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    Wednesday, October 31, 2018

    Home Unlabelled Facebook earnings beat: $1.76 per share, vs. $1.47 expected EPS Investing

    Facebook earnings beat: $1.76 per share, vs. $1.47 expected EPS Investing

    October 31, 2018

    Facebook earnings beat: $1.76 per share, vs. $1.47 expected EPS Investing

    Facebook earnings beat: $1.76 per share, vs. $1.47 expected EPS

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 01:07 PM PDT

    JP Morgan strategist: 'We are not panicking,' US is best bet in this environment

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 03:48 PM PDT

    Phil Camporeale says J.P. Morgan sees a low probability of two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth over the next few quarters and inflation becoming out of control.

    He says if the U.S. dollar weakens, it could be a "nice tailwind" for the markets, and the U.S. growth depends on inflation.

    "We are not panicking in this trade, we are right-sizing our equity allocation," Camporeale said. "Our highest confidence bet remains the U.S. Not the rest of the world ... it's the U.S. in this environment."

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/30/jp-morgan-strategist-we-are-not-panicking-us-is-best-bet.html

    submitted by /u/NineteenEighty9
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    GE plunges 10% to below $10 a share after analysts say dividend cut to a penny may not be enough

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 10:33 AM PDT

    Elon Musk buys $10 million in Tesla shares and plans to purchase $20 million more next week

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 01:19 PM PDT

    The Carnage of 2018, "We're all fine here, how are you?" Edition

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 11:37 PM PDT

    I've avoided looking at my portfolio results the past week because I wanted to wait until we at least had a bounce. So I looked today, and…it could be worse.

    I started investing in February 2018, and I'm actually up a bit for the year (5%). Furthermore, I'm happy with every stock I've chosen and have no intention of selling for years.

    Chart from FT.com showing my equity returns with the S&P500 for comparison:

    https://i.imgur.com/eE4L8C6.png

    How are you doing?

    submitted by /u/captainhaddock
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    Those around here that have reached the $1M mark, I have a question for you.

    Posted: 31 Oct 2018 03:20 AM PDT

    What was more difficult, going from $0 to $100K or from $100K to $1M.

    submitted by /u/grdgc
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    Anyone use Personal Capital for portfolio management?

    Posted: 31 Oct 2018 01:06 AM PDT

    I use the free site as a platform to be a Quicken replacement, had to go through the service call though. Doesn't seem to make sense as a low cost Index type investor as myself to use them. Any opinions or reviews?

    submitted by /u/Last_Heero
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    "No place to hide" -- Dual breakdown in stock and bond prices has upended investors’ traditional safety tool kit

    Posted: 31 Oct 2018 04:06 AM PDT

    WSJ: October's Market Rout Leaves Investors With No Place to Hide

    Traditional investment portfolios of 60% equities and 40% bonds have fallen 3.5% in October and are down 1.5% this year, on pace for a rare annual loss that has only been seen during volatile periods in 1990, 2001 and 2002, said Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, which manages $191 billion. Even investors who are heavier on fixed income would still be in the red, with allocations of 75% bonds and 25% equities falling more than 2% this month to drag their performance down 1.3% for the year.

    submitted by /u/TheMacroEvent
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    Market News - 31/10/18

    Posted: 31 Oct 2018 04:05 AM PDT

    Equities - Asia indices saw mild recovery, N225 +2% after BOJ holds rates at -0.1% and will continue purchasing JGBs, they also reduced inflation forecast to 0.9% from 1.1% - SHCOMP +1.3% despite Chinese PMI falling to 50.2 (Sep 50.8) - EU will continue to use UK clearing houses in the case of no-deal

    FICC - Metal prices falling after weak Chinese data - PBOC guides USDCNY at 6.9574

    submitted by /u/thetickertape
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    MSCI indexes will not restrict stocks that deny shareholders a vote

    Posted: 31 Oct 2018 12:04 AM PDT

    Companies that give shareholders unequal voting rights will remain on MSCI's current equity indexes

    submitted by /u/Polymath_B19
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    Thought on starbucks(SBUX)

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 09:46 PM PDT

    Earnings due Thursday should I buy before or after

    submitted by /u/csboy2016
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    Do You Rely On Earnings Estimates At All?

