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    Sunday, March 11, 2018

    Stock Market - Amazon Stock? Smart to invest?

    Stock Market - Amazon Stock? Smart to invest?


    Amazon Stock? Smart to invest?

    Posted: 11 Mar 2018 09:06 AM PDT

    Hi, I am Lucas, I am 14 and I have wanted to invest for about a year and a half. Last night I got Stockpile, which allows you to buy fraction stocks. Right now I have enough to buy about 1.58% of a share, not 1.58 shares. Would this be a smart investment? I plan to put much more money when I get it. Amazon Stock has grown a LOT. Also I don't wanna hear shit about crypto here, just saying.

    submitted by /u/LucasMediaGroup
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    What happened to r/wallstreetbets

    Posted: 11 Mar 2018 01:18 PM PDT

    Won't let me go on, and i get a message that says it's either no longer available or is now private. Anyone got answers?

    submitted by /u/austen115
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    Companies with Largest Changes in Insider Holdings (Last 7 Days)

    Posted: 11 Mar 2018 01:37 PM PDT

    I've been doing a lot of digging into insider trading activity and something that has become interesting to me is finding companies with large changes in insider positions. So here's a test post with that information. Let me know if it is helpful or if you have any comments.

    This is a list of the top 20 companies that experienced the largest change in insider shares in the last seven (7) days. The SEC defines an insider as any officer, director or 10% shareholder. It is not illegal for these people to buy or sell their own shares. In fact, since most of them get paid in stock options, it is expected. However, it is illegal for them to trade on inside information that has not been made public. So for example if there are drug trial results that are bad and not public, insiders cannot dump shares. That said, many people have observed that insiders - in general - seem to have a good track record at timing their purchases.

    Company Shares Changed Value Changed
    CDEV / Centennial Resource Development, Inc. -64,516,251 -1,258,066,894
    SNI / Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc. -41,493,032 -6,140,982
    GM / General Motors Company -40,000,000 -1,588,400,000
    RNVA / Rennova Health, Inc. 39,999,999 0
    LLNW / Limelight Networks, Inc. -30,661,749 -116,602,520
    KBIO / KaloBios Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 29,893,424 8,370,159
    ATH / Athene Holding Ltd -22,019,689 2
    STXS / Stereotaxis, Inc. 18,769,230 5,255,384
    MDLZ / Mondelez International, Inc. -17,160,456 -769,118,405
    JUNO / Juno Therapeutics, Inc. -15,210,374 -1,257,276,933
    LC / LendingClub Corp. 12,521,254 45,432,603
    NCLH / Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd -9,588,359 -547,512,750
    GDDY / GoDaddy Inc. -8,938,795 -1,596,299,868
    CTTC / Calmare Therapeutics Inc. 5,927,450 110,000
    BOMN / Boston Omaha Corporation 4,868,884 113,444,997
    BBTH / bBooth, Inc. 4,500,000 0
    RIG / Transocean, Inc. 4,158,852 36,351,834
    MYOK / MyoKardia, Inc. -4,000,000 -178,684

    Source: Fintel.io/insiders

    submitted by /u/badpauly
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    Will Apple buy Disney and/or Netflix?

    Posted: 11 Mar 2018 03:49 PM PDT

    Rumors aside, Apple have $80 Billion in operating cash (ocf), another $265 Billion off shore and a market capitalization of $913 Billion and predicted to cross $1 Trillion by year end [Apple already crossed $900+ Billion more than six times since reaching the milestone in late 2017 showing it not a fluke]. Disney was already a long time rumor going back to Steve Jobs selling Pixar and nowadays Netflix is also an acquisition rumor mill [with a revenue of $11 Billion their $143 Billion in market cap is a bubble same with Nvidia with $9 Billion in revenue and $150 Billion in market capitalization]. So will Apple buy Disney or Netflix?

    Stock Tickers: AAPL, DIS, NFLX

    submitted by /u/snack-fu-bling
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    I am 14 and want to invest

    Posted: 11 Mar 2018 12:02 PM PDT

    Is it possible can I? And how

    submitted by /u/johnlawhon
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    What is the minimum amount one should invest in to make it worth the commission?

    Posted: 11 Mar 2018 06:33 AM PDT

    If commissions are 10% then does this mean I must make a profit of at least 20% before justifying any cash-outs?

