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    Stock Market - Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning January 24th, 2022

    January 22, 2022

    Stock Market - Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning January 24th, 2022

    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning January 24th, 2022

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 09:01 PM PST

    Are we in strong recovery territory?

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 06:31 AM PST

    Next Week Earnings Releases By Implied Movement

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 04:54 PM PST

    How to invest in stock market and get rich: Warren Buffett

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 09:19 AM PST

    Here is a Market Recap for today Friday, January 21, 2022

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 01:09 PM PST

    PsychoMarket Recap - Friday, January 21, 2022

    The stock market sank lower today to close out the worst week in the market since March 2020, as technology and growth stocks continued their sell-off amid elevated inflation, a hawkish pivot by the Federal Reserve, and the start of earnings season.

    Markets Today

    • S&P 500 (SPY): -1.92%
    • Nasdaq (QQQ): -2.84%
    • Dow Jones (DIA): -1.37%
    • Russell 2000 (IWM): -1.86%
    • Volatility Index (VIX): +15.24%
    • 10-year Treasury Yield: 1.758%
    • Amazon (AMZN): -6.01%
    • Tesla (TSLA): -5.35%
    • Shopify (SHOP): -14.12%
    • Block (SQ): -7.49%

    So-called stay-at-home stocks, which greatly outperformed the market during the depth of the pandemic, have cratered back to Earth, with many trading at or around pre-pandemic levels. Shares of Netflix (NFLX) fell roughly 23% lower after the company posted a disappointing subscriber growth numbers, with the company projecting 2.5 million new users for the first quarter of 2022 versus the 6.3 million anticipated, according to Bloomberg data. Shares of Disney (DIS) and Roku (ROKU) fell in sympathy.

    Meanwhile, Peloton (PTON) stock has fallen below its IPO price after the company after the company announced it was cutting production of its product, citing waning demand.

    Mark Luschini, Chief Investment Strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott, said "It is hese infamous stay-at-home plays ... that had been bid up to valuations that get to the point where they're priced for perfection. Anything that is released about the companies' investment results or prospects that doesn't meet or exceed very elevated expectations leads to gigantic disappointment in the form of a share price decline."

    Recent market volatility can be attributed to the multidecade jump in consumer and producer prices reported last week, which served as a reminder that inflation remains the key driver of risk and uncertainty in the year ahead.

    The consumer price index (CPI) rose 7% in December compared to a year ago, the fastest pace of increase since 1982 and the eighth straight month in which inflation exceeded 5%. Excluding the volatile categories of food and energy, core CPI rose 5.5%, the most since 1991.

    Like last year, inflation in the prices of goods played a large part in the jump. For example, prices of used cars and trucks soared 37%, and furniture prices rose 14% from a year ago. While pandemic-related supply-and-demand imbalances continue to drive prices for durable goods higher, services inflation is also strengthening but to a lesser extent, rising 3.7% in December.

    On the other hand, the producer price index (PPI) showed a 9.7% year-over-year increase in prices paid by producers, the biggest jump since 2010. Core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, came in at 8.3%.

    The extent to the rise in prices caused the Fed to pivot to a more hawkish stance, with policy suggesting the Central Bank stance is shifting from supporting the economy and the labor market to combating ongoing inflation. With higher prices persisting at a higher level than originally expected, members of the Fed are now calling for three to four interest rate hikes next year, with the earliest projected for March 2022.

    Jeffrey Kleintop, Chief Global Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, said "I think there is a rotation going on towards those areas of the market that have been neglected for a long time — not just months, but years. Areas like financials and energy. Even health care, which is an area that had done a bit better during the pandemic really isn't seeing any kind of multiples as it did in the past. I think those areas of the market have more durability here as we look at an environment where earnings growth is slowing so valuations matter more," he added. "And many of these companies can look to generate earnings growth in this environment of rising interest rates and commodity prices, whereas tech is a bit more challenged as goods demand begins to slow."

