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    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Jan 09, 2019

    January 09, 2019

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Jan 09, 2019

    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Jan 09, 2019

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 04:07 AM PST

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    I purchased a discounted 3 years of Motley Fool.

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 06:04 AM PST

    Thought I'd be receiving helpful information not found on their site that is open to all public. They talked about tips for early stage gems like when they predicted Netflix when it was still very low. Not the case at all! I paid for marketing emails. Long drawn out click-bait marketing emails. It makes me not trust Motley Fool and want my money back. Would not recommend it.

    submitted by /u/Personality__Champ
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    I Read The News So You Don't Have To - Market News (January 9, 2018)

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 04:32 AM PST

    UNITED STATES

    • Futures are slightly elevated with hopes of a positive ending to US-China trade talks
      • The meeting, originally scheduled for two days, has been extended
    • Job openings began to slow in November (Actual 6.88M | Expected 7.05M)
    • After three years of declines, US carbon emissions rose 3.4% in 2018
    • Minutes from the Feds December policy meeting will be released at 2:00 PM

    OTHER

    • A decision on raising interest rates is due from the Bank of Canada at 10:00 AM
    • German Industrial Production had its biggest contraction in nearly a decade
      • (Actual - 4.7% | Expected -0.8%)
    • Eurozone Economic Sentiment continues to weaken along with consumer confidence

    CHINA

    • Chinas National Economic Planning agency announced they will introduce plans to increase domestic consumption of automobiles
    submitted by /u/ogordained
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    Visual ETF Index for Country-Pegged Funds

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 09:06 AM PST

    Interactive chart showing approximately 80 country-specific ETF ticker returns over time https://www.walletwyse.com/analytics/global-etf-index

    ​

    From the site:

    This chart pulls same-day quotes for major ETFs indexed to specific foreign markets. For larger financial markets like China, Japan and Germany, our index returns the average of the 2-3 largest dedicated ETFs. To calculate total return over time, any dividends are added to the gain/loss at the end of the period.

    submitted by /u/Practical_Protection
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    Jamie Dimon (CEO of the biggest U.S. bank) says the stock market overreacted, no recession ahead

    Posted: 08 Jan 2019 05:51 PM PST

    "Markets are overreacting to short-term sentiment around a whole bunch of complex issues," Dimon tells Fox Business.

    Source: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/08/jamie-dimon-says-the-stock-market-overreacted-no-recession-ahead.html

    submitted by /u/markyu007
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    Fed's Bostic sees one US interest rate increase this year.

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 07:12 AM PST

    SAUCEY LINK

    • The Federal Reserve may only need to raise interest rates once in 2019, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on Monday.

    • Though U.S. economic growth surprised to the upside in 2018, and prompted the Fed to raise rates four times, Bostic said his business contacts appear less confident about the coming months, while "clouds" have developed overseas.

    • Bostic said the list of potential problems includes the current partial shutdown of the U.S. government, which has left hundreds of thousands of federal employees without a paycheck.

    submitted by /u/endstreet
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    (1/9) - Wednesday's Pre-Market Stock Movers & News

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 05:47 AM PST

    Good morning traders & investors of the r/stocks subreddit! Welcome to Wednesday! Here are your pre-market stock movers & news this AM-

    Frontrunning: January 9th, 2019

    • President Donald Trump, in a prime-time TV address last night, made his case for a wall and strengthened security at the U.S.-Mexico border, highlighting multiple grisly examples of Americans allegedly murdered by illegal immigrants. (CNBC)
    • Democrats blast Trump for 'malice' and 'fear' in his border wall appeal (USA Today)
    • Democrats today are set to test Republicans' resolve in backing Trump's drive to build a wall on the border with Mexico. The party is eager to force the GOP to choose between funding the IRS or voting to keep it partially shuttered. (Reuters)
    • The United States is in danger of losing its triple-A sovereign credit rating later this year, Fitch said today, warning an ongoing government shutdown could soon start to negatively impact the country's debt ceiling. (CNBC)
    • Robert Mueller accused former Trump campaign chief Paul Manafort of lying about sharing polling data with an alleged Russian spy during the 2016 campaign, a new court filing by * Manafort's lawyers has accidentally revealed. (CNBC)
    • CNBC has learned that Wall Street executives have heard from several potential 2020 Democratic candidates for president, including Sens. Cory Booker and Kamala Harris, as recently as last month.
    • BP's investment in next-generation technology just paid off to the tune of a billion barrels of oil. The British energy company has discovered 1 billion barrels of crude at an existing oilfield in the Gulf of Mexico. (CNBC)
    • A judge is giving Sears Chairman Eddie Lampert another chance to buy the company out of bankruptcy and save roughly 50,000 jobs. Lampert's hedge fund is now required to pay a $120 million deposit by 4 p.m. today. (CNBC)
    • More than a dozen former Facebook (FB) employees detailed how the social media company's leadership and its performance review system has created a culture where any dissent is discouraged.(CNBC)
    • Juul, the e-cigarette company that has become ubiquitous among teens, is launching its first television ad campaign targeting adult smokers as it faces criticism that its fruity flavors are designed for underaged users. (CNBC)

    STOCK FUTURES NOW:

    (CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

    YESTERDAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP!)

    TODAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP!)

    YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!]())

    NONE.

    THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($STZ $BBBY $SGH $LEN $KBH $CMC $FCEL $HELE $AYI $AZZ $LNN $SCHN $SNX $MSM $PLUG $WDFC $EXFO $GBX $PSMT $SAR $INFY $FC$NTIC $KSHB $VOXX $SLP $MPAA)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($STZ $LEN $SGH $AYI $MSM $PLUG $SCHN $GBX $KSHB $EXFO)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS AFTERNOON'S POST-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ()

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!]())

    T.B.A.

    EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    THIS MORNING'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES!)

    THIS MORNING'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

    TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING DISCUSSIONS:

    • STZ
    • CGC
    • CLVS
    • UWT
    • LEN
    • MS
    • BABA
    • SWKS
    • IWM
    • UGAZ
    • QQQ
    • BHC
    • BKNG
    • SGH
    • GBX
    • RL
    • CLPS
    • BILI
    • KBH
    • X
    • LUV
    • XLE
    • NFLX
    • NXPI
    • AMD
    • LOW
    • MAXR
    • DIA
    • BAC
    • AAP

    THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

    (source: cnbc.com)

    Apple — Nikkei reported that Apple is cutting iPhone production by 10 percent between January and March. This would be the second time in two months that Apple trims iPhone production plans, according to the report.

    STOCK SYMBOL: AAPL

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Facebook — CEO Mark Zuckerberg said he will host a series of discussions about tech's role in society in the future. "Every few weeks I'll talk with leaders, experts, and people in our community from different fields and I'll try different formats to keep it interesting," Zuckerberg said.

    STOCK SYMBOL: FB

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Foot Locker, Nike — An analyst at Baird upgraded Foot Locker to "outperform," noting the near-term fundamentals for the company "can continue to inflect positively" amid strong Nike same-store sales. Separately, Baird downgraded Nike to "neutral" from "outperform" amid concern its high valuation may not be sustainable.

    STOCK SYMBOL: FL

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    STOCK SYMBOL: NKE

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Skyworks Solutions — Canaccord Genuity slashed its price target on Skyworks to $84 from $96 a share, citing weak smartphone demand around the world. "We anticipate Apple has higher-than-anticipated channel inventory levels to work through in 1HC2019, driving weaker near-term demand for suppliers," Canaccord said in a note.

    STOCK SYMBOL: SWKS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Bank of America —The banking giant was upgraded to "buy" from "neutral" at UBS, with analysts noting Bank of America "should continue improving efficiency metrics and, importantly, appears comparatively well positioned to withstand a turn in credit." UBS, however, also trimmed its price target on Bank of America to $32 from $33 a share.

    STOCK SYMBOL: BAC

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Morgan Stanley — Citigroup upgraded Morgan Stanley to "buy" from "neutral," noting higher market volatility can lead to higher trading revenue throughout the year.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Tilray — The Canadian pot company was initiated with an overweight rating and a $90 price target at Piper Jaffray. "The timing of a regulatory change is hard to predict, but we expect continued global momentum for medical and recreational marijuana legalization," Piper said.

    STOCK SYMBOL: TLRY

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Lowe's — Barclays downgraded the home-improvement retailer to "equal weight" from "overweight," noting "it is unproven that the company can accelerate comps into a decelerating macro⁄industry across the board in 2019." Barclays also cut its price target on Lowe's to $105 from $120.

    STOCK SYMBOL: LOW

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Tesla — The electric car maker is being sued after a passenger died last year due to a defective battery. The suit alleges Tesla "failed to warn purchasers of its vehicles of the battery's dangerous condition."

    STOCK SYMBOL: TSLA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    DISCUSS!

    What is on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/stocks?

    I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Wednesday, January 9th, 2019! :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    Websites for best stock news ?

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 06:14 AM PST

    The title basically says it all, what are some of the best reputable sites for stock news and information ? THAT IT NOT BIAS.

    Place like market-watch are trash and seem to be bias.

