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    Home Unlabelled Stock Market - Russia’s stock market dropping at a record-breaking pace, Moex index falls 45%

    Stock Market - Russia’s stock market dropping at a record-breaking pace, Moex index falls 45%

    February 25, 2022

    Stock Market - Russia’s stock market dropping at a record-breaking pace, Moex index falls 45%

    Russia’s stock market dropping at a record-breaking pace, Moex index falls 45%

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 05:42 AM PST

    This is worth keeping an eye on

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 05:10 PM PST

    How investors be

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 05:50 PM PST

    My Portfolio Today (OC)

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 09:00 PM PST

    UBS Triggers Margin Calls as Russia Bond Values Cut to Zero

    Posted: 25 Feb 2022 01:24 AM PST

    Great illustration of market drivers yesterday in the stunning reversal.

    Posted: 25 Feb 2022 02:05 AM PST

    Market close - Thursday, February 24th, 2022

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 01:09 PM PST

    We will end in the green today

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 12:39 PM PST

    This was a gimmie. I posted it in the video last night and had it on top of the watchlist for you guys too

    Posted: 25 Feb 2022 01:46 AM PST

    Dow slashes 859-point loss, turns positive in stunning market reversal after Russia invades Ukraine

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 12:56 PM PST

    Can someone help me understand these charts? The top chart makes the current market seem overvalued but the bottom makes things seem discounted. Is PEG skewed from the COVID year or how should I be reading this?

    Posted: 25 Feb 2022 03:56 AM PST

    AMD Insiders Massive Selling

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 09:54 PM PST

    Everyone holding calls right now.

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 03:27 AM PST

    Putin announces ‘Special Military Operation’ in Ukraine. Market is already bleeding.

    Posted: 23 Feb 2022 07:47 PM PST

    Alibaba trading at the same levels as 5yrs ago with 5x revenue of that time.

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 08:20 AM PST

    Market Turmoil: Where to Invest Now

    Posted: 25 Feb 2022 02:27 AM PST

    Here is a Market Recap for today Thursday, Feb 24, 2022. Wild day to say the least

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 02:54 PM PST

    PsychoMarket Recap - Thursday, February 24, 2022

    First off, thoughts and prayers to everyone in Ukraine, especially to all mothers and children that have to live through this.

    In an extraordinary session, US stocks staged a massive reversal to finish the day green following a more than -2% decline in the major indexes. In particular, the tech-heavy Nasdaq (QQQ) swung a staggering 6% today, from -3.21% to +3.36%.

    Markets Today (from lows to close)

    • S&P 500 (SPY): -2.59% to +1.50%
    • Nasdaq (QQQ): -3.21% to +3.36%
    • Dow Jones (DIA): -2.62% to +0.25%
    • Russell 2000 (IWM): -2.45% to +2.62%
    • Volatility Index (VIX): +10.89% to -3.14%
    • Tesla (TSLA): -8.30% to +4.81%
    • Amazon (AMZN): -3.60% to +4.51%
    • Microsoft (MSFT): -3.31% to +5.11%
    • Occidental Petroleum (OXY): +3.62% to +0.59%
    • NVIDIA (NVDA): -6.19% to +6.08%
    • Roblox (RBLX): -7.03% to +9.68%

    In a speech, President Biden unveiled a new tranche of sanctions against Russia in response to its attack and invasion of Ukraine. Biden said the U.S. will block four additional Russian banks, including the two largest — Sberbank and VTB — from having access to the U.S. financial system, limit Russia's ability to import Western technology, and, along with NATO allies, limit Russia's ability to do business in euros, dollars, pounds, and yen. Biden said the sanctions were meant to, "impose a severe cost on the Russia economy, both immediately and over time."

    Biden said that the U.S. and its allies would not take the step of keeping Russia from using the SWIFT system for global banking transactions because Europe did not want to, but he said it would be held in reserve."

    https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2022/02/24/russia-ukraine-invasion/6920609001/

    European allies acted in lockstep to punish Moscow for its provocation. U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson unveiled Britain's largest-ever package of sanctions against Russian banks, members of President Vladimir Putin's closest circle and wealthy Russians who frequent London.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/1-west-slap-unprecedented-sanctions-073855906.html

    In the US, the conflict creates added uncertainty for market participants who are already grappling with a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve to fight rising inflation. The war between Russia and Ukraine threatens to exacerbate already surging prices and spur other economic disruptions, especially when it comes to oil prices, that could complicate the Fed's policy-making choices. Today, crude oil jumped over $100 a barrel for the first time in 8 years.

