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    Friday, August 10, 2018

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Friday - Aug 10, 2018

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Friday - Aug 10, 2018


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Friday - Aug 10, 2018

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 04:08 AM PDT

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday and Friday's will stay up till Monday.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky. or see past portfolio discussions with this link.

    See past daily discussions here. And use this link to see past stock options discussions here.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Important Stocks Trending in the News

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 05:40 AM PDT

    • With European banks down for a third day, a report in the Financial Times today states that the ECB's Single Supervisory Mechanism is particularly concerned with 3 banks that have high exposure to Turkey, the three banks cited were BBVA (BBVA SA), Unicredit (UCG IM) andBNP Paribas (BNP FP)
    • Catepillar (CAT) presented a bullish outlook for its business as a conference today, stating they see room for growth with most of their end users, saying miners have not even begun full-scale vehicle replacement. The company is focused on growing and will return cash "proper time"
    • Dropbox (DBX) announced its COO is stepping down, a figure who was key in its IPO earlier this year. The news came with results that included 27% revenue growth to US$339mn. The stock lost 8% post-market trading yesterday on the news.
    • Ericsson (ERICB SS) announced it will start producing network gear in US in 4Q18 and Jabil will initially take care of production. Ericsson will decide in the coming quarters whether to build their own factory. In the meantime they will hire 400 engineers in the US for product development in anticipation of the 5G wireless rollout.
    • Google (GOOGL) is entering the outdoor ad business in Germany. Google will use user data to post ads on digital screens in places like railway stations and shopping centers according to a report in the local press
    • Mercari (4385 JP), the Japanese online marketplace whose IPO launched this past quarter, posted a 3.5bn yen loss in its first reporting as a public company. Its recent IPO was a 135bn yen offering, the largest for a Japanese tech company in over 2 years.
    • Morgan Stanley (MS) issued a research report warning that Asian semiconductor stocks at this point have risks that far outweigh any rewards given several cyclical risks. Chip companies across Japan, South Korea and Taiwan traded lower on the news.
    • News Corp (NWSA) beat 4Q revenue estimates posting US$2.69bn versus US$2.65bn consensus, adjusted EPS of 8 cents beat 6 cents expected.
    • Qualcomm (QCOM) has reached a settlement with Taiwan's anti-trust regulators. As part of the settlement the US$773mn fine will be reduced by 88% and Qualcomm agreed to invest US$700mn in Taiwan over the next 5 years on R&D.
    • Ryanair (IAG LN) is suffering through its first ever strike, with unions demanding higher pay and benefits that its CEO is not willing to accept. Today at least 400 flights will be cancelled as little progress has been made in talks.
    • Samsung (005930 KS) introduced its new Galaxy Note 9 to a generally lukewarm reception. Its main update was the addition of the S Pen and its top model tops out at $1,250. Analysts have commented this unit is just a placeholder until a totally redesigned unit is launched next year
    • Sanofi (SAN FP) was upgraded to buy at Citi today with a price target of 93 euros (last trade ~74 euros). Sanofi recently reported results that beat estimates for 2Q but with 3Q guidance well below consensus.
    • State Bank of India (SBIN IN) posted a 2Q loss of 48.8bn rupees, its third quarterly loss in a row. An increase in bad loan provisions caused the loss after the CEO has assured of improved results last quarter.
    submitted by /u/QuantalyticsResearch
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    Global Stocks Selling Off as Turkey Gets Closer to an Economic Crisis

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 05:39 AM PDT

    • Global stocks are declining this AM with worries about an economic crisis in Turkey weighing on sentiment
    • Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who just won reelection this past June, is pressuring the Turkish Central Bank to keep rates unchanged arguing that higher interest rates lead to higher inflation - this contrasts with conventional economic theory which argues the opposite
    • The Turkish Lira is down 7.19% against the USD$ to TRY5.9498; for the week, the Lira has weakened 17.69%
    • US stocks index futures are pointing to a negative open in NY with the Dow Jones minis -0.38%, S&P500 minis -0.42% and Nasdaq 100 minis -0.52%
    • Altbaba (AABA) August 17 OTM Calls and Puts, Apple (AAPL) August 10 OTM Calls, EEM September 21 OTM Calls, and SPY August 10 OTM Calls are the most heavily traded options contracts in the US pre-market
    • US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down 3.27 basis points to 2.8931%
    • The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has narrowed 2.04 basis points to 0.26%
    • WTI Crude is currently little changed at USD$66.81/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread up USD$0.58 to USD$4.49/bbl
    • Gold is currently little changed at USD$1210.67/oz

