• Breaking News

    Friday, October 26, 2018

    Home Unlabelled Amazon earnings beat: $5.75 per share, vs. $3.14 expected EPS Investing

    Amazon earnings beat: $5.75 per share, vs. $3.14 expected EPS Investing

    October 26, 2018

    Amazon earnings beat: $5.75 per share, vs. $3.14 expected EPS Investing

    Amazon earnings beat: $5.75 per share, vs. $3.14 expected EPS

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 01:03 PM PDT

    Market perspective from an investment firm

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 05:16 PM PDT

    So I'd like to give my two cents as i feel a lot of these posts dig into the technicals of certain stocks and i feel like no one ever talks about the broad markets.

    ​

    Background on me; i work on the sales desk of an investment firm on the east coast that manages 450 billion in assets and i directly cover the big wirehouses. What does this mean? Financial Advisors that manage hundreds of millions of dollars from UBS, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo Advisors, Etc. call me up and ask me how to allocate money into their portfolios using our funds, SMAs and private placements. The following are the themes that the biggest FAs ask about the most.

    ​

    Rising rates: obviously we are in a rising rate environment which means that fixed income has severe headwinds. We think that money should be allocated to fixed income that has low overall duration. The spread between a 2 and 10 year treasury is around 30-50 bps which means you are still being compensated well on the shorter part of the curve. digging into munis the following stats apply: a 5 year muni bond gets around 70% of the 30 year yield curve, a 10 year muni gets 80% of the yield curve and a 15 year bond gets 90% of the yield curve. this obviously shows the yield curve is flattening and the most highest yield per duration spot is around 5-10 years.

    ​

    credit spreads: credit spreads are at all time lows. the amount of compensation between BBB to AAA is as low as it was in 2007. what does this mean? you should look for good yields in fixed income but you shouldn't take on too much credit risk when doing so.

    ​

    Equities: equities are coming off a 10 year bull run. however, many technicals are pointing to the bull run continuing and the recession still being in the distant future. we prefer to look at corporate profits as an indicator to how profitable equities are. Though there has been recent volatility companies are still making profits and they are servicing their debts with defaults hovering at all time lows around 1-2%. once companies start defaulting on debt and high yield credit spreads start blowing out there should be a concern of equities going seriously negative. i would position in higher quality companies that have a low debt-equity ratio and have lower vol.

    ​

    international/emerging markets: this area of the market is obviously troubled. a lot of this has to do with the strengthening dollar as well as the increased political risk from US tariffs on Europe and Asia/pacific. i think in time this area of the market will turn around as the US ease up ands as rates stop rising from the fed and we begin quantitate easing from our central bank.

    ​

    a few broad allocation suggestions: get into higher quality equities in the case of a downturn of the market, specifically look at the downside capture of a certain fund/etf. de-risk from high yield credit into investment grade. if you have higher yielding credit, look to switch into floating rate loans which have a lower duration and are senior secured debt in the line of credit. if you seriously think there will be a recession i would look at moving your equity positions into government backed vehicles that have a yield around 3% and wait for the pullback. also finally dont freak out, this is normal market volatility, in the grand scheme of a market cycle you cannot be the fearful investor.

    submitted by /u/titty-boys
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    Alphabet earnings beat: $13.06 per share, vs. $10.42 expected EPS

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 01:05 PM PDT

    Snapchat loses 2M more users and shares sink despite business growth

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 01:26 PM PDT

    Good time to invest in Tencent?

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 10:25 PM PDT

    I know China stocks are getting a beating because of trade war etc., but I view the situation with Tencent as follows:

    • Tencent is the gaming / tech gorilla in China
    • Gaming / tech is going to continue to grow globally, and especially in China as more of the country industrializes / modernizes
    • If Trump "wins" the trade war, US will benefit mostly, but China will return to business as usual and Tencent will still be the big gorilla.
    • If China "wins" the trade war, then Tencent will not only recover but go way up.