    I figured this post may help others as well. Thank you in advance.

    submitted by /u/endstreet
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    What is your most unethical stock tip?

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 11:52 AM PST

    I'm looking at investing in GEO... a for profit prison Real Estate Investment Trust... 8-9% annual dividend.

    submitted by /u/shortadamlewis
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    What are some good buys considering the state of the market?

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 09:35 AM PST

    I'm interested to see everyone's opinion regarding the stock market and different stocks that they see potential in, whether it would be a stock from a company they love or a stock that is bouncing back quickly.

    EDIT: These stocks don't only have to be penny stocks or highly volatile stocks. These could simply be the likes of Facebook, Apple, or whatnot. Interested in seeing your comments!

    Thanks!

    submitted by /u/ramjaz
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    Beyond meat ipo

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 11:45 AM PST

    Hi beyond meat had its initial ipo offering on october or november. How long do you think we will be able to buy the stock.

    submitted by /u/hollowchair
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    [FB] Anyone remember the trader who bet $7mil on Facebook?

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 06:25 AM PST

    To hit $273.50 by Jan 2020. Which is 60% gain of $173.09 during the period when he make the call. Since the current price is $142. He need at least about 92.25% gain for his strike price of $270.

    ​

    Do you think facebook can hit a 90% gain in 1 year?

    ​

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trader-makes-7-million-bet-200900283.html

    ​

    ​

    submitted by /u/serious-person
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    Titanic Medical Toronto

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 12:46 PM PST

    What do you guys think of this company? If you look at the chart for last 5 years it seems like they have always come back. Share has been very volatile recently and the price movement has been crazy.

    I'm thinking of taking a $1000 loss and close my position.

    submitted by /u/BullBearAnalyst
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    I have a Custodial 529 account for my God Child and I have no clue what stocks to invest in for her.

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 12:20 PM PST

    Hello, I currently deposit $10/month in a Fidelity account for my God Child. For the past 2 years or so, I have done $15/month, but now have a kid of my own and had to lower it. For the first year and a half, I did not invest in anything and the balance grew to around $200 and I bought 7 shares of Bank of America (BAC) because I had read it should do good in 2018 and I felt like that it is a pretty safe investment. I don't know if that was true or not, but it is what it is.

    Fast forward to today, and I have $190 bucks built back up to purchase more stocks. I have no idea what I am doing, and wanted to see what you guys thought I should do. My God Child is 3 now, and has a learning disability, so she may not actually go to college one day, but as I understand, she can do what she wants with this money but may have to pay taxes. I plan on giving her the money when she is 18 and would like for it to grow at a decent rate until I give it to her. I do not have a large enough balance to purchase mutual funds or I would do so.

    Thanks in advance for your help.

    submitted by /u/Im_Never_Witty
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    AUSA.CN does anyone know anything about them?

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 08:12 AM PST

    I've been watching it of late as they are cheap and on the rise. Since December of 2018 they are up almost 50% but being an investment firm during an economic downturn how is that possible?

    submitted by /u/Stewba
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    Is it time to buy FB again?

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 08:09 AM PST

    Since their 217 high in July of 2018, Facebook has lost about 1/3 of the stock price, now at 142. Most of that loss seems to be centered around concern for how the business is being run. It's a new year, and Facebook has made major ethical changes to the company, including going back to the basics of connecting family and friends.

    Keep in mind, they still owns properties like Instagram, Whats App, and Oculus.

    Is time to buy FB again?
    Do you see them hitting their 217 high again by Q2 of this year?

    submitted by /u/checklistmaker
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    What's going on with Boston Beer Market? (SAM)

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 11:53 AM PST

    It's down $6 and looks to be getting lower. Is this a good investment?

    submitted by /u/IncognitoNeeto
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    Your AM Global Stocks Preview and a whole lot more news that you need to read: Global stocks rising again today on trade optimism with the conclusion of US-China trade talks

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 05:19 AM PST

    US Stocks

    • Global stocks are advancing again today with US-China trade talks ending on what is reported to be a positive note, after the talks were extended an extra day
    • Press reports are that the US and China are coordinating a final message, and will try to highlight where progress has been made; no statement has been issued yet
    • Reuters is reporting that Fitch Rating's head of sovereign ratings said that if the US shutdown goes on until March 1st and there is a problem with the debt ceiling later in the year, Fitch may need to consider a cut to the US AAA rating
    • The US Federal Reserve will release the minutes of its last FOMC meeting; much has changed in the market since then and investors will be scouring the minutes for clues to their next move
    • The VIX is little changed this morning and is currently at 20.41 after closing at 20.47 yesterday
    • EEM March 19 OTM Puts, Verizon (VZ) January 19 Calls and AT&T (T) January 19 calls are some of the most actively traded options contracts in the US pre-market
    • US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are lower with yields up 0.88 basis points to 2.7368%
    • The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has widened 0.05 basis points to 0.14%
    • WTI Crude is currently up 2.6% to USD$50.80/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread down USD$-0.42 to USD$8.98/bbl
    • Gold is currently down -0.33% to USD$1281.21/oz

    Stocks Trending in the News

    Click name for Q-Factor breakdown, latest price details, more financial info and sentiment data.