    International Stocks

    • European stocks are dropping the most in a month this AM with concerns about Turkey's economic problems (caused by nationalistic populism) spreading to the Eurozone, especially the banking sector
    • The Euro Stoxx 600 is currently down -0.8%, the FTSE 100 is down -0.57%, the DAX is down -1.55%, and the CAC 40 is down -1.09%
    • Oil & Gas (-0.81%), Automobiles & Parts (-1.55%), and Telecommunications (-1.03%) stocks are the top performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • Investor sentiment for European stocks is negative with the advance/decline ratio for the Euro Stoxx 600 currently at 0.15x
    • 87 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are at 4-week highs while 41 stocks are at 4-week lows
    • 54 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are overbought while 13 stocks are oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • EUR€ is currently down -0.521% against the USD$ to 1.1467
    • GBP£ is currently down -0.444% against the USD$ to 1.2767
    • CHF is currently little changed against the USD$ at 1.0058
    • German 10-Year Bunds are higher with yields down -3.5 basis points to 0.34%
    • UK 10-Year GILTs are higher with yields down -3.8 basis points to 1.258%
    • Asian stocks closed their trading sessions negative to finish the week in the red with major tech stocks leading the sell-off across different Asia stock exchanges as investors worried about a contagion effect from Turkey's economic problems
    • The Nikkei 225 finished down --1.33%, the Hang Seng ended down -0.84%, the Hang Seng China Enterprise declined -0.7%, and the CSI 300 was +0.22%
    • Investor sentiment for Japanese stocks finished negative with the advance/decline ratio for the Nikkei 225 closing at 0.18x
    • 18 stocks in the Nikkei 225 hit 4-week highs while 32 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 11 stocks in the Nikkei 225 closed overbought while 11 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • The Hang Seng closed down 0.84%, Hang Seng China Enterprise declined 0.7%, and the CSI 300 rose 0.22%
    • Investor sentiment for Hong Kong stocks finished negative with the advance/decline ratio for the Hang Seng closing at 0.19x
    • 5 stocks in the Hang Seng hit 4-week highs while 4 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 0 stocks in the Hang Seng closed overbought while 0 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • Japan 10-Year Government Bonds are higher with yields down -1.4 basis points to 0.101%
    • JGBs 2s-10s Spread has narrowed 1 basis points to 0.21%
    • JPY¥ is currently down 0.153% against the USD$ to 110.91
    submitted by /u/QuantalyticsResearch
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    What are some good, safe, long term dividend stocks?

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 01:04 PM PDT

    I have around 1,300 waiting to be invested. What are some good, safe, long term dividend stocks? I was thinking coke, Disney, etc.

    submitted by /u/vinnydude1
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    r/stocks Friendly Competition

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 03:07 AM PDT

    Hi people. I think it would be awesome if we get a subreddit-wide stock portfolio competition going. We would use the free Investopedia Stock Simulator, create our own public game, and see what kinds of trades everybody is making in real time. There's also a game leaderboard that updates every day and viewable portfolio setting so we can learn from one another, and see some massive trades/strategies each individual takes. Would this be something you're interested in?

    For reference, here is the simulator. It's completely free, easy to read, and fosters a fun, friendly competition: https://www.investopedia.com/simulator/

    submitted by /u/spicyricerocket
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    AMZN, SHOP, SQ, TPL. Issues?

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 06:06 AM PDT

    My portfolio is 70% ETFs and 30% will be split between my 4 favorite stocks. Right now I'm choosing AMZN, SHOP, SQ, and TPL. Not dealing with a ton of money here as I'm only 19, I have about $700 in this account. Are there any issues with the stocks I chose? I know SHOP and SQ are somewhat similar but I really like the growth opportunities for both. If you see things differently, what stocks do you recommend I check out and do some DD on?

    submitted by /u/woodgobuck5
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    Earning Whispers Most Anticipated Earnings?

