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    Stocks - r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Mar 26, 2019

    March 26, 2019

    Stocks - r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Mar 26, 2019

    r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Mar 26, 2019

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 10:05 AM PDT

    Feel free to talk about technical analysis here; post your arguments here and not in the current post.

    Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions

    The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as "priced in"): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.

    TA can be useful on any timeframe, both short and long term.

    Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks

    If you have questions, please see the following word cloud and click through for the wiki:

    Indicator - Trade Signals - Lagging Indicator - Leading Indicator - Oversold - Overbought - Divergence - Whipsaw - Resistance - Support - Breakout/Breakdown - Alerts - Trend line - Market Participants - Moving average - RSI - VWAP - MACD - ATR - Bollinger Bands - Ichimoku clouds - Methods - Trend Following - Fading - Channels - Patterns - Pivots

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Uber announces $3.1 billion deal to buy Middle East rival Careem

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 04:22 AM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/26/uber-to-buy-middle-east-ride-sharing-rival-careem-for-3point1-billion.html

    Uber's $3.1 billion agreement to buy Careem consists of $1.7 billion in convertible notes and $1.4 billion in cash.

    Dubai-based Careem claims more than 30 million registered users in 120 cities across North Africa, the Middle East and South Asia.

    Uber is approaching a much-anticipated initial public offering that reports have said could value the company at as much as $120 billion.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
    [link] [comments]

    Today's Pre-Market News [Tuesday, March 26th, 2019]

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 05:35 AM PDT

    Good morning traders and investors of the r/stocks sub! Welcome to Tuesday! Here are your pre-market news this AM-

    Today's Top Headlines for Tuesday, March 26th, 2019

    • U.S. stock futures were higher this morning as investors focus on what the bond market is signaling about the economy. A lackluster Monday session saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq close at their lowest in nearly two weeks. However, those two indexes are still higher for March. (CNBC)
    • Bond market says not only is a recession coming, but the Fed will cut interest rates to stop it (CNBC)
    • Nike (NKE) shares remain on watch after a volatile Monday session in which attorney Michael Avenatti said he would be unveiling a scandal involving the athletic footwear and apparel maker. Following that announcement, Avenatti was arrested on charges of alleged extortion. (CNBC)
    • Housing data are prominent on today's economic calendar, beginning at 8:30 a.m. ET with the release of February housing starts. At 9 a.m. ET, the S&P/Case-Shiller report is expected. At the same time, the Federal Housing Finance Agency releases its own calculation of home prices for January. (CNBC)
    • Cruise line operator Carnival Corp. (CCL), financial information providers IHS Markit (INFO) and FactSet (FDS), and spice maker McCormick (MKC) will release quarterly earnings this morning, while this afternoon's after-the-bell reports include home builder KB Home (KBH) and retailer Shoe Carnival (SCVL). (CNBC)
    • Six committee chairs in the Democratic-led House of Representatives called on U.S. Attorney General William Barr to release the full report from special counsel Robert Mueller to Congress by April 2. (CNBC) Trump and Republicans seek to turn the tables (NY Times)
    • A national ban on bump stocks is set to go into effect today, even as a gun-rights group moved Monday to appeal the regulation to the Supreme Court. Those in possession of bump stocks have the option to destroy the devices or turn them in. (CNBC)
    • The Green New Deal could get its first vote on Capitol Hill today. The Senate is scheduled to take a procedural motion on the plan that could lead to a final vote as early as next week. (USA Today)
    • Trump's re-election campaign sent a memo to TV producers instructing them to "employ basic journalistic standards when booking" six current or former government officials that it said "made outlandish, false claims" on air. (CNBC)
    • Trump administration wants to toss out entire ACA (USA Today)
    • Lawmakers in the U.K. have voted to effectively rip control of the Brexit process away from Theresa May's ailing government. The measure passed with 329 votes in favor of the proposal and 302 voting against. (CNBC)
    • Poor mental health shortens life expectancy almost as much as diabetes, smoking or not working out, according to U.S. News & World Report and the Aetna Foundation, which evaluated nearly 3,000 communities. (CNBC)
    • Apple (AAPL) unveiled its new take on an old innovation, a Goldman Sachs-linked credit card. The Apple Card pays 2 percent in cash back on Apple Pay transactions, 3 percent on direct Apple purchases, and 1 percent on purchases with the physical card. (CNBC)
    • Apple's big services announcement was strangely lacking in critical details(CNBC)
    • Uber has reached a deal to acquire ride-hailing competitor Careem for $3.1 billion. Dubai-based Careem claims more than 30 million registered users in 120 cities across North Africa, the Middle East and South Asia. (CNBC)

    STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

    YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)

    TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

    YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

    THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($CRON $NBEV $LULU $BB $FIVE $WGO $RH $RHT $AEYE $PAYX $YRD $CCL $ICLK $MDWD $KMX $ARCO $ACN $INFO $LEN $ORN $HOME$OLLI $MKC $AKAO $SCVL $SNX $TITN $FDS $CONN $NEOG $SGH $ONTX $HYRE $SCWX $PVH $EVLV $LIFE $SNES $BOXL $UNF $EAST)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($CRON $RHT $CCL $INFO $MKC $CONN $ORN $FDS $NEOG $ONTX $LIFE $KOOL $YTEN)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS AFTERNOON'S POST-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ()

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!]())

    T.B.A.

    EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)

    YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

    TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING TICKERS:

    • CRON 3.56%
    • AAPL 1.43%
    • ALDX 53.30%
    • BBBY 21.27%
    • CPRX 6.30%
    • CELG 1.24%
    • HUNT 19.50%
    • SWI 0.00%
    • BAC 0.97%
    • NIO 2.53%

    THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

    (source: cnbc.com)

    McDonald's — McDonald's is buying Israeli marketing technology firm Dynamic Yield for a reported $300 million, in a move to modernize its drive through menu displays and mobile ordering. The acquisition is the largest for the fast-food giant in two decades.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MCD

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Facebook — Facebook said it had removed more accounts from Iran, Russia, Macedonia, and Kosovo due to what it calls "coordinated inauthentic behavior."

    STOCK SYMBOL: FB

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Mastercard — Mastercard is investing nearly $400 million in the London initial public offering of Dubai-based payments processor Network International, the large such company in the Middle East and Africa.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Tesla — The automaker and CEO Elon Musk have won a second dismissal of a securities fraud lawsuit alleging that misleading comments were made about Model 3 production. The suit had originally been dismissed in October 2017 but the judge in the case allowed the plaintiffs to file an amended suit.

