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    Wednesday, September 1, 2021

    Stocks - Rate My Portfolio - r/Stocks Quarterly Thread September 2021

    Stocks - Rate My Portfolio - r/Stocks Quarterly Thread September 2021


    Rate My Portfolio - r/Stocks Quarterly Thread September 2021

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 02:00 AM PDT

    Please use this thread to discuss your portfolio, learn of other stock tickers, and help out users by giving constructive criticism.

    Why quarterly? Public companies report earnings quarterly; many investors take this as an opportunity to rebalance their portfolios. We highly recommend you do some reading: A list of relevant posts & book recommendations.

    You can find stocks on your own by using a scanner like your broker's or Finviz. To help further, here's a list of relevant websites.

    If you don't have a broker yet, see our list of brokers or search old posts. If you haven't started investing or trading yet, then setup your paper trading.

    Be aware of Business Cycle Investing which Fidelity issues updates to the state of global business cycles every 1 to 3 months (note: Fidelity changes their links often, so search for it since their take on it is enlightening). Investopedia's take on the Business Cycle and their video.

    If you need help with a falling stock price, check out Investopedia's The Art of Selling A Losing Position and their list of biases.

    Here's a list of all the previous portfolio stickies.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Sep 01, 2021

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 02:30 AM PDT

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Cathie Wood's ARK files for new transparency ETF: no oil, banks, booze, chemicals or candy

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 04:02 AM PDT

    ARK Investment Management is looking to debut a new ETF that will focus on transparency in companies and shun vice and sectors that run afoul of ESG investing like fossil fuels.

    In an SEC filing, Cathie Wood's shop outlines the fund, which looks to be at least 80% invested in stocks in its benchmark Transparency Index, published by Solactive.

    "Companies operating in the following industries, as determined by the Index provider, are excluded from the Index: (i) alcohol, (ii) banking, (iii) chemicals, (iv) confectionary, (v) fossil fuel transportation, (vi) gambling, (vii) metals, (viii) mineral, (ix) natural gas, (x) oil, and (xi) tobacco," ARK says in its filing.

    If approved, the ETF would be the second that Ark has launched this year. In March, the company started a fund focused on space-related investments, which has risen about 4% since its debut and now has more than $600 million in assets. Meanwhile, the firm's flagship ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) is up to $22.5 billion, although it's down 2% year-to-date -- compared with a gain of more than 20% for the S&P 500.

    submitted by /u/dhpw2
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    Cloudflare stopped the largest DDOS attack ever reported

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 06:44 AM PDT

    "Cloudflare said its system managed to stop the largest reported DDoS attack in July, explaining in a blog post that the attack was 17.2 million requests-per-second, three times larger than any previous one they recorded.

    "In a blog post, Cloudflare's Omer Yoachimik explained that the company serves over 25 million HTTP requests per second on average in 2021 Q2, illustrating the enormity of the attack.

    "He added that the attack was launched by a botnet that was targeting a financial industry customer of Cloudflare. It managed to hit the Cloudflare edge with over 330 million attack requests within seconds, he said.

    "'The attack traffic originated from more than 20 000 bots in 125 countries around the world. Based on the bots' source IP addresses, almost 15% of the attack originated from Indonesia, and another 17% from India and Brazil combined. Indicating that there may be many malware-infected devices in those countries," Yoachimik said.

    "This 17.2 million rps attack is the largest HTTP DDoS attack that Cloudflare has ever seen to date and almost three times the size of any other reported HTTP DDoS attack. This specific botnet, however, has been seen at least twice over the past few weeks. Just last week, it also targeted a different Cloudflare customer, a hosting provider, with an HTTP DDoS attack that peaked just below 8 million rps."