    I realize that things may and probably will get worse before they get better, but if my outlook is to buy and hold Tencent for a long time, is this not the moment to buy the stock at a severe discount?

    submitted by /u/Unicorn_Flame
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    End game for TWTR?

    Posted: 26 Oct 2018 03:30 AM PDT

    What do people think is the end game for Twitter? In the world of online ads, Twitter ads have not become a must-buy for advertisers (unlike Google and Facebook ads) and Twitter's top-line revenue is growing very slowly for the last 2 years (no more a hyper-growth company) with small profits.

    Do you think Twitter will stay a stand-alone company for long? Who do you think are the most likely acquirers?

    submitted by /u/jedi_reddit
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    Advice - DYOR. Never EVER trust investment banks. I just found out that on my second bank where I had close to $700k invested in a portfolio management produt, 99% of the investment was made in 5%+ fee funds.

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 07:00 AM PDT

    So yesterday I went to take out the money I have invested from this product. You may remember me from last week where I said I discovered my financial advisor, from one of my banks, was advising me to invest into funds that the fees were at 5% subscription + 1-4% fee / year. I discovered I was "being scammed" and sold everything on my first bank. Yesterday I went to my second bank to withdraw everything but before I asked for a detailed sheet of where my money was invested, and for my (non) surprise, I was "being scammed" aswell.

    Below is my $700k portfolio. Fees info were added by me - I didn't check the fees on all of them, but you get the picture when you get to the stock funds part, they are all the same. I apologize for some info being fucked up, but I used an image to text converter to put all this info in text.

    Bonds - From Corporate to Government

     CCE 0.75 16-05/22 XS1415535183 Europe GASSM Var 14-11/49 XS1139494493 Europe HSBC 0.875 16-09/24 XS1485597329 Europe KPN 0.625 16-04/25 XS1485532896 Europe SAUDCR Float 21 PTSDRCOE0002 Europe SAUDCR Floatl 7-12/19 PTSDRDOM0001 Europe EDF 5% 14-01/2049 FRO011697028 Europe VW 3.875 17-06/49 XS1629774230 Europe EGLPL 4 18-01/2023 PTMENUOM0009 Europe EGLPL FL 18-06/2021 PTMENVOM0008 Europe INVESCO PAN EUR HI E LUO243957742 Europe NB Opportunity Fund LUO256571018 Global NN L A IAN DBT -XC LU0546914242 Asia eg. Japan SISF-GLBL CONVERT BD _UO351442776 Global SALAR FUND PLC E3E IE00B50VYD81 Fee of 5% initial charge + 2.30% / year PTRAMX0MOCK)6 T 1.5 15-05/20 US912828XE52 USA W006257461 0 SUE/MR 7.5 16-06/27 XS 1422866456 BUENOS 5_75 16-06/19 XS 1433314231 Emerging GAM L EMERG LU0107852195 Emerging TAGST 2009-ENGY PTTGUAOM0005 Europe VERSE 3 SNR PTTGUOOM0017 Europe RAM LUX SYS LNG/SH LU0705071453 - Fee of 2% initial charge + 2.28% ongoing charge SCHRODER GAZA EGERTO LU0463469048 Global ELEV- • BS Lin EUR FD LW 331972494 Europe RUFFER SICAV TOT RET U06385587 1 7 Global LM WA MACRO BND E00BC9S3Z47 Global

    Stock funds - HOLY SHIT the fees are insane. For me to turn a profit all or most of these would have to make atleast 20% / year for me to get atleast 10% profit return.