    STOCK SYMBOL: TSLA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Bed Bath & Beyond — Bed Bath & Beyond is the target of activist funds Legion Partners Asset Management, Macellum Advisors, and Ancora Advisors. The three have a combined five percent stake in the housewares retailer and plan to launch a proxy fight to replace the retailer's entire board, according to The Wall Street Journal.

    STOCK SYMBOL: BBBY

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Nvidia — Piper Jaffray began coverage of the graphics chipmaker with an "overweight" rating, saying the stock is trading at attractive levels and that Nvidia is positioned to overcome some industry headwinds.

    STOCK SYMBOL: NVDA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Nike — Nike shares remain on watch after a volatile Monday session in which attorney Michael Avenatti said he would be unveiling a scandal involving the athletic footwear and apparel maker. Following that announcement, Avenatti was arrested on charges of alleged extortion.

    STOCK SYMBOL: NKE

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    McCormick — The spice maker earned an adjusted $1.12 per share for its latest quarter, beating estimates by 3 cents a share. Revenue was in line with Wall Street forecasts. Consumer business sales were on the lighter side, but that was offset by a strong performance in flavor solutions.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MKC

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    IHS Markit — The analytics and financial information company beat estimate by 3 cents a share, with adjusted quarterly profit of 60 cents per share. Revenue fell short of forecasts, however, but HIS Markit reaffirmed its full-year guidance.

    STOCK SYMBOL: INFO

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    FactSet — The financial information software provider reported adjusted quarterly profit of $2.42 per share, 9 cents a share above consensus estimates. Revenue missed Wall Street forecasts. FactSet also boosted the lower end of its fiscal-year outlook, seeing full-year adjusted earnings of $9.50 to $9.65 per share, compared to a consensus estimate of $9.55 a share.

    STOCK SYMBOL: FDS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Conn's — The home appliances and furniture retailer reported adjusted quarterly profit of 96 cents per share, 20 cents a share above estimates. Comparable-store sales fell 1.4 percent, however, and revenue came in below Wall Street forecasts.

    STOCK SYMBOL: CONN

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    DISCUSS!

    What is on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/stocks?

    I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Tuesday, March 26th, 2019! :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    What inverted yield curve? Global stocks rising today as Wall Street plays down recession fears

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 07:27 AM PDT

    US Stocks Preview Ahead of the Open

    • Global stocks are rising as Wall Street banks play down fears of a coming recession in the wake of the US yield curve inversion last Friday
    • US stocks index futures are rising today, with front-month Dow Jones minis +0.56%, S&P 500 minis +0.51% and Nasdaq 100 minis +0.51%
    • Goldman Sachs is telling clients, together with a number of other Wall Street banks, that the inversion of the US yield curve seen on Friday, while usually an indication of a coming recession, is not reason to worry this time
    • The United States will announce March data for the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index at 10:00 AM today. Economists expect a reading of 10.0, lower than 16.0 reported for the prior period.
    • The United States will announce February Housing Starts at 8:30 AM today. Economists expect 1,210k to be reported compared to 1,310k reported for the prior period.
    • The S&P 500 is on pace for its best quarter in 7 years! Since hitting a low on December 24th, the S&P 500 is up 19% in comparison to +11% for the MSCI World ex US index.
    • The 50-day moving average for the S&P 500 is moving towards its 200-day moving average, which would be a technical bullish signal. A break above the 200-day moving average by the 50-day moving average is called a "Golden Cross" and is viewed s aa major "buy" signal by technical analysts.
    • According to Credit Suisse, while net long/short exposures for hedge funds on its prime broker platform are near the lowest levels since 2017, they are seeing an uptick in the number of net shorts. The recent deceleration in the rally in US stocks, combined high dispersion levels (and lower correlations) support greater payoffs from shorting stocks.
    • Brexit hardliner Jacob Rees-Mogg signaled he is willing to back PM Theresa May, setting a battle in Parliament between May and pro-European members; there will additional votes today on how to proceed
    • US-China trade talks continue with little news of progress so far
    • The VIX is little changed this morning and is currently at 16.48 after closing at 16.33 yesterday
    • iShares High Yield Bond ETF (HYG) May 2019 OTM Puts, Bank of America (BAC) March 29 Calls and iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) April 18 & May 2019 OTM Puts are the most actively traded options contracts in US pre-market trading this morning.
    • US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are lower with yields up 4.06 basis points to 2.4389%
    • The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has narrowed 0.48 basis points to 0.15%
    • WTI Crude is currently down -0.29% to USD$58.77/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread up USD$1.06 to USD$8.34/bbl
    • Gold is currently down -0.51% to USD$1315.15/oz

    Stocks Trending in the News

    Global Consumer Stocks Trending in the News

    • Avon (AVP) could be worth a takeout price of USD$3.80-4.70 if a deal were to close with Natura (NATU3) of Brazil, according to DA Davidson. Natura has confirmed it is in preliminary discussions with Avon. DA Davison comments that with its leveraged balance sheet of over USD$2 billion of debt, or 4.3x debt to ebitda, a deal for Natura would be challenging and would need to include the use of shares. Natura is rated "Top Buy" in our Brazil All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. Avon is not rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Bed, Bath & Beyond (BBBY) is about to see a proxy fight from three activist hedge funds that want to replace the entire 12-person board of the company. Legion Partners, Macellum Advisors and Ancora Advisors claim management at Bed, Bath and Beyond has not adapted to the changing tastes and habits of shoppers and the company needs a change. The three funds control over 5% of the company and are working together to force change. Bed, Bath and Beyond is rated "Unattractive" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Neutral" in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • McCormick (MKC) reported first quarter 2019 adjusted EPS of USD$1.12 beating consensus of USD$1.04. McCormick reported first quarter 2019 revenue of USD$1.23 billion matching consensus of USD$1.24 billion. McCormick gave full year sales growth guidance of 1-3% and EPS guidance of USD5.17-5.27. McCormick is rated "Attractive" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Attractive" in our US Consumer Staples Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • McDonald's (MCD) announced the acquisition of Dynamic Yield Ltd., an Israeli digital start-up, for USD$300 million. Dynamic Yield developed an in-store ordering system that changes real-time depending on factors such as weather, to suggest items to customers. McDonald's will start to use the system on its drive-thru. It is McDonald's first acquisition in a few years and the largest in over 20 years. McDonald 's is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Top Buy" in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • News Corp (NWSA) is joining Apple's (AAPL) new news service, eight years after attempting to launch a version of its WSJ on the then-new iPad. The effort eight years ago was a complete failure, but News Corp is much more confident of success this time. "It's going to get our journalism in the hand of millions of Americans who otherwise might not have access to it," said Journal publisher William Lewis. News Corp is rated "Unattractive" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Neutral" in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas. Apple is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Neutral" in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Nike (NKE) was the victim of extortion by Michael Avenatti, the California lawyer, who was arrested today on those charges Avenatti told Nike he would cancel a press conference that was to be critical of the company if it paid an unidentified client of his USD$1.5 million. Additionally, he demanded up to USD$25 million to conduct an internal investigation of Nike. Avenatti was charged in both New York and California in connection with the case. Nike has not released a comment. Nike is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Top Buy" in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.