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 11:40 AM PDT

    This is one aspect of investing I fundamentally don't understand. It seems like they're all nonsense, because you see stuff like:

    "Experts expect so-and-so to beat their earnings estimates."

    "Then experts should raise their earnings estimates."

    "The stock dropped despite beating estimates because we'd thought it'd beat them by more."

    "You mispelled 'I lowballed my estimates to try to trick the rest of you so I could get in at a bargain, but you didn't fall for it.'"

    submitted by /u/JLeeSaxon
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    World’s Biggest Derivatives Exchange Is Getting a Boost From Trade War

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 12:06 PM PDT

    ELI5: Why isn't the national debt a big problem?

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 09:26 AM PDT

    So I'm aware that:

    1) The interest on the debt is barely above inflation, making the money practically "free"

    2) The most meaningful measure of the debt is debt/GDP ratio which means that even if the debt remains static, an increasing GDP will make it go 'down' (so no need to actually pay it off)

    3) Because of #1 there are a lot of investments that give a legit ROI that's greater than the interest on the debt and are therefore wise to borrow money for

    4) The gov can always print money so absolute worst case scenario they can convert their debt into inflation by printing money and paying off the debt with that

    I hope the above convinces people I'm not a mindless /r/collapse debt hawk

    EVEN SO..

    I have noticed that lately in 'bad times' e.g. 2008 the debt/GDP ratio gets run up massively to get us out of the bad times.. and in 'good times' it does no better than hold steady. Even this ridiculously good economic paradise year the debt/GDP ratio went down.. 0.4% or something. That means that it's now basically policy to never decrease the ratio.

    What do people imagine as the endgame here? It can't just keep going up and up before.. what?

    submitted by /u/FilthyWishDragon
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    What % of your portfolio is REITs and which are your favourite ones?

    Posted: 31 Oct 2018 02:52 AM PDT

    I just have... Real Estate Income $0 Farmland Partners $FPI Goverment Properties Incone $GOV

    submitted by /u/Zero_G_Balls
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    Is China in "Buy the dip" territory?

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 06:21 AM PDT

    Is this the opportunity that people had in 2008/2009?

    submitted by /u/PM_sweaty_socks
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    FB going up?

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 10:47 AM PDT

    The general tone is that FB will beat earnings. Would this necessarily make the stock go up or do we see a drop like AMZN?

    Edit: Ok just bought 50 shares. Wish me luck!

    submitted by /u/hotsteamtitan
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    Cannabis stocks mixed after Coca-Cola says it has no plans for sector

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 01:20 PM PDT

    ? Are WASTE SORTING PLANTS a good investment ?

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 10:55 AM PDT

    I have a possibility to invest in a Waste Sorting Plant in Central/Eastern Europe.

    Are such places a good investment?

    I would be curious to hear about your experiences and opinions.

    * I would be grateful for an upvote. It is a related topic, I think it's quite important and other people find it interesting. I am not sure why some have downvoted this.

    submitted by /u/egg_zolt
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    After a brutal Sept/October, how will be the rest of year? What does the history say?

    Posted: 30 Oct 2018 08:26 PM PDT

    We looked at the S&P 500 performance (SPY) from 1996-2018 and specifically looked at the following trades :

    Trade 1 :

    Buy : Sept 1 (or next trading day)

    Sell : Oct 27 (or next trading day)

    ​

    Trade 2

    Buy Nov 1 (or next trading day)

    Sell : Dec 27 (or next trading day)

    ---------------------

    Here is the table of Trade 1 and Trade 2 performance where Trade 1 performance was negative). (or Market dropped in Sept/Oct.)

    Trade 1 (Sept-Oct) Trade 2 (Nov - Dec)
    Year % Change % Change
    1997 -6.22% 2.13%
    1999 -2.40% 8.17%
    2000 -8.43% -6.13%
    2001 -4.90% 7.33%
    2005 -3.18% 4.69%
    2008 -34.04% -9.77%
    2014 -1.76% 4.01%
    2016 -1.44% 7.87%
    2018 -8.95% ???

    ​

    Since the economy is strong now, will the market recover like 1997? The 1997 drop was due to LTCM going down but recovered quickly with technology stocks. Or we are looking at repeat of 2000 where the market continued it drop further?

    submitted by /u/stock-patterns
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