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    Sunday, October 28, 2018

    Stock Market - I have 3 RHT Jan ‘19 $120 calls!!! IBM just announced a takeover.....

    Stock Market - I have 3 RHT Jan ‘19 $120 calls!!! IBM just announced a takeover.....


    I have 3 RHT Jan ‘19 $120 calls!!! IBM just announced a takeover.....

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 03:48 PM PDT

    Dominos Pizza, Interest Rates, and 2019 Debt Obligations

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 07:26 AM PDT

    Any thoughts on the $878.5mm Dominos is going to need to pony up in 2019? They're already spending in excess of $100mm/yr on interest which is about 1/5 to 1/4 of their operating income, and the rate environment is not as easy as it was in 2015.

    submitted by /u/gta3uzi
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    Is there a path to survival for Sears Holdings (SHLDQ)?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 03:50 PM PDT

    Facebook is one of the most Mis-Priced and Obvious Opportunities in the Market Today

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 02:33 PM PDT

    For a video summary you can see what I've put together: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3bPxjrtjUUk

    SUMMARY

    Facebook is an advertising giant, more specifically, mobile advertising. Reporting earnings on Tuesday, October 30th - there is a lot of negative investor sentiment which has brought down share price considerably. The Cambridge Scandal, privacy issues, concerns over the EU regulatory environment changes, and general fears about NA user growth have created a great opportunity to start to accumulate shares.

    From a peer valuation standpoint, there isn't a tech company with the same level of growth and free cash flow generation with a PE multiple of 22. If FB maintains its 22 business multiple and grows in earnings 15% YoY for the next 3 years (which is a rather conservative view imo) Facebook would easily trade above $200 per share.

    Whether Facebook is good for society or not is a separate topic, but from a business standpoint, the fact that people are 'addicted' to Facebook is a great thing for advertisers. I can't go anywhere without seeing people staring down at their phones, scrolling through Facebook or Instragram, or posting their food because we all know you get more nutrients that way.

    You can check out a technical chart of Facebook on tradingview.com for a very sleek and free technical charting. If you click indicators and overlays you can find a public library of the most popular free indicators that people have created. Indicators by Chris Moody are my favorite.

    On FinViz.com check out the Bubble Charts, in the video above I show an example where I put earnings growth next year on the x-axis and one year price performance on the y-axis. Facebook and Cognizant show up as good opportunities.

    Regardless of the earnings report in the near-term, Facebook is a great business to own. Should shares continue to fall, I will continue to buy.

    Disclosure: I own FB call options

    submitted by /u/MKEGrowthInvestor
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    PDT Rule With Cash Account on TD Ameritrade

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 08:07 PM PDT

    So I was wondering if the pdt rule applies to cash accounts in td ameritrade, with less than 25k in equity. Thank you

    submitted by /u/WonderMuch
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    Sell in May...then what?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 06:40 PM PDT

    Most investors are familiar with the saying "Sell in May and go away", but when should investors return? Behind this old saying is the historical monthly performance of the stock market. This article presents a brief discussion of the historical monthly returns and risk-adjusted returns for the DJIA so investors can draw their own conclusions. The specific time period in this article is 1973 through 2017. The monthly returns are the average values over the 45-year period and include the monthly price change plus the average dividend yield. For those readers unfamiliar with our previous article DTRS Sharpe Ratio: https://dividendtotalreturn.net/dtrs-sharpe-ratio/

    Sharpe Ratio = Average (%ROR – Risk free rate) / Std. Dev. (%ROR – Risk free rate)

    For the purposes of this article, the monthly returns are listed in order from highest to lowest. The corresponding monthly Sharpe Ratios are also included for comparison.

    It should be noted that investors could have approximated the 1973 through 2017 DJIA total returns by being invested only 7 or 8 months of the year. The benefit of doing this would have been higher risk-adjusted returns (Sharpe Ratio of 0.60 to 0.65 versus 0.34) plus the opportunity to earn risk-free interest during the other 4 to 5 months. In simple terms, the suggested months to avoid are May, June, August & September (and possibly February). Though October (ranked 7th) is considered to be a volatile month, much of this perception appears to be related to pre-election jitters during presidential election years (Avg ROR = -1.129%). The flash-crash of 1987 also weighed heavily on the October results.

    Readers should note that past results do not guarantee future returns.