    Global Information Technology and Communication Services Stocks Trending in the News

    • Apple (AAPL) launched its much anticipated streaming service and a number of other initiatives. Apple will offer Apple TV+, a subscription service with original content and other pay services; Apple News, a subscription service allowing access to 300+ magazines and Apple Arcade, a subscription service giving access to 100+ exclusive video games. For the first time Apple's Apple TV app will work on many platforms, not just its own. Apple also launched the Apple Card, a credit card, with Goldman Sachs (GS). Apple is seeking to expand beyond hardware and deeper into services with the softening of sales of its flagship iPhone. Apple gave a price of $9.99 for its news service but did not give pricing for the other services announced, raising a few eyebrows. Apple is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Neutral" in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Merck KGaA (DB:MRK) has formally made a tender offer for Vesum Material (VSM), looking for it to step away from the offer from Entergris (ENTG). Merck had tried to negotiate with management of Versum but was rebuffed multiple times. Merck then decided to go directly to shareholders with a formal tender offer. Merck is offering USD$48 per share, touting its cash offer as superior to the all share offer from Entegris. Merck KGaA is rated "Neutral" in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. Entegris is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Attractive" in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas. Versum is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Neutral" in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.

    Global Financials Stocks Trending in the News

    • Citigroup (C) was fined 133 million yen (USD$1.2 million) by Japan's security regulator for manipulating prices of Japanese debt. The regulator said Citigroup placed bids for bond futures contracts at the Osaka Exchange for fake orders, a process known as spoofing. This follows Citigroup's well-known problems in Hong Kong. Citigroup is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.

    Global Industrials Stocks Trending in the News

    • Airbus (ENXTPA:AIR) secured a USD$35 billion aircraft order from China for 300 jets. China will buy 290 A320 and 10 A350 airliners from Airbus, dealing a huge blow to Boeing (BA) . The order placed is twice the size of what French President Macron pitched to China in 2018. Boeing continues to struggle with its 737 Max being grounded and this announcement hit Boeing a tough time. Airbus is rated "Neutral" in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. Boeing is rated "Attractive" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Neutral" in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.

    Global Health Care Stocks Trending in the News

    • AbbVie (ABBV) was downgraded at Argus Research to hold from buy. Argus downgrades AbbVie mainly due to concern over its flagship Humira drug and its expectation for declining sales. Overseas are especially vulnerable given the biosimilars entering the market. Argus says of Humira, it no longer appears "invulnerable in the face of competition from biosimilars." AbbVie is rated "Attractive" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.

    Global Commodities & Energy Stocks Trending in the News

    • Royal Dutch Shell (ENXTAM:RDSA) and Energy Transfer (ET) announced plans to convert an LNG import facility in Louisiana to an export terminal. Both companies see a bright future for shale gas exports with the US now the largest producer of oil and gas in the world. Both companies are seeking to sell their gas outside the US where prices are considerably higher. Royal Dutch Shell is rated "Top Buy" in our European Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Top Buy" in our United Kingdom All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. Energy Transfer is rated "Top Short" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Vale (VALE) has a very consequential week ahead, with the Tuesday release of production data, the first report since its dam disaster. Vale traditionally gives full-year production guidance at that time and investors are keen to see of the tradition is maintained. Wednesday fourth quarter results are set to be released followed by its conference call with investors on Thursday. With iron ore prices 11% higher since the disaster, the market is very interested to hear from Vale before building expectations for the rest of 2019. Vale is rated "Neutral" in our Brazil All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.

    International Stock Markets Recap

    • The Euro Stoxx 600 is currently up +0.43%, the FTSE 100 is higher by +0.25%, the DAX has risen +0.14%, and the CAC 40 is up +0.6%
    • Utilities (+0.22%), Banks (+0.08%), and Basic Resources (+0.23%) stocks are the top performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • Retail (+0.76%), Health Care (+0.79%), and Construction & Materials (-0.17%) stocks are the worst performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • Investor sentiment for European stocks is positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Euro Stoxx 600 currently at 2.05x
    • 21 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are at 4-week highs while 158 stocks are at 4-week lows
    • 25 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are overbought while 18 stocks are oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • The Nikkei 225 finished up +2.15%, the Hang Seng ended up +0.15%, the Hang Seng China Enterprise up 0%, and the CSI 300 was -1.13%
    • Investor sentiment for Japanese stocks finished positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Nikkei 225 closing at 44x
    • 0 stocks in the Nikkei 225 hit 4-week highs while 85 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 3 stocks in the Nikkei 225 closed overbought while 11 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • Investor sentiment for Hong Kong stocks finished positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Hang Seng closing at 1.94x
    • 0 stocks in the Hang Seng hit 4-week highs while 11 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 1 stock in the Hang Seng closed overbought while 0 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    submitted by /u/QuantalyticsResearch
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    I'm an astrophysicist and I perform my own (simple) stock analyses based on kinematic principles: comments welcome! (March 25, 2019)

    Posted: 25 Mar 2019 06:20 PM PDT

    Hi everyone! I've been out for a few days performing a lot of work on backtesting my strategy. I have some new things to share with you, so follow along, or see the past threads with the most discussion here for a recap: https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/b23jpd/im_an_astrophysicist_and_i_perform_my_own_simple/ https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/b1grpq/im_an_astrophysicist_read_datascientist_and_i/If you're into blindly following predictions, skip to the very end for the list !