     JUPITER GLOBAL FD-EU LU0260085492 Europe Fee of 5% initial charge + 1.72% / year INVESCO PAN EUR ST LU0119753308 Europe Fee of 3% initial charge + 2.53% / year BLACKROCK STR-EUR OA LU0313923228 Europe Fee of 5% initial charge + 1.89% / year FIDELITY ACTIVE AA LU0363262121 USA Fee of 5.25% initial charge + 1.94% / year NB MOMENTUM CL R LU0058464982 Global Fee of 5% initial charge + 2.44% / year JPMORGAN EUR STR LU0117858752 Fee of 5% initial charge + 2.52% / year LM-ROYCE US S C OPP IE00619Z4617 USA LU0119753308 Europe LUO260085492 Europe LU0571 085413 Emerging VF-MTX SUST EM BUSD LU0571085413 Emerging JPMor an Funds - Eur LU0117858752 Europe BlackRock Global Fun L 00329593262 Global BGF-World Fin USD LUO329593262 Global FIDELITY FDS JPN AGG LU1060955314 Japan MS US EQ GROWTH USD LU0073232471 USA Va uard Investment lE00803HCY54 USA VANGUARD-US OPP INS lE00B03HCY54 USA

    Futures - I have no idea what these are and what they do.

    #SX.5E Drvid FUTDec20 DEDZO #EURO STOXX 50 Dec18 VGZ8 #S&P500 IMINFT Dec18 ESZ8 USA #NASDAQ100 MIN Dec18 NQZ8 USA

    Now these were recommended to me yesterday when I went to take out my money from the bank. I have close to $700k invested there.

    Pictet-Nutrition I dy GBP LU0448837160 Fee of 5% initial charge + 1.22% / year Pictet-Biotech R EUR LU0255977539 Fee of 5% initial charge + 2.70% / year Pictet-Health R EUR LU0255978859 Fee of 5% initial charge + 2.72% / year Pictet - Global Environmental LU0503631714 Fee of 5% initial charge + 2.07% / year

    So since 2016, I have lost close to 10% of my money just to pay fees, and had a return of maybe 5%, when I could've had maybe 10%-20%.

    If you have any kind of money, from $1 to $1M NEVER EVER trust banks, even the ones that seem to have good services. YOU ARE BETTER OFF DOING YOUR OWN RESEARCH and investing on your own terms by reading and asking around and studying yourself.

    Now I just need to find a good plan and where I want to put my money.

    TL;DR: Banks are garbage. DYOR and study yourself.

    submitted by /u/hereimalive
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    Meet the Bros Behind /r/WallStreetBets, Who Lose Hundreds of Thousands of Dollars in a Day—And Brag About It

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 03:45 PM PDT

    Any fundamental analysis spreadsheet templates people recommend?

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 06:04 PM PDT

    I'm looking for any basic fundamental analysis spreadsheet I can use for analyzing stocks. Are there any templates out there that people would recommend?

    submitted by /u/torquemada90
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    Ford to recall 1.5 million Focuses because engines can stall.

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 05:34 PM PDT

    Read The News So You Don't Have To - Market News (October 25, 2018)

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 04:26 AM PDT

    UNITED STATES

    • The Markit PMI manufacturing activity index is trending higher
    • Markit PMI price indices keep strengthening, pointing to higher inflation ahead
    • New home sales are near the 2-year lows while inventories are climbing
    • The S&P 500 gave up 3% and is now down for the year
      • Concerns are growing about a slowdown in earnings growth, tariffs, higher rates, a stronger US dollar, and global economic weakness
    • The NASDAQ is down more than 10% putting it in correction territory
      • The semiconductor sector is having its worst month since the Great Recession
    • The VIX closed above 25 for the first time since February
    • There are two ways to look at this, stocks are either very cheap right now or forecasted earnings estimates are way too optimistic
      • Companies focused on Research & Development are being punished in favor of frims known for share buybacks
    • Small cap stocks are nearing bear territory
    • I think it's very important to be aware that it's individual investors "buying the dip" as institutional investors have kept their money on the sideline

    OTHER

    • Iron ore futures are continuing to soar in China
    • Copper prices are dipping
    • Gold is being purchased by Central Banks again
    • Crude oil continues its downward march
    • Credit contraction in Turkey is the worst its been since 2002
    • South Korean stocks are in bear territory
      • Q3 GDP growth disappointed (Actual 0.6% | Expected 0.8%)
    • Japan's manufacturing activity grew this month