    Source: ZDnet

    submitted by /u/slinkyminks
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    Here is a Market Recap for today Wednesday, September 1, 2021

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 01:42 PM PDT

    PsychoMarket Recap - Wednesday, September 1, 2021

    Stocks traded mixed in the first session of September, which is historically the worse month for equities. The S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq (QQQ) both eeked out a new intraday record high, closing 0.07% and 0.17% higher respectively. The Dow Jones (DIA) fell 0.10% while the Russell 2000 (IWM), which tracks the performance of small-caps, rose 0.67%. Market participants continue to digest comments from the Federal Reserve's annual Jackson Hole Symposium and a key speech from Powell on Friday. Looking ahead, market participants wait for new, crucial economic data, namely the August Job Report, set to be released on Friday.

    Despite some choppiness near the middle of the month, the SPY closed out its seventh straight month of gains, rising nearly 3% during the month of August, bringing the performance of the index to a staggering 20% gain year-to-date. Despite the risk posed by potential inflationary pressures and the coronavirus Delta variant, market participants remain encouraged by the pace of the economic recovery, record corporate earnings, and a still accommodative Federal Reserve.

    ADP, a leading human services and payroll management company, released their monthly private job report, which estimated that the US gained 374,000 jobs in August, far short of estimates of 600,000, though an improvement over 326,000 last month. Most of the new jobs came from leisure and hospitality, which added 201,000 positions in a somewhat hopeful sign that an industry beset by a labor shortage continues to recover. Education and health services combined to add 59,000, with employment dented by a surge in Delta variant cases. This sets a backdrop for the offical August Jobs Report, set to be released on Friday. Economists estimate 756,500 jobs will be added, which would represent a slowdown compared to the 943,000 jobs added in July.

    Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics, said of the report, "The delta variant of COVID-19 appears to have dented the job market recovery. Job growth remains strong, but well off the pace of recent months. Job growth remains inextricably tied to the path of the pandemic."

    I've talked about it the last few days, but here is the full transcript from Powell's speech on Friday

    https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20210827a.htm

    Highlights

    • According to the Department of Commerce, construction spending in the US rose 0.3% on a monthly basis and is up 9% year-on-year. The infrastructure bill currently mulling in Congress should be a further boost to this spending.
    • Ford Motors (F) said it is forced to once again trim production due to the ongoing semiconductor shortage. said it will cut two of three shifts at its Dearborn Truck Plant next week, while its Kansas City Assembly Plant F-150 production will be down. This is like the third of fourth time this has happened with no end of the chip shortage in sight.
    • In tangentially related news, Tesla CEO Elon Musk tweeted that 2021 has been the year of "super crazy supply chain shortages" and pointed to delays in shipping. Here is the tweet https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1433115031940440065
    • Twitter (TWTR) launched a "super follow" feature that allows creators to generate monthly revenue by sharing subscriber-only content. The company hopes the future will attain at least $7.5 billion in annual revenue by the end of 2023.
    • After a steep sell-off following an intense regulatory crackdown by the CCP, shares of Chinese stocks were moving higher today.
    • The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) said it identified a 12th crash involving a Tesla (TSLA) vehicle using driver assistance software. This comes amid a probe for 11 crashes identified a few weeks ago.
    • **Please note that current stock price was written during the session and may not reflect closing prices*\*
    • Advanced Auto Parts (AAP) target raised by Argus from $215 to $225 at Buy. Stock currently around $202
    • Crowdstrike (CRWD) with a host of target raises. Average price target $320 at Buy. Stock currently around $270
    • Boston Properties (BXP) target raised by Piper Sandler form $135 to $140 at Overweight. Stock currently around $115
    • Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) target raised by BTIG Research from $245 to $290 at Buy. Stock currently around $247
    • Nordson (NDSN) target raised by Wells Fargo from $245 to $270 at Overweight. Stock currently around $240
    • Anaplan (PLAN) with a host of target raises. Average pierce target $80 at Buy. Stock currently around $66
    • Wells Fargo (WFC) target raised by Deutsche Bank from $48 to $55 at Buy. Stock currently around $43

    "A gem cannot be polished without friction, nor a man perfected without trials." – Seneca

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    Corsair (CRSR) - Great potential or overhyped meme stock?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 12:09 PM PDT

    I've been researching Corsair for some time now and the background looks rather promising:

    • $457.1M net revenue/60% increase in respect to the last year
    • Gross profit of ~$130M (112.4% increase) in comparison to the past year
    • Mass demand of gaming materials/PCs/Laptops with one of the highest sales of PC components according to the International Data Corporation.