    ​

    ​

    Quick Explanation: this approach is based on kinematic principles, which is the branch of physics and mathematics describing the motions of objects without necessarily understanding the underlying forces at play. My script runs a loop from 65 to 10 days, and for each period computes the SMA and its first three derivatives, which I then combine via a weighted average with the weights set by the inverse of each SMA period. The first derivative is analogous to the stock's "velocity" (in %/day), the 2nd derivative is its "acceleration" (%/day^2), and the third derivative is the "jerk", or change in acceleration (%/day^3). Using these three parameters, I extrapolate the price of each stock on my watchlist 10 days into the future in order to inform my own trading strategy.

    ​

    Since the last major updates I have been working on backtesting and refining my strategy according to the results. Essentially what I settled on is running every stock on my list for 15 years in the past, predicting the price 10 days out, and comparing against the actual data. I then prioritize by the true positive rate over the false negative rate, times the average size of gains over the average size of loss. The top 25 stocks on my list following this strategy can be seen in the following table:

    Adjusted only for alpha*g/l... (TP= true positive rate, and so on... alpha = TP/FN, avg G/l = mean gain / mean loss, glf = number of gain days / number of loss days)

    1 - CGC - Dir. Accuracy = 0.640000 - TP = 0.307692 - FN = 0.153846 - TN = 0.346154 - FP = 0.192308 - Over Pred. = 0.81140739 - avg G/l = 1.8756462 - alpha = 2.00000 - glf = 0.857143 - alpha*g/l = 3.7512924

    2 - MDB - Dir. Accuracy = 0.612903 - TP = 0.531250 - FN = 0.125000 - TN = 0.0937500 - FP = 0.250000 - Over Pred. = 1.0917850 - avg G/l = 0.85696338 - alpha = 4.25000 - glf = 3.57143 - alpha*g/l = 3.6420944

    3 - CRON - Dir. Accuracy = 0.500000 - TP = 0.434783 - FN = 0.260870 - TN = 0.0869565 - FP = 0.217391 - Over Pred. = 0.91143479 - avg G/l = 1.6291639 - alpha = 1.66667 - glf = 1.87500 - alpha*g/l = 2.7152732

    4 - GH - Dir. Accuracy = 0.285714 - TP = 0.375000 - FN = 0.250000 - TN = 0.125000 - FP = 0.375000 - Over Pred. = 1.0181425 - avg G/l = 1.7502618 - alpha = 1.50000 - glf = 3.00000 - alpha*g/l = 2.6253927

    5 - ACB - Dir. Accuracy = 0.510417 - TP = 0.329897 - FN = 0.237113 - TN = 0.185567 - FP = 0.247423 - Over Pred. = 0.77499570 - avg G/l = 1.6878463 - alpha = 1.39130 - glf = 1.36585 - alpha*g/l = 2.3483080

    6 - PYPL - Dir. Accuracy = 0.550562 - TP = 0.411111 - FN = 0.177778 - TN = 0.144444 - FP = 0.266667 - Over Pred. = 0.90262214 - avg G/l = 0.97768834 - alpha = 2.31250 - glf = 2.00000 - alpha*g/l = 2.2609043

    7 - SQ - Dir. Accuracy = 0.493671 - TP = 0.412500 - FN = 0.237500 - TN = 0.0875000 - FP = 0.262500 - Over Pred. = 0.84321369 - avg G/l = 1.0983828 - alpha = 1.73684 - glf = 1.96296 - alpha*g/l = 1.9077176

    8 - MTCH - Dir. Accuracy = 0.506329 - TP = 0.337500 - FN = 0.237500 - TN = 0.175000 - FP = 0.250000 - Over Pred. = 0.72672046 - avg G/l = 1.3378895 - alpha = 1.42105 - glf = 1.42424 - alpha*g/l = 1.9012113

    9 - NBEV - Dir. Accuracy = 0.461538 - TP = 0.219048 - FN = 0.295238 - TN = 0.247619 - FP = 0.238095 - Over Pred. = 0.85104419 - avg G/l = 2.4740374 - alpha = 0.741935 - glf = 0.810345 - alpha*g/l = 1.8355762

    10 - HQY - Dir. Accuracy = 0.535714 - TP = 0.389381 - FN = 0.265487 - TN = 0.150442 - FP = 0.194690 - Over Pred. = 0.91253692 - avg G/l = 1.2263439 - alpha = 1.46667 - glf = 1.40426 - alpha*g/l = 1.7986377

    11 - V - Dir. Accuracy = 0.490842 - TP = 0.339416 - FN = 0.248175 - TN = 0.153285 - FP = 0.259124 - Over Pred. = 0.92049833 - avg G/l = 1.3047283 - alpha = 1.36765 - glf = 1.46847 - alpha*g/l = 1.7844077

    12 - GWPH - Dir. Accuracy = 0.569444 - TP = 0.289655 - FN = 0.206897 - TN = 0.282759 - FP = 0.220690 - Over Pred. = 0.87544036 - avg G/l = 1.2690322 - alpha = 1.40000 - glf = 1.04225 - alpha*g/l = 1.7766451

    13 - AVGO - Dir. Accuracy = 0.521008 - TP = 0.368201 - FN = 0.234310 - TN = 0.154812 - FP = 0.242678 - Over Pred. = 0.70403989 - avg G/l = 1.0897664 - alpha = 1.57143 - glf = 1.54255 - alpha*g/l = 1.7124901

    14 - AAPL - Dir. Accuracy = 0.527574 - TP = 0.354779 - FN = 0.229779 - TN = 0.172794 - FP = 0.242647 - Over Pred. = 0.77600577 - avg G/l = 1.0968021 - alpha = 1.54400 - glf = 1.48402 - alpha*g/l = 1.6934625

    15 - FNKO - Dir. Accuracy = 0.466667 - TP = 0.387097 - FN = 0.290323 - TN = 0.0967742 - FP = 0.225806 - Over Pred. = 0.82407418 - avg G/l = 1.2380892 - alpha = 1.33333 - glf = 1.58333 - alpha*g/l = 1.6507857

    16 - CRSP - Dir. Accuracy = 0.517857 - TP = 0.333333 - FN = 0.263158 - TN = 0.192982 - FP = 0.210526 - Over Pred. = 0.78380962 - avg G/l = 1.2926087 - alpha = 1.26667 - glf = 1.11111 - alpha*g/l = 1.6373043

    17 - BLL - Dir. Accuracy = 0.543278 - TP = 0.338235 - FN = 0.235294 - TN = 0.205882 - FP = 0.220588 - Over Pred. = 0.80278652 - avg G/l = 1.1024654 - alpha = 1.43750 - glf = 1.25726 - alpha*g/l = 1.5847940