    A gauge of future U.S. economic activity increased solidly in December, suggesting the expansion would continue despite challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic and anticipated interest rate increases from the Federal Reserve to tame high inflation.

    The Conference Board's closely watched Leading Economic Index (LEI) rose 0.8% in December, matching consensus estimates, according to Bloomberg data. This picked up from November's 0.7% clip, which was downwardly revised from the 1.1% gain previously reported.

    Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director of Economic Research at the Conference Board, said "The U.S. LEI ended 2021 on a rising trajectory, suggesting the economy will continue to expand well into the spring. For the first quarter, headwinds from the Omicron variant, labor shortages, and inflationary pressures—as well as the Federal Reserve's expected interest rate hikes—may moderate economic growth. The Conference Board forecasts GDP growth for Q1 2022 to slow to a relatively healthy 2.2 percent (annualized). Still, for all of 2022, we forecast the US economy will expand by a robust 3.5 percent—well above the pre-pandemic trend growth."

    "A gem cannot be polished without friction, nor a person perfected without trials." - Seneca

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    Looking at 52 weeks performance of top companies by Market Cap, we have long way to go.

    Posted: 22 Jan 2022 12:13 AM PST

    Live Stock Market Indices, Analysis 2022

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 11:20 PM PST

    Saw a guy making a post about SQ on whether or not he should sell or hold without even disclosing his position. So here’s mine. And am I’m holding.

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 01:51 PM PST

    Reassessing values and not just a psychological correction

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 12:48 PM PST

    Hi there,

    sorry for my bad english, but i am not a native speaker. I think that what's going on in wallstreet these days has nothing common with what happened at February of 2020. I think tha we dont have now a sell off because of the fear, the fear for a destruction. I think that now big investors, hedge funds etc reassessing the values of their securities. We have a huge redeployment of capital. We have a huge withdrawal from stocks to other investments as bonds and generally fixed rates investments. So i think that this movement will continue a little more and then we will wahe a new balance point, where stocks will be valued more strict and indicators as p/e will have smaller values. I would love to read your opinions.

    submitted by /u/Apprehensive_Fee4415
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    Another day another couple thousand dollars

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 06:24 AM PST

    Market correction territory?

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 06:23 AM PST

    Market correction territory?

    The Nasdaq 100 ETF closed below its 200-day moving average today for the first time since April 2020, ending one of the longest runs in history (450 trading days).

    $QQQ Chart

    The last correction happened at the start of the pandemic (February-March 2020). After the S&P 500 lost more than 33% of its value, dropping to 2237.40, the index recovered and proceeded to break previous records. The S&P 500 doubled in value by mid-August 2021 and rose further from there.

    Can what drove the recovery in the past two years be repeated? There was significant intervention from the Fed, and this is the year they plan to reduce supports and raise interest rates.

    "If you're concerned about where the markets stand today, it may be time to assess your risk tolerance and potentially reallocate assets to reduce your portfolio's exposure to stocks," says Rob Haworth, senior investment strategy director at U.S. Bank. "But keep in mind that we're likely to experience market ups and downs regardless, and over time, markets have shown an ability to recover."

    Source: USbank.com article

    submitted by /u/OliveInvestor
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    Week end mood

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 11:25 PM PST

    Long term bull, don't need money for 10-15 years at least. Best way to deploy 80k?

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 12:36 PM PST

    Fairly new to investing (7 years in the market), I missed the corona crash buying opportunity and have been more or less dca'ing with good results.

    But, this time I have a feeling like market is severely overreacting - I have 80k ready to deploy that I saved up for correction and its here and I don't want to miss it. What would be the smartest way to go about it?

    I'm pondering 40k on Monday already, then every 10% dip half of what I have left. My income allows me to save about 3-4k a month.

    I feel its a good idea but I've never invested close to that amount of money in a single day, so I have a bit of fear / doubt.

    Edit: Not feeling smart enough to pick individual stocks. This is more question regarding the timing / how to correctly buy in this correction.

    submitted by /u/brother-trick
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    Bought at 160. Sell or hold?