    The list goes on of course. Now these all look promising, but the fact that I keep seeing this stock pushed on places like WallStreetBets makes me question if a lot of this is hype rather than simply great potential? (Don't get me wrong, sometimes the WSB hype is valid, but half of the time it isn't)

    submitted by /u/Handsomeclooney
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    Let's talk about Corsair ! ~ $CRSR ~

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 12:51 PM PDT

    Corsair Gaming

    The COVID-19 has accelerated gaming activity and companies in this segment saw a dramatic surge in sales.

    I've been looking for a gaming company to invest in for a while now, and after an extensive research I realized that the best pick in this sector is Corsair.

    With a market cap of $2.71B, $1.7B in sales (2020) and massive revenue growth in past 2 years, Corsair, is the natural selection for those who are looking to add a gaming exposure to their portfolio.

    Company's overview :

    The company designs and manufacture gaming and streaming products, Corsair offer their user a vast verity of products : gaming Key boards and mice, headsets, audio equipment, gaming PCs and many more.

    Corsair operates in 75 countries, and delivered 190M gaming and streaming products.

    The company's CEO - Andy Paul, is actually one of Corsair's co-founders (established in 1994).

    Company's Financials:

    Corsair reported second-quarter 2021 earnings on August 3 before the market opened, with a 24% YOY revenue growth, all thanks to the gaming segment - 40.9% YOY revenue growth from gamers equipment sales and 17.6% YOY revenue growth in the gaming components.

    But, investors must take into account that not all roses with Corsair's financials, Corsair's EBITA grew only 4% YOY even though revenue grew 24% YOY.

    The main reason is an increase in logistics costs, including ocean and air freight.

    Company's revenue reached in Q2-2021 to $472,903M while cost of revenue accounts for 72% from revenue, and net income reached only $27M, which is 6% out of the total quarterly revenue.

    Investors should also look at Corsair's direct competition financial healthiness, the $18B giant - Logitech ($LOGI),generated this Q $1.3B In sales and their cost of revenue accounts for 55%, which is a reasonable ratio in this segment, plus, net income reached to $186,641M ,which counts for 14% out of the total quarterly revenue.

    Small amount of cash on hand is another weak spot for Corsair, with only $134,572M, while Logitech has $1.5B.

    Company's Debt :

    Corsair downsized debt and other liabilities - but not significantly - YOY change of 3.3%, to $848,718MWhile Logitech managed to do the same but in a larger scale YOY change of 19%.

    Major players movements:

    This quarter institutional companies open 11 new position in CRSR which definitely an indicator to follow.

    Analysts

    with 4 analysts its seems that at the current price, even at the low projection CRSR is nothing but a bargain.

    My conclusion

    Corsair maybe don't have the best financials versus their competitors, but they defiantly have the growth, and a major fanbase, with Logitech focusing more and more on offices supplies Corsairs niche is much more special with plenty of room to run.

    the number of users in gaming and streaming industry has surged hysterically and CRSR is the first true omnichannel presence in the space.

    CRSR has built this omnichannel through acquisitions like elgato ,which sells pro-level quality products.

    I believe that with time Corsairs will will be able to position themselves not only as a top brand among users, but also financially.

    Resources:

    Jika.io- compare companies

    2. whaleswisdom.com - hedge funds movements

    tipranks- analysts reviews

    submitted by /u/Purple-Tutor5831
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    What do you think about Target stock?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 07:25 AM PDT

    Hey guys, I just started investing and still kinda don't understand how the sector rotate. For example, Target beats the earning report, and now it down for 7%. What may cause this and how do you guys mitigate the risks during the bearish time? Thank you so much.