    18 - NFLX - Dir. Accuracy = 0.496420 - TP = 0.321429 - FN = 0.247619 - TN = 0.176190 - FP = 0.254762 - Over Pred. = 0.84553732 - avg G/l = 1.2081727 - alpha = 1.29808 - glf = 1.35955 - alpha*g/l = 1.5683010

    19 - DAL - Dir. Accuracy = 0.532203 - TP = 0.290541 - FN = 0.222973 - TN = 0.243243 - FP = 0.243243 - Over Pred. = 0.69694213 - avg G/l = 1.1858628 - alpha = 1.30303 - glf = 1.12950 - alpha*g/l = 1.5452151

    20 - GLUU - Dir. Accuracy = 0.540268 - TP = 0.290970 - FN = 0.240803 - TN = 0.250836 - FP = 0.217391 - Over Pred. = 0.91054045 - avg G/l = 1.2751341 - alpha = 1.20833 - glf = 1.03401 - alpha*g/l = 1.5407870

    21 - CMG - Dir. Accuracy = 0.529052 - TP = 0.332317 - FN = 0.222561 - TN = 0.198171 - FP = 0.246951 - Over Pred. = 0.71111632 - avg G/l = 1.0256482 - alpha = 1.49315 - glf = 1.37681 - alpha*g/l = 1.5314473

    22 - DNKN - Dir. Accuracy = 0.558511 - TP = 0.354497 - FN = 0.222222 - TN = 0.206349 - FP = 0.216931 - Over Pred. = 0.80884293 - avg G/l = 0.95924582 - alpha = 1.59524 - glf = 1.30488 - alpha*g/l = 1.5302255

    23 - BURL - Dir. Accuracy = 0.488722 - TP = 0.320896 - FN = 0.305970 - TN = 0.171642 - FP = 0.201493 - Over Pred. = 0.64848643 - avg G/l = 1.4472650 - alpha = 1.04878 - glf = 1.06154 - alpha*g/l = 1.5178632

    24 - MJ - Dir. Accuracy = 0.525253 - TP = 0.270000 - FN = 0.190000 - TN = 0.260000 - FP = 0.280000 - Over Pred. = 1.1267896 - avg G/l = 1.0635079 - alpha = 1.42105 - glf = 1.17391 - alpha*g/l = 1.5113006

    25 - AMZN - Dir. Accuracy = 0.508287 - TP = 0.312500 - FN = 0.264706 - TN = 0.196691 - FP = 0.226103 - Over Pred. = 0.76033973 - avg G/l = 1.2739939 - alpha = 1.18056 - glf = 1.15873 - alpha*g/l = 1.5040207

    - Mean Dir. Accuracy = 0.516489 - Mean Over Pred. = 0.84156610

    - Mean G/L = 1.31

    - Mean alpha = 1.56

    Note that I defined alpha here in an unconventional manner. A traditional alpha (relative to market performance) would be alpha/glf. Essentially this boils down to if you follow this strategy, your gains to losses will be alpha*G/l. If you left your money in the market all the time your gain to loss ratio would be glf*G/l.

    So with that in mind, here are the same stocks ordered by glf*G/l:

    ​

    Adjusted only for g/l*glf...

    1 - GH - Dir. Accuracy = 0.285714 - TP = 0.375000 - FN = 0.250000 - TN = 0.125000 - FP = 0.375000 - Over Pred. = 1.0181425 - avg G/l = 1.7502618 - alpha = 1.50000 - glf = 3.00000 - gf*g/l = 5.2507854

    2 - MDB - Dir. Accuracy = 0.612903 - TP = 0.531250 - FN = 0.125000 - TN = 0.0937500 - FP = 0.250000 - Over Pred. = 1.0917850 - avg G/l = 0.85696338 - alpha = 4.25000 - glf = 3.57143 - gf*g/l = 3.0605835

    3 - CRON - Dir. Accuracy = 0.500000 - TP = 0.434783 - FN = 0.260870 - TN = 0.0869565 - FP = 0.217391 - Over Pred. = 0.91143479 - avg G/l = 1.6291639 - alpha = 1.66667 - glf = 1.87500 - gf*g/l = 3.0546824

    4 - ACB - Dir. Accuracy = 0.510417 - TP = 0.329897 - FN = 0.237113 - TN = 0.185567 - FP = 0.247423 - Over Pred. = 0.77499570 - avg G/l = 1.6878463 - alpha = 1.39130 - glf = 1.36585 - gf*g/l = 2.3053511

    5 - SQ - Dir. Accuracy = 0.493671 - TP = 0.412500 - FN = 0.237500 - TN = 0.0875000 - FP = 0.262500 - Over Pred. = 0.84321369 - avg G/l = 1.0983828 - alpha = 1.73684 - glf = 1.96296 - gf*g/l = 2.1560849

    6 - NBEV - Dir. Accuracy = 0.461538 - TP = 0.219048 - FN = 0.295238 - TN = 0.247619 - FP = 0.238095 - Over Pred. = 0.85104419 - avg G/l = 2.4740374 - alpha = 0.741935 - glf = 0.810345 - gf*g/l = 2.0048234

    7 - FNKO - Dir. Accuracy = 0.466667 - TP = 0.387097 - FN = 0.290323 - TN = 0.0967742 - FP = 0.225806 - Over Pred. = 0.82407418 - avg G/l = 1.2380892 - alpha = 1.33333 - glf = 1.58333 - gf*g/l = 1.9603080

    8 - PYPL - Dir. Accuracy = 0.550562 - TP = 0.411111 - FN = 0.177778 - TN = 0.144444 - FP = 0.266667 - Over Pred. = 0.90262214 - avg G/l = 0.97768834 - alpha = 2.31250 - glf = 2.00000 - gf*g/l = 1.9553767

    9 - V - Dir. Accuracy = 0.490842 - TP = 0.339416 - FN = 0.248175 - TN = 0.153285 - FP = 0.259124 - Over Pred. = 0.92049833 - avg G/l = 1.3047283 - alpha = 1.36765 - glf = 1.46847 - gf*g/l = 1.9159522

    10 - MTCH - Dir. Accuracy = 0.506329 - TP = 0.337500 - FN = 0.237500 - TN = 0.175000 - FP = 0.250000 - Over Pred. = 0.72672046 - avg G/l = 1.3378895 - alpha = 1.42105 - glf = 1.42424 - gf*g/l = 1.9054789

    11 - HQY - Dir. Accuracy = 0.535714 - TP = 0.389381 - FN = 0.265487 - TN = 0.150442 - FP = 0.194690 - Over Pred. = 0.91253692 - avg G/l = 1.2263439 - alpha = 1.46667 - glf = 1.40426 - gf*g/l = 1.7220998