    Data results are presented on

    https://dividendtotalreturn.net/sell-in-may/

    submitted by /u/DTRS_Investing
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    playing MA's in the choppy market

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 01:52 PM PDT

    normally i dont look at MA's much [directly], in the choppy market i found 18 stocks from SP100 that are not dropping from their 20/50 MA's to same extent as others. do you think their is opportunity here as the stock seem to be holding better than pothers or just pick up otherwise strong stocks on the drop? or wait out instability?

    cost, appl, abt, dis, duk, exc, fox, jnj, lly, mo, mrk, nee, pfe, sbux, unh, wmt, wba, vz

    submitted by /u/Staci3
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    Noob question: Why isn't redhat stock jumping?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 04:51 PM PDT

    IBM is acquiring software company Red Hat for $34 billion, which is $190 per share ... yet the stock price is barely $120 (i.e. no activity). Is it b/c the market is still closed?

    submitted by /u/taewoo
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    How is HMNY still alive??¿¿

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 04:12 PM PDT

    I don't understand how HMNY is still alive right now. Their market cap is 25 million it has lost 99% of its value in the past year and for some reason hasn't filed for bankruptcy yet?

    Can someone please explain to me what the hell is going on with this thing.

    submitted by /u/reddituser-10042
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    Is anyone else glad they didn't buy ACBFF before it began trading on NYSE as ACB?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 03:12 PM PDT

    I know there was a lot of hype that it was going to rocket when it opened on the New York Stock Exchange. It actually went from around $12 to now around $7. I feel like it was just bad timing with the overall market right now and it might go back up. My point is speculation and hype is not synonymous with prediction.

    What do you all think? Is anyone buying now? What so you think is going to happen with the stock from here?

    I'm not asking if I should invest in it, I'm just curious what the consensus is since I haven't heard anything about it.

    submitted by /u/BeezyJ
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    Who doesn't like a good Bounce!

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 02:02 PM PDT

    Check out this bounce about to happen on $PYTG

    https://www.stockscores.com/charts/charts/?ticker=pytg

    submitted by /u/StockGoneWild
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    Facebook Stock A Buy - Our Pitch for Facebook $200 per share

    Posted: 28 Oct 2018 01:21 PM PDT

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3bPxjrtjUUk

    Hey everyone, this is our analysis of Facebook and our own Microsoft excel template that we utilize to calculate price per share in the future. We see shares of Facebook carrying so much negativity at the moment that we believe it could be a mispriced opportunity. We hope this video offers enough of a visual and provides some compelling points. Let us know what you think. Are we DELUSIONAL? Or does the market have this highly profitable business completely wrong? Leave a comment!

    submitted by /u/dmwes4
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    Needed a bit of help..

    Posted: 27 Oct 2018 11:01 PM PDT

    So, am 16 years old, I had absolutely no knowledge of stock market 5 weeks ago. But I was keen to take part in this KWHS Investment competition. We have a team of 5, all of them like me, having about 20% knowledge of how all of it works. To sum the competition up, you have virtual money, fluctuations are mirrored like in real life, there are 400+ stocks that you can trade. Nothing else matters, now I need someone to talk to and help us take some decisions. We are doing well on the stock trading part, but were lacking in terms of strategy.

    If you are willing to help, please reply back and I'll let you know the exact details. Sorry if this doesn't belong here. Thank you in advance! Hope you all are doing fine in this red month!

    submitted by /u/Dhrufi
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    Powerful people creating artificial lows for profits later?

    Posted: 27 Oct 2018 09:17 PM PDT

    With many A-list companies reporting earnings or already reported, it's normal to see market moves. However, after several power hitters like Google and Amazon and Netflix all report good/great earnings and the market continues to go down/prices disheartening lows. I mean in the case of GOOG/AMZN, there was literally NOTHING bad about their report, yet both fell still further. With AAPL and FB coming up, I'm really wondering what will happen there. Sparked a question in my investment circle that maybe powerful CEOs/heavy hitters are deliberately reporting weak outlooks to keep the prices falling, while they all accumulate millions of shares and profit when they report ridiculous earnings in the upcoming months to profit big time. Is this a feasible plan for those kinds of people?

    That all said, I'm taking nasty hits on GOOGL, AMZN, NFLX, and FB right now. AAPL is still up big time for me. If FB and AAPL both report good earnings (Which means the stocks will tumble because #reasons) I'm going to be up tree. What does it take to make the market happy about FAANG again?

    submitted by /u/LSMaestro
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