    P/s: I own Target because I believe in it, but I have my own doubts right now

    submitted by /u/henrynyguyen
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    How to do my own dd

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 02:55 PM PDT

    I'm just starting out in the investing world and I'd love to learn where to look to do my own dd. Like what news sources and what to look at when I choose a stock. Also any YouTubers or YouTube videos that r helpful

    submitted by /u/nsjsjkddk
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    Wait, Buy, Dip

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 09:31 AM PDT

    Is September a good month to buy? Historically, September has always been 'end of summer, and kids back to school and at a relatively fast pace, but this year it's happening slower, so I am wondering is the Bull still in charge or the Bear waking up? This is my first September in the market and we're in a pandemic state so I don't know what to expect today, and this month. Thank you.

    submitted by /u/mrericvillalobos
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    How seriously should we consider insider trading?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 03:48 AM PDT

    Good morning all,

    As part of DD, I usually take a look at the insider buys and sells of a company. Usually, if I see quite a few buys and not a lot of insider trading in general, I take it as a bit of confirmation on top of my initial research.

    My question is, how deeply should we consider these insider trades? If we see someone like a company director selling off a few shares, should we consider it a bad thing? Of course, many sell off perhaps because they need money here and there (for eg, Jeff Bezos with Amazon a few months back), but at what stage does the insider activity become a negative indicator of the company?

    submitted by /u/maximalsimplicity
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    About to turn 20 and need some advice

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 10:50 AM PDT

    So I'm 19 and started investing this year, made some dumb plays on some stocks at start of year and now I have made a pie on trading212 with the following holdings

    Amd (23%) MSFT (22%) AAPL (22%) NVDA (15%) TLSA (7%) PLTR (5%) SQ (3%) NIO (3%)

    NIO and PLTR are my risk plays but something tells me I need more whilst also I want to put it all into AAPL, MSFT NVDA & AMD

    So my question is do I keep adding to this pie I made or do I pick some individual stocks like my top 4 and then some

    For extra info I'm still living at home with minimal bills to pay and earn around 230 a week with my job so I'm putting pretty much everything into stocks and crypto but I'm unsure on the pie so any advice is appreciated

    Thanks guys

    submitted by /u/djOH1
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    Free Portfolio Visualization/Tracking Tools that link with Brokerage?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 01:36 PM PDT

    What are the best (ideally) free tools (either websites or apps) that link with your brokerage and can help you visualize and track you portfolio and its performance?

    Some things I want are:

    -A breakdown of my portfolio by sector (10% energy, 10% tech, 50% indexes/etfs, etc) and company size (20% large cap, 20% mega cap, etc)

    -A comparison of the performance over time with the S&P

    -Ability to sort all tickers by ytd, 1mo, 3 mo, 6mo, 1 yr, 2 yr, 5 yr, 10yr performance

    -obvi ability to sort by percent return

    -bonus if it can tell me things like my best performing groups of stocks or sectors, somehow

    Does anything like this exist?

    submitted by /u/redratus
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    Sold my First CCs yesterday

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 08:56 AM PDT

    Why in the hell I haven't been selling CCs all along is beyond me. I have watched the Fidelity videos and read a ton of info and I am slightly confused. What's the downside to selling these? I mean it seems like only upside with commission gained and setting a price target so you make what you thought you would get anyway. On the fidelity site though it is showing me losses? Is that possible? I can't tell if this is just saying "hey your call could have been worth this much so you lost out" or if I am actually losing money.

    Edit: I truly appreciate all the feed back and discussion. It is really helping clear things up and brining up ideas/questions I would not have thought of. Thank you all greatly.

    submitted by /u/EchoPhi
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    Why Moderna's 2x Antibody Titer News Is Better For Pfizer

    Posted: 31 Aug 2021 06:31 PM PDT

    Why Moderna's 2x Antibody Titer News Is Better For Pfizer

    Breaking news: Moderna vaccine creates twice as many antibodies as Pfizer: research - Source

    Moderna vs pfizer dose size is 100mcg vs 30 mcg respectively. Lets take a look at the charts to see what a increase in dose size does to antibody titers. (Yes, I realize this is pfizer vaccine - results are similar for moderna dose size changes)

    https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2814-7/figures/1

    We can see that a 50 mcg dose provides about 50% more antibodies at day 43, compared to the 30mcg dose - 18,289 (50 mcg) vs 12,431 (30 mcg).