    12 - AVGO - Dir. Accuracy = 0.521008 - TP = 0.368201 - FN = 0.234310 - TN = 0.154812 - FP = 0.242678 - Over Pred. = 0.70403989 - avg G/l = 1.0897664 - alpha = 1.57143 - glf = 1.54255 - gf*g/l = 1.6810227

    13 - NFLX - Dir. Accuracy = 0.496420 - TP = 0.321429 - FN = 0.247619 - TN = 0.176190 - FP = 0.254762 - Over Pred. = 0.84553732 - avg G/l = 1.2081727 - alpha = 1.29808 - glf = 1.35955 - gf*g/l = 1.6425719

    14 - AAPL - Dir. Accuracy = 0.527574 - TP = 0.354779 - FN = 0.229779 - TN = 0.172794 - FP = 0.242647 - Over Pred. = 0.77600577 - avg G/l = 1.0968021 - alpha = 1.54400 - glf = 1.48402 - gf*g/l = 1.6276743

    15 - CGC - Dir. Accuracy = 0.640000 - TP = 0.307692 - FN = 0.153846 - TN = 0.346154 - FP = 0.192308 - Over Pred. = 0.81140739 - avg G/l = 1.8756462 - alpha = 2.00000 - glf = 0.857143 - gf*g/l = 1.6076968

    16 - BURL - Dir. Accuracy = 0.488722 - TP = 0.320896 - FN = 0.305970 - TN = 0.171642 - FP = 0.201493 - Over Pred. = 0.64848643 - avg G/l = 1.4472650 - alpha = 1.04878 - glf = 1.06154 - gf*g/l = 1.5363274

    17 - AMZN - Dir. Accuracy = 0.508287 - TP = 0.312500 - FN = 0.264706 - TN = 0.196691 - FP = 0.226103 - Over Pred. = 0.76033973 - avg G/l = 1.2739939 - alpha = 1.18056 - glf = 1.15873 - gf*g/l = 1.4762152

    18 - CRSP - Dir. Accuracy = 0.517857 - TP = 0.333333 - FN = 0.263158 - TN = 0.192982 - FP = 0.210526 - Over Pred. = 0.78380962 - avg G/l = 1.2926087 - alpha = 1.26667 - glf = 1.11111 - gf*g/l = 1.4362320

    19 - CMG - Dir. Accuracy = 0.529052 - TP = 0.332317 - FN = 0.222561 - TN = 0.198171 - FP = 0.246951 - Over Pred. = 0.71111632 - avg G/l = 1.0256482 - alpha = 1.49315 - glf = 1.37681 - gf*g/l = 1.4121243

    20 - BLL - Dir. Accuracy = 0.543278 - TP = 0.338235 - FN = 0.235294 - TN = 0.205882 - FP = 0.220588 - Over Pred. = 0.80278652 - avg G/l = 1.1024654 - alpha = 1.43750 - glf = 1.25726 - gf*g/l = 1.3860872

    21 - DAL - Dir. Accuracy = 0.532203 - TP = 0.290541 - FN = 0.222973 - TN = 0.243243 - FP = 0.243243 - Over Pred. = 0.69694213 - avg G/l = 1.1858628 - alpha = 1.30303 - glf = 1.12950 - gf*g/l = 1.3394278

    22 - GWPH - Dir. Accuracy = 0.569444 - TP = 0.289655 - FN = 0.206897 - TN = 0.282759 - FP = 0.220690 - Over Pred. = 0.87544036 - avg G/l = 1.2690322 - alpha = 1.40000 - glf = 1.04225 - gf*g/l = 1.3226533

    23 - GLUU - Dir. Accuracy = 0.540268 - TP = 0.290970 - FN = 0.240803 - TN = 0.250836 - FP = 0.217391 - Over Pred. = 0.91054045 - avg G/l = 1.2751341 - alpha = 1.20833 - glf = 1.03401 - gf*g/l = 1.3185060

    24 - DNKN - Dir. Accuracy = 0.558511 - TP = 0.354497 - FN = 0.222222 - TN = 0.206349 - FP = 0.216931 - Over Pred. = 0.80884293 - avg G/l = 0.95924582 - alpha = 1.59524 - glf = 1.30488 - gf*g/l = 1.2516988

    25 - MJ - Dir. Accuracy = 0.525253 - TP = 0.270000 - FN = 0.190000 - TN = 0.260000 - FP = 0.280000 - Over Pred. = 1.1267896 - avg G/l = 1.0635079 - alpha = 1.42105 - glf = 1.17391 - gf*g/l = 1.2484658

    - Mean Dir. Accuracy = 0.516489 - Mean Over Pred. = 0.84156610

    - Mean G/L = 1.31

    ​

    The major take away from this: alpha is typically higher than the number of gain to loss days, meaning that we have beat the market on average by following this strategy (a traditional alpha here would be 1.56/1.31=1.19, or 19% better than leaving our money in all the time in the same stocks). I think this is decent, but obviously can be improved. I'd be glad to hear what your ideas and criticism!

    ​

    Now, here are the same stocks and my predictions for 10 trading days in the future: Monday, April 8. Do with them what you will.

    ​

    1 --- MDB --- price = 151.0 --- sma = 129. --- d/dt = 1.30%/day --- d2/d2t = 0.0140%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = 0.0196%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 176.7 = 17.0% --- RSI = 71.3

    2 --- GLUU --- price = 11.02 --- sma = 9.94 --- d/dt = 0.641%/day --- d2/d2t = 0.0505%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0125%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 11.77 = 6.84% --- RSI = 58.1

    3 --- AAPL --- price = 188.7 --- sma = 184. --- d/dt = 0.288%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.00104%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = 0.00722%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 196.3 = 4.03% --- RSI = 57.8

    4 --- NFLX --- price = 366.2 --- sma = 363. --- d/dt = 0.125%/day --- d2/d2t = 0.0169%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.000530%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 373.6 = 2.01% --- RSI = 50.5

    5 --- PYPL --- price = 101.6 --- sma = 99.8 --- d/dt = 0.211%/day --- d2/d2t = 0.00142%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.00387%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 103.1 = 1.54% --- RSI = 67.5

    6 --- GWPH --- price = 165.0 --- sma = 168. --- d/dt = 0.134%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.0000316%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = 0.000719%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 167.4 = 1.46% --- RSI = 53.7