    • Advanced Auto Parts (AAP) was upgraded by Merrill Lynch to buy from neutral. Merrill Lynch hiked Advance Auto Part's price target to USD$187, up from USD$160. Advance Auto Part's average price target is presently USD$200. In the last week Barclay's also upgraded Advance Auto Part to buy and raised its target to USD$205. Advance Auto Part is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Top Buy" in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Delta Airlines (DAL) was downgraded at Imperial Capital to in-line from outperform. Imperial lowered Delta Airlines' price target to USD$53 from USD$77. Delta Airlines' consensus price target is presently USD$67.81. Imperial expects fewer fare hikes and an overall more challenging environment in 2019. Delta Airlines is rated "Top Buy" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Attractive" in our US Consumer Discretionary Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Facebook (FB) and Alphabet's (GOOGL) Google are violating cyber laws in Vietnam, according to regulators there. Facebook and Google are allowing anti-government content on their sites, inciting anti-government sentiment, which is against Vietnamese law. Authorities said Facebook and Google have one year to fix the problems and must work with authorities to make that happen. Facebook is rated "Attractive" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Top Buy" in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas. Alphabet is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Attractive" in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas
    • Greggs Plc (LSE: GRG) reported 4Q sale-store-sales growth of 5.2% at company managed stores. Greggs raised its earnings forecast for pretax profit of 88 million pounds, up from 86 million pounds. Shore Capital reiterated its hold ratings, saying the company is fully valued at these levels. Greggs is rated "Attractive" in our United Kingdom All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Lennar (LEN) reported 4Q18 net earnings of USD$796.1 million or USD$2.42 per diluted share. Lennar delivered 14,15 new homes, up 64% y/y. Backlog of USD$6.6 billion is up 85% y/y. Total revenues of USD$6.5 billion is up 71% y/y. Lennar
    • Tencent (TCEHY, SEHK: 700) will soon introduce its own digital assistant called "Xiaowei" for WeChat. Tencent is introducing the digital assistant that will link to a large variety apps, allowing users to do things like play music or order food. Tencent has not made clear how and when Xiaowei will be rolled out. Tencent is rated "Attractive" in our China All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Weibo (WB) was downgraded yesterday by Morgan Stanley to equal-weight from overweight. Weibo is feeling the pinch of competition from smaller players and has seen margin compression, both were cited as reasons for the downgrade. Weibo's next earnings report is February 12th. Weibo is rated "Neutral" in our China All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.

    European Stocks

    • European stocks are rising, caught in the global stock updraft, fueled by hopes of progress from US-China trade talks
    • The Euro Stoxx 600 is currently up +0.85%, the FTSE 100 is higher by +0.98%, the DAX has advanced +0.94%, and the CAC 40 has risen +1.09%
    • UK Prime Minister Theresa May will spend the day trying to convince Parliament of the merits of her Brexit deal, there will be 5 days of deliberations before a January 15th vote
    • Investor sentiment for European stocks is positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Euro Stoxx 600 currently at 4.13x
    • Oil & Gas (+0.94%), Telecommunications (-1%), and Basic Resources (+2.18%) stocks are the top performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • Automobiles & Parts (+2.99%), Food & Beverage (+0.5%), and Utilities (-0.01%) stocks are the worst performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • 204 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are at 4-week highs while 11 stocks are at 4-week lows
    • 9 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are overbought while 0 stocks are oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • VSTOXX, the European stocks equivalent of the VIX, is lower this morning and is currently at 18.85 after closing at 19.48 yesterday
    • EUR€ is currently little changed against the USD$ at 1.1454
    • GBP£ is currently little changed against the USD$ at 1.2736
    • CHF is currently little changed against the USD$ at 1.0195
    • German 10-Year Bunds are lower with yields up 6.8 basis points to 0.294%
    • UK 10-Year GILTs are lower with yields up 1.3 basis points to 1.287%