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 06:05 AM PDT

    How do one find this or is it Reddit original content using information from EW?

    submitted by /u/long218
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    Stocks decline with S&P 500 on pace to post a weekly decline after flirting with an all-time high earlier this week

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 11:19 AM PDT

    • US Stocks are dropping over worries that Turkey's economic crisis will have a contagion effect and spread to other markets
    • The S&P 500 has erased its gains earlier this week that brought the benchmark index close to an all-time high
    • The S&P 500 is currently down 0.61%, Nasdaq Composite is down 0.62%, and Russell 2000 is up 0.14%
    • Consumer Discretionary (-0.75%), Tech (-0.82%), and Financials (-1.34%) stocks are the top performers in the S&P 500 today
    • Consumer Staples (-0.33%), Telecom (-0.93%), and Real Estate (-0.8%) stocks are the worst performers in the S&P 500 today
    • Investor sentiment for US stocks is negative with the advance/decline ratio for the S&P 500 currently at 0.33x
    • 69 stocks in the S&P500 are at 4-week highs while 23 stocks are at 4-week lows
    • 32 stocks in the S&P 500 are overbought while 12 stocks are oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • 158 stocks in the Nasdaq Composite are at 4-week highs while 166 stocks are at 4-week lows
    • 312 stocks in the Nasdaq Composite are overbought while 279 stocks are oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure

    US Treasuries

    • US 2-Year Treasury Notes are higher with yields down -4.1 basis points to 2.6042%
    • US 5-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down -6.78 basis points to 2.7397%
    • US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down -5.98 basis points to 2.866%
    • The US Treasury 2s-5s Spread has narrowed 2.68 basis points to 0.14%
    • The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has narrowed 1.88 basis points to 0.26%
    • US Treasury 5s-10s Spread has widened 0.8 basis points to 0.13%

    Currencies

    • EUR€ is currently down 1.145% against the USD$ to 1.1395
    • GBP£ is currently down 0.53% against the USD$ to 1.2756
    • CHF is currently down 0.189% against the USD$ to 1.0045
    • JPY¥ is currently down 0.414% against the USD$ to 110.62

    Commodities

    • WTI Crude is currently up 1.3% to USD$67.68/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread little changed USD$0.07 to USD$4.31/bbl
    • Gold is currently little changed -0.01% to USD$1212.39/oz
    submitted by /u/QuantalyticsResearch
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    AAPL or AMZN

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 11:12 AM PDT

    I'm thinking of investing $200 a month into AMZN via M1, working my way up to owning a full share of AMZN stock. I've been told that this is a dumb decision, and I'd be better off investing that amount into owning more shares of AAPL. Anyone have thoughts about this, and if investing in AMZN even if it's slowly is a good or bad idea.

    submitted by /u/anon1995help
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    Extensive TSLA Review

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 10:45 AM PDT

    Figured for my own benefit, and perhaps yours, I will try to do a monthly review of a stock with high interest, and analyze every aspect of it. Of course, we all know Tesla is extremely volatile currently, fighting debt, claiming future profits, battling a plethora of issues. Below I will approach Tesla from both sides, the long vs short position, and ultimately I will state my position. Please feel free to dispute or add on to any of the points I make, but I do ask you provide facts (use a source), before making any statements that are contrary. Just because "your general feeling" says so, doesn't justify any of your argument. Matter of fact, psychology says gut feelings are more often incorrect than correct. (it's really more complex than this but this is a general summary) https://hbr.org/2003/05/dont-trust-your-gut , https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/shadow-boxing/201303/trust-your-gut-not-so-fast

    Anyway, first we will approach why you might want to invest in a long position:

    First, consider the moat of Tesla, its uniqueness, and why it has broken into the market place as it has.