    7 --- CMG --- price = 676.8 --- sma = 645. --- d/dt = 0.352%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.00177%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0131%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 685.2 = 1.25% --- RSI = 75.0

    8 --- DNKN --- price = 72.42 --- sma = 71.6 --- d/dt = 0.0530%/day --- d2/d2t = 0.0000313%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = 0.00370%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 73.25 = 1.15% --- RSI = 54.3

    9 --- BLL --- price = 58.11 --- sma = 57.1 --- d/dt = 0.179%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.00759%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.00219%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 58.72 = 1.05% --- RSI = 38.5

    10 --- AMZN --- price = 1774. --- sma = 1720 --- d/dt = 0.307%/day --- d2/d2t = 0.00891%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0151%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 1792. = 1.00% --- RSI = 53.8

    11 --- V --- price = 153.0 --- sma = 152. --- d/dt = 0.125%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.0204%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = 0.00389%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 154.4 = 0.874% --- RSI = 65.6

    12 --- MTCH --- price = 56.94 --- sma = 56.1 --- d/dt = 0.251%/day --- d2/d2t = 0.0235%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0191%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 57.23 = 0.516% --- RSI = 47.3

    13 --- SQ --- price = 74.55 --- sma = 76.2 --- d/dt = -0.0182%/day --- d2/d2t = 0.00124%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = 0.00295%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 74.83 = 0.371% --- RSI = 50.3

    14 --- FNKO --- price = 21.03 --- sma = 20.6 --- d/dt = 0.243%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.0597%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.000212%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 20.91 = -0.592% --- RSI = 68.3

    15 --- GH --- price = 76.88 --- sma = 80.4 --- d/dt = 0.602%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.211%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = 0.0201%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 75.96 = -1.20% --- RSI = 57.9

    16 --- DAL --- price = 49.03 --- sma = 50.3 --- d/dt = -0.0571%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.0249%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.000176%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 48.12 = -1.85% --- RSI = 54.2

    17 --- AVGO --- price = 292.2 --- sma = 285. --- d/dt = 0.308%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.0396%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0200%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 285.6 = -2.23% --- RSI = 54.8

    18 --- CRSP --- price = 34.19 --- sma = 37.3 --- d/dt = -0.139%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.0421%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = 0.00534%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 33.30 = -2.61% --- RSI = 30.1

    19 --- CGC --- price = 44.23 --- sma = 45.8 --- d/dt = -0.0465%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.00592%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0196%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 42.45 = -4.02% --- RSI = 38.7

    20 --- MJ --- price = 37.05 --- sma = 37.3 --- d/dt = 0.167%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.0346%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0288%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 35.25 = -4.85% --- RSI = 37.7

    21 --- ACB --- price = 9.250 --- sma = 8.92 --- d/dt = 0.660%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.117%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0387%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 8.722 = -5.71% --- RSI = 63.0

    22 --- BURL --- price = 145.6 --- sma = 149. --- d/dt = -0.116%/day --- d2/d2t = 0.0311%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0377%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 137.0 = -5.90% --- RSI = 34.4

    23 --- HQY --- price = 73.57 --- sma = 79.5 --- d/dt = -0.0194%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.0988%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0285%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 66.29 = -9.89% --- RSI = 28.6

    24 --- CRON --- price = 20.53 --- sma = 21.1 --- d/dt = -0.162%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.0554%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0362%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 18.39 = -10.4% --- RSI = 63.1

    25 --- NBEV --- price = 5.250 --- sma = 5.44 --- d/dt = -0.191%/day --- d2/d2t = -0.0170%/day^2 --- d3/d3t = -0.0572%/day^3 --- 10day tgt = 4.605 = -12.3% --- RSI = 60.5

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ​

    Disclosure: First and foremost, I attempt to make no claim whatsoever for how well these "predictions" will hold. They are simple extrapolations of existing trends, and will certainly change in the future. Second, I likely own positions in several of the highest ranked tickers on this list.

    ​

    source code: https://github.com/stockscientist/sma_optimize_stocks

    submitted by /u/stockscientist
    [link] [comments]

    Southwest Boeing 737 Max reportedly made an emergency landing at Orlando International Airport

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 01:41 PM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/26/southwest-boeing-737-max-reportedly-made-an-emergency-landing-at-orlando-international-airport.html

    A Southwest Airlines Boeing 737 Max made an emergency landing in Orlando on Tuesday.

    The type of aircraft was grounded earlier this month by the FAA following two fatal crashes of the popular model. Airlines aren't allowed to fly passengers under the FAA's order. Southwest has been transporting its 34 Boeing 737 Max planes to southern California for storage.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
    [link] [comments]

    How do you keep up with news?

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 07:19 AM PDT

    How do you keep up with news? For instance, I saw a drop in CPRX and google alerts had nothing sent to me

    submitted by /u/CluelessGoals
    [link] [comments]

    NIO stock less than $5!!

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 11:52 AM PDT

    Is it safe to buy NIO stock at $5 considering Tesla's top stakeholder Baillie Gifford got in at around $6 in October 2018? I'm thinking of buying some shares on the off chance it might be a significant EV player in the future. What are your thoughts on NIO?

    ​

    ​

    ​

    submitted by /u/cheesequake516
    [link] [comments]

    Apple's move into banking raises the bar for fintech, traditional credit cards

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 10:01 AM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/26/apples-move-into-banking-raises-the-bar-for-fintech-credit-cards.html

    Apple is working with Goldman Sachs and Mastercard to launch a credit card. In typical Apple style, it's changing the way the old guard might think about something as common as swiping a credit card.

    Some say the tech giant could pose a threat to fintech companies and regional banks.

    "Money is just a form of data, and Apple has been great at managing access to data. They'll take the same approach to money over time," says Ryan Gilbert, general partner at Prospect Ventures.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
    [link] [comments]

    Thinking of selling BrkB and buying into NVIDIA...

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 08:17 AM PDT

    BrkB has been pretty stagnant over the last few months and i see lots of growth potential for NVIDIA short and long term. Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/anxietystomach
    [link] [comments]

    McDonald’s announces acquisition to personalize the drive thru

    Posted: 25 Mar 2019 03:52 PM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/25/mcdonalds-announces-acquisition-to-personalize-the-drive-thru.html

    McDonald's is buying a tech company to personalize its drive-thru experience.

    Sources familiar with the matter said that the deal is valued at more than $300 million.