    John Lynch, Chief Investment Officer at Comerica Wealth Management, said "Energy prices have surged and the threat of a supply shock in oil places further burdens on discretionary consumption, possibly weighing on growth and complicating the Federal Reserve's plans to combat inflation by raising interest rates."

    In stock news, The Securities and Exchange Commission has initiated a probe into whether stock sales by Tesla Inc. (TSLA) Chief Executive Elon Musk and his brother violated insider trading rules, according to a report by the Wall Street Journal that cited people familiar with the matter. The SEC is investing Elon's brother Kimbal Musk's sale of $108 million worth of stock the day before Elon Musk tweeted a poll asking whether he should sell 10% of his stake in Tesla.

    https://www.wsj.com/articles/sec-probes-trading-by-elon-musk-and-brother-in-wake-of-tesla-ceos-sales-11645730528

    "Keep smiling, because life is a beautiful thing and there's so much to smile about." -Marilyn Monroe

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    Difficult to impose sanctions if Russia has the upper hand.

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 06:37 AM PST

    How to Profit in a Volatile Market: Short Russian Stocks

    Posted: 25 Feb 2022 12:23 AM PST

    The Russian ruble has been volatile in the past few years, and it seems that the sanctions from the United States and European Union just make this volatility even worse. In this article I will show you how to profit from the fall of Russia's currency.

    In a short release on its website, the exchange said: "Moscow Exchange has suspended trading on all of its markets until further notice." Russian Central bank tapped its $600 billion-plus war chest to prop up the ruble and regulators banned short selling on the stock market

    The MOEX index plunged as much as 45%

    The MOEX index plunged as much as 45% in early trading on Monday. The Russian ruble fell to a record low against the US dollar, falling below the level of 65 rubles to the dollar for the first time since 1999. These sharp declines are due to the fact that many investors are worried that a global trade war will make it harder for Russian companies to export their goods abroad. This is another sign of how fragile the markets really are, as investors need to be careful not to let fear dictate their strategy.

    Volatile markets and international reaction

    The Russian ruble has been very volatile this year, and that's what makes it a great opportunity to profit in a volatile market. The currency has seen some of its lowest points just this week, but that means there could be a nice rebound coming soon. If you're looking for an easy way to make money in the stock market, this is one of the best options right now.

    The UK and allies will impose sanctions to cripple the Russian economy following Vladimir Putin's "barbaric" assault on Ukraine.

    Boris Johnson promised a "massive" package of economic measures in tandem with the US and European Union after the Russian president finally launched the invasion which had been feared for weeks.

    List of stocks to short is here:

    https://dispatchweekly.com/2022/02/how-to-profit-in-a-volatile-market-short-russian-stocks/

    submitted by /u/GeorgeBailey176
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    The second biggest opportunities in buying the dip in recent years

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 03:16 PM PST

    The second biggest opportunities in buying the dip in recent years

    The first biggest opportunity was obliviously the starting period of pandemic. I believe a lot of savvy investors had seized that opportunity. Here, I believe, we are facing what could be the second biggest opportunity.

    There are two big dark clouds hovering over the market, one of which is the high inflation and the other is this war panic regarding Ukraine.

    I'd like to shed some light on both. Firstly, our currently high inflation, in my opinion, this is a classical macroeconomic event heavy involving misjudgment caused by Central banks worldwide (lead by US Fed) which has been repetitiously occurring for a number of times.

    Our currently high inflation situation resembles, in many ways, the Great Inflation happened in 1960-1980 which was originated from an excessive growth in the supply of money from US Fed accompanied by the by-then US President Johnson's Great Society Initiative. During that time, under the impact of energy crisis the US Fed still continued to assist the administration to achieve what called maximum employment initiative with issuing huge amount of debts and deliberately keeping low interest rates, which eventually lead to the 1960-1980 great inflation.

    https://preview.redd.it/jc66lijz5vj81.png?width=540&format=png&auto=webp&s=124a8b952a6564e8f136ef2f255a4253fd461b18

    A close study of that great inflation period would find us many similarities between that time and ours. What our time has experienced is almost the same thing except for the pandemic with trillions of dollars printed by central banks and the energy crisis caused by the sudden shift to renewable energy called by all the governments worldwide.

    A foreseeable consequence based on the experience in the 1960 Great Inflation would be a much higher interest rates compared with prior years, the important question is just by how much will the interest rates go.

    Clearly, in both instances (ours and the 1960 Great Inflation) we could see the misjudgment of the US Feds. Reminder you that our current Fed chair only recently (in 2020) withdrawn his original idea about inflation was transitory and brought forward around 2 years in terms of hiking interest rate (only a year ago they expected the hiking would be in 2024 including Australian RBA).

