual upward slope can change, however, when investors think economic output growth is likely to fall. That occurred earlier this year, when the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield first fell below that of the 3-month Treasury bill, a sign many on Wall Street read as a recessionary signal.

    The curve flattened further Tuesday as the 3-month bill yielded 2.356% and the 10-year note yielded 2.269%.

    Some investors wrote it off, saying "it's different this time" thanks to the Federal Reserve's lingering quantitative easing or by how quickly the curve appeared to correct to a steeper shape. But Morgan Stanley's deeper dive into the data — controlling for the Fed's tinkering — reveals a "much different picture."

    Morgan Stanley's analysis shows the adjusted yield curve first inverted in November and has remained in negative territory ever since.

    "The adjusted yield curve inverted last November and has remained in negative territory ever since, surpassing the minimum time required for a valid meaningful economic slowdown signal," Wilson wrote. "It also suggests the 'shot clock' started 6 months ago, putting us 'in the zone' for a recession watch."

    submitted by /u/birkswithsocks
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    Do any of you invest in trading card boxes?

    Posted: 29 May 2019 02:53 AM PDT

    So the main reason I ask is becuase it seems like basically free money, so long as you are willing to wait 2-3 years for big returns. Almost every single Pokemon and Magic the Gathering booster box doubles in price after just 2 years.


    That's not just a recent trend either, that has been the case for over 20 years now. Look up literally any Pokemon card set that's more that 2 years old and see for yourself. Some from even just 3 years ago go for $400 (buy price is $90-ish). I have been following the card game for 10+ years now and time and time again the boxes release at $90ish, drop to $85ish after a couple months, and then a few months later they go up continuously forever.

    The main reason for price increase is because once a set of cards come out, they will never come out again. Every box someone opens is one less sealed box in existence... so as you would imagine over time more people are opening them and the price of the remaining sealed ones go up.


    Is there something I am missing here? It's such a disgustingly low risk for such a disgustingly high reward. People would literally kill to have odds like that in stock markets so it puzzles me why so few take advantage of it. Is taking 2-3 years to basically double your money guaranteed really too low-yield to bother with? That seems above average at the very least to me...

    The only things I could potentially see holding someone back would be A: not knowing about the opportunity, B: being uncomfortable using eBay/TCG Player, or C: being uncomfortable dealing with something you don't understand or have interest in.

    submitted by /u/BiasedTwitch
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    Is there anything positive about Deutsche Bank's prospects?

    Posted: 28 May 2019 03:48 PM PDT

    Every couple of weeks, we get another post (on this subreddit or elsewhere) about how screwed Deutsche Bank is. We know all the reasons why (toxic loans, dangerous derivatives exposure, poor stewardship, etc etc).

    Are there any positive aspects of Deutsche Bank's future prospects?

    Please stick to bullish possibilities, not bearish (which we all already know).

    submitted by /u/hannibaldon
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    What are your general thoughts about TEVA?

    Posted: 29 May 2019 01:12 AM PDT

    $TEVA

    submitted by /u/Nlz90
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    Paycheck's here. Dissuade me from buying BABA, NEE, WM, RSG and SHOP

    Posted: 29 May 2019 12:54 AM PDT

    Hi all,

    I'm on the lookout for the above stocks for a couple months now. I missed the SHOP and NEE hype train but they have the financials to go up.

    BABA is on sale right now and WM together with RSG are good solid performers.

    I'm also eyeballing V and MA but I'm afraid they don't have room to grow.

    Are you HOLD, buy or selling these stocks? And why?

    just searching for a second opinion

    submitted by /u/Logiman43
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    What company to invest in for drone transportation?

    Posted: 28 May 2019 12:37 PM PDT

    I belive drones will take over alot of the personal transportation in time. I wonder what company to invest in? The companies I have found interesting are either private (Volokopter), already huge (amazon) or regular aircraft companies (Boeing).

    Any insights?

    Thank you

    submitted by /u/bashtrash
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    Is worth to join the program Learn Profit by Ricky Guiterrez?

    Posted: 28 May 2019 10:25 PM PDT

    I have no experience in trading stock or trading do you guys think I can go from 0-100 from signing up to his learn profit program or I just find it all online and researching??? please let me know this will be very helpful thank you

    submitted by /u/alli782
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    ETFMG alternative harvest

    Posted: 28 May 2019 09:27 PM PDT

    Basically this is an etf that is all about cannabis companies. Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/pablo_tittibar
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    Is Bloomberg Not Aware of Put Options Or Am I Missing Something Here?

    Posted: 28 May 2019 08:50 PM PDT

    "Uber Bears Already Snapped Up 70% of Shares Available to Short"

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-28/uber-bears-already-snapped-up-70-of-shares-available-to-short?srnd=premium

    What's the big deal about the shortage of shortable stocks? Given that we can buy PUT options I'm a bit confused. Can anyone fill in the dots?

    submitted by /u/_prototype_
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    Deutsche Bank’s Options Are Limited for a Turnaround

    Posted: 28 May 2019 09:25 AM PDT

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