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 10:23 AM PST

    SPY breaking 200-day MA like

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 12:02 PM PST

    Investing in Peloton Interactive - A Pandemic Flash In The Pan?

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 09:53 AM PST

    What happens to shares when a company is bought?

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 05:25 AM PST

    As you've probably heard, Microsoft wants to buy Activision Blizzard. And for $95/share (https://www.deraktionaer.de/artikel/medien-ittk-technologie/70-milliarden-dollar-microsoft-uebernahme-activision-20244087.html).

    Unfortunately, I don't understand what exactly happens to the company's shares in various custody accounts. First of all, Microsoft would have to buy 100% of all shares for the "full takeover" (right?). But is that even possible given the large number of private shareholders with small shares?

    Second, what happens to the stock's price if Microsoft buys 100% at $95 each? Will it jump to $95 immediately? Do you get money on your deposit in the corresponding value (i.e. $95) instead of your shares? In the latter case, this would suddenly be taxable, since a profit would have arisen, although one might not yet want to realize it.

    So here are the key points that I don't understand: - Does the price go up to $95 immediately after buying 100% of the shares? - Can Microsoft even buy 100% of the shares? - What happens to a person's shares? Do you get $95 on your deposit per share?

    I would be really happy about answers! Have a nice day!

    submitted by /u/Substantial-Limit882
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    Here's Your Daily Market Brief For January 21st

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 05:12 AM PST

    📰 Top News

    US stock futures moved lower in Friday morning trading following a disappointing earnings report from Netflix, building on the major averages declines dragging them closer to correction territory.

    US begins Russian sanctions- The Biden Administration imposed sanctions on four individuals accused of working at the direction of the Russian government to destabilize Ukraine. Note: The sanctions come as world leaders brace for a possible Russian invasion of Ukraine and work with allies to deter the Kremlin from launching an attack.

    Waiting on the "digital dollar"? - The US Federal Reserve released its long-awaited exploration of a digital dollar but took no position on the issuance of a central bank digital currency. Note: The document lists a checklist of 22 different items for which the Fed noted it would solicit public feedback.

    UK blanks power project - The United Kingdom has turned down a planning application for a high-voltage undersea power cable project linking Britain and France. Note: The project, run by investment firm Aquind, aims to link the power grids of Britain and France to make energy markets more efficient and improve supplies.

    🎯 Price Target Updates

    HSBC upgrades Beyond Meat. BYND upgraded to HOLD from reduce - PT $62

    Baird downgrades Netflix. NFLX downgraded to NEUTRAL from OUTPERFORM - $420 (from $575)

    Citigroup upgrades Intuitive Surgical. ISRG upgraded to BUY from NEUTRAL - $360 (from $370)

    📻 In Other News

    Amazon going bricks and mortar? - Amazon announced that the company will be launching its own physical apparel store called Amazon Style. Note: Amazon has experimented with physical retail formats in grocery and books, but it has never sold clothing or shoes at these stores.

    Peloton hits the brakes- Peloton is temporarily halting production of its connected fitness products as consumer demand wanes and the company looks to control costs according to internal company documents. Note: The production halt comes as close to $40 billion has been shaved off the company's market cap over the past year.

    Pay me in crypto... - New York City Mayor Eric Adams says his first paycheck to arrive Friday will be automatically converted to cryptocurrency. Note: The mayor last year said he would take his first three paychecks in Bitcoin and signaled his intention to make New York City the center of the cryptocurrency industry.