    With the expectations of higher interest rate, logically we are having a lower stock market. However, as a long-term investor who only invest in best quality stocks, I'm not that concerned, more importantly we are not in 1980s because of many different changes nowadays.

    But Let me show you the following stock trend after 1960 Great Inflation when the by-then US Fed Paul Volcker conquered the great inflation by hiking the interest rates to as high as 19%. Interestingly, when interest rates reached all time high at almost 19%, the stock market had actually bottomed. But it took a number of years until S&P500 recached the bottom, after which the market started 2 decades bull trend. Therefore, our biggest question would be how long would it take until our stock price reached the bottom (meaning when is the time to buy the dip), is our market going to be failing for around a decade until it reached its bottom like the Great Inflation period? I think the answer is no.

    A thorough thinking on 1960 Great Inflation and the 1982' beginning of bull market would give use some clues on how inflation has correlated with the interest rate and stock market. Based on various charts in this post, one would find the stock market eventually bottomed when the interest rate peaked with correspondingly lower inflation (also unemployment peaked at 11%) in 1982.

    A deeper look at that time and background gives me the answer that our situation largely depends on how long it takes for the Fed to realize their misjudgment and revise their policies.

    It took the former Fed and administration a decade to realize their misjudgment in 1960-1980 and remediated their policies. In contrast, it took 2 years for current US Fed revised their original thinking and now they are already for hiking. This is a good signal for us.

    Additionally, employment goes very well and we have lots of new technologies to tackle energy crisis such as EVs and solar power when comparing with the 1960s-1980s. As a result, I'm actually more optimistic than many peers about our current situation due to the above factors. As a matter of fact, this situation is the one I've been waiting and prepared for a year as I've been selling many high PE but low-quality stocks to accumulate cash for this big dip. But I'm still holding my many-year low PE high cash flow holdings like Apple, Berkshire due to the reason that they are the best ones and most likely they would never drop to my purchase price when I made after the start of this pandemic.

    <S&P500 in 1960-1980>

    ​

    https://preview.redd.it/nbclpa716vj81.png?width=878&format=png&auto=webp&s=41d3778a6d98a688f6173b02f6e3087b8d0bee36

    ​

    Second dark cloud we are facing is the war panic or concern, it's a sensitive topic but actually, it's what I want to discuss is very short. Yes, and there will be energy concern regarding this, and also there is potential risk of an expanding war. But as many great investors including Warren Buffett who experienced WW2 and many others has already told us don't afraid of buying in war time.

    submitted by /u/KevZ007
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    Russia’s Stocks Crash 28%, Central Bank Unveils Emergency Support - The Moscow Times

    Posted: 23 Feb 2022 11:43 PM PST

    Bitcoin Balance Sheet Opportunities With VBB

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 07:05 AM PST

    Do not panic: Even at the worst of times

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 02:27 AM PST

    Do not panic: Even at the worst of times

    It is no secret that the market in 2022 has been tough on investors. Record level inflation, rising interest rates, and a Russian invasion have put the markets under stress – even if you have managed to avoid the worst of it, stocks are still as volatile as ever. Investors are worried about the short-term outlook – But here is why you should stay invested for the long-term.

    We will recover from even the worst of times

    In March 2020, people fled the markets in fear of the Coronavirus pandemic and the impact it would have. Ironically, what followed was the quickest market recovery in history and as I stuck to my long-term strategy I saw people who had sold miss out on incredible returns. That, along with low-interest rates and possibly because people were forced inside, 2020 also became a time with record interest in the stock market. A renewed interest from people around me is also what drove me to start this blog on January 1st the following year. I knew a lot of new investors had entered the market and I wanted to help people catch up with what I have learned over the past 8 years. But just as investing in a company as it hits new all-time highs, beginning your investing journey at its peak of popularity comes with risks. Something that many of the new investors I know have felt in the last few months as the gains they have made over the past two years has been wiped out as the market corrected.

    In July 2020 Morningstar published an article on what prior market crashes have taught us. Most notably they shared a chart over what every dollar invested in the S&P500 since its inception would have turned into at the time of publication.

    $1 invested in 1870 (That is a long time ago, I know) would have been $19.044 at the 2020 market peak and $18.500 at its low. You could live with that, right?