    1. Ridiculous speed, unparalleled by almost all other cars (super high end luxury sports vehicles can still beat out the Tesla models). Of course, the reported speed is only great in the short run, when it comes to longer distances / past 100mph... other cars out perform it. However, that's not to say their ability to get off the line before other cars have moved, is not impressive. https://www.zeroto60times.com/vehicle-make/tesla-0-60-mph-times/ check out the metrics and compare to your other favorite sports cars.

    2. 100% Electric, a perceived environmentally friendly vehicle in an age where global warming has become a more prevalent issue. (Not here to argue if you believe global warming or not, fact is, it is being discussed and dealt with now more than before). On the road, its lack of emissions and non-pollution of the environment is a big sale point for many eco-friendly users.

    3. Opinion: It looks sweet, futuristic, and one of the few car makers that is completely devoted to changing the future towards electric vehicles. The BMW i4, Kia Leaf, fiat 500e, all look like a joke in comparison to the sleekness of any Tesla model.

    Next, we consider the positive value of the stock:

    1. Currently listed at 355.30 , Elon's infamous tweet concerning an LBO at $420 suggests a $82 Billion buyout. (Bloomburg suggests it's $82bil) Of course, this number only considers all outstanding shares x $420 + outstanding debt. Other analysts have suggested the number to be lower, considering Elon owns ~20%, Institutions hold ~54%, general public ~16%, the last 10% split amongst others. (found on seeking alpha but their links are banned on this forum) . The number would potentially be lower because Elon's shares wouldn't need to be purchased, as well as all the investors who want to hold their shares through the lbo into the private sector. Not to mention, Saudi prince who purchased 5% in the last 10 days is probably here for the long run. (That is not a fact, up for discussion if you think Saudi has sold by now). So considering 16.4Billion (82bil x Musk's 20%) wouldn't need to be purchased, assuming 1/4 of general public holds (82bil x .16 x .25) 3.28Bill, Saudi prince (82bil x 0.05) 4.1bil. The true buyout price could be as low as (82bil-16.4-3.28-4.1) = 58Billion, and that is without considering what the institutions decide.

    2. If Musk was telling the truth in his tweet, there are abundant profits for a nearly 70 point jump from its current position. The company board is allegedly meeting and discussing terms with a buyer, although the specifics are highly sought after. (350 -> 415ish)

    3. From a future standpoint, Tesla is cutting edge. Are they the first to the electric car market? No. Most others before them have failed, because the public was not ready to switch. However, Tesla has devoted everything to convincing the public otherwise. They've attempted / began setting up the supercharging stations, acquired Solar City, and can improve the car via software updates.

    4. They are beginning construction of their next production factory in Beijing, which is estimated to pump 500,000 cars per year (although Elon has been known to exaggerate in the past) https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-07-10/tesla-is-said-to-plan-china-plant-with-500-000-vehicle-capacity . Although it is 2 years off from completion, if Tesla can last it will be a huge success.

    5. Tesla does have "funding secured" says Musk, but where is it coming from? Well, the general consensus is that Saudi Investor from earlier this week is considering the full lbo. What are the chances this is truly the case? Let us consider, Saudi is attempting to diversify their investments from an extremely heavy oil dependent economy, not to mention it is an nonrenewable resource. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/11/saudi-arabia-economic-reforms-succeed-171125070840859.html Thus, breaking into the electric market, solar, is potentially the future, and something more sustainable. Now, investing 4bill is a lot to have already paid, where will the rest of the money come from? Earlier this week, Saudi made the headlines for selling off their canadian assets, an estimated 15billion in bonds, cash, and the like https://business.financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/saudi-arabia-reportedly-directing-selloff-of-canadian-assets-after-criticism . Not to mention, Saudi is currently managing ~$250 bill in assets world wide. https://www.ft.com/content/e0dfec74-9b21-11e8-9702-5946bae86e6d so, if they decided it wasn't overvalued, if they decided this was the diversification for the future they need, it could be done.

    If you believe there are other aspects of Tesla I haven't considered, please add them.

    Now, we consider the short position:

    For every reason listed above, there is a contrarian opinion, let's analyze further.