    And we can see from this news today, that a 100 mcg dose provides 100% more antibodies than a 30mcg dose (2x antibodies!). But what does that mean in terms of additional duration of protection? Lets find out.

    Determine the additional amount of protection 100% higher initial antibody titers provide...

    Given that antibody titers are key, with an igG half life of 27 days, a standard coronavirus reinfection period of 90 days, and using the half life equation...

    Find the antibody critical threshold:

    Nt = No × (0.5) ^ (t / tHalf)

    Nt = 100 × (0.5) ^ (90 / 27)

    Nt = 10 (10% of antibodies provided by natural infection)

    Find the vaccine lifetime, given 4x antibodies induced by pfizer vaccine:

    10 = (4 x 100) × (0.5) ^ (t / 27)

    (10 / 400) = (0.5) ^ (t / 27)

    log(10 / 400) = (t / 27) × log(0.5)

    t = 143 + 14 days = 157 days

    Find the vaccine lifetime, given 8x antibodies induced by moderna vaccine (100% more b/c of larger dose)

    10 = (8 x 100) × (0.5) ^ (t / 27)

    (10 / 800) = (0.5) ^ (t / 27)

    log(10 / 800) = (t / 27) × log(0.5)

    t = 170 + 14 days = 184 days

    Find the difference in lifetime between the moderna and pfizer vaccine, given the larger moderna dose size.

    delta t = 184 days - 157 days = 27 days.

    These estimates line up with the latest news!

    Biden says officials consider 5 month boosters

    Bottom line: Moderna vaccine uses 333% more active ingredient, 100mcg vs 30mcg, for 27 days of additional protection, or exactly 1 full igG halflife. This much higher dose comes with 2.5x risk of Myocarditis. This means the pfizer vaccine is safer, more scalable (less active ingredient per dose), and more profitable because it has higher margins. For every 100 mcg of active ingredient manufactured, pfizer can produce 3.3 doses where moderna can produce 1. This results in $67 for pfizer vs $20 for moderna, at $20 a dose, for every 100 mcg of active ingredient (mrna).

    submitted by /u/BarryWentworth
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    Taking profits, capital gains tax question

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 07:45 AM PDT

    I've been investing only since March 2020. I bought into a stock in August of last year and I know that the best bet is to only take profits after holding it for a year for the best rate on the US Capital Gains Tax.

    But I added to the position in November.

    Do I need to wait until the end of November to count as one full year? Or could I pull out now and be okay?

    submitted by /u/CdrCosmonaut
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    Cyber security

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 08:16 AM PDT

    Does anyone know of a good cyber security ETF? I was thinking along the lines of SMH equivalent, 20-30 holdings of top cyber security firms and similar. Open to recommendations. I made the choice in February to not buy NET so currently having to deal with that. (I bought more apple around 122 instead, so not a loss). But would like to have options in the CS field.

    submitted by /u/cwo3347
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    CRSR vs. LOGI

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 01:30 PM PDT

    I may be missing something here but when you compare the two, LOGI is growing faster, has a lower P/E ratio, has higher margins, and includes a dividend. What's the thesis for investing in CRSR instead of LOGI?

    submitted by /u/Witty721
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    ASTS worth the risk?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 03:00 PM PDT

    Hey all, I read a very intriguing DD article the other day by Kevin Liao and wanted to share here to see community sentiment. I feel like with the major partnerships/investors, they too believe this is the future and wouldn't get involved if it wasn't feasible. I understand the risk but the upside outweighs it, in my opinion. I do own shares and calls and remain very bullish long term, but would love to hear everyone's thoughts/concerns.