    📅 This Week's Key Economic Calendar

    Friday: Leading Index (Dec)

    📔 Snippet of the Day

    Quote of the day: "Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing" - Warren Buffett

    submitted by /u/hivincentc
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    I just started investing and was excited because I was making money….now I’m scared

    Posted: 20 Jan 2022 11:03 PM PST

    Netflix shares fall 20% on slowing subscriber growth

    Posted: 20 Jan 2022 07:19 PM PST

    Upcoming Earnings Calendar for the week starting on January 24th

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 08:56 AM PST

    Upcoming Earnings Calendar for the week starting on January 24th

    Hey! I'm posting next week's earnings calendar:

    $HAL $PHG $BOH $BMRC $CBU $SIFY $IBM $LOGI $STLD $BRO $ZION $PETS $SFBS $ELS $CFB $CR $JNJ $VZ $GE $LMT $MMM $ERIC $AXP $RTX $NEE $ADM $PII $MSFT $TXN $CNI $FFIV $COF $LRN $MRTN $HA $NAVI $BXP $NXGN $BA $T $FCX $ABT $KMB $ANTM $NDAQ $GLW $PGR $KNX $TSLA $INTC $LRCX $LVS $LEVI $NOW $STX $VRTX $PKG $MA $NUE $MCD $JBLU $MO $BX $VLO $SHW $MKC $TSCO $AAPL $V $X $HOOD $WDC $TEAM $OLN $CP $KLAC $JNPR $CAT $CVX $SYF $CL $PSX $BMI $VFC $WY $LYB $ALV

    MON

    • Before MO: $HAL $PHG $BOH $BMRC $CBU $SIFY
    • After MC: $IBM $LOGI $STLD $BRO $ZION $PETS $SFBS $ELS $CFB $CR

    TUE

    • Before MO: $JNJ $VZ $GE $LMT $MMM $ERIC $AXP $RTX $NEE $ADM $PII
    • After MC: $MSFT $TXN $CNI $FFIV $COF $LRN $MRTN $HA $NAVI $BXP $NXGN

    WED

    • Before MO: $BA $T $FCX $ABT $KMB $ANTM $NDAQ $GLW $PGR $KNX
    • After MC: $TSLA $INTC $LRCX $LVS $LEVI $NOW $STX $VRTX $PKG

    THU

    • Before MO: $MA $NUE $MCD $JBLU $LUV $MO $BX $VLO $SHW $MKC $TSCO
    • After MC: $AAPL $V $X $HOOD $WDC $TEAM $OLN $CP $KLAC $JNPR

    FRI

    • Before MO: $CAT $CVX $SYF $CL $PSX $BMI $VFC $WY $LYB $ALV

    https://app.fincredible.ai/sync-calendar?utm_source=twitter.com&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=AI

    And tell me, which earnings are the most interesting to y'all?

    submitted by /u/08u3a1o
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    Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Schlumberger, Netflix, CSX and others

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 05:44 AM PST

    ‘Good luck! We’ll all need it’: U.S. market approaches end of ‘superbubble,’ says Jeremy Grantham

    Posted: 20 Jan 2022 09:44 PM PST

    [Gann Theory]There be any cycle in the stock market? US market crash every 7 years?

    Posted: 21 Jan 2022 01:59 AM PST

    [Gann Theory]There be any cycle in the stock market? US market crash every 7 years?

    ​

    Absolutely, the answer is yes, but we can't apply a simple and fixed model to all stock markets. Each stock market is an independent viberation with its own cycle and development laws. Therefore, the cycle and law of the stock market will be introduced before presenting the text of this book.

    Since the 1900's, economists in western countries have engaged in the study the law of the cycle, and all believed that there was a long-term law in the economic growth or recession. There is noting new thing under the sun.

    In 1930, the American economist S. Kuznets proposed a business cycle applying to housing construction, with an average length of 20 years. This long-term cycle is known as the "Kuznets" cycle, or building cycle. C Juglar, a French economist, published his Business Crisis and Cycle in France, Britain and the United States in 1862. In this book, he pointed out that the capitalist economy fluctuated every nine to ten years, as generally called "Juglar cycle". Joseph Schumpeter took this as the "medium-term cycle", or the "Juglar cycle".