    Challenges facing Tesla, and bridges being built across its moat:

    1. At this exact moment, Tesla has only built around 200,000 in its entire lifetime. Any other major car manufacturer is producing at least 2million cars annually. (BMW). GM produces roughly 7.5million annually. https://www.statista.com/statistics/198613/motor-vehicle-production-of-gm-worldwide-since-1999/ . At any point in time for the next 10 years, Tesla can be outproduced with ease by any of the major autos. The question is, how long will Tesla's technology last, if it hasn't already been superseded? While one can't be sure if it has or hasn't, it is entirely possible the other auto manufacturers simply aren't producing mass electric vehicles because the demand isn't there yet, and it isn't worth diverting their efforts and resources.

    2. While it is true, Tesla an eco-friendly road vehicle. The pollution aspect has only shifted from being released during driving, to being released during drilling. Mining for Lithium (necessary for Li-ion batteries) is no different than mining for oil. It is potentially more damaging, and if not, one must still consider the disposal aspect of the batteries and their corrosive effect on the environment. How long until the public perception switches to one of negative light against the vehicle (although, not like anyone really cares about the pollution of their gas guzzlers)

    Now we consider the Stock Value:

    1. Let's take a look at the 10K. 2015: Net loss of $800million, 2016: $750Mill, 2017: $2.5Billion. You know the old saying, cash rules? Well, Tesla has been burning cash like it's Germany in 1923. To fund their operations, they have taken on massive amounts of debt ($10billion), https://www.wsj.com/articles/sizing-up-teslas-10-billion-debt-stack-1529240400 , which have ultimately dug them into a large hole. However, one can be hopeful that even though they are burning cash, they are burning it for the right reasons. Investing in their own technology and growth. They've issued stock all three years, $730mill, $1.7bill, $400mill, respectively. This causes dilution of value of stock holdings

    2. How truthful is Musk? Tweeting or using outlandish statements have been a tool of Elon to keep his stock afloat for the past 365 days. Let's deep into this concept deeper. First, take a look at the rolling average for Tesla from 2017-2018, using stockcharts.com add in the pivot points, and you will see that it has consistently revolved around the pivot point, never reaching higher than S1, never going lower than R1. What does this tell us? TSLA holders can't decide which way this thing is going, there is yet to be an established direction. Once it breaks either S1 or R1, it will be at least some sign of a directional movement.

    Lets dig even deeper, what has been fueling the ups and downs? Look back at your stockchart for the past 1yr.

    March 27 2018: Stock drops 50 points over 2 day span, why? Fatal crash while Tesla is on autopilot. Media Hype.

    April 1 2018: Stock bottoms out, recall over Model 3 power steering issues. One day later, Musk releases production numbers, stock jumps 50 points.

    May 9 2018: Stock drops because of board member issues, Murdoch almost voted off.

    May 17 2018: Elon proposes large supercharging idea. Stock rises. (he didn't actually do anything)

    June 5 2018: Tesla announces upgrade of Murdoch's position, as well as other board members. Stock Climbs. Tesla announces Tesla Model Y. Stock Climbs.

    Aug 1 2018: Saudi investor comes in with 4billion, after Tesla announces its need for 5 billion for Shanghai factory. Stock shoots up. A few days later he tweets about lbo. stock explodes.

    Today: Stock is falling amid lack of details concerning deal.

    My conclusion from this analysis of the past 5 months. Looking at the graph, in between each of these announcements, there is a constant falling of price. After every announcement, the stock responds accordingly, going up, but after a few days begins to fall, until the "next big announcement" comes out. Musk attempts damage control against failing stock prices with statements, revealing of huge plans, or anything to keep confidence around. I haven't bothered to look into the time frame in which he announced the 250K cars production, which never panned out to more than 5,000. However, the volatility based on statements, not cash flow, not actual metrics, leads me to believe Musk is holding this stock afloat through his social media presence. I see the LBO as a cop out from a constant battle of falling stock price, even Musk in his brilliance cannot keep up the charade of a promising future. That's not to say there isn't one. However, his stock is far too overvalued in comparison to the current condition of the company. It's a purely speculative pricing, not reflective of the true nature. Of course, this paragraph is my opinion and personal interpretation. Feel free to rebute or interpret the charts in your own way. I only ask you back up your conclusion.