    (https://www.dropbox.com/s/ce0osbzpptk4288/AST%20SpaceMobile%20%28ASTS%29%2C%205G%20From%20Space%20to%20Anyone%20with%20a%20Smartphone.pdf?dl=0)

    submitted by /u/snoller5
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    Need help diversifying my stocks

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 08:52 AM PDT

    Hello all. Stocks make up 75% of the investments in my brokerage account. I'm reviewing my current positions before investing more money into the account and I realized I'm heavily biased towards tech companies. This is a breakdown of my stocks by sector:

    Tech/Media/Telecom 44%

    Manufacturing and Materials 13%

    Energy and water 12%

    Consumer Goods 11%

    Hospitality 8%

    Finance 8%

    I have tried to break out into different sectors and I always drift back to tech or energy/manufacturing. Can someone please suggest companies in consumer goods, finance, or healthcare/pharma that you have invested/would invest in?

    I prefer mid-large cap companies with a good debt ratio (or a worse ratio but well managed debt). However I am open to growth-based investments or any suggestions y'all have. Thanks for any advice!

    submitted by /u/phdHoliday
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    Thoughts Apple for first stock

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 12:33 PM PDT

    Hey all,

    I have about 50k I want to invest as it's doing me no good in the bank and have been doing a lot of reading the last 2 months but still lack knowledge about stocks. At this point I want to jump in with something so im thinking 10k to get my feet wet until I gain more knowledge. I def want to get into some ETF/Index funds (maybe VOO/VGT) but right now I kinda wanna go in on some blue chip stocks. I was thinking Apple.

    What's everyone's thoughts on apple? Esp since the bee iPhone is dropping soon? Would it be ok to drop all the 10k on apple or would you guys suggest diversifying more? ( I mean I def want to have a diverse portfolio but I'm strictly speaking for this 1st 10k I will invest)

    Thanks all

    submitted by /u/Tough92
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    A question on margin maintenance...

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 09:55 AM PDT

    I have a portfolio value of about 25k. Half is in some itm leaps and the other half is in stocks like Intel Ford and pltr. Most of these say margin maintenance is 25% a few have 60% required. Ihave decided to use some margin about 8k worth. I can afford the 20 dollars a month on it to use it and I thought unless there is a huge crash I'd always have the margin safety since my worth is3x what I'm borrowing. But the last few days my margin maintenance has been steadily climbing as my leaps have gained. It says my margin maintenance is at like 24.5k with 8k borrowed. This doesn't make sense to me am I missing something?

    submitted by /u/Aces106987
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    UBER worth a buy?

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 06:51 AM PDT

    How is everyone feeling about this stock? Is it worth a buy right now considering it's trading so low compared to the 52 week high? I know there are some issues around the company but with more progress made coming out of the pandemic is it worth a buy right now?

    submitted by /u/sdj51
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    Morgan Stanley sucks

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 01:27 PM PDT

    When buying stocks that move around during the day, they screw you with the higher price when you chose to buy at market rate. For example, today I bought a stock that was 3% up for the day. It took them hours to execute the order and I ended up buying it when it was 7% up for the day. Is Vanguard better?

    submitted by /u/ravivg
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    The long case for Sony Corporation (6758 JP)

    Posted: 31 Aug 2021 10:39 PM PDT

    Excellent fundamental analysis by Michael Fritzell (this guy rocks) available here: https://www.asiancenturystocks.com/p/sony

    Summary: the outlook for Sony's earnings is excellent and I see an upside of +23% to a target price of JPY 13,920/share, assuming a 2024 EV/EBIT multiple of 15x.

    Disclaimer: I'm long shares in Sony Corp. I don't own any option on Sony stock.

    submitted by /u/AdamovicM
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    What’s going on with Sprinklr (CXM)

    Posted: 01 Sep 2021 11:44 AM PDT

    I was wondering if anyone heard anything about Sprinklr. Their stocks have been plummeting and there hasn't been any news besides the announcement of their second quarter financial results. Wasn't sure if there was something I missed that's causing the drop.

    submitted by /u/aznzensation
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