    Edward R. Deway, known as the father of cycle analysis, believed that the most statistically reliable cycles were 9.2 years and 3.83 years. He was also the founder of many institutions studying the cycles. Edward R. Dewey (1895-1978) dedicated his life to study the cycles (not limited to the business cycle) and in 1931, he was appointed as the Chief Economic Analyst by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Trying to find the cause of the Great Depression in 1929 and 1930 in the United States, Edward R. Dewey established the Foundation for the Study of Cycles in Pittsburgh in 1940. The following are some graphs about the cycles proposed by Edward.

    Business cycles can be categorized into long-term, medium-term and short-term ones. You may ask, is there any business cycle in the stock market or the economy? Let's begin with the stock market cycle and then we will talk about the real estate cycle.

    The 30-year cycle is one of the cores of Gann's cycle theory. When making a prediction, the 30-year cycle can be divided in further, including the following different cycles.

    • 30-year cycle

    • 22.5-year cycle - (360 X6/8)

    • 15-year cycle - (360X4/8)

    • 10-year cycle - (360X1/3)

    • 7.5-year cycle - (360X2/8)

    ​

    https://preview.redd.it/n2ztf65vk0d81.png?width=1627&format=png&auto=webp&s=77fbbf8a587ff21163496364dbdce5d991fa2dc4

    If this 30-year cycle is applied to calculate the stock market cycle, you will get an amazing discovery . For example, Hong Kong's stock market crash in 1987 followed with another one 7.5 years later, namely in 1994, because of the upsurge of red chip speculation by foreign investors in 1993 and the United States' increase of the interest rates for 7 successive times. 15 years later, around the year of 2002 and 2003, the stock market underwent a huge decline because of the outbreak of avian influenza. In 2009, namely 22.5 years after that, HSI hit the bottom as a consequence of the financial tsunami. When it came to 2017, exactly 30 years later, HSI witnessed a depreciation in 2018 after experiencing the bull market.

    When the 30-year cycle is applied to Shanghai securities composite index, there will also come something incredible. As shown in the chart below, the first peak after the establishment of Shanghai Stock Exchange occurred in May 1992. Following Gann's 30-year cycle, another peak appeared in the half of 1999, exactly 7.5 years later. 15 years later, the year of 2007 witnessed the climax of the bull market. After 22.5 years, the year of 2014 marked the starting point of the bull market in 2015. It is thought that the year of 2022, 30 years later, will be another high or low point.

    Just as the old chinese sayings go that "both people and things undergo great changes in a decade", "gold may become worthless in a decade" and "we cannot predict what will happen in a decade and don't laugh at poor people wearing rags". These sayings point out the essence of the 10-year cycle. Juglar proposed that there was a 9 to 10 years' cyclical fluctuation for the market economy in his book Business Crisis and Cycle in France, Britain and the United States in 1862. In Business Prophecies of the Future Ups and Downs in Prices, Samuel T Benner stated that the highest point of trade price followed a repeated 8-9-10-year pattern. The 10-year cycle also plays an important role in Gann Theory.

    ​

    https://preview.redd.it/54k4o1yvk0d81.png?width=1627&format=png&auto=webp&s=8fff4f37895ba53272c0f69b48759a5e4f50bbde

    Shanghai Securities Composite Index with a Cycle of 120 Months

    Take Shanghai securities composite index as an example. After reaching a low point of 998 in 2005, the high point of the bull market appeared in 2015, 120 months (ten years) later. After the low point of 1,664 in October 2008, another lowest point came in 2018, 121 months later.

    ​

    https://preview.redd.it/36gzwlkwk0d81.png?width=1627&format=png&auto=webp&s=9d39b1edccdb868c57d64b6c2e92b3974c44a6da

    Shanghai Securities Composite Index with a Cycle of 52 Weeks

    The above chart shows that the Shanghai securities composite index also subjects itself to a 52-week cycle. In the weekly column chart of the Shanghai securities composite index, the time interval between the peak in October 2007 and the low point is 52 weeks. After that, there will be return in every 52 weeks, either the peak or the bottoming out of the market index.