    1. Article from early July: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-07-02/teslas-biggest-bear-finds-6-unexpected-problems-todays-numbers

    2. As a trade skirmish begins with China, one must consider the effects it has on the newly planned factory in Shanghai. China is not capable of taxing the United States to the same extent we tax them, because they don't import as much. However, they are capable of retaliating by revoking contracts, licenses, building permits, all of which would be highly devastating to the vulnerable Tesla.

    I think with further research I could find positions for either side of the argument, perhaps you guys have more information than I. I am happy to hear your inputs, please keep it civil. It is okay to disagree with someone, but if you do, your source better be stronger, your argument logical, and keep emotion out of it. Nothing is personal if someone says you're wrong, they just see the issue from a different light. Try to understand why they think a certain way, and learn from it. Not all my sources are the most reliable, but they are a good starting place. If your source varies in information, please let me know and we can discuss.

    Enjoy.

    submitted by /u/MiracleDreaming
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    Is this considered a wash sale?

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 02:20 PM PDT

    Is this fall into whats considered a wash sale? Buying shares in a company that you are currently negative in to lower your average but then selling just the additional shares you bought for a small profit. When you sell you are still negative overall but are there any drawbacks to doing this? For ex today I doubled my position in PTLA to lower the average then sold it later.

    submitted by /u/PizzaGradient
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    $TSLA Conundrum

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 01:29 AM PDT

    Everything I'm saying could be wrong. :) please correct me wherever possible. So with Elon's recent twitter post about going private at 420$ a share I'm kinda in a jiffy. I personally love the company, but I also love money. So I've been riding this stock up as well as down by buying at 300 and selling around 380 and then shorting the opposite. Currently that is exactly what I'm doing, which means I'm short at 380. However, because of his tweet Elon has kind of driven himself into a corner, right? Because he either HAS to go private now or he'll be faced with a ton of criminal charges -fraud and/or manipulation-. Knowing Elon as well, when he says something he'll most likely do it. So I have little doubt in my mind that the company is actually gonna go private, even if he didn't think his tweet through or hadn't made up his mind. He probably prematurely tweeted before proposing it to the board as well.

    Having said all this, shorts run into a problem. Either they stop shorting, or Elon buys the stocks at 420 driving it way up and causing them to lose a ton of money. (Please correct me if I'm wrong, I've never been in this situation).

    Then longs are also granted a choice, take the 420 a share or stay long in the private company. I think taking the 420 might be the wrong choice here but that's because I have a lot of faith in the company.

    Personally I would ultimately like to short until a fairly low point, let's say 320ish, then buy and stay in when it goes private. But who knows how long before the stock gets bought out?..

    My question: how long is Tesla going to wait before making a public announcement about going private or not? Because shorts will get wrecked afterwards.

    Now a second thing is, will going private be a good thing? At first glance it seems as though it would be. No more annoying press talk about every little thing Elon does or Tesla fuckups, etc. No more focus on short term profit and no more pressure to (((keep))) the numbers good. However, there's a factor that comes into play here: someone is funding Elon the 70~ Billion dollars. They most likely get a big say in the direction the company is headed, potentially ruining the company and what it stands for. So the second question: who will be funding this?

    Anyways, I'd love to hear you guys' opinions. These are just my thoughts about the shit going on.

    submitted by /u/JohnD_Warner
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    Does anyone here have the balls to short $TSLA?

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 01:56 PM PDT

    I've been long and short TSLA and have made out nicely on both ends. With the recent run TSLA has made because Musk said sorry to reporters and that "he'll take it out at $420" (a fitting number for what day it has to be to believe that heap of shit), I'm getting very close to shorting again in my margin acct.

    TSLA has converts that need the stock above $360 in early 2019. That's why Musk is spewing this $420 take private bullshit. If the stock falls below $360 it wont convert to equity, and TSLA does not have significant liquidity to fund it; they'll have to reissue junk bonds or raise equity and hammer the stock price.