    McDonald's has been updating its stores to embrace technology and prepare for delivery.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
    [link] [comments]

    Shares of Canadian pot company Cronos slide after revenue disappoints

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 09:07 AM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/26/shares-of-canadian-pot-company-cronos-slide-after-revenue-disappoints.html

    Shares of Canadian pot company Cronos slid 5 percent after reporting disappointing fourth-quarter revenue.

    In the quarter, Cronos' sales totaled 5.6 million Canadian dollars, short of FactSet's consensus estimate of CA$10.4 million.

    Canada legalized adult recreational use of marijuana in October.

    Bought some shares today!

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
    [link] [comments]

    What are your favorite Youtube channels centered around investing and stocks?

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 12:41 PM PDT

    I'm looking to find more Youtube channels I can check out on investing and stocks.

    submitted by /u/DanielWallock
    [link] [comments]

    Who here has crazy ROI percentages that would like to share their strategy?

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 12:16 PM PDT

    Was most of it luck? Did you read something that made you want to invest in said stock? When did you sell or are you still holding? When do you plan to sell? What stock were you lucky to stay away from that others didn't see as a bad stock at the time?

    Most of my money is in total market index funds but I put aside a small percent to invest in specific stocks.

    submitted by /u/KarlMalowned
    [link] [comments]

    Retailers want to go cashless. But opponents say that's discriminatory

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 11:57 AM PDT

    https://www.cnn.com/2019/03/26/business/cashless-stores-amazon-go-sweetgreen-dos-toros/index.html

    New York (CNN Business)Retailers and restaurants say eliminating cash at their stores makes them more efficient. But opponents argue that cashless stores exclude millions of Americans without bank accounts.

    Americans use cash in 30% of all transactions, according to a 2017 survey from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. People dish out cash for most purchases under $10. And cash is also still the most common form of payment for people making less than $25,000 a year.

    Now, cities and states are starting to take action against cash-free stores.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
    [link] [comments]

    How's the economy doing?

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 11:49 AM PDT

    So how's the economy doing? In the r/stocks forum there are 337k subscribers in the r/vagabond forum there are almost as many 333k subscribers. Is the economy really that bad.

    submitted by /u/Mouse1701
    [link] [comments]

    VIX

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 11:24 AM PDT

    What are peoples thoughts on VIX? I'm looking into it and with a looming fear of there being a recession near the end of 2019 it seems like buying soon might be good timing

    submitted by /u/D3AFKID
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    R Housing stocks over bought

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 10:22 AM PDT

    Who thinks housing stocks are a good short right now? 20 something Millennials want to live home with mom and dad and retail and fast food companies are closing down taking away jobs from millennials. Retail apocalypse is real. So where are the millennial couples buying houses now. There is more and more senior citizens down sizing housing and living in senior housing. What do u guys think.

    submitted by /u/Mouse1701
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    What does everyone think of Apple’s new announcements. With the news subscription and Apple card. Also with this new card do you think Visa or MasterCard should be worried?

    Posted: 25 Mar 2019 03:50 PM PDT

    From apples website: Receive Daily Cash

    Customers will receive a percentage of every Apple Card purchase amount back as Daily Cash. Unlike other cash back rewards, Daily Cash is added to customers' Apple Cash card each day and can be used right away for purchases using Apple Pay, to put toward their Apple Card balance or send to friends and family in Messages. Every time customers use Apple Card with Apple Pay, they will receive 2 percent Daily Cash. Customers will also get 3 percent Daily Cash on all purchases made directly with Apple, including at Apple Stores, on the App Store and for Apple services.

    Edit: VISA stock only**

    submitted by /u/legitcreed444
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    AMDA Fda approval. My DD what's your input and am I missing something?

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 10:06 AM PDT

    AMDA was issued a CRL in August of 2016.

    The CRL did not cite any concerns with the clinical safety and efficacy data for RI-002 submitted by ADMA in the BLA, nor has the FDA requested any additional clinical studies be conducted prior to FDA approval of RI-002 for PIDD.

    However, the CRL was issued because:

    The FDA identified in the CRL certain outstanding inspection issues and deficiencies at ADMA's third-party contract manufacturers, including its contract drug substance and product manufacturer, its contract fill and finisher and compliance issues with a third-party contract testing laboratory, and requested documentation of corrections for a number of those issues.

    In September of 2018 the FDA respected the manufacturer and with an improved status and gave a VAI status. Which in my understanding, means their were some issues, but not in the realm of consequence or action needed from the FDA.

    Now ADMA RI-002 is set on April 2nd for FDA approval and I want to buy in. I am not very experienced in the stock market and want to know if receiving a VAI can issue another CRL for RI-002!

    Any input would be appreciated!

    submitted by /u/Gwarr11
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    Banks getting hit

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 09:49 AM PDT

    Banking stocks have been getting hit for the last month. Do we continue to short bankstocks or is there a turn around coming soon?

    submitted by /u/Mouse1701
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    Ladybaybee picks for 2019-03-26

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 08:57 AM PDT

    Link to imgur with daily picks

    Background of my project

    UPDATE:

    If you've been following my picks you will realize that the number of suggestions has decreased significantly, only 3 showing up today. This is because I have adjusted the decision engine that powers the system on the backend. I was doing an auditing of a random set of top picks for the past month and I noticed that on average these picks have grown about 0.3% every 3 days. This number is rather disappointing. When I investigated further I noticed that I have very good picks with 15%,6% growth in one week but I also have another set of very soft balls. This is the reason why I am adjusting the engine. Ideally, I would like to only see stocks that will have at least a 0.5% growth per day on average.

    submitted by /u/ladybaybee
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    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Tuesday - Mar 26, 2019

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 05:07 AM PDT

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Beginning in stock trade and was wondering about different brokerage accounts.

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 04:48 AM PDT

    What firm do you use and who do you think is best for a beginner trader and any tips you might have about accounts.

    submitted by /u/dailey-cyanide-dose
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    Settlement Risk in OTC stocks - can someone explain?

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 08:25 AM PDT

    Just sold some shares of a company that I had purchased some time ago over the OTC pink sheets. It is also listed on the ASX. After I bought them, the shares settled in my account as the ASX shares and I was advised by the broker that I had to call in to sell them.

    ​

    Just called in and put in a sale for them. The broker informed me that until the trade is settled there is "settlement risk" that the actual shares I sold aren't the ones that were being purchased on the OTC? He couldn't really give me a proper explanation. I am trying to look it up but can't find anything. Is this just a super rare risk that really doesn't happen? Anyone have any experience?

    submitted by /u/GreenHighlighter001
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