    CHINA

    • The yuan is at multi year lows
      • Lending to small businesses is grinding slower
    • The Belt & Road initiative is slowing new development
    submitted by /u/ogordained
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    AMZN rallying before earnings

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 09:37 AM PDT

    So is it going to blow up after earnings, or is this run up stealing the thunder? Can a big beat turn this correction around?

    submitted by /u/wil1i5
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    Section 4(a)(1 1/2) sales to non-accredited family members

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 10:53 PM PDT

    I have a family member with an opportunity to buy a chunk of SpaceX shares on the secondary market. I'd like to own a few lots myself (in my own name), but I don't meet the accredited investor requirement. Can said relative still privately sell/otherwise transfer shares to me under 17 CFR 230.501(e)(1)(i)? (Assuming SpaceX doesn't exercise RFR on the tertiary sale). This is obviously something I should ask a securities attorney but just wanted to get a general opinion first. Also let me know if I should be asking in r/legaladvice.

    submitted by /u/mooburger
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    ISM's Purchasing Managers' Index Fund Tracker

    Posted: 26 Oct 2018 02:26 AM PDT

    Just out of curiosity, does anyone know of a ETF or fund or index that tracks correlations based on the ISM' PMI? Basically, if the PMI is bearish, money goes into negatively correlated instruments; if the PMI is bullish, money goes into positive correlations. When it's neutral, money exits any correlated instruments.

    submitted by /u/Donnie-Jon-Hates-You
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    A map that shows where real estate prices are rising the fastest (as well as declining the fastest) across the US for anyone looking to invest in real estate

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 10:18 AM PDT

    What is structural investment?

    Posted: 26 Oct 2018 02:10 AM PDT

    Hi guys,

    I have a presentation to do titled 'Identify long term structural investment opportunities in China'.

    However I'm confused on what the term 'structural investment' is. Been looking everywhere for a concrete answer but I'm still lost.

    submitted by /u/Dries_Martens
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    How do analysts formulate earnings expectations? How is it that their consensus can be so far off from reality?

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 03:18 PM PDT

    What's the best way to make at least $10000 in a month

    Posted: 26 Oct 2018 01:48 AM PDT

    How can I make this amount I need to real quickly? I only have 20k and need at least 50k?

    submitted by /u/MikeSkyder
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    Why don't more companies do stock splits when the price gets high?

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 03:11 PM PDT

    A split doesn't affect the overall value of the company, but having each share trade at a lower price allows the marginal small investor to buy shares that they wouldn't be able to if the price was in the high hundreds.

    submitted by /u/BasicallyILikeDorks
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    Suggestions for Foreign Bank CDs denominated in US dollars?

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 06:51 PM PDT

    I've noticed that banks outside the US offer much better rates than inside the US when it comes to CDs in USD. Anyone that has experience opening a foreign account that lives in the US– I'd like to hear which country you chose and if it is possible to open a CD just sitting here in the US. I'm willing to Fedex/DHL documents if it takes that but don't really want to travel anywhere.

    submitted by /u/oenoisland
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    Working on a valuation

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 08:43 PM PDT

    Hey Everyone. I'm working on a valuation for UPS starting from 2013. I'm trying to calculated Invested capital. Does anyone know how to calculate investments from UPS 10-k that year? Thanks, I'd really appreciate the help

    submitted by /u/finethacc
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    What do you think will be the end result of regulation threats for FB and GOOG?

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 02:33 PM PDT

    Did anyone else notice that FICA announced they are changing how they are going to calculate credit scores? Seems like 2006

    Posted: 25 Oct 2018 06:16 PM PDT

    Someone with bad credit, so long as they have $400 in their savings account and avoid going negative for 3 months, they get a jump in their FICA score allowing more credit to people who likely can not manage it.

    submitted by /u/diduknowitsme
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