    Without doing any further DD and just gut, short $360 buy $280. We can obviously get into the weeds and discuss the other pros and cons of TSLA. But I'm curious, anyone shorting this beast? Why or why not?

    submitted by /u/TaserTester
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    First big sell was a success!! ~$10K+ Profit!

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 01:37 PM PDT

    I'm not sure this is the place to put my story, but I'm excited! So I've been lurking for a little, made a few posts about diversifying my portfolio, something I've been thinking about doing for a while but been holding off doing. I've had a stock purchase program though my work for a while, so I've been sitting on quite a few shares of BBY Stock for a bit (growing in shares of course because of a purchase program).

    BBY being pretty much the only stock I have, I felt it was time to make a move, I played with some Limit Orders at $79 and today was the day it finally went through! (official sales statement hasn't shown up yet so the following figures are estimates based on what my cost basis was showing prior).

    Sold half of my BBY shares (250 shares) @ $79 with an average share price of ~ $26 per share (combined of all shares before sale) So I'm looking at around a $10 - $13k Profit! I'm going to set some aside for next tax season of course ehhh not looking forward to that, but now Its time to look for some other things to invest in and hopefully keep the momentum going!!

    I'm sure I'll be around a bit more asking questions and reading some info as I continue to look at what to invest in.

    Thanks guys!!

    submitted by /u/Lxr200
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    $CDLX Thoughts?

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 06:18 AM PDT

    CDLX: they facilitate cash rewards on credit/debit cards for marketers and banks. Stock currently trades at lower-end of EV/Sales history. Anyone have any information here?

    submitted by /u/AJBeem
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    $TWTR

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 08:06 AM PDT

    Can anyone explain why Twitter's PE is over 100?

    What potential is it trading on?

    submitted by /u/AdamsFile
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    How would you divide 5k amongst these 14 stocks percentage wise?

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 11:03 AM PDT

    5k to spend. Assuming $5 per trade to make you really debate risk and reward for smaller allocations. If it's less than 5% than assume 0% because fees.

    Stocks are: NTDOY ATVI EA TTWO MU TCEHY BABA BIDU JD IQ HUYA BILI WB BGNE.

    Not looking for input or opinions on the sector or geographical positions. Just opinions on these 14 stocks with 5k to use. I'm trying to reassess my situation and future allocations.

    submitted by /u/1foxyboi
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    What's with JPHF?

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 11:02 AM PDT

    The top ten holdings in this ETF are doing great, yet it's at its low. What's the explanation?

    submitted by /u/googalot
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    Thoughts on etsy?!

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 10:18 AM PDT

    Is etsy worth holding onto for awhile? I'm just curious about the potential growth of it or if I should go ahead and sell.

    submitted by /u/mammallifeform
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    YouTube/Google

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 10:16 AM PDT

    A big portion of content creators on YouTube are unhappy with a lot of what YouTube does. Why wouldn't another company open a website/platform that offers ad revenue etc? I think a lot of channels would consider going to that.

    submitted by /u/CrazyCam3000
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    How much is TD,RBC,CIBC currency exchange fee percentage now?

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 09:32 AM PDT

    Hey guys,

    I was wondering how much TD, RBC, CIBC currency exchange fee percentages are now.

    Debating if I should transfer my cad fund to usd via norbert gambit or if the fee aren't too expensive might just exchange it through bank without hassle.

    Thanks in advance

    submitted by /u/YeduLife
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    Where to find information on after market trading

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 08:18 AM PDT

    I am trying to review after market movement of stocks. Not finding any resources that track and chart the movement of prices after hours. Any suggestions.

    submitted by /u/JetsFanInDenver
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    $ARR

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 07:53 AM PDT

    I own $ARR currently in a ROTH IRA. I am wondering what peoples thoughts are on this stock and maybe if there is a better reit out there. I like the monthly dividend, but it seems as if it is just dropping in value at the same rate as dividends are paid out. Also, does someone have a good recommendation for resources on learning how to evaluate REIT?

    submitted by /u/buzzante
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    Check out $APTY

    Posted: 10 Aug 2018 07:18 AM PDT

    Up 33.33% so far today. Is this a one day thing or will it keep going?

    submitted by /u/otcninja
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