    Let's see the weekly column chart of the Shanghai securities composite index and take "7" weeks as a cycle. It is found that from the high point of 2015, there is a relative turn in a cycle of 7 weeks or its multiples, namely 14, 21, 28, 35, 42, 49, 56, 63 and 70.

    Is this a coincidence or an accident for the above change in the stock market?

    Now, one question. Whether the movement in the stock market is driven by events or the high and low points at the previous time point (cycle)? Therefore, China's stock market proceeds in a cyclical way. The turning point can be predicted as long as the right starting point can be realized.

    There is also a cycle for real estate. Although economists all over the world hold different opinions towards the research of the real estate market, but they serve the same effect. I will state the opinions of the following economists for your reference.

    ·Michael Hoyt, the author of One Hundred Years of Land Values in Chicago, studied the price of real estate in Chicago in a time period of 103 years since there were only dozens of wooden houses, and he found that its price cycles about every 18 years.

    ·Edward R. Deway, known as the father of cycle analysis, believed that each real estate cycle lasts for about 18 years.

    ·Fred Harrison, a British economist studying the real estate market in the Britain and United States in the past 200-plus years, found that the housing price cycled about every 18 years.

    ·Simon Smith Kuznets believed that the building cycle is 15 to 20 years.

    It is coincidentally acknowledged that the real estate market cycles every 18 to 20 years. Starting from 1965, it is generally believed that the real estate market in Hong Kong has gone through three major cycles, the first cycle from 1965 to 1981; the second one from 1981 to 1997; and the third one from 1997 to now. The housing price often goes up or down along with the change of both internal and external elements.

    I have mentioned the Hong Kong real estate market cycle in different situations. It is not difficult to draw a conclusion from the cycle of Hong Kong's real estate market that the cycle works every six years. Since 1997, great changes occur every six years, including 2003, 2009, 2015, and 2021. With Gann's 50% segmentation method, we can get that three years constitute a secondary cycle, namely in 2000, 2006, 2012, and 2018.

    The change of the real estate market can also be concluded with the 18-year cycle, which has worked since 1985. Undoubtedly, the real estate market in Hong Kong goes up after experiencing the lowest point in 2003. Predicably, that the year of 2021 is likely to witness the completion of an 18-year cycle. Stepping back again, the rise of the real estate market in 2003 can be explained with the 6-year cycle mentioned above since the signing of the Sino-British Joint Declaration in 1985.

    It is likely that the upsurge of Hong Kong's real estate market will end in 2021, and then we should turn to the turning point that may appear from 2023 to 2024.

    The economic cycle of U.S. stocks has a very obvious 7-year cycle.

    -In 1966, the United States experienced a "credit crunch". In August of the same year, the U.S. Treasury market suffered a severe "liquidity crisis.

    -In 1973, seven years later, the world suffered the "first oil crisis", with stock market and economic problems and the first stagflation.

    -Seven years later, in 1980, Wall Street forced the Hunt brothers to stop hoarding silver , which helped some banks and securities firms to avoid bankruptcy.

    -In October 1987, the Dow fell 22% in one day on "Black Monday".

    -Seven years later, in 1994, the FED raised interest rates six times in a row, and interest rates rose sharply from 3% to 6%, resulting in the most famous bond massacre in history.

    -Seven years later, in 2001, the Black Swan event of 9/11 triggered a severe setback in the global stock market, and the U.S. declared an emergency stock market closure from 9/11 to 9/14, but the market resumed on the 17th, the U.S. stocks still had a panic sale, the S&P 500 index opened at 1,092 points and closed almost at the low of 1,038 points, down 5%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Index was killed to 8,883 points, down 7%, and the stock market fell 14% in one week.

    The 7-year cycle came to 2008, the financial tsunami, Hong Kong stocks and U.S. stocks plunged.

    -In 2015, Hong Kong stocks and U.S. stocks crash.

    -2022:?

    I would predict that in 2022, there may be a significant pullback in US stocks.

    submitted by /u/Visual-Shape-7176
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