    What if there's a minimum fee of say 50 dollars, does that mean I need to make a profit of 20% that is at least $100?

    submitted by /u/slaiyfer
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    Stock market does not equal economy but....

    Posted: 11 Mar 2018 05:15 PM PDT

    as we can see the stock market is beating records these last few years however wages has not gone up or at least not in line with inflation. So if a upward stock market does not correlate with economic progress, is the reverse true? Can there be a market fall without negatively effecting employment and/or wadges.

    submitted by /u/Savilo29
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    S&P500 Index (2019)

    Posted: 11 Mar 2018 04:00 PM PDT

    Putting fears of rising interest rates and tariffs aside, it's time to re-visit the S&P500 fair market value. It's been 6 months since we last posted this topic. Back on September 22, 2017 we posted Expected Value for the S&P500 Index into 2018. In that post we evaluated 5 long-term market trends (1932 to 2017) and 5 (post-recession) short-term market trends (2010 to 2017). That analysis included 3 to 4 sources for earnings data and 2 sources for dividend data along with year-ahead projections for the S&P 500 Index. At that time we were projecting the S&P500 Index to be at 2645 by March 31, 2018. Currently the index sits at 2786. In this post we will update the input data and projections for the remainder of 2018. Specifically, we will compare expected market valuations based upon both short-term & long-term trends for the following:

     Log (S&P 500 Index Price) vs. Time - Charts 1 & 2  S&P 500 Index Price vs. Earnings - Charts 3 & 4  S&P 500 Index Price vs. Dividends - Chart 5 & 6  Log (S&P 500 Index Price) vs. Log (Earnings) - Charts 7 & 8  Log (S&P 500 Index Price) vs. Log (Dividends) - Charts 9 & 10

    First, let's summarize the 5 short-term formulas with their respective coefficients of determination:

    (Expected Value)S&P500 = 365.42 x (1.116054837)(YR-2000) , R2 = 0.9631 (Chart 1) (Expected Value)S&P500 = 30.287 x (Earnings) - 956.11, R2=0.6265 (Chart 2) (Expected Value)S&P500 = 49.538 x (Dividends) + 14.672, R2 = 0.9583 (Chart 3) (Expected Value)S&P500 = 2.7919 x (Earnings)1.4292 , R2=0.6253 (Chart 4) (Expected Value)S&P500 = 56.174 x (Dividends)0.9669 , R2 = 0.9614 (Chart 5)

    Second, let's summarize the 5 long-term formulas with their respective coefficients of determination:

    (Expected Value)S&P500 = 697.34 x (1.071114826)(YR-2000) , R2 = 0.9733 (Chart 6) (Expected Value)S&P500 = 20.507 x (Earnings) - 11.444, R2 = 0.9134 (Chart 7) (Expected Value)S&P500 = 52.492 x (Dividends) - 58.342, R2 = 0.9391 (Chart 8) (Expected Value)S&P500 = 12.571 x (Earnings)1.0978 , R2 = 0.9464 (Chart 9) (Expected Value)S&P500 = 20.472 x (Dividends)1.2588 , R2 = 0.9706 (Chart 10)

    Third, let's summarize the input data for 5 different periods between 3/31/2018 and 3/31/2019:

    (Table 1)

    Fourth, let's compute the expected values for the S&P500 Index for each period using the 10 formulas and weight the results by the respective coefficients of determination for each formula:

    (Table 2)

    See original post for charts and tables https://dividendtotalreturn.net/sp500-index-2019/

    submitted by /u/DTRS_Investing
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    Do call options cannibalize the stock market?

    Posted: 11 Mar 2018 02:37 PM PDT

    A lot of people, including me, buy calls as a low cost substitute for buying stock. Doesn't this reduce the demand for stocks and therefore their price?

    submitted by /u/Moveover33
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    3x etf question.

    Posted: 11 Mar 2018 01:21 PM PDT

    I am new to the stock market, and have been trading/lurking for about a month. I read where Warren Buffet said the best investment strategy is 90% S&P 500 ETF and 10% Bonds. What would be the difference between this and 30% 3x leveraged S&P 500, 10% bonds, and 60% cash. It seems to me like the returns would be very close. I which case, why not go 30% 3x S&P 500 and 70% in bonds. Would this not produce a better return overall?

    submitted by /u/JustAGuyInTexas
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