    What this chart so clearly demonstrates is that no matter what crisis we have gone through in the past 150 years, we not just recovered, but have gone far far beyond it. Even from the worst of times – World Wars, The Great Depression, worldwide pandemics – the economy takes off again. And by worst of times, I really mean it. The crash in 1929 which led to the depression was -79% – the worst drop on the chart and manyfold of what we have faced over the last few months. So even as everything may seem doom and gloom right now, as a long-term investor I am not too worried. I obviously do not enjoy taking big losses, but I maintain high conviction that holding long-term is a more effective strategy than expecting to time the market. Even if you are absolutely certain, like so many others on the internet that we have not yet seen the worst of it – The following is a great example of why it is not even worth sitting out this period of turmoil and attempting to jump back in at the right time.

    Three years ago a Reddit user going by /u/jerschneid made a post in a subreddit about financial independence which made a big impression on me. I do not know if he was the first to look into this kind of data (likely not) but it was the first time I came across it myself. The post outlines three fictional characters saving $200 a month to invest in the S&P500 for 40 years or $96.000 in total for each.

    They each have their own strategy and this is how it plays out:

    Tiffany's Terrible Timing

    Being the worst in the world at timing the market, she puts her money into the market at its absolute peak in 1987 – right before Black Monday resulting in an instant 33% crash. But importantly she does not sell out – instead, she keeps saving, only to repeat her mistake for the next three market peaks. Still, she comes out on top 40 years later with the $96.000 savings turned into $663.594.

    Brittany Buys at the Bottom

    Brittany is some kind of market genius and only invests her savings at the best possible times. She waits till 1990 following a 19% crash in the markets. She then saves her money until the financial crisis and invests everything when the markets are down 56%. Despite her incredible efforts, the difference between her and her unlucky friend is merely 44%. She ends up with $956.838, 40 years later.

    Slow and Steady Sarah

    Sarah is probably like most other people looking to invest their extra cash. She invests $200 every single month, consistently and at whatever price the market commands. She ends up with $1.386.429 from the original $96.000. Sarah wins.

    ​

    "The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago. The second best time is now."

    My advice is always to begin investing as early as you can. Compounding returns beats all.

    How do I invest in times like these?

    Be glad that you are in the stock market. It pays off. Big time! The best part is that it does not even have to be that difficult. Most people are served well just by investing in index funds and ETFs as demonstrated with our fictitious friends. However, with my own never-ending curiosity and time spent on these topics just because of the passion I have for them, I do not buy into that premise for myself. I want to see greater than average returns – and have so far succeeded. But I have also accepted that means that I may see bigger losses than the overall market in times like these. I am down more than 20% year to date, but even then up over 500% in just the past 5 years. The reality is that my strategy just does not shift. I will continue to invest in what I know best: Technology and digital transformation, innovation, and disruption. It is what makes me excited for the future and therefore I believe in it. I spend hundreds of hours getting to know individual businesses and products, to tell the good from the bad – often just because I am a user or fan of it myself.

    My performance over the past 8 years motivates me to stick to individual stock picking.

    With that being said, as I have come to build my wealth over time and taken profits, I have become more conservative in some aspects. That is why I in 2020 seeing as some sectors had not yet recovered from the March crash, I decided to create a dividend-focused portfolio with safer and more stable positions. I bought real estate institutions like Federal Realty Trust (FRT) and Realty Income (O) and other rock-solid companies like AbbVie (ABBV) who have proven their resilience over the decades. Companies that are dedicated to raising their dividends even through the worst of times. Now, just a year's time later they have all recovered. On top of that they have provided me with a nice stream of passive income through their dividends – certainly something I have come to appreciate in times like these.

    ​

    "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful." - Warren Buffett

    But a market correction likewise creates opportunity for investors looking for growth and some of my favorites like Unity (U) and Xiaomi (HK1810) are now more attractive to me than ever – and I plan on buying more shares in these as soon as I am able. There are many quality companies out there right now at a discount – and if you like me are willing to take on the risk of picking individual stocks, times like these are a great starting point for building your position. For inspiration, I will end this whole thing with a few VERY high-quality businesses (in my own humble opinion) that are now on my radar, besides the two I already own and mentioned. Here, in no particular order:

    • Meta (FB) down 40% YTD
    • Adobe (ADBE) down 23% YTD
    • Shopify (SHOP) down 54% YTD
    • Sea (SE) down 45% YTD
    • Netflix (NFLIX) down 38% YTD
    • Starbucks (SBUX) down 23% YTD

    (Note that to cover my own ass, this is not financial advice, but yeah, these are great picks)

    The full read (personal website)

    submitted by /u/jesperbj
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    Relevant in these times: Warren Buffett keeps newspapers from market catastrophes on his office wall as a reminder that "anything can happen"

    Posted: 24 Feb 2022 05:08 AM PST
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