    Asian Stocks

    • The Nikkei 225 finished up +1.1%, the Hang Seng ended up +2.27%, the Hang Seng China Enterprise up +2.22%, and the CSI 300 was +1.01%
    • Investor sentiment for Japanese stocks finished positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Nikkei 225 closing at 4.23x
    • 7 stocks in the Nikkei 225 hit 4-week highs while 1 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 0 stocks in the Nikkei 225 closed overbought while 1 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • Investor sentiment for Hong Kong stocks finished positive with the advance/decline ratio for the Hang Seng closing at 24x
    • 15 stocks in the Hang Seng hit 4-week highs while 2 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 1 stock in the Hang Seng closed overbought while 2 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • Japan 2-Year Government Bonds are higher with yields down -0.4 basis points to -0.14%
    • Japan 10-Year Government Bonds are lower with yields up 2 basis points to 0.032%
    • JGBs 2s-10s Spread has widened 2.4 basis points to 0.17%
    • JPY¥ is currently little changed against the USD$ at 108.86
    submitted by /u/QuantalyticsResearch
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    Help with insiders...

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 06:43 AM PST

    What do the transactions here mean? "Disposition at...", "Award at...", "Gift at" or " Derivative/Non-derivative trans. at $160 per share."

    https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/stock/jkhy/insideractions

    submitted by /u/semaph0re
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    Shouldn't investors get to pick the board of a public company?

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 05:38 AM PST

    If a company is public, shouldn't we(the investors), get to pick the people to keep an eye out for us and care about our interests?

    submitted by /u/vitogeek
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    If IBM is going to acquire Red Hat at $190/share, why is RHT trading at 174?

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 09:07 AM PST

    I'm sure I am missing something, but assuming I buy shares of RHT today, that will give me a ~8.5% gain in the short term. Why isn't RHT trading at $190?

    ​

    Please help me understand

    submitted by /u/dxiri
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    Morning Brief - January 9th 2019

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 05:11 AM PST

    Hi All, wanting to try and get into writing a little bit, so will be producing a daily piece on the markets. Any feedback is appreciated.

    I will follow a similar guideline daily. I'll start out with a small introductory piece up here. That'll be followed by market information and then a couple of top stories from the past couple of days. Finally, I'll add a couple of interesting articles from around the net that will hopefully be of interest.

    On that introductory note, the big news from last night. In the United States, President Trump took to the airwaves of all major networks in an effort to convince the nation of the need for a $5B border wall. No new information was presented during the roughly 8-minute speech that left many wondering the purpose of talk entirely. Democrats were given the chance to respond by the networks.

    Moving the Markets

    Trade Talks: China and the U.S. wrapped up their ongoing trade talks after 3 days. The talks ended positively and will move into higher level discussions in a few weeks.

    Markets and Oil on the rise: First, oil. WTI crossed back above $50 thanks to a little boost in global optimism. Rig counts in the United States also seem to be leveling off with recent numbers coming out at a consistent 786 (+0). In the Markets, Asia had a good night, and most European markets are looking positive at the open.

    ​
    S&P 500 - 2574.41 +0.97% WTI - $50.79 +2.03%
    NASDAQ - 6897.00 +1.08% Gold - 1282.40 -0.27%
    DJIA - 23787.45 +1.09% NIKKEI 225 - 20427.06 +1.10%

    ​

    submitted by /u/AA92
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    Thoughts on Goldman Sachs before earnings?

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 04:33 AM PST

    So, I am thinking about buying some call options on Goldman Sachs. My thoughts are that the year-end volatility will help its trading desk. Does anyone have any thoughts?

    submitted by /u/abasoglu
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    S&P 500 earnings growth rate vs. S&P returns over the past 100 years

    Posted: 08 Jan 2019 09:02 PM PST

    S&P 500 earnings as of September 2018: 130.18

    S&P 500 earnings as of December 1918 (inflation adjusted): 15.12

    http://www.multpl.com/s-p-500-earnings/table

    Real Earnings growth: 760%

    Cumulative rate of inflation since December 1918: Around 1500%

    Earnings growth not adjusted for inflation: ~13,660%

    ​

    S&P 500 price on December 1918: 7.85

    S&P 500 price on September 2018: 2,914

    Return: 37,000%

    ​

    ​

    What's with the discrepancy? Does anyone know the average price to book ratio of S&P companies in the early 20th century?

    submitted by /u/traderlmd
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    Opinion about PEGI stock?

    Posted: 09 Jan 2019 12:35 AM PST

    I bought $3,000 worth of PEGI, about 30% of portfolio but I am now worried that maybe that wasn't the best investment. The only bright side is a very high dividend but I have also heard that could mean bad things for the company. Are BEP or NEP better?

    submitted by /u/abcde123edcba
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